THE FLOOD IS COMING!A NEW MARKETING MODEL FOR 2020
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AN FPBR PRESENTATIONNovember 8, 2011
CONFIDENTIAL© FAITH POPCORN’S BRAINRESERVE 2011 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
PREDICTING THE FUTURE SINCE 1974
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1990 20011997 2000 2012
OUR DIFFERENTIATION:
Align Brands and businesses to the emerging cultural
forces that will enable them to realize their best future
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APPLIED FUTURISM DRIVES MEGA-GROWTH
4
OUR PRIOPRIETY IP
5
FPBR TRENDBANK
ANCHORING99 LIVES COCOONING
BEING ALIVE CASHING OUTAtmosFEAR CLANNING
6
EVEolutionFANTASY ADVENTUREDOWN-AGING EGOnomics Future TENSE
VIGILANTE CONSUMER
SMALL INDULGENCES
ICON TOPPLING
S.O.S. (Save Our Society)
PLEASURE REVENGE
95% ACCURACY PREDICTING THE FUTURE
1984: Told GE Capital that the future of finance and small businesswill be Female.
1987: Told Kodak to prepare for a “Filmless Future.”
1990: Told Stanley Tools to target women: DIH – The Do It Herself Movement.
1989: Told Coke to Bottle Water.
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DIH – The Do It Herself Movement.
1993: Told Roche Pharmaceuticals to target consumers directly: The Doctor is Dead.
2006: Told Pepsi to stop bottling water.
2007: Predicted there would be a global revolution: Life Rage.
2012: Predicting the “SHE-change” a decade of feminine energy fueled by money, power and compassion.
THE TRENDS TELL US
IT’S THE END OF THE WORLD
AS WE’VE KNOWN IT
11/15/2011 8
THE CULTURAL CONTEXT
THE GREAT RECESSION HAS
ALL THREE ANCHORS OF
THE TRIANGLE OF CULTURE HAVE
SIMULTANEOUSLY FAILED
CRASHED OUR CULTURE
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ENVIRONMENT
THE ECONOMY IS DROWNING
ENVIRONMENT
“80% chance the U.S. Economy will re-enter recession”Merrill Lynch
U.K. Inflation hits a record 5.2%
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Collapse of global banking system predicted by Citigroup’s
Willem Buiter
THE RICH HAVE LIFE JACKETS
The 500 highest earners make more than
ENVIRONMENT
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the poorest 416 million people.UN Human Development Report
ETHICS UNDER-WATERENVIRONMENT
Wal-Mart China CEO quits as retailergrapples with pork scandal
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30 members of the U.S. Congress are under ethics investigation
Accused of Deception Citi Agrees to Pay $285 Million
A DELUGE OF DISASTERS
By 2025 two billion people
won’t have enough waterThe International Water Management Institute
Climate related
disasters way up
ENVIRONMENT
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The International Water Management Institute
Climate change threatens
30% of species with
extinction by 2100
IPCC
THE FLOOD
IS COMING!
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IS COMING!
We’re Looking
for our
Transport
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for our
Transport
to Safety
Introducing
The Ark
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The Ark
A place of:
Reinvention and Renewal
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Reinvention and Renewal
Inspiration and Elevation
Connection and Nurturance
Transparency and Honesty
HOW DOES A COMPANY GET ON
The Ark?Follow the Commandments
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Ark
Commandment
1
The Consumer is dead.
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LONG LIVE HUMAN BEINGS
who seek substance
over superficiality.
WE ARE RE-EVALUATING OUR
RELATIONSHIP WITH CONSUMPTION
Reset Reclaim
1Consumer
is Dead
2020
CASHING OUTQuestioning personal/career satisfaction and goals, people opt for simpler living
ResetICON TOPPLING
A new socioquake transforms the world as the pillars of society are questioned
and rejected
Reclaim
HITTING RE-BOOT
ON OUR VALUESReset
90% of people are opting for simpler living
95% believe wealth ≠ happiness
1Consumer
is Dead
2121
72% want to remove clutter from their life
1% of Millennials list ‘Fame’ as their top life goal
35% would sacrifice a portion of their salary for more personal time
FPBR Recession Survey
DEMANDING A MORE
EQUITABLE FUTURE
1Consumer
is DeadReset
Millionaires stand with those in Zuccotti Park
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THE RISE OF
ONE-DOWNMANSHIP:
LESS IS MORE
1Consumer
is DeadReset
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Interviewed by phone and e-mail she was in Croatia on a business trip, Ms. Popcorn said: “I see a nurse practitioner,” rather than a doctor, “unless there’s really a problem. I also wait a little longer before I seek help, in case nature cures the ill.”
And when it comes to clothes shopping, Ms. Popcorn, the mother of two daughters, ages 4 and 10, said she caters “to my T.J. Maxx addiction more often.”
“Three times last week to by the kids back-to-school clothes,” she added. “No more Jacadi or Bon Nuit for me. Target or TJ’s just fine.” JANE L. LEVERE
WON’T BE DEFINED
BY OUR CONSUMPTIONReclaim
Consumers buy brands.Humans join them.
