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A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES AND APPLICATIONS IN REAL LIFE DATA M. Sajish Kumar 1 and C. Subramanian 2 1,2 Department of Statistics, Annamalai University, Annamalai nagar, Tamil Nadu, India 1 Corresponding Author: [email protected] Abstract In this paper, we proposed a new probability model called as the Length Biased Devya distribution. The statistical properties of this distribution including, the mean, variance, harmonic mean and probability generating functions have been studied. The maximum likelihood method has been used to estimate the parameter. Finally a real life data has been analysed for illustration purpose. Keywords: Devya distribution, weighted distribution, Reliability Analysis, Order Statistics, Maximum Likelihood Estimation. 1. INTRODUCTION Weighted distribution provides an approach to dealing with model specification and data interpretation problems. Fisher (1934) and Rao (1965) introduced and unified the concept of weighted distribution. When the probability of observing a positive-valued random variable is proportional to the value of the variable the resultant is length-biased distribution. A table for some basic distributions and their length-biased forms is given by Patil and Rao (1978) such as Lognormal, Gamma, Pareto, Beta distribution. Modi and Gill (2015), obtained length biased weighted Maxwell distribution and its applications. Shenbagaraja, et al. (2019), discussed on length biased Garima distribution with several properties and its applications. Mudasir and Ahmad (2018), discussed on characterization and estimation of the length biased Nakagami distribution. Recently, Rather and Subramanian (2019) discussed on length biased erlang truncated exponential distribution with life time data which shows more flexibility than classical distributions. A new one parametric lifetime distribution named Devya distribution was given by Shanker (2016). Its statistical and mathematical properties including moments, order statistics, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves have been discussed. In this paper, we will discuss the length biased version of Devya distribution with its properties and applications. Journal of Information and Computational Science Volume 9 Issue 11 - 2019 ISSN: 1548-7741 www.joics.org 1188
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Page 1: A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES …joics.org/gallery/ics-1791.pdf · M. Sajish Kumar1 and C. Subramanian2 1,2Department of Statistics, Annamalai University,

A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH

PROPERTIES AND APPLICATIONS IN REAL LIFE DATA

M. Sajish Kumar1 and C. Subramanian2

1,2Department of Statistics, Annamalai University, Annamalai nagar, Tamil Nadu, India

1Corresponding Author: [email protected]

Abstract

In this paper, we proposed a new probability model called as the Length Biased Devya

distribution. The statistical properties of this distribution including, the mean, variance,

harmonic mean and probability generating functions have been studied. The maximum

likelihood method has been used to estimate the parameter. Finally a real life data has been

analysed for illustration purpose.

Keywords: Devya distribution, weighted distribution, Reliability Analysis, Order

Statistics, Maximum Likelihood Estimation.

1. INTRODUCTION

Weighted distribution provides an approach to dealing with model specification and data

interpretation problems. Fisher (1934) and Rao (1965) introduced and unified the concept of

weighted distribution. When the probability of observing a positive-valued random variable is

proportional to the value of the variable the resultant is length-biased distribution. A table for

some basic distributions and their length-biased forms is given by Patil and Rao (1978) such

as Lognormal, Gamma, Pareto, Beta distribution. Modi and Gill (2015), obtained length

biased weighted Maxwell distribution and its applications. Shenbagaraja, et al. (2019),

discussed on length biased Garima distribution with several properties and its applications.

Mudasir and Ahmad (2018), discussed on characterization and estimation of the length biased

Nakagami distribution. Recently, Rather and Subramanian (2019) discussed on length biased

erlang truncated exponential distribution with life time data which shows more flexibility

than classical distributions.

A new one parametric lifetime distribution named Devya distribution was given by

Shanker (2016). Its statistical and mathematical properties including moments, order

statistics, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves have been discussed. In this paper, we will discuss

the length biased version of Devya distribution with its properties and applications.

