ISSN 1347-5428Population Research Series No.337March 31, 2018
Population Projections for JapanA Supplement to the 2017 Revision
( Commentary with Ancillary Projections )
National Institute of Population andSocial Security Research
Tokyo, Japan
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(1) 26.3 28.6 28.2 29.0
(2) 50 12.0 % 18.8 % 13.2 % 24.7 %
(3) 1.96 1.79 1.91 1.68
(4) 0.959 0.955 0.955 0.955
1.59 1.21
1964 2000
1.63 1.40
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020406080100120 0 20 40 60 80 100 12005101520253035404550556065707580859095100105
020406080100120 0 20 40 60 80 100 12005101520253035404550556065707580859095100105
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1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065
29
24
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70
75
80
85
90
95
1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065
24
29
29
24
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H24
-80,000
-60,000
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
H29
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(15 49 )
+
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0
20
40
60
80
100
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
(%)
2000-052006-10
2011-15
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
-TFR
-TFR
-TFR
-TFR
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2015, 1.4%
2030, 2.3%
2065, 4.7%
2015, 3.1%
2030, 4.7%
2065, 6.9%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065
0 1718 3435 5960
2015, 1,775
2030, 2,746
2065, 4,169
2015, 702
2030, 933 2065, 915
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065
0 1718 3435 5960
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1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
1935
1940
1945
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
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15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
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15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
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15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
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20000
30000
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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110
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H29
H14
H18
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0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
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, 48.9%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
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-0.0015
-0.0010
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0.0000
0.0005
0.0010
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015‰
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0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
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1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
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1.24 1.33 1.34
1.45 1.49 1.50 1.51
1.73 1.73 1.82 1.85 1.87 1.89 1.96
1.38 1.38
1.59 1.44
1.60 1.50
1.58 1.74 1.75
1.84 1.89 1.86 1.80 1.95
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1.5 2015 1.5 2015
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84.8 86.4
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91.4 91.6 91.6 90.8 92.4
90.2 88.3
89.5 89.7 90.7 89.9
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65
70
75
80
85
90
95 2015 2065
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10.0
12.0
()
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
2034
2036
2038
2040
2042
2044
2046
2048
2050
2052
2054
2056
2058
2060
2062
2064
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84.3 88.5 88.9 93.1
106.9 113.2 114.1 118.1
125.3 129.7 134.6 140.0
179.1
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20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
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-10
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0
5
10
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030
2032
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2042
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2018
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2032
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2036
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2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065 2075 2085 2095 2105 2115
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26.0
27.0
28.0
29.0
30.0
31.0
32.0
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34.0
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38.0
39.0
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2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065 2075 2085 2095 2105 2115
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2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065
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1.20
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100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
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