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M E T R O P O L I T A N W A S H I N G T O N A I R P O R T S A U T H O R I T Y A Strategic Plan for Aviation Revenue Growth Strategic Planning and Development Committee MARCH 2012
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Page 1: A Strategic Plan for Aviation Revenue Growth · m e t r o p o l i t a n w a s h i n g t o n a i r p o r t s a u t h o r i t y 7 1.10x 1.25x 1.40x 1.55x 1.70x 1.85x 2.00x 2.15x 2.30x

M E T R O P O L I T A N W A S H I N G T O N A I R P O R T S A U T H O R I T Y

A Strategic Plan for Aviation

Revenue Growth

Strategic Planning and Development Committee

MARCH 2012

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M E T R O P O L I T A N W A S H I N G T O N A I R P O R T S A U T H O R I T Y

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U.S. Airport Industry Challenges

• Airline Consolidation/Capacity Reduction to Grow Revenue Yields

• Low Cost Carrier’s Market Share Growth

• Heavy Airport Debt Obligations/Ongoing Airport Capital Facility Needs

• Rising Airport Costs Increasing Airline Costs per Enplanement (CPE)

• Federal Government Funding Levels for Airports Stagnant:

- PFCs Frozen through 2015

- Flat AIP Grant Funding through 2015

• Stagnant Passenger Growth

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MWAA Challenge

• Cost per Enplanement

• Debt Coverage

• Balance between Dulles International and Reagan National

- Use and Lease Agreement

• Revenue Growth

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• MWAA Revenue Opportunities

− Financial Profile

− Opportunities for Aviation Revenue Growth

− Non-Aeronautical Revenue Growth

− Dulles Airport Western Land Development

− Human Capital Initiatives

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Historical Performance

and Forecasted Enplanements

• Includes both revenue and non-revenue passengers on domestic and international flights. Excludes enplaned passengers on general aviation and military flights.

• Historical information from Airports Authority; forecasts from Leigh Fisher’s Feasibility Report, dated September 9, 2011.

Historical CAGR Actual Enplanements & Growth Rate 2000-2010 2011 2010-2011

Reagan National (DCA) (0.2%) 9.4 M 3.6%

Dulles International (IAD) 1.6% 11.5 M (1.9%)

Enplaned Passengers

0

5

10

15

20

25

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

Historical Forecasted

DCA

IAD

Mill

ion

s

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Historical and Forecasted

Signatory Cost per Enplanement (CPE)

Historical

Budget Prel. 1st Half

CPE Forecast (Feasibility Report 2011CD)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Reagan National 11.65 14.16 12.12 11.29 11.84 10.22 10.02 10.51 10.95 12.49 12.84 14.38 12.74 13.17 13.44 13.93 13.91 Dulles International 8.48 11.30 12.81 13.30 12.34 10.40 11.57 12.11 13.11 14.21 17.16 20.89 26.03 27.49 27.20 27.46 26.73

$-

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Reagan National Dulles International

Feasibility Report 2011CD

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1.10x

1.25x

1.40x

1.55x

1.70x

1.85x

2.00x

2.15x

2.30x

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Reagan National Dulles International Combined

Historical and Forecasted

Debt Service Coverage

Goal 1.40x

Legal Requirement 1.25x

Historical Budget Forecast (Feasibility Report 2011CD)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Reagan National 1.40 1.41 1.27 1.25 1.29 1.35 1.55 1.43 1.29 1.35 1.39 1.25 1.33 1.30 1.32 1.31 1.31

Dulles International 2.14 2.01 1.68 1.56 2.02 1.91 1.93 1.92 1.75 1.56 1.51 1.38 1.30 1.30 1.32 1.32 1.33

Combined 1.71 1.67 1.47 1.41 1.68 1.66 1.78 1.72 1.57 1.49 1.47 1.34 1.31 1.30 1.32 1.32 1.33

Feasibility Report 2011CD

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Application of PFCs

$128 $275

MWAA 4.1%* $ 235

+ Financing Costs 52

- Land Contribution (12)

Total $ 275

* Assumes $2.9 billion Phase 1 cost and $2.821 Phase 2 cost

PFC revenues committed to AeroTrain and associated projects in Application 4

Existing PFC Revenue is $4.50 ($4.39 excluding fee)

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Source: Series 2011CD Official Statement

Historical Sources of Funds for

Aviation Capital Program Financing

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Total 2012 Budget: $727.8 Million

2012 Aviation Enterprise Budgeted Revenues

2012 Budget

Non-Aeronautical Revenue $187.4 Million

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• MWAA Revenue Opportunities

