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A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

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A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection A. T. BOURGOYNE, JR. F. S. YOUNG, JR. MEMBERS SPE-AIME LOUISIANA STATE U. BA TON ROUGE, LA. BAROID DIV. OF N L INDUSTRIES, INC. HOUSTON, TEX. DRILLING MODEL The drilling model selected for predicting the effect of the various drilling parameters, Xj' on penetration rate, dD/dt, is given by where Exp (z) is used to indicate the exponential function e Z The modeling of drilling behavior in a given formation type is accomplished by selecting the constants al through as in Eq. 1. Since Eq. 1 is linear, those constants can be determined from a multiple regression analysis of field data. has been based on meager laboratory and field data. We have tried here to (1) combine what is known about the rotary drilling process into a single model, (2) develop equations for calculating formation pore pressure and optimum bit weight, rotary speed, and jet bit hydraulics that are consistent with that model, and (3) provide a method for systematically "calibrating" the drilling model using field data. (1) a.x.)' . ] J 8 1: j=2 Exp(a 1 + = dD dt ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION Over the past decade, a number of drilling models have been proposed for the optimization of the rotary drilling process and the detection of abnormal pressure while drilling. These techniques have been largely based upon limited field and laboratory data and often yield inaccurate results. Recent developments in onsite well monitoring systems have made possible the routine determination of the best mathematical model for drilling optimiza- tion and pore pressure detection. This modeling is accomplished through a multiple regression analysis of detailed drilling data taken over short intervals. Included in the analysis are the effects of (I) formation strength, (2) formation depth, (3) formation compaction, (4) pressure differential across the hole bottom, (5) bit diameter and bit weight, (6) rotary speed, (7) bit wear, and (8) bit hydraulics. This paper presents procedures for using the regressed drilling model for (1) selecting bit weight, rotary speed, and bit hydraulics, and (2) calculating formation pressure from drilling data. The application of the procedure is illustrated using field data. Operators engaged in the search for hydrocarbon reserves are facing much higher drilling costs as more wells are drilled in hostile environments and to greater depths. A study by Young and Tanner l has indicated that the average well cost per foot drilled is increasing at approximately 7.5 percent/ year. Recently, more emphasis has been placed on the collection of detailed drilling data to aid in the selection of improved drilling practices. At present, many people are using one drilling model for optimizing bit weight and rotary speed, a different drilling model for optimizing jet bit hydraulics, and yet another model for detecting abnormal pressure from drilling data. Each model Original manuscript received in Society of Petroleum Engineers office Nov. 6, 1972. Revised manuscript received Jan. 19, 1974. Paper (SPE 4238) was presented at SPE-AIME Sixth Conference on Drilling and Rock Mechanics, held in Austin, Tex., Jan. 22-23, 1973. © Copyright 1974 American Institute of Mining, Metallurgical, and Petroleum Engineers, Inc. lReferences listed at end of paper. This paper will be printed in Transactions volume 257, which will cover 1974. EFFECT OF FORMATION STRENGTH The constant al primarily represents the effect of formation strength on penetration rate. It is inversely proportional to the natural logarithm of the square of the drillability strength parameter discussed by Maurer. 2 It also includes the effect on penetration rate of drilling parameters that have not yet been mathematically modeled; for example, the effect of drilled solids. EFFECT OF COMPACTION The terms a2x2 and a3x3 model the effect of compaction on penetration rate. x2 is defined by x 2 = 10,000.0 - ..... (2) and thus assumes an exponential decrease In penetration rate with depth in a normally compacted formation. The exponential nature of the normal compaction trend is indicated by the published microbit and field data of Murray,3 and also by the field data of Combs 4 (see Fig. 1). x3 is defined by AlIGUST,1974 371
Transcript
Page 1: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drillingand Abnormal Pressure Detection

A. T. BOURGOYNE, JR.

F. S. YOUNG, JR.MEMBERS SPE-AIME

LOUISIANA STATE U.BA TON ROUGE, LA.

BAROID DIV. OF N L INDUSTRIES, INC.HOUSTON, TEX.

DRILLING MODEL

The drilling model selected for predicting theeffect of the various drilling parameters, Xj' onpenetration rate, dD/dt, is given by

where Exp (z) is used to indicate the exponentialfunction eZ • The modeling of drilling behavior in agiven formation type is accomplished by selectingthe constants al through as in Eq. 1. Since Eq. 1is linear, those constants can be determined from amultiple regression analysis of field data.

has been based on meager laboratory and field data.We have tried here to (1) combine what is knownabout the rotary drilling process into a singlemodel, (2) develop equations for calculatingformation pore pressure and optimum bit weight,rotary speed, and jet bit hydraulics that areconsistent with that model, and (3) provide amethod for systematically "calibrating" the drillingmodel using field data.

(1)a.x.)' .] J

81:

j=2Exp(a1 +=dD

dt

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION

Over the past decade, a number of drilling modelshave been proposed for the optimization of therotary drilling process and the detection of abnormalpressure while drilling. These techniques havebeen largely based upon limited field and laboratorydata and often yield inaccurate results. Recentdevelopments in onsite well monitoring systemshave made possible the routine determination ofthe best mathematical model for drilling optimiza­tion and pore pressure detection. This modeling isaccomplished through a multiple regression analysisof detailed drilling data taken over short intervals.Included in the analysis are the effects of(I) formation strength, (2) formation depth, (3)formation compaction, (4) pressure differential acrossthe hole bottom, (5) bit diameter and bit weight, (6)rotary speed, (7) bit wear, and (8) bit hydraulics.

This paper presents procedures for using theregressed drilling model for (1) selecting bit weight,rotary speed, and bit hydraulics, and (2) calculatingformation pressure from drilling data. The applicationof the procedure is illustrated using field data.

Operators engaged in the search for hydrocarbonreserves are facing much higher drilling costs asmore wells are drilled in hostile environments andto greater depths. A study by Young and Tanner l

has indicated that the average well cost per footdrilled is increasing at approximately 7.5 percent/year. Recently, more emphasis has been placed onthe collection of detailed drilling data to aid inthe selection of improved drilling practices.

At present, many people are using one drillingmodel for optimizing bit weight and rotary speed, adifferent drilling model for optimizing jet bithydraulics, and yet another model for detectingabnormal pressure from drilling data. Each model

Original manuscript received in Society of Petroleum Engineersoffice Nov. 6, 1972. Revised manuscript received Jan. 19, 1974.Paper (SPE 4238) was presented at SPE-AIME Sixth Conferenceon Drilling and Rock Mechanics, held in Austin, Tex., Jan.22-23, 1973. © Copyright 1974 American Institute of Mining,Metallurgical, and Petroleum Engineers, Inc.

lReferences listed at end of paper.

This paper will be printed in Transactions volume 257,which will cover 1974.

EFFECT OF FORMATION STRENGTH

The constant al primarily represents the effect offormation strength on penetration rate. It is inverselyproportional to the natural logarithm of the squareof the drillability strength parameter discussed byMaurer. 2 It also includes the effect on penetrationrate of drilling parameters that have not yet beenmathematically modeled; for example, the effect ofdrilled solids.

