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09/04/2010 USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling 1 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark Chemical fate modelling Overview of typical mass balance concepts and introduction to transport and degradation rate calculations as well as matrix solutions Assistant professor Morten Birkved [email protected] 09/04/2010 USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling 2 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark Learning objective and outline Objectives: • To understand what fate modelling is • To understand the role of fate modelling in USEtox • To understand how fate modelling is applied in USEtox Outline 1.What is chemical fate 2.Chemical fate processes 3.What is chemical fate modelling 4.How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox 5.Exercise 6.Presentation of solution to exercise 7.Questions 09/04/2010 USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling 3 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark What is chemical fate A matter of (important) details? 09/04/2010 USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling 4 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark What is chemical fate modelling Do we need fate and exposure models in LCA? Fate and exposure models serves one purpose only in impact assessment of chemical emissions: Prediction of chemical behavior in the environment The prediction power of the chemical fate and exposure models facilitates the quantification of the marginal toxicological impacts occurring in LCIA caused by chemical emissions. 09/04/2010 USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling 5 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark What is chemical fate A matter of chance? ? 09/04/2010 USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling 6 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark What is chemical fate A matter of chance?
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09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling1 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modellingOverview of typical mass balance concepts and introduction to transport and degradation rate calculations as well as matrix solutions

Assistant professorMorten [email protected]

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling2 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Learning objective and outlineObjectives:• To understand what fate modelling is• To understand the role of fate modelling in USEtox• To understand how fate modelling is applied in USEtox

Outline1.What is chemical fate 2.Chemical fate processes3.What is chemical fate modelling4.How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox5.Exercise6.Presentation of solution to exercise7.Questions

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling3 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fateA matter of (important) details?

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling4 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fate modellingDo we need fate and exposure models in LCA?

Fate and exposure models serves one purpose only in impact assessment of chemical emissions:

Prediction of chemical behavior in the environment

The prediction power of the chemical fate and exposure models facilitates the quantification of the marginal toxicological impacts occurring in LCIA caused by chemical emissions.

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling5 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fateA matter of chance?

?

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling6 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fateA matter of chance?

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling7 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fateSeverity of chemical emissionsa)What main fate properties determines the fate pattern of a

chemical emission - i.e. which overall properties controls the fate of a chemical emission?

1. It’s mobility (transport potential)2. Is ability to avoid degradation (persistence)

b)What factors determines the severity/impact potential of a chemical emission – i.e. which factors controls the impact potential of a chemical emission?

1. It’s toxicity (affinity for a specific receptor)2. It’s exposure pattern (availability to interact with a receptor)3. It’s fate pattern (ability to reach (i.e. mobility) and have time (i.e.

persistence) to interact with a receptor)

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling8 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fateAdressing chemical behaviour in the environment in LCAAssessment resolution:”Single compound” assessment (CAS number resolution)

Impact potential

IP = Q × CF

Assessment of ecotoxicological impacts :

CF = EF × FF × XF

Assessment of human toxicologicalimpacts:

CF = EF × FF × XF = EF × IF

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling9 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fateRole of fate models in LCA

Air

WaterSoil

Sediment Direct source term

Inter-media transfer factors

Degradation

Plant

+

Inhalation

Ingestion

Environmental distribution of chemical – resulting human exposure

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling10 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

What is chemical fateRole of fate and exposure in LCIA

Emissions into compartment m

Time integrated concentration in n

Dose taken in

Risk of affectedpersons

Damage onhuman health

Chemicalfate

Humanexposure

Potency(Dose -

response)

Concentration - response

Fraction transferred to n

Severity

Speciesexposure - intake

Potentially affectedfraction of species

Intakefraction

iF

Effectfactor

Fate factor

Time and spaceintegrateddamage onecosystems

Severity

Effectfactor

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling11 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate processesMajor grouping

Biological processes•Biodegradation/bio-transformation

•Biotransfer

Abiotical processes•Degradation•Sorption•Advection•Convection

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling12 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate processesMultimedia partioning of chemicals