− Financial Profile

− Opportunities for Aviation Revenue Growth

− Non-Aeronautical Revenue Growth

− Dulles Airport Western Land Development

− Human Capital Initiatives

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• Mergers/Acquisitions of Traditional Legacy Carriers Continue

• Low Cost Carriers Continue to Grow

• Increasing Fuel Prices Continue to Drive Down Airline Profits

• Economic Conditions are Negatively Impacting Number of

Passengers

• Airlines are Constraining Growth in Flights and Reducing Seat

Capacities

• Decreases in Seat Capacity Enable Airlines to Increase Fares

and Charge for Ancillary Services

• International Service is Becoming More Lucrative

Aviation is in a Very Dynamic Period of Change

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• Location, Location, Location

• Limited Capacity with Unlimited Regulation – Slots Control

Ability for Airlines to Add/Start Service

• Low Rates/Charges (Cost per Enplanement)

• Low Cost Airlines Increasing Their Presence and Growing

Passenger Traffic

- jetBlue

- Southwest (AirTran Merger)

Reagan National

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• Delta/US Airways Slot Exchange

- US Purchased 42 Slot Pairs from Delta

- jetBlue Won 8 Slot Pairs ($5 Million per Pair)

• FAA Reauthorization Adds 8 Beyond Perimeter Slot Pairs

- Four Incumbent Airlines Each Add One Beyond Perimeter

Flight

- New or Limited Airlines Applying for 4 New Slot Pairs

• Changes Will Push Passenger Levels to New Heights

Reagan National Developments

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If We Were a One Airport System,

We Would Declare Success at Reagan National.

However, What is Good for Reagan National Can

Negatively Impact Dulles International.

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• United/Continental Merger

• Perimeter Rule Changes at DCA

- More Long-Haul Flights at Risk at IAD

• Delta/US Airways Slot Swap

- Lost Service-jetBlue Cutting Five IAD Flights in June

• High Cost-per-Enplanement

Dulles International Airport Domestic

Traffic Challenges

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• International Powerhouse

• High Expansion Potential for Variety of Aviation Related

Companies, Including Maintenance and Repair Operations

• Cargo Opportunities

Dulles International Airport Opportunities

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• Porter Airlines

- Three Daily Toronto City Airport, Toronto, Canada

Flights Starting April 16

• Aeromexico

- Daily Mexico City, Mexico Service Starting May 21

• Etihad

- Daily Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Service Starting

March 31, 2013

Dulles International Developments:

3 New International Airlines

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• Daily Manchester, UK Nonstop May 1

• Daily Doha, Qatar Tag onto Dubai May 1

• Daily Dublin, Ireland Nonstop June 7

• Daily Honolulu Nonstop June 7

Dulles Developments: 4 New United Routes

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• United Airlines Facility Approved

• Additional MRO

- Allows Airlines to Conduct Periodic Maintenance Checks at

Varying Levels and Cut Time Aircraft is Out-of-Service

- Increases Landed Weights Thereby Increasing Revenues

- Facilitates Air Service Growth

Maintenance & Repair Operation (MRO)

Opportunity at Dulles International

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• Belly Capacity Limiting Some Shipments

• Competitive Cargo Gateways: JFK, ATL, ORD

• Small Manufacturing Base = Lean Export Levels

Dulles Cargo Development Challenges

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• Ethiopian Airlines – First of Weekly Flower Import Shipments

(2 Tons) Arrived from Ethiopia January 25

• Silk Way Airlines – All Cargo Airline Based in Baku,

Azerbaijan, Plans to Start Twice Weekly B747F Freighter

Service in Early 2013

Dulles Air Cargo

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- Focus of air service development attention

- Focus of growth plan

Reagan National – Autopilot

Dulles International – Growth Opportunities Exist

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• MWAA Revenue Opportunities

− Financial Profile

− Opportunities for Aviation Revenue Growth

− Non-Aeronautical Revenue Growth

− Dulles Airport Western Land Development

− Human Capital Initiatives

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• Aeronautical Revenue is Revenue that is Derived from Charges to

Airlines for the Facilities/Services Provided by an Airport (e.g.,

Landing Fees, Rents, Apron Parking Fees, etc.)

• Non-Aeronautical Revenue is the Revenue that is Not Derived from

Charges to the Airlines for Facilities/Services Provided by an Airport

(e.g., Concessions, Office Buildings, Hotels, Gas Stations, Land

Development, etc.)