EFFECT OF COMPACTION

The terms a2x2 and a3x3 model the effect ofcompaction on penetration rate. x2 is defined by

x2 = 10,000.0 - D· ..... (2)

and thus assumes an exponential decrease In

penetration rate with depth in a normally compactedformation. The exponential nature of the normalcompaction trend is indicated by the publishedmicrobit and field data of Murray,3 and also by thefield data of Combs4 (see Fig. 1). x3 is defined by

AlIGUST,1974 371

Page 2: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

. (7)

. . (6)

+1200+800

OWel1 A216Well G21

oWel1 021• Berea 4

+400

Differential Into Formation I psi

o

In

-h, .

=

=

3.0.,"0 2.00::

l:0

1.0-0~-.,l:.,

0.4a..,>- 0.20.,

0::0.1

-400

Pressure

EFFECT OF ROTARY SPEED, N

The term a6x6 represents the effect of rotaryspeed on penetration rate. x6 is defined by

EFFECT OF BIT HYDRAULIC

The term asxs models the effect of bit hydraulicson penetration rate. xs is defined by

FIG. 2 - EFFECT OF DIFFERENTIAL BOTTOM-HOLEPRESSURE ON PENETRATION RATE. S.6

EFFECT OF TOOTH WEAR, h

The term a7x7 models the effect of tooth wear onpenetration rate. x7 is defined by

and thus assumes that penetration rate is directly

proportional to N a6 as indicated by several

authors.4 ,S-12 Note that the term e a6x6 is normalizedto equal 1.0 for 100 rpm. Reported values of therotary speed exponent range from 0.4 for very hardformations to 0.9 for very soft formations. 12

authors.4 ,S-12 Note that the term e asxs is normalizedto equal 1.0 for 4,000 lb per inch of bit diameter.The threshold bit weight, (W / d)1' must be estimatedwith drill-off tests. Reported values of the bitweight exponent range from 0.6 to 2.0.

where h is the fractional tooth height that has beenworn away. Previous authorsS •9 have used morecomplex expressions to model tooth wear. Howeverthose expressions were not ideally suited for themultiple regression analysis procedure used toevaluate the constant a7 from field data. Fig. 3shows a typical comparison of the previously

published relations and e a7 X7. The value of a7

depends primarily on the bit type and, to a lesserextent, the formation type. When carbide insert bitsare used, penetration rate does not vary significantlywith tooth wear. Thus the tooth wear exponent,a 7 , is assumed to be zero, and the remainingexponents, a1 through a6 and as, are regressed.

Note that ea7x7 is 1 when either h or a7 is zero.

20,000

9.0).·.· (3)

10,000

wd

In=

=

0.1 L--1-_.l...-......L._.L--......L._i.-....._i.-.................

o

(w)d t

( ~_) . . . . (5)

4. 0 (~)Q t

and thus assumes that penetration rate IS directly

proportional to (W /dts as indicated by several

x 4 D (g p). . . . . . . (4)P c

and thus assumes an exponential decrease inpenetration rate with excess bottom-hole pressure.Field data presented by Vidrine and BenitS and by

Combs,4 and laboratory data presented byCunningham and Eenink 6 and by Garnier andvan Lingen 7 all indicate an exponential relationbetween penetration rate and excess bottom-holepressure up to about 1,000 psi (see Fig. 2). Vidrineand Beni t also noted an apparent relation betweenthe effect of differential pressure on penetrationrate and bit weight. However, no consistentcorrelation could be obtained from the availabledata, so no bit weight term was included in Eq. 4.

EFFECT OF DIFFERENTIAL PRESSURE

The term a4x4 models the effect of pressuredifferential across the hole bottom on penetrationrate. x4 is defined by

,,,,,

EFFECT OF BIT DIAMETERAND BIT WEIGHT, Wid

The term asxs models the effect of bit weightand bit diameter on penetration rate. xs is defined

by

:5 1.01---------~--------_I..o....~ 0.5CDa..

CD>.. 0.2oCDa:

! 2.0oa:

5.0 r---~------,-------"""

Vertical Depth, ft.

FIG. 1 - EFFECT OF NORMAL COMPACTION ONPENETRATION RATE.

DO. 69 (gpand thus assumes an exponential increase in?~netratiQn rate with pore pressure gradient. Theexponential nature of the effect of undercompactionon penetration rate is suggested by compactiontheory, but has not yet been verified experimentally.Note that the effect of compaction on penetration

a 2 x + a3 x 3 .rate, e 2 , has been normalized to equal1.0 for a normally compacted formation at 10,000 ft.

372 SOCIETY OF PETROLEUM ENGIl\"EERS JOURl\"AL

Page 3: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

Gal./Min. Diameler

Q ~ ~3i1; 0 ·101/2 a · 10

!8 A · aS:6 V · &'

+- ~---:t.,

. • L o~ c 10

"11 - ':"16'

W-IOOO Lb. N-75RPM

II I It.r

50IO

PSI' I I 1-2

1086

4

20

1008060

40

0060.1 0.2 04 0.6 1.0 2 4 6 10 20 4060100150

Eqs. 1 through 7 define the general functionalrelations between penetration rate and the otherdrilling variables, but the constants a2 through asmust be determined before these equations can beapplied. The constants a2 through as are determinedthrough a multiple regression analysis of detaileddrilling data taken over short depth intervals.

The idea of using a regression analysis of pastdrilling data to evaluate constants in a drilling rateequation is not new. For example, it was proposedby Graham and Muench lO in 1959 in one of the firstpapers on drilling optimization. This approach wasused by Combs4 in his work on the detection ofpore pressure from drilling data. However, much ofthe past work in this area has been hampered bythe difficulty in obtaining large volumes of accuratefield data and because the effect of many of thedrilling parameters discussed above were ignored.Recent developments in onsite well monitoring 1

have made it possible to routinely regress the morecomplex drilling equation (Eq. 1).

A derivation of the multiple regression-analysisprocedure is presented in detail in Appendix A.Theoretically, only eight data points are required

MUL TIPLE REGRESSION TECHNIQUE

Ta is calculated from a dull bit grading. Note thatEq. 10 is normalized so that the abrasiveness factorTH is numerically equal to the hours of tooth lifethat would result if a Class 1 bit were operated at"standard conditions", i.e., a bit weight of 4,000 lbper inch of bit diameter and a rotary speed of 100rpm. Likewise, Eq. 11 is normalized so that thebearing constant Ta is numerically equal to thehours of bearing life that would result if the bitwere operated at standard conditions. By normalizingthe bit wear equations in this manner, fieldpersonnel can attach a physical meaning to the bitwear constants and thus more easily detectanomalous bit gradings.

Estes14 has pointed out that the rate of bit wearwill be excessive if too great a bit weight is used.His recommended maximum bit weights are shownin Table 3. The recommended maximum bit weightsare based on bearing capacity for milled-tooth bitsand on cutting structure for insert bits.

1.00.8

..... (10)

0.60.4

pq (8)350 11dn

0.2

11 + T /20 . . . . . . . . (9)P Y

BIT WEAR MODEL

=

=

=

=

0.0 '--__..I.-__....I....__....L..__--'-__--'

0.0

0.8c::0...uc:: 0.6:>

l.L.

