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6. ANALYSIS OF PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE
6.1 Description of Preferred Alternative Alternative N5, with a full interchange, was chosen as the preferred alternative. The preferred alternative consists of several components described below.
New Interchange on I-95
Alternative N5 involves a new full interchange connection to I-95 between the Virginia Welcome Center and the Rappahannock River as shown previously in Figure 5-4. The interchange provides access to the west via a new connector road. No access is provided east of I-95 because the connector road does not extend east of I-95 (there has been no established need for such a route). Directional and semi-directional ramps and flyovers provide access to and from northbound and southbound I-95 (see Figure 6-1). The SB to WB off-ramp and the EB to NB on-ramp would be two-lane directional/semi-directional ramps. The EB-NB two-lane on-ramp would cross the Rappahannock River on a separate bridge structure (immediately adjacent to the existing NB bridge), then split providing access to I-95 and Route 17, braid with the I-95 NB to Route 17 EB and WB off-ramp and then merge with NB I-95. The NB I-95 bridge over Route 17 will be replaced and widened to accommodate the on-ramp acceleration lane and provide additional vertical clearance for Route 17. The new two-lane I-95 SB to WB/NB off-ramp to the new interchange would braid with the Route 17 EB/SB to I-95 SB on-ramp and cross the Rappahannock River on a separate bridge structure (immediately adjacent to the existing SB bridge). The rest area off-ramp would diverge from the new interchange SB to WB ramp.
Figure 6-1: New I-95 Interchange
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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The EB to SB on-ramp would be a single lane ramp that would braid with the rest area off-ramp and then merge with southbound I-95. The rest area on-ramp merge with I-95 would be shifted to the south 1400 feet. A continuous auxiliary lane would be developed between the rest area on-ramp and the SB to WB off-ramp at Route 3. A single lane NB to WB flyover ramp would cross over the EB to NB ramp, the I-95 mainline and the SB to WB ramp and connect with the proposed connector road. The south-facing ramps will require the Fall Hill Avenue bridge to be replaced so the acceleration and deceleration lanes for the ramps can be provided under the bridge. VDOT and the City of Fredericksburg have plans to widen the Fall Hill Avenue bridge to 4 lanes.
Improvements to I-95/ Route 17 Interchange The proposed improvements to the I-95/Route 17 interchange require major reconstruction to the interchange. Southbound, the preferred alternative would include combined I-95 SB to Route 17 EB/SB and I-95 SB to Route 17 WB/NB off-ramps that would diverge from I-95 onto a C-D road that would drop at the SB to EB/SB loop ramp. The improvements also would replace the Route 17 WB/NB to I-95 SB loop ramp with a signalized left turn movement from Route 17 to the Route 17 EB/SB to I-95 SB on-ramp. The Route 17 EB/SB to I-95 SB on-ramp would be widened to two lanes. By removing the Route 17 WB/NB to I-95 SB loop ramp, the I-95 SB to Route 17 WB/NB ramp can intersect Route 17 farther from the Sanford Drive intersection and thus improve lane change opportunities prior to the intersection. The I-95 NB to Route 17 WB/NB tight loop ramp will be replaced with a semi-directional flyover. Two different ramp configurations were considered for the I-95 NB to Route 17 WB/NB ramp: 1) “An Overpass” consisting of a flyover that crosses over Route 17, I-95, and Sanford Drive, and 2) “An Underpass” consisting of a ramp that crosses over Route 17 and then under I-95 (Figure 6-2).
Figure 6-2: Route 17 Interchange – I-95 NB to Route 17 WB/NB Off-Ramp Options
Overpass Option Underpass Option
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Connector Road The Connector Road will serve destinations to the west of I-95 with an ultimate terminus at Route 3 in the vicinity of Gordon Road (about 3.25 miles west of I-95). The total length of the connector road is about 4 miles. Other than the two termini of the Connector Road, only one access point (Interchange A) is proposed in the City of Fredericksburg to serve existing and future commercial and residential development in this area. This access point (Interchange A) will serve commercial areas adjacent to I-95 and is discussed in the next section. Section One of the Connector Road includes the portion from I-95 to Interchange A. Section One is proposed as a 6-lane Principal Arterial to serve the forecasted traffic demand in the year 2035. A median barrier could be considered during design for this section to reduce right-of-way. Section Two of the Connector Road includes the portion from Interchange A to Route 3. This section is proposed as a 4-lane Rural Principal Arterial with “parkway” characteristics such as landscaping, aesthetic treatments, and a multi-use trail. Figure 6-3 illustrates possible typical sections of each section of the Connector Road. The design of the connector road would accommodate open road tolling (no toll booths). Numerous factors were considered to establish the alignment of the Connector Road, such as environmental constraints, impacts to the built environment, topography, and maintenance of property access. Two alignments are currently being considered for the Connector Road as shown in Figure 6-4. Based on a preliminary review of property impacts, environmental constraints, and topography, a preferred alignment will be chosen as part of any subsequent NEPA document. A proposed development (Cornerstone Home Site) north of Route 3 proposes geometric challenges to the connector road; however, an easement has been provided for the purpose of this new roadway.
Median46’
12’12’ 12’12’
110’
CL
Westbound Eastbound
6-Lane Rural Principal Arterial with Controlled Access
4-Lane Divided Rural Principal Arterial with Controlled Access
10’
134’
19’19’
CONNECTOR ROAD TYPICAL SECTIONS
FIGURE 6-3
Median46’
CL
Design Speed = 60 M.P.H.
Design Speed = 60 M.P.H.
8’* 4’* 4’*
12’12’ 12’ 13’ 12’ 12’12’
30’
Clear Zone
13’ 10’ 6’13’
13’
Shoulder Shoulder
8’ 8’
* Additional right of way width may be required for drainage requirements, to tie into existing ground, or for horizontal curves.
30’
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30’
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13’10’6’
Shoulder13’
Shoulder13’
Shoulder
Multi-Use Trail
6.5’2’ Shoulder
30’
Clear Zone
13’ 10’ 6’
Shoulder
8’
8’ 8’
Minimum Right of Way
171.5’ *
Minimum Right of Way
178’ *
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I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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Interchange A to Commercial Areas on Connector Road The only access along the Connector Road would be to commercial areas near I-95 that includes Central Park and Celebrate Virginia. Maintaining uninterrupted flow along the Connector Road requires the access to be an interchange. Figure 6-5 shows one concept of how an interchange (Interchange A) could look at this location. (This configuration was analyzed in Section 6.4 and proved sufficient in handling the projected traffic demand at acceptable levels of service.) Interchange A could consist of an urban diamond interchange with free-flowing traffic on the Connector Road and all turns managed by traffic signals at the ramp termini. Figure 6-4 shows how Interchange A would integrate into the local land use and roadway network. The actual tie-in location with Carl D. Silver Parkway would have to be coordinated with the Celebrate Virginia development. During design additional configurations could be analyzed and evaluated. It is desirable to maximize the distance between the new I-95 ramps and the ramps for Interchange A.
Connector Road Tie In to Route 3 at Gordon Road The Connector Road will tie into Route 3 at the existing tee-intersection at Gordon Road. As discussed in Section 6.4, a grade separated connection (interchange) will be required to handle the large amount of traffic entering and exiting the Connector Road. Figure 6-6 shows one concept of how an interchange could look at this location. (This configuration was analyzed in Section 6.4 and proved sufficient in handling the projected traffic demand at acceptable levels of service.) The connector road would cross over Route 3 and tie into Gordon Road which currently drops in elevation to meet Route 3. A two-way access road would loop around the existing park and ride lot on the southwest corner of the interchange. The existing Route 3/Gordon Road signal would be removed and replaced with three smaller signals; two two-phase signals on Route 3 and a small four approach signal on the Connector Road. Ramps would provide for most movements allowed at the existing Route 3/Gordon Road intersection. The northbound left turn onto Route 3 would now occur at the Harrison Road Intersection with Route 3. As shown in the drawing, the grade separated concept will require some local road closures (Old Plank Road at Gordon Road) and will result in some redistribution of local traffic. During design additional configurations could be analyzed and evaluated. Compliance with VDOT’s access management guidelines and impacts to street closures will need to be further evaluated during design.
Figure 6-5: Interchange A Concept
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6.2 Compliance with Policies and Engineering Standards With exception to the items identified below, the proposed modifications are designed conceptually to meet or exceed current standards for Federal-aid projects on the Interstate System. The current VDOT Road Design Manual and AASHTO A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets (Green Book) guidelines served as the design standards for all design criteria. Survey data was not available to assist with the conceptual design of the proposed improvements, so as the project moves forward some refinements in the design may be required. All new lanes and shoulders on the I-95 mainline, C-D roads, and ramps will be full width. All new ramps connecting to the I-95 mainline will have design speeds of 50 mph or higher with vertical and horizontal alignments that meet or exceed the design speed. All ramp terminal spacings exceed AASHTO minimum standards. There are no limitations in providing adequate acceleration and deceleration lanes for the new I-95 ramps and C-D roads merges and diverges with I-95. Both acceleration and deceleration lanes can exceed 1000 feet in length for all ramps. Minimum ramp curve radii and design speeds are shown below for the new I-95 interchange:
• NB to WB off-ramp: 760’ radius = design speed of 50 m.p.h.