Journal of Information and Computational Science

Volume 9 Issue 11 - 2019

ISSN: 1548-7741

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Page 2: A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES …joics.org/gallery/ics-1791.pdf · M. Sajish Kumar1 and C. Subramanian2 1,2Department of Statistics, Annamalai University,

2. LENGTH BIASED DEVYA (LBD) DISTRIBUTION

The probability density function (pdf) of the Devya Distribution is given by

)1(0,0;1)2462(

),( 432

234

5

xexxxxxf x

and the cumulative density function (cdf) of the Devya Distribution is given by

)2(,0;

)2462(

24)2(6)234()(11),(

234

222332344

xe

xxxxxxxxxxxF

x

and its mean is

)3()2462(

1202462)(

234

234

XE

Suppose X is a non- negative random variable with probability density function )(xf .Let

)(xw be the nonnegative weight function, then the probability density function of the

weighted random variable Xw is given

)4(0;))((

)()()( x

xwE

xfxwxf w

Where w(x) be a non-negative weight function and )()()( xfxwXE .

For different weighted models, we have different choices of the weight function w(x).when cx the resulting distribution is termed as weighted distribution. In this paper, we have to find

the Length biased version of Devya distribution, so we will take c = 1 in weightscxxw )( ,

in order to get the Length biased Devya distribution and its probability density function (pdf)

is given by:

)5()(

)()(

xE

xxfxf l

Substitute, the values of equation (1) and (3) in equation (5), we will get the probability

density function of Length biased Devya distribution.

)6(0,0;1)1202462(

),( 432

234

6

xexxxxxxf x

l

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Page 3: A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES …joics.org/gallery/ics-1791.pdf · M. Sajish Kumar1 and C. Subramanian2 1,2Department of Statistics, Annamalai University,

Now, the cumulative distribution function of the Length biased Devya distribution is obtained

as

x

ll dxxfxF0

)(),(

x

x

l xdxexxxxxxF0

432

234

6

0,0;1)1202462(

),(

After simplification, we will get the cumulative distribution function of Length biased Devya

distribution as

)7(

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2

)1202462()(

43

2

234

4

xx

xxx

xFl

3. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS

In this section, we will discuss about the survival function, failure rate, reverse hazard rate

and Mills ratio of the length biased Devya distribution.

The survival function or the reliability function of the Length biased Devya

distribution is given by

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)(1)( xFxS l

xx

xxx

xS

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2

)1202462(1)(

43

2

234

4

The hazard function is also known as the hazard rate, instantaneous failure rate or force of

mortality and is given by

)(1

)()(

xF

xfxh

l

l

xx

xxx

exxxxxxh

x

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2

)1202462(

1)(

43

2

4234

4324

and Reverse hazard rate and Mills Ratio of the Length biased Devya distribution is given by

)(

)()(

xF

xfxh

l

l

r

xxxxx

exxxxxxh

x

r

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2

1)(

432

4324

)(

1

xhMillsRatio

r

xexxxxx

xxxxx

)1(

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2

4324

432

3.1 Harmonic Mean

The Harmonic mean of the Length Biased Devya distribution model can be obtained as

xEMH

1.

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Page 5: A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES …joics.org/gallery/ics-1791.pdf · M. Sajish Kumar1 and C. Subramanian2 1,2Department of Statistics, Annamalai University,

dxxfx

l )(1

0

dxexxxxxx

x

0

432

234

6

1)1202462(

1

0

432

234

6

1)1202462(

dxexxxx x

0

4

0

3

0

2

00

234

6

)1202462(

dxexdxex

dxexdxxedxe

xx

xxx

on simplification, we get

)1202462(

)2462(..

234

234

MH

4. MOMENTS AND ASSOCIATED MEASURES

Let X denotes the random variable of Length biased Devya distribution then the thr order

moment )( rXE of Length biased Devya distribution is obtained as

dxexxxxxx xr

432

234

6

0

1)1202462(

)8(1202462

)!5()!4()!3()!2()!1(234

234

r

rrrrr

Putting r =1 in equation (8), we will get the mean of Length biased Devya distribution which

is given by

1202462

7201202462234

234

1

dxxfxXE l

r

r

r )()(0

'

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and putting r = 2 in equation (8), we get the second moment of Length biased Devya

distribution as

1202462

50407201202462342

234

2

therefore,

2

12 )(Variance

2

234

234

2342

234

1202462

7201202462

1202462

5040720120246

2

234

234

2342

234

1202462

7201202462

1202462

5040720120246).(.

