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Abu Dhabi Real Estate Overview DAVID DUDLEY, JLL [email protected]
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Page 1: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Abu DhabiReal Estate OverviewDAVID DUDLEY, JLL

[email protected]

Page 2: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Residential

Page 3: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source: JLL Q1 2017

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Num

ber

of

Units (

In 0

00's

)

Completed Future Supply

Average 10k pa Average 2k pa Average 5k pa

Residential Supply

Page 4: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source: JLL Q1 2017

Decline Growth Decline

5

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Avera

ge Y

earl

y R

ent

Num

ber

of

Units (

In 0

00's

)

Completed Future Supply Average Rent (AED / annum)

Residential Rental Performance

Page 5: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source:JLL Q1 2017

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Sale

s P

rice /

sqm

('0

00)

Yearly R

ent

('000)

Average Rent (AED / annum) Sales Price (AED / sqm)

Residential Sales Performance

Page 6: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Office

Page 7: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source:JLL Q1 2017

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

GLA

(In

000's

)

Completed Future Supply

Office Supply

Page 8: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source: JLL

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

9,000,000

Abu Dhabi Dubai

To

tal S

tock,

sq

m

UAE Office Market Comparison

Onshore (Non Freezones) Offshore (Freezones)

Freezones

Diversification to new high growth sectors

Page 9: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source:JLL Q1 2017

170

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

GLA

(In

000's

)

Completed Future Supply Average Rent (AED / sqm / annum)

Office Rental Performance

Page 10: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Hospitality

Page 11: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source:JLL Q1 2017

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

No.

of ro

om

s

Completed Future Supply

Average 2k pa Average 1k pa

Hospitality Supply

Page 12: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source: Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority

-

1

1

2

2

3

3

4

4

5

5

-

5

10

15

20

25

30

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Millio

ns

Millio

ns

Passengers Hotel Guests

Tourism

Page 13: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

• New York

• Singapore

• London

Abu Dhabi

U.A.E

-2 -1 0 +1 +2-4 -3 +3 +4

30% of the world’s population within 4 hours

Global Connectivity + Global Tourism Destination

Abu Dhabi as a major tourism destination

Page 14: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source:JLL Q1 2017

63% 70%76% 78% 76%

75%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

AD

R (

US

D)

ADR (USD) Occupancy

Hospitality Performance

Page 15: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Retail

Page 16: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source:JLL Q1 2017

57226

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

GLA

in '000s s

q m

Completed Future Supply

Retail Supply

Page 17: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

2014 2017 2020

National citizens

Expats

Tourists

Retail Demand

Page 18: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Source:JLL Q1 2017

57

2,600

2,650

2,700

2,750

2,800

2,850

2,900

2,950

3,000

3,050

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

AE

D /

sqm

GLA

in '000s s

q m

Completed Future Supply Average Rent (AED / sqm / annum)

Retail Performance

Page 19: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Short term decline triggered by

decline in oil prices / sentiment /

government spending

2016/2017 as consolidation years

Slow down in demand is mitigated by

reduced supply

Market recovery will be driven by:

▬ Dubai’s recovery

▬ Return of government spending and

confidence

▬ Continued supply controls

Conclusions

Page 20: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

Selective development and

investment opportunities:

▬ Divergence between high and low

quality product

▬ Quality real estate aligned to end-

user requirements in established

locations

Opportunities

Positive medium term outlook:

▬ Commitment to 2030 Vision - world-

class city and diversified economy

▬ Government-backed economic

development and infrastructure

Page 21: Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi Airport Company / Abu Dhabi Tourism and Culture Authority-1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5-5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ...

AbuDhabiReal Estate Outlook

[email protected]


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