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A Critical Assessment of the Financial Performance of Banks in United Kingdom using
CAMELS Ratings and Altman Score Model
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Executive Summary
It is alleged that United Kingdom’s banking industry has been under a recovery process
following the financial meltdown in the period 2009-2010; the same has been supported by
the reports by Bba.org.uk. Similarly, the UK government is on record for bailing out two
public banks which equally attracted a number of changes in the regulations. The banking
system in UK is said to consist of numerous product markets such as personal loans, branches
operations, mortgage lending, credit card and SMEs funding incentives. In light of Herfindahl
Index score for various products 919 has been accorded to Mortgage lending while 1014 been
to credit card and 1153 going to branches; on the same, 1225 has gone to SME business
accounts portfolio. The purpose of the dissertation is to perform a comparative-explorative
analysis of the financial performance of banks in the United Kingdom for the period 2011-
2016 basing on CAMEL Ratings; then rely on Altman Score to predict corporate failure on
government-led and private-led banks. Sharp drops were evident in Barclays Bank in terms of
asset quality, management efficiency and liquidity. Therefore, the conclusion is that for the
bank the management has been struggling in effectively utilising its assets, optimising its
retained earnings and capacity to offset current liabilities using available current assets. sharp
drops were evident in Barclays Bank in terms of asset quality, management efficiency and
liquidity. Therefore, the conclusion is that for the bank the management has been struggling
in effectively utilising its assets, optimising its retained earnings and capacity to offset current
liabilities using available current assets. From the CAMELS Ratings analysis, the researcher
observed that Barclays Bank and Standard Chartered Bank have had financial challenges that
need to be looked into to safeguard the interests of shareholders. The assessment carried out
on the Bank of England and Royal Bank of Scotland indicated that ROE for the latter two
have positively been influenced by capital adequacy, liquidity, management efficiency, and
asset quality.
Keywords: CAMELS, Altman Score, Regression, United Kingdom, ROE
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Table of Contents
Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... 2
Declaration ................................................................................................................................. 4
Acknowledgement ..................................................................................................................... 5
List of Tables ........................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined.
List of Figures ............................................................................................................................ 6
List of Exhibits ........................................................................................................................... 6
1.0 CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION .................................................................................. 8
1.1 Background of the study .................................................................................................. 8
1.1.1 Overview of UK Banking Industry ........................................................................... 8
1.1.2 The banking system in UK ........................................................................................ 8
1.1.3 The impact of digital technology ............................................................................... 9
1.1.4 Policy Development .................................................................................................. 9
1.1.5 Compliance to New Regulatory Framework ........................................................... 10
1.1.6 Market size and growth ........................................................................................... 10
1.2 Purpose Statement .......................................................................................................... 11
1.3 Research Questions ........................................................................................................ 11
1.4 Research Objectives ....................................................................................................... 11
1.5 Value of the Research .................................................................................................... 12
1.6 Definition of Terms ........................................................................................................ 12
1.7 Dissertation Architecture................................................................................................ 12
2.0 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW .................................................................... 14
2.1 Corporate Failure Model ................................................................................................ 14
2.1.1 Predicting corporate failure using Altman Score Model ......................................... 14
2.2 Review on financial performance of banks ................................................................ 14
2.3 A review of empirical studies on financial performance of banks ................................. 17
2.4 Summary of Chapter .......................................................................................................... 20
3.0 CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY .................................................... 21
3.1 Research Design ............................................................................................................. 21
3.2 Research Philosophy ...................................................................................................... 22
3.3 Methodological Choice .................................................................................................. 24
3.4 Research approach.......................................................................................................... 24
3.4 Sampling, Models, and Instrumentation ........................................................................ 25
3.5 Data Analysis ................................................................................................................. 26
3.6 Ethical Consideration ..................................................................................................... 26
4.0 CHAPTER FOUR: DATA ANALYSIS ............................................................................ 27
4.1 Overview of Data ........................................................................................................... 27
4.3 Further analysis on CAMELS Model Application to Banks.......................................... 41
4.3.1 Applications based on correlation analysis ............................................................. 41
4.3.2 Applications based on regression analysis .............................................................. 44
4.3.3 Predicting Corporate Failure using Altman Score ................................................... 47
5.0 CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSION, IMPLICATIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS ........... 49
5.1 Recommendations .......................................................................................................... 51
5.2 Limitations ..................................................................................................................... 52
References ................................................................................................................................ 53
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Declaration
This is my original work and everything contained therein reflects original ideas of the
author. However, all borrowed ideas have been duly acknowledged.
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Acknowledgement
The dissertation has seen the light of day because of the support that came from my
supervisor. The guidance throughout the project was helpful and critical to have enabled me
to complete this dissertation in high quality. I also thank my parents and friends who
supported me in my studies in general.
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List of Figures
Figure 3.1: Research Onion Model
Figure 4.1: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Capital Adequacy
Figure 4.2: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Asset Quality
Figure 4.3: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Management Efficiency
Figure 4.4: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Liquidity
Figure 4.5: Graphical trend for SC’s Capital Adequacy
Figure 4.6: Graphical trend for SC’s Asset Quality
Figure 4.7: Graphical trend for SC’s Management Efficiency
Figure 4.8: Graphical trend for SC’s Liquidity
Figure 4.9: Graphical trend for BoE Capital Adequacy
Figure 4.10: Graphical trend for BoE Asset Quality
Figure 4.11: Graphical trend for BoE Management Efficiency
Figure 4.12: Graphical trend for BoE Liquidity
Figure 4.13: Graphical trend for RBS for Capital Adequacy
Figure 4.14: Graphical trend for RBS for Asset Quality
Figure 4.15: Graphical trend for RBS for Management Efficiency
Figure 4.16: Graphical trend for RBS for Liquidity
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List of Exhibits
Exhibit 4.1: Raw Data for Barclays Bank
Exhibit 4.2: Raw Data for Standard Chartered Bank
Exhibit 4.3: Correlation analysis for CAMELS’ Ratings for SC and Barclays Bank
Exhibit 4.4: Raw Data for Bank of England
Exhibit 4.5: Raw data for Royal Bank of Scotland
Exhibit 4.6: Correlation analysis between performance for RBS and BoE
Exhibit 4.7: Descriptive Statistics for Barclays Bank
Exhibit 4.8: Descriptive Statistics for Standard Chartered Bank
Exhibit 4.9: Descriptive Statistics for Bank of England
Exhibit 4.10: Descriptive Statistics for Royal Bank of Scotland
Exhibit 4.11: Correlation analysis for Barclays Bank
Exhibit 4.12: Correlation analysis for Standard Chartered Bank
Exhibit 4.13: Correlation analysis for Bank of England (BoE)
Exhibit 4.14: Correlation analysis for Royal Bank of Scotland
Exhibit 4.15: Regression Analysis 1
Exhibit 4.16: Regression Analysis 2
Exhibit 4.17: Altman Score Analysis and Implementation
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1.0 CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
The title of the dissertation reads as follows: “A Critical Assessment of the Financial
Performance of Banks in United Kingdom using CAMELS Ratings and Altman Score
Model”.
Further, is that the dissertation aimed to be a comparative analysis between government-
owned banks and private-managed banks i.e. selected ones been Royal Bank of Scotland
(RBS) and Bank of England (BoE) and Barclays Bank and Standard Chartered Bank.
1.1 Background of the study
1.1.1 Overview of UK Banking Industry
It is alleged that United Kingdom’s banking industry has been under a
recovery process following the financial meltdown in the period 2009-
2010; the same has been supported by the reports by Bba.org.uk
(2014). Similarly, the UK government is on record for bailing out two
public banks which equally attracted a number of changes in the
regulations. There are five major commercial banks that dominate the
banking industry in the UK namely Standard Chartered, HSBC, Lloyds
Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland. The fact of having the
above as dominant banks has created oligopolistic opportunities.
Moving on is that following the financial crisis the concentration in
terms of H-H index grew from 1401 to 1736 in the period 2007-2010.
The banking system in UK is regarded as one with high concentration
hence allowing for less competition (Bba.org.uk, 2014).
1.1.2 The banking system in UK
It is held that the banking system in UK is said to consist of numerous
product markets such as personal loans, branches operations, mortgage
lending, credit card and SMEs funding incentives. In light of
Herfindahl Index score for various products 919 has been accorded to
Mortgage lending while 1014 been to credit card and 1153 going to
branches; on the same, 1225 has gone to SME business accounts
portfolio (Bba.org.uk, 2014). From the findings above it means market
portfolios such as credit cards, personal loans and mortgages have been
relatively competitive (Theguardian.com, 2015). In addition, it is
indicated that due to the infrastructural capabilities brought by
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digitalisation it has become easier for the emerging entrepreneur
bankers to penetrate the market; the same stability has been attributed
to PRA’s swift new licensing regime. The speedy changing technology
has been said to enable new players to enter the banking industry
whilst making it more competitive.
1.1.3 The impact of digital technology
It is reported that regardless of the evolution of digital technology,
there has been considerable portion of banks that rely on traditional
process; these include incidences for use of cheques, paper work and
printed statements, cash payments and electronic transfers. But now
the emergence of the internet and adaptation of digital app has brought
revolution such as online debits, speedy remittances, account
management, virtual standing orders and easier and most convenient
access to bank accounts. A case of Barclays Bank has been reported as
that which supported £134 billion value transfers and remittances
through digital banking by the period 2013. This is not to mention the
fast paced emergence of mobile phone payments (Theguardian.com,
2015).