Figure 6-6: Route 3/Connector Road Interchange Concept
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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• EB to NB on-ramp: 760’ radius = design speed of 50 m.p.h. • SB to WB off-ramp: 760’ radius = design speed of 50 m.p.h. • EB to SB off-ramp: 1000’ radius = design speed of 50 m.p.h. • All I-95 new interchange ramps have vertical grades less than 4%
The parallel C-D roads have horizontal alignments that exceed 60 m.p.h. design speeds, but do require up and downgrades of up to 6% going to and from the Rappahannock River which do not meet the 60 m.p.h. design speed. However, the braided ramps associated with each C-D road have vertical grades meeting the requirements of 4% or less. The recommendations for the Route 17 interchange will improve the geometry at the interchange by removing two tight loop ramps (the I-95 NB to Route 17 WB/NB off-ramp and the Route 17 WB/NB to I-95 SB on-ramp). The first is replaced with a directional ramp and the second with a left turn to the existing Route 17 EB/SB to I-95 SB on-ramp. However, two tight loop ramps with curve radii of approximately 250’ (~30 m.p.h. design speed) will remain. Both of these ramps (the I-95 SB to Route 17 EB/SB off-ramp and the Route 17 EB/SB to I-95 NB on-ramp) will be on C-D roads that begin or end at these ramps. There are two other ramps that would not meet our targeted standards:
• I-95 SB to Route 17 WB/NB off-ramp which will diverge from the southbound C-D road: 300’ radius = design speed of 30 m.p.h.
• I-95 NB to Route 17 WB/NB off-ramp which will diverge from the northbound C-D road 760’ radius = design speed of 50 m.p.h. The ramp has a short 6% vertical rise to get over Route 17 and a 3% downgrade.
The connector road has a design speed of 60 m.p.h. and all lane widths, shoulder widths, horizontal and vertical curves will meet VDOT and AASHTO standards.
6.3 Build Traffic Volumes for Preferred Alternative This section documents the development of the future year design traffic for the 2035 Build scenario. There was a significant amount of coordination between VDOT, FHWA, and FAMPO in developing forecast volumes for the study area. The FAMPO travel demand model was used to determine the amount of traffic that would use the new I-95 Interchange and new connector road as well as the amount of traffic that would divert from Route 3 and other roads. The resulting forecast volumes are discussed below. Detailed methodology and detailed forecast volume information can be found in the Appendix D – Preferred Alternative (page D-1). For purposes of this study it was assumed that the Connector Road would operate in a free condition (no tolls). This was deemed to be the “worse case” for purposes of designing enough capacity on the connector road, new interchanges, C-D roads and Route 17 interchange improvements. Based on the analysis in this report, the No-Build Condition represents the worst case for Route 3.
6.3.1 Connector Road and New I-95 Interchange Volumes The model was used to determine the amount of diversion to/from each of the main roads or interchanges that would occur to generate the volumes on the new I-95 interchange ramps and new connector road. Traffic is diverted from the Route 3 interchange, some Route 17 ramps, Cowan Boulevard, Fall Hill Avenue, and the US 1/Jackson Gateway Interchanges. Overall there are several major changes in traffic patterns:
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• A significant portion of traffic that uses Route 3 to travel between I-95 and the Gordon Road Area will now use the new connector road.
• A portion of traffic that uses Route 3 to travel between the Central Park/Celebrate Virginia retail areas and the Gordon Road Area will now use the new connector road.
• A portion of the traffic that travels east to I-95 and uses the Route 1 interchange (Exit 126) and then north on I-95 will now travel north on Gordon Road, cross Route 3 and travel on the new connector road to I-95. This reduces traffic on I-95 between Route 1 and Route 3.
• A portion of traffic from north of the study area that previously utilized the Route 17/I-95 Interchange and travelled east to Route 1 and then used either Fall Hill Avenue or Cowan Boulevard to access the Central Park/Celebrate Virginia retail areas will now use I-95 and the new interchange.
• A portion of the traffic from west of the study area that previously travelled east on Route 17 to Route 1 and then used either Fall Hill Avenue or Cowan Boulevard to access the Central Park/Celebrate Virginia retail areas will now get on I-95 and use the new interchange.
Table 6-1 shows the Build Volumes for the New I-95 Interchange. It is expected that 72,800 vehicles per day will use the new interchange in the design year. The EB to NB on-ramp and SB to WB off-ramp are both expected to serve 30,000 or more vehicles per day while the EB to SB on-ramp and NB to WB off-ramp are both expected to serve under 5,000 vehicles per day. Table 6-2 summarizes the expected 2035 volume for the Connector Road and Table 6-3 for Interchange A. The Connector Road in a non-toll scenario is expected to carry 72,800 vehicles per day between I-95 and Interchange A and 64,500 vehicles per day between Interchange A and Route 3.
Table 6-1: 2035 Build Volumes at the New I-95 Interchange
SB to WB Off Ramp EB to SB On Ramp NB to WB Off Ramp EB to NB On Ramp Total
Daily Volume 34400 4700 3900 29800 72800
AM Peak Hour Volume 940 190 170 2850 4150
PM Peak Hour Volume 3440 370 290 1330 5430
New Interchange @ I-95
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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Table 6-2: 2035 Build Volumes on the New Connector Road
Table 6-3: 2035 Build Volumes at Interchange A
6.3.2 I-95 Mainline and Ramp Traffic Volumes 2035 Build forecast volumes were developed for the I-95 Mainline, including the existing general purpose lanes and the proposed HOT lanes using the methodology discussed in Appendix D – Preferred Alternative (page D-1). HOT lane volumes were not changed from the No-Build forecasts. The HOT lane volumes shown are consistent through the study area between the Route 3 interchange and the Route 17 Interchange. The status of the HOT lanes project is undetermined at this time; however for this study it is assumed access to and from the HOT lanes would occur north of Route 17 or south of Route 3. The resulting I-95 volumes are shown below Table 6-4. As the result of the travel pattern changes discussed in Section 6.3.1, traffic volumes on I-95 are expected to decrease south of Route 3 and increase north of Route 3 when compared to the No-Build Condition. Volumes will decrease on a majority of the Route 3 ramps due to traffic diverting to the new interchange. Some Route 3 ramps providing access east of I-95 will increase slightly from traffic using a less congested I-95 south of Route 3 instead of Route 1. Volumes will increase on some of the Route 17 ramps due to traffic using the interchange ramps instead of passing through the interchange to and from Route 1. Ramp volumes are shown in Figures 6-6B through 6-6D (in Section 6.3.3)
WB Off Ramp WB On Ramp EB Off Ramp EB On Ramp Total
Daily Volume 13600 9000 9800 13500 45900
AM Peak Hour Volume 390 260 290 1290 2230
PM Peak Hour Volume 1320 880 480 670 3350
New Interchange with Connector Road (Interchange A)
Westbound Eastbound Total Westbound Eastbound Total
Daily Volume 38300 34500 72800 33700 30800 64500
AM Peak Hour Volume 1110 3040 4150 980 2020 3000
PM Peak Hour Volume 3730 1700 5430 3290 1510 4800
Connector Road
Between I-95 and Interchange A Between Interchange A and Route 3
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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Table 6-4: I-95 2035 Build Volumes
Note: Volumes in table include HOT lane volumes.
6.3.3 Arterial Roadway Traffic Volumes – Route 3 & Route 17 The diversion of traffic from the Route 3 interchange to the new I-95 interchange results in a substantial reduction of traffic on Route 3 in the Build Condition when compared to the No-Build Condition. Build traffic volumes are expected to decrease by 30% back to approximately the same volume as existing condition. Table 6-5 shows the projected 2035 Build traffic volumes on both Route 3 and Route 17. Build traffic volumes on Route 17 do not change west of the I-95 Interchange when compared to the No-Build Condition. Build volumes east of the I-95/Route 17 interchange decrease slightly due to a small projected reduction in ramp volumes for ramps providing access to and from the east of I-95. Traffic diverted to Interchange A would come from the three intersections on Route 3 nearest I-95 including Bragg Road, Central Park Boulevard, and Carl D. Silver Parkway. The turn movements at the three intersections that would be affected by the new Connector Road include the eastbound left turns into Central Park, the westbound right turns into Central Park, and the southbound left and right turns out of Central Park. The Connector Road will also change the turn movements at the three western intersections on Route 3, Harrison Road, Gordon Road, and Five Mile Extension. Turn movements at the Route 17 intersections do not change from the No-Build Condition with the exception of Intersection #12 (Route 17 and Short Street) which has an overall minimal reduction in through volume. Peak hour turn movement volumes for the study intersections are shown in Figures 6-7A through Figure 6-7D. Intersection volumes are also shown for Intersection #13, a new intersection on Route 17 that is created to provide for a WB/NB Route 17 left turn to the I-95 SB on-ramp. This movement replaces the Route 17 WB/NB to I-95 SB loop on-ramp.
