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7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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Pan Atlantic SMS Grou Re orted as
Most Accurate Pollster on Maines
2010 Gubernatorial Race
Maines Best Pollster 2008
THEBENCHMARKOFMAINEPUBLICOPINION
6 City Center, Suite 200, Portland, Maine 04101 207-871-8622
www.panatlanticsmsgroup.com
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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Table of Contents
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
2
I. Background..... 3
II. Methodology...... 4
III. Poll Results
National Election / Public Policy Questions...... 7
Maine Election / Public Policy Questions 35
. ..
Maines Best Pollster 2008
2
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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I. Back round
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Pan Atlantic SMS Group is a Maine based, independent marketing research and consulting firm which isP
3
.
This Omnibus Poll is the 50th poll in a series conducted by Pan Atlantic SMS Group on public policy,
business, economic, technology, and lifestyle issues. Because we have conducted this poll on a frequentGRO
basis over a long time period (since 1996), we are in a unique position to provide reliable benchmarking
on a range of important issues.
Media use of the information contained in the Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll must identify theIC
SM
source of information.
All questions reported on herein are non-proprietary and were not commissioned by any party other
than Pan Atlantic SMS Grou .ATLAN
For further information, please contact Patrick O. Murphy, President of Pan Atlantic SMS Group, at (207)
871-8622 or by email at [email protected].
PAN
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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II. Methodolo
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll was conducted between September 24th and September 28th,
4
P. .
A randomly selected, stratified statewide sample of 400 Maine residents (likely voters) was interviewed by
telephone. Each of Maines two Congressional Districts are represented by approximately half of the sample. ItGRO
s ou e no e a e samp e s ze s more m e or eac o e wo ongress ona s r c races. e survey
was administered only to those who fulfilled the following criteria:
Are ages 18 and olderIC
SM
, , ,
Are registered to vote in Maine
Voted in the election for Maines Governor in 2010
Are likely, very likely, or certain that they will vote in the upcoming election on November 6 th,ATLAN
2012
This independent poll was conducted by telephone, at our in-house interviewing center, by Pan Atlantics team of
experienced interviewers. No outside interviewer sources were used.
PAN
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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II. Methodolo
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
5
s ou e no e a gures may no a ways equa . percen ue o e roun ng o ec ma s.
The sample was stratified statewide based on the 2010 U.S. Census of Population and Housing data. The
sample size has statistical significance of 4.9 percent at the 95 percent confidence level. This means thatGROU
if the survey were to be repeated, 95 times out of 100 the results would reflect the results of this survey
within the 4.9 percent margin of error.
The results are broken out by various demographic subsamples, including Congressional District, politicalCSMS
party affiliation, age, and gender. The margins of error for specific sub-samples are higher than the 4.9
percent margin of error for the entire sample.
TLANTI
, ,
time and do not seek to project final election results.
PAN
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
III. PAN ATLANTIC SMS GROUP OMNIBUS POLL RESULTS6
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
Nationa E ection Pu ic Po icy uestions7
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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If the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
8
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
If the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
3.5%
40%
50%
60%
36.8%
50.8%
47.3%
33.5%
3.3%
10%
20%
30%
0.5% 0.5% 1.0%.0.3% 0.3%
0%
BarackObama
[Democrat,
incumbent]
MittRomney
[Republican]
GaryJohnson
[Libertarian]
JillStein[GreenParty] Other Undecided/Refused
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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If the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
9
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
.Election were held tomorrow, with a further 3.5% leaning towards voting for Obama(50.8% total). About a third of respondents (33.5%) would vote for Mitt Romney (R) if thePresidential Election were tomorrow, while another 3.3% are leaning towards voting forRomney (36.8% total).
Thus President Obama has a 14.0 percentage point margin over Mitt Romney.
