+ All Categories
Home > Documents > documents.worldbank.orgdocuments.worldbank.org/curated/en/... · Acknowledgments This report was...

documents.worldbank.orgdocuments.worldbank.org/curated/en/... · Acknowledgments This report was...

Date post: 05-May-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 1 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
196
Report No. 100619-ECA The Regional Balkans Infrastructure Study (REBIS) Update ENHANCING REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY Identifying Impediments and Priority Remedies ANNEXES September 2015 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized
Transcript

Report No. 100619-ECA

The Regional Balkans Infrastructure

Study (REBIS) Update

ENHANCING REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY

Identifying Impediments and Priority Remedies

ANNEXES

September 2015

Pub

lic D

iscl

osur

e A

utho

rized

Pub

lic D

iscl

osur

e A

utho

rized

Pub

lic D

iscl

osur

e A

utho

rized

Pub

lic D

iscl

osur

e A

utho

rized

© 2015 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development

1818 H Street NW

Washington DC 20433

Telephone: 202-473-1000

Internet: www.worldbank.org

E-mail: [email protected]

All rights reserved

This document has been produced with the financial assistance of the European Western

Balkans Joint Fund under the Western Balkans Investment Framework. The views

expressed herein are those of the authors and can therefore in no way be taken to reflect

the official opinion of the Contributors to the European Western Balkans Joint Fund or the

EBRD and the EIB, as co-managers of the European Western Balkans Joint Fund.

The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed herein are those of the authors and

do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Executive Directors of The World Bank

or the governments they represent.

World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The

boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work

do not imply any judgment on the part of the World Bank concerning the legal status of

any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

Rights and Permissions

The material in this publication is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all

of this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. The World Bank

encourages dissemination of its work and will normally grant permission promptly. Short

extracts from this publication may be reproduced unaltered without authorization, on

condition that the source is indicated.

For permission to photocopy or reprint any part of this work, please send a request with

complete information to the Copyright Clearance Center Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive,

Danvers, MA 01923 USA; telephone: 978-750-8400; fax: 978-750-4470; Internet:

www.copyright.com.

All other queries on rights, licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the

Office of the Publisher; the World Bank, 1818 H street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA;

fax: 202-522-2422; e-mail: [email protected]

Acknowledgments

This report was prepared by a World Bank team based on a study undertaken by the

consortium of Systema Transport Planning & Engineering Consultants Ltd and WYG with

financing from the Western Balkans Investment Framework (WBIF). The Directorate

General for Mobility and Transport (DG Move) of the European Commission (EC)

provided overall direction.

The World Bank (WB) core team was led by Baher El-Hifnawi and consisted of Liljana

Sekerinska, Evgenia Epaneshnikova and Nargis Ryskulova. The extended team included

Artan Guxho, Desa Stanić, Dragana Varezić, Elda Hafizi, Emre Eser, Ivana Bojić, Luan

Aliu, Jean-Francois Marteau, Alexandar Rowland and Senad Sačić. The Systema/Wyg

team was led by Dimitrios Tsamboulas and Athanasios Ballis and included Maja Popovic,

Michael Thomas, Lauri Ojala, George Emmanoulopoulos, Keith Cook, Yanni

Papapanagiotou and Natalia Tselenti. The study benefitted from comments from the Peer

Reviewers: Ana Simecki (DG NEAR, EC), Benedictus Eijbergen, Doerte Doemeland,

Olivier Le Ber and Shomik Mehndiratta; and Raymond Bourdeaux (World Bank). World

Bank Management: Juan Gaviria, Ellen Goldstein and Andras Horvai provided guidance

and comments on the successive report versions.

The team would like to express its appreciation to the SEETO Steering Committee and its

Secretariat for many discussions and comments provided during the course of the study.

The team would particularly like to thank the Secretariat for the coordination role it played

with the Regional Participants and for providing access to data and information, without

which the study would not have been possible. Thanks are also due to the many government

officials from the SEETO Regional Participants and Croatia who took the time to attend

progress review meetings and comment on the different reports and versions.