Difference
GP Lanes HOT Lanes Total GP Lanes HOT Lanes Total Total
South of Route 3 174,600 18,300 192,900 163,100 18,300 181,400 -11,500
At River Crossing 226,000 18,300 244,300 247,000 18,300 265,300 21,000
North of US 17 194,000 18,300 212,300 207,600 18,300 225,900 13,600
Daily Volumes
I-952035 No-Build 2035 Build
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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Table 6-5: Arterial Build Volumes
Note: Volumes shown for Route 3 and Route 17 are between the first adjacent intersection and the interchange ramps. This is not the same location as shown in Figures 6-6 B and 6-6D.
Eastbound Westbound Total* Eastbound Westbound Total*
VA 3 - East of I-95 Interchange 39,100 32,100 71,200 38,100 33,500 71,600
VA 3 - West of I-95 Interchange 61,300 55,500 116,800 42,000 32,300 74,400
Northbound Southbound Total* Northbound Southbound Total*
US 17 - East of I-95 Interchange 25,600 30,300 55,900 23,300 31,500 54,800
US 17 - West of I-95 Interchange 61,600 69,800 131,400 61,600 69,800 131,400
Roadway / Location2035 No-Build Forecast Daily Volumes 2035 Build Forecast Daily Volumes
Roadway / Location2035 No-Build Forecast Daily Volumes 2035 Build Forecast Daily Volumes
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I-95 Access Study
Figure 6-7A: 2035 Build ConditionsPeak Hour Volumes
Alternative N5 Full Interchange
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110)
3960
7330
(564
0)[1
0560
0]*
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<
[900
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5500
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[24800]
(2040)
1160
2880
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[39600]
[33500](2510)1760
2360(2420)[38100]
PLANK RD
RIVER RD
LEE
DR
BRA
GG
RD
CH
EWN
ING
LN
KEN
NE
DY
LN
LAFA
YE
TTE
BLV
D
HAZEL CT
GR
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GAT
E R
D
WAVERLY DR
HEA
THE
RS
TON
E D
R
RU
THE
RFO
RD
DR
MA
PLE
GR
OV
E D
R
SALE
M C
HU
RC
H R
D
JEFF
ER
SO
N D
AVIS
HW
Y
SALE
M D
R
BLAKE DR
UP A WAY DR
JACKSON RD
LUCAS ST
TAFT
DR
CH
UR
CH
ILL
DR
NORRIS DR
BUR
GES
S L
N
CLO
VER
DR
DEW
BER
RY D
R
WILBURN DR
ROSS DR
MEEKINS DR
LIN
CO
LN D
R
SHE
RW
OO
D L
N
WOODSIDE DR
DORAN RD
MIL
ESTO
NE
DR
GLA
ZEB
RO
OK
DR
CALHOUN DR
AMO
S LN
ROOSEVELT R
D
FILLMORE LN
PAIGE LN
BONNIE BRAE CT
SAWG
RASS LN
WATSON LN
BAR
KLE
Y D
R
ARTH
UR
LN
EDNAS LN
SHE
RAT
ON
HIL
LS D
R
BRA
NC
HW
ATE
R S
T
VENTURA LN
QUANN CT
GLEN EAGLES DR
HAR
RIS
MILL C
T
KINGSWOOD BLVD
HERITAGE HILLS CIR
CASTLEBRIDGE RD
MCKINLEY DR
BUC
K H
ALL
LN
EISE
NH
OW
ER L
N
BRIM
STO
NE
DR
DOUGLAS ST
MICHAEL CT
FORD RD
HAWTHORNE RD
N ROCK CREEK DR
HEA
THE
RB
RO
OK
CT
PIER
CE
CT
BER
NS
TEIN
RD
CAN
DLE
WO
OD
ST
OLD
SA
LEM
CH
UR
CH
RD
INVER
ARR
Y DR
EDISON CT
REAGAN DR
ACREE AVE
SPOTSYLVANIA MALL DR
VIDALIA ST
CH
AMBER
DR
WOODS HVN
SPYGLASS RD
BUC
HA
NA
N C
T
RAY
NO
LD C
T
STONEWALL RIDG
E CT
S OX
BO
W C
T
BUX
LEY
CT
HOGAN CT
BELL
E M
EA
DE
CT
ARNALL CT
MIC
KEY
CT
SUMNER CT
TRUM
AN CIR
COOLIDGE CT
PLANK RD
LIN
CO
LN D
R
JEFF
ER
SO
N D
AVIS
HW
Y
BRAG
G R
D
FILLMO
RE
LN
KINGSWOOD BLVD
LEE
DR
I-95
S
I-95
N
WILLIAM ST
COWAN BLVD
RIVER RD
JEFF
ER
SO
N D
AVIS
HW
Y
IDLEWILD BLVD
COLLEG
E AVE
LAFA
YETT
E BL
VD
PLANK RD
GAT
EW
AY B
LVD
HANOVER ST
LITTLEPAGE ST
CARL D SILVER PKWY
GREENG
ATE
AVE
STAFFORD AVE
BLUE & GRAY PKWY
CEN
TRAL
PAR
K BL
VD
AUGUSTINE AVE
FRAN
KLIN ST
TRADE ST
PAYNE ST
BRENT ST
ALTO
ON
A D
R
ROWE ST
KENM
OR
E AVE
COMMERCE ST
FALL
HIL
L AV
E
GR
EEN
BR
IER
DR
ALUM SPRING RD
CEN
TRA
L RD
BRA
EH
EA
D D
R
TYLER ST
SILVER ST
SPRINGWOOD DR
WRIG
HT CT
SUMMIT ST
GRAHAM DR
DANDRIDGE ST
SAUNDERS DR
SUN
KE
N R
D
CORNELL ST
HAYS S
T
MANOR DR
BEV
ER
LY D
RKE
EN
ELA
ND
RD
BRISCOE LN
WA
LKE
R D
R
STUART ST
JEFF
DAV
IS S
ERV
ICE
RD
S
RAIN
ES D
R
PERRY ST
WIL
DERNES
S LN
CENTURY OAK DR
ELLI
S AVE
DALE ST
GREENWAY DRAPACHE TER
OA
KWO
OD
ST
HUNT LN
POWHATAN ST
GO
OD
LOE
DR
GREAT O
AKS LN
MONROE ST
ROYSTON ST
DOW
NMAN PL
PAWNEE DR
GROVE AVE
SEACOBECK ST
SPO
TSY
LVA
NIA
AVE
TWIN
LAKE DR
MAURY ST
SYLVANIA AVE
PELHAM ST
AND
ER
SO
N S
T
RAPPAHANNO
CK AVE
ARMORY DR
WE
STW
OO
D D
R
THORNTON ST
KINLO
CK
DR
TAYLO
R ST
GENTHER LN
LLOYD LN
TOW
NSEND B
LVD
PATR
ICK S
T
HEARTHSTONE DR
HOKE LN
MADISON ST
HIGHLAND RD
PIC
KE
TT S
T
RETAIL DR
MARYE ST
WASH
ING
TON
AVE
CANNON CIR
BEVERLY LN
WO
OD
LAN
D R
D
BUCKNER ST
POPLAR DR
CARRIAGE LN
MO
NCURE STSNOWDEN ST
WILCOX AVE
BROMPTON ST
PRESERVE LN
JEFF
DAV
IS S
ERV
ICE
RD
N
SENECA TER
COLO
NY RD
BELMONT PL
HICKORY CT
YATES CIR
ADAIR ST
JUBAL EARLY DR
HARKNESS BLVD
MAT
OC
A C
T
HIGH
ST
ST PAUL ST
MAR
KET ST
KIN
GS
MIL
L C
T
FITZHUGH ST
WARFIELD PL
CHANCELLOR PL
PICK
ETT
CIR
MA
NO
R C
T
CARL D S
ILVER P
KWY
POWHATAN ST
DANDRIDGE ST
SUN
KEN R
D
876
5
4
Figure 6-7B: 2035 Build ConditionsPeak Hour Volumes
Alternative N5 Full Interchange
Plank Rd
Ro
ute
63
9
!4
Route 3
Bra
gg R
d
/3
1
/ 31
/3 1 /3
1
100
(14
0)
130
(31
0)60
(170
)
150
(170
)
90
(260
)40
(1
30)
190 (250)
290 (170)2400 (1560)
Plank Rd
Ga
tew
ay
Blv
dR
out
e 6
93
!7
Route 3
Ra
mse
ur
St
/3
1/ 31
/3 1
/3
110
(10)
30
(5)
5
(
5)
140
(28
0)
310
(40
0) 1
0
(5) 430 (600)
40 (40)1970 (2200)
Plank Rd
Ma
ll D
r
!5
Route 3
Ce
ntra
lP
ark
Blv
d
/3
1
/ 31
/3 1 /3
1
0
(13
0)
50
(230
)20
(25
0)
220
(55
0)
10
(11
0)40
(
140) 70 (140)
250 (250)2480 (1330)
Plank Rd
Ma
ll C
t
!6
Route 3
Ca
rl D
Silv
erP
kwy
/3
1
/ 31
/3 1
/3
1
270
(106
0)
40
(200
)
10
(
20)
30
(40)
20
(30)
10
(10
)
20 (20)
140 (220)2910 (1760)
Plank Rd
Alt
oon
a D
r
!8