Ten percent (10.0%) of respondents are undecided / did not provide a response.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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If the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
[By Political Party
10
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
a on
86.0% 9.6%0.7%
3.7%Democrat
,
49.6%
13.9%
33.6%
72.1%
2.9%
3.3%
13.9%
10.7%
Independent
Republican
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Barack Obama [Democrat, incumbent] Mitt Romney [Republican] Other Undecided / Refused
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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If the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
[By Political Party
11
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
a on
.towards voting for Barack Obama (D) if the Presidential Election were held tomorrow. Incontrast, only 13.9% of Republicans surveyed reported that they would vote / lean towardsvoting for Obama if the election were held tomorrow. About seven in ten respondingRepublicans (72.1%) indicated that they would vote / lean towards voting for Mitt Romney
, . . .
Half (49.6%) of responding Independents would vote / lean towards voting for Barack Obama(D) if the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, while a third (33.6%) would vote / leantowards voting for Mitt Romney (R).
Fourteen percent (13.9%) of Independent respondents, eleven percent (10.7%) ofRepublican respondents, and four percent (3.7%) of Democratic respondents are undecided/ did not provide a response.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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If the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
[By Congressional
12
[Options were rotated; N=400]
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
s r c an en er
49.0%
52.5%
38.1%
35.4%
1.0%
4.0%
11.9%
8.1%
Con ressional District 2
Congressional District 1
,- By Congressional District and Gender
52.5% 33.8% 3.4% 10.3%Females
49.0% 39.8% 1.5% 9.7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Males
Barack Obama [Democrat, incumbent] Mitt Romney [Republican] Other Undecided / Refused
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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If the Presidential Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
[By Congressional
13
[Options were rotated; N=400]
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
s r c an en er
District or by gender:
The percentage of respondents in Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 2 whowould vote / lean towards voting for Barack Obama (D) is similar (52.5% vs. 49.0%). Thepercen ages vo ng ean ng owar s vo ng or omney are a so s m ar n e woCongressional Districts (35.4% for CD1 vs. 38.1% for CD2).
The percentages of female and male respondents voting / leaning towards voting forBarack Obama (D) are also similar (52.5% vs. 49.0%), as are the percentages of femalean ma e respon ents vot ng ean ng towar s vot ng or tt omney . vs.39.8%).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS President Obamas Approval Rating
Benchmarked
[Options were rotated; N=400]
Approval of the Way President Obama
14
handling his job? Is that strongly or somewhat?
Approval of the Way President Obama is
Strongly ,40%
50%
60%
Strongly ,19.5%
40%
50%
60%.
44.8%
53.3%
.
48.8%48.6%
Somewhat ,
Strongly,29.8%
.
20%
30%
Somewhat ,
Strongly,32.0%
20%
30%
Somewhat ,18.8%
.
0%
10%
Disapproveoverall Approveoverall Don'tknow/Not
familiar
Somewhat ,12.8%
.
0%
10%
Disapproveoverall Approveoverall Don'tknow/Refused
2.8%2.0%
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS President Obamas Approval Rating
Benchmarked
[Options were rotated; N=400]15
handling his job? Is that strongly or somewhat?
More than half (53.3%) of respondents strongly (19.5%) or somewhat approve
(33.8%) of the way President Obama is handling his job, while a little less than half(44.8%) strongly (32.0%) or somewhat disapprove (12.8%) of how he is doing hisjob.
President Obama has a net positive rating of +8.5%.
Overall, these results are reasonably similar to those obtained in Pan Atlantic SMS Groups ,
percentage of respondents strongly or somewhat approving of Obamas jobperformance, from 48.8% to 53.3% (an increase of 4.5 percentage points).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS President Obamas Approval Rating
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is [By Political Party
16
Approval of the Way President Obama is Handling His Job - By Political Party
[Options were rotated; N=400]
handling his job? Is that strongly or somewhat? a on
62.3%
12.5%
18.9%
4.4%
15.6%
45.6%
1.6%
37.5%
1.6%Republican
Democrat
24.8% 15.3% 38.7% 17.5% 3.6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Independent
Strongly disapprove Somewhat disapprove Somewhat approve Strongly approve Don't know / Refused
Over eight in ten responding Democrats (83.1%) indicated that they strongly orsomewhat approve of how President Obama is handling his job. In contrast, only 17.2%of Republicans surveyed reported that they strongly or somewhat approve of PresidentObamas erformance.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Over half of Independent respondents (56.2%) strongly or somewhat approve of the wayPresident Obama is handling his job.