Definitions

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• Increases Our Net Remaining Revenues

- Provides Funding for Passenger Service Improvements

• Improves Our Debt Service Coverage

- Reduces Our Cost of Borrowing Money

- Allows Us to Reduce Airport Facility Costs to the Airlines

The Significance of Non-Aeronautical Revenue

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• Increases Our Relative Attractiveness as an Airport Competing for New and Expanded Air Service

- As a Originating Point Into the Metro DC Region, AND

- As a Connecting Point Vis-a-Vis Alternative Hub Airports

(Both Domestically and Internationally)

• Provides a Level of Insulation Against the Cyclical Downturns of the

Aviation Industry

The Significance of Non-Aeronautical Revenue (cont’d)

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• The Industry

1990 – 10%-15% of Airport Revenue was Non-Aeronautical

2000 – 30% of Airport Revenue was Non-Aeronautical

2010 – 45-50% of Airport Revenue was Non-Aeronautical

• MWAA

2007 – 47% of Airport Revenue was Non-Aeronautical

2011 – 38% of Airport Revenue was Non-Aeronautical

2012 – 25% of Airport Revenue is Budgeted to be Non-Aeronautical

Historic Patterns of Non-Aeronautical Revenue

at Major Airports

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• Terminal Concessions

• Advertising

• Land Development

- Existing Office Buildings

- Parking

- Gas/Convenience Stations

- Hotel

Non-Aeronautical Revenue Focus for MWAA

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• Re-Solicit for Fee-Manager

• Update Our Concessions Offerings at DCA and IAD

Terminal Concessions

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Continue to Identify Creative New Opportunities

• New Digital Signage - $1,400,000 Annually per Airport

• New Locations

- APM Trains - $690,000 Annually

- Security Checkpoints – $759,000 Annually

• Possibilities

- Floor Graphics - $750,000 Annually

- Loading Bridges - $ 3 Million Annually

Advertising

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• Existing Office Buildings

• Parking at DCA

- New Parking Revenue Control System

- New Parking Structure

• Gas/Convenience Stations

• Hotels

Land Development

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Existing Office Buildings

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Office Buildings

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Parking

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Parking

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Gas/Convenience Stations

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Hotels

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Hotels

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• Stimulate Creativity

• Increase Revenue

• Increase Passenger Satisfaction

Summary of Non-Aeronautical Revenue Focus

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• MWAA Revenue Opportunities

− Financial Profile

− Opportunities for Aviation Revenue Growth

− Non-Aeronautical Revenue Growth

− Dulles Airport Western Land Development

− Human Capital Initiatives

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• Unique Configuration

– 650 Acres of Aviation Property

– 425 Acres of Non-Aviation Property

– Adjacent to Major Roadway (606)

• Perfect for Business Needing Access to Ramp

– Integrator

– Just in Time Fulfillment

– Repair Operation

Western Land

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West Dulles Development Parcels

“Airport Support Zone”

(240 acres)

Western Land Area

(425 acres)

North Midfield

(280 acres)

General Aviation

(130 acres)

IAD - West Side

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West Dulles Development Parcels

“Airport Support Zone”

Western Land Area

View Looking West (new Runway 1L-19 foreground, Route 606 background)

General

Aviation

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• Changes Impacting U.S. Airports

• MWAA Opportunities

− Financial Profile

− Opportunities for Aviation Revenue Growth

− Non-Aeronautical Revenue Growth

− Dulles Airport Western Land Development

− Human Capital Initiatives

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1. Stability Through Responsive Programs and Services

2. Enhanced Employee Communications

3. Motivation Through Performance Management

4. Ensuring Availability of Critical Management Skills

Key Initiatives

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Stability through Responsive Programs and Services

Challenge: To Provide Programs and Services that Respond to

Employee Needs

1. Lack of Employee Assistance Program (EAP) Confidentiality

2. EAP Program Review

3. Comprehensive Restructured EAP

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Enhanced Employee Communications

Challenge: To Ensure That Employees Understand and Own the

Business Model

1. Quarterly Management Forums

2. Employee Suggestion Program

3. On Good Authority Express

4. HR Connects

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Motivation through Performance Management

Challenge: To Motivate Employees to Strive for Excellence

1. Review of the Performance Management Partnership (PMP)

2. Revised Program Components Focused on Measurable Goals

and Competency Based Job Behaviors

3. Program Roll-Out

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Critical Management Skills When Needed

Challenge: To Respond to the Impact of Attrition on an Aging Workforce

A Three Pronged Leadership Development Program:

1. Ongoing Identification and Assessment of Skills Required for

Mission Critical Jobs

2. A Program with Proven Methods of Candidate Assessment and

Development

3. Competency Based Hiring Process for Managerial and Supervisory

Jobs

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A Strategic Plan for Aviation

Revenue Growth

Strategic Planning and Development Committee

MARCH 2012


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