+ All Categories
Home > Documents > accessibility in a Built environment, commuting behaviour ...

accessibility in a Built environment, commuting behaviour ...

Date post: 23-Dec-2021
Category:
Upload: others
View: 2 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
34
1 Built environment, commuting behaviour and job accessibility in a rail-based dense urban context Pengyu Zhu Shuk Nuen Ho Yanpeng Jiang Xinying Tan
Transcript

1

Built environment, commuting behaviour and job

accessibility in a

rail-based dense urban context

Pengyu Zhu

Shuk Nuen Ho

Yanpeng Jiang

Xinying Tan

2

1. Introduction

The relationships between built environment and commuting behavior have been widely

studied around the world. Mainstream research on this topic mostly focused on low-to-

medium-density urban settlements in the United States (Ma and Cao, 2019; Nasri and Zhang,

2018) and Europe (Geurs, 2006; Hess, et al., 2007). The results from existing research cannot

be directly applied to address the unique challenges and problems faced in extremely dense

urban settings such as Hong Kong, Tokyo, Beijing, and many other major cities in the world.

Cities with highly compact urban settings are often densely populated, with limited land

available for transportation infrastructure, requiring tremendous government efforts in

developing rail-based mass transit system to improve accessibility. Therefore, in order to

provide effective policy recommendations for urban and transport planning in high-density

urban jurisdictions, we need to thoroughly examine how built environment characteristics are

related to travel patterns of workers in such settings. Indeed, recent literature has extended to

study these dense urban contexts (Kim, Sohn, & Choo, 2017; Sun et al., 2017; Cao & Yang,

2017; Wang & Cao, 2017; Hu, et al., 2018;). The major contribution of this paper is to offer a

unique perspective via further investigating how these relationships in dense urban settings

may vary by different commute modes (including different sub-modes of public transport)

and neighborhood types.

Hong Kong is undoubtedly a typical example of high-density urban context. The

population of Hong Kong is currently 7.4 million people and predicted to expand at a rate of

0.8% a year (Census and Statistics Department, 2018). The Central Business District (CBD)

abounds with employment opportunities and is further drawing interests from commercial

developers. Land supply in central city is insufficient to meet the ever-increasing demand.

Multiple employment sub-centers have formed and the population has been outflowing to

new towns. Moreover, the travel mode in Hong Kong is dominated by public transport,

especially rail. Mass Transit Railway (MTR) is considered the “backbone” of the public

transportation system, with buses and other modes secondary (Nicholas Ng, 2000). The

government of Hong Kong has conducted three comprehensive transport studies since the

1970s to develop strategic plans for the overall design of transportation system to cope with

the increasing demand and support urban development. As the latest strategic planning study,

Hong Kong 2030+ (Planning Department, 2016) addressed the need for a better land use mix

and achieving a better job-housing balance in future development, by increasing job-related

land use near large-scale residential areas. This could reduce commute distance and time, as

well as the number of commuting trips. Ultimately, it will ease the burden of the overall

3

transportation system. In addition, the Hong Kong 2030+ has again emphasized the vision of

using railway as the backbone of public transportation system in Hong Kong, and the

importance of transit-oriented development. All these factors make Hong Kong a good

example of high-density urban context to study.

In this research, we used multiple regression models to draw a special focus on how job

accessibility, as measured in commute distance and commute duration, is associated with

different built environment features. In addition to obtaining average effects of built

environments on commuting patterns, our models further attempted to disentangle these

relationships by addressing the heterogeneity across different commute modes and different

neighborhood types. Specifically, the following questions were addressed:

1) How is job accessibility (as measured in commute distance and commute duration)

associated with different built environment features?

2) How do the relationships change for car users and transit users?

3) How do the relationships change for different types of public transit users (rail, bus,

mixed)?

4) How do the relationships change for different neighborhood types?

Traditionally, job accessibility is measured by the number of available (and appropriate)

jobs within a certain travel distance or time from home. However, we argue that these

traditional measures are not good indicators of job accessibility in dense urban settings such

as Hong Kong, because there can be innumerable jobs within half an hour reach by car or

transit from any locations.1 But why do people still travel a long distance to work while there

are plenty of jobs near them? It is because the labor market in very volatile but the housing

market is restricted (in an economic sense). Therefore, we believe that commuting distance

and time are better indicators of job accessibility in such dense settings as they capture the

realized travel distance and time from home to jobs.

Our analyses corroborated that the effects of built environment features on people’s

commuting patterns and job accessibility vary considerably across different commute modes

and neighborhood types. Public transit commuters are found to be more responsive to

changes in built environment than private vehicle commuters. Several built environment

features (i.e. employment density, residential density, ratio of residential land within rail

1 Reducing the travel time (by car or transit) from half an hour to 15 or 20 minutes for the purpose of reducing overlapping areas in calculating traditional job accessibility measures is also meaningless, because people’s preference for commuting is 30 minutes. This 30-minute commuting principle, referred to as the Marchetti Constant, has shaped our urban history for centuries. Moreover, the average commute time in Hong Kong is 46 minutes based on our sample.

4

catchment) are found to affect job accessibility in job-dense downtown neighborhoods

differently than in other types of neighborhoods (i.e. non-downtown urban neighborhoods,

new town neighborhoods, rural neighborhoods), suggesting the nonlinearity in these

relationships. These findings have important implications to urban planning and

policymaking, especially in addressing the needs of different transit users (rail, bus, mixed)

versus automobile users, as well as the needs of different types of neighborhoods. For

example, model results suggest that urban planners and policymakers should avoid further

densifying downtown areas; instead, they should try to develop employment sub-centers in

other urban and new town areas in order to achieve a more balanced employment distribution

and better job accessibility. The findings of this research and policy recommendations can

reasonably be generalized to other major cities with similarly dense settings.

2. Literature Review

The extensive research on urban job accessibility suggested a rich toolbox to measure,

define, represent, and interpret job accessibility. The term accessibility is commonly defined

as the ease for people to reach activities (jobs or workplace) under certain constraints (Geurs

& Van Wee, 2004; Ramsey & Bell, 2014). Traditional studies tended to measure job

accessibility with distance decay as proposed by Hansen (1959), in a way that simply

calculates the number of job opportunities within a certain radius of census tract. Some

studies developed this typical measurement by incorporating factors such as the diversity of

jobs and workers as well as the spatial competition for jobs (Cheng & Bertolini, 2013; Dai, et

al., 2018; Wang, et al., 2015; Hu, 2017). Zhu et al. (2017) attempted to link commute

distance and duration with job accessibility of migrant workers in China. The use of commute

distance and duration could be a useful approach to measure job accessibility in the sense that

the real job-home relationship could be captured, and individual’s commute pattern could be

precisely demonstrated.

Existing empirical studies about the impact of built environment on commuting behavior

often adopt different sets of measures. In general, population density, employment density

and land use mix are the most commonly examined built environment variables, while

commute distance, commute duration, trip frequency are the most studied aspects of travel

behavior. The empirical evidences of these effects are not entirely in concord. Some scholars

suggested that the effects of built environment on commuting patterns are moderate or

indirect (Ye & Titheridge, 2017; Wang, 2013; Cervero & Kockelman, 1997). Others proved

the effects are quite strong (Cao 2009, 2015; Cervero and Day 2008; Hu 2015; Zhu 2015;

5

Zhu et al. 2013, 2017). For example, many empirical studies have found that residential

density is an important built environment feature affecting people’s commuting behavior.

They generally reported that a higher residential density leads to shorter commute and shorter

overall travel distance (see for example, Stead, 1999; Næss, 2005). However, the influence of

residential density on commute duration is ambiguous. Levinson and Kumar (1997)

estimated a threshold between 7500 and 10000 persons per square mile for residential density

at which the decrease in distance would be overtaken by congestion effects. Land use

diversity, or land use mix, is another attribute of built environment that is frequently

investigated. Theoretically, if a range of facilities or activities are in proximity, people would

be able to easily reach their destinations for daily activities. It has been verified that land use

mix has significant effects on reducing vehicle miles travelled (VMT) (Park, et al., 2018;

Hong, et al., 2014; Zhang, et al., 2012). Feng et al. (2013) reported that high population

density as well as diverse land use around residential neighborhoods are associated with

shorter commute distance and duration. In addition, a better job-house balance can also

significantly reduce commuting distance (Ta, et al.,2017; Wang & Chai, 2009; Cervero,

1996).

Although a lot of research have found significant impact various built environment

characteristics have on people’s commuting behavior, studies based on different urban

settings may provide findings that deviate from each other (Ding, et al., 2018; Sun, et al,

2017; Marcińczak & Bartosiewicz, 2018). While mainstream research on this topic has

focused on low-to-medium-density urban settings in North America or Europe, recent

research has extended their investigations to high-density urban settings, especially those in

Asia. Feng et al. (2013) found that population density and land use mix in residential areas

are negatively associated with residents’ travel time and distance in Nanjing, China. Sun et al.

(2017) applied a discrete-continuous copula-based model to examine the impact of built

environment characteristics at both residential and job locations in Shanghai. They found that

a higher job density at residential locations as well as a higher road density at job locations

both decrease commute distance. These findings suggested that compact and mixed-use

development helps to reduce commute distance and time for residents in high-density cities.