Route 3
Ma
hon
e D
r
/3
1
/ 31
/3 1
/3
1
70
(50)
20
(20)
0
(
10)
40
(40)
50
(100
)10
(
10)
20 (50)
40 (80)2250 (2330)
I-95 Access Study
RAMP PEAK HOUR VOLUMES
600 (530) [8800]
1600 (750) [16800]
220 (400) [5300]
1050 (620) [11500]
500 (1830) [18400]
310 (590) [7200]
510 (720) [9700]
270 (520) [6800]
&I
&L
&J
&K
&M
&P
&N
&O
200 (170)
100 (330)940 (1470)
130 (680)
30 (80) 1090 (1520)
30 (50)
610 (1220) 1000 (2230)
140 (290)
10 (0) 1940 (2080)
40 (40)
20 (30) 1700 (2440)
AM (PM) [DAILY]
Ü
Legend
Analyzed Intersection
Proposed Build Alternative
Roadways
Corporate Boundary
Streams
Water
Wetlands
#
Mainline volumes includeHot Lane volumes
NB: 2460 (0) [6700]SB: 0 (2480) [11550]
2,000 0 2,0001,000 Feet
2035 VolumesAM Volume (PM Volume) [Dai ly Volume]
Note: Intersection volumes may not exactlybalance between intersection due todriveways and variance in actual peak hour(worst case analyzed)
*
Page 104
&L&M
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[1041
00]*
(8110
)39
6073
30(56
40)
[1056
00]*
<
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<
&T
&S
&Q
&X&W
&Y
&R
&Z&U
&V
[3370
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90)
980
2020
(1510
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800]
[3830
0](37
30)
1110
3020
(1700
)[34
500]
CD[37
800]
(3710
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90
CD 2840
(1330
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800]
Mainl
ine*
[8600
0](74
70)
3630
Mainl
ine*
7160
(5350
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1700
]
<
<
<
<
I95N
I95S
CAMB
RIDGE
ST
LENDALL LN
WARRENTON RD
INGL
ESID
E DR
MELCHERS DR
BLAISDELL LN
TRUS
LOW
RD
SCOTTS FORD LN
CELE
BRAT
E VA P
KWY
CHAPS LN
KING ST
WYNE DR
RIVER RD
BUTLER RD
WASHINGTON ST CARTER ST
FORBES ST
WALTER CIR
SANFORD FERRY CT
CARRIAGE HILL DR
QUARLES RD
ANVI
L RD
TRAIL RIDGE LN
COLO
NIAL A
VEWALL ST
GAYLE ST
MAGN
OLIA
CT
EDISON LN
HENDERSON ST
CHRI
STIA
N CT
PATRICK PL
I95S
RIVER RD
BRAG
G RD
GREE
NGAT
E RD
VENTURA LN
ARGA
LL LN
VIDALIA ST
I-95 SI-95 N
FALL HILL AVE
COWAN BLVDRIVER RD
CARL
D S
ILVER
PKW
Y
JEFF
ERSO
N DAV
IS HW
Y
WASHINGTON AVE
SUNKEN RD
CHARLES STCAROLINE ST
HANSO
N AVE
WOODFORD ST
FRANKLIN ST
LITTLEPAGE ST
PRINCESS ANNE ST
PELHAM ST
RIVERSID
E DR
COLLEGE AVE
VIRGINIA AVE
KENMORE AVE
BRISCOE LN
PITT ST
BUNKER HILL ST
ROWE ST
WALLACE ST
CORNELL ST
CURTIS ESTS
GERMANIA STPROGRESS ST
NORMANDY AVE
HUNTER ST
MANOR DR
ROFF
MAN
RD
LINDEN AVE
AUGUSTINE AVE
BRIDGEWATER ST
SAM PE
RRY BLV
D
MARY WASHINGTON BLVD ELM ST
STUART ST
WINCHESTER ST
WICKLOW DR
DALE ST
CENTRAL PARK BLVD
POWHATAN ST
FORBES ST
MONROE ST
HAWKE STGROVE AVE
MAURY ST
AMARET
ST
CADMUS DR
STAFFORD AVE
VILLAGE LN
ALBERT REYNOLDS DR
MADISON ST
LEWIS ST
WESTON LN FOREST VLG
RANN CT
PARCELL ST
HERITAGE PARK
RETAIL DR
CARRIAGE LN
HOSPITALITY LN
SNOWDEN STMARY BALL ST
PRESERVE LN
BRAGG HILL DR
BELMONT PL
CRESTVIEW WAY
GREEN ST
FORD ST
FREE
DOM
LN
BAKERSFIELD LN
GREY
STON
E CT
FITZHUGH ST
HARRIS CTDENT
ON C
IR
MANOR CT
FALL HILL AVE
CHARLES ST
Figure 6-7C: 2035 Build ConditionsPeak Hour Volumes
Alternative N5 Full Interchange
I-95 Access Study
RAMP PEAK HOUR VOLUMES
940 (3440) [34400]180 (370) [4700]150 (270) [3400]150 (270) [3400]390 (1320) [13600]260 (880) [9000]290 (480) [9800]1290 (670) [13500]
AM (PM) [DAILY]
Ü
LegendAnalyzed IntersectionProposed Build AlternativeRoadwaysCorporate Boundary
StreamsWaterWetlands
#
170 (290) [3900] 2840 (1330) [29800]
&S
&V
&T&U
&W
&Z
&X&Y
&Q&R
New I-95Interchange
Interchange A
* Mainline volumes includeHot Lane volumes
NB: 2460 (0) [6700]SB: 0 (2480) [11550]
2,000 0 2,0001,000 Feet
2035 VolumesAM Volume (PM Volume) [Dai ly Volume]
Orange Alignment
Purple Alignment
Page 105
&H&G
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(371
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90
CD
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9800
]
Mai
nlin
e*[9
6000
](7
470)
3630
Mai
nlin
e*71
60(5
350)
[101
700]
WARRENTON RD
TRUSLOW RD
CAM
BRID
GE
ST
SANFORD DR
CELEBRATE VA PKWY
GRE
ENBA
NK R
D
KELLEY RD
FALLS RUN DR
LENDALL LN
ME
LCH
ER
S D
R
POW
ELL
LN
FORBES S
T
RIVE
RSID
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WY
BLAISD
ELL LN
PEGS LN
MUS
SELM
AN R
D
LONG
PO
INT
DR
ANV
IL R
D
DENISON ST
BEA
GLE
RD
COMMERCE PKW
Y
SOU
TH G
ATEW
AY D
R
PLANTA
TION D
RMCWHIRT LOOP
OLD
E FO
RG
E D
R
NATCHEZ LNLE
WAY
DR TOMORROW
ST
MCLANE D
R
CH
APS
LN
GOLDCUP DR
CASTLE HILL DRHYANNIS
PL
RV P
KWY
SAM
UEL
S L
N
CAPITAL AVE
QUARLES RD
ENG
LAND
RU
N LN
WYN
E DR
NELMS CIR
WYTHE CT
THOMAS LN
SEBRING DR
CAR
RIA
GE
HILL D
R
SPRING VALLEY DR
RIDG
EMORE
ST
ADAIR DR
LANCELOT LN
LUDINGTON LN
BELLOWS AVE
DUST
Y LN
ROCKY RUN RD
LICHFIE
LD B
LVD
IRAS LN
EXIT 95S TO W
ARRENTON N17
PERRY ST
WIN
TERBERRY DR
ENT 95N F
ROM W
ARRENTON 17
LIMERICK LN
GO
OD NEIG
HBOR LN
OLD FALLS RD
AMBROSE L
N
TRO
TTER
LN
VIRGINIA AVE
WALTER CIR
FAIT
H DR
MELVIN DR
MO
NTE
RA
AVE
PAU
L LN
KELLEY H
ILL LN
SANFORD FERRY CT
JOHNSON M
ILL RDG
MEN
DOTA
WAY
PIT
RD
CROWN LN
SAPPHIRE ST
CLEARVIEW AVE
BATTER
Y PO
INT D
R
BLACKBERRY LN
LYNDALE CT
JEWETT LN
EXCALIBER CIR
SNELLINGS LN
STANSTEAD RD
MANNING DR
MA
RC
H C
T
OVERLOOK CT
EXIT 9
5N T
O WARRENTO
N N17
TRADE ST
GREEN TREE R
D
BLAKE MEADOW LN
COE LN
GARNET WAY
EXIT
95N
TO W
ARREN
TON R
D 17
SLED
GEH
AMM
ER D
R
VIO
LAS
LN
HEWITT LN
MANOR LN
ENGLAND POINTE DR
LOU LN
THELMA LN
HORN
ETS
NEST
LN
PULTE DR
BEEJAY DR
BARROWS CT
JONES LN
SMOKEHOUSE DR
KRIE
GE
R L
N
LIGHTNING MAPLE LN
ROBINSON LN
SOLOMON DR
NATALI
E WAY
GAYLE S
T
ETHY
L LN