1.1.4 Policy Development
In the UK the aftermath of the financial crisis has led banks to operate
within tighter policies and requirements for compliance. For instance,
there is great attention to risk mitigation and monitoring of the same
for the banks, much requirements for security protocols and data
transfer oversight; thus banks in the UK are currently subject to such
regulations. In the same respect, the supervision focuses on ensuring a
balance in efforts for financial stability and anti-trust regulations in the
industry. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has been entrusted
with the responsibility to monitor the banking industry. It is reported
that banks have a challenge to ensure they uphold appropriate culture
including implementing a workable operating model pegged to a
capacity to achieve feasible returns in the long-term.
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1.1.5 Compliance to New Regulatory Framework
As a result of the financial crisis, UK did announce measures that
would see the separation of the provided financial services with risk-
tolerant aspects inherent in financial markets; this is besides the
reinforcement of banking regulations (Bba.org.uk, 2014). On the other
hand, the European Banking Authority (EBA) is mandated to
undertaking periodic tests in checking stress degrees of national banks
so as to measure how effective they can mitigate financial shocks. It
was in the year 2013 when the UK’s new regulation framework took
shape; suffice to mention about The Financial Conduct Authority
(FCA) and Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) are the institutions
entrusted with implementation and oversight of new regulations. For
instance, the PRA is mandated to create and ensure stability throughout
the entire financial system which supports 1,700 financial institutions.
Moreover, the FCA is charged with the responsibility to ensure
effectiveness in terms of financial market operations via upholding
acceptable conduct as well as enforcing laid out legislative banking
standards (See Bba.org.uk, 2014). It is worth mentioning about the
Financial Policy Committee (FPC) which was established to help the
Bank of England in its oversight and banking supervision including
supporting PRA in its functions. In point of fact, FPC has been
entrusted with measuring and eliminating systematic risk (Bba.org.uk,
2014).
1.1.6 Market size and growth
It is indicated that the contribution of the banking sector towards the
UK’s economy has been relatively high in comparison to other
countries. Looking at UK’s banking size it is reported that there exists
about 145 branches that obtain deposit including 100 foreign owned
banks. Also, in approximation half of banking assets in the UK
constitute of the residence portfolio managed by foreign investors. In
the same respect, top 10 subsidiaries hold a fund base of £2.8 trillion in
terms of assets in the period 2014 (Kpmg.com, 2014). Further research
indicates that the banking sector in UK has strongly contributed to the
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wider economy across the years. As a case example, is the tax
contribution that was generated prior to the occurrence of the financial
crisis which had approximated at 20%; however, due to the financial
meltdown the same dropped to 4% in the phase 2011/12. It is held that
the trend designates a decline to £1.3 billion from £7 billion through
the same has been reported to have improved slightly to a level of
£2.3billion by the period 2012/3 (Theguardian.com, 2015).
1.2 Purpose Statement
The purpose of the dissertation is to perform a comparative-explorative
analysis of the financial performance of banks in the United Kingdom for the
period 2011-2016 basing on CAMEL Ratings; then rely on Altman Score to
predict corporate failure on identified banks. Further in the scope, it was
sought to demonstrate the extent to which private banks perform better than
government owned banks in the United Kingdom.
1.3 Research Questions
The research questions addressed were as follows:
1) What has been the financial performance of privately-owned banks when
compared to government-owned banks in the United Kingdom basing on
the CAMEL Ratings?
2) What is the possibility of corporate failure of privately-owned banks when
compared to government-owned banks in the United Kingdom basing on
Altman Score?
3) What are the strategic policy implications of privately-owned banks when
compared to government-owned banks in the United Kingdom towards
future financial sustainability?
1.4 Research Objectives
In light of the research questions, the objectives addressed included the
following:
i. To analyse the financial performance of privately-owned banks
when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on the CAMEL Ratings
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ii. To examine the possibility of corporate failure of privately-owned
banks when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on Altman Score
iii. To recommend strategic paths for both privately-owned banks and
government-owned banks in the United Kingdom towards future
financial sustainability
1.5 Value of the Research
Banking industry is among the widely reviewed platforms of doing
business and there are numerous studies that have been achieved in
checking for financial performance. However, the unique contribution
of the current dissertation is that there was comparison of financial
performance of UK banks with a niche to comparing private-banks vis
a vis government owned banks using models such as CAMEL Ratings;
the research also uses Altman model to predict corporate failure. Thus,
making it a valuable resource for future policy makers and potential
investors in the banking sector after having comprehensive judgment
on the financial sustainability of the industry.
1.6 Definition of Terms
The main terms shall be:
Private Banks or Private-Owned or Private-Managed: This
shall refer to banks not necessarily private but rather those that are
governed by a board of directors appointed through voting by the
shareholders. Therefore, a bank shall be termed as private even if listed
in the London Stock Exchange for the reason its board of directors is
appointed by shareholders. The other connotation for a private bank
shall be those institutions that are not answerable to the government in
terms of management and core operations.
Government Banks or Government-Owned or Government-
Led: This shall refer to banks that are directly answerable to the
government and whose core operations are in the best interest of the
state e.g. directing monetary policy among others.
1.7 Dissertation Architecture
The structure of the dissertation consisted of six chapters:
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1st Chapter: The introduction of the dissertation was developed
in this part where the research questions, research objectives, problem
statement and value of the study were addressed.
2nd Chapter: The main literature review of the dissertation was
presented in this part. For instance, the debate on CAMEL model and
Prediction of Corporate Failure basing on Altman Score was presented.
3rd Chapter: The methodology of the research was featured in
this part. It consisted of the design of the research, data collection and
analysis and sampling criteria.
4th Chapter: In this chapter the main data analysis was
commenced especially implementation of both CAMEL Ratings
Model and the Altman Score.
5th Chapter: The main conclusion and implications of the
study’s findings were presented in this chapter.
6th Chapter: The key recommendations of the study have been
presented in this chapter. The recommendations focus on the direction
for future research; other recommendations point to the management of
banks and strategies for financial stability.
That done the next chapter of the dissertation focused on
developing literature review to shed more light on financial
performance of banks. Also, a deeper understanding of the proposed
models was evident.
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2.0 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
In this chapter the main models and theories to be applied in the research were developed
especially CAMELS Ratings and Altman score. The two were operationised so as to
serve different purposes namely assessment of financial performance processes in the
banking sector and then prediction of corporate failure in the banking sector. It was
equally important to present studies that in the past have relied on such models to report
bank failure or financial performance basing on different regions and economies.
2.1 Corporate Failure Model
2.1.1 Predicting corporate failure using Altman Score Model
Altman’s proposed multiple discriminant process has been central where it
incorporates weighted five financial ratios so as to enhance the predictive strength of the
model (Altman, 2000). In this model it generates a holistic discriminate score known as the Z
score or zeta model (Altman, 2000). The initial Z score model would be as follows:
Z = 0.012X1 + 0.014X2 + 0.033X3 + 0.006X4 +0.999X5
But later reported as shown below:
Z = 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + 1.0X5
Where:
X1 = working capital/total assets
X2 = retained earnings/total assets
X3 = earnings before interest and tax/total assets
X4 = market value of equity/book value total liabilities
X5 = sales/total assets
Therefore:
A score lower than 1.81 indicated potential for bankruptcy
Greater than 3 being a state of financial soundness
2.2 Review on financial performance of banks
In most cases, financial performance in the banking industry has been monitored
and evaluated using ratio analysis. However, different methods of analysis have
been adopted and this is evident in the works by Tarawneh (2006) where the
financial evaluation of commercial banks in the region of Oman was administered
differently. For instance, the use of simple regression was considered whereby the
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effects of asset management, operational efficiency and bank size was checked
against the financial performance of five commercial banks in Oman. The
outcomes of the regression were that the banking institutions that recorded higher
aggregate capital, deposits, greater total assets and credits did not showcase an
improved performance in terms of profitability.
Similarly, in the works by Al-Tamini (2009) the focus was to address the
significant factors that influenced the financial trend of commercial banks, taking
the case scenario of the United Arab Emirates. The same sample consisted of both
Conventional and Islamic banks for the period dating 1996-2008. From the study,
it is seen that there was use of regression analysis which aimed to measure
variables such as return on asset (ROE), return on equity (ROE) being the
dependent variables. The findings indicated that liquidity influenced the
performance of the conventional banks and for the Islamic banks the key
influencing factors to were reported as cost and the number of branches.
In the case of Malaysian commercial banks, a study was commenced by Sufian
(2009) who sought to analyse the impacting factors on profitability for the period
2000-2004. In the results, it was depicted that increased credit risk and loan
concentration were causing a downward pressure on the Malaysian commercial
banks. However, on the opposite it was established that in the same region banks
that had greater capitalisation base, income growth generating from non-interest
streams, and increased operational expenses experience higher profitability
growth.
In a study based in Nigeria the financial performance of selected banks was
checked applying factor analysis method; the quest was to evaluate main factors
impacting on the financial performance of the banking system based on the results
from the sampled banks. The results depicted that independence of the executive
board members, political unrest, low capitalisation base and fraudulent
engagements served as determinant factors in influencing banking financial
performance in Nigeria (Okpara, 2009).
In the study by Spathis and Doumpos (2007) in their quest to assess financial
performance of banks, they sought to capture the relationship between risk and
return. The indications were that the higher the risk the more the investors would
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expect returns. The critical point is that in this study the two authors assessed
financial performance looking at the two variables i.e. risk and return.
