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4th Soil Moisture Validation and Application Workshop ......Equivalent areas of common sports...

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New opportunities for integrating global precipitation products based on Triple Collocation Analysis Christian Massari (1) , Luca Brocca (1) , Wade Crow (2) , Thierry Pellarin (3) , Carlos Román- Cascón (3) , Yann Kerr (4) , Diego Fernandez (5) 1 IRPI-CNR, Perugia, Italy, [email protected] 2 USDA - Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Beltsville, MD, USA 3 Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP, IGE, Grenoble F-38000, France 4 Centre d’Etudes Spatiales de la BIOsphère (CESBIO), Université Toulouse 3 CNES CNRS IRD, Toulouse, France 5 European Space Agency (ESA), Frascati, Italy 4th Soil Moisture Validation and Application Workshop – Vienna 18-20 Sept 2017
Transcript

New opportunities for integrating global precipitation products based

on Triple Collocation AnalysisChristian Massari (1), Luca Brocca(1), Wade Crow(2), Thierry Pellarin(3), Carlos Román-

Cascón(3), Yann Kerr(4), Diego Fernandez(5)

1IRPI-CNR, Perugia, Italy, [email protected] 2USDA - Hydrology and Remote Sensing Laboratory, Beltsville, MD, USA

3Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP, IGE, Grenoble F-38000, France4Centre d’Etudes Spatiales de la BIOsphère (CESBIO), Université Toulouse 3 CNES CNRS IRD, Toulouse, France

5European Space Agency (ESA), Frascati, Italy

4th Soil Moisture Validation and Application Workshop – Vienna 18-20 Sept 2017

Equivalent areas of common sports pitches and courts compared with the total areas of orifices of all GTS and GPCP gauges

Global precipitation climatology center (GPCC)Drop from 40000 to 10000 stations after 2010

How much of the Earth surface is covered by rain gauges?

Why do we need to improve satellite rainfall data? An example: flood modelling

RED: GAUGE-BASEDCYAN: REANALYSISYELLOW: SATELLITE-BASEDBLUE: MSWEP

Median NSE satellite rainfall data <0.2

Nb rain gauges

NbSM

StationsClimate

Annul rainfall (mm)

Topography

South-West Niger 41 6 Semi-arid 600 flat

Central Benin 29 8 Sub-humid 1250 flat

South-East France 187 6 Mediter-

ranean 750 mountainous

Umbria, Italy 90 15 Mediter-

ranean 950 rolling

Walnut Gulch, AZ 14 14 Semi-arid 320 rolling

Little Washita, OK 8 8 Sub-humid 750 rolling

Little River, GA 8 8 Humid 1200 flat

Reynolds Creek, ID 15 15 Semi-arid 500 mountainous

Yanco, Australia 13 13

Semi-arid to

temperate450 flat

1. Provide a local assessment of soil moisture derived rainfall product over 10 selected sites using 3 different algorithms

2. Provide a 0.25° assessment of SMOS derived rainfall product over 9 selected sites

3. Provide a global assessment of SMOS derived rainfall product (50°N-50°S)

SMOS+Rainfall project

How we can improve satellite rainfall estimates with soil moisture observations? (1)

Crow et al. 2009-2011

Pellarin et al. (2008)

we can correct satellite rainfall

estimates by assimilating soil

moisture observations into

land surface models…

How we can improve satellite rainfall estimates with soil moisture observations? (2)

Or…we can estimate rainfall directly

from soil moisture and

integrate these estimates with satellite rainfall observations

How to assign the weights?

= +int 2 2( ) SM RAIN SM RAIN SAT SATP t P W P W

Satellite rainfall product (e.g., 3B42RT)

SM2RAIN derived rainfall

weightsIntegrated rainfall

PSM2RAIN

How to integrate SM2RAIN rainfall with satellite rainfall?

Given a REFERENCE (i.e., a high-quality ground-based rainfalldataset Pobs ) we can maximize the correlation between Pint and the reference Pobs

N.B. with some simplifications

How to integrate SM2RAIN rainfall with satellite rainfall?

Given a REFERENCE (i.e., a high-quality ground-based rainfalldataset Pobs ) we can maximize the correlation between Pint and the reference Pobs

N.B. with some simplifications

But we do not have such a good reference everywhere …

Triple collocation applied to global rainfall products

TC correlations: ERA-Interim, SM2RAIN, 3B42RT

Triple collocation applied to global rainfall products

TC correlations: ERA-Interim, SM2RAIN, 3B42RT

How to use Triple Collocation for integrating SM2RAIN with other satellite rainfall estimates?