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS President Obamas Approval Rating
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is [By Congressional
17
Approval of the Way President Obama is Handling His Job - By Congressional District and
[Options were rotated; N=400]
handling his job? Is that strongly or somewhat? s r c an en er
32.7%
31.3%
10.4%
15.2%
36.1%
31.3%
18.8%
20.2%
2.0%
2.0%
Congressional District 2
Congressional District 1
31.6%
32.4%
16.3%
9.3%
33.7%
33.8%
16.3%
22.5%
2.0%
2.0%
Male
Female
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly disapprove Somewhat disapprove Somewhat approve Strongly approve Don't know / Refused
Approval levels for the way President Obama is handling his job are similar in each of the two
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Congressional Districts (51.5 in CD1 and 55.0 in CD2). This is a change from November 2011,when 54.1% of respondents from Congressional District 1 and only 43.7% of respondents fromCongressional District 2 strongly or somewhat approved of Obamas job performance.
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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In general, do you favor or oppose the healthcare reform bill
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
18
signed by President Obama?
In general, do you favor or oppose the healthcare Respondents are fairly split with regard to
[Order of favor and oppose in question rotated; Options read and rotated; N=400]
Dont know /Refused,
reform bill signed by President Obama?w e er or no ey avor or oppose ehealthcare reform bill signed by President
Obama, with 46.5% favoring it and 41.3%opposing it.
Favor, 46.5%
12.3% .answered dont know or did notprovide a response.
Respondents ages 55 and older, respondents
Oppose,41.3%
,from Congressional District 1, andDemocratic respondents are more likely tofavor the healthcare reform bill signed byPresident Obama than their counterparts.
Male respondents, respondents 18 to 54years old, respondents with less than acollege degree, respondents with annualhousehold incomes under $75,000,respondents from Congressional DistrictMaines Best Pollster 20082, and Republican respondents are morelikely to oppose the bill than their
counterparts.Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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If Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
19
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
If Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
4.8%
40%
50%
60%50.3%
45.5%
22.8%
10.8% 0.3% 13.8%
1.0%
1.3%10%
20%
30% .
12.1%
AngusKing[Independent] CharlieSummers
[Republican]
CynthiaDill[Democrat] Other Undecided/Refused
Would vote for Are leaning towards voting for
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
20/51
If Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
20
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
About half of respondents (45.5%) say they would vote for Angus King (I) if Maines US
Senate Election were held tomorrow, with another 4.8% leaning towards voting for him(50.3% total). About a quarter of respondents (22.8%) would vote for Charlie Summers (R)if Maines US Senate Election were tomorrow, with another 1.0% leaning towards voting
towards voting for her (12.1% total).
Fourteen percent (13.8%) of respondents are undecided / did not provide a response as to
who they would vote for if Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSIf Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
[By Political Party
21 [Options were read and rotated; N=400]
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
21.3% 58.8% 5.9% 14.0%Democrat
If Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote? By Political Party
9.5%
4.1%
56.9%
33.6%
20.4%
48.4% 0.8%
13.1%
13.1%
Independent
Republican
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Cynthia Dill [Democrat] Angus King [Independent] Charlie Summers [Republican] Other Undecided / Refused
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSIf Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
[By Political Party
22 [Options were read and rotated; N=400]
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
Both responding Democrats and Independents tend to favor Angus King (I) heavily in theMaine US Senate Election race: when asked who they would vote for if Maines US SenateElection were held tomorrow, almost six in ten responding Democrats (58.8%) andIndependents (56.9%) would vote for / lean towards voting for Angus King (I). A fifth ofresponding Democrats (21.3%) would vote / lean towards voting for Cynthia Dill (D), and a fifthof responding Independents (20.4%) would vote lean towards voting for Charlie Summers (R).