In the Greek region, financial performance of banks was cross-examined basing
on the asset size relying on multi criteria methodology. The methodology
classified Greek commercial banks in respect to efficiency and profitability as
well as in lieu of their operational factors and return trends. In the outcome results,
it was depicted that in light of the commercial banks in Greeks they exhibited
positive correlation of interest margin, return on assets and capital adequacy
(Elizabeth et al, 2009).
In a different study there was established positive relationship between size and
capital adequacy; it was depicted that size positively impacted on performance of
commercial banks (Kosmidou, 2008). In the case of Pakistan commercial banks,
the effect of capital adequacy on GDP, operating efficiency and asset management
was established especially their role towards profitability. Other factors assessed
against financial performance of Pakistan commercial banks included bank-
specific factors and macroeconomic factors and their influence to profitability of
banks (Ali et al, 2011).
Similar to the study above, Abbas et al (2012) performed a comparative
evaluation on Pakistan commercial banks looking at key variables such as Return
on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), and Return on Capital (ROC) making
application to top five commercial banks in the region; in the same study the
authors were seen to introduce new depend variable referred to as the “Return on
Operating Fixed Assets (ROFA)” and use correlation analysis to establish the
relationships across the selected financial factors.
The financial performance of Bangladesh banking sector was analysed in the
study by Nimalathasan (2008) where the scholar adopted CAMELs rating system.
Further, there was collection of secondary data picking from annual reports of the
involved banking firms for the period 1999-2006. Therefore, the financial
performance analysis basing on CAMELs ratings was applied to 6562 Branches
representing 48 mother banks situated in Bangladesh. The results from the
CAMELs ratings depicted that three of the banks did show a score of 01 meaning
strong while 31 banks scored 02 which was a satisfactory score while 7 banks
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scored 03 which interprets as a fair score. On the same findings, 4 banks gave a
score of 04 and other 2 banks scoring 05 such being an unsatisfactory outcome.
2.3 A review of empirical studies on financial performance of banks
As had been noted earlier is that financial performance of commercial banks and
even the same applying to non-financial institutions has been estimated and
analysed relying on ratio analysis. However, other procedures have been used to
perform such analysis like in the case of benchmarking and performance
measurement using budget (Avkiran, 2007). Hempel et al (2008) depicted that
financial performance of banks is developed by looking at the returns and their
risk reduction. Another study by Chien and Danw (2009) depicted that banking
financial performance was addressed basing on operational efficiency including
operational effectiveness where the two measures influence sustainability of
banks. Also, basing on the innovative two-stage model it was opined that sound
efficiency of banking firms was not an indicator of effectiveness.
Moving on other studies indicated to measure financial performance of banks
relying on parameters such as capital adequacy, interest margin and ROA that
equally depicted to positively correlate to satisfactory and superior customer
service (Elizabeth and Ellot, 2006). In checking financial performance of
commercial banks in the Arab gulf region, it was established that they had
recorded sound performance; this included them being sufficiently capitalised and
increased competition across the banks.
The financial performance evaluation carried out basing on privately owned
commercial banks in the region of Pakistan was by Shah and Jan (2014). The two
authors sampled from top ten commercial banks in the private sector and used
correlation and regression technique. From their findings they discovered that the
size of the banks and operational efficiency had negative relationship to Return on
Asset (ROA); on the other hand, the same study established a positive relationship
between Asset Management Ratio and ROA. In the same empirical study, it was
depicted that there existed positive relationship in the case of Interest Income and
Asset Management although a negative one emerged when compared to Interest
Income Operational Efficiency.
It was opined that realisation of higher capital deposits in total, total assets, credits
or deposits such did not guarantee sound performance in lieu of profitability of
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banks (Tarawneh, 2006). In the same respect, is that asset management together
with operational efficiency and bank size, did show to have positive relationship
to the financial performance of the selected banks. From the empirical analysis it
was established that operational efficiency and asset management for the selected
banks did have positive relationship to bank size.
Ahmad (2011) developed a study which focused on financial performance basing
on the case of Jordanian commercial banks where they paid attention to ROA as a
variable estimation for performance of selected banks. In the same study, there
was consideration of operational efficiency, bank size and assets management
where the latter three operationised as independent variables and how they
impacted on ROA. The results of the research depicted that there existed a strong
and negative linear relationship between ROA and bank size and the same case
applied to operational efficiency. In other words, bank size and operational
efficiency did not show strong linearity to ROA of the Jordanian commercial
banks. On the contrary, Ahmad did establish a positive linear relationship between
ROA and asset management ratio.
In the case of Pakistan banking financial performance, works by Khizer et al,
(2011) showed to pay close attention to profitability variables for the period 2006-
2009. In their findings the establishments were that there existed direct and
positive relationship in the case of profitability and operational efficiency; the
same positive nexus was established between operational efficiency and bank size
and assets management. The results as reported involved the selection of ROA as
the profitability indicator. In the works by Khizer et al (2011) it was affirmed that
ROE being a profitability indicator did show positive relationship to asset
management although a negative relationship emerging when compared to size
and operational efficiency.
Moving on still in a case of Pakistan there were attempts to measure the
performance of banks where Sidqui and Shoaib (2011) related their analysis to
capital structure. In the outcomes, the two noted that bank size had played a major
role towards the influence of profitability; return on equity was used as a measure
for profitability. Similarly, the same authors adopted Tobin’s Q model where they
used it to make estimations of the profitability of selected banks and their
performance. The results depicted positive relationship in the case of bank size,
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leverage ratio and assets. In the same region the study by Rivizi (2001) indicated
that profitability of banks had declined following the regression in technological
infrastructure of products and services delivery. As a solution it was proposed that
the banking firms were needed to have in place value-added services and quality
customer support base.
Further evaluations on bank performance look into the works by Olweny and
Shipho (2011); here, there was consideration of Market Power and Efficiency
Structure models. For instance, the model for Market Power asserted that a vibrant
external market enhances profitability; from this it is hypothesized that only
banking firms with large market share and highly differentiated portfolios in
relation to products are likely to enjoy monopolistic profits (See also
Athanasoglou et al, 2007).
On the other hand, ES theory holds that effective managerial including scale
efficiency is what leads to high concentration thereafter increasing profits. In light
of balanced portfolio theory, the bank performance framework has been attributed
to its portfolio, profitability, and shareholder wealth; due to this it has been opined
that banking performance draws from factors from internal and external
environment. The internal factors, for instance, refer to management efficiency,
bank size, risk management, and capital base. Then, the external factors point to
dynamics of interest rate, inflation, economic growth and ownership among others
(Athanasoglou et al, 2007).
Other studies did persist in addressing issues related to financial (See Al-Tamini,
2010 and Aburime, 2006). In these works, the authors aimed to assess the key
determinants underlying the performance of banks. To recap is that internal
factors point factors are those which are affected by the decisions undertaken by
the management including deliberations of the board; then external factors being
the unfolding of the business environment which supersede management control.
All these have an effect to the banks’ profits (Flamini et al., 2009).
In past studies attention went mostly to asset and liability management in the
banking firms where it was depicted that efficient management of both assets and
liabilities would boost or sustain profitability of banks including control and
mitigation of emerging risks (Flamini et al, 2009). Further, relying on multiple
regression analysis and correlations, Medhat Tarawaneh (2006) sought to test
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financial performance on sampled commercial banks in Oman region. The key
parameters sought included return on asset (ROA) as well interest income where
both as performance proxies served as dependent variables. On the other hand,
parameters such as operational efficiency, bank size and asset management were
operationised as the independent variables. The results depicted that there existed
a positive correlation in the dependent performance variables with operational
efficiency; however, a moderate correlation existed in the case of return on assets
(ROA) and bank size.
In the same study by Tarawaneh (2006) the author used ANOVA analysis where it
was used to capture the relationship between operational efficiency, bank size and
asset management and financial performance; in the results the F statistics gave a
significant score with 95% confidence margin. In light of the assertions by Al-
Obaidan (2008) was that large banks in Gulf region reported greater efficiency in
comparison to small banks. Further was that banks with higher capital base,
deposits, credits and total assets did not show to always generate stable
profitability performance. In the Jordanian case analysis, financial performance of
banks was analysed where ROA was operationised as the metric for dependent
variable while asset management and operational efficiency serving as the
independent variables. The results depicted that there existed strong and negative
linearity between ROA and the bank size (Almazari, 2011).
2.4 Summary of Chapter
The literature review developed captured the different ways past scholars used
CAMELS Ratings to evaluate and determine the financial performance of banks
in different regions. The researcher was keen on the manner of choice for the
variables where ROA, Management Efficiency and ROE appear to be widely
sought as the key indicators of financial performance. On the other hand, asset
management and operational efficiency being the main indicators used as
independent variables.
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3.0 CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
In this part of the analysis the research methodology was developed so as to pave
way for in-depth research based on the sample of the study and the proposed objectives.
Thus, the design of research and implementation has been fully explored. In recall the
main research objectives proposed included:
1) To analyse the financial performance of privately-owned banks
when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on the CAMEL Ratings
2) To examine the possibility of corporate failure of privately-owned
banks when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on Altman Score
3) To determine the strategic policy implications of privately-owned
banks when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom towards future financial sustainability
Thus, a design needs to be developed which will act as a reliable pathway
to ensure the realisation of each objective.