The Bank team is grateful for the guidance received from Alain Baron and Florian

Achleitner of the EC’s DG Move as well as from other EU Directorates and EU

Delegations to SEETO Regional Participants.

The Bank team would also like to thank the team for the EU-financed study: Accessibility

improved at border crossings for the integration of South East Europe (ACROSSEE) for

fruitful discussions and for sharing data and results from the study.

Abbreviations and Acronyms

AADT Annual Average Daily Traffic

AEO Authorized Economic Operator

BCP Border Crossing Point

BiH Bosnia and Herzegovina

C/BC Customs and border crossings

CEF Connecting Europe Facility

CEFTA Central European Free Trade

Agreement

DG Directorate General

EC European Commission

EEA European Economic Area

ERTMS European Rail Traffic

Management System

EU European Union

FDI Foreign Direct Investment

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GIS Geographic Information

System

HGV Heavy Goods Vehicle

IATA International Air Transport

Association

IM Inter/multimodal transport

IMF International Monetary Fund

IPA Instrument for Pre-Accession

Assistance

IRU International Road Transport

Union

IT Information technology

IWW Inland Waterways

LNG Liquefied Natural Gas

MAP Multi Annual Plan

M/IWW Maritime and/or Inland

Waterways

NC National Coordinators

NCTS New Computerized Transit

System

OECD Organization for Economic

Cooperation and Development

REBIS Regional Balkans

Infrastructure Study

RO-RO Roll-on/Roll-off Passenger

RP Regional Participants

SC Steering Committee

SEE South East Europe

SEETO South East Europe Transport

Observatory

SQL Structured Query Language

TEN-T Trans-European Transport

Network

TEU Twenty-foot Equivalent Unit

TTF Trade and Transport

Facilitation

TTFSE Transport Facilitation Projects

in South East Europe

WB World Bank

WBIF Western Balkans Investment

Framework

Regional Vice President:

Country Director:

Senior Director:

Practice Manager:

Project Team Leader:

Cyril E. Muller

Ellen Goldstein

Pierre Guislain

Juan Gaviria

Baher El-Hifnawi

Table of Contents

ANNEX I: 2030 REBIS Growth Rates.............................................................................. 1

ANNEX II: Model Results “Do-nothing” Scenario ....................................................... 12

ANNEX III: Model Results the “Full SEETO” Scenario ............................................. 66

ANNEX IIIa: Sections with Highest 2030 Traffic Projections /Traffic Growth ......... 105

ANNEX IV: Comparison between the “Do-nothing” and the “Full SEETO” Scenario

......................................................................................................................................... 109

ANNEX V: Capacity Considerations for the Road Network ........................................ 140

ANNEX VI: Road Section Grouping by Intervention .................................................. 142

ANNEX VII: Possible Interventions to Increase Capacity of the Railway Network .. 152

ANNEX VIIa: Rail Section Grouping by Intervention ................................................ 154

ANNEX VIII: Comparison of Capacities Against Traffic Flows in 2030 for Maritime

and River Ports ............................................................................................................... 160

ANNEX IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections ................................ 169

List of Tables

Table AI 1. GDP Growth Rates per Country/Regional Participant (percentage) ............... 3

Table AI 2. Key Variables Projection to 2030 (GDP, Population (POP) and Employment

(JOB)) by Country and by Traffic Zone ............................................................................. 5 Table AI 3. Growth Factors for Air Transport .................................................................. 10

Table AI 4. Growth Factors for IWW Transport .............................................................. 10 Table AI 5. Growth Factors for Maritime Ports ............................................................... 11

Table AII 1. “Do-nothing” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Road Network ................................................................................................. 13 Table AII. 2. “Do-nothing” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Road Network ................................................................................................. 28 Table AII. 3. “Do-nothing” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Rail Network .................................................................................................. 43 Table AII. 4. “Do-nothing” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Rail Network .................................................................................................. 48 Table AII. 5. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – IWW (low/moderate economic

growth rate) ....................................................................................................................... 53