DS

Coefficient of Variation (C.V) ='

1

7201202462

720120246212024625040720120246234

2234234234

Coefficient of Dispersion (γ) = '

1

2

12024627201202462

720120246212024625040720120246234234

2234234234

5. MOMENT GENERATING FUNCTION AND CHARACTERISTIC

FUNCTION

Let X have a Length biased Devya distribution, then the MGF of X is obtained as

0

)()()( dxxfeeEtM w

txtx

X

Using Taylor’s expansion

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0

2

)(!2

)(1)()( dxxf

txtxeEtM l

tx

X

0 0

)(!

dxxfxj

tl

j

j

j

'!0

j

j

j

j

t

)9(1202462

)!5()!4()!3()!2()!1(

! 234

234

0

j

j

j jjjjj

j

t

Similarly, the characteristic function of Length biased Devya distribution can be obtained as

)()( itMt XX

0234

234

)10(!1202462

)!5()!4()!3()!2()!1(

j

j

j j

itjjjjj

6. ORDER STATISTICS

Let X(1), X(2), ...,X(n) be the order statistics of a random sample X1, X2, ..., Xn drawn from the

continuous population with probability density function fx(x) and cumulative density function

with Fx(x), then the pdf of rthorder statistics X(r) is given by

rn

X

r

XXrX xFxFxfrnr

nxf

)(1)()(

)!()!1(

!)(

1

)( (11)

Using the equations (6) and (7) in equation (11), the probability density function of rth order

statistics X(r) of Length biased Devya distribution is given by

rn

r

x

rX

xxxxx

xxxxx

exxxxxnr

nxf

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2)1202462(

1

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2)1202462(

1)1202462()!1()!1(

!)(

432234

6

1

432234

6

432

234

6

)(

Therefore, the probability density function of higher order statistics X(n) can be obtained as

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Page 8: A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES …joics.org/gallery/ics-1791.pdf · M. Sajish Kumar1 and C. Subramanian2 1,2Department of Statistics, Annamalai University,

1

432234

6

432

234

6

)(

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2)1202462(

1)1202462(

)(

n

x

nX

xxxxx

exxxxxnxf

and the pdf of 1st order statistic X(1)can be obtained as

1

432234

6

432

234

6

)1(

;61

;51

;41

;31

;2)1202462(

1

1)1202462(

)(

n

x

X

xxxxx

exxxxxxf

7. ENTROPIES

The concept of entropy is important in different areas such as probability and statistics,

physics, communication theory and economics. Entropies quantify the diversity, uncertainty,

or randomness of a system. Entropy of a random variable X is a measure of variation of the

uncertainty.

7.1 Renyi Entropy

The Renyi entropy is important in ecology and statistics as index of diversity. The Renyi

entropy is also important in quantum information, where it can be used as a measure of

entanglement. For a given probability distribution, Renyi entropy is given by

dxxfe )(log

1

1)(

; where β > 0, and β ≠1

0

432

234

6

1)1202462(1

1)( dxexxxxxLoge x

iiiii

0

432

234

6

112024621

1)( dxexxxxxLoge x

iiiii

)12()1(

12024621

1)(

0

432

234

6

dxexxxxxLoge x

iiii

Using binomial expansion in equation (12), we get

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Page 9: A NEW EXTENSION OF DEVYA DISTRIBUTION WITH PROPERTIES …joics.org/gallery/ics-1791.pdf · M. Sajish Kumar1 and C. Subramanian2 1,2Department of Statistics, Annamalai University,

dxex

l

k

k

j

j

i

ie xlkji

i j k l

0

11

0 0 0 0234

6

1202462log

1

1)(

10 0 0 0

234

6 1

1202462log

1

1)(

lkji

i j k l

lkji

l

k

k

j

j

i

ie

7.2 Tsallis Entropy

A generalization of Boltzmann-Gibbs (B-G) statistical mechanics initiated by Tsallis has

