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9 de setembro de 2010 LNCC
From observation to modeling: Lessons and regrets from 36 years in the field.
David FitzjarraldAtmospheric Sciences Research CenterUniversity at Albany, SUNYAlbany, New York USA
Experimentos do campo faz-se envelhecer1989
Observações
Teoria/modelos simples
Modelos mais complexos (DNS, LES, meso)
Resultados:
C = <C> + C’
Ya conheciamos(o ‘obvio’) Inovação (merece publicar)
conhecimento
A região de Xalapa, Veracruz, México
20°N
19°N
96°W97°W
a cidade deXalapa ficaalredor deun volcán
Um projeto simple,1980-81.
Experimento do campojulho 1980 & fevereiro 1981
Balão cativo
Vento catabático na presença no fluxo em oposição
Julho 1980Los alisios
uphill downhill
Fevereiro 1981 sem alisios, vento descendente depois a inversão pasa abaixo
Vento catabático sem oposição
First simplification: 1Dmomentum equation along a slope:
[1] [2] [3] [4] [5]
[1] acceleration [3] stress divergence
[2] advection of momentum [4] buoyant forcing
[5] pressure forcing
€
∂ui∂t
+ u j∂ui∂x j
= −∂τ ij∂x j
+ gθv '
θv
∂h
∂x i−
1
ρ
∂p'
∂x i
x3
x1h
The Prandtl katabatic wind solution (1940’s)
Prandtl assumed that the steady downslope momentum balance is made between “vertical” (perpendicular to the slope, called z here) turbulent flux of momentum (Fm ) and the “buoyancy force” (Archimedean acceleration):
Turbulent flux divergence buoyancy force along slopeMomentum (steady) : 0 = -∂Fm/∂z + [b q’ sin a] a
[Here q’ is the deviation of the potential temperature from a base state and b is the buoyancy parameter g/Qv.]
The whole analysis works because the base state is assumed to have a Theta(z’) that changes only in the true vertical, not perpendicular to the slope (n).
The thermal balance is assumed to be between along-slope (labeled s) heat advection and turbulent flux divergence:horizontal thermal advection vertical turbulent heat flux divergence:
U∂Q/∂s ≈ U[g sin a] = -∂FQ/∂n ,
[ where g is the base state potential temperature gradient, ∂Q/∂z’ , where z’ is the true vertical. ]
Prandtl (1953)
Prandtl’s analytic solution
Maximum wind speed independent of slope angle
Most results can be obtained through dimensional analysis alone! (Comes from the simplification.)
notes from USP IAGJune1984
Prandtl
July 1980
February 1981
Xalapa datarevisited,scaled by heightof wind speed maximum
Effects of entrainment larger than Prandtl can predict
Fedorovich & Shapiro (2009)
Redoing this problem using DNS & (inevitably) LES
Fedorovich & Shapiro (2009)
DNS simulation: confirms that maximum wind ≠ f(slope)
A 2nd simple model approach:
By integrating equations in the vertical, we form an analogy with open channel hydraulics
The hydraulic jump
Supercritical “shooting”
Subcritical “tranquil”
Modelo integrado no vertical Manins & Sawford (1979)
Uh = integral mass transport
Manins & Sawford (1979)
‘shooting’ (supercritical) flows vs. ‘tranquil’ (subcritical)
Manins & Sawford (1979)
Entrainment assumptions
Manins & Sawford (1979)
Manins & Sawford (1979)
Uh
U
Ri
UDQ
€
C = S1RiM = S1A
S2 tanα
⎛
⎝ ⎜
⎞
⎠ ⎟
1/ 2
Conditions on Ri for steady state
Fitzjarrald (1984)
Dimensionless equation set; ua is the ambient wind.
Changes in time
Stability of models
Solutions in time
Steady solutions
shooting
shooting
tranquil
Fitzjarrald, 1984
downhilluphill
Some thoughts in 2010:
Prandtl solution gave good insight.
When do we know that we are publishing new information?
Question of shooting vs tranquil flows (from the bulk models)observationally unresolved.
Oscillations simulated with DNS, but no observations yet