3.1 Research Design
The focus of this dissertation was to depend on a study design that would
facilitate the researcher to seek solid data for use to achieve the research questions
and objectives of the study. The deliberation on the research design settled on both
(i) explanatory research and (ii) descriptive research. Notable, the audience is able
to see the existence of adequate exploration and assessment of studies in relation
to banks’ financial performance and the elements that can help enhance their
services. In addition, the analysis has examined the models and pertaining to
market share; these aspects constitutes the explorative component of the research.
With this groundwork in place, the researcher sensed and considered the
importance of more information that would enrich the study therefore the
necessity for a descriptive research. As suggested by Collins and Hussey (2013),
descriptive research seeks to explore and expound a topic while providing
additional information.
A descriptive research process defines a subject in more detail hence
filling gaps and enriching the understanding. In addition, the process entails the
collection of more data that helps to avoid use of models or guesses to forecast the
22
future (Creswell, 2013). The resort to explanatory research is justified because the
researcher was able to examine and assess new concepts in banks’ performance.
Further, descriptive research helps to enlighten more about the existing knowledge
on models such as Altman Score and CAMEL Ratings. According to Easterby-
Smith (2000), explanatory research refers to attempt made to connect ideas to
understand the cause and effect-basically, showing what is happening. Through
use of explanatory research, the investigator or researcher is able to note the way
things interact or coalesce (Morgan, 2014).
Accordingly, the current study relied on explanatory and descriptive
research designs. However, an important thing to note is that each design played
its purpose. A good example on this aspect is that descriptive research sought to
evaluate “what is happening” whereas explanatory research sought to assess “why
things happen the way they did”. In reference to this dissertation, the data
collected from secondary sources including books and journals needed to express
or indicate what was happening when relevant models are applied and use them to
establish respective bank’s financial performance. Upon establishment of data as
indicated, explanatory research was applied to interrogate why there was some
variances in some of the elements that were surveyed. In addition, the
explanations on the “why” would lead into causal determinations where one event
could be seen to cause or lead to another (Easterby-Smith, 2000). The current
dissertation required this approach because it was imperative to find the causal
relationship pertaining to how to use variables such as ROE and ROA in
determining the financial performance of banks and autonomous variables which
include asset efficiency and operational efficiency among others.
3.2 Research Philosophy
The concept of research philosophy entails the approach to be used to
source knowledge in the present dissertation and this comprise the knowledge
in terms of its nature and its development. The figure below represents a
“research onion” model by Saunders et al (2007).
23
Figure 3.1: Research Onion Model
Source: Saunders et al, 74)
The research onion model shows that the outer layer has four
philosophies viz.: pragmatism, positivism, interpretivism and realism. In
reference to the current dissertation, pragmatism philosophy shall inform the
approach used by the researcher. The philosophy states that selecting one
position such as axiology, ontology or epistemology is in practice idealistic or
impractical; for pragmatism approach the questions for the specific research
should be central in terms of informing the philosophical position to be
adopted or applied (Creswell & Clark, 2009). In this approach (pragmatism
philosophy), both quantitative and qualitative research methods are anticipated
in the pursuit to address a real-life problem. Essentially, pragmatism
philosophy applauds the use of interpretive and positivism to resolve a
problem (Oates, 2012).
In regard to ontology, pragmatism philosophy advocates that a
researcher takes the position of an external entity whereby any view expressed
is aimed at answering the research questions in the most appropriate way. In
terms of Epistemology, pragmatism philosophy posits that a researcher has the
option to use objective or subjective meanings to provide facts that answers a
research question; in addition, it equally focuses on the practical use to issues
via linkage of views to aid in data interpretation (Creswell, 2012). As regards
24
axiology, the concept of pragmatism proposes that values play a critical role in
interpreting outcomes using both objective and subjective reasoning. In
regards to approach, the chosen research philosophy applies mixed methods or
both quantitative and qualitative methods (Pare, 2009). In reference to this
dissertation, a pragmatic design was performed where the researcher was not
limited or restricted to particular methods but instead depend on several
methods to enrich exploration on the problem. A good example of this is
where data collected from secondary resources was further used in quantitative
methods particularly within numerical evaluations of Altman Score and
CAMEL Ratings models.
3.3 Methodological Choice
A number of research methods exists and one of them is the mixed
methods. The mixed methods entail the combination of both quantitative and
qualitative methods in a particular study; As underscored by Johnson et al
(2010), mixed methods facilitates more in-depth analysis and indulgence of a
particular phenomenon. There is a general consensus among scholars that
mixed method design research afford better indulgence and understanding on
the matter under consideration than if only one method is used (Creswell &
Clark, 2008). Tashakkori & Teddie (2011) emphasized that multiple method is
the core premise behind pragmatic philosophy. As noted by Creswell (2012),
qualitative research plays the role of investigation that entails the study of a
human problem or occurrence as exhibited with words, that records
comprehensive perspectives of informers and carry out in a normal setting.
In contrast, a quantitative research approach entails the study of a
human or social issue but in relation to testing theory that constitutes
variables, which is projected in numbers and assessed using numerical
procedures in order to establish if prognostic generalisations in the hypotheses
is true (Pare, 2009).
3.4 Research approach
The research approach concept comprises two main methods namely
inductive and deductive approaches. In exploratory study or (deductive
approach), the researcher depends on secondary study that may include a
review of available data or literature, or via the use of qualitative approaches
25
which may entail informal deliberations with employees, competitors,
consumers, or the management of an organisation; and may also involve a
more formal approaches via projective methods, case studies, in-depth
interviews, pilot studies and focus groups (Bowen, 2009). In essence, an
explanatory research refers to an inductive approach whose purpose is to find
patterns in a particular data set. In an Inductive analysis, the categories of
analysis, patterns, and themes are derived from the data; Bowen (2009) argues
that the patterns, and themes emerge or are drawn from the data instead of
being forced on them before the collection and analysis of data.
In the present study, the research approach comprises a mix of both
inductive and deductive questions, where the plan entails a combination of
both approaches, therefore using the theories of Altman and CAMELS for
financial performance for purposes of predicting organisation failure.
Essentially, stability and growth is representing some form of continuity and
prosperity over the long run. The current study has used descriptive approach
to define how the organisations achieve financial stability and growth and at
the same time exploratory approach was applied to show how the firms do it.
Basically, an explanatory research approach was meant to enlighten how
stability was attained and maintain.
3.4 Sampling, Models, and Instrumentation
The sample consisted of 4 commercial banks operating in the United
Kingdom both private and government owned banks. The main private banks
included Standard Chartered Bank and Barclays Bank Limited. The
government owned banks considered included Bank of England and The
Royal Bank of Scotland. The data was developed from their audited annual
statements for the period 2012-2016. The financial data was then used to
develop parameters of each of the models. The financial statements were
downloaded from the company’s websites which the researcher perused both
income statements and statement of financial position so as to pick key
variables that were converted to respective variables for both CAMELS
Ratings and Altman Score Models where the latter was used to predict
corporate failure.
26
3.5 Data Analysis
In the data analysis, the researcher used protocols that would help to
describe and correlate findings from one dimension to the other in light of
CAMELS Ratings Model. Therefore, for the qualitative analysis the researcher
was keener to rely on summative content analysis. On the bit of quantitative
research, the focus went to the use of numerical analysis such as descriptive
statistics where central tendency and dispersion rates were estimated relying
on mean, median, mode, and standard deviation. Moreover, Pearson product
Moment Correlation, Anova and Multiple Regression Analysis were the two
inferential statistics parameters that were used. Furthermore, Excel software
program was used to analyse data. Also, it was used to make graphs and pie-
charts with the aim to present data visually for clarity purposes.
3.6 Ethical Consideration
The central ethical concern in the current study was to ensure that the
narrations and arguments devoid of plagiarism. Thus, the study which is
mainly a desk research sought to provide reference to borrowed ideas and
material used in the dissertation. Essentially, the data used for the firms was
efficiently disclosed without manipulation in order to depict the true picture of
designated banking firms. Therefore, the data used reflects what is contained
in their financial statements as availed on respective websites.
27
4.0 CHAPTER FOUR: DATA ANALYSIS
The purpose of the dissertation was to undertake a comparative-explorative analysis
of the financial performance of banks in the United Kingdom for the period 2011-
2016 basing on CAMEL Ratings; then relying on Altman Score to predict corporate
failure on identified banks. Further, the analysis sought to demonstrate the extent to
which private banks perform better than government owned banks in the United
Kingdom. The main objectives of the research have been as follows:
i. To analyse the financial performance of privately-owned banks
when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on the CAMEL Ratings
ii. To examine the possibility of corporate failure of privately-owned
banks when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on Altman Score
iii. To determine the strategic policy implications of privately-owned
banks when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom towards future financial sustainability
4.1 Overview of Data
The data was acquired from the selected banks’ audited annual reports for the period
2012-2016. Therefore, the concern of the analysis was to check for the financial
performance in the period of five months down the years in order to have sound
judgment on the status of the banks. The data in the annual reports was downloaded
from the respective banks’ official websites and through reduction process coded in
the Excel spreadsheet. Exhibits 4.1-4.4 illustrate the analysed data for the selected
banks in terms of CAMELS Ratings. In other words, they are executed analysis for
CAMELS rating after analysing the financial data traceable in appendix 1-4.