TABLE
BLU
FF DR
EARLS
LNLI
MO
X LN
HENDERSON ST
SCH
OO
LER
LOO
P
CH
RIS
TIA
N C
T
PATRICK PL
9
13
12
11
10
!12
Route 17Bus
8 (5) [15]
!10
!11
Figure 6-7D: 2035 Build ConditionsPeak Hour Volumes
Alternative N5 Full Interchange
I-95 Access Study
!12
ÜLegend
Analyzed Intersection
Proposed Build
Roadways
Corporate Boundary
Streams
Water
Wetlands
#
Warrenton RdComm
uter
Park i
ng L
ot
!9
Route 17 Falls
Run
Dr
Route
618
/
31 /
31
/
31
/
31
100
(440
)
60
(100
)
10
(5)
90 (
530)
0
(280
)0
(0)
80 (10)
80 (60)
2840 (3380)
170 (110)
360 (140)
3260 (3160)
Warrenton RdHarde
e's
Acces
s
Route 17
McL
ane
Dr
/
31
/
31
/
31
/
31
50
(60
)
20
(30
)
5
(10)
10
(10
)
30
(20
) 1
0 (
5)
40 (20) 40 (30)
2960 (3890) 30 (20)
60 (30)
3670 (3700)
Warrenton Rd
San
ford
Dr
Rou
te 6
70
Route 17
Sta
nste
ad R
dR
oute
105
0
/3
1 /31
/3 1
/3
170
(11
0)
30
(10
) 10
0
(30)
390
(135
0)
90
(50
)10
(
10)
480 (530)
190 (140)3620 (2960)
30 (70) 20 (
10)
2950 (3660)
Dri
vew
ay
/3
1/ 31
/3 1 /3
1
Warrenton Rd
Sho
rt S
tR
oute
103
4
Route 17Bus
/3
1/ 31
/3 1 /3
1
5
(5)
20
(10)
0
(5)
20
(40)
130
(110
) 0
(
5)
70 (120)
10 (10)1470 (2520)
20 (20)
5 (5)1530 (1380)
RAMP PEAK HOUR VOLUMES
&A 210 (300) [5000]
&B 1020 (570) [11100]
&C 2580 (1990) [31500]
&D 470 (370) [6900]
&E 700 (790) [12500]
&F REMOVED
&G 380 (530) [7100]
&H 1360 (2180) [31100]
AM (PM) [DAILY]
!12
Route 17Bus
51 (70) [59]
8 (5) [15]1035 (1636) [1182]
!13
31
/1
Warrenton Rd
I-95
Ram
p
Route 17Bus
31
/1 1430 (2740)
1980 (2380) 210 (280)
1700 (1640)
Mainline volumes includeHot Lane volumes
NB: 2460 (0) [6700]SB: 0 (2480) [11550]
2,000 0 2,0001,000 Feet
2035 VolumesAM Volume (PM Volume) [Dai ly Volume]
Note: Intersection volumes may not exactlybalance between intersection due todriveways and variance in actual peak hour(worst case analyzed)
*
Page 106
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
Page 107
6.4 Preferred Alternative Traffic Operations This section presents the traffic operations for the Preferred Alternative, N5 with a Full Interchange. The 2035 Build conditions were completed for the key intersections, I-95 Mainline, and I-95 Ramp Junctions that were analyzed for the 2008 Existing Conditions (See Chapter 2) and 2035 No-Build Conditions (See Chapter 3), as well as the new interchange and connector road. Detailed HCS output files are contained in Appendix D – Preferred Alternative (starting on Page D-32). I-95 Mainline, CD Road and Ramp Operations 2035 Build level of service analyses were also performed for the Weekday AM / PM peak hours for northbound and southbound I-95 Mainline segments and at ramp junctions (merge, diverge, and weave) in the study area using HCS+ Ramp Junction software, HCS+ Weaving Analysis software, CORSIM micro-simulation software. The 2035 Build traffic forecasts developed in Section 6.3 were used in the analyses. Findings for the mainline and ramp analyses are discussed below and shown in Figure 6-8. Detailed HCS+ mainline and ramp junction analysis reports are presented in the Appendix D – Preferred Alternative (starting on Page D-33). Northbound I-95 There is significant improvement in level of service for northbound I-95 mainline segments and ramp junctions when compared to the No-Build Conditions. Most of the segments were operating at LOS F in the AM and PM peak hours under 2035 No-Build conditions and these segments have improved to LOS C and D in the AM peak and LOS D in the PM peak. However, north of Route 17 the LOS drops from LOS E to LOS F due to the projected higher traffic volumes during the AM peak hour when compared to the No-Build condition. (Although the travel demand model shows a significant shift in traffic from Route 1 to I-95 due to the preferred alternative, it is unlikely that a significant shift would occur. Expected congestion north of Route 17 as shown in the No-Build Condition would discourage this shift until capacity improvements are made north of the interchange.) During the PM peak hour, I-95 is still expected to operate at LOS E between the new interchange and Route 3 during the PM peak hour. The new C-D road across the Rappahannock River is expected to operate at LOS D and B for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. Southbound I-95 In the southbound direction, similar improvements in LOS are expected. During the AM peak hour, movements that are predominately LOS D in the No-Build Condition become LOS A, B, or C for mainline segments and ramp junctions in the Build Condition. During the PM peak hour, movements that are predominately LOS F in the No-Build Condition become LOS D for mainline segments and ramp junctions in the Build Condition. North of Route 17, the LOS remains LOS F due to the projected higher traffic volumes during the PM peak hour when compared to the No-Build condition. (Although the travel demand model shows a significant shift in traffic from Route 1 to I-95 due to the preferred alternative, it is unlikely that a significant shift would occur. Expected congestion north of Route 17 as shown in the No-Build Condition would discourage this shift until capacity improvements are made north of the interchange.) The new C-D road across the Rappahannock River is expected to operate at LOS B and E for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. The SB to WB off-ramp at Route 3 is expected to remain at LOS F during the PM peak hour, however, the density is expected to decrease to about half that expected for the No-Build Condition.