Republican respondents are more likely to support Charlie Summers (R), with roughly half
(48.4%) of Republican respondents indicating that they would vote / lean towards votingfor Summers. However, Angus King (I) has the support of one third (33.6%) of Republicans.
Thirteen percent (13.1%) of Independent respondents, thirteen percent (13.1%) of Republicanrespondents, and fourteen percent (14.0%) of Democratic respondents are undecided / did notprovide a response.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
23/51
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSIf Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
[By Congressional
23
If Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
[Options were rotated; N=400]
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
10.4%
13.6%
50.0%
50.5%
21.8%
25.8% 0.5%
17.8%
9.6%
Congressional District 2
Congressional District 1
- By Congressional District and Gender
12.7% 54.4% 18.6% 14.2%Females
11.2% 45.9% 29.1% 0.5% 13.3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Males
Cynthia Dill [Democrat] Angus King [Independent] Charlie Summers [Republican] Other Undecided / Refused
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSIf Maines US Senate Election were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
[By Congressional
24 [Options were rotated; N=400]
[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
Overall, the percentage of respondents voting leaning towards voting for each of the USSenate candidates does not vary significantly between the two Congressional Districts;however, respondents in Congressional District 2 are more likely to be undecided / to nothave provided a response than respondents in Congressional District 1 (17.8% vs. 9.6%).
Female respondents are more likely to vote for Angus King (I) if Maines US Senate Electionwere held tomorrow than males (54.4% vs. 45.9%). Though a majority of male voters planto vote for King, they are more likely than their female counterparts to vote for Summers
(29.1% vs. 18.6%).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
25/51
Mainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 1st Congressional District the district in
which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
25
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
If the election for Maines 1st Congressional District were held tomorrow, for whom would you
[Options were read and rotated; N=198*]
4.0%
30%
40%
50%
60%
vote?*56.5%
24.2%
.
22.7%0.5% 18.7%
1.5%
0%
10%
20%
ChelliePingree
[Democrat,
incumbentJonathan
Courtney
[Republican] Other Undecided
/Refused
Would vote for Are leaning towards voting for
*Note: The mar in of error for this uestion is a roximatel 7.0%.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
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Mainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 1st Congressional District the district in
which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
26
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
[Options were read and rotated; N=198*]
Over half of respondents (52.5%) would vote for Chellie Pingree (D) if the election for
Maines 1st
Congressional Districts US Representative were held tomorrow, with another4.0% leaning towards voting for her (56.5% total).
.Maines 1st Congressional Districts US Representative were held tomorrow, with another 1.5%leaning towards voting for him (24.2% total).
One fifth (18.7%) of respondents are undecided / did not provide a response as to who they .
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
27/51
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSMainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 1st
Congressional District the district in which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote? [By Political Party
27
st *
[Options were read and rotated; N=198*]
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
a on
1.5% 87.9% 1.5% 9.1%Democrat
,
By Political Party
23.3%
54.5%
52.1%
29.1%
24.7%
16.4%
Independent
Republican
Jonathan Courtney [Republican] Chellie Pingree [Democrat, incumbent] Other Undecided / Refused
*Note: The margin of error for this question is approximately 7.0%.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
28/51
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSMainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 1st
Congressional District the district in which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote? [By Political Party
28 [Options were read and rotated; N=198*]
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
a on
Almost nine in ten (87.9 ) Democratic respondents would vote lean towards voting forChellie Pingree (D). Support for Pingree is also high amongst Independents: over half(52.1%) would vote / lean towards voting for her, while a quarter (23.3%) would vote /lean towards voting for Jonathan Courtney (R).
Over half (54.5%) of Republican respondents would vote for Jonathan Courtney (R).However, almost a third (29.1%) would vote for Chellie Pingree (D).