...0Q)

~ 0.4.c...00I-

0.2

dhdt

dBdt

In addi tion to a penetration rate model, equationsare also needed to estimate the condition of thebit at any time. Tooth wear was modeled using

(W) -4d

[ max ]

(W) _~d max

1.0r-----------------,

and is based on microbit experiments performed byEckel. 13 As shown in Fig. 4, Eckel found thatpenetration rate was proportional to a Reynolds

number group (-.!!!!.-) raised to the 0.5 power. Sincefl dn

fl' the apparent viscosity at 10,000 sec -1, is notroutinely measured and recorded it must be estimatedusing the relation

where the constant b depends upon bearing typeand mud type (see Table 4) and the bearing constant

where the constants HI, H2 , H3 , and (W/d)maxdepend upon bit type (see Tables 1, 2, and 3) andthe abrasiveness constant TH is calculated from adull bit grading (see example of Appendix D).

Bearing wear was estimated using

Fractional Tooth Dullness, h

FIG. 3 EFFECT OF TOOTH WEAR ON PENETRA-TION RATE (CHIPPING-TYPE TOOTH WEAR).

Reynolds Number Funclion

FIG. 4 - DRILLING RATE VS REYNOLDS NUMBERFUNCTION.13

AUGUST,1974 373

Page 4: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

TABLE 1 - ROCK BIT CLASSIFICATION GUIDE (AFTER ESTESI4).

DRESSER - SECUR ITY HUGHES G. W. MURPHY SM ITH

MILL- ''T'' "G" "5 11 'I" IIG" I'SII "SG" IIJ" '1" "G" "S't "5 Gil 11'1 I'GII 115 11 IISG"TOOTH STO GAGE GAGE SEAL STO GAGE GAGE SEAL SEAL BEAR STO GAGE GAGE SEAL SEAL STO GAGE GAGE SEAL SEALCLASS

I - 1 S3S S33S OSC3A X3A YT3A S13A OS SOS2 S3 S3T S33 OSC3 X3 Y13 YT3T S13 OT on SOT3 S4 S4T S4TG S44 OSCIG CIC OOG XIG XOG YTIA YTlT YTIAG SHAG OG OGT OGH SOG SOGH4 S6 S6G OSC K2 K2H I

I2 - I M4N M4NG M44N OW4 OOV XOV YSI YSIG SSIG V2 V2H SV I SVH

2 OWV xvI3 M4L M4LG M44L OWC XC YM YMG SMG 2 T2H

3 - 1 H7 H7T H7TG H77 W7 W07 X7 X07 YH YHGFHGlJl L4 L4H SL4 SL4H

2 H7U H7UG H77U W7R2 X7R YHW YHWG SB7SHG W4 W4H

3 H7SG H77S

4 - I HC HCG H77C WR WOR XWR XOR J8 YBV YBVGFVlJl

SBVG WC WCH SWS SWCHJ08

SBV

INSERT tis" 115 11 lIJ" "SH "11J" IlJ" "S" "J"CLASS REG. SEAL REG. SEAL JOURNAL REG. SEAL FC FBC REG. SEAL SEGMENT

5 - I2 S84 FCT FBCT3 S86 J33 SCS5 FCS5 FBCS5 3JS SS3

6 - I S88 X44R J44 SCMS FCM5 FBCMS 4JS SS42 J55C SCM FCM FBCM 4-7JS SS4-7

7 - I M88 55R X55R J55R YC5G SCHS FCH5 FBCHS 5 5JS SS52 SCH FCH FBCH 7 7JS SS7

8 - I H8 H88 RG7 RG7X YC4G SC4G FCH4 FBCH42 RGIX J88 SCG 8 8JS

9 - I HID HIOO RG2B RG2BX YC2G SC2G FCH2 FBCH2 9 9JS SS9

CLASS: D - I I - 2 I - 5 2 - 4SMITH BHOJ OJORESSER 53SJ OS OM

THE ABOVE TYPES ARE GENERALLY AVAILABLE IN POPULAR SIZES. OBSOLETE TYPES NOT L1STEO MAY ALSO BE AVAILABLE IN SOME SIZES.

DEVIATION CONTROL BITS: NOTES: (j) INOICATES A JOURNAL BEARING MILL-TOOTH BIT.CLASS 0 BITS ARE TWO-CONE.

*Sealed bearing bits are 8 to 10 percent lower; journal bearingbits are 10 to 12 percent higher.

**Insert.. bit maximums are based on cutting structure, notbearing capacity.

Bearing Type Drilling Fluid b-Barite mud 1.00Sulfide mud 1.25

Nonsealed Water 1.90Clay mud 2.04Oil base mud 2.55

Seal ed 2.80

to solve for the eight unknowns a 1 through as.However, in practice this is true only if Eq. 1models the rotary drilling process with IOO-percentaccuracy. Needless to say, it never happens. Whenonly a few data points are used in the analysis offield data, even negative values are sometimescalculated for one or more of the regressionconstants. A sensitivity study of the multipleregression-analysis procedure indicated that thenumber of data points required to give meaningfulresults depends not only on the accuracy of Eq. 1,but also on the range of values of the drillingparameters x2 through xs' Table 5 summarizes therecommended minimum ranges for each of thedrilling parameters and the recommended minumumnumber of data points to be used in the analysis.When any of the drilling parameters, Xj' have beenheld essentially constant through the intervalanalyzed, a value for the corresponding regression

TABLE 4 - RECOMMENDED BEARING WEAR PARAMETERFOR ROCK BITS (AFTER MARATIERIZ)

(W/dl max

7.08.08.59.0

10.010.010.010.0

See Table 3

1.000.800.600.480.360.260.200.180.02

HI

1.901.841.801. 761.701.651.601.501.50

TABLE 2 - RECOMMENDED TOOTH WEAR PARAMETERSFOR ROCK BITS

Hz

765432221

TABLE 3 - MAXIMUM DESIGN WEIGHT ON BIT,*1,000 LB/IN. (AFTER ESTESI4)

BIT CLASS-SUBCLASS INSERT BITS**

Bit 2·1Size 1· 1 1·2 1·3 1·4 2·2 2·3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

- - - - ---6 lie 5.6 6.0 6.6 6.9 7.96';. 5.7 6.1 6.6 7.1 7.2 8.5 3.1 4.4 4.5 5.2 4.07 'Ie 6.0 6.2 6.6 7.0 7.5 7.6 8.7 9.4 3.5 4.5 5.0 5.7 4.58';. 6.2 6.5 6.8 7.2 7.8 8.0 9.5 10.0 3.7 5.1 5.2 5.8 4.79 'Ie 6.5 6.7 7.1 7.0 7.6 7.7 8.9 3.6 5.1 5.1 5.9 4.6

10% 6.4 7.0 8.8 3.5 5.0 5.0 5.8 4.512 I;. 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.7 7.3 7.4 8.5 3.5 4.9 4.9 5.6 4.414';.