Similarly, commuting distance and related CO2 emission were also found to be negatively

affected by land use mix, residential density, road network density, and metro station density

in Guangzhou (Cao & Yang, 2017). In another interesting study, Jin et al. (2017) tested the

long-term transportation outcomes of different strategic land use scenarios in the Greater

Beijing Region, and suggested that densification with increased number of residents and

6

employment opportunities in Beijing would cause traffic congestion and subsequent increase

in travel time by 3% each decade. Moreover, the importance of transit accessibility on

people’s travel behavior is also acknowledged in high-density urban context. People in

Shanghai who relocated to places closer to rail station were found to have substantially

shorter commuting time and higher job accessibility (Cervero & Day, 2008). Feng (2017)

found that transit accessibility instead of car accessibility is more decisive in affecting the

travel behavior of Chinese elderly. Few studies have explored the impact of built

environment on commuting patterns in Hong Kong until recently. A study by Wang & Cao

(2017) investigated travel behavior in response to some built environment features at public

and private residential housing sites in Hong Kong. They found that density, accessibility and

self-containment collectively affect private housing residents’ travel time and trip frequency

but have little impact on public housing dwellers.

In addition, recent research has started to pay attention to how travel behavior can be

influenced by polycentric urban development in high-density cities. In a polycentric urban

form, people may potentially live closer to their workplace, a phenomenon known as “co-

location”, and hence have shorter commutes. Some empirical research has supported that the

location and types of urban center and sub-centers are associated with individuals’ commute

time, distance, and commute mode choice (Hu, et al., 2018; Lin, et al., 2015; Song, et al.,

2012;). Similarly, Lin et al. (2016) found that employment decentralization during the

process of polycentric development in China has the potential to reduce workers’ commute

time by promoting job-housing balance in the sub-centers. In a recent review of the

relationship between urban structure and travel in China, Hu et al. (2020) stated that

residential suburbanization alone increases travel while polycentric development has mixed

effects.

In summary, there exist clear relationships between built environment and commute

distance/duration. A large portion of existing literature was based on low-to-medium-density

urban settings (Park, et al., 2018; Hong, et al., 2014; Feng et al., 2013; Zhang, et al., 2012;

Næss, 2005; Stead, 1999). Recently, some studies have extended to examine the impact of

built environment and polycentric urban development on people’s commuting patterns in

high-density cities (Feng, 2017; Sun et al. 2017; Jin et al., 2017; Wang & Cao 2017; Hu et al.

2018). But few of them have carefully addressed the heterogeneity across different

neighborhood types to explore the non-linear relationship. Different types of residential

neighborhoods in high-density cities have very different built environment features. Simply

including these features as explanatory variables in a general model may not be adequate to

7

identify the non-linear nature. It would be more appropriate to divide all neighborhoods into

groups based on their physical features and then analyze these sub-samples separately. With

that in mind, this study aims to further examine how the relationships between built

environment features and commuting patterns vary across different neighborhood types, as

well as across different commute modes (including different sub-modes of public transport).

This study could therefore make important contribution to this new trend of literature and

offer some fresh insights into urban planning and policymaking in high-density cities.

3. Data Source and Variables

To estimate the effects of built environment on commuting patterns and job accessibility,

we collected data on a variety of built environment characteristics, people’s commuting

distance and time, and a variety of demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. We also

incorporated data on people’s commute mode choices and neighborhood types in order to

examine the heterogeneity across these groups. Our individual-level data was merged with

built environment data at the Tertiary Planning Units / Street Block (TPUSB) level, based on

each worker’s residential address. Data for this research was obtained from multiple sources,

as shown in Table 1.

Table 1 Description of data type and source Data type Data source Data description Data

year Primary data Travel characteristics survey

2011 (TCS 2011) from department, Hong Kong SAR 2

35,400 households were interviewed, including time and mode choice for each trip legs and household characteristics

2011

Demography data

Census and statistics department, Hong Kong SAR3

The data included population and employment of the territory.

2011

Road centerline geometry data

Transport Department, Hong Kong SAR4

The data were utilized to develop the road network for spatial analysis

2018

Building geometry data, outline zoning

OpenStreetMap5, Lands Department, HKSAR6, Planning Department7

The data were used to measure the zone area and land areas for various land use purposes.

2018

2 "Travel Characteristics Survey 2011 Final Report," Transport Department, February 2014, , accessed July 26, 2018, http://www.td.gov.hk/filemanager/en/content_4652/tcs2011_eng.pdf. 3 "2011 Hong Kong Population Census," Population Census, , accessed July 26, 2018, https://www.census2011.gov.hk/en/index.html. 4 "Road Network," Data.gov.hk, , accessed July 26, 2018, https://data.gov.hk/en-data/dataset/hk-td-tis_6-road-network. 5 "Hong Kong," Open Street Maps, , accessed July 26, 2018, https://www.openstreetmap.org/#map=10/22.3533/113.9193. 6 "GeoInfo Map," Map.gov.hk, , accessed July 26, 2018, http://www2.map.gov.hk/gih3/view/index.jsp. 7 "Statutory Planning Portal 2," Tpb.gov.hk, , accessed July 26, 2018, http://www2.ozp.tpb.gov.hk/gos/

8

plan Building height and number of storeys

CentaMap8 The data were used to calculate the building gross floor areas for the measure of building mix.

2018

In this paper, we gathered information on built environment characteristics for each

TPUSB. TPUSB level is the finest zoning system for planning studies in Hong Kong, which

divides the city into 4,816 zones. Using TPUSB, we were able to integrate different data

sources such as Travel Characteristics Survey 2011 (TCS 2011) and 2011 Population Census9.

For instance, the origins and destinations of the trip diary and households’ location were

coded to the TPUSB level in TCS 2011 dataset. Some statistics from Census and Statistics

Department (e.g. employment statistics) were generated based on the Tertiary Planning Units

(TPU), each one of which contains several TPUSB units. For various strategic planning

purposes, the Planning Department further defines 26 broad districts/sectors. Each of them is

an aggregation of several TPUs. These districts/sectors are illustrated in Figure 1.

A range of variables were selected to measure the built environment characteristics. The

calculation methods of these variables were grouped into three categories (i.e. density,

accessibility and design) and presented in Table 2. Density-related variables include

employment density, residential density, road connectivity, and the mixture of buildings.

Given the high-density context in Hong Kong, instead of using the traditional measure of

land use mix, we calculated the building mix based on the percent gross floor areas (GFA) of

different types of buildings. Gross floor areas (GFA) of each building type were calculated

from multiplying the building’s floor area by the number of floors for that building type (i.e.

residential, commercial, industrial and transport) in each TPUSB. Accessibility-related

variables evaluate neighborhood accessibility, including distance from home to the nearest

rail station and to CBD, distance from workplace to CBD and the number of non-rail-based

public transport routes and stops. Design-related variables measure the allocation of

residential and commercial areas within proximity of rail stations, as well as the different

types of neighborhoods.

Table 1 Descriptions of built environment variables and data sources

Categories Variables Descriptions

8 "CentaMap," , accessed July 26, 2018, http://hk.centamap.com/gc/home.aspx. 9 "2001 Population Census, 2006 Population By-census and 2011 Population Census," Planning Department, accessed July 26, 2018, https://www.pland.gov.hk/pland_en/info_serv/tp_plan/adopted/misc/2001,2006&2011.html.

9

Employment Density*

Employment Density = Employment / Zone Area

Residential Density *

Residential Density = Residential Population / Zone Area

Road Density* A Measure of intra-district road layout and connectivity: Ratio of Road Area = Road Area / Zone Area

The mixture of various types of buildings, including residential, commercial, industrial and transport related.

𝐵𝑢𝑖𝑙𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑚𝑖𝑥 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑥 = ― ∑(𝐴𝑖𝑗ln 𝐴𝑖𝑗)

ln 𝑁𝑗

Density

Building Mix*

Where: 𝐴𝑖𝑗 = 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐺𝐹𝐴 𝑜𝑓 𝑏𝑢𝑖𝑙𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑢𝑠𝑒 𝑖 𝑖𝑛 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡 𝑗

𝑁𝑗 = 𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑖𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑏𝑢𝑖𝑙𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑢𝑠𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑡 𝑗Distance from Home to CBD*

Average Household Distance to City Centre (i.e. Central)

Distance from Workplace to CBD*

Average Workplace Distance to City Centre (i.e. Central)

Distance from Home to Rail Stations*

Average walking distance from home to the nearest rail stations (km)

Number of non-rail public transport routes*

No. of non-rail public transport routes in the TPUSB

Accessibility

Number of non-rail public transport stops*

No. of non-rail public transport stops in the TPUSB

Residential Area within 500-meter Rail Catchment*

% of Residential Area within Rail Station 500m Catchment

Commercial Area within 500-meter Rail Catchment*

% of Commercial Area within Rail Station 500m Catchment

Design

Neighborhood Type*

Neighborhood type = Job-dense Downtown / Urban / New Town / Rural

Our individual level data on commute distance and time were extracted from TCS 2011.

