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Weekly Chart BookJanuary 6, 2014
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
3
Asset Class Price Performance
Financial Conditions
5
Developed Markets
6
Emerging Markets
7
US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period
8
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
9
Global Financial Stress Index
10
Citi Macro Risk Index
Fixed Income & Credit
12
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
13
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
14
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield
15
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
16
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
17
Investment Grade Bond Prices
18
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
19
High Yield Bond Prices
20
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
21
Emerging Market Debt (Local Currency)
22
Emerging Market Bond Spreads
Global Equities
24
MSCI All Country World Index
25
MSCI All Country World Index – Earnings Estimates
26
S&P 500 Index
27
S&P 500 Index – Earnings Estimates
28
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index
29
MSCI EAFE Index – Earnings Estimates
30
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
31
MSCI Emerging Markets Index – Earnings Estimates
32
Equity Risk Premiums by Country
Currencies & Commodities
34
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
35
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q2 2014)
36
US Dollar Index
37
Euro €
38
Japanese Yen ¥
39
Mexican Peso
40
Global Commodity Prices
41
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
42
Gold Prices – 5 Years
43
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years
Investment Themes & Value
45
China Consumer ETF
46
Goldcorp
47
Eldorado Gold Corp
48
Energy Exploration & Production
49
Tesoro – West Coast Oil Refiner
50
High Yield Bonds
51
Floating Rate Senior Bank Loans
52
Technology
53
Currency Carry – Long AUD, NOK, NZD & Short EUR, JPY, CHF