5.3 5.8 6.3 7.4 3.4 4.7 4.8 5.4 4.3.1517 V;, 5.0 5.7 7.0 3.0 4.2 4.2 4.8 3.8

Bit Class

1·1 to 1·21.3 to 1·42·1 to 2·2

2·33.13.23·34-1

Insert

374 SOCIETY OF PETROI.ElTM E:'\GI:'\EERS JOUR:'\AL

Page 5: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

constant, aj' should be estimated from past studiesand the regression analysis should be carried outfor the remaining regression constants. As thenumber of drilling parameters included in theanalysis are decreased, the minimum number of datapoints required to calculate the remaining regressionconstants is also decreased (see Table 5). In manyapplications, data from more than one well had to becombined in order to calculate all eight regressionconstants.

The penetration rate, bit weight, and rotary speedshould be monitored over shorr depth intervals toinsure that most of the information recorded isrepresentative of a single type of formation. Adepth interval of 2 to 5 ft was found to giverepresentati ve data and still keep the volume ofdata required within reasonable limits.

Field data taken in shale in an offshore Louisianawell are shown in Table 6. Note that the primary

drilling variables required for the regressionanalysis are depth, penetration rate, bit weight perinch of bit diameter, rotary speed, fractional toothwear, Reynolds number parameter, mud density, andpore pressure gradient. To calculate the bestvalues of the regression constants a 1 through asusing the data shown, the parameters x 2 through Xsmust be calculated using Eq. 2 through 8 for eachdata entry. Eight equations with the eight unknownsal through as can then be obtained from x2 throughXs using the procedure described in Appendix A.For example, the first of the eight equations definedin Appendix A is given by

na1 + a 2 EX2 + a 3 EX 3 + a4 EX4

+ as ExS + a 6 EX6 + a 7 EX7dD

+ as Ex S = E In dt

TABLE 5 - RECOMMENDED MINIMUM DATA RANGES FORREGRESSION ANALYSIS

*Maximum observed value less minimum observed valueincluded in regression analysis.

Number of MinimumParameters Number of Points

5x 10 a 2 + 0.940.89

x 10 5a 3 - 0.36 x 10 6 a 4

20 a - 7.4 a 6 - 12 a 75

6.3 as = SS

30 a ­1

Thus, using the 30 data points of Table 6 In thisequation yields

When the resulting system of eight equation IS

solved for the eight unknowns, the constants, al

3025201510

74

876

54

32

Minimum*Range

2,000

15,00015,000

0.400.50

0.200.50

Parameter

TABLE 6 - EXAMPLE DATA FOR MUL TIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS(Taken in shale, Offshore Louisiana area)

Drilling Rotary Reynalds PoreData Depth Bit Rate Bit Weight Speed Tooth Number ECD GradientEntry (ft) Number (ftlhr) (l,OOOlb/in.) (rpm) Wear Function (Ib/gal) (Ib/gal)

1 9,515 7 23.0 2.58 113 0.77 0.964 9.5 9.02 9,830 8 22.0 1. 15 126 0.38 0.964 9.5 9.03 10,130 9 14.0 0.81 129 0.74 0.827 9.6 9.04 10,250 11 10.0 0.95 87 0.15 0.976 9.7 9.05 10,390 12 16.0 1.02 78 0.24 0.984 9.7 9.06 10,500 19.0 1.69 81 0.61 0.984 9.7 9.17 10,575 13.0 1.56 81 0.73 0.984 9.7 9.28 10,840 13 16.6 1.63 67 0.38 0.932 9.8 9.39 10,960 15.9 1.83 65 0.57 0.878 9.8 9.4

10 11,060 15.7 2.03 69 0.72 0.878 9.8 9.511 11,475 15 14.0 1.69 77 0.20 0.887 10.3 9.512 11,775 18 13.5 2.31 58 0.12 0.852 11.8 10.113 11 ,940 21 6.2 2.26 67 0.2 0.976 15.3 12.414 12,070 22 9.6 2.07 84 0.08 0.993 15.7 13.015 12,315 15.5 3.11 69 0.40 1. 185 16.3 14.416 12,900 23 31.4 2.82 85 0.42 1.150 16.7 15.917 12,975 24 42.7 3.48 77 0.17 1.221 16.7 16.118 13,055 38.6 3.29 75 0.29 1.161 16.8 16.219 13,250 43.4 2.82 76 0.43 1. 161 16.8 16.220 13,795 25 12.5 1.60 81 0.56 0.272 16.8 16.221 14,010 26 21.1 1.04 75 0.46 0.201 16.8 16.222 14,455 28 19.0 1.76 64 0.16 0.748 16.9 16.223 14,695 18.7 2.00 76 0.27 0.819 17.1 16.224 14,905 29 20.2 2.35 75 0.33 0.419 17.2 16.425 15,350 30 27.1 2.12 85 0.31 1.29 17.0 16.526 15,740 14.8 2.35 78 0.81 0.802 17.3 16.527 16,155 32 12.6 2.47 80 0.12 0.670 17.9 16.528 16,325 14.9 3.76 81 0.50 0.532 17.5 16.629 17,060 34 13.8 3.76 65 0.91 0.748 17.6 16.630 20,265 40 9.0 3.41 60 0.01 0.512 17.7 16.6

AUGUST,1974 375

Page 6: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

Cr

=

[J1J2H2[1 +

a 7 + (U-1). 2 H2a 7

a 7 ] . . . . . (13)• Exp (-- + U)]H2

the use of such systems is prohibited by economics.Previous authors have published techniques forcomputing a variable bit weight and rotary speedschedule as well as the best constant weight-speedschedule. Galle and Woods 9 have reported thatthe simpler constant weight-speed schedule resultsin only slightly higher costs per foot. A recent paperby Reed 1? indicates a difference of less than 3percent in the cost per foot between the variableweight-speed and constant weight-speed schedulesfor the cases studied.

Combining Eq. 1, an integrated form of Eq. 11,and Eq. 12 leads to the following expression forcost per foot for a given bit weight per inch of bitdiameter, W/ d, rotary speed, N, and rotating time,

tb'

where

OPTIMAL DRILLING

through as, given for Well 1 in Table 7 are obtained.Results obtained for shale using several otherwells in the same general offshore Louisiana areaare also shown in Table 7 for comparison. Wells 2and 3 of Table 7 were drilled from the same platform.

The term "drilling optimization" was appliedfirst to procedures for selecting jet bit hydraulics.The term was later expanded to include proceduresfor selecting bit weight and rotary speed,S,9 andrecently has been used to refer to a broad plan forthe selection of mud types and mud properties,bit types and operating conditions, and' casingtypes and setting depths,1S At present, however,only a limited number of drilling variables can behandled using formal mathematical optimizationprocedures. Equations derived from the drillingmodel of Eq. 1 are presented in this paper for the

optimization of bit weight, rotary speed, and jetbit hydraulics. The derivations of the optimizationequations are given in Appendixes Band C. It wasassumed in the derivation that the drilling cost perfoot, CI, could be expressed in terms of the bitcost, Cb , the hourI y rig cost, C" the trip time, t t'

the connection time, tc ' the drilling time, tb' andthe footage drilled, /}.D. The cost equation assumedis given by

=Cb + Cr(tt + t c + ~)

6D= Exp

6L:

j=2a.x.