Table AII. 6. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – IWW (moderate/high economic

growth rate) ....................................................................................................................... 53 Table AII. 7. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – River ports (low/moderate economic

growth rate) ....................................................................................................................... 54

Table AII. 8. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – River ports (moderate/high

economic growth rate) ...................................................................................................... 55 Table AII. 9. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Seaports (low/moderate economic

growth rate) ....................................................................................................................... 55 Table AII. 10. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Seaports (moderate/high economic

growth rate) ....................................................................................................................... 56 Table AII. 11. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports for the Low/Moderate

Economic Growth Rate ..................................................................................................... 57 Table AII. 12. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports for the Moderate/High

Economic Growth Rate ..................................................................................................... 58 Table AII. 13. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports – Direct and Indirect

Traffic for the Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate .................................................... 59 Table AII. 14. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports – Direct and Indirect

Traffic for the Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate .................................................... 62

Table AIII. 1. “Full SEETO” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Road Network ................................................................................................. 67 Table AIII. 2. “Full SEETO” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Road Network ................................................................................................. 81 Table AIII. 3. “Full SEETO” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Rail Network .................................................................................................. 95

Table AIII. 4. “Full SEETO” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic

Volumes – Rail Network ................................................................................................ 100

Table AIIIa. 1.Road Sections with the Highest Traffic Flows for 2030 and/or Highest

Growth Rates for the Low/Moderate Growth Rate Scenario.......................................... 106 Table AIIIa. 2.Road Sections with the Highest Traffic Flows for 2030 and/or Highest

Growth Rates for the Moderate/High Growth Rate Scenario ......................................... 106 Table AIIIa. 3. Rail Sections with the Highest Traffic Projections in 2030 for the

Low/Moderate Growth Rate Scenario ............................................................................ 107 Table AIIIa. 4. Rail Sections with Highest Annual Growth in Number of Passengers in

2030 for the Low/Moderate Rate Scenario ..................................................................... 107 Table AIIIa. 5. Rail sections with Hhighest Annual Growth in Number of Tons in 2030

for the Low/Moderate Growth Rate Scenario ................................................................. 107

Table AIIIa. 6. Rail Sections with the Highest Traffic Projections in 2030 for the

Moderate/High Growth Rate Scenario............................................................................ 107

Table AIIIa. 7. Rail Sections with Highest Annual Growth in Number of Passengers in

2030 for the Moderate/High Growth Rate Scenario ....................................................... 107 Table AIIIa. 8. Rail Sections with the Highest Annual Growth in Number of Tons in

2030 for the Moderate/High Growth Rate Scenario ....................................................... 108

Table AIV. 1. Comparison Results for the Road Network (low/moderate economic

growth rate) ..................................................................................................................... 110 Table AIV. 2. Comparison Results for the Road Network (moderate/high economic

growth rate) ..................................................................................................................... 121

Table AIV. 3. Comparison Results for the Rail Network (low/moderate economic growth

rate) ................................................................................................................................. 132 Table AIV. 4. Comparison Results for the Rail Network (moderate/high economic

growth rate) ..................................................................................................................... 136

Table AV. 1. Modified Estimated Capacity Levels for 2x2-Lane Highway in AADT

Vehicles/Day ................................................................................................................... 141 Table AV. 2. Modified Estimated Capacity Levels for High Class 2-Lane Road in AADT

Vehicles/Day ................................................................................................................... 141

Table AVI. 1. Proposed Interventions for the Existing SEETO Comprehensive

RoadINetwork for both Economic Growth Scenario...................................................... 144

Table AVIIa. 1. Rail sections with Minor Capacity Constraints for the Low/Moderate

Economic Growth Rate Scenario 2030 ........................................................................... 155 Table AVIIa. 2. Rail Sections with Significant Capacity Constraints for the

Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate Scenario 2030 .................................................. 156 Table AVIIa. 3. Rail Sections with Major Capacity Constraints for the Low/Moderate