The extensive survey interviewed 35,401 households. Commute distance was calculated as

the distance from home to workplace address, computed using ArcGIS Network Analyst.

Commute time and commute mode were collected from the trip diary which included all trip

legs of the day. Figure 1 visualizes the average commute time by TPUSB. Out of all TPUSB,

people in the Northern New Territories and some coastal areas of Lantau Island have the

longest commute time. People living in Cheung Chau, Peng Chau, Mui Wo, and Yung Shue

Wan have an average commute time ranging from 76 to 120 minutes. Most of these areas are

2

on the outlying islands. The central areas of Yuen Long, Tuen Mun and North, and the

coastal area of Tai Po are also labelled with a very long average commute time as shown in

the map. Areas surrounding the Victoria Harbor (which comprise Sham Shui Po, Yau Tsim

Mong, Kowloon City, Kwun Tong, Central and Western, Wan Chai, and Eastern) are shown

with low-to-medium average commute time, attributing to the large share of job opportunities

in these urban central areas and the excessive transport facilities equipped.

Figure 1 Spatial distribution of 26 districts and the average commute time by TPUSB

Figure 1a

Figure 1b

3

Descriptive statistics of all dependent and independent variables are summarized in Table

3. Given Hong Kong’s heavy reliance on public transit, 90% of the respondents commuted by

public transit and 5% commuted by private vehicles, indicating a very different mode split

compared to cities in the U.S and Europe. The average one-way commute distance of

respondents was 12.3 km and the average commute time was 46.2 minutes, which are shorter

than most other high-density cities (e.g. Tokyo and Beijing).

Table 3 Summary statistics of all variables

Variables Mean Std Min Max One-way Commute Distance (km) 12.3 9.4 0 58.2 One-way Commute Time (minutes) 46.2 20.3 5 120 Commute Mode Choice Commute by Public Transit 0.9 0.2 0 1 Commute by Private Vehicles 0.05 0.2 0 1 Commute by Rail-based Public Transit only (MTR, Light Rail)

0.3 0.5 0 1

Commute by Mixed Public Transit (Bus and Rail) 0.6 0.5 0 1 Commute by Non-rail-based Public Transit only (Bus) 0.01 0.1 0 1 Built Environment Characteristics Employment Density (Jobs / Zone Area) 10,373 11,601 31 63,282 Residential Density (Population/ Zone Area) 27,098 18,940 376 76,901 Building Mix 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.7 Distance from Home to CBD (km) 16.5 10.1 0.6 54.3

4

Distance from Workplace to CBD (km) 11.2 9.7 0.1 54.3 Distance from Home to Rail Stations (km) 1.6 1.8 0 21.8 Number of Non-rail Public Transport Routes 14.9 14.6 0 115 Number of Non-rail Public Transport Stops 2.7 3 0 25 Road Density (Road Area / Total Area) 0.1 0.1 0.004 0.4 Ratio of Residential Area within Rail Catchment (Residential Area within Rail Catchment / Total Residential Area)

0.5 0.3 0 1

Ratio of Commercial Area within Rail Catchment (Commercial Area within Rail Catchment / Total Commercial Area)

0.5 0.3 0 1

Demographic & Socioeconomic Characteristics Gender (1=male) 0.6 0.5 0 1 Age 40.4 11.6 15 99 Driver License (1=yes) 0.4 0.5 0 1 Number of Household Members 3.4 1.3 1 11 Household Income (HKD) 33,644 24,146 0 150,000 Number of Private Vehicles in Household 0.2 0.5 0 10

5

4. Research Methodology

4.1 Baseline Model

Multiple linear regression models were used to investigate how commute distance and

commute duration are related to different built environment features. Our baseline model is

the following: log (𝑌𝑖) = 𝛼0 + 𝛼1𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑖 + 𝛼2𝐻𝐶𝑖 + 𝜀𝑑

We used a log-linear specification where we observed as the commute distance or 𝑌𝑖

commute time of respondent i. is a set of variables measuring a range of built 𝐵𝐸𝐹𝑖

environment factors where respondent i lives. This vector incorporates eleven variables

indicating the characteristics of respondent i’s home zone: employment density, residential

density, building mix, distance from respondent i’s home to CBD, distance from respondent

i’s workplace to CBD, distance from respondent i’s home to the nearest rail station(s), the

number of non-rail public transport routes; the number of non-rail public transport stops, road

density of home zone, the ratio of residential area within 500-meter rail catchment in the

home zone, and the ratio of commercial area within 500-meter rail catchment. The

measurements for each of these eleven built environment variables have been explained in

previous section. In addition, is a set of variables measuring the demographic and 𝐻𝐶𝑖

household characteristics of respondent i, including gender, age, possession of a driver

license, number of household members, household income and the number of private

vehicles in the household.

4.2 Addressing heterogeneity bias

The average effects estimated from the above baseline model would mask considerable

heterogeneity in the effects of built environment across different commute modes and

different neighborhood types. We further divided the sample into groups to investigate how

the relationships between commute behavior and built environment varied across commute

modes and neighborhood types. We compared privately owned vehicle (POV) commuters

versus public transit commuters, as well as within the three public transit sub-modes (rail-

based, non-rail-based, and mixed). We also compared across four different neighborhood

types (i.e. job-dense downtown, urban, new town, rural areas).

4.2.1 Heterogeneity across different commute modes

Commute mode is an important factor that should be considered while estimating the

effects of built environment on commuting behavior. Commute modes can be divided into

6

Privately Owned vehicle (POV) and public transit. According to the statistics of the 2016

Population By-Census10, around 80% working population with a fixed place of work in Hong

Kong were commuting by public transit, among which the largest proportion were using

mass transit railway, accounting for 42.5% of the total work population. Given the significant

portion of public transit commuters in Hong Kong, it is important to investigate the different

sub-modes within the public transport category, in addition to the traditional comparison

between car users and transit users. Therefore, we further divided public transit commute

mode into three sub-modes, as classified in Table 4.

Table 4 The classification and explanation of commute modes

Commute mode Explanation

Privately Owned Vehicles

(POV)

All the trip legs were made by private vehicles

Rail-based

public transport

Public transport trips with all trip legs made by MTR, Airport

Express or Light Rail (LRT)

Non-rail-based

public transport

Public transport trips without any trip legs made by rail-based

transport and could include other road-based or water-based

public transport, e.g. tram, franchised bus, public light bus,

ferry.

Public

transport

modes

Mixed public

transport

Combination of rail-based and non-rail-based public transport,

usually with non-rail-based public transport trip leg for the first

or last mile of commuting trips

The classification of commute modes was based on the primary data obtained from the

Travel Characteristics Survey 2011 (TCS 2011)11, provided by the Transport Department,

Hong Kong SAR. According to TSC 2011, around 6% of the total commuting trips were

made by private vehicles, with the rest made by public transportation. Note that the TCS2011

database includes records of non-motorized modes such as biking and walking, which

account for only a very small percentage of commuting trips in Hong Kong. Only 0.67% of

people commuted on foot and 0.43% by bike, which was possibly due to topological

10 “2016 Population By-Census," Population Census, accessed July 26, 2018, https://www.bycensus2016.gov.hk/en/bc-mt.html 11 "Travel Characteristics Survey 2011 Final Report," Transport Department, February 2014, , accessed July 26, 2018, http://www.td.gov.hk/filemanager/en/content_4652/tcs2011_eng.pdf.

7

inconvenience.12 Hence, all analyses in this paper excluded workers commuted by non-

motorized modes.

4.2.2 Heterogeneity across different neighborhood types

In addition, the relationships between built environment and commuting patterns may

also vary across different neighborhood types. Four neighborhood types were examined in

this study as they represent various unique urban/rural settings in the context of Hong Kong,

including Job-Dense Downtown Areas, Non-downtown Urban Areas, New Town Areas and

Rural Areas. Job-dense downtown areas (e.g. Central, Tsim Sha Tsui) refer to the central

business district (CBD) and its surrounding areas, characterized by intensive economic

activities and employment opportunities. It has the highest connectivity and is also the

destination people often commute to. Non-downtown urban areas (e.g. Wong Tai Sin, Sham

Shui Po) are densely populated and closely connected neighborhoods that are not too far from

the CBD. The New Town Development (e.g. Sha Tin) program was initiated in 1973 and

aimed to develop well-planned neighborhoods in rural areas. New town areas were built with

a balanced combination of residential, commercial, social, public and transport land use,

using heavy rail to connect to city center. It is reported that over half of Hong Kong’s

population were living in New Towns as of 2016 (Civil Engineering and Development

Department, 2016). Rural areas (e.g. Kwu Tung) are sparsely populated, with low density and

few economic activities. As such, they have relatively poor connectivity and are often used

for agricultural purposes. Nonetheless, rural areas are considered potential sites for New

Development Area in the “Hong Kong 2030+” plan, e.g. Kwu Tung. Figure 3 shows the

spatial distribution of these four types of neighborhoods across Hong Kong. Correspondingly,

Figure 4 illustrates the spatial distribution of two selected built environment features--

residential density and employment density, in order to provide some additional insight into

the differences across these four neighborhood types.

12 To be classified as commuting by non-mechanized modes, the respondent has to be walking or biking for the entire commuting trip, a.k.a., using walk or bike for all trip legs of a commuting trip.