J J

(12)

Thus risk factors, hole deviation problems, holewashout problems, and variable pump costs wereignored. Also inherent in the use of Eq. 1 are theassumptions that roller-type rock bits are used andthat bit balling does not occur. Drilling variablesnot included in Eq. 1 such as mud type and percentsolids were also ignored. These limitations shouldbe kept in mind when using the optimizationequations listed below.

=

. . . . . (14a)

BIT WEIGHT AND ROTARY SPEED

As discussed in a previous paper,16 optimum bitweight and rotary speed can be determinedautomatically at the well site with a computerizeddrilling control system. However, in many cases,

U

. . . .04b)

TABLE 7 - RESUL TS OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS FOR GULF COAST AREA

02 03 04Well Depth Range 01 (l0- 3) (l0- 3) (l0- 4) aS 06 07 08

1 9,500 - 20,000 3.78 0.17 0.20 0.43 0.43 0.21 0.41 0.162 9,000 - 14,000 3.55 0.18 0.20 0.61 1.05 0.5* 0.20 0.523 9,000 - 15,000 3.33 0.21 0.18 0.52 0.91 0.72 0.23 0.484 11,000 - 14,000 2.71 0.25 0.40 0.46 1.2 0.5* 0.3* 0.5*5 10,000 - 13,000 3.09 0.15 0.20* 0.50* 0.82 0.5* 0.25 0.5*6 12,000 - 16,000 3.69 0.28 0.37 0.85 0.94 0.50 0.3* 0.617 9,000 - 14,000 2.89 0.10* 0.90 0.62 0.62 0.43 0.3* 0.22

*Volue assumed rather than calculated because carresponding drilling param-eter did not vary Over a wide enough range to be included in the regressiononalysi s.

376 SOCIETY OF PETROLEUM ENGINEERS JOURNAL

Page 7: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

If it is assumed that bit life, lb' is limited by eithertooth wear or bearing wear, then the rotating time,lb' can be obtained from the integrated forms of Eq.10 or 11. Thus, the smaller of the two rotating times,lb' given by either

=or

N = 100opt

(w) (W)T d d~ max opt

~ H3[(~) -4Jmax

. . (16)

and the optimum rotary speed, Nopt' is given by

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (18)

where the abrasiveness factor, TH, is obtained froma bit grading and Eq. 10. When using Eqs. 16 through18 to obtain the optimum bit weight and rotaryspeed, the cost per foot should be computed for atooth wear, H, of both 1. 0 and 0.95 to insure thevalidity of the assumption that bit life is limitedby tooth wear.

Unfortunately, simple analytical expressions forthe best constant bit weight and rotary speed couldnot be obtained for the case in which bearing wearlimits bit life. In this case, a cost-per-foot tableshould be constructed, using Eqs. 13 through 15bin an i terati ve mann er.

OPTIMUM HYDRA ULIes

The drilling cost equation shown as Eq. 12 doesnot properly account for the variable pump costassociated with the optimization of bit hydraulics.However, since the variable pump cost is usuallysmall compared with the hourly rig cost, this is nota serious limitation. Nelson lS has shown that thevariable operating cost of the pump can be relatedto the hydraulic horsepower developed by the pump.For most of the larger rigs, the variable pump costis approximately $0.02/hp hr. Thus, if by optimizingjet bit hydraulics, an additional 500 hp is requiredfor a 12-hour bit run, the incremental pump operatingcost would be only $120. Since this is usually aninsignificant portion of the total cost, theoptimization of jet bit hydraulics is essentiallyachieved by maximizing the penetration rate.Inspection of Eq. 1 reveals that penetration ratewill be a maximum when the term asxs is a maximum.As shown in Appendix C, this is achieved bychoo sing nozzle sizes and pump' operating condi­tions so that the pressure drop across the bit, ~P b'

is related to the maximum pump pressure, Pp ' byby

100[-] ..... (15b)N

=

=

~[~ tt tel

HI1],= + + [-

c r a 6(17)

TOOTH WEAR LIMITS BIT LIFE

Relatively simple analytical equations for thebest constant weight and rotary speed were derived(see Appendix B) for the case in which tooth wearlimits bit life, using a procedure described byMaratier.I2 The optimum bit weight per inch of bitdiameter, (W / d)opt, is given by

should be used in Eq. 14c. A cost-per-foot table forvarious combinations of bit weight and rotary speedcan be generated using Eq. 13 through 14c. Table 8is a cost-per-foot table for an example problemgi ven in Appendix D. Note that the cost-per-foottable can be used to quickly identify (1) the bestcombination of bit weight and rotary speed, (2) thebest rotary speed for a given bit weight, and (3) thebest bit weight for a given rotary speed.

where the constants HI and (W / d)max are obtainedfrom Table 2 and the constants as and a6 areobtained from the regression analysis.

The expected bit life is given by

TABLE 8 - EXAMPLE COST PER FOOT

Bit Weight per Inch of Bit Diameter (1,000 Ib/in.)RotarySpeed(rpm)

20406080

100120140160180200

2.0

$167.83114.9495.1985.7781.1579.2579.0780.0881.9784.52

3.0

$103.5171.4559.8454.6152.3751.8352.3853.6855.5457.83

4.0

$73.6751.4843.8440.7739.8540.1741.2942.9645.0647.48

5.0

$56.8840.6135.5634.0834.3035.5137.3739.6942.3745.32

6.0

$46.6734.9232.3632.8034.7037.4840.8644.6848.8553.29

7.0

$42.8238.5542.6549.7658.5268.3679.0190.29

102.11114.39

p= :+}, (19)

where m is the slope of a plot of parasitic pressuredrop vs flow rate on log-log paper. Note that byoperating in accordance with Eq. 19, the jet impactforce at the bit as well as the Reynolds numberfunction Xs is maximized. Theoretical considerationsindicate a value of 1.8 for m. However, Scott hasrecently reported measuring m values as low as1.0. 19

An evaluation of the proposed optimization schemehas indicated that in many cases a considerable

A If (; If ST. I 9 7 4 377

Page 8: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

(asxs

aaxB) ]. . (20)

I--

t::t~=f-C---foI'ud Density

H't=:~ ~ Pore Pressore (Sonic)

: ~ Ofe Pressure (Kp).~ :t-

-t:1---1= -f:'=80

0

0

fC-1----

0

-

,--+---

0- -=1--

1- 1=1=

/:=:ll;;:: fC=f=

-

1---"- \--

f- f---t-~

+-. t-1=1--- I---

LoglO=

Fig.6 Drillability: and Pore Pr...sure PlotHot Wire Gas PressUfe Gradient

8 10 12

(The drillability parameter, which is based on Eq. 1,is somewhat analogous to the lCd-exponent"developed by Jorden and Shirley 11 using a moresimplified penetration rate equation.) The drillabilitylog is then analyzed to determine the type offormation being drilled. The pore pressure gradientcan be related to the drillability parameter, Kp ' ina given type of formation by

H+-

cannot be optimized by formal mathematicaltechniques. Thus the choice of mud properties, bittype, casing points, etc., must be based on pastexperience and what is known about the down-holeenvironment. The most important design parameterneeded to insure a low-cost, trouble-free operationis the pore pressure of the formations penetrated.Since the drillability of a given type of formationis affected by the pressure differential at thebottom of the hole as well as by the effectiveformation compaction, a normalized penetration ratelog can be used to estimate the formation pressure.

