A New Proficiency Public Version 07

8/9/2019 A New Proficiency Public Version 07

1/22

ANewStandardforProficiency: College

Readiness

ANewStandardforProficiency: College

Readiness

Boardof

Regents

July19,2010

1


2/22

TheRegentsraisedstandardsadecadeago.Nowthe

Regentsareembarkingonaneweraofreformto

improvestudent

achievement

Curriculumandprofessionaldevelopment

Stateassessments

Teacherpreparationandeffectiveness Schoolturnaround

Increasedgraduation

rates

Schoolleaderpreparationandeffectiveness NYSEDasupportorientedagency Worldclassdatasystem Earlychildhoodlearningopportunities

Curriculumandprofessionaldevelopment

State

assessments Teacherpreparationandeffectiveness Schoolturnaround

Increasedgraduation

rates

Schoolleaderpreparationandeffectiveness NYSEDasupportorientedagency World

class

data

system

Earlychildhoodlearningopportunities

2


3/22

Highereducationdegreeholdersearnmoreandcontribute

more

to

economic

growth

3Source: Current Population Survey, 2008


4/22

U.S.collegegraduationrateshavestagnatedrelativeto

the

rest

of

the

developed

worldCollegeanduniversitygraduationratesin1995and2006(firsttimegraduation)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Iceland

1

Australia

1

New

Zealand

1

Finland

1

Poland

1

Denmark

1

Netherlands

1

Norway

1

Sweden

1

Italy

Irelan

d

UnitedKingdom

1

Japa

n

OECDaverag

e

Israe

l

UnitedState

s

EU19averag

e

Canada1,

2

SlovakRepublic

1

Portugal1

Spai

n

Hungar

y

Switzerland

1

CzechRepublic

1

Austria

1

Germany

1

Sloveni

a

Greece

1

Turke

y

2006 1995

1.Netgraduationrateiscalculatedbysummingthegraduationratesbysingleyearofagein2006.

2.Yearofreference2005.

Countriesare

ranked

in

descending

order

of

the

graduation

rates

for

tertiary

type

A

education

in

2006.

Source: OECD.TableA3.2See Annex3fornotes(www.oecd.org/edu/eag2008 )

%

15th

2nd

Decline in relative positionof U.S. from 1995 to 2006

4


5/22

NearlyaquarterofstudentsinallNYStwo

andfouryear

institutions

of

higher

education

take

remedial

courseworkNew York StateFirst-Time Students Taking Remedial Coursework

By Type of Institution, 1998-2007

24%

13%

44%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

4-Year & 2-Year 2-Year 4-Year

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Year

2-Year Institutions

4-Year InstitutionsAll Institutions

Source: NYSED Administrative Data for all Public, Independent and Proprietary 2- and 4-year institutions of higher education 5


6/22

Studentstakingmoreremedialcoursesintheirfirstyearof

collegearelesslikelytopersistinhighereducation

New York State Fall 2007 to Fall 2008 Persistence

of Full-time, First-time Students

64%60%

55%52%

82%

69% 69%65%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0 1 2 3 or

More

0 1 2 3 or

More

Number of Remedial Courses Taken

2008

By Amount of Rem edial Work Taken during the Firs t Sem es ter

Associate Programs Bachelor Programs

6Source: NYSED Administrative Data for all Public, Independent and Proprietary 2- and 4-year institutions of higher education


7/22

Studentswhoscorebelowan80ontheirMathRegentshave

amuchgreaterlikelihoodofbeingplacedinaremedial

collegecourse

ArithmeticElementary

AlgebraIntermediate

AlgebraCollegeAlgebra

Pre-Calculus

Calculus

Less than 55 68.3% 29.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%

55 to 64.9 61.4% 33.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%

65 to 69.9 38.9% 44.7% 9.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.7%

70 to 79.9 14.7% 24.6% 29.4% 21.3% 8.1% 1.8%

80 to 89.9 0.8% 2.8% 21.6% 30.6% 32.3% 12.0%

Above 90 0.0% 0.2% 3.9% 12.7% 39.2% 44.2%

Totals sum to 100 percent along rows, but not down columns.

Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment, Math A Regents; all CUNY 2- and 4-year institutions7


8/22

Studentswhoscoreabovean80ontheirRegentsexamhave

agoodchanceofearningatleastaCincollegelevelmath

8Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment; all CUNY 2- and 4-year institutions


9/22

Studentswhoscoreatleasta75ontheirEnglishRegentshavea

goodchanceofearningatleastaCinFreshmanCompositionFigure 3

Probability of C or Greater in Freshman Composit ion by Regents English Score*Recent Graduates of New York City Public High Schools Entering CUNY in Fall 2008**

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100Regents English Score

ProbabilityofC

orGreater***

*Analysis based on students enrolled in a course who started but may not have completed the course.

**Graduated within 15 months of entering CUNY as a first-time freshman.

*** Probabilities displayed are limited to those within the range of actual scores. 9Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment; all CUNY 2- and 4-year institutions


10/22

InstitutionsofHigherEducationaroundthestateconsidera

scoreof75to85tobeabareminimumforcollegereadiness

Conversationswithadmissionsdirectorsoftwo

andfouryear

publicandprivatecollegesintheWesternNY,CentralNY,

HudsonRiver,andNewYorkCityregionsindicatethat:

75to85ontheRegentsisconsideredbyselectiveschools(aspartoftheirholisticreviewofapplicants)thelowerthreshold

foradmissions; SUNYcampusesuse85asamarkofsolidcompetence,below75isamarkofinadequatelyprepared;

75onRegentsisathresholdforplacementinremediationforCUNY;and

75onRegentsisconsideredroughlyequivalenttoa500ontheSAT

and

serves

as

a

threshold

for

remediation.

Conversationswithadmissionsdirectorsoftwo

andfouryear

publicandprivatecollegesintheWesternNY,CentralNY,

HudsonRiver,

and

New

York

City

regions

indicate

that:

75to85ontheRegentsisconsideredbyselectiveschools(aspartoftheirholisticreviewofapplicants)thelowerthreshold

foradmissions; SUNYcampusesuse85asamarkofsolidcompetence,below

75isamarkofinadequatelyprepared;

75on

Regents

is

athreshold

for

placement

in

remediation

for

CUNY;and

75onRegentsisconsideredroughlyequivalenttoa500ontheSATandservesasathresholdforremediation.

10


11/22

Only19%ofstudentswhoscoredbelow75ontheirEnglish

Regentsscoredabove500ontheirSATReading,but53%of

studentswho

scored

above

75

scored

above

500

on

the

SAT

Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment, English Regents; CUNY 4-year institutions 11


12/22

Similarly,28%ofstudentswhoscoredbelow80ontheirMath

Regentsscoredabove500ontheSATMath,but81%who

scoredabove

80

scored

above

500

on

the

SAT

Source: CUNY Office of Institutional Research and Assessment, Math A Regents; CUNY 4-year institutions 12

High levels of achievement on the Regents set students up well

for college readiness and admission


13/22

Stateswithhigherstandardsforproficiencyontheirowntestshave

higherNAEPscores. NewYorksLevel3proficiencythresholdranks

18th amongallstatesfor8th

GradeMath

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment of Educational Progress(NAEP), 2007 Mathematics Assessments. U.S. Department of Education, Office of Planning, Evaluation and Policy Development, EDFactsSY 2006-07, Washington,DC, 2008. The National Longitudinal School-Level State Assessment Score Database (NLSLSASD) 2008.

13


14/22

AlargerpercentageofNYSstudentsachievedtheLevel3

proficiencystandardin2009thanin2007,butthe2009NYScut

scorewas

11

percentile

points

easier

in

ELA

and

17

percentile

pointseasierinMaththanin2007whenbenchmarkedagainst

NAEPperformance

PercentileranksofNewYorks8th

gradecutscores,NYtestsandnationalNAEP,2007&2009

2007 2009

NYS NAEP NYS NAEP

ELA37

(650)45

30

(650)34

Math41

(650)36

20

(650)19

Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment ofEducational Progress (NAEP), 2007 & 2009 Mathematics & Reading Assessments. NYSED Administrative Data


15/22

Since2006,NewYorks8th

gradestudentshaveimprovedsubstantially

onthestatemathtest,buttheirperformanceontheNAEPhas

remainednearly

flat

15

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Chang

einSDs

NYS_Public NY NAEP_Public

Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences, National Center for Education Statistics, National Assessment ofEducational Progress (NAEP), 2005-2009 Mathematics Assessments. NYSED Administrative Data


16/22

In2009,nearly80%of3rd

through8th

gradersscoredatthe

Level3ProficiencystandardoraboveontheELAexam

comparedto

61%

in

2006

16

69.0%

68.6

%

67.1%

60.4

%

56.4

%

49.3

% 61.5

%67.1%

68.0

%

68.1

%

63.2%

57.8

%

57.0

%63.4%70.