( )

( )

xyx

xy y

xz

xx yz

xzz

yxz yy

xz

xy z

yz

z xy yzz

yz

Q QR

Q Q

Q QR sign Q Q

Q Q

Q QR sign Q Q

Q Q

=

=

=

Triple Collocation Weights calculation

Now correlations are given by TC and we do not need the ground reference anymore

Objective: Using SMOS (via SM2RAIN) for improving

satellite-only rainfall products with TC-based weights

Which products?Product Reference Type Spatial resolution

SMOS level-3 RE04 Al Bitar et al. 2017

Soil moisture 0.25°

3B42RT v7.0 Huffman et al. 2007

Satellite-only rainfall

0.25°

CMORPH raw 1.0 Joyce et al. 2004 Satellite-only rainfall

0.25°

ERA-Interim Dee et al. 2011 Reanalysis rainfall ≃0.7°

GPCC Schneider et al. 2014

Ground rainfall 1°

Other gauge based networks

Ground rainfall 0.25°

SMOS

SM2RAINCalibration 2011-2013

Min(RMSE)

FlaggingRFI>0.35

DQX>0.05

SM2RAINsmos1 day rainfall Benchmark

Calibration strategy

Masking(areas with SMOS temporal

coverage < 5% excluded)

Mask

RFI

ERA-Interim

Extended Triple Collocation(McColl et al. 2014)

2014-2015

N.B. Triplets 2 and 4 were adopted only for checkingthe consistency of the results

Triple Collocation and weight calculations

SM2RAINsmosSRP (3B42RT,

CMORPH) ERA-Interim GPCC

SM2R

AINsm

osC

MO

RPH

2014-2015 PSMOS+CMORPH 0.25°

Validation strategy (2014-2015)

Local scale, on 10 selected sites(pixel scale, daily and 5-daily)

Validation strategy (2014-2015)

Eobs 14-15CPC 14-15

IMD 14-15

AWAP 14-15

Regional scale in India, US, Europe and Australia(daily, 0.25°)

mas

kva

lidat

ion

Validation strategy (2014-2015)

Global scale using GPCC 1° as a reference(N.B. areas characterized by low rain gauges density of GPCC weremasked out)

FINAL MASKED AREAS= LOW SMOS TEMPORAL COVERAGE due to flagging + LOW DENSITY OF GPCC RAIN GAUGES

Local scale: Results on the 10 sites of the SMOS+Rainfall project

5.8 7.110.1

-17.4 -16.8-19.8

-25.0

-20.0

-15.0

-10.0

-5.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

% c

hang

es

% changes in daily correlation and RMSEobtained with SM2RAINsmos integration

Correlation RMSE

3B42

RT+

SM2R

smos

CM

OR

PH+S

M2R

smos

PER

SIAN

N+S

M2R

smos

10 SMOS sitesImprovements with respect to 3B42RT, CMORPH, PERSIANN

Regional assessment: Improvements obtained with respect to CMORPH

Regional assessment: Improvements obtained with respect to CMORPH

Regional assessment: Improvements obtained with respect to CMORPH

Global assessment: results on a global scale vs. GPCC 1°

Improvements with respect to CMORPH

Global assessment: results on a global scale vs. GPCC 1°

Improvements with respect to CMORPH

Global assessment: results on a global scale vs. GPCC 1°

Improvements with respect to CMORPH

Global assessment: results on a global scale vs. GPCC 1°

Improvements with respect to CMORPH

Conclusions• Triple collocation can be successfully used for merging different

rainfall datasets• Results confirm that SMOS can provide improvements of satellite-

only rainfall estimates where its quality is high and its temporal coverage is sufficiently dense

• The integrated product can be implemented in real time with several advantages in some applications

• The analysis has taken into account only continuous scores (i.e., correlation and RMSE). The effect of the integration on the categorical scores and on the BIAS has to be still thoroughly quantified

• Other soil moisture sensors (ASCAT, SMAP) can be potentially used

Local scale Regional scale Global scale R 5-10% 3-10% 5-7%

RMSE 15-20% 5-10% 15-20%

Improvements

Thanks for your attention

[email protected]


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