A quarter (24.7%) of Independent respondents, sixteen percent (16.4%) of Republicanres ondents and nine ercent 9.1 of Democratic res ondents are undecided did notprovide a response as to who they would vote for if the election for Maines 1st CongressionalDistrict were held tomorrow.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
29/51
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSMainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 1st Congressional District
the district in which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?[By
Gender
29
If the election for Maines 1st Congressional District were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?*
[Options were rotated; N=198*]
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
24.6% 57.6% 17.8%Females
- By Gender
23.8% 55.0% 1.3% 20.0%Males
st
Jonathan Courtney [Republican] Chellie Pingree [Democrat, incumbent] Other Undecided / Refused
*Note: The margin of error for this question is approximately 7.0%.
Congressional District were tomorrow.
In addition, similar percentages are undecided / did not provide a response.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
h
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
30/51
Mainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional District the district in
which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
30
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional District were held tomorrow, for whom
[Options were read and rotated; N=202*]
1.5%
40%
50%
60%
wou you vote
32.2%
52.0%
50.5%
28.7%15.3%
.
0.5%
0%
10%
20%
MikeMichaud Democrat KevinRa e Re ublican Other Undecided Refused
incumbent]
Would vote for Are leaning towards voting for
*Note: The margin of error for this question is approximately 6.9%.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
Th 50th P A l i SMS G O ib P ll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
31/51
Mainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional District the district in
which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
31
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
[Options were read and rotated; N=202*]
About a half of respondents (50.5 ) would vote for Mike Michaud (D) if the election forMaines 2nd Congressional Districts US Representative were held tomorrow, with another1.5% leaning towards voting for Michaud (52.0% total).
About three in ten respondents (28.7%) would vote for Kevin Raye (R) if the election forMaines 2nd Congressional Districts US Representative were held tomorrow, with another3.5% leaning towards voting for Raye (32.2% total).
Fifteen percent (15.3%) of respondents are undecided / did not provide a response as towho the would vote for if the election for Maines 2nd Con ressional District were heldtomorrow.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
Th 50th P Atl ti SMS G O ib P ll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
32/51
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSMainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional
District the district in which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?[By Political Party
Affiliation
32
If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional District were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?*
[Options were read and rotated; N=202*]
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
28.4%
77.1%
61.2%
7.1%
10.4%
15.7%
Re ublican
Democrat
50.0% 29.7% 1.6% 18.8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Independent
Mike Michaud [Democrat, incumbent] Kevin Raye [Republican] Other Undecided / Refused
*Note: The margin of error for this question is approximately 6.9%.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
33/51
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSMainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional
District the district in which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?[By Political Party
Affiliation
33
[Options were read and rotated; N=202*]
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
.Mike Michaud (D). Support for Michaud is also high amongst Independents: half (50.0%)
would vote / lean towards voting for Mike Michaud (D), while three in ten (29.7%) wouldvote / lean towards voting for Kevin Raye (R).
x n en . epu can respon en s wou vo e or ev n aye . owever, a mosthree in ten (28.4%) would vote for Mike Michaud (D).
Nineteen percent (18.8%) of Independent respondents, sixteen percent (15.7%) of Democratic
respondents, and ten percent (10.4%) of Republican respondents are undecided / did notprovi e a response as to w o t ey wou vote or i t e e ection or aine s n ongressionaDistrict were held tomorrow.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
34/51
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
NATIONAL ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONSMainers will also be voting for their Representatives in the US Congress. If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional District
the district in which you reside were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?[By
Gender
34
If the election for Maines 2nd Congressional District were held tomorrow, for whom would you vote?*
[Options were rotated; N=202*]
Which of the US House of Representatives candidates are you leaning towards voting for?[Asked of those who answered that they were Undecided]
54.7% 23.3% 1.2% 20.9%Females
- By Gender
50.0% 38.8% 11.2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Males
Mike Michaud [Democrat, incumbent] Kevin Raye [Republican] Other Undecided / Refused
A fairly similar percentage of female respondents would vote / lean towards voting for MikeMichaud (D) as male respondents (54.7% vs. 50.0%).