8

Figure 2 – Spatial distribution of different types of neighborhoods in Hong Kong

Figure 3 – Spatial distribution of residential density

Figure 4 – Spatial distribution of employment density

9

5. Results

5.1 Commute Distance and Duration for Car Users and Transit Users Table 2 reports our estimates for the effects of various built environment and household

characteristics attributes on commute distance and commute time. In general, as shown in

models (1) and (4), seven built environment features have statistically significant effects on

both commute distance and commute duration. Employment density, distance from

workplace to CBD, and ratio of residential area within 500-meter rail catchment are

negatively correlated with commute distance and time, while residential density, building mix,

distance from home to CBD, and ratio of commercial area within 500-meter rail catchment

are positively correlated with commute distance and time.13 Note that a few built

environment features have shown relationships with commute distance and time that are in

contrast with findings in the majority of previous studies. This is because of the non-linear

nature of some of these effects, which will be addressed and discussed through more in-depth

analyses in following sections.

Table 2 Commute Distance and Duration for All Commuters, Private Vehicle Commuters and Public Transit Commuters

13 Note that building mix is different from the traditional measure of land use mix. The building mix index has high values in downtown areas because of the mixture of commercial, office, hotel, and government buildings. High building mix index does not suggest a good match between housing and jobs. It is not to be confused as a job-housing balance measurement.

10

Commute distance (log) Commute time (log) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

All Public Transit

Commuters

Private Vehicle

Commuters All

Public Transit

Commuters

Private Vehicle

Commuters Built Environment Characteristics

Employment Density (log) -0.077*** -0.082*** -0.102*** -0.062*** -0.060*** -0.076*** (0.008) (0.008) (0.038) (0.005) (0.005) (0.023) Residential Density (log) 0.057*** 0.064*** 0.041 0.082*** 0.084*** 0.021 (0.011) (0.012) (0.050) (0.007) (0.007) (0.030) Road Density (log) 0.012 0.017* -0.033 0.013** 0.016*** 0.03 (0.009) (0.010) (0.039) (0.005) (0.006) (0.023) Building Mix (log) 0.262*** 0.327*** 0.39 0.182*** 0.190*** 0.059 (0.055) (0.056) (0.253) (0.032) (0.033) (0.152) Distance from Home to CBD (log) 0.574*** 0.579*** 0.351*** 0.217*** 0.212*** 0.056** (0.009) (0.010) (0.043) (0.006) (0.006) (0.026) Distance from Workplace to CBD (log) -0.089*** -0.092*** -0.023 -0.039*** -0.044*** -0.024** (0.003) (0.003) (0.017) (0.002) (0.002) (0.010) Distance from Home to Rail Stations (log) 0.001 0.003 0.062*** 0.015*** 0.008*** 0.002 (0.004) (0.005) (0.022) (0.003) (0.003) (0.013) Number of Non-rail Public Transport Routes 0.0002 0.0001 0.004** -0.0002 -0.0003 0.002 (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.001) Number of Non-rail Public Transport Stops 0.002 0.002 -0.002 0.001 0.001 -0.001 (0.002) (0.002) (0.009) (0.001) (0.001) (0.005) Ratio of Residential Area within Rail Catchment -0.073** -0.162*** 0.282** -0.226*** -0.223*** 0.166** (0.030) (0.031) (0.124) (0.018) (0.018) (0.075) Ratio of Commercial Area within Rail Catchment 0.150*** 0.235*** 0.009 0.111*** 0.105*** -0.146** (0.027) (0.028) (0.111) (0.016) (0.017) (0.067) Demographic & Socioeconomic Characteristics

Gender (male=1) 0.093*** 0.093*** 0.073 0.054*** 0.053*** 0.051* (0.008) (0.008) (0.044) (0.005) (0.005) (0.027) Age (log) -0.003*** -0.003*** -0.003 -0.002*** -0.002*** -0.001 (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.002) (0.0002) (0.0002) (0.001) Driver License (yes=1) 0.075*** 0.073*** 0.171** 0.020*** 0.016*** 0.158*** (0.009) (0.009) (0.067) (0.005) (0.005) (0.040) Number of Household Members (log) -0.011*** -0.011*** -0.009 -0.0003 -0.001 0.007 (0.003) (0.003) (0.013) (0.002) (0.002) (0.008) Household Income (log) 0.064*** 0.063*** 0.031 0.013*** 0.016*** -0.027 (0.006) (0.006) (0.028) (0.003) (0.003) (0.017) Number of Private Vehicles in Household (log) 0.012 -0.008 0.077*** -0.032*** -0.050*** 0.016 (0.011) (0.012) (0.028) (0.006) (0.007) (0.017) Commute Mode Choice Public transit commute trip (1=yes) 0.134*** N/A N/A 0.394*** N/A N/A

(0.019) (0.011) Rail PT only commute trip (1=yes) N/A 0.662*** N/A N/A 0.217*** N/A

(0.042) (0.025) Mixed PT commute trip (1=yes) N/A 0.604*** N/A N/A 0.291*** N/A

(0.042) (0.025) Road based PT only commute trip (1=yes) N/A Reference

Group N/A N/A Reference Group N/A

Constant 0.121 -0.415*** 0.800* 2.487*** 2.585*** 3.800***

11

(0.117) (0.125) (0.467) (0.069) (0.074) (0.282) Number of Observations 33,741 31,678 2,063 33,741 31,678 2,063 Adjusted R2 0.262 0.271 0.243 0.162 0.136 0.119 Notes *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01

Among these seven built environment variables, distance from home to CBD has the

largest impact. A 1% increase in home to CBD distance would lead to an increase in

commute distance by 0.57% and an increase in commute time by 0.22% for an average

commuter. This might be because a large portion of job opportunities still concentrating in

and around CBD in Hong Kong. In addition, a 1% increase in employment density at the

TPUSB where the worker resides would on average contribute to a decrease in commute

distance by 0.08% and commute time by 0.06%. This result corroborates the importance of

job-housing balance at the local level in reducing commute distance and time.

It is important to note that the average treatment effects as shown in models (1) and (4)

disguise the heterogeneity between public transit commuters and private vehicle commuters.

For example, it is observed that, overall, the ratio of residential area within 500-meter rail

catchment is negatively correlated with commute distance and time. But when we divide the

sample into public transit commuters and private car commuters, the coefficient estimates

indicate that a higher ratio of residential area within 500-meter rail catchment reduces the

commute distance and time for public transit commuters (as shown in models 2 and 5), while

it increases the commute for private vehicle commuters (as shown in models 3 and 6). This is

because residents who live in the TPUSBs with higher coverage of rail transit services can

reach transit stations more easily, but for private vehicle commuters, higher coverage of rail

transit typically means higher density and more congested streets.

Heterogeneity between public transit commuters and private vehicle commuters could

also be observed in the effects of other built environment attributes, as shown in Table 5. In

general, we found that public transit commuters are more responsive to built environment

characteristics than private vehicle commuters. For instance, a 1% increase in the distance

from home to CBD would increase commute distance by 0.58% and commute time by 0.21%

for public transit commuters, but the effects for private vehicle commuters are only 0.35%

and 0.06%, respectively. These different elasticities may be ascribed to the different

properties of these two commute modes. Public transit is a less flexible travel mode than

private vehicle in the sense that public transit usually has fixed and indirect routes while

private vehicles can choose among many. Compared to public transit, commuting by private

12

vehicles could be more adaptive with the change of destination accessibility, and hence have

lower elasticities.

5.2 Commute distance and duration for Sub-modes of Public Transit

Given that public transportation plays a critical role in Hong Kong’s transportation

network, it is important to look at the various sub-modes of public transit. Table 3 reports the

estimated effects of built environment features on commute distance and time for rail-based,

mixed-mode, and non-rail-based public transit commuters.