The regression constants and the drilling dataare used to compute and plot a drillability parameter,Kp, defined by

~ ~ 1--00::

~0

LL: 1---'-. t-,(

- ~0

m: 1.2 :::E

500 1000100

2Ppni+2

Flow Rate, GPM

Optimum

50

+- Path of Optimum-. Hydroulics

10

5000

~

olJ.. ~

oc: 0::

30 00 I-_M_ax_._P_u_m..:.p_p_'e_s_s_u'_e :::E,- ---i

200

i. 1000::>IIIIII

~ 500a.

'"'iiiCo

PORE PRESSURE DETECTION

At present, the remalOlng drilling variables

reduction in drilling cost could be achieved bydrilling optimization. Estimated reductions in drillingcos t on several wells varied from a few percent toto 30 percent and averaged about 10 percent. Thisvalue is in agreement with other reportedstudies. 9, IS However, where bit life is limited bytooth wear, the proposed optimization scheme ismuch easier to apply than previously publishedtechniques 8 , 9,16,17 because the optimum conditionscan be calculated from analytical expressions ratherthan by trial and error or by involved graphicalprocedures.

An example bit run optimization is shown inAppendix D. Note that the optimum bit weight androtary speed are very sensitive to the regressionconstants as and a6 . Thus, the accuracy of theoptimization should systematically improve asexperience is gained in an area.

As shown in Appendix D, bit hydraulics isoptimized using a technique outlined by Scott. 19

The standpipe pressure is measured at both a normalcirculating rate and a reduced circulating rate. Thepressure drop through the bit is then estimated atboth circulating rates using the orifice equation ora Hydraulic Slide Rule. The total parasitic pressurelos s is then determined as the difference betweenthe standpipe pressure and the pressure drop throughthe bit. Knowing the parastic pressure drop at tworates allows the graphical estimation of the exponentm (see Fig. 6). The optimum flow rate and pressuredrop across the bit can then be calculated withEq. 19. Since the pressure drop at a reducedcirculating rate is normally recorded twice a dayto aid in "kick" control calculations, the optimumbit hydraulics can usually be calculated withoutmaking any additional measurements.

FIG. 5 CALCULATION OF OPTIMUM BITHYDRAULICS. FIG. 6 - DRILLABILITY AND PORE PRESSURE PLOT.

378 SOCIETY OF PETROLEUM ENGINEERS JOURNAL

Page 9: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

paper. We also wish to acknowledge all those whoassisted in its preparation, and particularly WesleyCarew for his assistance in developing softwareand preparing data.

NOMENCLATURE

formation strength parameter

exponent of the normal compaction trend

undercompaction exponent

pressure differential exponent

bit weight exponent

rotary speed exponent

tooth wear exponent

hydraulic exponent

bearing constant

fractional bearing wear

cost of bit, dollars

drilling cost per foot drilled, dollars/ft

cost of rig, dollars/hour

bit diameter, in.

bit nozzle diameter, In.

well depth, ft

pore pressure gradient of the formation,lb/gal

regression index of correlation

fractional tooth height worn away

constants that depend on bit type

summation index for ith data point

summation index for frh drillingparameter

a function of bit weight per inch androtary speed

normalized drillability parameter usedfor graphical presentation

a constant

friction loss - flow rate exponent

number of data points used in regressionanalysis

rotary speed, rpm

optimum rotary speed, rpm

pump pressure, psig

pressure drop across the bit, psi

parasitic pressure drop, psi

flow rate, gal/min

residual for regression analysis

time, hours

rotating time during bit run, hours

nonrotating time or connection time,hours

trip time during bit run, hours

a function of bit weight per inch, rotaryspeed, and rotating time

weight on bit per inch of bit diameter,1,0001b/in.

J

n

K

m

u

N

WidACKNOWLEDGMENTS

To smooth out minor lithology variations, a 25-ftaverage value of pore pressure gradient is usuallyplotted. After formation cuttings are obtained atthe surface, the formation pressure is also estimatedon the basis of the density of the cuttings. However,the normalized penetration rate log provides themost current information.

At the present time, this approach has beentested only in the Gulf Coast area. The response ofdrillability to an increasing pore pressure shouldbe a maximum in this type of geologic environmentbecause the zones of high pore pressure areundercompacted. Also, since the lithology of thisarea is relatively simple, formation types are moreeasily determined. An example drillability log andpore pressure plot is shown in Fig. 6. Also shownfor comparison are the pore pressure gradientsobtained from a sonic log. In general, a comparisonbetween pore pressure gradients computed from adrillability plot and pore pressure gradients computedfrom a sonic log yields a standard deviation ofabout 1.0 Ib/gal. As the number of wells drilledin an area increases and the regression constantsbecome better defined, rhe accuracy of the porepressure calculation should improve. This wasobserved in Wells 2 and 3 of Table 7. A comparisonof pore pressures computed from a sonic logyielded a standard deviation of 1.1 Ib/gal after thefirst well was drilled and a standard deviation of0.9 Ib/gal after the second well was drilled.

The new procedure described here was appliedon several wells in the Gulf Coast area. Thefollowing conclusions resulted from this evaluation.

1. When modern well monitoring equipment isused, a regressional analysis procedure can beused to systematically evaluate many of theconstants in the penetration rate equation.

2. In many cases, data must be obtained frommore than a single well before all the regressionconstants can be evaluated.

3. The regression analysis procedure IS moreeasily applied in young geologic strata such asthose on the Gulf Coast.

4. The use of relatively simple drilling opti­mization equations can reduce drilling costs byabout 10 percent.

5. Formation pressure can be estimated fromdrilling data with a standard deviation of about 1Ib/gal.

=

We wish to thank the management of Baroid Div.,N L Industries, Inc., for permission to publish this

Ali G [: , T. I 9 7,\ 379

Page 10: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

REFERENCES

SUBSCRIPTS

C calculated

OB observed

1. Young, F. S., Jr., and Tanner, K. D.: "RecentDevelopments in On-Site Well Monitoring Systems,"Petroleum Short Course, Texas Tech U., Lubbock(April 1972).

2. Maurer, W. C.: "The 'Perfect Cleaning' Theory ofRotary Drilling," ]. Pet. Tech. (Nov. 1962) 1270­1274; Trans., AIME, Vol. 225.

3. Murray, A. S., and Cunningham, R. A.: "The Effectof Mud Column Pressure on Drilling Rates," Trans.,AIME (1955) Vol. 204, 196-204.

4. Combs, G. D.: "Prediction of Pore Pressure FromPenetration Rate," Proc., Second Symposium onAbnormal Subsurface Pore Pressure, Baton Rouge,La. (J an. 1970).

5. Vidrine, D. J., and Denit, E. J.: "Field Verificationof the Effect of Differential Pressure on DrillingRate," ]. Pet. Tech. (July 1968) 676-682.