1Consumer
is Dead
CONSUMERCONSUMER CITIZENCITIZENCONSUMERCONSUMER CITIZENCITIZENHUMAN
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“We want to feel like we’ve bought well and on our own volition.” Oliver Gunther, TalentBank Expert, Professor of Economics,
Humboldt School of Business and Economics, Germany
Humans join them.
HOW TO GET ON THE ARK:
KNOW THE CONSUMER IS DEAD
People are seeking substance
over superficiality
Less is more- Help people feel cared for
1Consumer
is Dead
2525
- Help people feel cared for without feeling indulgent
Creating Connection
- Let them ‘join’ your Brand. Give them a voice in shaping your offer, who you help and how you help them
Ark
Commandment
2
Ark Brands listen
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Ark Brands listen
and respond.
To the UNSPOKEN FEARS
in the culture.
A BREAKDOWN OF COMMUNITY
The mean number of confidants fell 33% in the last 20 years
2Listen and
Respond
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A LACK OF LOVE
The average AOL user will hear:
‘You’ve got mail’ 446,000 times
‘I love you’ 3,400 times
2Listen and
Respond
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THE EROSION OF
SUPPORT SYSTEMS
Suicides among women 45-54
rose 31% over five years
2Listen and
Respond
83% of suicides are among 40+
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83% of suicides are among 40+
Attributed to erosion of
family and community safety
net
A CRAVING FOR SKINSHIP
“We’re touch deprived . At spas we pay for non-sexual intimacy we used to get from mothers, sisters, girlfriends”
2Listen and
Respond
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sisters, girlfriends”Arlie Russell Hochschild,
The Commercialization of Intimate Life
WE MUST REALIZE WE’RE
INTER-CONNECTED
THE WEB OF WELLBEING: We Can’t Be Well If Our Universe Is Ailing
2Listen and
Respond
FRIENDS
FAMILY
SPIRIT
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FAMILY
COMMUNITY
WORK
WORLD
ENVIRONMENTME
ARK COMPANIES CREATE
WELLNESS THROUGH COMMUNITY
Malikka Chopra’s Wellness Network: Find Wellbeing By Connecting To Others
2Listen and
Respond
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ARK COMPANIES BRING
A HUMAN TOUCH
2Listen and
Respond
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Pharmaca spends 3x as long with patients
HOW TO GET ON THE ARK:
LISTEN AND RESPOND
To make the individual well,
address the wellbeing of the group
Tap into the power of human touch
2Listen and
Respond
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Tap into the power of human touch
to treat the epidemic of loneliness
Use the safe and nurturing environment
of the spa to help people connect with others
Ark
Commandment
3
Ark Companies have power.
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Ark Companies have power.They never abuse it or use it
to deceive or inflict fear,
only as A FORCE FOR GOOD.
IN NOTHING WE TRUST
61% of young Indians fear corruption more than terrorism
65% of people don’t trust the
3Power for
Good
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10% believe their company’s leaders are ethical
65% of people don’t trust the ethics of corporations
FPBR Recession Survey, Maritz Research 2011
WE DON’T TRUST ANYONE
BUT WE STILL CRAVE LEADERSHIP
81% want companies to play a leadership role in society
3Power for
Good
3737Cone Study 2011
WE KNOW WE CAN’T DO IT ALONE
“90% believe it’s important to be environmentally responsible , and need
3Power for
Good
3838
environmentally responsible , and need companies to do the same.”
Green AMPlified Survey
COMMITTED TO
DOING THE RIGHT THING
94% would switch to a brand associated with a good cause
3Power for
Good
3939Cone Study 2011
EXPECT ACTIONS NOT WORDS
96% want you to change the way you do business to fix social and eco issues
3Power for
Good
4040Cone Study 2011
THE FUTURE OF ‘INC’ =
B CORP
Benefit Corporations:
- Transparent actions- Higher accountability
3Power for
Good
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- Higher accountability- Rigorous social and environmental standards
ARK COMPANIES ARE FULLY
TRANSPARENT
Patagonia discloses the eco
good and bad of their products
3Power for
Good
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ARK COMPANIES =
ACTIONS NOT WORDS
Coke’s living billboard cleans the air
3Power for
Good
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Contains 3600 tea plants that absorb 47,000 pounds of CO2 a year
ARK COMPANIES DEMAND
INCLUSIVE GROWTH
Co-op supporting 40,000craftspeople across India
3Power for
Good
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ARK COMPANIES DON’T SUPPORT CAUSES,
THEY SOLVE PROBLEMS
3Power for
Good
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Ensuring Children Around The World Have Shoes
With every pair you purchase, TOMS will give a pair of new shoes to a child in need. One for One.
3Power for
Good
ARK COMPANIES DON’T SUPPORT CAUSES,
THEY SOLVE PROBLEMS
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Panera’s‘Pay What You Can’ Café
Jon Bon Jovi’sCommunity Restaurant:Buy or Earn Your Meal
HOW TO GET ON THE ARK:
USE YOUR POWER FOR GOOD
Put goodness at the heart of your business:
Appoint a Chief Consciousness Officer
Don’t support a cause,
3Power for
Good
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Don’t support a cause,
commit to solve a problem
Be honest, not perfect:
Let people know how you’re trying to improve
Ark
Commandment
4
Ark Companies embracetheir feminine side.