Table 3 Commute Distance and Duration for Sub-modes of Public Transit Commute distance (log) Commute time (log) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

Rail PT only commute

trip

Mixed PT commute

trip

Non-rail-based PT

only commute

trip

Rail PT only commute

trip

Mixed PT commute

trip

Non-rail-based PT

only commute

trip Built Environment Characteristics

Employment Density (log) -0.058*** -0.071*** -0.814** -0.034*** -0.059*** -0.335 (0.013) (0.011) (0.346) (0.008) (0.006) (0.249) Residential Density (log) 0.002 0.037** 0.785 0.059*** 0.070*** 0.422 (0.022) (0.015) (0.566) (0.014) (0.009) (0.408) Road Density (log) -0.009 0.030** 0.02 -0.034*** 0.030*** 0.122** (0.016) (0.012) (0.074) (0.010) (0.007) (0.053) Building Mix (log) 0.519*** 0.116 0.205 0.299*** 0.102** -0.217 (0.095) (0.073) (2.841) (0.060) (0.042) (2.045) Distance from Home to CBD (log) 0.564*** 0.560*** 0.490*** 0.210*** 0.200*** 0.247*** (0.015) (0.013) (0.117) (0.010) (0.007) (0.085) Distance from Workplace to CBD (log)

-0.059*** -0.110*** -0.088** -0.021*** -0.059*** -0.018

(0.005) (0.005) (0.036) (0.003) (0.003) (0.026) Distance from Home to Rail Stations (log) 0.014*** 0.0003 -0.055 0.018*** 0.004 -0.057 (0.005) (0.007) (0.052) (0.003) (0.004) (0.038) Number of Non-rail Public Transport Routes -0.002*** 0.002*** -0.004* -0.001*** 0.001* -0.002 (0.001) (0.001) (0.003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.002) Number of Non-rail Public Transport Stops 0.011*** -0.005** 0.022 0.001 -0.002 0.015 (0.003) (0.002) (0.029) (0.002) (0.001) (0.021) Ratio of Residential Area within Rail Catchment

-0.179*** -0.029 -1.889** -0.310*** -0.134*** -1.163*

(0.049) (0.043) (0.933) (0.031) (0.025) (0.671) Ratio of Commercial Area within Rail Catchment

0.076 0.168*** 0.428 0.087*** 0.053** -0.187

(0.051) (0.036) (0.930) (0.032) (0.021) (0.669) Demographic & Socioeconomic Characteristics

Gender (male=1) 0.048*** 0.117*** 0.009 0.017** 0.070*** 0.079* (0.012) (0.011) (0.063) (0.008) (0.006) (0.045)

13

Age (log) -0.002*** -0.004*** -0.0004 -0.001*** -0.002*** -0.0005 (0.001) (0.0005) (0.003) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.002) Driver License (yes=1) 0.047*** 0.081*** -0.119 0.017* 0.015** -0.07 (0.014) (0.012) (0.081) (0.009) (0.007) (0.058) Number of Household Members (log) -0.002 -0.017*** -0.035 0.002 -0.004 -0.008 (0.004) (0.004) (0.023) (0.003) (0.002) (0.016) Household Income (log) 0.035*** 0.083*** 0.053 0.013*** 0.019*** 0.022 (0.007) (0.008) (0.040) (0.005) (0.004) (0.028) Number of Private Vehicles in Household (log)

0.014 -0.014 -0.156 -0.003 -0.060*** -0.087

(0.020) (0.014) (0.169) (0.012) (0.008) (0.122) Constant 0.856*** 0.389** 0.41 2.739*** 3.099*** 2.706

(0.224) (0.157) (4.322) (0.142) (0.090) (3.111) Number of Observations 9,665 21,701 312 9,665 21,701 312 Adjusted R2 0.335 0.235 0.419 0.159 0.107 0.171 Notes *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01

As shown in Table 6, among the various built environment characteristics, distance from

home to CBD is the only factor that significantly affects both commute distance and time for

all sub-modes of public transit. A 1% increase in the home to CBD distance would contribute

to an increase in commute distance by 0.56%, 0.56% and 0.49%, as well as an increase in

commute time by 0.21%, 0.20%, and 0.25% for rail-based commuters, mixed-mode

commuters and non-rail-based commuters, respectively. Moreover, we also noticed that most

built environment attributes have stronger effects on commute distance than on commute

time, based on the sizes of the coefficient estimates. That is, the elasticities of commute time

with respect to various built environment features are smaller than the elasticities of commute

distance. This could be explained by the fast speed of the highly reliable public transit system,

especially the railway network, in Hong Kong, which helps public transit commuters to travel

efficiently.

It is worth noting that a higher ratio of residential area within 500-meter rail catchment

reduces commuting distance and time, hence improves job accessibility for both rail-based

and non-rail-based public transit commuters. With a 1 percentage point increase in the ratio

of residential area within rail catchment, commute distance would reduce by 0.18% for rail-

based commuters and by 1.89% for non-rail-based commuters, while commute time would

reduce by 0.31% for rail-based commuters and by 1.16% for non-rail-based commuters. This

suggests that, to improve job accessibility, current urban planning and policies on transit-

oriented development should consider planning residential units around transit nodes to

enhance the connectivity and workability of public transit commuters.

14

Our results also reveal other heterogeneous effects across different public transit sub-

modes. Employment density is negatively correlated with commute distance for all public

transit commuters as the point estimates have the same sign. But the effect is most significant

(in terms of magnitude) for non-rail-based public transit commuters, while the effects for rail-

based and mixed-mode commuters are marginal. If employment density at home zone

increases by 1%, the commute distance would drop by 0.81% for non-rail-based commuters

but only by 0.06% for rail-based commuters. This result could be because non-rail-based

commuters are mostly working in districts not far away from their home zone, therefore,

increasing employment density could significantly reduce their commute distance.

5.3 Commute Distance and Duration for Commuters in Different Neighborhoods

In this section, we further break down the groups into Public Transit Commuters and

Private Vehicle Commuters living in four different neighborhoods, as discussed earlier.

5.3.1 Commute distance and duration for Public Transit Commuters by Different

Neighborhoods

The model results for public transit commuters by different neighborhoods are summarized

in Table 4. Distance from home to CBD is positively correlated to commute distance in all

four types of neighborhoods. This effect is found most significant for rural public transit

commuters. A 1% increase in distance from home to CBD would contribute to a 0.41%,

0.51%, 0.85% and 1.03% increase on commute distance in job-dense downtown areas, non-

downtown urban areas, new towns areas and rural areas, respectively. This suggests that a lot

of people are still relying on the CBD for work even if they live far from the area.

The distance from workplace to CBD also shows significant effects on the commute

distance of public transit commuters in job-dense downtown, urban, new town and rural

neighborhoods, with elasticities of 0.109, 0.048, -0.261 and -0.375, respectively. In the

meantime, a 1% increase in distance from workplace to CBD would increase commute

duration by 0.07% in job-dense downtown neighborhoods, but reduce it by 0.13% in new

town neighborhoods and 0.18% in rural neighborhoods. Job-dense downtown areas are the

closest to CBD, followed by non-downtown urban areas, new town areas and rural areas.

These results suggest that public transit commuters who are living and working in new town

areas or rural areas are better off in terms of job accessibility, compared with those living in

urban areas but working closer to CBD. Clearly, job decentralization in the event of CBD

being already over-crowded may be beneficial, especially to those living out of the urban

cores.

15

Table 4 Commute distance and duration for public transit commuters in different

neighborhoods Commute distance (log) Commute time (log) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)

Job-

dense downtow

n

Non-downtown Urban

New Town Rural

Job-dense

downtown

Non-downtown Urban

New Town Rural

Built Environment Characteristics

Employment Density (log) 2.208*** -1.057*** -0.086*** -0.11 0.262 0.142 -0.067*** 0.043 (0.397) (0.302) (0.021) (0.173) (0.233) (0.186) (0.012) (0.106) Residential Density (log) 2.114*** -1.398*** 0.042* -0.328** 0.409* 0.377 0.091*** 0.162* (0.384) (0.495) (0.022) (0.154) (0.225) (0.305) (0.013) (0.094) Road Density (log) -0.054*** -0.002 0.053*** 0.074** -0.009 -0.006 0.01 0.052** (0.017) (0.026) (0.016) (0.035) (0.010) (0.016) (0.010) (0.021) Building Mix (log) 12.098*** -0.078 -0.118 1.58 1.469 0.125 0.162** -1.637**

(1.974) (0.388) (0.116) (1.299) (1.157) (0.238) (0.069) (0.798) Distance from Home to CBD (log) 0.409*** 0.506*** 0.847*** 1.029*** 0.086*** 0.058 0.294*** 0.075 (0.030) (0.069) (0.020) (0.119) (0.018) (0.042) (0.012) (0.073) Distance from Workplace to CBD (log) 0.109*** 0.048*** -0.261*** -0.375*** 0.066*** 0.004 -0.130*** -0.181*** (0.006) (0.007) (0.005) (0.016) (0.004) (0.004) (0.003) (0.010) Distance from Home to Rail Stations (log) 0.013* 0.021 0.002 0.018 0.011** 0.066*** 0.005 -0.013 (0.008) (0.020) (0.006) (0.029) (0.005) (0.012) (0.004) (0.018) Number of Non-rail Public Transport Routes -0.00001 -0.001 0.0004 -0.007 0.00004 -0.001* 0.0001 0.001 (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.008) (0.0003) (0.0003) (0.0004) (0.005) Number of Non-rail Public Transport Stops -0.002 0.008** 0.001 0.013 -0.003 0.003 -0.002 -0.0005 (0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.013) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.008) Ratio of Residential Area within Rail Catchment

-2.076*** -13.221*

** -0.111* -0.420** 2.632 -0.332***

(0.365) (4.417) (0.062) (0.214) (2.718) (0.037) Ratio of Commercial Area within Rail Catchment