*Note: The margin of error for this question is approximately 6.9%.
However, male respondents would be more likely to vote for Kevin Raye (R) than femalerespondents (38.8% vs. 23.3%), and female respondents are more likely to be undecided / tohave not provided a response than their male counterparts (20.9% vs. 11.2%).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
35/51
The 50 Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
a ne u c o cy uest ons35
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
36/51
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or member of another party
The 50 Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
36
for your representative in the Maine House of Representatives? in the Maine Senate?
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or member of another
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
32.3% 28.3%26.0%
30.0% 29.8%25.0%
25%
30%35%
party for your representative in the Maine House of Representatives? / in the Maine Senate?
10.8%
2.8%
12.5%
2.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
DemocraticCandidate RepublicanCandidate Independent
Candidate
BestCandidate Not
basedonparty
Undecided Refused
Maine House of Representatives Maine Senate
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
37/51
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or member of another party
The 50 Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
37
for your representative in the Maine House of Representatives? in the Maine Senate?
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
The percentage of respondents proposing to vote for a Democratic candidate for theirrepresentative in the Maine House of Representatives is fairly similar to the percentage of
respondents voting for a Republican candidate (32.3% vs. 28.3%). Likewise, the percentageof respondents who plan to vote for a Democratic candidate in the Maine Senate race isvery similar to the percentage of respondents voting for a Republican candidate (30.0% vs.29.8%).
Roughly one in ten respondents will vote for an Independent candidate for theirrepresentative in the Maine House of Representatives (10.8%) and the Maine Senate(12.5%), while a quarter of the sample is undecided / did not provide a response (26.0% forthe Maine House of Representatives and 25.0% for the Maine Senate).
These results indicate a very tight match up for control of each of Maines two legislativebranches.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
38/51
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or member of
p
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS[By Congressional
38
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or member of another party for
[Options were rotated; N=400]
another party for your representative in the Maine House of Representatives? , ,and Age]
30.2%34.3%
30.2%26.3%
12.4%9.1%
2.5%3.0%
24.8%27.3%
Congressional District 2Congressional District 1
your representative in the Maine House of Representatives? By Congressional District, Gender, &Age
27.8%
25.0%
31.1%
33.3%
31.9%
30.8%
32.7%
24.0%
11.1%
13.5%
11.2%
10.3%
2.8%
3.8%
2.0%
3.4%
26.4%
26.9%
23.0%
28.9%
35 to 54 year olds
18 to 34 year olds
Males
Females
42.4% 21.2% 9.1% 2.3% 25.0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
55 or older
Democratic Republican Independent Best candidate / Not based on party Undecided / Refused
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most Accurate
Pollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
39/51
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or member of
p
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS[By Congressional
39 [Options were rotated; N=400]
another party for your representative in the Maine House of Representatives?, ,
and Age]
Respondents from the two Congressional Districts responded similarly to this question.
Male respondents are more likely to vote for a Republican candidate for their representativein the Maine House of Representatives than female respondents (32.7% vs. 24.0%), whilefemale respondents are more likely to be undecided / have not provided a response (28.9%vs. 23.0%).
Respondents 55 and older are more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate for theirrepresentative in the Maine House of Representatives than their counterparts
(42.4% vs.27.8 of 35 to 54 ear olds and 25.0 of 18 to 34 ear olds while res ondents 18 to 34and 35 to 54 are more likely to vote for a Republican candidate (30.8% and 31.9% vs. 21.2%of respondents 55 and older).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
40/51
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS[By Congressional
40
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or member of another party for
[Options were rotated; N=400]
member of another party for your representative in the Maine Senate?, ,
Age]
28.7%31.3%
29.7%29.8%
12.9%12.1%
2.5%3.0%
26.2%23.7%
Congressional District 2Congressional District 1
your representative in the Maine Senate? By Congressional District, Gender, & Age
24.5%
28.8%
28.1%
31.9%
35.2%
23.1%
34.2%
25.5%
13.4%
15.4%
12.8%
12.3%
2.8%
3.8%
2.0%
3.4%
24.1%
28.8%
23.0%
27.0%
35 to 54 ear olds
18 to 34 year olds
Males
Females
39.4% 23.5% 9.8% 2.3% 25.0%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
55 or older
Democratic Republican Independent Best candidate / Not based on party Undecided / Refused
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
41/51
In the November elections, will you vote for a Democrat, Republican, or
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS[By Congressional
41 [Options were rotated; N=400]
member of another party for your representative in the Maine Senate?, ,
Age]
Respondents from the two Congressional Districts responded similarly to this question.