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Ark Companies embrace
Maternalism, connectedness
and NURTURING WILL PERVADE
the new business culture.
their feminine side.
“I speak to you with a feminine voice. It’s
the voice of democracy, of equality. I am
certain, ladies and gentlemen, that this will
be the women’s century. In Portuguese,
words such as life, soul and hope are of
the feminine gender, as are courage
4Feminine
Values
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the feminine gender, as are courage
and sincerity.”
Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff, The first woman to open the debate at the UN General Assembly
21.9.11
FEMALE SKILLS WIN IN
THE 21st CENTURY WORLD
13 of the 15 job categories projected to grow
are dominated by women
4Feminine
Values
5050
“Classic male virtues are out of date in a world where networking, cooperation, and communication are prized.”
“The Decline of Men” Guy Garcia
are dominated by women
YOUNG WOMEN
OUT-LEARNING AND OUT-EARNING MEN
% of university graduates who are female:
Estonia 70%, UAE 65%, Brazil 60%,
USA 60%, China 47%
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Young women earn more than young men
WOMEN IN THE EMERGING WORLD
ARE SMASHING THE GLASS CEILING
% of female senior managers:
32%
% of female CEOs of large companies:
11%
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China 32%USA 23%
Britain 19%
India 11%Britain 5%USA 3%
WOMEN PUT THEIR MARK
ON THE ECONOMY
Women own more than
40% of
In 1970, women contributed 4% of
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40% of private
businesses in China
contributed 4% offamily income.
Today it’s 42%
WOMEN: A BETTER FINANCIAL BET
Female stock brokers perform
better:
9%
Female CEOs out-performed
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Women: 9% returns
Men: 5.82%
out-performed Male CEOs by
28%
WOMEN: THE LARGEST
EMERGING ECONOMY
Women’s global income is greater than
the GDP of China and India
4Feminine
Values
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THE ROI OF WOMEN IS HUGE
Return on Equity: Outperformed by 53%
Boards with the highest % of females
make more money:
4Feminine
Values
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Return on Equity: Outperformed by 53%
Return on Sales: Outperformed by 42%
Return on Invested Capital: Outperformed by 66%
ARK COMPANIES INNOVATE
TO MEET WOMEN’S NEEDS
EVEolving to keep women in the workforce in Asia:
Google: Taxis to get women home safely
4Feminine
Values
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Boehringer Ingelheim: Mothers come on business trips
Infosys: Sabbaticals and extended maternity leave
ARK COMPANIES ARE INFUSED
WITH FEMALE VALUES
4Feminine
Values
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NURTURING CHANGE:Education and Collaboration to create a ‘Wellcare’ system
HUMAN TOUCH:Visit you at work or at home
HOW TO GET ON THE ARK:
EMBRACE YOUR FEMININE SIDE
You are ahead of the pack:
4Feminine
Values
Teach other businesses what you already know
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Women will need your help even more
to prioritize their own needs
Be a leader in supporting the needs
of female employees
Ark
Commandment
5
Ark Companies do not fear change, they create it.
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Ark Companies do not fear
That takes future-forward wisdom
and the courage to ACT ON IT.
change, they create it.
THE WORLD LOVES
FEARLESS COMPANIES
5Embrace
Change
6161
Fearlessness pays:“Since 2005, Apple has yielded a 52% ‘innovation
premium’ – the share of the company’s value that can’t be accounted for by products and cash flow”
ARK COMPANIES STAND UP FOR
WHAT THEY BELIEVE
5Embrace
Change
6262
The first company to support
Occupy Wall Street
ARK COMPANIES AREN’T AFRAID
TO HAVE BOLD DREAMS
5Embrace
Change
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MASDAR, UAE
‘We will be the world’s first zero waste city powered entirely by renewable energy sources”
ARK COMPANIES DON’T COMPETE;
THEY COLLABORATE FOR GOOD
5Embrace
Change
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Volvo invented the seatbelt in 1959, but shared it with
the industry because it was too important
ARK COMPANIES EMBRACE
UNTRADITIONAL THOUGHT PARTNERS
Gamers outfox scientists and crack
AIDS mystery in three weeks
5Embrace
Change
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Uncovering the structure of a protein
key to the way HIV multiples
HOW TO GET ON THE ARK:
CREATE CHANGE, DON’T FEAR IT
You will meet other companies like you
on the Ark. Together you can do
transformative things
5Embrace
Change
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Don’t be scared of diversity.
Bring in untraditional thinkers
Trust your intuition. Brilliant ideas come
from your heart and gut, not focus groups
AUTHENTIC HUMAN ARK
Ark CompaniesThe Rise Of
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Creating the highest good for
the Citizen, Planet and Brand
AUTHENTIC
INTENT
Wisdom, Intuition, Compassion, Empathy
HUMAN
TECHNOLOGIES
ARK
COMMANDMENTS
To lead people to a healthy, balanced,
rewarding future
SAIL OR FAIL
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