Roadway Location Analysis TypeVehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
Vehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
I-95 NBMainline South of Route 3 Interchange
Mainline Segment 1 19.2 67.0 C 34.2 61.1 D
I-95 NB Diverge to Route 3 EB D-1 20.8 61.3 C 30.5 61.9 DRoute 3 EB Merge to I-95 NB - Weave
I-95 NB diverge to Route 3 W B - WeaveRoute 3 W B Merge to I-95 NB M-1 26.3 59.5 C 28.4 58.0 D
I-95 NBMainline
Route 3 to New Interchange(South of Rappahannock River)
Mainline Segment 2 32.5 63.5 D 39.8 57.4 E
I-95 NB Diverge to Connector Road WB D-7 27.0 62.9 C 31.0 62.6 DC/D Road across River CD-1 27.0 64.7 D 12.4 65.5 B
CD Road split to I-95 and Route 17 D-8 25.3 54.0 C 9.2 54.9 AConnector Road EB Merge to I-95 NB M-7 30.7 54.5 D 33.1 50.9 D
I-95 NBMainline
New Interchange to Route 17(North of Rappahannock River)
Mainline Segment 3 29.2 66.1 D 34.9 61.6 D
I-95 NB diverge to I-95 C/D Roadway D-2 21.8 56.5 C 22.2 57.7 CNew Ramp merge with Route 17 Ramp M-8 26.2 50.2 C 17.8 51.9 B
I-95 C/D Roadway diverge to Route 17 Bus SB D-3 29.0 55.4 D 19.8 55.2 BRoute 17 Bus NB merge to I-95 C/D Roadway M-2 16.3 47.8 B 9.9 47.9 A
I-95 C/D Roadway merge to I-95 NB M-3 40.2 29.9 F 31.5 54.3 DI-95 NBMainline North of Route 17 Interchange
Mainline Segment 4 75.2 35.7 F 38.9 57.4 E
New Interchange Ramps
Route 17 Interchange Ramps
Northbound I-95 Mainline & Ramp Analysis2035 Build - N5 Full Interchange
AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour
Route 3 Interchange Ramps
W-1 33.1 38.3 D 34.5 47.7 D
Roadway Location Analysis TypeVehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
Vehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
I-95 SBMainline North of Route 17 Interchange
Mainline Segment 4 28.1 65.2 D 117.9 24.2 F
I-95 SB diverge to Route 17 C/D Roadway D-4 27.3 59.5 C 46.2 59.4 FC/D Roadway diverge to Route 17 NB D-9 7.5 54.2 A 9.2 54.2 ARoute 17 NB/SB merge to I-95 SB M-4 7.7 68.1 A 15.9 60.0 B
I-95 SBMainline
Route 17 to New Interchange Ramps(North of Rappahannock River)
Mainline Segment 3 23.1 69.4 C 32.1 63.9 D
I-95 SB Diverge to C/D Roadway D-10 7.1 64.4 A 25.6 58.2 CRoute 17 Merge to C/D Roadway M-9 10.2 55.7 B 34.5 45.4 D
C/D Road across River CD-2 11.0 65.5 B 41.7 54.8 EC/D Roadway to WB Connector Road Off Ramp D-5 7.7 66.6 A 34.6 66.3 D
Connector Road EB Merge to I-95 SB M-10 21.8 62.1 C 30.1 57.1 DRest Area - Merge to I-95 SB M-5 23.2 61.6 C 31.9 55.8 D
I-95 SBMainline
Rest Area to Route 3(South of Rappahannock River)
Mainline Segment 2 18.7 70.0 C 27.8 67.1 D
I-95 SB Diverge to Route 3 W B D-6 18.8 61.8 B 29.7 57.7 FRoute 3 W B Merge to I-95 SB - WeaveI-95 SB diverge to Route 3 EB - Weave
Route 3 EB Merge to I-95 SB M-6 20.3 62.5 C 22.4 61.8 CI-95 SBMainline South of Route 3 Interchange
Mainline Segment 1 24.1 66.7 C 26.3 66.0 D
E 42.6 42.6 E
Route 17 Interchange Ramps
New Interchange Ramps
Route 3 Interchange Ramps
W-4 35.6 47.3
Southbound I-95 Mainline & Ramp Analysis2035 Build - N5 Full Interchange
AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour
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Although all the expected operational problems are not solved on I-95, significant improvements in operating conditions are expected with the construction of the Preferred Alternative. Additional mainline lanes on I-95 beyond those proposed for the C-D Roads will be required to bring deficient segments up to an acceptable LOS. Any additional lanes will need to be continuous and extend many miles north of the existing project area. The proposed preferred alternative will not prevent these further improvements from being implemented in the future.
Route 3 and Route 17 Intersection Operations The AM and PM peak hours at each of the study intersections along Route 3 and Route 17 were analyzed to identify expected deficiencies under the Build Conditions. It is assumed that the traffic signal timings and phases would be optimized in the future to best accommodate the expected 2035 Build Traffic volumes (discussed in Section 6.3). Similar to the existing conditions chapter, a brief discussion of each intersection is provided to identify the main causes of any deficiency. A summary of the 2035 Build level of service (LOS), compared to 2035 No-Build Conditions, is shown below in 6-6. Individual movements operating at LOS E or F are identified in Table 6-6 and considered operating at a “poor” level of service. HCS output files are provided in Appendix D – 2035 Build Conditions (starting on page D-99). Intersection #1 (Route 3 & Harrison Rd / Shopping Center): Delay is expected to increase slightly when compared to the No-Build Condition due to increased traffic volumes associated with traffic diverting from River Road to use the new Connector Road. Most approaches and movements during the AM peak hour are expected to operate at LOS D or better. The minor approach left turns are expected to operate at a LOS E or F. During the PM peak hour, the eastbound and westbound left turns are expected to operate at LOS E or F as well as the minor approaches. Intersection #2 (Route 3 & Gordon Rd): Due to the proposed connector road a fourth leg is added to this intersection. Overall the intersection (as an at-grade intersection) is expected to operate at LOS E and LOS F during the AM and PM peak hours respectively. It is recommended that to improve traffic operations the preferred alternative include an interchange between Route 3 and the Connector Road/Gordon Road. The traffic operations associated with the proposed interchange are discussed later in this section. Intersection #3 (Route 3 & Five Mile Rd Ext.): Overall the intersection is expected to operate significantly better when compared to the No-Build Condition. LOS F’s (in No-Build Condition) are expected to be improved to LOS C and LOS D for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. The expected reduction in volumes through the intersection is expected to reduce the delay by 77% and 55% for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. Only some minor movements are expected to operate at LOS E or F. Intersection #4 (Route 3 & Bragg Rd): Overall the intersection is expected to operate significantly better when compared to the No-Build Condition. LOS F’s (in No-Build Condition) are expected to be improved to LOS D for the AM and PM peak hours. The expected reduction in volumes through the intersection is expected to reduce the delay by 68% and 75% for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. Minor approach movements are expected to operate at LOS E or F.
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Intersection #5 (Route 3 & Mall Dr / Central Park Blvd): Overall the intersection is expected to operate significantly better when compared to the No-Build Condition. LOS Fs (in No-Build Condition) are expected to be improved to LOS D and LOS E for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. The expected reduction in volumes through the intersection is expected to reduce the delay by 73% and 55% for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. Intersection #6 (Route 3 & Mall Ct / Carl D Silver Pkwy): Overall the intersection is expected to operate significantly better when compared to the No-Build Condition. LOS F (in No-Build Condition) is expected to be improved to LOS E for the PM peak hour. The expected reduction in volumes through the intersection is expected to reduce the delay by 61% and 46% for the AM and PM peak hours respectively. Only some minor movements are expected to still operate at LOS E or F. Intersection #7 (Route 3 & Gateway Blvd / Ramseur St): Delay is expected to increase slightly when compared to the No-Build Condition due to increased traffic volumes associated with traffic diverting from Route 1 to use Route 3. Most approaches and movements during the AM peak hour are expected to operate at LOS D or better except for the left turn movements which are expected to operate at LOS E or F. Intersection #8 (Route 3 & Altoona Dr / Mahone Dr): Delay is expected to not change significantly between the Build and No-Build conditions. The AM peak hour is expected to be free from any major deficiencies at this intersection. The eastbound left, westbound thru, northbound and southbound approaches are expected to experience operational problems in the PM peak hour with the overall intersection operating at LOS E. Intersection #9 (Route 17 & Commuter Parking Lot / Falls Run Dr): Traffic volumes and operations do not change been the Build and No-Build Conditions. Overall the intersection is expected to operate at LOS E and LOS F during the AM and PM peak hours respectively. The EB and WB minor approaches are expected to remain at LOS E or F in the AM and PM peak hour. The Route 17 WB/NB and EB/SB left turns and thru movements from Route 17 are also operating at a LOS E or F. Intersection #10 (Route 17 & Hardee's Access / McLane Dr): Traffic volumes and operations do not change been the Build and No-Build Conditions. Overall the intersection is expected to operate at LOS B and LOS F during the AM and PM peak hours respectively. The Route 17 WB/NB left and Route 17 EB/SB left and minor approaches are expected to operate at LOS E or F in the AM and PM peak hours. The Route 17 EB/SB thru movement is also expected to operate at F in the PM peak hour. Intersection #11 (Route 17 & Sanford Dr): Traffic volumes and operations do not change been the Build and No-Build Conditions. Overall the intersection is expected to operate at LOS F during the AM and PM peak hours. All of the minor approach movements (NB and SB) are expected to operate at LOS E or F in the AM peak hour. The Route 17 EB/SB left and thru and WB/NB left turn movements are expected operate at LOS E or F in the AM peak hour. The route 17 EB/SB and WB/NB left turns and thru movements, along with the northbound minor right and entire southbound minor approach movements are expected to operate at LOS E or F in the PM peak hour.
