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A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health Center for Community Health and Prevention University of Rochester Medical Center Rochester, NY, September 27, 2018 F Marc LaForce, MD
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Page 1: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

A vaccine meets a strategy:

Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa

Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public HealthCenter for Community Health and Prevention

University of Rochester Medical Center

Rochester, NY, September 27, 2018

F Marc LaForce, MD

Page 2: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Disclosure

Dr. LaForce is employed by the Serum Institute of India where

he serves as Director, Technical Services.

Director, Technical Services.

Page 3: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Meningitis belt in Sub-Saharan Africa

• Over 90 percent of global

meningococcal disease

occurs in the African

meningitis belt

• Until recently one strain

(Group A Nm) accounted for

estimated 80% of all

meningococcal cases.

• Focal epidemics occurred

every year.

• Major epidemics occurred

every 7-14 years.

Page 4: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Economic context in meningitis belt countries

• Poorest countries in the world

• Few natural resources

• Inhospitable arid climate

• Per capita income 1-2 dollars per day

• Families have little to no “disposable income”

Page 5: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

55

Page 6: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

0

50

100

150

200

250

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23

Ca

se

s

Weeks

Group A Nm meningitis in Bousse District (pop 134,000) - Burkina Faso Weeks 1-24,

2006

Total of 1003 cases of acute meningitis in 2006; incidence rate of 740 per 100,000

Page 7: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Meningitis by weekly reports in Burkina Faso (1997-2008), Mali (1992-2008) and Niger (1986-2008)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Weeks

Cases

Niger Mali Burkina Faso

Page 8: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Average district incidence rates (range)

Country Epidemic years Non epidemic

years

Burkina Faso 158

(54-353)

48

(18-115)

Mali 50

(1-141)

11

(0-29)

Niger 211

(10-834)

44

(2-118)

Average district incidence rates per 100 000 in

epidemic and non epidemic years (1994-2007)

(In recent years US meningococcal incidence rates have ranged between 0.1 to

0.3 cases per 100,000 population)

Page 9: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 10: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 11: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 12: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Epidemic meningitis in Africa

Year

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

140,000

170,000

200,000

92,34780,743

88,939

188,345Reported cases

100,000 88,199

68,089

30,103

Page 13: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Flow of Neisseria meningitidis through a population

Courtesy Drs. Maiden and McLennan

Courtesy Dr. Martin Maiden

Page 14: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Cross-sectional View of the Cell Membrane

Capsule

Outer-membrane proteins

Meningococcal structure: antigens for vaccines

Meningococcal

capsular sugars are

antigenic and were the

basis for A/C

polysaccharide (PS)

vaccines developed in

the 60s

By 2005 a conjugate

multivalent (A/C/Y/W)

vaccine was

developed for US and

European markets

Page 15: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Properties of Meningococcal Vaccines

Immunogenicity

Polysaccharide

vaccines

Conjugate

vaccines

5 year olds-adults High High

Young children Poor High

Response to booster Poor High

Quality of antibody in

children

Avidity Low High

Bactericidal activity Low High

Induction of memory No Yes

Effect on colonization No Yes

Page 16: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Availability of Meningococcal Vaccines for Sub-Saharan Africa in 2001

• Only A/C PS vaccines were available and were largely used in reactive campaigns.

• The reactive campaigns were expensive, largely ineffective, but politically necessary.

• There were no Pharma plans to develop a Group A Nm conjugate vaccine for Africa.

Page 17: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Creation of the Meningitis Vaccine Project

• The terrible 1996 meningitis epidemic in 1996 led African public health officials to ask WHO for help.

• Under WHO leadership international meetings were held in in 2000 and 2001 that recommended that conjugate meningococcal vaccines be developed for Africa.

• In June 2001 MVP was created with Gates Foundation support as a 10 year partnership between WHO and PATH.

Goal: to eliminate epidemic meningitis in Africa as a public health problem through the development, testing, licensure,

and widespread use of conjugate meningococcal vaccines

Page 18: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Informing African partners while better understanding the problem – Fall 2001

•MVP discussions with African public health officials and WHO/AFRO (Harare, Niger, Burkina Faso, Nigeria) yielded consistent information

• Cost of vaccine was the most important limiting factor to the introduction of new vaccines in Africa

• Success of MVP (widespread use of a conjugate meningococcal vaccine in mass campaigns) would not be possible unless vaccines were priced less than $US 0.50 per dose

Page 19: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

MVP negotiations with Pharma (01-02)

• Meetings with Chiron, Baxter and GSK (September 2001 –March 2002)

• Key issues in the negotiations included:• Vaccine price

• Guaranteed purchase (effect of volume on price)

• Investments to increase manufacturing capacity

• Creating a “no risk” model

Page 20: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

MVP becomes a virtual vaccine company in March 2002

•MVP could not reach an agreement with major vaccine manufacturers and negotiations ended in March 02

• Instead, MVP chose to become a virtual vaccine company to develop a Group A conjugate vaccine.