Exhibit 4.1: Raw Data for Barclays Bank
Barclays Bank 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROA 1.68% 2.12% 1.52% 1.91% 1.86%
ROE 0.06% 2.01% 1.28% 0.95% 3.96%
NIM 168.94% 86.81% 53.59% 28.60% -188.94%
Capital Adequacy 3.97% 4.83% 4.86% 5.88% 5.88%
Asset Quality 2.65% 2.89% 2.43% 2.41% 2.03%
Management Efficiency 652.03 19.02 23.60 32.55 6.75
Liquidity 8.78 0.75 2.79 2.49 2.31
28
From exhibit 4.1 above the trends for selected CAMELS Ratings for Barclays Bank is
as shown above. Earlier, the specifications for the CAMELS model had been
illustrated and for Barclays Bank it can said that each of the dimensions has been a
stable performance overtime but in other instances showing a sharp decline. For
instance, the trend for capital adequacy for Barclays Bank is as shown below.
Figure 4.1: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Capital Adequacy
The trend for capital adequacy for the Barclays Bank depicts to have been increasing
from the year 2012-2016. It means the management has been in a position to cater for
the emerging needs for additional capital for the last five years.
Another important analysis went to asset quality where the trend depicts as follows.
Figure 4.2: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Asset Quality
29
In terms of assets quality, the depiction is that Barclays Bank has had a declining trend for the
past five years. It means the management kept losing its ability to administer its assets over
the last five years.
Moving on below is a trend for Barclays Bank Management Efficiency ratio.
Figure 4.3: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Management Efficiency
The trend for management efficiency shows a very deep destabilisation. It means at Barclays
Bank the management has been losing its capability to effectively utilise the retained
earnings. In other words, the management has not been in a position to raise sufficient capital
through retained earnings for the period 2012-2016. However, between 2013-2014 there is
indication management efficiency at Barclays Bank has been having a steady growth but this
is negligible compared to the previous deep destabilisation in the period 2012-2013.
The other depiction is for liquidity which can be used to interpret the degree to which
Barclays Bank for the period 2012-2017, the management has been in a position to
effectively identify, measure or monitor its liquidity position. It is the same as the capacity of
the bank to have been able to offset its short-term obligations. The trend is a shown below.
30
Figure 4.4: Graphical trend for Barclays Bank Liquidity
The indication is that in the period 2012-2017 Barclays Bank has been having a weak
liquidity position even if in the year 2013-2014 it had shown some stronger performance.
However, since the drop in 2012-2013 the liquidity has been somewhat weak. It means the
management has not been well successful in keeping good eye on the liquidity status of the
bank overtime.
The next similar analysis shall go to the case of Standard Chartered Bank. The raw data has
also been illustrated below for the period 2012-2016.
Exhibit 4.2: Raw Data for Standard Chartered Bank
Standard Chartered Bank 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROA 2.87% 2.61% 2.34% 2.28% 2.01%
ROE 10.82% 8.97% 5.79% -4.53% -0.39%
NIM 24.82% 38.96% 52.28% 36.02% 20.29%
Capital Adequacy 7.24% 6.95% 6.44% 7.57% 7.52%
Asset Quality 1.38% 1.25% 1.60% 1.69% 1.61%
Management Efficiency 3.83 4.47 6.78 -6.96 -73.61
Liquidity 0.93 0.98 0.91 0.92 0.87
The trend for capital adequacy for Standard Charted Bank is as shown in figure 4.5 below.
31
Figure 4.5: Graphical trend for SC’s Capital Adequacy
The indication is that Standard Chartered Bank has had a growing trend for its capital
adequacy. It is an indication for increasing capacity of the management to cater for the
dynamic changing needs requiring additional capital. Indeed, inasmuch as the ability declined
in the period 012-2014 it shows to have improved in 2014-2015 though slightly declining in
2016. However, compared to Barclays Bank capital adequacy it is arguable that Standard
Chartered Bank has been struggling with its ability to generate additional capital to cater for
emerging needs in the business.
The other analysis shall look at asset quality performance at SC for the identified period. See
figure 4.6 below.
Figure 4.6: Graphical trend for SC’s Asset Quality
32
In the trend above it can be seen that asset quality at Standard Chartered Bank has actually
been stable since from 2013 down the years to 2016. Therefore, the management has been in
a position to effectively utilise its assets since 2013.
The trend of management efficiency for SC is as shown below.
Figure 4.7: Graphical trend for SC’s Management Efficiency
In the trend for management efficiency it can be seen that in 2012-2014 it has been growing
meaning at that period the management of Standard Chartered bank had capacity to generate
capital through retained earnings. However, in 2014 to 2016 the trend shows to have been
weak to even hit negative results in the year 2016. It means at present SC could be struggling
with its capital needs and the retained earnings are not sufficient to bail it. In other words, the
company lacks sufficient retained earnings to bail its capital needs.
Lastly, is the trend for liquidity for SC which has been depicted below.
33
Figure 4.8: Graphical trend for SC’s Liquidity
The liquidity performance for SC Bank shows to have been decreasing overtime meaning the
company’s management has not been in a position to effectively monitor, identify and control
the ability to cater for its current short-term obligations through its available current assets.
However, in the period 2012-2013 the trend shows to have increased but then going
downwards from 2013-2016.
The next question would be whether the CAMELS Ratings for Barclays Bank and Standard
Chartered Bank have anything in common or any correlated trends. In order to illustrate this,
a correlation matrix was developed as shown below.
Exhibit 4.3: Correlation analysis for CAMELS’ Ratings for SC and Barclays Bank
Correlation matrix (Pearson):
Barclays Bank Standard Chartered Bank
Variables Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liqu
idity
Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liqu
idity
Capital
Adequacy
1 -0.733 -0.088 0.413 0.915 0.663 -0.698 -0.647
Asset
Quality
-0.733 1 0.401 -0.739 -0.445 -0.785 0.805 0.986
Management
Efficiency
-0.088 0.401 1 0.204 -0.112 0.248 0.769 0.325
Liquidity 0.413 -0.739 0.204 1 0.018 0.947 -0.196 -0.829
Capital
Adequacy
0.915 -0.445 -0.112 0.018 1 0.323 -0.625 -0.315
Asset
Quality
0.663 -0.785 0.248 0.947 0.323 1 -0.306 -0.834
Management
Efficiency
-0.698 0.805 0.769 -0.196 -0.625 -0.306 1 0.707
Liquidity -0.647 0.986 0.325 -0.829 -0.315 -0.834 0.707 1
Values in bold are different from 0 with a significance level alpha=0.05
Source of Data: (Developed using Excel Correlation Analysis)
34
In the correlation matrix it can be seen that at no point is the trend for Barclays Bank
correlating to Standard Charted Bank; it means the CAMELS Ratings for each of the
institutions have been conditioned to the situations of the banks. In other words, the capital
adequacy, asset quality, liquidity and management efficiency for the two banks have not been
moving in the same direction. The reason for making such a judgment is due to the fact that
none of the p values are less than 0.05 which allows for 5% margin of error in terms of
claiming for a correlated trend.
Having said that the next analysis shifted to the trend covering the selected two government-
owned banks; in this case Royal Bank of Scotland and Bank of England. The raw data for the
mentioned banks is as shown below.
Exhibit 4.4: Raw Data for Bank of England
Bank of England 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROA 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
ROE 2.51% 3.28% 5.25% 5.27% 4.55%
NIM -0.55% -0.34% 0.12% 0.09% 0.12%
Capital Adequacy 1.07% 0.84% 0.76% 0.84% 1.13%
Asset Quality 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Management Efficiency 5.62 4.52 3.16 3.18 3.00
Liquidity 1.39 1.30 1.21 1.21 1.20
The trend for capital adequacy, asset quality, management efficiency and liquidity for the
Bank of England is as shown in exhibit 4.5 for the period 2012-2016. The trend is as shown
below using a graphical model for each of the CAMELS Ratings as estimated.
Figure 4.9: Graphical trend for BoE Capital Adequacy
35
Looking at the trend for the capital adequacy for the Bank of England, it can be seen that
from 2012-2014 it has been declining but then gradually rising towards 2016. It means
despite the decline from 2012-2014 the management of BoE has been capable of addressing
requirements for additional capital.
Figure 4.10: Graphical trend for BoE Asset Quality
In the case for Asset Quality the indication is that BoE has not had challenges nor successes
in terms of the management’s capacity to administer effectively the assets. The trend
indicates a neutral performance more or less.
Figure 4.11: Graphical trend for BoE Management Efficiency
Moving on is the performance for management efficiency for BoE which depicts to have
declined in the period 2012-2014 then rising a bit towards 2015 and slightly declining again
towards 2016; probably, this can be attributed to the BREXIT effect but just as an
36
unsubstantiated assumption. All the same, the indication is that at BoE the management
seemed to have had slight challenges in providing for required capital via retained earnings.
Figure 4.12: Graphical trend for BoE Liquidity
The trend for liquidity for BoE shows to have the same movement with that for management
efficiency. For instance, it depicts to have declined towards 2016. The overall judgment is
that the management for BoE has not effectively controlled and monitored the liquidity
position of the bank over time.
The other analysis shall go to the CAMELS Ratings for the Royal Bank of Scotland. The raw
data results are as shown below.