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Intersection #12 (Route 17 & Short St / Driveway): Delay is expected to decrease slightly when compared to the No-Build Condition due to decreased traffic volumes associated with traffic diverting from Route 1 to I-95. Overall the intersection is expected to operate at LOS C and LOS F during AM and PM peak hours respectively. Most movements at this intersection are currently operating at LOS D or better in the AM peak hour. The northbound minor left/thru shared lane is expected to operate at LOS E in the AM peak hour. During the PM peak hour, the Route 17 EB/SB left-thru shared lane and all movements in the northbound minor approach are expected to operate at a poor LOS. Proposed Intersection #13 (Route 17 & EB to SB I-95 On-Ramp): This proposed intersection is a split intersection that should be controlled by a single controller. WB/NB Route 17 movement is uninterrupted. This intersection replaces the Route 17 WB/NB to I-95 SB on-loop ramp. The intersection is expected to operate at LOS B and LOS C during the AM and PM peak hours respectively. Generally, the intersection level of service under the Build Condition is expected to significantly improve along Route 3 because traffic volumes on Route 3 are expected to drop by approximately 30 percent when compared to the No-Build Condition. However, there are still expected to be some traffic operational problems at the intersections. Traffic operations at the Route 17 intersections are not expected to change much at all between the Build and No-Build Conditions.
Connector Road Operations
There are no significant operational problems expected with the proposed Connector Road or its interchange (Interchange A) providing access to the commercial areas near I-95. As shown in Table 6-7, the proposed Connector Road is expected to operate at LOS C or better eastbound and LOS D or better westbound with speeds of 55 mph being maintained except at Interchange A where they drop to 48 mph. The signalized intersections that will be created with a diamond interchange for Interchange A are expected to operate at LOS C or better during both peak periods (see Table 6-8). HCS output files are shown in Appendix D – Preferred Alternative (page D-126).
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Table 6-6: 2035 Build Level of Service for Study Intersections (All results are from HCS)
Intersection LOS Delay (s)Intersection
LOSDelay (s) Intersection LOS Delay (s)
Movements withLOS E or F
Intersection LOS Delay (s)Movements with
LOS E or F
1 VA 3 & Harrison Rd (Route 620) / Shopping Center C 32.7 C 34.0 D 36.0- NB Left- SB Left
C 34.5
- EB Left- WB Left
- NB Left, Thru, Right- SB Left, Right
10.1% 1.5%
2 VA 3 & Gordon Rd (Route 627) E 79.9 F 100.5 E 74.3- WB Right
- NB Left, Thru, Right - SB Right
F 244.5
- EB Left, Thru, Right- WB Left, Thru, Right
- NB Left- SB Left, Right
-7.0% 143.3%
3 VA 3 & Five Mile Rd Ext. (Route 610) F 112.2 F 99.1 C 26.0 -NB Right D 44.5- SB Left/Thru, Right
-76.8% -55.1%
4 VA 3 & Bragg Rd (Route 639) F 115.7 F 146.4 D 37.0 - NB Left, Thru, Right- SB Left, Thru, Right
D 36.5
- EB Left- WB Left
- NB Left, Thru, Right- SB Thru
-68.0% -75.1%
5 VA 3 & Mall Dr / Central Park Blvd F 117.3 F 175.9 D 31.6- EB Thru
- NB Thru/Left, RightE 79.8
- EB Thru- WB Left
- NB Left, Thru, Right-73.1% -54.6%
6 VA 3 & Mall Ct / Carl D Silver Pkwy D 41.7 F 116.8 B 16.2 - NB Right E 62.6
- EB Left- WB Left- NB Right
- SB Left, Thru, Right
-61.2% -46.4%
7 VA 3 & Gateway Blvd (Route 693) / Ramseur St C 24.4 D 44.4 C 27.9- EB Left- WB Left- NB Left,
D 48.9- EB Left- WB Left
- NB Left, Thru, Right14.3% 10.1%
8 VA 3 & Altoona Dr / Mahone Dr C 28.5 E 61.8 C 27.1 None E 64.3
- EB Left- WB Thru
- NB Left, Thru, Right- SB Left/Thru/Right
-4.9% 4.0%
9US 17 & Commuter Parking Lot / Falls Run Dr
(Route 618)E 72.5 F 152.2 E 72.5
- EB Left/Thru, Right- WB Left, Thru, Right
- WB/NB Left, Thru- EB/SB Left
F 152.2
- EB Left/Thru, Right- WB Left, Thru, Right
- WB/NB Left, Thru- EB/SB Left, Thru
0.0% 0.0%
10 US 17 & Hardee's Access / McLane Dr B 11.7 F 81.9 B 11.7
- EB Left/Thru, Right- WB Left, Thru, Right-
WB/NB Left, Thru- EB/SB Left
F 81.9
- EB Left/Thru, Right- WB Left, Thru, Right'- '-
WB/NB Left- EB/SB Left, Thru
0.0% 0.0%
11 US 17 & Sanford Dr (Route 670) F 194.9 F 488.0 F 194.9
- EB/SB Left, Thru- WB/NB Left
- NB Left, Thru, Right- SB Left, Thru, Right
F 488.0
- EB/SB Left, Thru- WB/NB Left, Thru
- NB Right- SB Left, Thru, Right
0.0% 0.0%
12 US 17 & Short St (Route 1034)/ Driveway C 21.8 F 100.1 C 20.5 - NB Left/Thru F 81.0- EB Left/Thru
- NB Left/Thru, Right-6.0% -19.1%
13 US 17 & I-95 SB on-ramp N/A N/A N/A N/A B 10.3 None C 26.2 WB/NB Left N/A N/A
Note: Intersections 1-8 major movement is EB-WB; Intersections 9-12, major movement is WB/NB-EB/SB due to the diagonal alignment of Route 17. Minor approaches at Intersections 1-8, 11-12 is NB-SB. Minor approaches at intersections 9-10 is EB-WB.
Level of service is from HCS software.
Intersection#
Intersection
2035 No-Build Conditions % Difference from No-Build
AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour
AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour
2035 Build Conditions - Alternative N5 with Full New Interchange
PM Peak HourAM Peak Hour
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Table 6-7: 2035 Level of Service for Connector Road
Table 6-8: 2035 Level of Service for Interchange A
Route 3/ Connector Road Interchange Operations There are no expected operational problems with the proposed Route 3 / Connector Road Interchange. As shown in Table 6-9, the three intersections that make up the proposed
Roadway LocationVehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
Vehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
Connector Rd Mainline West of Arterial Interchange 21.6 55.0 C 16.2 55.0 B
Connector Rd EB Diverge to Arterial SB 15.7 49.0 B 10.5 48.8 B
Arterial Merge to Connector Rd EB 26.6 49.4 C 16.4 51.0 B
Connector Rd Mainline East of Arterial Interchange 24.5 55.0 C 13.5 55.0 B
Roadway LocationVehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
Vehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Level of Service(LOS)
Connector Rd Mainline East of Arterial Interchange 9.5 55.0 A 30.0 55.0 D
Connector Rd WB Diverge to Arterial SB 8.6 48.8 A 32.4 47.6 D
Arterial Merge to Connector Rd WB 8.1 52.0 A 28.9 49.0 D
Connector Rd Mainline West of Arterial Interchange 10.5 55.0 A 34.9 55.5 D
Arterial Diamond Interchange Ramps
Eastbound Connector Rd Mainline & Ramp Analysis
Arterial Diamond Interchange Ramps
Westbound Connector Rd Mainline & Ramp Analysis
Intersection LOS Delay (s)Movements LOS
E or FIntersection
LOSDelay (s)
Movements LOS E or F
14 EB on-off ramps and cross-street C 31.5 None B 15.7 None
15 WB on-off ramps and cross-street B 15.3 None C 30.5 None
Intersection#
Intersection
2035 Build Conditions (Interchange A)
AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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interchange are expected to operate at LOS D or better during both peak periods. Together the three intersections have significantly less delay and better LOS than the Gordon Road/Route 3 intersection as an at-grade intersection (see Table 6-6). Figure 6-9 shows the traffic volumes for the proposed interchange. HCS output files are shown in Appendix D – Preferred Alternative (page D-147).
Table 6-9: 2035 Level of Service for Route 3/ Connector Road Interchange
2035 Build Conditions – CORSIM Analysis CORSIM micro-simulation analysis was performed on the I-95 Mainline and on the Route 3 and Route 17 interchanges as well as the new I-95 interchange, C-D Roads and braided ramps. The base networks used for the 2035 No-Build analysis were modified to include the new build alternative improvements. Volumes were updated to reflect the build volumes discussed in Section 6.3. No global parameters or additional default values were changed from those changed during the calibration of the base year model. The CORSIM software provides a visual and analytical representation of traffic operations. CORSIM analysis results for I-95 Mainline and Ramp Junctions were generated for the same locations as those completed with HCS and shown in Figure 6-8. Note that the discrepancies in the densities and speeds are a result of the differences of the functionality of the software. The results of the CORSIM network are shown in Table 6-10. The CORSIM analysis generally confirms the results from the HCS analysis. There are significant improvements to the operations at Route 3, Route 17, and I-95 when compared to the No-Build Condition. During the PM peak hour, there are still two bottlenecks entering our study area: 1) southbound I-95 (north of Route 17) and 2) EB/SB Route 17 (west of the I-95 interchange). These bottlenecks restrict the amount of traffic that is able to enter the network and thus lower volumes than the design volumes are processed through the CORSIM model resulting in lower densities than those calculated using the HCS software.