• Crucial elements in making this decision included

• Inputs from African public health officials on the importance of a low vaccine price.

• Availability of a business plan commissioned by WHO indicating that “cost of goods” for making 25-50 million doses of a Men A conjugate vaccine annually could be as low as $US 0.20 per dose.

Page 21: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Men A Vaccine development model

MVP

Core Team

Tetanus toxoid

Process Development

Manufacturing

Men A

Polysaccharide

Conjugation

method

Target price US$ <0.50/dose

A PS produced by SynCo

BioPartners, Amsterdam

for initial development

then transferred to Serum

Institute of India

Conjugation method

developed at CBER/FDA,

Bethesda, USA, transferred

and scaled-up at Serum

Institute of India

Serum Institute of India

process development

and manufacturing

Lyophylization

and stabilization

tech transfer

from Aerial in

France to Serum

Institute

Page 22: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Lee/Frasch (FDA) conjugation method

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

O

O-

OR

O

OP

O

O

O-

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

RO

O-

O

O

NHAc

NHAc

NHAc

Derivatized TT (TTH)

Periodate activation of PsA

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

O

O-

OH

O

OP

O

O

O-

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

RO

O-

O

O

NHAc

NHAc

NHAc

TT CNH NH2

O

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

O

O-

OR

O

OP

O

O

O-

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

RO

O-

O

N

NHAc

NHAc

NHAcNH

C

O

TT

NaBH4

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

O

O-

O

OP

O

O

O-

O

HO

AcO

OP

O

RO

O-

OH

NH

NHAc

NHAc

NHAcNH

C

OOR

TT

PsA-TT conjugate

forms a “lattice”

configuration

Page 23: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 24: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

MVP Clinical Trials: A global effort

HPA-VED UK

HPA-Porton UK

CBER-FDA USA

CDC-MVL USA

UNISI ItalyMVP

SIILAARSH

MRC

KEM Pune

IRD

NHRC

CVD Mali

CVD USA

NIPH Norway

DSLS

BYL Nair MumbaiKEM Mumbai

NIMS Hyderabad

SSH Vadu

MRC Gambia

IRD SenegalCVD Mali

NHRC Ghana

Trial Sites

CROs

Laboratories

Sponsors

Picture available from NASA

http://visibleearth.nasa.gov

Page 25: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Pre

Post

PsA-TT Vaccine

Pre

Post

PsA Vaccine

1 —

10 —

100 —

1 000 —

10 000 —

100 000 —

12-23 months 2-10 years 11-17 years 18-29 years

Gro

up

A r

SBA

Geo

met

ric

Mea

n T

iter

s (G

MT)

* * * *

Statistically significant*

Geometric mean rSBA titers prior to and 28 days after a dose of Psa-TT or PsA vaccine

(African trials in Mali, The Gambia and Senegal)

Page 26: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Potency and safety of vaccine

• Results from eight clinical trials showed that PsA-TT (10µg) when administered to African 1-29 year-olds

• Was well tolerated and safe in any of the age groups evaluated (infants to 29-year-olds)

• Was highly immunogenic• Superior immunogenicity vs. licensed PS vaccine• Induced immune memory• Bactericidal antibodies were sustained

• Boosted anti-tetanus immunity

Page 27: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Licensure and Prequalification of PsA-TT (MenAfriVac™)

• MenAfriVac™ licensed by Drugs Controller General of India in December 2009.

• WHO prequalification awarded in June 2010.

Page 28: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Dec. 6, 2010 - Official launch day –President of Burkina Faso

Page 28

Page 29: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Official launch day – health workers

Page 29

Page 30: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 31: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 32: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Burkina Faso campaign: 6-15 December

• Target population: 10,677,781 Burkinabes between 1 and 29 years of age

• Duration of the campaign: 10 days

• Results: 10.8 million persons immunized

Very successful campaign with high acceptance !

