8-CAT ADP NAME TEAM POS NOTES 9-CAT ADP

2 1 NOR F/C 1 1

1 2 GSW G 2 2

3 4 OKC F 3 5

5 8 Chris Paul LAC G 4 7

4 4 HOU G/F 5 4

Anthony Davis

If you take AD No. 1 I can't blame you. He has an unknown ceiling and could blast through reasonable projections.

Stephen Curry

No matter what I do to manipulate Brow's stats, I still have Curry coming out on top.

Kevin Durant

It'll be stressful, but his upside cannot be ignored.

He has been slipping in drafts and has at least one more year of putting the kids in their place.

James Harden

A safe pick that gives both upside and peace of mind.

10 13 SAS G/F 6 10

15 18 OKC F/C 7 20

13 19 UTA C 8 20

8 5 CLE F 9 5

6 6 OKC G 10 6

Kawhi Leonard

I'd like to believe he can climb higher than this, but the LaMarcus Aldridge addition could hold that in check.

Serge Ibaka

A case of less is more on the offensive end. He can get back to his efficient, defensive roots cleaning up for Kanter.

Rudy Gobert

Owners can thank the hype train for removing the profit margin here. Still, he could surprise and climb higher.

LeBron James

If he can get going toward the hoop again, he has top-5 upside.

Russell Westbrook

Everything you want in a first round pick - a nice floor and top 3-4 upside on top of it.

11 12 GSW G/F 11 13

14 15 CHI G/F 12 14

7 7 SAC F/C 13 8

16 13 IND G/F 14 21

20 26 GSW F 15 28

Klay Thompson

It's going to be hard to turn a profit on Klay but he's a very safe play at the top of the draft.

Jimmy Butler

Another victim of the hype train, Butler can exceed this by taking full control of the Bulls' offense. Rose lingers.

DeMarcus Cousins

The only risk here is if George Karl's offense takes him away from the hoop.

Paul George

He looks great and yes there's all sorts of risk, but this is where I think he lands.

Draymond Green

It feels like folks have some Draymond fatigue, but there's no reason he can't do it again this season.

9 12 John Wall WAS G 16 17

12 9 POR G 17 15

17 23 Marc Gasol MEM C 18 26

19 38 Kyrie Irving CLE G 19 22

The Wizards' new uptempo offense could make him the surprise pick at the turn of Round 1 and Round 2.

Damian Lillard

Efficiency problems are the only thing stopping him fom having a truly special fantasy season.

A safe, boring pick that can clear your team of worrying about an upper-level big man later in the draft.

This could get adjusted if we get bad news on his return date, but no player in the second round has his upside.

26 49 Al Horford ATL F/C 20 13

25 25 ORL F/C 21 23

38 59 SAS G/F 22 58

39 33 MIA C 23 33

31 32 Kevin Love CLE F/C 24 24

The 3-point shooting is real and the hope is that he doesn't lose it all on the back end of his FG%. So far so good.

Nikola Vucevic

The only small risk with Vucevic is that Scott Skiles messes with him. Still, a very safe play.

Danny Green

Perenially underrated and the Spurs need both he and Kawhi Leonard to lock down the wings.

Hassan Whiteside

It's not going to be comfortable drafting him, period. But when you cut through the haze this is where he lands.

Look for the Cavs to try and establish him early as the rest of the squad gets healed up.

21 31 Rudy Gay SAC F 25 41

42 38 LAC C 26 29

22 31 Kyle Lowry TOR G 27 28

24 24 ATL F/C 28 18

49 39 BKN C 29 33

He fits well in George Karl's offense and better teammates should help keep his efficiency high.

DeAndre Jordan

Jordan's ability to do all the dirty work offsets the FT issues -- elite levels of blocks and boards at the same time.

Clearly he's on the no-carb diet. His ADP hasn't caught up to his preseason onslaught.

Paul Millsap

I have concerns about his mileage, but so far he looks like he has turned the page on shoulder issues.

Brook Lopez

You know the story by now. He is the epitome of boom-bust pick and the price is a bit high right now.