6. Cunningham, A. J., and Eenink, J. G.: "LaboratoryStudy of Effect of Overburden, Formation and MudColumn Pressure on Drilling Rate of PermeableFormations," Trans., AIME (1959) Vol. 216, 9-17.

7. Garnier, A. J., and van Lingen, N. H.: "PhenomenaAffecting Drilling Rates at Depth," Trans., AIME(1959) Vol. 216, 232-239.

8. Edwards, J. H.: "Engineering Design of DrillingOperations," Drill. and Prod. Prac. API (1964) 39.

9. Galle, E. M., and Woods, A. B.: "Best ConstantWeight and Rotary Speed for Rotary Rock Bits,"Drill. and Prod. Prac. API (1963) 48.

10. Graham, J. W., and Muench, N. L.: "AnalyticalDetermination of Optimum Bit Weight and RotarySpeed Combinations," paper SPE 1349-G presentedat SPE-AIME 34th Annual Fall Meeting, Dallas, Oct.4-7, 1959.

dDIndt

. . . . . (A-2)

a.x.· .. (A-1)J J

a.x.J J

8L:

j=2

8L:

j=2

=

=r.~

dDIndt

then the problem is to select a 1 through a 8 so thatfor n data points, where n is any number greater

than 8, the sum of the square of the residuals,n~ r?, is a minimum. Using The Calculus,i=l

APPENDIX A

11. Jorden, J. R, and Shirley, O. J.: "Application ofDrilling Performance Data to Overpressure Detection,"]. Pet. Tech. (Nov. 1966) 1387-1394.

12. Maratier, J.: "Optimum Rotary Speed and Bit Weightfor Rotary Drilling," MS thesis, Louisiana State U.,Baton Rouge (June 1971).

13. Eckel, J. J.: "Microbit Studie s of the Effect of FluidProperties and Hydraulics on Drilling Rate," ]. Pet.Tech. (April 1967) 541-546; Trans., AIME, Vol. 240.

14. Estes, J. C.: "Selecting the Proper Rotary RockBit," ]. Pet. Tech. (Nov. 1971) 1359-1367.

15. Lummus, J. L.: "Acquisition and Analysis of Datafor Optimized Drilling," ]. Pet. Tech. (Nov. 1971)1285-1293.

Taking the logarithm of both sides of Eq. 1 yields

16. Young, F. S., Jr.: "Computerized Drilling Control,"]. Pet. Tech. (April 1969) 483-496; Trans., AIME,Vol. 246.

17. Reed, R L.: "A Monte Carlo Approach to OptimalDrilling," S'oc. Pet. Eng. ]. (Oct. 1972) 423-438;Trans., AIME, Vol. 253.

18. Nelson, J. K.: "What Mud Pump Horsepower Costs,"Pet. Eng. (Oct. 1965) 71.

19. Scott, K. F.: "A New Practical Approach to RotaryDrilling Hydraulics," paper SPE 3530 presented atSPE-AIME 46th Annual Fall Meeting of SPE, NewOrleans, La. (1971).

20. Bourgoyne, A. T., Rizer, J. A., and Myers, G. M.:"Porosity and Pore Press ure Logs," The DrillingContractor (May-June 1971) 36.

21. Campbell, J. M., and Mitchell, B. J.: "Effect ofTooth Geometry on Tooth Wear Rate of Rotary RockBits," paper presented at API Mid-Continent DistrictSpring Meeting (March 1959).

22. Hebert, W. E., and Young, F. S., Jr.: "Estimation ofFormation Pressure with Regression Models ofDrilling Data," ]. Pet. Tech. (Jan. 1972) 9-15.

23. McLean, R. H.: "Velocities, Kinetic Energy andShear in Cross flow Under Three-Cone Jet Bits,"]. Pet. Tech. (Dec. 1965) 1443-1448; Trans., AIME,Vol. 234.

Eq. A·l can be checked for validity in a givenformation type at each depth at which data havebeen collected. 1£ we define the residual error ofthe ith data point, ri' by

bit weight per inch of bit diameter atwhich the bit teeth would fail instan­taneously, 1,0001b/in.

optimum bit weight per inch

threshold bit weight at which the bitbegins to drill, 1,000 lb/in.

normal compaction drilling parameter

undercompaction drilling parameter

pressure differential drilling parameter

bit weight drilling parameter

rotary speed drilling parameter

tooth wear drilling parameter

bit hydraulics drilling parameter

the apparent viscosity at 10,000 sec-I,cp

mud density, lb/gal

equivalent circulating mud density atthe hole bottom, lb/gal

bearing constant or Ii fe of bearings atstandard conditions, hours

formation abrasiveness constant or lifeof teeth at standard condi tions, hours

= overbar, designation of mean

PPc

(W /d)opt

(W /d)t

(W /d)max

380 SOCIETY OF PETROLEUM E'iGI:-iEERS JOrR:-iAL

Page 11: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

a.x.J J

-a7he dt. . . .(B-2a)

6Exp(a1 + E

j=2=

OPTIMIZAnON OF BIT WEIGHTAND ROTARY SPEED

=

=

APPENDIX B

TOOTH WEAR LIMITS BIT LIFE

The cost per foot can be expressed by

then Eq. B-2a becomes

The footage drilled, f\,.D, can be obtained from Eq. 1:

If the symbol] 1 is used to represent a function ofbit weight per inch, W/d, and rotary speed, N,which is defined by

dO1ndt= E

n 2d E r.

dr.i=1 ~ nE 2r. ~=

da.d a. i=1 ~

J J

n= E 2r.x. = 0

i=1 ~ J

2a1 EX2 + a2 EX2 + a3

Ex2x3

dO+ • • • • + aaEx2x a = Ex2 1ndt2a1 EX3 + a 2 Ex3x 2 + a

3EX

3dO+ • • • • + aaEx3x a = Ex31ndt

for j = 1, 2, 3, ... 8. Thus, the constants al throughas can be obtained by simultaneously solving the

nsystem of equations obtained by expanding 2 ,.X.

n i=l t ,

for j = 1, 2, 3, ... 8. Expansion of .2 'ix,' yieldsz=l

liD = ....(B-2b)

The tooth-wear equation can be rearranged toyield

+ • • •

a 2 EXaX2 +

2• + aaExa

dt =(~)

max

Wd

- 4

dt = J 2!~ (1 + H2 h) dh. (B-3b)

then Eq. B-3a becomes

(~) - 4max

w w(d) - d

max

• (1+H~12) !~ (1 + H2h) dh .. (B-3a)

=

If the symbol h is used to represent a secondfunction of bit weight per inch, W/d, and rotaryspeed, N, which is defined by

(1n~~}]2

dO 2'- (1n-) ]

dt C

G =

.......(A-3)

When any of the regression constants are assumed

to be known, the corresponding terms aj x j can bemoved to the left side of Eq. A-I and the previousanalysis applied to the remaining terms.