Exhibit 4.5: Raw data for Royal Bank of Scotland
Royal Bank of Scotland 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
ROA 1.23% 1.05% 0.95% 1.58% 1.58%
ROE 99.80% 94.53% 49.81% 382.07% 752.49%
NIM 51.40% 41.37% 36.95% 55.80% 61.70%
Capital Adequacy 0.28% 0.31% 0.54% 0.17% 0.09%
Asset Quality 1.14% 2.19% 3.16% 4.15% 1.98%
Management Efficiency 0.68 0.44 -1.04 1.00 0.42
Liquidity 1.27 1.23 1.19 1.06 1.00
Capital adequacy performance for the RBS is as shown in figure 4.12. It depicts stability as
from 2013-2014 but then declining in the years 2015-2016. It means the management
somewhat struggled with addressing capital needs for the bank in the period 2014-2016. See
the trend below.
37
Figure 4.13: Graphical trend for RBS for Capital Adequacy
In terms of asset quality, the trend in figure 4.13 shows that in 2012-2015 it has been stable
and in the path 2016 showing to be a declining performance. All in all, it can be asserted that
the management of RBS has been consistent in effectively administering its assets despite the
decline in 2016.
Figure 4.14: Graphical trend for RBS for Asset Quality
38
In figure 4.14 below, the depiction is that from 2012-2014 the trend for management
efficiency has been a deep decline. It means at this period RBS management was not capable
of providing needed capital through the available retained earnings. But, the trend further
indicates that RBS had improved its management efficiency from 2014-2015 but then
declining one more time towards 2016.
Figure 4.15: Graphical trend for RBS for Management Efficiency
The liquidity performance for RBS as shown in figure 4.15 below indicates to have been
slightly going down from 2012-2016. It is indication that the management of the bank has not
sufficiently been in a position to identify, monitor and control the liquidity position of the
company.
Figure 4.16: Graphical trend for RBS for Liquidity
39
The next analysis was to show if there was any linearity between the trends for Bank of
England and Royal Bank of Scotland for their reductions made for its CAMEL Ratings.
Therefore, a correlation analysis was administered and the results are as shown in exhibit 4.6
below.
Exhibit 4.6: Correlation analysis between performance for RBS and BoE
Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity
Capital
Adequacy
1
Asset
Quality
-0.6776 1
Management
Efficiency
-0.7712 0.3128 1
Liquidity -0.6770 0.1102 0.9680 1
Capital
Adequacy
0.4963 -0.3890 0.1060 0.1106 1
Asset
Quality
0.6841 -0.8068 -0.3727 -0.1440 0.2552 1
Management
Efficiency
-0.6410 0.8211 0.3005 0.2191 -0.5670 -0.3772 1
Liquidity -0.5117 0.9723 0.1433 -0.0815 -0.2956 -0.8145 0.7103 1
The shaded region is the point where RBS and BoE data can be compared linearly; for
instance, capital adequacy (0.4963), asset quality (-0.8068), management efficiency (0.3005)
and liquidity (-0.0815) depicts variations in linearity relationship. However, the actual
interpretation is that capital adequacy and management efficiency have been a moderate
linearity for BoE and RBS and asset quality and liquidity been a weak but negative linearity.
4.2 Descriptive Statistics
The descriptive statistics for the data specially to estimate the measure of central tendency
and dispersion rates in the financial information used for CAMELS Rating has been
developed next. This and more to be explicated in due course.
Exhibit 4.7: Descriptive Statistics for Barclays Bank
Barclays
Bank
Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity
Mean 0.0508 0.0248 146.7900 3.4240
Median 0.0486 0.0243 23.6000 2.4900
Standard
Deviation
0.0081 0.0032 282.5909 3.0965
Range 0.0191 0.0086 645.2800 8.0300
Minimum 0.0397 0.0203 6.7500 0.7500
Maximum 0.0588 0.0289 652.0300 8.7800
Sum 0.2542 0.1241 733.9500 17.1200
Count 5 5 5 5
40
The descriptive statistics for Barclays Bank data depicts that the mean for capital adequacy
has been (.0508) and asset quality been at (0.0248), management efficiency (146.79) and
liquidity (3.4240). Only the standard deviation for management efficiency (282.59) show to
be greater than the mean implying that it has been the financial parameter that has deviated
from the mean performance.
Exhibit 4.8: Descriptive Statistics for Standard Chartered Bank
Standard
Chartered
Bank
Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity
Mean 0.0714 0.0151 -13.0980 0.9220
Median 0.0724 0.0160 3.8300 0.9200
Standard
Deviation
0.0047 0.0018 34.2407 0.0396
Range 0.0113 0.0044 80.3900 0.1100
Minimum 0.0644 0.0125 -73.6100 0.8700
Maximum 0.0757 0.0169 6.7800 0.9800
Sum 0.3572 0.0753 -65.4900 4.6100
Count 5 5 5 5
The mean performance for Standard Chartered Bank has been captured: for instance, capital
adequacy (0.0714), asset quality (0.0151), management efficiency (-13.0980) and liquidity
(0.9220). However, the management efficiency also showing a standard deviation of 34.2407
which means it was the parameter that exceedingly deviated from the mean performance.
Exhibit 4.9: Descriptive Statistics for Bank of England
Bank of
England
Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity
Mean 0.0093 0.0000 3.8960 1.2620
Median 0.0084 0.0000 3.1800 1.2100
Standard
Deviation
0.0016 0.0000 1.1422 0.0823
Range 0.0037 0.0000 2.6200 0.1900
Minimum 0.0076 0.0000 3.0000 1.2000
Maximum 0.0113 0.0000 5.6200 1.3900
Sum 0.0464 0.0000 19.4800 6.3100
Count 5 5 5 5
41
Exhibit 4.10: Descriptive Statistics for Royal Bank of Scotland
Royal
Bank of
Scotland
Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity
Mean 0.0028 0.0252 0.3000 1.1500
Median 0.0028 0.0219 0.4400 1.1900
Standard
Deviation
0.0017 0.0116 0.7849 0.1151
Range 0.0045 0.0301 2.0400 0.2700
Minimum 0.0009 0.0114 -1.0400 1.0000
Maximum 0.0054 0.0415 1.0000 1.2700
Sum 0.0139 0.1262 1.5000 5.7500
Count 5 5 5 5
For the Bank of Scotland, the mean performance for the financial parameters depicts capital
adequacy (.0028), asset quality (.0252), management efficiency (.3000), and liquidity
(1.1500). The standard deviation for management efficiency is at 0.7849 indicating to be the
parameter that was not consistent to the mean performance.
Inference 1: The judgment from the descriptive statistics is that only management efficiency
for all the banks i.e. privately-owned and government-controlled that shows to have
increasingly deviated from the mean performance
4.3 Further analysis on CAMELS Model Application to Banks
4.3.1 Applications based on correlation analysis
In order to discuss further on CAMELS Ratings explained above, the researcher will then
move to introducing detailed correlations and regressions so as to confirm how the financial
performance of the selected banks have impacted on key profitability trends namely ROE,
ROA and NIM. In fact, from the onset it was noted that the three would be adopted as the
main dependent variables in the quest to determine the influence of the selected CAMEL
Ratings to the profitability of the banks.
ROA = f (CA, L, AQ, ME) ……. (Model One)
ROE = f (CA, L, AQ, ME) ……. (Model Two)
NIM = f (CA, L, AQ, ME) ……. (Model Three)
The three models are the way in which the regression model may be effected and
determination made as to whether capital adequacy, liquidity, asset quality and management
efficiency have positively influenced the different profitability measures for private-owned
banks and government owned banks and whether the same has differences. In other words,
have private-owned banks had positive influence on profitability performance than
42
government owned banks? Or vice versa? The detailed analysis shall be developed in due
course of the report.
However, for the purpose of the present dissertation on the equation model II was
implemented and hopefully the two other equation models may be pursued in future research.
Exhibit 4.11: Correlation analysis for Barclays Bank
Correlation matrix (Pearson):
Variables ROA ROE NIM Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Managemen
t Efficiency
Liquidit
y
ROA 1 0.353 -0.156 0.345 0.297 -0.336 -0.521
ROE 0.353 1 -0.912 0.641 -0.585 -0.632 -0.615
NIM -0.156 -0.912 1 -0.811 0.851 0.603 0.499
Capital
Adequacy
0.345 0.641 -0.811 1 -0.678 -0.771 -0.677
Asset Quality 0.297 -0.585 0.851 -0.678 1 0.313 0.110
Management
Efficiency
-0.336 -0.632 0.603 -0.771 0.313 1 0.968
Liquidity -0.521 -0.615 0.499 -0.677 0.110 0.968 1
Values in bold are different from 0 with a significance level alpha=0.05
The shaded region features the area that can be used to make judgment on the level at which
ROA, ROE and NIM can be justifiably said to have linear relationship to capital adequacy,
asset quality, management efficiency and liquidity of Barclays Bank. Clearly, only capital
adequacy and ROA (.345) and ROE (.641) indicate a moderate and strong linearity meaning
they positively have moved in the same trend performance. It means better performance of
capital adequacy has been a better performance for ROA and NIM. But, NIM (-0.811) shows
a negative and weak linearity meaning there is inverse relationship to capital adequacy at
Barclays Bank. Moving on, asset quality shows to have a positive linearity to ROA (0.297)
and NIM (0.851); management efficiency (.603) and liquidity (.499) also depict a positive
and strong linear relationship with NIM. However, a negative linearity is evident between
asset quality (-.585) and ROE, management efficiency (-.632) and ROE; the same case
applying to liquidity (-.521) which shows negative linearity to ROA and liquidity (-.615) and
ROE. In general outlook, it can be assumed to be a strong argument that asset quality,
management efficiency and liquidity at Barclays Bank has not significantly related to the
performance under ROE and ROA of the bank but has been positive to NIM.