23 25 UTA G/F 30 40

34 34 Chris Bosh MIA F/C 31 38

37 28 Pau Gasol CHI F/C 32 30

40 31 PHI F/C 33 33

53 19 SAS F/C 34 17

Gordon Hayward

Hayward looks like he packed on yet another 15 pounds of muscle. He could emerge as a true No. 1 scorer.

We could be looking at the final peaking of Chris Bosh before those legs start to give in.

I see folks taking him very high but Tom Thibodeau isn't walking through that door. His mpg is taking a hit.

Nerlens Noel

A defensive monster and his post All Star stats give a window into his value this year.

LaMarcus Aldridge

He's a guy that wants to get his numbers, but that's not how things roll in San Antonio.

29 56 MEM G 35 33

28 43 MIA G 36 53

45 32 DET F/C 37 36

27 33 ATL G 38 42

52 55 TOR C 39 65

Mike Conley

Contract year for Conley and a full summer off to heal his numerous ailments.

Goran Dragic

Keep an eye on the interplay between he and Dwyane Wade. We may have to revisit this rank if they stumble.

Andre Drummond

He looks to be in better shape and his skills have improved. Unfortunately more post chances dilute the dunks.

Jeff Teague

If Atlanta didn't have depth issues, I'd worry about Dennis Schroder. But there's enough to go around.

Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas will finally be freed this season, if Dwane Casey's comments about playing him in the 4th hold up.

41 62 CHA G 40 62

54 63 MIL G/F 41 70

33 16 NYK F 42 13

57 84 CHI F 43 78

58 93 WAS C 44 57

Kemba Walker

The hope for owners is that better teammates can help keep him from having to take shots late in the clock.

Khris Middleton

A great example of not getting too crazy about the preseason. He was falling far in drafts a few days ago.

Carmelo Anthony

I like what I see out of him, but the reality is that he can't play the heavy minutes that push him up the rankings.

Nikola Mirotic

The Mike Dunleavy injury has opened the door to big minutes. Now it's his job to force Fred Hoiberg's hand.

Marcin Gortat

He looks great and will benefit from Nene being phased out of the offense.

18 26 PHO G 45 34

64 69 TOR F 46 62

35 42 CHA G/F 47 62

46 52 MIN C 48 62

30 35 ORL G 49 36

Eric Bledsoe

I worry about Phoenix imploding, but Bledsoe should be able to survive a Suns meltdown.

DeMarre Carroll

As usual, he should slide into a mid-round value and there's a chance he's entrusted to do more this season.

Nicolas Batum

Batum has looked sharp and the Hornets need everything he can give them.

Karl-Anthony Towns

He has upside beyond this rank, but he will need to keep fouling issues at bay.

Victor Oladipo

His defensive chops should keep him from getting into Scott Skiles' doghouse.

56 76 DEN F 50 73

63 82 HOU G/F 51 48

76 57 CHA F/C 52 38

44 67 MIL F 53 62

69 69 SAS F/C 54 48

Danilo Gallinari

The Gallo hype train has been helped by him quietly strolling through the preseason.

Trevor Ariza

Ariza should benefit from all sorts of catch-and-shoot action on the other side of the floor from Harden and Lawson.

Al Jefferson

I'm tempted to go higher as he's fit and in a contract year, but there's a lot of mileage on Big Al.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

A quiet preseason has kept the hype train at bay and there's a chance he could slide.

Tim Duncan

This is the annual Tim Duncan will make us all look silly again ranking.

36 15 LAC F/C 55 19

66 84 MIN F/C 56 101

67 47 DEN F/C 57 55

75 70 ATL G/F 58 55

61 68 ORL F 59 50

Blake Griffin

Increased depth will give Doc Rivers an easy decision to ease up on a guy that has recently run out of gas.

Gorgui Dieng

Dieng is all upside even if he won't be run ragged like he was last year.

Kenneth Faried

Michael Malone is going to give us the Manimal we all thought we were getting last year.

Kyle Korver

So far so good on the rehab. They may pull him back, but he could easily have another historic shooting year.

Tobias Harris

If you've taken some risky players early in the draft, Harris can be viewed as a safer mid-round selection.