As with the Maine House of Representatives, male respondents are more likely to vote for aRepublican candidate for their representative in the Maine Senate than female respondents34.2% vs. 25.5%).
Respondents 55 and older are more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate for theirrepresentative in the Maine Senate than their counterparts (39.4% vs. 24.5% of 35 to 54 yearolds and 28.8% of 18 to 34 year olds). Respondents 35 to 54 are more likely to vote for aRe ublican candidate than their counter arts 35.2 vs. 23.1 of 18 to 34 ear olds and 23.5of respondents 55 and older).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
42/51
Governor Paul LePage has been in office for nearly two years. Do you approve
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
[Options were rotated; N=400]
Approval of Job Performance of
42
or isapprove of is jo performance Is t at strong y, or somew at
Approval of Job Performance of Governor
40%
50%
60%
Stron l
40%
50%
60% .
51.8%
43.8%
.
43.3%
50.3%
Somewhat ,24.8%
Strongly,34.8%
,18.5%
10%
20%
30%
Somewhat ,26.5%
rong y,36.8%
17.3%
20%
30%
,15.5%
0%Disapproveoverall Approveoverall Don'tknow/Not
familiar
,15.0%
0%Disapproveoverall Approveoverall Don'tknow/Refused
Fort -four ercent 43.8 stron l 17.3 or somewhat a rove 26.5 of Governor LePa es
6.5%4.5%
performance, while about half (51.8%) of respondents strongly (36.8%) or somewhat disapprove (15.0%)of his performance.
These results are very similar to those obtained in Pan Atlantic SMS Groups Omnibus Poll of November 2011.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
43/51
Governor Paul LePage has been in office for nearly two years.
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
[By Political Party
43
Approval of Governor LePages Job Performance - By Political Party
Do you approve or disapprove of his job performance? Is that strongly, or somewhat?
[Options were rotated; N=400]
Affiliation]
15.6%
61.0%
13.1%
14.7%
37.7%
15.4%
31.1%
5.9%
2.5%
2.9%
Republican
Democrat
32.1% 17.5% 27.0% 16.1% 7.3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Independent
Strongly disapprove Somewhat disapprove Somewhat approve Strongly approve Don't know / Refused
One fifth of responding Democrats (21.3%) indicated that they somewhat or stronglyapprove of Governor LePages performance to date. In contrast, 68.9% of Republicans surveyed
Forty three percent of Independent respondents (43.1%) somewhat or strongly approve ofGovernor LePages job performance.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
44/51
Governor Paul LePage has been in office for nearly two years. Do you approve
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
[By Congressional
44
or disapprove of his job performance? Is that strongly, or somewhat?