20.586*** 0.008 -4.224 0.144***

(6.777) (0.045) (4.170) (0.027) Demographic & Socioeconomic Characteristics

Gender (male=1) 0.065*** 0.123*** 0.089*** 0.015 0.045*** 0.066*** 0.050*** 0.005 (0.016) (0.016) (0.012) (0.039) (0.009) (0.010) (0.007) (0.024) Age (log) -0.001* -0.003*** -0.004*** -0.005*** -0.001** -0.001*** -0.002*** -0.004*** (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0003) (0.001) Driver License (yes=1) 0.051*** 0.071*** 0.066*** 0.120*** 0.001 0.004 0.019** 0.065** (0.017) (0.018) (0.013) (0.042) (0.010) (0.011) (0.008) (0.026) Number of Household Members (log) 0.0002 -0.020*** -0.013*** -0.029* 0.008** -0.010** -0.003 0.002 (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.015) (0.003) (0.004) (0.003) (0.009) Household Income (log) 0.034*** 0.068*** 0.064*** 0.174*** 0.011** 0.025*** 0.012** -0.0004 (0.008) (0.012) (0.009) (0.040) (0.005) (0.007) (0.006) (0.024) Number of Private Vehicles in Household (log)

-0.032 0.024 -0.023 0.039 -0.069*** -0.042*** -0.047*** -0.009

(0.023) (0.025) (0.017) (0.034) (0.013) (0.015) (0.010) (0.021) Commute Mode Choice Rail PT only commute trip (1=yes) 0.777*** -0.356 -0.24 -0.287 0.221*** -0.367 -0.172 -0.179 (0.042) (0.680) (0.204) (0.468) (0.025) (0.418) (0.122) (0.288) Mixed PT commute trip 0.708*** -0.504 -0.277 -0.629 0.265*** -0.327 -0.072 -0.166

16

(1=yes) (0.041) (0.680) (0.204) (0.458) (0.024) (0.418) (0.122) (0.281) Non-rail-based PT only commute trip (1=yes)

Reference Group

Reference Group

Reference Group

Reference Group

Reference Group

Reference Group

Reference Group

Reference Group

Constant -49.733*** 20.300*** 0.712** 0.919 -4.467 -0.689 2.974*** 4.240*** (8.837) (6.448) (0.305) (0.782) (5.179) (3.968) (0.183) (0.480) Number of Observations 7,996 7,891 14,591 1,200 7,996 7,891 14,591 1,200 Adjusted R2 0.193 0.066 0.268 0.419 0.137 0.056 0.158 0.257 Notes *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01

Our results indicate that higher employment density reduces commute distance for transit

commuters living in non-downtown urban neighborhoods and new town neighborhoods, as

many literatures would suggest. However, we did find that it increases commute distance,

hence reduces job accessibility for those living in job-dense downtown neighborhoods. With

a 1% increase in employment density in their home zone, public transit commuter’s commute

distance would be reduced by 1.06% in non-downtown urban areas and by 0.09% in new

town areas, whereas it would be increased by 2.21% in job-dense downtown areas. Note that

the employment density in job-dense downtown areas of Hong Kong is already very high.

Further intensifying employment density in these areas may exert a crowding out effect on

people living in these neighborhoods, as additional offices or commercial uses outbid existing

residential uses, which may actually increase their commute distance and time. Additionally,

as downtown areas become over-crowded, agglomeration diseconomies such as congestion,

noise, crime may drive people to move out of these neighborhoods voluntarily. On the

contrary, as shown in columns (2) and (3), increasing employment density in non-downtown

urban areas and new town areas reduces commute distance for transit commuters living in

these neighborhoods, which implies that job provisions in these areas may effectively

improve job accessibilities for their residents. Interestingly, the elasticity is around -1,

suggesting 1% increase in employment density in these areas is associated with a 1%

reduction in commute distance. In sum, our results elaborate that the impact of employment

density on commute distance/time and job accessibility is not linear. Many previous studies

overlooked this important non-linear relationship, possibly because their study areas might

not have reached an employment density comparable to that in downtown Hong Kong and

such non-linearity was not detected in their data analyses.

Residential density also shows opposite effects on commute distance in job-dense

downtown neighborhoods versus that in non-downtown urban neighborhoods. Job-dense

downtown neighborhoods with higher residential density is associated with longer average

commute distance, with an elasticity of 2.11 (for transit commuters). Classic urban land bid

17

rent theory clearly plays a role here. Neighborhoods with higher residential density in job-

dense downtown areas are usually located not directly at the downtown core, but at a small

distance from it, because the land rent residential usage can afford is lower than the land rent

bid by commercial and office uses. In case of an extremely dense downtown area like the one

in Hong Kong, the most valuable land has been occupied by transnational corporation

(regional) headquarters, luxury hotel chains, fancy restaurants, and high-end shopping malls.

Within the boundary of job-dense downtown area, neighborhoods with relatively higher

residential density are located at the edge (between job-dense downtown area and non-

downtown urban areas), which explains why their residents have relatively longer commute

distance as they travel to downtown core to work. On the contrary, non-downtown urban

neighborhoods would have shorter average commute distance if their residential density is

higher, with an elasticity of -1.40 (for transit commuters). In general, non-downtown urban

neighborhoods with higher residential density are located at (or close to) urban sub-centers,

where residential use often coexists with commercial and office uses. This can be attributed

to Hong Kong government’s continuous efforts since the 1980s to develop strategic plans and

effective implementations for mixed land use in the city’s new centers, as well as its

emphasis on transit-oriented development in recent years. As a result, non-downtown urban

areas with higher residential density usually also have higher overall density and contain

plenty of commercial and office spaces.

Note that the ratio of residential areas and the ratio of commercial areas within 500-meter

rail catchment affect commute distance much more significantly (in terms of magnitude) in

non-downtown urban areas than in job-dense downtown areas or new town areas. Table 7

column (2) reports that a 1 percentage point increase in the ratio of residential areas within

rail catchment would reduce commute distance by 13.2%, while a 1 percentage point increase

in the ratio of commercial areas within rail catchment would increase commute distance by

20.6%. These results corroborate the importance of mixed land use and TOD, especially in

non-downtown urban areas. Increasing the share of residential use within 500 meters from

rail stations would lead to better job accessibility for an average transit commuter. However,

at its current density, further increasing the share of commercial uses within 500 meters from

rail stations could increase commute distance and impair job accessibility for the majority of

transit commuters living in these urban areas. This is because of the same crowding out effect

as we observed in job-dense downtown areas. Residents will be forced to live further away

from these rail stations if commercial uses take up more land near the stations. In summary,

18

planners need to be cautious about a well-balanced land use mix between residential and

commercial uses when implementing TOD.

5.3.2 Commute distance and duration for Private Vehicle Commuters by Different

Neighborhoods

The model results for private vehicle commuters by different neighborhoods are

presented in Table 5. The results are consistent with those of public transit commuters.

Among these built environment characteristics, distance from home to CBD and distance

from workplace to CBD show the most significant effects on commute distance/time for

private vehicle commuters in all four types of neighborhoods. Similar to what we observed

on public transit commuters, longer workplace to CBD distance would reduce commute

distance and time and hence improve job accessibility for private vehicle commuters living in

new town areas and rural areas. The magnitudes of these effects are similar to those on public

transit commuters. In addition, the non-linearity in the impact of employment density on

commute distance/time across different neighborhood types is also observed for private

vehicle commuters. In summary, job decentralization to new development areas in a highly

dense urban context such as Hong Kong is beneficial.

Table 5 Commute Distance and Duration for Private Vehicle Commuters in Different Neighborhoods   Commute distance (log) Commute time (log) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)

 

Job-dense

downtown

Urban New Town Rural

Job-dense

downtown

Urban New Town Rural

Built Environment Characteristics

Employment Density (log) 2.429*** -1.110*** -0.092*** -0.023 0.467** 0.310* -0.056*** 0.145 (0.388) (0.291) (0.021) (0.164) (0.232) (0.181) (0.013) (0.103) Residential Density (log) 2.322*** -1.524*** 0.044** -0.293** 0.608*** 0.676** 0.065*** 0.105 (0.373) (0.479) (0.022) (0.138) (0.223) (0.299) (0.013) (0.087) Road Density (log) -0.066*** 0.004 0.058*** 0.065** -0.017* -0.002 0.027*** 0.037* (0.017) (0.026) (0.016) (0.031) (0.010) (0.016) (0.010) (0.020) Building Mix (log) 12.950*** -0.266 -0.132 1.079 2.435** 0.257 0.039 -1.893** (1.930) (0.386) (0.114) (1.199) (1.153) (0.241) (0.070) (0.754) Distance from Home to CBD (log) 0.446*** 0.499*** 0.821*** 1.018*** 0.106*** 0.021 0.305*** 0.051 (0.029) (0.066) (0.019) (0.109) (0.017) (0.041) (0.012) (0.069) Distance from Workplace to CBD (log)

0.124*** 0.044*** -0.267*** -0.360*** 0.074*** 0.003 -0.131*** -0.178***

(0.006) (0.007) (0.005) (0.015) (0.004) (0.004) (0.003) (0.009) Distance from Home to Rail Stations (log) 0.004 -0.014 -0.0005 0.022 0.011** 0.083*** 0.010*** -0.023 (0.008) (0.018) (0.006) (0.027) (0.005) (0.011) (0.003) (0.017) Number of Non-rail -0.001 -0.0002 0.001 -0.008 0.0001 -0.0004 0.0002 -0.0004

19

Public Transport Routes (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.007) (0.0004) (0.0003) (0.0004) (0.005) Number of Non-rail Public Transport Stops