78 104 HOU F 60 95

48 53 BOS G 61 76

80 91 JR Smith CLE G/F 62 120

60 50 UTA F/C 63 48

50 61 MIL F/C 64 57

Terrence Jones

All the random injury news has taken the shine off of good reports from the folks in Houston about his play.

Isaiah Thomas

I'd hate to be the GM that incessantly spread rumors about this guy.

Smith could be a guy you take a flier on with the hopes he goes off in the first third of the year.

Derrick Favors

Favors has never really cashed in on the hype and there's no reason for Utah to overuse him this year.

Greg Monroe

There's a very good chance he emerges at the No. 1 option on offense.

43 57 PHO G 65 55

32 45 DET G 66 75

71 74 George Hill IND G 67 73

68 93 POR G 68 124

88 86 NOR F/C 69 101

Brandon Knight

Quietly he's in a great position to exceed his ADP. Just beware of his still achy ankle.

Reggie Jackson

Word out of Detroit is that they're going to put the ball in his hands a lot.

If the get out and run, Hill has some hidden upside as a guy that will really benefit from an injury in the backcourt.

CJ McCollum

The hype train has killed his profit margin in competitive leagues. Efficiency and defensive issues cap his upside.

Ryan Anderson

Especially with injuries to the center position, he's a perfect fit next to AD as a stretch four under Alvin Gentry

81 69 DAL F/C 70 41

73 39 DAL F 71 69

47 82 MIN G 72 77

88 109 PJ Tucker PHO G/F 73 139

86 93 DAL G/F 74 75

Dirk Nowitzki

Minute restrictions and slowly waning production are turning the page on a brilliant fantasy career.

Chandler Parsons

A risk-reward pick going way too early in laid back leagues, but in competitive leagues he has been dropping far.

Ricky Rubio

All of the injury issues have actually been helpful to his stock as you can see by the ADP.

Assuming he's not a part of any Phoenix implosion, he'll plod his way to a top-100 season.

Wesley Matthews

You really can't go wrong at this stage of the draft. He has top-50 upside if modern medicine wins out.

55 47 MIN G/F 75 61

85 119 POR F/C 76 106

96 111 WAS F 77 140

90 117 LAL G 78 133

82 100 PHI G/F 79 90

Andrew Wiggins

The Wolves may want to limit his minutes after last year's workload, but he has immeasurable upside.

Meyers Leonard

He's emerging as a key cog in the Blazers rebuild.

Otto Porter Jr

Porter can actually go up from here and to me he's the key to Washington's season.

Lou Williams

An explosive veteran on a team that could suffer from young mistakes. That's a good recipe for success.

Robert Covington

There's nothing settling about the landscape in Philly, but Covington should be able to survive the stank.

102 73 JJ Redick LAC G 80 84

97 140 UTA G/F 81 148

72 106 NOR G 82 102

51 51 NOR G 83 79

79 90 BKN F 84 88

With added depth the Clippers won't have to ride him as hard as they have in the past.

Rodney Hood

Folks in Utah and around the NBA are gushing about Hood. He's one year away from a real breakout.

Eric Gordon

Especially with other players dropping like flies, Mr. Contract Year could yield a nice 1-2 round profit.

Tyreke Evans

Hopefully he doesn't have to tote the rock too much since he's an injury risk, but talk about high-octane situation.

Thaddeus Young

You worry about his foul shooting but he should get all he can eat this year for Lionel Hollins.

118 Tyler Zeller BOS F/C 85 139

104 102 PHO C 86 75

94 119 POR F 87 121

101 81 NYK C 88 94

Similarly to Olynyk, he's benefiting from Sullinger's decline and Boston sounds amicable to keeping him.

Tyson Chandler

Chandler is a good center to target late if only for the fact the Phoenix training staff could add a few rounds of value

Al-Farouq Aminu

It's hard to get too excited about preseason ball, or a series against HOU for that matter, but a solid late-rounder.

Robin Lopez

Last year has justifiably spooked folks. But if he stays healthy he doesn't have any real competition for minutes.

62 41 Monta Ellis IND G 89 58

74 78 PHO F/C 90 96

77 60 WAS G 91 86

65 68 MIA G 92 65

125 BOS F 93 107

The uptempo offense should help alleviate concerns about a new system and ball-dominant teammates like PG.