The final correlation is checked for accuracy usingthe regression index of correlation G, given by

AUGUST.1974 381

Page 12: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

The pressure drop across the bit, /),Pb, is relatedto the pump pressure, Pp ' and the flow rate, q, by

Combining Eqs. B-2b and B-3b gives

h -a h60 = J 1J 2!o e 7 (1 + H2h) dh

. . . . (B-4a)=

mPp - K2 q . . . (C-2)

Integrating Eq. B-3b gives Combil}ing Eqs. 8, C-1, and C-2 gives

aP.75 a 2

[350 llK] [Pq1

0.25aaK qrn+2] ...(C-3)

2=

=

Combining Eqs. B-1, B-4a, and B-4b gives

Cr

. [f.(1+H 2h)dh

J ]1

a( agxg)Taking e = 0 and solving yieldsaq

2Ppq - (rn+2) K2qm+1 = 0 .. (C·4)

Thus,

2Pp - (rn+2) 6Pd = O.

Substituting the parasitic pressure drop for K2

qm

gIves

Taking (aCj)/[a(W /d)] = 0 and solving yields

Wa -

APPENDIX D

Taking (aCj)/(aN) = 0 and solving yields

Cb

H1(-- + tt + t ) (1 --) +J 2!(1Cr c a6

=2P--Eorn+2 .......... (C-5)

+ H2h) dh = O· .... .(B-6)

EXAMPLE CALCULATION OF OPTIMUMBIT WEIGHT, ROTARY SPEED, AND

BIT HYDRAULICS

6.01.0

12.0400500

9.8751-3

4.0100T-6

0.5

Eq. 13, which defines (W/d)o t' is obtained by. 1 1 . pSimu taneously so ving Eqs. B-5 and B-6. Eq. 14,

which defines bit life, tb' is obtained by solvingeither Eq. B-5 or Eq. B-6 for h JO+H2h)dh. Eq.15, which defines the optimum rotary speed, isobtained by integrating Eq. B-3a and assumingcomplete tooth wear.

APPENDIX C

OPTIMIZATION OF BIT HYDRAULICS

Inspection of Eq. 1 reveals that by maximizingagxg . . d

the term e , penetration rate will be maXimIze .The nozzle diameter, d n , is related to the flowrate, q, by the orifice equation

OPTIMUM BIT WEIGHT AND ROTARY SPEED

Required Data

Trip time, hoursConnection time, hoursRotating time, hoursBit cost, dollarsRig cost, dollars/hourBit diameter, in.Bit classBit weight, 1,000 lb/in.Rotary speed, rpmTooth wear(Wld)t, 1,000 lb/in.

From regression analysis, al = 3.0, a 2 = 0.0002,a3 = 0.002, a4 = 0.00004, as = 1.2, a6 = 0.6, a7 =

0.9, as = 0.4.

=

2 0.25

K1 (~) (C-l)

Solution

1. Calculate formation abrasiveness constantusing Eg. 10:

382 ~OCIETY OF PETROLEI'" E'iCI'iEERS JOCR'iAL

Page 13: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

7,00010

9900

=

From Table 3, HI = 1.84, H2 = 6, H3 = 0.8, (Wld)max= 8.0.

T/I = (0.8) (1)1.84 (1) 1 + 3 (12)0.75 + 3(.563)

100 [15.7 (8 - 6.40)J O• 543

Nopt =16.1 (8 - 4.00)

Nopt = 60 rpm.

ALTERNATE SOLUTION

A cost-per-foot table (see Table 8) for this exampleproblem was generated using the Fortran IV programbelow. The program solves Eqs. 13 through 15b inan iterative manner.

Additional data:Depth, ftMud densi ty, lb/galPore pressure gradient, lb/galJet impact force, lb

OPTIMUM HYDRAULICS

T/I = 15.7 hours.

3. Calculate the expected bit life using Eq. 13:

Thus a Class 1-1 bit operating at standard condi­tions should last 15.7 hours in this type of formation.

2. Calculate the optimum bit weight using Eq. 13:

Pump Pressure(psig)

650225

3,0009.6

12-12-12

2,800900

RequiTed Data

Maximum desirable flow rate, gal/minMinimum desirable flow rate, gal/minMaximum desirable pump pressure, psigMud density, lb/galBit nozzles, 32nd

Flow Rate(gal/min)

485247

1.2 (1.84)(8.0) + 0.6(0.5)1.2 (1.84) + 0.6

6,400Ib/in.

(Wld)opt =

(Wid)opt =

tb = (400 + 6 + 1) (3.07 - 1)500

t b = 16.1 hours.

4. Calculate the optimum rotary speed USlllg

Eq. 13:

Solution

1. Calculate pressure drop through bit at eachflow rate. Subtract the pressure drop through the bitfrom the pump pressure to get total parasiticpressure drop at each flow rate.

PF!\L Jl.J2.N.A(f3) .C( 1{~.40)

DATI\ A /j.0.0.:.1 C02.0.C::l2.C.OOC04,I .2.0.6.::>.9.0.4/

I.) 1\ T A \If) T .NI) M • HI. H 2. H 3 • T A UH/!) .5. (3.0 .1 .84. 6.!). 0 • f3 • 1:J .7/

D A T 1\ T T • T C • CR. C F< • 0 , R HO • GP • F J / (, •• 1 • • I~ 0 ') •• 5 '1 'J •• 70 (,0 •• 1 0 •• 9 •• 90 0 • /

DO 50 1=1. 14

WD=1

\lID="'D/? .)+0.5

DO S0 J=I.40

N=J*lC

Jl=FXP(A(l )+A(2)*(lOCOO.-D)+A(3)*D**O.6~*(GP-9.)+A(4)*D*(GP-RHO)+

1 A( 5) *ALOG( (WD-'hDT)/(4.-""DT) )+A(6) *ALOG( N/IOO. )+A(8 )*ALOG(FJ/IOOO.;: ) )

J 2 =T 1\ L f j I H 3 * ( ( v. D '" - V. 0 ) I ( wn M-4 • ) ) * ( 1 0 C • / N ) ~, *H 1/ ( 1 • +H;:> / 2 • )

Tll=J2~'( 1. fH2/2.)

U::: -A(7)/fL?,*SGRT(I.+2.*H2*TP/J2)

C F .::: (C 9 + C R* ( T T +T C + T ~l) ) / ( J 1 *J 2 *H 2 / A ( 7 ) **2 *( 1 • + A ( 7 ) / H 2 + ( U- 1 • ) *I FXP(A(7)/H2 + 1.;»)

C( I.J )=CF

wI7ITE(6.6J)(

Fr'RMAT( lX.14F9.2)

S TllP

END

AlJCLST.1974 383

Page 14: A Multiple Regression Approach to Optimal Drilling and Abnormal Pressure Detection

3. Read optimum flow rate and parasitic pressureloss from graph. Calculate nozzle area that willyield the optimum bit pressure drop.

Flow Pump Bit ParasiticRate Pressure Loss Loss

(gal/min) (psig) (psig) (psig)

485 2,800 1,894 906247 900 491 409

2. Plot parasitic pressure loss vs flow rate (seeFig. 6). Determine slope, Tll. Calculate the optimumparasitic pressure loss using Eq. 19 and plot pathof optimum hydraulics.

q = 650

/'I.Pb = 3,000 - 1,300

nozzle area = 0.47 in. 2

1,700

***

384

=2p-...:..E.rn+2 =

2 (3000)=1.2+2

1875

SOCIETY OF PETROL}:CM E~GINEERS JOURNAL


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