43
Exhibit 4.12: Correlation analysis for Standard Chartered Bank
Correlation matrix (Pearson):
Variables ROA ROE NIM Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity
ROA 1 0.808 0.040 -0.252 -0.740 0.739 0.721
ROE 0.808 1 0.115 -0.577 -0.837 0.511 0.585
NIM 0.040 0.115 1 -0.809 0.074 0.660 0.305
Capital Adequacy -0.252 -0.577 -0.809 1 0.255 -0.567 -0.296
Asset Quality -0.740 -0.837 0.074 0.255 1 -0.377 -0.815
Management
Efficiency
0.739 0.511 0.660 -0.567 -0.377 1 0.710
Liquidity 0.721 0.585 0.305 -0.296 -0.815 0.710 1
Values in bold are different from 0 with a significance level alpha=0.05
For the case of Standard Chartered Bank, it shows capital adequacy and ROA (-.252), ROE (-
.577) and NIM (-.809) have not had supported relationship. The same case for asset quality
where ROA (-.740), ROE (-.837) show a negative linearity and only a weak but positive
relationship can be justified for NIM (.074). Moving on management efficiency depicts to
have strong significant relationship to ROA (.739), ROE (.511) and NIM (.660); the same
case for liquidity given the significance results for ROA (.721), ROE (.585) and NIM (.305).
Compared to Barclays Bank, capital adequacy, asset quality, management efficiency and
liquidity depict a stronger and significant relationship to profitability performance.
That been said the next analysis shall go to correlation analysis for government-led banks
selected in the report. They included Bank of England and Royal Bank of Scotland.
Exhibit 4.13: Correlation analysis for Bank of England (BoE)
Bank of England ROA ROE NIM Capital
Adequac
y
Asset
Quality
Managemen
t Efficiency
Liquidit
y
ROA 1
ROE 0.3525 1
NIM -0.1556 -0.9118 1
Capital Adequacy 0.3448 0.6409 -0.8109 1
Asset Quality 0.2971 -0.5846 0.8507 -0.6776 1
Management
Efficiency
-0.3361 -0.6316 0.6032 -0.7712 0.3128 1
Liquidity -0.5211 -0.6151 0.4986 -0.6770 0.1102 0.9680 1
The correlation matrix for Bank of England captures the degree to which capital adequacy,
asset quality, management efficiency and liquidity relate to ROA, ROE and NIM have been
44
captured. Clearly, capital adequacy shows positive relationship to ROA (.3448) and ROE
(.6409) but a negative correlation to NIM (-.8109). Asset quality and NIM (.8507) depict a
significant and strong correlation and the same been evident under management efficiency
and NIM (.6032) and liquidity and NIM (.4986).
Exhibit 4.14: Correlation analysis for Royal Bank of Scotland
Royal Bank of
Scotland
ROA ROE NIM Capital
Adequacy
Asset
Quality
Management
Efficiency
Liquidity
ROA 1
ROE 0.8599 1
NIM 0.9584 0.8630 1
Capital Adequacy -0.9117 -0.8197 -0.9359 1
Asset Quality 0.1917 0.0536 -0.0908 0.1009 1
Management
Efficiency
0.6916 0.3667 0.6960 -0.8281 -0.0968 1
Liquidity -0.8114 -0.9186 -0.7076 0.6511 -0.4350 -0.2153 1
In the case of Bank of England, the evident observation is that management efficiency has
positive and significant relationship to ROA (.6916), ROE (.3667) and NIM (.6960). It is the
main financial parameter within CAMEL Ratings that shows to have significant positive
relationship to profitability of the bank. Asset quality, on the other hand, shows to have weak
but positive linear relationship to ROA (.1917) and ROE (.05360). All other financial
parameters such as capital adequacy and liquidity have all the instances showing negative
linear relationship with various levels of the RBS profitability trend.
4.3.2 Applications based on regression analysis
In the regression model the focus is to practically determine the three model equations
illustrated earlier on the link across NIM, ROA, and ROE to capital adequacy, liquidity,
management efficiency and asset quality. The regression results are as depicted in exhibit
4.15-4.18. But, it was stated earlier that the following equation model would be considered.
ROE = f (CA, L, AQ, ME) ……. (Model Two)
However, due to regression error occasioned by few observations in the data portfolio i.e.
because the years covered were 2012-2016 the outputs could not be generated sufficiently.
Therefore, it was difficult to analyse the values for Anova and beta values in the regression
models for each bank. In that case, the researcher could not proceed to state whether model
two equation could be acceptable to arrive at any decisions for single banks. Principally
speaking, the regression analysis was not effectively executed in the present dissertation
basing on individual banks but a random model was done for the two banks combined to be
45
able to make a general evaluation on the banks. The results for Barclays Bank combined with
Standard Chartered Bank are as shown below.
Exhibit 4.15: Regression Analysis 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.8213
R Square 0.6746
Adjusted R Square 0.4143
Standard Error 0.0352
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Significan
ce F
Regression 4 0.0128 0.0032 2.5916 0.1622
Residual 5 0.0062 0.0012
Total 9 0.0190
Coefficien
ts
Standar
d Error t Stat P-value
Lower
95%
Upper
95%
Lower
95.0%
Upper
95.0%
ROE 0.7289 0.2452 2.9721 0.0311 0.0985 1.3593 0.0985 1.3593
Capital Adequacy -6.4704 2.5349 -2.5526 0.0511 -12.9864 0.0457
-
12.9864 0.0457
Asset Quality -13.4465 4.5918 -2.9284 0.0327 -25.2500 -1.6429
-
25.2500 -1.6429
Management
Efficiency 0.0001 0.0002 0.4307 0.6847 -0.0004 0.0006 -0.0004 0.0006
Liquidity -0.0194 0.0181 -1.0706 0.3333 -0.0659 0.0271 -0.0659 0.0271
The output for the adjusted R Square gives a result of 0.4143 meaning 41.43% of the cases
for capital adequacy, asset quality, management efficiency and liquidity of Barclays Bank
and Standard Chartered Bank explains the trend for ROE. Therefore, it can be concluded that
the two selected private banks do receive as much as 41.43% of support from the CAMEL
Ratings threshold in creating wealth for the shareholders. Moving on, is the output for the
Anova which shows to be at 0.1622; that shows a low significance meaning the entire
regression model is spurious i.e. nonsense and cannot be used to determine or make decision
on the argument that ROE for Barclays Bank and Standard Chartered Bank has been
positively influenced or contributed to by capital adequacy, asset quality, management
efficiency and liquidity status of the two firms. Due to this the researcher concluded that it is
46
a weak argument to posit a positive relationship between ROE and the four parameters
mentioned within CAMELS Ratings threshold in the selected banks.
Having said that the regression results for Bank of England combined with Royal Bank of
Scotland are as shown below.
Exhibit 4.16: Regression Analysis 2
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9141
R Square 0.8356
Adjusted R Square 0.7041
Standard Error 1.3298
Observations 10.0000
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Significan
ce F
Regression 4.0000 44.9395 11.2349 6.3533 0.0339
Residual 5.0000 8.8417 1.7683
Total 9.0000 53.7812
Coefficien
ts
Standard
Error t Stat P-value
Lower
95%
Upper
95%
Lower
95.0%
Upper
95.0%
ROE 21.5303 6.4321 3.3473 0.0204 4.9959 38.0646 4.9959 38.0646
Capital Adequacy -440.9473 215.6353 -2.0449 0.0963 -995.2554 113.3607
-
995.2554 113.3607
Asset Quality -8.0888 51.6483 -0.1566 0.8817 -140.8550 124.6774
-
140.8550 124.6774
Management
Efficiency 0.5445 0.3860 1.4105 0.2175 -0.4478 1.5368 -0.4478 1.5368
Liquidity -15.3500 5.4725 -2.8049 0.0378 -29.4175 -1.2824 -29.4175 -1.2824
The results for the Adjusted R Square are at .7041; it means for the government-owned banks
approximately 70.41% of ROE is explained by the trend for capital adequacy, asset quality,
management efficiency and liquidity. This shows a greater effect compared to Barclays Bank
and Standard Chartered Bank on basis of the results for the adjusted R Square. It is also
representative that there is more goodness-of-fit between ROE and capital adequacy, asset
quality, management efficiency and liquidity for government-owned banks compared to
privately-managed banks. Moving on, the Anova results indicate a significance value of
0.0339 which is a reason to take the entire regression model acceptable towards making
decisions on the issues in question. Better still; the model supports the model that ROE for
government-controlled banks in the UK can be attributed to trends in the parameters within
47
CAMELS Ratings. However, looking at each of the p-values for the regression only liquidity
(β = -15.3500, P-Value = .0378) shows to have significant influence to ROE but capital
adequacy (β = -440.95, P-Value = .0963), management efficiency (β = .5445, P-Value =
.2175) and asset quality (β = -8.0888, P-Value = .8817) do not because their significance
levels exceed the 5% margin of error required to rejected the null hypothesis: in this case, that
ROE has been positively influenced by the latter four financial parameters as envisioned in
the CAMELS Ratings.