Economic Growth Rate Scenario 2030 ........................................................................... 156 Table AVIIa. 4. Rail Sections with Minor Capacity Constraints for the Moderate/High

Economic Growth Rate Scenario 2030 ........................................................................... 157

Table AVIIa. 5. Rail Sections with Significant Capacity Constraints for the

Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate Scenario 2030 ................................................. 158 Table AVIIa. 6. Rail Sections with Major Capacity Constraints for the Moderate/High

Economic Growth Rate Scenario 2030 ........................................................................... 158

Table AVIII. 1. Comparison of Calculated Maritime port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts for the Low/Moderate Scenario ...................................................................... 161 Table AVIII. 2. Comparison of Calculated Maritime Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts for the Moderate/High Scenario ..................................................................... 162 Table AVIII. 3. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts: Ports of Serbia (low/moderate scenario)........................................................ 163 Table AVIII. 4. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts: Ports of Croatia (low/moderate scenario) ...................................................... 164

Table AVIII. 5. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts: Ports of Bosnia & Herzegovina (low/moderate scenario) ............................. 165

Table AVIII. 6. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts: Ports of Serbia (moderate/high scenario) ...................................................... 166 Table AVIII. 7. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts: Ports of Croatia (moderate/high scenario) ..................................................... 167 Table AVIII. 8. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic

Forecasts: Ports of Bosnia & Herzegovina (moderate/high scenario) ............................ 168

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 1

ANNEX I: 2030 REBIS Growth Rates

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 2

Introduction: Estimation of Growth Rates

1. A transport planning model was developed to forecast transport flows from/to SEETO

Regional Participants and Croatia for year 2030.

2. Socio-economic data for the base and future years is used to forecast transport flows in a

specific area. In this model, the socioeconomic variables included gross domestic product (GDP),

population size and number of jobs. With regard to estimating the base year freight flows, historical

data, provided by several sources such as EUROSTAT, International Monetary Fund (IMF), World

Bank, is used. Concerning projections for the future year of 2030, projections for the variables

mentioned above are developed. The data used and the process followed for the projection of GDP,

Population and Jobs for years 2030 are described below.

GDP

3. The GDP of each zone is considered a major factor affecting transport flows. GDP

projections for 2014, 2015 and 2019 are based on the IMF’s 2014 World Economic Outlook.

Projections from 2020 to 2030 were developed by the study team in consultation with the World

Bank team taking into account current and recent economic conditions in the region and the growth

prospects given the stages of economic development of the different countries. Higher growth rates

were used to reflect higher intensity of economic activities in zones (e.g. capitals, ports, industrial

areas, etc.).

4. The economic growth rates of the past few years were taken into account and adjusted

upwards to reflect the negative rates in some countries/Regional Participants at the present time.

These were adjusted to reflect a long-term sustainable growth rate given the stage of the economic

development. GDP growth rates were estimated for two scenarios: low/moderate and

moderate/high growth. Table AI.1 below presents the annual growth rate projections for each of

the Regional Participants/countries.

5. The estimated growth rates have been used for the estimation of GDP of the zones included

in the model.

6. For the zones that belong to one or more countries, the GDP growth rate was set equal to

the average of GDP growth rates of the countries included.

7. The GDP growth rate of inner zones, which are part of one Regional Participant, was

estimated based on GDP growth rate of the country with following adjustments made. More

specifically, the GDP growth rate has been adjusted upwards for the following types of areas/

zones:

o Capitals of countries/ major cities

o Port areas/ ports

o Touristic areas

o Industrial areas (determined based on the development plans of the examined

countries where available).

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 3

8. Finally, the growth rate of the remaining areas has been adjusted downwards to maintain

the same average growth rate of each country as initially estimated.

9. The adjustment of the growth rate has been refined based on experts’ input in order to

reflect the expected growth in the different areas.