-0.001 0.007** 0.001 0.008 -0.002 0.004** -0.003* -0.002

(0.004) (0.003) (0.003) (0.012) (0.002) (0.002) (0.002) (0.008) Ratio of Residential Area within Rail Catchment

-2.186*** -13.970**

* -0.099 -0.598*** 5.214** -0.347***

(0.356) (4.260) (0.060) (0.213) (2.654) (0.037) Ratio of Commercial Area within Rail Catchment

21.807*** -0.003 -8.177** 0.183***

(6.536) (0.043) (4.071) (0.026) Demographic & Socioeconomic Characteristics

Gender (male=1) 0.071*** 0.114*** 0.088*** 0.007 0.043*** 0.052*** 0.037*** -0.038* (0.015) (0.016) (0.012) (0.036) (0.009) (0.010) (0.007) (0.023) Age (log) -0.002*** -0.003*** -0.003*** -0.006*** -0.001*** -0.002*** -0.002*** -0.004*** (0.001) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.0004) (0.0004) (0.0003) (0.001) Driver License (yes=1) 0.056*** 0.064*** 0.060*** 0.115*** -0.012 -0.006 0.004 0.012 (0.017) (0.018) (0.013) (0.040) (0.010) (0.011) (0.008) (0.025) Number of Household Members (log) 0.003 -0.018*** -0.014*** -0.032** 0.013*** -0.005 -0.001 0.007 (0.006) (0.006) (0.005) (0.014) (0.003) (0.004) (0.003) (0.009) Household Income (log) 0.039*** 0.063*** 0.058*** 0.172*** 0.005 0.015** 0.005 -0.01 (0.008) (0.012) (0.009) (0.035) (0.005) (0.007) (0.006) (0.022) Number of Private Vehicles in Household (log)

-0.002 -0.005 -0.037** 0.034 -0.101*** -0.111*** -0.127*** -0.062***

(0.019) (0.020) (0.014) (0.027) (0.011) (0.013) (0.009) (0.017) Constant -53.944*** 21.565*** 0.646*** 0.035 -8.789* -4.709 3.162*** 4.330*** (8.615) (6.201) (0.226) (0.558) (5.146) (3.863) (0.138) (0.351) Number of Observations 8,481 8,369 15,389 1,502 8,481 8,369 15,389 1,502 Adjusted R2 0.172 0.059 0.259 0.386 0.139 0.058 0.158 0.236 Notes *p<0.1; **p<0.05; ***p<0.01

6. Conclusion

Given the inherent limitations and challenges Hong Kong faces due to scarce land supply,

there have been far from sufficient research applicable to the city’s unique context to support

effective policymaking. Our study for Hong Kong, as an example of cities with high-density,

disentangled the unique features of built environment in a rail-based dense urban setting and

its impacts on people’s commuting behavior and the associated job accessibility. More

importantly, given the high proportion of public transit to Hong Kong’s transportation system

and the heterogeneous features in different neighborhoods, we draw a special focus on how

commute distance and time vary across different commute modes, sub-modes of public

transport, and neighborhood types. By understanding the relationships between urban settings

and travel behavior, one important implication is that infrastructure planning should pay

20

attention to built environments, as these features could significantly impact people’s day-to-

day commute, job accessibility, and ultimately their quality of life.

Uncovering the heterogeneity behind the average effects, we found that public transit

commuters are more responsive to changes of built environments than private vehicle

commuters. Interestingly, we found non-linearity in the impacts of employment density on

people’s commuting distance/time and the associated job accessibility. Our findings provide

cautions about a common argument suggested in many literatures, that higher employment

density would reduce commute distance/time and improve job accessibility. This is not

always the case. In non-downtown urban areas and new town areas, the findings conform to

our conventional wisdom; however, in Hong Kong’s job-dense downtown areas, further

increasing employment density generates negative crowding out effects as residential use gets

outbid by commercial uses and workers are forced to live further away from jobs in

downtown. For Hong Kong and other similar high-density cities, future urban planning

should avoid further densifying employment in CBDs, but to focus more on developing

employment sub-centers so that a more balanced employment distribution can be achieved.

By dispersing residents’ daily peak-hour destinations into multiple centers of the city,

wasteful commuting can be alleviated. This can reduce the commute distance and time for the

majority of the commuters, ease congestions and reduce energy consumption, which

ultimately contribute to people’s wellbeing and overall productivity of the society. For the

whole city, this would be a pareto efficient outcome.

Raising the ratio of residential area within a 500-meter rail catchment can reduce commute

distance/time and improve job accessibility for all modes of public transport commuters as

well as private vehicle commuters. This effect is much stronger in non-downtown urban areas

as opposed to job-dense downtown areas or rural areas. Lowering the share of commercial

uses within a 500-meter rail catchment would have the same effect for non-downtown urban

areas. These results lead to important policy recommendations. For high-density cities like

Hong Kong, transit-oriented development policies which use railway as the backbone of the

public transportation system are commendable. But planners should be careful not to further

increase the share of commercial uses around these rail stations as they will crowd out

residential use and hence impair job accessibility. With the current land use composition,

planners may consider increasing the share of residential use near rail stations in non-

downtown areas in their implementation of TOD. Large scale high-density residential estates

on top or surrounding rail stations may be a good option to optimize connectivity to rail

transit and improves job accessibility for public transit commuters.

21

It is worth noting that the relationship between the built environment and commuting

behavior, as well as our policy recommendations in this paper are all context specific. Our

findings may be applicable to other high-density cities such as Tokyo, Beijing, Shanghai and

Seoul. But we need to be careful when making inferences to relatively low-density urban

contexts. Additionally, our measure of job accessibility using commute distance/time may not

be applicable to cities in North America or Europe because of their relatively lower density.

But for dense urban settings such as Hong Kong, our measure is more appropriate than the

traditional job accessibility measures. Researchers and policymakers need to be cautious

when applying this context-specific job accessibility measure to their own cities. Lastly, we

would like to note that self-selection is not addressed in this study. Although it is not the

objective of this paper to investigate the self-selection problem, the issue could exist. Future

researches could take this into account by supplementing travel diary questionnaires with

attitude surveys, similar to the study conducted by Kitamura et al. (1997).

22

Acknowledgments

Funding: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China

[project number: 71573232].

We would also like to acknowledge the contributions made by Ms. Shuk Nuen Ho in her

Master’s Thesis as the preliminary implementation of some of the research ideas presented in

this paper.

23

References

Boisjoly, G., & El-Geneidy, A. M. (2017). How to get there? A critical assessment of accessibility objectives and indicators in metropolitan transportation plans. Transport Policy, 55, 38–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2016.12.011

Cao, X. (2009). Disentangling the influence of neighborhood type and self-selection on driving behavior: an application of sample selection model. Transportation, 36(2), 207–222. doi:10.1007/s11116-009-9189-9

Cao, X. J. (2015). Heterogeneous effects of neighborhood type on commute mode choice: an exploration of residential dissonance in the Twin Cities. Journal of transport geography, 48, 188-196.

Cao, X., & Yang, W. (2017). Examining the effects of the built environment and residential self-selection on commuting trips and the related CO2 emissions: An empirical study in Guangzhou, China. Transportation Research Part D, 52(PB), 480-494.

Census and Statistics Department. (2018). Press Release (13 Feb 2018) :Year-end population for 2017 | Census and Statistics Department. Retrieved July 26, 2018, from https://www.censtatd.gov.hk/press_release/pressReleaseDetail.jsp?charsetID=1&pressRID=4213

Cervero, R. (2002). Built environments and mode choice: toward a normative framework. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 7(4), 265–284. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1361-9209(01)00024-4

Cervero, R., & Kockelman, K. (1997). Travel demand and the 3Ds: Density, diversity, and design. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 2(3), 199–219. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1361-9209(97)00009-6

Cervero, R., & Day, J. (2008) Residential Relocation and Commuting Behavior in Shanghia, China: The Case for Transit Oriented Development. UC Berkeley Center for Future Urban Transport: A Volvo Center of Excellence.

Cheng, J., & Bertolini, L. (2013). Measuring urban job accessibility with distance decay, competition and diversity. Journal of Transport Geography, 30, 100-109.

Civil Engineering and Development Department. (2016). New Towns, New Development Areas and Urban Developments. Retrieved from https://www.gov.hk/en/about/abouthk/factsheets/docs/towns&urban_developments.pdf

Dai, T., Liu, Z., Liao, C., & Cai, H. (2018). Incorporating job diversity preference into measuring job accessibility. Cities, 78, 108-115.

Deboosere, R., & El-Geneidy, A. (2018). Evaluating equity and accessibility to jobs by public transport across Canada. Journal of Transport Geography. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.10.006

Ding, C., Cao, X., & Wang, Y. (2018). Synergistic effects of the built environment and commuting programs on commute mode choice. Transportation Research Part A, 118, 104-118.

Engelfriet, L., & Koomen, E. (2018). The impact of urban form on commuting in large Chinese cities. Transportation, 45(5), 1269-1295.

Feng, J. (2017). The influence of built environment on travel behavior of the elderly in urban China. Transportation Research Part D, 52(PB), 619-633.