-15

-13

-11

-9

-7

-5

-3

-1

1

3

5

-3 -1 1 3 5 7 9

Log(Kow)

log

(Kaw

)

4

6

8

waterSolid

water and solid

solid and air

water and air

air

multimedia

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling13 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modellingNested models

Huijbregts et al. 2010

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling14 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modellingModelling principles – model approaches

[A]i or j

time

Compartment i

Compartment j

Ki/j

j

ii/j

[A]

[A]K

Ki/j

Ki/j

Ki/j

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling15 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modellingModelling principles – model approaches

[A]i

time

Steady state 0dt

d[A]i

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling16 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modellingModelling principles – model approaches

Mackay (2001)

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling17 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modellingMass balance modelLavoisier principle of mass conservation:

« In all operations of nature, matter cannot be created/destroyed, although it may be rearranged. This implies that for any chemical process in a closed system, the mass of the reactants must equal the mass of the products »

AirIN OUT

dM/dt = In - Out

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling18 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modelling Basic processes for environmental mass balance modelingINPUTS

– Emission or Source, Sm [kg/hour]– Intermedia transfer rate coefficient ki,m [hour-1]

• From other compartments• From outside the system

OUTPUTS– Intermedia transfer rate coefficient km,i [hour-1]

• To other compartments• Burial processes into deep sediments• Advection out of the system

TRANSFORMATION– Degradation processes km,deg [hour-1]

• biodegr., hydrolysis, photolyis, etc.

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling19 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Air

S k·M

IN OUT

dM/dt = 0

Emission rate: S [kg/day]

Mass in compartment: M [kg]

Removal rate coefficient: k [per day]

(fraction of mass eliminated per day)

S =

Chemical fate modelling Equilibrium and/or Steady state: IN = OUT

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling20 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Air

k∙M

OUT

Removal rate coefficient: k [day‐1]

(fraction of mass eliminated per day)

Half‐life: ½ [day]

(days to eliminate half of mass)

½ = ln(2)/k

Chemical fate modelling Rate Constant - Half-life Relationship

dM/dt = ‐k ∙M

Per definition:  M(½ )/M(0)=0.5

dM/dt = In ‐ Out

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling21 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Chemical fate modelling Removal rate coefficients k

Air kout

ka,i

ka,deg

a,degi

ia,a,outtota, kkkk 321 R

1

R

1

R

1

R

1

Like electric resistances

Units = time 321 ½,½,½,½,

1111

tot

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling22 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

= · +)( tM

k M

S

SkM ‐1 0dt

dM a

Dynamic:

Steady State:

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtoxMatrix Algebra Solution Dynamic and steady state solution

w

a

totwaw

wata

w

a

S

S

kk

kk

M

M1

1,

,

Source vector (kg/h)

Mass vector (kg)

Rate coefficient matrix (1/h)

Air

Water

WaterAir

Fate factor matrix

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling23 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtoxExercise: Fate of TCE in a two-compart. Syst.

23

Trichloroethylene (TCE) is a colourless, somewhat toxic, volatile liquid belonging to the family of organic halogen compounds. It is a chemical widely used in industry as a solvent in dry cleaning, in degreasing of metal objects, and in extraction processes, such as removal of caffeine from coffee or of fats and waxes from cotton and wool

water

air

Water outflow = 2 · 107 m3/d 

Water volume = 3 · 109 m3

TCE emissions to water = 590 kg/d 

Air outflow =1.45 · 1012 m3/d 

Atmospheric degradation half‐life =   15 daysAquatic degradation half life = 150 days 

Air volume = 2.5 · 1011 m3

kadv,a =

kadv,w =

kdeg,w =

kdeg,a =

Air‐to‐water transfer factor, kaw = 5.57 · 10‐3 days‐1

Water‐to‐air transfer factor, kwa = 1.91 · 10‐1 days‐1

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling24 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compart. syst.

Q1) Determine the total rate coefficients in air and water?

Q2) Which is the dominant removal pathway in air and in water respectively?

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling25 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compart. syst.

25

Q3: Determine the Mass (or Concentration in air and water respectively)?