1%

71.1

%77.6

%

66.9%

70.0%

56.1

% 68.5

%

7

5.8

%

76.9

%82.2

%

80.9

%

80.3

%

68.5

% 77.4

%

Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grades 3-8

2006 2007 2008 2009

Source: NYSED Administrative Data


17/22

In2009,nearly90%of3rd

through8th

gradersscoredatthe

Level3ProficiencystandardoraboveontheMathematics

examcompared

to

66%

in

2006

17

80.5

%

77.9%

68

.4%

60

.4%

55

.6%

53

.9% 6

5.8

%8

5.2

%

79.9

%

76.1

%

71

.2%

66

.4%

58

.8 %

2.7

%89

.9%

83

.8%

83

.2%

79.4

%

78.9

%

69

.8% 80

.7%9

2.9

%

87

.2%

88

.1%

83

.0%

87

.3%

80.2

%

8

6.4

%

Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grades 3-8

2006 2007 2008 2009

Source: NYSED Administrative Data


18/22

Possiblereasonsforthisdivergenceinclude:

Focusofinstructiononnarrowstrandsofcontent; DifferencesbetweenwhattheNYSassessmentsand

NAEPmeasure; Studentdifficultyintranslatingknowledgeandskills

fromNYSteststodifferentlyformattedNAEP;

IncreasedlearningbystudentsoncontenttestedbyNYStests; Technicalissuesrelatedtohowitemsaredevelopedinfield

tests;

and

Technicalissuesintheequatingofscoresfromyeartoyear.

Focusofinstructiononnarrowstrandsofcontent; DifferencesbetweenwhattheNYSassessmentsand

NAEPmeasure;

StudentdifficultyintranslatingknowledgeandskillsfromNYSteststodifferentlyformattedNAEP;

Increasedlearning

by

students

on

content

tested

by

NYStests;

Technicalissuesrelatedtohowitemsaredevelopedin

fieldtests;

and

Technicalissuesintheequatingofscoresfromyeartoyear.

18


19/22

StudentsatthecurrentLevel3Proficiencystandardontheir8th

gradeMathexamhavelessthana1in3chanceofearningan80on

their

Math

Regents

Source: NYSED Administrative Data, Math A Regents, 2006-2010 Cohort 19

Currentcutscoreof650givesstudents30%

chanceofscoring80onRegents

Currentcutscoreof650givesstudents30%

chanceofscoring80onRegents


20/22

StudentsinhighneedsdistrictsatthecurrentLevel3Proficiency

standardontheir8th

gradeELAexamhaveabouta5050chanceof

earninga75

on

their

ELA

Regents

Source: NYSED Administrative Data, English Regents, 2006-2010 Cohort 20

Currentcutscoreof650givesstudentsinhighneedsdistricts

57%chance

of

scoring

75onRegents

Currentcutscoreof650givesstudentsinhighneedsdistricts

57%chanceofscoring75onRegents


21/22

Weareimprovingthestateassessments

2010RaisedcutscoresforLevel2andLevel3ProficiencyIncreasedtheunpredictabilityofitemsontheMath

assessment,includingaddingaudititems

Testednewperformanceindicators 2011

2013

IncreaselengthofMathandELAtestsTestnewperformanceindicatorsMake

test

items

more

difficult

to

predict

20142015CommonCoreAssessments

2010RaisedcutscoresforLevel2andLevel3ProficiencyIncreasedtheunpredictabilityofitemsontheMath

assessment,includingaddingaudititems

Testednewperformanceindicators

20112013

IncreaselengthofMathandELAtestsTestnewperformanceindicatorsMake

test

items

more

difficult

to

predict

20142015CommonCoreAssessments

21


22/22

ANewStandardforProficiency:College

Readiness

ANewStandardforProficiency:CollegeReadiness

Boardof

Regents

July19,2010

22

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A New Proficiency Public Version 07

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