Markieff Morris

He's the same player that was getting hyped as a top-50 guy last year, just with multiple distractions in his life.

Bradley Beal

The story is the same with him -- efficiency issues and lower defensive stats plague his value.

Dwyane Wade

Wade will still probably be overdrafted by somebody that's not you.

Jae Crowder

With all the mouths to feed in Boston his upside is capped.

92 107 CHI F/C 94 83

95 120 BOS G 95 123

112 113 GSW F 96 121

108 114 CLE C 97 117

99 116 DET F 98 134

Joakim Noah

Early reports indicate he's in pretty good shape. Unfortunately the Bulls are stacked down low.

Marcus Smart

His preseason absence and the logjam of players in Boston have hidden one of the talks of Summer League.

Harrison Barnes

I'm ranking him as if the knee issue is not an issue.

Timofey Mozgov

Per usual he will plod his way into a late-round ranking, and has mid-round upside if he climbs above 27 mpg.

Stanley Johnson

I am on the Stanley Johnson hype train, but as with most rookies the stats don't always translate in Year 1.

130 SAC F/C 99 150

113 122 DET F 100 95

134 110 Ed Davis POR F/C 101 126

83 63 TOR G/F 102 63

84 73 MEM F/C 103 65

Kosta Koufos

Better suited for deeper leagues, he'll plod his way to this ranking as an underrated player on both O and D.

Ersan Ilyasova

If he had ever cracked 30 mpg in a season I'd be much more inclined to believe in his upside.

There aren't any superstards in the Portland frontcourt, but enough young talent to hold any upside in check for Ed.

DeMar DeRozan

Playing for a big contract, he should be ready to go. The usual issues plague him.

Zach Randolph

It won't be flashy but he'll grit and grind his way to a respectable rank.

109 120 SAC G 105 134

110 BOS C 106 136

129 140 LAL F/C 107 136

123 140 Alex Len PHO C 108 140

59 84 MIL G 109 80

Darren Collison

Collison won't have free reign like last year, but he's the Kings' third-best weapon on offense.

Kelly Olynyk

He has a fantasy friendly game and Sullinger sure looks like he's eating his way out of Boston.

Brandon Bass

A sneaky fantasy stat set can float some low-end value. Byron Scott likes vets, too.

Tyson Chandler is no spring chicken and Len has flashed really good potential to go with his ankle issues.

Michael Carter-Williams

As long as he stays in his lane, takes good shots and is active on defense he should slide right into this rank.

122 NYK F/C 110 140

121 140 MIL F/C 111 140

135 MEM G/F 112 149

126 114 CHA C 113 135

120 116 Jeff Green MEM G/F 114 135

Kyle O'Quinn

Remember this guy! I want to go higher with him but I can't unless I know he's logging center minutes.

John Henson

A little goes a long way with this guy and the Bucks believe he's a part of their core.

Courtney Lee

If only he would actually shoot the ball. He's good at it - just doesn't like doing it.

Frank Kaminsky

Frank the Tank needs to convince Steve Clifford that he can not be a liability defensively.

Green is a plodder and owners will probably want to look for greater upside.

98 118 Alec Burks UTA G 115 142

70 59 LAL G/F 116 64

87 54 Ty Lawson HOU G 117 74

100 96 LAL G 118 127

The same goes for Burks, who needs some tweaks to his stat set but is a guy to target later in drafts.

Kobe Bryant

A very fluid ranking here for the Mamba. He can get here if he loses a step, but not if he loses two.

Lawson will be productive and folks in Houston are encouraged by what they see. But Harden is going to gash him.

Jordan Clarkson

There are a couple of ways he can beat this rank, but barring injury in front of him he won't turn a profit.

103 116 BKN G/F 120 101

111 95 OKC C 121 91

116 100 NOR G 122 58

137 140 DET F 123 144

131 117 GSW C 124 113

Joe Johnson

Johnson will get all he can eat and the only question is whether or not the Nets start playing for ping pong balls.

Enes Kanter

A safer pickup at center in the later rounds. As long as he doesn't get too bad on defense, he should be relevant.

Jrue Holiday

Holiday has looked sharp and he feels good. Barring no disasters, he could have a solid 2nd half of the year.