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling26 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

Solutions

26

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling27 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark 27

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system - Q1

Conversions of half‐lives to rate coefficients

Atmospheric degradation half‐l ife  τ½ (degA)= 15 days kdegA=ln(2)/τ½ (degA)= 0,0462 days‐1

Aquatic degradation half‐l ife τ½ (degW)= 150 days kdegw=ln(2)/τ½ (degW)= 0,00462 days‐1

Half‐lives Rate constants for degradation

Calculation of rate costants for advective loss

Air

Vair= 2,50E+11 m3

Fair= 1,45E+12 m3/d Fair/Vair= 5,80 days

‐1

Water

Vwater= 3,00E+09 m3

Fwater= 2,00E+07 m3/d Fwater/Vwater= 0,0067 days

‐1

Volume Advective flow Rate constant for advective loss

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling28 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark 28

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system - Q1

Loss process Rate constant Loss process Rate constant

Advection 5,8000 days‐1

Advection 0,0067 days‐1

Degradation 0,0462 days‐1

Degradation 0,0046 days‐1

Inter‐media exchange (air→water) 0,0056 days‐1

Inter‐media exchange (water→air) 0,1910 days‐1

Total 5,85 days‐1

Total 0,20 days‐1

Compartment

Air Water

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling29 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark 29

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system – Q2

Loss process Rate constant Loss process Rate constant

Advection 5,8000 days‐1

Advection 0,0067 days‐1

Degradation 0,0462 days‐1

Degradation 0,0046 days‐1

Inter‐media exchange (air→water) 0,0056 days‐1

Inter‐media exchange (water→air) 0,1910 days‐1

Total 5,85 days‐1

Total 0,20 days‐1

Compartment

Air Water

Dominant removal process for air

Dominant removal process for water

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling30 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark 30

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system – Q3

SkM ‐1

Steady state mass

Step 1:

Calculate fate matrix )k( ‐1

Step 2:

Calculate product of and source vectors )Sk( ‐1

015010

1601701

..

..k

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling31 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark 31

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system –Q3 step 1

Loss process Rate constant Loss process Rate constant

Advection 5,8000 days‐1

Advection 0,0067 days‐1

Degradation 0,0462 days‐1

Degradation 0,0046 days‐1

Inter‐media exchange (air→water) 0,0056 days‐1

Inter‐media exchange (water→air) 0,1910 days‐1

Total 5,85 days‐1

Total 0,20 days‐1

Compartment

Air Water

200010

190855

..

..k

totkwaterwaterkair

airkwatertotkairk

__

__

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling32 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark 32

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system –Q3 step 1

Inversion of matrix

Source: mathworld.wolfram.com

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling33 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

015010

160170

015010

1601701

855010

190200

171

1

855010

190200

01019020855

120010

1908551

20010

190855

1

1

1

..

..

..

..

..

..

.

..

..

......

..

..

..

k

k

kk

k

33

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system –Q3 step 1

Fate factor matrix

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling34 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark 34

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system – Q3

SkM ‐1

Steady state mass

Step 1:

Calculate fate matrix )k( ‐1

Step 2:

Calculate product of and source vectors )Sk( ‐1

015010

1601701

..

..k

09/04/2010USEtox short course – chemical fate modelling35 DTU Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark

590

0S

35

How is chemical fate modelling applied in USEtox Fate of TCE in a two-compartment system –Q3 step

Source matrix [kg/day]

SkM ‐1

015010

1601701

..

..k

Original scenario

Comparative scenario

Additive scenario

Air Water Air Water Air Water

Air 0.171 0.163 0 0 0 96.0

Water 0.009 5.008 0 590 0 2954.8

Air Water Air Water Air Water

Air 0.171 0.163 590 0 101.0 96.0

Water 0.009 5.008 0 590 5.1 2954.8

Air Water Air Water Air Water

Air 0.171 0.163 0 590 0.0 197.0

Water 0.009 5.008 0 590 0.0 2959.8

x =

x =

x =

Fate matrix[days]

Source matrix [kg/day]

Mass matrix [kg]


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