Intersection LOS
Delay(sec/veh)
Intersection LOS
Delay(sec/veh)
A Route 3 & Access to Gordon Road (West of Interchange) A 3.8 A 7.7 None None
B Route 3 & Access to Connector Road (East of Interchange) A 9.0 B 17.5 None None
C Gordon Road & Route 3 Access / Driveway C 29.1 D 51.7 NoneEB RightWB RightNB Left
IntersectionIntersection
#
Problem Movements (LOS E or F)
PM Peak HourAM Peak Hour
AM Peak Hour
2035 Build Conditions
PM Peak Hour
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I-95 Access Study
Figure 6-9: 2035 Build ConditionsPeak Hour Volumes / Level of Service
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Table 6-10: CORSIM Analysis for N5 Alternative with Full Interchange
6.5 Preferred Alternative Safety Evaluation This section documents the anticipated safety impacts of the preferred alternative to the study area roadway network. The Preferred Alternative, as discussed in this chapter, includes the addition of the new connector roadway interchange, major modifications to the existing Route 17 Interchange, as well as adding additional C-D roads and braided ramps to connect the proposed new I-95 Interchange with the existing roadway facilities. The new connector road is expected to divert
Roadway Location Analysis Type Vehicle Density(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Vehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
I-95 NBMainline South of Route 3 Interchange Mainline Segment 1 15.8 67.0 27.4 66.4
I-95 NB Diverge to Route 3 EB D-1 14.5 67.3 25.8 64.6Route 3 EB Merge to I-95 NB - Weave
I-95 NB diverge to Route 3 WB - WeaveRoute 3 WB Merge to I-95 NB M-1 22.2 58.1 26.8 57.4
I-95 NBMainline Route 3 to New Interchange Mainline Segment 2 24.0 64.6 30.6 60.3
I-95 NB Diverge to Connector Road WB D-7 17.9 64.8 22.2 62.5C/D Road across River CD-1 30.2 47.2 13.7 48.6
CD Road split to I-95 and Route 17 D-8 27.1 47.0 12.3 48.3Connector Road EB Merge to I-95 NB M-7 16.9 60.0 15.0 64.0
I-95 NBMainline New Interchange to Route 17 Mainline Segment 3 23.7 62.4 29.8 58.6
I-95 NB diverge to I-95 C/D Roadway D-2 27.6 40.7 24.8 53.1New Ramp merge with Route 17 Ramp M-8 19.7 45.8 16.1 47.1
I-95 C/D Roadway diverge to Route 17 Bus EB/SB D-3 23.5 47.3 19.9 47.3Route 17 Bus WB/NB merge to I-95 C/D Roadway M-2 25.4 39.6 13.2 45.1
I-95 C/D Roadway merge to I-95 NB M-3 44.9 37.9 23.6 60.4I-95 NBMainline North of Route 17 Interchange Mainline Segment 4 35.8 54.9 27.2 63.0
Roadway Location Analysis Type Vehicle Density(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
Vehicle Density
(pc/mi/ln)
Vehicle Speed(mph)
I-95 SBMainline
North of Route 17 Interchange Mainline Segment 4 21.0 67.4 77.3 24.8
I-95 SB diverge to Route 17 C/D Roadway D-4 20.5 63.4 58.7 30.1C/D Roadway diverge to Route 17 WB/NB D-9 13.5 38.8 13.7 39.0
Route 17 NB/SB merge to I-95 SB M-4 11.9 60.3 13.6 58.7I-95 SB
MainlineRoute 17 to New Interchange Ramps Mainline Segment 3 16.4 64.1 18.4 63.5
I-95 SB Diverge to C/D Roadway D-10 12.0 65.0 19.9 57.8Route 17 Merge to C/D Roadway M-9 8.0 45.2 25.6 38.1
C/D Road across River CD-2 11.0 49.2 31.1 47.1C/D Roadway to WB Connector Road Off Ramp D-5 11.0 48.9 31.3 46.9
Connector Road EB Merge to I-95 SB M-10 15.4 65.2 18.4 63.0Rest Area - Merge to I-95 SB M-5 14.9 65.8 17.8 65.2
I-95 SBMainline
Rest Area to Route 3 Mainline Segment 2 15.1 65.2 18.1 64.1
I-95 SB Diverge to Route 3 WB D-6 15.0 65.7 20.2 57.7Route 3 WB Merge to I-95 SB - WeaveI-95 SB diverge to Route 3 EB - Weave
Route 3 EB Merge to I-95 SB M-6 14.8 65.3 15.1 64.7I-95 SB
MainlineSouth of Route 3 Interchange Mainline Segment 1 17.1 66.4 17.3 66.5
Northbound I-95 Mainline & Ramp Analysis 2035 Build - N5 Full InterchangeAM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour
Route 3 Interchange Ramps
W-1 18.3 54.5 23.7
New Interchange Ramps
Route 17 Interchange Ramps
Southbound I-95 Mainline & Ramp Analysis 2035 Build - North AlternativeAM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour
Route 17 Interchange Ramps
New Interchange Ramps
Route 3 Interchange Ramps
W-4 15.1 15.3 59.561.8
57.5
I-95 Access Study New Access to I-95 between Route 3 and the Rappahannock River
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around 30 percent of 2035 No-Build future traffic away from the Route 3 Interchange. This will reduce traffic volumes along Route 3 and on I-95 between the Route 3 Interchange and the new I-95 Interchange. Because limited access facilities have lower crash rates than primary arterials, the vehicles being diverted to the new connector road are expected to experience lower crash rates on the new connector roadway as opposed to using Route 3. The Preferred Alternative will add capacity to I-95 from the new I-95 Interchange to the Route 17 Interchange in the form of additional C-D roads. The reduction in vehicles on Route 3 and on the I-95 mainline combined with the increase in capacity on I-95 is determined to contribute to safer operating conditions when compared to the 2035 No-Build Condition. Safer operating conditions include less stop-and-go conditions, lower vehicle density, and lower speed differential between free-flow travel and congested travel (Compare Tables 3-6 and 6-10 and Figures 3-3 and 6-8). These factors are expected to improve traffic flow and reduce crashes and crash rates as compared to the No-Build scenario. The Preferred Alternative will not only see a benefit from reduced traffic and added capacity, but also from the geometric improvements proposed. In the northbound direction, the diverted vehicles from the Route 3 Interchange would no longer use the low speed loop ramp at the weave area, but instead would merge onto I-95 using the new connector road flyover ramp designed to modern standards and a higher design speed. Also in the northbound direction, the existing Route 17 northbound loop off-ramp at the C-D road weave area would be replaced by a flyover ramp, eliminating the northbound I-95 C-D weave as well as the weave on WB/NB Route 17. In the southbound direction, the weave at the Route 17 Interchange is eliminated by removing the loop on-ramp from WB/NB Route 17 to southbound I-95, providing only one on-ramp in the southbound direction. The proposed braided ramps and C-D roads reduce conflict points and significantly reduce the large weaving volumes between the Route 17 Interchange and Route 3 Interchange. By replacing existing ramps with modern design standards, traffic flow is expected to increase and crash rates and overall crashes are expected to decrease with the Preferred Alternative as compared to the No-Build scenario.
6.6 Conceptual Sign Plan A conceptual sign layout of the necessary guide signs was prepared for the preferred alternative to demonstrate that the proposed interchange improvements could be signed in accordance with the standards in the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD). The conceptual guide sign layout is shown in Figure 6-10 A & B. For demonstration purposes the connector road was named “Rappahannock Parkway” and given a “3333” route number. Both will be decided at a future date as the project further develops. These figures are not a complete signing plan for the proposed project but are intended to show the guide signs that will be required along the I-95 mainline and at the interchanges to direct motorists. More detailed signing plans will be prepared as part of the final design of the interchange improvements. Those plans will show additional ground mounted warning and regulatory signs. Additional guide signs will be required along the connector road (west of Interchange A) and at the Route 3/Connector Road/Gordon Road interchange. Final wording and precise spacing of guide signs will occur during the design phase and will require additional FHWA approval. The signing plan shown is for a toll-free connector road. Modifications will be required if the connector road is tolled. Signs directing traffic to the rest area are shown as ground-mounted signs. During final design consideration should be given to putting the rest area signs overhead. There are no apparent problems with signing the preferred alternative in accordance with the MUTCD.