Page 33: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Meningitis cases by week – Burkina Faso

Men A vaccination campaign

Page 34: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

2011 bacteriologic data – Burkina Faso

№ Percent

Reported meningitis cases 3875

Number of CSF specimens 3412 88.1

Number of CSF sent for lab confirmation 3318 97.2

Bacteriologic results (PCR, latex or culture)

Contaminated 609 18.3

Negative 1552 46.8

Positive 1157 34.9

Total 3318 100

Distribution of pathogens (% based on positive samples)

NmA 1 (0.1%) Pneumococcus 837 (72.3%)

NmX 161 (13.9%) Hib 43 (3.7%)

NmW135 110 (9.5%) Other 3 (0.3%)

Nm indeterminant 2 (0.2%)

22% in 2007

9% in 2007

Page 35: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Reported meningitis cases with percent distribution of Group A meningococci

Burkina Faso, 2005-2012 (wk 26)

Year Cases %

Men A

2005 3,626 11.6

2006 19,134 84.6

2007 26,878 91.1

2008 10,401 79.2

2009 4,723 30.1

2010 6,732 24.9

Introduction of MenAfriVac in December 2010

2011 3,875 0.4

2012 (wk 26) 5,987 0.0

Page 36: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Carriage study results: Burkina Faso

Page 37: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Representative sampling of 1-29 year old Burkinabes

Kaya (rural)Dandé (rural)

Bogodogo (urban)

Page 38: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Carriage of Group A Neisseria meningitidis before and after MenAfriVac campaign

0,00%

0,39%

0

0,2

0,4

0,6

0,8

1

1,2

1,4

1,6

pre-5 pre-4 pre-3 pre-2 pre-1 post1 post2 post3 post4 post5

Ca

rria

ge

pre

va

len

ce

( %

)

Bogodogo district

Dandé district

Kaya district

Overall Prevalence

Vaccination

Pre-vaccination

(N=20 325)

Post-vaccination

(N=22 093)

Page 39: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Observations on vaccine impact

Consistent with vaccine derived herd immunity

• Disappearance of Group A meningococcal meningitis

• Absence of Group A meningococci in carriage studies

Page 40: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Why such a powerful effect ?

•The PsA-TT vaccine was a potent vaccine and very high coverage rates were attained.

•Background rates of Men A carriage in Burkina Faso were low at the time of introduction (about 0.4%).

• Immunity against Group A meningococcus elevated in light of the 2006-2008 epidemic years that involved all districts.

Page 41: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Importance of Basic Reproductive Rate (R0)

The Basic Reproductive Rate (R0) defines the transmission potential of an infectious agent. When R0 falls to than 1 the agent in question disappears from a population

• R0 = c p d • c is no. of contacts per unit time (no vaccine effect) • p is transmission rate per contact• d is duration of infectiousness

• Study results• We know that PsA-TT blocks colonization; therefore p falls• We think that PsA-TT shortens carriage (would also decrease d)

• Overall PsA-TT impact on R0 = c p d

Page 42: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

What happened? Impact of a conjugate vaccine on circulation of Group A meningococci

Courtesy Drs. Maiden and McLennan

Page 43: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 44: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

A report card for the MenA vaccine

Costs $US (mil) Savings $US

(mil)

Developing and testing the vaccine 100

Family costs saved over 10

years (1 million cases at

$110/case) plus $10/month

for disabled)

240

Mass vaccination programs for 280

million persons ($1.40 pp) 390

Savings from no longer doing

reactive campaigns (5

mil/year at $3.00 per person) 150

EPI coverage over 10 years (birth

cohort about 12 million/year with

vaccine at 0.50 per dose

60

Country savings: clinical and

laboratory costs ($60 per

case) 60

100 million $US to prevent 1,000,000 cases and 200,000 disabilities.

Total 550 450

Page 45: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Remaining problems

• Non-A N meningitidis cause epidemics

• 2002 Group W epidemic in Burkina Faso (>10,000 cases)• 2004-6 Group X epidemics in Niger (>4,000 cases)• 2015-2018 Group C epidemics in Nigeria, and Niger

(>16,000 cases)

Urgent need for an affordable polyvalent meningococcal conjugate vaccine active against Groups C, Y, W and X strains

Page 46: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

Development of an ACYWX conjugate vaccine

• A new ACYWX meningococcal conjugate vaccine has been developed through a PATH/Serum Institute collaboration with funding from the UK’s Department for International Development (DFID).

• IND filed with US/FDA in 2016;

• Phase 1 study in Baltimore completed in 2017.

• Phase 2 study in Malian toddlers completed in 2018.

• ACYWX conjugate vaccine very immunogenic; no safety issues.

Page 47: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

African challenges over the next 10 years

• Ensure that Men A conjugate vaccine is included as an EPI vaccine in meningitis belt countries.

• Maintain strong case based surveillance in selected countries and continue to improve epidemiologic and laboratory capabilities for all countries.

• Support WHO regional and country epidemic response activities.

• Assess introduction strategies for new Nm polyvalent vaccines.

Page 48: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

4949

AARSH

Recherche en Santé Humaine

In collaboration with Health Authorities of 26 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and of India

Page 49: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 50: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health
Page 51: A vaccine meets a strategy - University of Rochester …...A vaccine meets a strategy: Eliminating epidemic meningitis from Sub-Saharan Africa Dr. Bernard Guyer Lecture in Public Health

The Meningitis Vaccine Project


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