4.3.3 Predicting Corporate Failure using Altman Score
As indicated earlier, the current dissertation intended to evaluate the degree of corporate
failure for the selected banks using Altman Score model. The Altman Z-score serves as a test
for credit–strength that can be used to check for the potential for bankruptcy. In
implementing the Altman Z score the main financial data and analysis based on the bank’s
annual reports. For instance, financial ratios such as liquidity, profitability, leverage, activity
and solvency were used in predicting the extent of probability of any of the institutions been
solvent. In other words, whether private-banks have high likelihood to be insolvent compared
to those that are directly government-controlled. It is worth stating that prediction of
corporate failure was applied on financial period 2016; the results are as shown below.
Exhibit 4.17: Altman Score Analysis and Implementation
Parameters Bank of
England
Royal Bank of
Scotland
Barclays
Bank
Standard
Chartered Bank
Working Capital 4,590 54717 49208 35,104
Total Assets 405,758 74413 1213126 646,692
Retained Earnings 3,011 7,995 30,531 48,658
EBIT 233,000 2214 3,230 409
Market Value of Equity 4,590 54,717 71,365 48,658
Total Liabilities 401,168 19696 1141761 598,034
Sales 626,000 14,606 14,541 13,010
Current Assets 405,758 74413 1125677 632,173
Current Liabilities 401,168 19696 1076469 597,069
Bank of
England
Royal Bank of
Scotland
Barclays
Bank
Standard
Chartered Bank
Constant Z
Score
Return to Assets 0.5742 0.0298 0.0027 0.0006 3.3
Sales to Total Assets 1.5428 0.1963 0.0120 0.0201 1
Equity to Debt 0.0114 2.7781 0.0625 0.0814 0.6
Working Capital to
Total Assets
0.0113 0.7353 0.0406 0.0543 1.2
Retained Earnings to
Total Assets
0.0074 0.1074 0.0252 0.0752 1.4
Altman Scores 3.4686 2.9941 0.1422 0.2415
48
The Altman scores indicate differences in the case for government-led banks and private-
managed banks. For instance, the Bank of England has an Altman score of 3.4686 compared
to the Royal Bank of Scotland at 2.9941. The two scores exceed the threshold for > 2.99
meaning they are financially sound and they do not cause panic for bankruptcy in the future.
However, both the Barclays Bank and Standard Chartered Bank indicate to have the Altman
Scores below 1.81 threshold. For instance, the former approximates at .1422 and the latter
.2415 which means they risk bankruptcy in the future. Generally, the comparative judgment
is that government-owned banks depict no fears for corporate failure while those with
minimal government influence risk bankruptcy.
49
5.0 CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSION, IMPLICATIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS
In the dissertation, the findings so far depict varying trends in the case of private-managed
banks in this case Barclays Bank and Standard Chartered Bank and government-led banks
which included Royal Bank of Scotland and Bank of England. From a far it has been evident
that at some point government-led banks have had a better performance and private-managed
banks exhibiting weak financial performance. On the other hand, government-led banks
depicting low potential for going bankruptcy whilst private-led banks showing high degree of
bankruptcy.
In the introduction part of the dissertation, the purpose was to develop a critical assessment of
the financial performance of government-owned and privately-owned banks in the United
Kingdom relying on CAMELS Ratings and Altman Score. The understanding of the category
of banks was provided for in the definition part of the dissertation so as to eliminate possible
misunderstanding the reader would have over what constituted a private bank and a
government-owned bank. That been the case, the private banks picked from the many of them
were the Standard Chartered Bank and Barclays Bank. On the other hand, the government-
owned banks selected from a number were Bank of England and Royal Bank of Scotland.
The key objectives sought in the research included:
i. To analyse the financial performance of privately-owned banks
when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on the CAMEL Ratings
ii. To examine the possibility of corporate failure of privately-owned
banks when compared to government-owned banks in the United
Kingdom basing on Altman Score
iii. To recommend strategic paths for both privately-owned banks and
government-owned banks in the United Kingdom towards future
financial sustainability
In a successful manner, the researcher managed to address each of the objectives using
appropriate models and demonstrated how the selected banks scored. In the process of
implementing the models the variables were split into dependent and independent so as to
demonstrate fully the stature of the financial performances of selected banks in terms of
capital adequacy, liquidity, asset quality and management efficiency where these were the
main parameters used to effect the CAMELS Ratings. From the findings it was established
that for Barclays Bank capital adequacy has been positive upwards which was constructed to
50
mean that the management had not had difficulties raising capital to cater for the emerging
needs.
On the contrary, sharp drops were evident in Barclays Bank in terms of asset quality,
management efficiency and liquidity. Therefore, the conclusion is that for the bank the
management has been struggling in effectively utilising its assets, optimising its retained
earnings and capacity to offset current liabilities using available current assets. For that
reason, the researcher concluded that Barclays Bank as a sample representative of private-
owned banks in the United Kingdom does not show positive performance basing on key
CAMELS Ratings. However, only capital adequacy did show that Barclays Bank still
financially sound but in the respect to effective use of its capital generated.
In the case of Standard Chartered Bank, the trend for capital adequacy showed drops and
rises leading to the conclusion that the firm has been focused on making optimal use of the
capital available. In other words, the bank has managed to maintain a solid capital base
especially in the period 2014-2015. A good performance was seen to happen in the case of
asset quality for Standard Chartered Bank given the growth in the period 2013-2016; this can
be termed as an indication of the management’s capacity to make good use of the assets
available in the company. However, the indications were that for Standard Chartered Bank
the capacity for the management to effectively utilise retained earnings has been weak; in the
same respect, the ability to make good use of the short-term assets to cater for short-term
obligations equally depicted to have been decreasing or rather weakening overtime.
From the CAMELS Ratings analysis, the researcher observed that Barclays Bank and
Standard Chartered Bank have had financial challenges that need to be looked into to
safeguard the interests of shareholders. In fact, moving to further analysis and developments
the government-managed banks also indicated to have weak performance in various aspects
of financial performances as envisaged in CAMELS Ratings. For instance, the Bank of
England showed positive performance for its capital adequacy given the rise from 2014-2016.
But then all other aspects of financial performance such as management efficiency, liquidity
and asset quality all seemed to drop being an indication for positive performance. In the same
respect, despite the rises in RBS financial performance, the trends depict weak outputs
towards 2016 for capital adequacy, asset quality, management efficiency and liquidity. Due
to this, a conclusion ran that even the government-led selected banks in the United Kingdom
have experienced weak financial performance just as private-managed banks. For that reason,
51
paving way for equal appraisal for strategic decisions that banks across the board should
embrace to keep the revenues rising among other key performance indicators.
In connection to the findings above the analysis carried out in the present dissertation
indicated that it was not feasible to justify the contributions of capital adequacy, asset quality,
management efficiency, and liquidity towards return on equity (ROE) in the case of selected
private banks combined. Therefore, basing on the regression model undertaken in exhibit
4.15 the researcher could not justify the feasibility of a relationship between ROE and the
four financial parameters envisioned in CAMELS Ratings for Standard Chartered Bank and
Barclays Bank. This is a wakeup call to the management of the two banks to reflect in-depth
how they can enhance the capital base, increase cash flows or generally current assets and
effectively utilise the assets and retained earnings. This could be initiated through cost-
cutting measures so as to enjoy better margins. Moreover, the management for the selected
private-banks can renew its credit and lending policies so as to go for collateralised loans
because the enterprises could be losing due to defaulted loan repayments from customers. In
other words, the private-banks may consider creating more revenue streams through service
innovation and product innovation.
Contrary to the case of private banks, the assessment carried out on the Bank of England and
Royal Bank of Scotland indicated that ROE for the latter two have positively been influenced
by capital adequacy, liquidity, management efficiency, and asset quality. It means, the two
banks have been in a position to boost its profitability path for ROE supported by the four
financial indicators envisioned under CAMELS Ratings. It is due to this reason the researcher
rated financial performance of government-led banks to have a better financial performance
when compared to private-led banks. In fact, this can be supported by Altman Scores which
indicated that Barclays Bank and Standard Chartered Bank have a high risk of going bankrupt
compared to Royal Bank of Scotland and Bank of England. In that regard, private banks in
the United Kingdom require more financial stability to avoid future collapse. The
management for private banks need to be further conscious of the ongoing utilisation of
capital, retained earnings and assets so to directly contribute to the profitability of the
enterprises.
5.1 Recommendations
The strategic recommendations are as follows:
1) Private-banks and Government-led banks in the United Kingdom to focus on
increasing their revenue streams to boost income; probably, make interest income just
52
40% of the entire income and other revenue to derive from other investing activities.
In that case, defaulting from loan repayments would not have significant effects on
the income since it would be boosted by other sources.
2) The private banks and Government-led banks in the United Kingdom to monitor their
business environment externally. The effects of BREXIT, for instance, need to be
deliberated upon by the board of all banks and other external business issues; this way
enable the management of banks to keep proper evaluation and controls that will
ensure they keep eye on the financial performances
5.2 Limitations
However, the project suffered a number of limitations as follows:
i. The selection of four banks was a small sample to have made conclusive and
objective judgment about financial of banks in the United Kingdom. Thus, it would
have been much sound to have relied on a large sample. But, a large sample would
have required more data collection and analysis rendering the entire research
cumbersome.
ii. The data was extracted from annual reports as audited for the respective banks.
However, not all data was clear especially for the two selected government-led banks.
In that case, due to inconsistent financial data, the analysis developed so far may have
suffered a few errors of the actual position in the banks. This may have weakened the
reliability and validity of the findings in this dissertation.
53
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