Approval of Governor LePages Job Performance - By Congressional District and Gender
[Options were rotated; N=400]
District and Gender]
34.7%
38.9%
13.9%
16.2%
27.7%
25.3%
19.3%
15.2%
4.5%
4.5%
CongressionalDistrict 2
Congressional
District 1
31.6%
41.7%
15.3%
14.7%
27.6%
25.5%
19.4%
15.2%
6.1%
2.9%
Male
Female
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Strongly disapprove Somewhat disapprove Somewhat approve Strongly approve Don't know / Refused
ema es . an respon en s res ng n ongress ona s r c . are more e y
than their male and Congressional District 2 counterparts to strongly or somewhatdisapprove of Governor LePages job performance (males: 46.9%, Congressional District 2:48.5%).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
45/51
Which of the following best describes your personal position on the issue of same sex
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
45
marriage? [Question was asked prior to the question on referendum voting intentions]
Which of the following best describes your personal position on the issue of same sex
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
24.3%
47.3%
OPPOSEsamesexmarriagebutFAVORcivilunions
SUPPORTBOTHsamesexmarriageandcivilunions
40.8%
5.0%
7.0%
16.5%
Undecided/Refused
OPPOSEsamesexmarriageformychurchbutnotforothers
OPPOSEBOTHsamesexmarriageandcivilunions
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
About half (47.3%) of respondents say that they support both same-sex marriage and civilunions. Another uarter (24.3%) o ose same-sex marria e but favor civil unions, whileseventeen percent (16.5%) oppose both same-sex marriage and civil unions, and seven percent(7.0%) oppose same-sex marriage for their church but not for others (total of 47.8%). Five percent(5.0%) are undecided / did not provide a response.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
46/51
One of the questions on Maines 2012 ballot refers to the issue of same-sex marriage. Please tell me how you plan to
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
46
.
the State of Maine to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples?
Do you want to allow the State of Maine to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples?
[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
55.3%38.5%
1.3%
0.5%
20%
40%
60%.
39.0%
4.5%0%
Yes No Undecided/Refused
Would vote Are leaning towards voting
A little over half 56.6 of res ondents indicated that the would vote 55.3 or lean towardsvoting (1.3%) in favor of allowing the State of Maine to issue marriage licenses to same-sexcouples. Four in ten (39.0%) respondents would vote against (38.5%) or lean towards voting against(0.5%) this measure, and five percent (4.5%) are undecided / did not provide a response.
, ,
respondents from Congressional District 1 are more likely to be in favor of legalizing same-sexmarriage than their counterparts (CD1: 63.6% voting in favor and 32.0% voting against vs. CD2:48.3% voting in favor and 45.3% voting against).
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
47/51
One of the questions on Maines 2012 ballot refers to the issue of same-sex marriage. Please tell me how you plan to
MAINE ELECTION / PUBLIC POLICY QUESTIONS
47
.
the State of Maine to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples?[Options were read and rotated; N=400]
- -
It should be noted that some of those who indicated in the first question on this issue thatthey oppose same-sex marriage subsequently said that they would vote for the proposedreferendum. These account for 4% of the sample.
Secondly, a further group of those who said that they oppose same-sex marriage for theirchurch but not for others also said that they would vote for the referendum proposal. These
account for a further 4.25% of the total sample.
This indicates that the percentage of those who say they plan to vote for same-sex marriagemay well be inflated and in all likelihood is not at the level recorded in the straight up pollingquestion. This suggests a much closer race on this issue than straight up polling by several
ollin firms indicates.
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
48/51
IV. POLL DEMOGRAPHIC DATA48
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
49/51
IV. Poll Demo ra hic Data
49
INCOME LEVELS %Under $35,000 19%
$35,000 to $50,000 13%
$50,000 to $75,000 21%
GENDER %
Females 51%
Males 49% , ,
$100,000 + 22%
Dont know/ Refused 12%
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race
The 50th Pan Atlantic SMS Group Omnibus Poll
7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
50/51
IV. Poll Demo ra hic Data
50
POLITICAL AFFILIATION %
emocrats
Republicans 31%
Independents / Unenrolled 34%
AGE
18-34 13%
35-54 54%Other 1%
Dont know/ Refused 1%
55+ 33%
Maines Best Pollster 2008
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7/31/2019 50th Omnibus Poll Results - Fall 2012
51/51
6 City Center, Suite 200, Portland, Maine
www.pana an csmsgroup.com
207.871.8622
Maines Best Pollster 2008
Pan Atlantic SMS Group Reported as Most AccuratePollster on Maines 2010 Gubernatorial Race