Table AI. 1. GDP Growth Rates per Country/Regional Participant (percentage)

2012

2013

Projections

2014 2015 2019 Annual Average (2020-2030)

Low/

Moderate

Moderate/

High

Albania 1.1 1.4 2.1 3 4.7 2.46 3.23 Bosnia and

Herzegovina -1.2 2.5 0.4 1.5 4 1.79 2.46 Croatia -2.2 -0.9 -0.8 0.5 2 0.93 1.65 Kosovo 2.8 3.4 2.5 3 4 2.70 3.60 The former Yugoslav

Republic of

Macedonia -0.4 2.7 3.5 3.5 4 2.89 3.84 Montenegro -2.5 3.3 1.5 3.4 3 2.41 3.18 Serbia -1.5 2.6 -2 -0.5 3 1.11 1.83 Sources:

Actual figures for 2012-2013 and projections for 2014-15 and 2019 are based on: IMF. (2014) World

Economic Outlook: Legacies, Clouds, Uncertainties. Available from:

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2014/02/

Annual average projections for the period 2020-2030 are based on study team’s assessment and consultation

with the World Bank team.

Population

10. Population projections for each of the regional percipients/countries were obtained from

the World Bank’s population datasets. 1 The estimated growth rates have been used for the

estimation of population of the zones included in the model.

11. Concerning the zones including one or more countries, the growth rate of population has

been set equal to the average of the particular growth rates of the countries included.

12. Population growth rate of inner zones, which are part of one country, was estimated based

on population growth rate of the country with following adjustments made. More specifically, the

GDP growth rate has been adjusted upwards for the following types of areas/ zones:

o Capitals of countries/ major cities

o Touristic areas

1 The World Bank. (2013) Population Estimates and Projections. Available from:

http://datatopics.worldbank.org/hnp/popestimates

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 4

o Selected port areas (based on their specific characteristics)

13. As in the GDP analysis, the adjustment of the growth rate has been refined based on

experts’ input in order to reflect the expected growth in the specific areas. Finally, the growth rate

of the remaining areas has been adjusted downwards to maintain the same average growth rate of

each country as initially estimated.

Employment

14. The third socio-economic variable used in the model is called “JOBS”, representing the

employment in the examined areas. There are no datasets for future projections of employment.

Therefore, employment growth rates were estimated based on accepted empirical relationships

between economic growth and employment growth (employment intensity). The growth rate of

the employment in the examined areas for year 2030 has been estimated according to the estimates

of employment intensity for Europe and OKUN’s empirical formula (OKUN’s law: an empirically

observed relationship between unemployment and economic growth in each country). More

specifically, a two percent increase or decrease of GDP was projected to lead to a one percent

increase or decrease of employment in the examined areas. Based on this assumption, the

accumulated growth rate of the employment has been estimated, based on the accumulated GDP

growth rate, estimated for each zone, and using the formula mentioned above.

15. However, considering that the formula would not always represent the existing situation

appropriately and in order to avoid an overestimation, an upper limit of the estimated employment

was determined. This was based on the principle that “the full employment could not exceed the

60 percent of total population”. As a result, in cases that the estimated employment of a zone

exceeded the 60 percent of population, the variable was set equal to 60 percent of the zone’s

population.

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 5

Table AI 1. Key Variables Projection to 2030 (GDP, Population (POP) and Employment (JOB)) by Country and by Traffic Zone

Traffic zones Growth factors 2012 – 2030 (percentage) Annual growth rates (percentage)