Marcus Morris

There are a few ways he can get the minutes necessary to be a deep league asset.

Andrew Bogut

There's no real upside here anymore but his 20-24 mpg doesn't have to do much to land here.

132 113 DET G 125 119

117 112 NYK G 126 141

91 105 DAL G 127 86

133 113 BOS G 128 127

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

KCP actually looks good from what I've seen. Unfortunately his fantasy game doesn't translate.

Jerian Grant

Grant has some holes in his fantasy game but it's not hard to see his path to value in New York.

Deron Williams

He seems snake-bitten already. He's a flier pick that has more downside than upside, but upside nonetheless.

Avery Bradley

Too many mouths to feed in Boston and not enough versatility to bring it all together.

107 120 Jeremy Lin CHA G 129 135

145 140 Taj Gibson CHI F/C 132 137

136 117 MIN G/F 133 91

128 107 LAL C 134 102

140 117 Luol Deng MIA F 135 109

The only real question for Lin is whether or not he can hold up. Unlike last year in LA, he is a good fit for Charlotte.

Taj has to worry about Bobby Portis before he can worry about getting into fantasy lineups.

Kevin Martin

Martin has headache written all over him this season as an odd fit for a young team wanting to play its kids.

Roy Hibbert

I don't see the upside nor the defensive prowess. But his back is against the wall and this would be the time.

Deng gave everything he had to Tom Thibodeau and there's nothing left.

143 84 David Lee BOS F/C 136 103

89 140 ATL G 137 140

127 110 DEN G/F 138 110

144 ATL C 141 149

139 140 HOU G/F 143 141

Lee's best attributes will be highlighted when he's on the floor, but his fantasy days are basically over.

Dennis Schroder

Schroder brings elite quickness to the table and he will force Budenholzer to keep him on the floor.

Wilson Chandler

Some mild upside to go with decent injury risk, but Michael Malone will probably rely on him all year.

Tiago Splitter

Splitter will have a small increase in his role but he's not going to become a big-minute guy overnight.

Corey Brewer

One of the most consistent and easy players to rank.

141 120 DEN C 145 122

142 120 POR F/C 156 138

106 96 ORL G 158 69

150 DEN F/C 164 141

146 115 Trey Burke UTA G 170 127

Jusuf Nurkic

Unfortunately, his knee injury has slowed his progress and he's surrounded by a promising young big man group.

Mason Plumlee

Plumdog will get just enough minutes to eke his way into this rank.

Elfrid Payton

Physically he's as gifted as any point guard in the league, but you already know about his shooting.

Joffrey Lauvergne

Love this guy but the crowded frontcourt isn't doing him any favors.

The Jazz have plenty of guys who can handle the ball. Despite good reviews, he has an uphill climb.

93 60 BKN G 171 119

124 113 CLE G 174 139

119 120 Josh Smith LAC F 187 133

115 49 HOU F/C 197 60

138 119 BOS G/F 199 139

Jarrett Jack

His ADP is out of control as Jack had plenty of run last year to make an impact and didn't.

Mo Williams

This is a first month of the season pickup and anything beyond that is gravy.

Just like in Houston, he's perfectly cast in L.A. and with proper expectations he can help your squad.

Dwight Howard

Similarly to Rose, he's not putting up the gaudy numbers to offset his foul shooting.

Evan Turner

Boston truly appreciates what he has morphed into, but he needs high volume to pan out in fantasy leagues.

149 116 IND C 214 140

114 58 CHI G 233 74

148 96 LAL G 241 100

147 140 PHI G 274 143

Myles Turner

Ian Mahinmi isn't just going to hand over big minutes, and I'm not convinced Turner has the goods in Year 1.

Derrick Rose

Inefficient and lacking in defensive stats, he can't produce the counting stats to make it all work.

D'Angelo Russell

All of a sudden he appears brittle and it's asking a lot for him to navigate Kobe and the NBA, in that order.

Tony Wroten

Remember, Philly sucks and Wroten can firehose his way into a lateround rank in 8-cat leagues.

105 92 DEN G 281 101Emmanuel Mudiay

I'm not convinced he can be efficient and he might have to take a back seat to others for a while.