focussed a great deal to attention. This generalization of B-G statistics was proposed firstly

by introducing the mathematical expression of Tsallis entropy (Tsallis, 1988) for a

continuous random variable is defined as follows

0

)(11

1dxxfS

0

432

234

6

1)1202462(

11

1dxexxxxxS x

iiiii

0

432

234

6

11202462

11

1dxexxxxxS x

iiiii

)13()1(

12024621

1

1

0

432

234

6

dxexxxxxS x

iiii

Using binomial expansion to equation (13), we get

dxex

l

k

k

j

j

i

iS xlkji

i j k l

0

11

0 0 0 0234

6

12024621

1

1

10 0 0 0

234

6 1

12024621

1

1lkji

i j k l

klji

l

k

k

j

j

i

iS

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8. BONFERRONI AND LORENZ CURVES

The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves (Bonferroni, 1930) have applications not only in

economics to study income and poverty, but also in other fields like reliability, demography,

insurance and medicine. The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves are defined as

q

dxxxfp

pB01

)('

1)(

and

q

dxxxfpL01

)('

1)(

where 1202462

7201202462234

234/

1

and

)(1 pFq

dxexxxxxp

pB x

q

0

432

234

1

6

1)1202462(

)(

dxexdxexdxexdxexdxexp

pB x

q

x

q

x

q

x

q

x

q

0

5

0

4

0

3

0

2

0

234

1

6

)1202462()(

dxetdxet

dxetdxetdxet

ppB

x

q

x

q

x

q

x

q

x

q

0

5

6

0

4

5

0

3

4

0

2

3

0

2

234

1

6

11

111

)1202462()(

dxetdxet

dxetdxetdxet

ppB

x

q

x

q

x

q

x

q

x

q

0

16

6

0

15

5

0

14

4

0

13

3

0

12

2

234

1

6

11

111

)1202462()(

);!5(

1);!4(

1);!3(

1;!2(

1;1(

)7201202462()(

432234

5

qqqqqp

pB

L(p)=p(B(p)

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);!5(

1);!4(

1);!3(

1;!2(

1;1(

)7201202462()(

432234

5

qqqqqpL

9. MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATOR

Let ).........,,,( 321 nxxxx be a random sample of size from Devya distribution. The likelihood

function, of is given by

)14(1()1202462(

);(1

432

234

6

n

i

x

iiiii

n

iexxxxxxL

The natural log likelihood function thus obtained as

)15(1ln

)1202462(ln);(ln

0

432

234

6

i

i

iiiii xxxxxxnxL

The maximum likelihood estimates of θ can be obtained by differentiating equation (15) with

respect to θ and must satisfy the normal equation

XnxxxxxnL

iiiii

4322346 1lnln)1202462ln((lnlog

)16(0)1202462(

2412646log234

23

Xnn

L

Because of the complicated form of likelihood equations (16), algebraically it is very

difficult to solve the system of nonlinear equations. Therefore, we use R and wolfram

mathematica for estimating the required parameters.

10. LIKELIHOOD RATIO TEST

Let X1, X2, ... , Xn be a random sample from the LBD distribution. To test the hypothesis

);()(:against);()(: 1 xfxfHxfxfH lo

In order to test whether the random sample of size n comes from the Devya distribution or

LBD distribution, the following test statistic is used

n

i

l

xf

xf

L

L

10

1

);(

);(

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i

n

i

x

1234

234

)1202462(

)2462((

n

i

i

n

x1

234

234

)1202462(

)2462(

We reject the null hypothesis if

n

i

i

n

kx1

234

234

)1202462(

)2462(

n

n

i

i kx

)2462(

)1202462(or,

234

234

1

*

n

n

i

i kkkx

)2462(

)1202462(where,

234

234**

1

*

For large sample size n, 2 log∆ is distributed as chi-square distribution with one degree of

freedom and also p-value is obtained from the chi-square distribution. Thus we reject the null

hypothesis, when the probability value is given by

theisandgnificanceoflevelspecifiedathanlessiswhere,11

***

n

i

i

n

i

i xsixp

observed value of the statistic ∆*.