Feng, J., Dijst, M., Prillwitz, J., Wissink, B. (2013). Travel Time and Distance in International Perspective: A Comparison between Nanjing (China) and the Randstad (The Netherlands). Urban Studies, 50(14), 2993-3010.

Geurs, K. T. (2006). Job accessibility impacts of intensive and multiple land-use scenarios for the Netherlands’ Randstad Area. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 21(1), 51–67. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-005-9032-3

Geurs, K., & Van Wee, B. (2004). Accessibility evaluation of land-use and transport strategies: Review and research directions. Journal of Transport Geography, 12(2), 127-140.

Handy, S., Cao, X., & Mokhtarian, P. (2005). Correlation or causality between the built environment and travel behavior? Evidence from Northern California. Transportation Research Part D, 10(6), 427-444.

Hansen, W. G. (1959). How accessibility shapes land use. Journal of the American Institute of Planners, 25(2), 73-76.

Hess, S., Polak, J. W., Daly, A., & Hyman, G. (2007). Flexible substitution patterns in models of mode and time of day choice: new evidence from the UK and the Netherlands. Transportation, 34(2), 213–238. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-006-0011-7

24

Hong, J., Shen, Q., & Zhang, L. (2014). How do built-environment factors affect travel behavior? A spatial analysis at different geographic scales. Transportation, 41(3), 419-440.

Hu, L. (2015). Changing Effects of Job Accessibility on Employment and Commute: A Case Study of Los Angeles. The Professional Geographer, 67(2), 154-165.

Hu, L. (2017). Job accessibility and employment outcomes: Which income groups benefit the most? Transportation, 44(6), 1421-1443.

Hu, L., Sun, T., & Wang, L. (2018). Evolving urban spatial structure and commuting patterns: A case study of Beijing, China. Transportation Research Part D, 59, 11-22.

Hu, L., Yang, J., Yang, T., Tu, Y., & Zhu, J. (2020). Urban Spatial Structure and Travel in China. Journal of Planning Literature, 35(1), 6–24. https://doi.org/10.1177/0885412219853259

Jin, Y., Denman, Deng, Rong, Ma, Wan, . . . Long. (2017). Environmental impacts of transformative land use and transport developments in the Greater Beijing Region: Insights from a new dynamic spatial equilibrium model. Transportation Research Part D, 52(PB), 548-561.

Kim, T., Sohn, D.-W., & Choo, S. (2017). An analysis of the relationship between pedestrian traffic volumes and built environment around metro stations in Seoul. KSCE Journal of Civil Engineering, 21(4), 1443–1452. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-016-0915-5

Leung, C. Y. (2017). Make Best Use of Opportunities Develop the Economy Improve People’s Livelihood Build an Inclusive Society. Retrieved from https://policy.asiapacificenergy.org/sites/default/files/PA2017.pdf

Levinson D. M., Kumar A., (1997) Density and the journey to work, Growth and Change, 28(2), pp. 147–172. Lin, D., Allan, A., & Cui, J. (2015). The impact of polycentric urban development on commuting behaviour in

urban China: Evidence from four sub-centres of Beijing. Habitat International, 50, 195-205. Lin, D., Allan, A., & Cui, J. (2016). Exploring Differences in Commuting Behaviour among Various Income Groups

during Polycentric Urban Development in China: New Evidence and Its Implications. Sustainability, 8(11), 1188.

Liu, E., Jackie, M., Mr, W. U., & Lee, J. (1997). Optimization Of Land Use. Retrieved from https://www.legco.gov.hk/yr97-98/english/sec/library/967rp12.pdf

Lu, Y., Sun, G., Sarkar, C., Gou, Z., & Xiao, Y. (2018). Commuting Mode Choice in a High-Density City: Do Land-Use Density and Diversity Matter in Hong Kong? International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 15(5), International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2018, Vol.15(5).

Ma, L., & Cao, J. (2019). How perceptions mediate the effects of the built environment on travel behavior? Transportation, 46(1), 175–197. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-017-9800-4

Maharjan, S., Tsurusaki, N., & Divigalpitiya, P. (2018). Influencing Mechanism Analysis of Urban Form on Travel Energy Consumption-Evidence from Fukuoka City, Japan. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci2010015

Marcińczak, S., & Bartosiewicz, B. (2018). Commuting patterns and urban form: Evidence from Poland. Journal of Transport Geography, 70, 31-39.

McKibbin, M. (2011). The influence of the built environment on mode choice – evidence from the journey to work in Sydney. World Transit Research. Retrieved from https://www.worldtransitresearch.info/research/4346

Munshi, T. (2016). Built environment and mode choice relationship for commute travel in the city of Rajkot, India. Transportation Research Part D, 44, 239-253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2015.12.005

Næss P., (2005) Residential location affects travel behavior: but how and why? The case of Copenhagen metropolitan area, Progress in Planning, 63(2), pp. 167–257.

Nasri, A., & Zhang, L. (2012). Impact of Metropolitan-Level Built Environment on Travel Behavior. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2323(1), 75–79. https://doi.org/10.3141/2323-09

Nasri, A., & Zhang, L. (2018). Multi-level urban form and commuting mode share in rail station areas across the United States; a seemingly unrelated regression approach. Transport Policy. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.05.011

Nicholas Ng. (2000). Railways: The Backbone of Hong Kong’s Transport System. Retrieved July 26, 2018, from https://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/200005/03/0503158.htm

Park, K., Ewing, R., Scheer, B., & Tian, G. (2018). The impacts of built environment characteristics of rail station areas on household travel behavior. Cities, 74, 277-283.

Planning Department. (2016). Planning and Urban Design for a Liveable High-Density City. Retrieved from https://www.hk2030plus.hk/document/Planning and Urban Design for a Liveable High-Density City_Eng.pdf

Planning Department. (2018). Hong Kong 2030+: Towards a Planning Vision and Strategy Transcending 2030. Retrieved from https://www.hk2030plus.hk/document/Conceptual Spatial Framework_Eng.pdf

25

Preliminary Concepts for the New Territories North Development. (2016). Retrieved from https://www.hk2030plus.hk/document/NTN_EN.pdf

Ramsey, K., & Bell, A. (2014). The Smart Location Database: A Nationwide Data Resource Characterizing the Built Environment and Destination Accessibility at the Neighborhood Scale. Cityscape, 16(2), 145-162.

Song, Y., Chen, Y., & Pan, X. (2012). Polycentric spatial structure and travel mode choice: The case of Shenzhen, China. Regional Science Policy & Practice, 4(4), 479-493.

Stead, D., (1999) Relationships between transport emissions and travel patterns in Britain, Transport Policy, 6(4), pp. 247–258.

Sun, B., Ermagun, A., & Dan, B. (2017). Built environmental impacts on commuting mode choice and distance: Evidence from Shanghai. Transportation Research Part D, 52(PB), 441-453.

Ta, N, Y. Chai, Y. Zhang, D. Sun. (2017). Understanding job-housing relationship and commuting pattern in Chinese cities: past, present and future. Transport. Res. Part D: Transp. Environ.

Transport Department. (1999). Transport Department - The Third Comprehensive Transport Study : Final Report *Free copy can only be downloaded from this website. Hong Kong. Retrieved from https://www.td.gov.hk/en/publications_and_press_releases/publications/free_publications/the_third_comprehensive_transport_study/index.html

Transport Infrastructure and Traffic Review Planning Department. (2016). Retrieved from https://www.hk2030plus.hk/document/Transport Infrastructure and Traffic Review_Eng.pdf

Wang D., Chai Y., (2009) The jobs–housing relationship and commuting in Beijing, China: the legacy of Danwei, Journal of Transport Geography, 17(1), pp. 30–38.

Wang, D., & Cao, X. (2017). Impacts of the built environment on activity-travel behavior: Are there differences between public and private housing residents in Hong Kong? Transportation Research Part A, 103, 25-35.

Wang, K. (2013). Causality between Built Environment and Travel Behavior. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2397(1), 80–88. https://doi.org/10.3141/2397-10

Wang, Y., Monzon, A., & Ciommo, F. D. (2015). Assessing the accessibility impact of transport policy by a land-use and transport interaction model – The case of Madrid. Computers, Environmnet and Urban Systems, 49, 126-135.

Ye, R., & Titheridge, H. (2017). Satisfaction with the commute: The role of travel mode choice, built environment and attitudes. Transportation Research Part D, 52(PB), 535-547.

Zhang, L., Nasri, A., Hong, J. H., & Shen, Q. (2012). How built environment affects travel behavior: A comparative analysis of the connections between land use and vehicle miles traveled in US cities. Journal of Transport and Land Use, 5(3).

Zhu, Pengyu, Dong, Hongwei, Wu, Cifang, 2013. Do residents of smart growth neighborhoods in Los Angeles travel ‘‘smarter”? Transp. Res. Rec.: J. Transp. Res. Board 2397, 61–71.

Zhu, Pengyu, 2015. Residential segregation and employment outcomes of rural migrant workers in China. Urban Studies. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0042098015578614.

Zhu, P., Zhao, S., Wang, L., & Al Yammahi, S. (2017). Residential segregation and commuting patterns of migrant workers in China. Transportation Research Part D, 52(PB), 586-599.

26


Recommended