11. APPLICATIONS

In this section, we have used real lifetime data set in length biased Devya distribution and the

model has been compared with Devya distribution.

Data set: Gross and Clark (1975) reported a set of data relating relief in minutes receiving

analgesic of 20 patients. The data is given below:

1.1, 1.4, 1.3, 1.7, 1.9, 1.8, 1.6, 2.2, 1.7, 2.7, 4.1, 1.8, 1.5,

1.2, 1.4, 3.0, 1.7, 2.3, 1.6, 2.0.

In order to compare the length baised Devya distribution with Devya distribution, we

consider the criteria like Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Akaike Information Criterion

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(AIC), Akaike Information Criterion Corrected (AICC) and -2 logL. The better distribution is

which corresponds to lesser values of AIC,BIC, AICC and – 2 log L. For calculating AIC,

BIC, AICC and -2 logL can be evaluated by using the formulas as follows:

AIC = 2K - 2logL, BIC = klogn - 2logL, )1(

)1(2

kn

kkAICAICC

Where k is the number of parameters, n is the sample size and -2 logL is the maximized value

of log likelihood function and are showed in table 1.

Table.1: Performance of distributions.

From table 1, we can see that the length biased Devya distribution have the lesser AIC, BIC,

AICC and -2 logL values as compared to Devya distribution. Hence, we can conclude that the

length biased Devya distribution leads to better fit than the Devya distribution.

12. CONCLUSION

A new extension of Devya distribution has been obtained namely the Length Biased

Devya distribution has been introduced to model lifetime data. Its moment generating

function, moments, coefficient of dispersion has been obtained. Other interesting properties

of the distribution such as its hazard rate function, entropies, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves,

have been discussed. The estimation of its parameter have been obtained by using maximum

likelihood estimation. A real lifetime data- set has been presented to show the applications

and performance of Length biased Devya distribution over one parameter Devya

distributions.

Distribution MLE

S.E -2 logL AIC BIC AICC

Devya

Distribution

𝜃

= 1.841946

𝜃 =

=0.1692256

54.50256

56.50436

55.80539

56.72658

Length

biased

Devya

Distribution

𝜃 =2.4679492

𝜃 =0.2123947

46.16638

48.16638

47.48838

48.38860

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REFERENCES

[1]. Fisher, R.A. (1934), The effects of methods of ascertainment upon the estimation of

frequencies, The Annals of Eugenics, 6, 13–25.

[2]. Gross, A.J. and Clark, V.A. (1975): Survival Distribution: Reliability Applications in

the Biometrical Sciences, John Wiley, New York.

[3]. Modi, K. and Gill, V. (2015), Length-biased Weighted Maxwell Distribution,

Pak.j.stat.oper.res. Vol. XI No.4 2015 pp. 465-472.

[4]. Mudasir, S. and Ahmad, S.P. (2018), Characterization and Estimation of the Length

Biased Nakagami Distribution, Pak.j.stat.oper.res. Vol. XIV No.3, pp. 697-715.

[5]. Patil, G. P. and Rao, C. R. (1978). Weighted distributions and size-biased sampling

with applications to wildlife populations and human families, Biometrics, 34, 179-189.

[6]. Rao, C.R. (1965). On discrete distributions arising out of methods of ascertainment,

in Classical and Contagious Discrete Distributions. G.P. Patil, Ed, Statistical Publishing

Society, Calcutta, pp.320-332.

[7]. Rather, A. A. and Subramanian, C. (2019), The Length-Biased Erlang–Truncated

Exponential Distribution with Life Time Data, Journal of Information and

Computational Science, Volume 9, Issue 8, pp. 340-355.

[8]. Shanker, R., (2016): Devya distribution and its applications, International Journal of

Statistics and Applications, 6(4), 189-202.

[9]. Shenbagaraja, R., Rather, A. A. and Subramanian, C. (2019), On Some Aspects of

Length Biased Technique with Real Life Data, Science, Technology and Development,

Volume VIII, Issue IX, pp. 326-335.

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