Low/ Moderate Moderate/High Low/ Moderate Moderate/High

GDP POP JOB GDP POP JOB GDP POP JOB GDP POP JOB

1 Bosnian Podrinje 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

2 Central Bosnia 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

3 Herzegovina-Neretva 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

4 Posavina 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

5 Sarajevo 1.71 1.10 1.22 1.98 1.21 1.34 3.02 0.531 3.158 4.68 1.065 3.705

6 Tuzla 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

7 Una-Sana 1.58 0.95 1.18 1.82 1.05 1.28 2.59 -0.259 2.646 4.07 0.271 3.190

8 West Bosnia 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

9 West Herzegovina 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

10 Zenica-Doboj 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

11 Banja Luka 1.63 0.99 1.20 1.87 1.09 1.30 2.74 -0.056 2.821 4.28 0.475 3.367

12 Doboj 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

13 Bijeljina 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

14 Vlasenica 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

15 Sarajevo-Romanija 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

16 Foca 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

17 Trebinje 1.37 0.95 1.12 1.53 1.05 1.18 1.76 -0.259 1.712 2.90 0.271 2.252

18 Grad Zagreb 1.71 1.02 1.25 2.11 1.12 1.43 3.02 0.110 2.646 5.10 0.642 3.190

19 Zagrebacka zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

20 Krapinsko-zagorska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

21 Varazdinska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

22 Koprivnicko-krizevacka

zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

23 Medimurska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 6

Traffic zones Growth factors 2012 – 2030 (percentage) Annual growth rates (percentage)

Low/ Moderate Moderate/High Low/ Moderate Moderate/High

24 Bjelovarsko-bilogorska

zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

25

Viroviticko-podravska

zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

26 Pozesko-slavonska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

27 Brodsko-posavska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

28 Osjecko-baranjska zupanija 1.54 0.94 1.19 1.86 1.04 1.34 2.45 -0.330 2.086 4.24 0.199 2.628

29

Vukovarsko-srijemska

zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

30 Karlovacka zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

31 Sisacko-moslavacka zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

32 Primorsko-goranska zupanija 1.54 0.99 1.19 1.86 1.09 1.34 2.45 -0.056 2.086 4.24 0.475 2.628

33 Licko-senjska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

34 Zadarska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

35 Sibensko-kninska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

36 Splitsko-dalmatinska

zupanija 1.49 0.98 1.17 1.78 1.08 1.31 2.24 -0.112 1.887 3.92 0.418 2.428

37 Istarska zupanija 1.11 0.94 1.04 1.23 1.04 1.09 0.58 -0.330 0.445 1.41 0.199 0.978

38

Dubrovacko-neretvanska

zupanija 1.49 0.99 1.17 1.78 1.09 1.31 2.24 -0.056 1.887 3.92 0.475 2.428

39 Kotor 1.57 0.99 1.17 1.80 1.09 1.26 2.53 -0.056 1.909 3.98 0.475 2.450

40 Tivat 1.57 0.99 1.17 1.80 1.09 1.26 2.53 -0.056 1.909 3.98 0.475 2.450

41 Budva 1.57 0.99 1.17 1.80 1.09 1.26 2.53 -0.056 1.909 3.98 0.475 2.450

42 Bar 1.69 0.99 1.21 1.96 1.08 1.31 2.97 -0.084 2.278 4.57 0.447 2.821

43 Ulcinj 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

44 Nikšic 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

45 Cetinje 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

46 Danilovgrad 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

47 Podgorica 1.72 1.02 1.22 2.00 1.12 1.32 3.07 0.110 2.372 4.72 0.642 2.916

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 7

Traffic zones Growth factors 2012 – 2030 (percentage) Annual growth rates (percentage)

Low/ Moderate Moderate/High Low/ Moderate Moderate/High

48 Pljevlja 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

49 Plužine 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

50 Žabljak 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

51 Šavnik 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

52 Bijelo Polje 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

53 Mojkovac 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

54 Kolašin 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

55 Berane 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

56 Andrijevica 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

57 Rožaje 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

58 Plav 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

60 Shkodër 1.52 1.08 1.15 1.74 1.18 1.24 2.36 0.403 1.293 3.74 0.936 1.831

61 Kukës 1.52 1.02 1.15 1.74 1.13 1.24 2.36 0.131 1.293 3.74 0.662 1.831

62 Lezhë 1.52 1.02 1.15 1.74 1.13 1.24 2.36 0.131 1.293 3.74 0.662 1.831

63 Dibër 1.52 1.02 1.15 1.74 1.13 1.24 2.36 0.131 1.293 3.74 0.662 1.831

64 Durrës 2.00 1.15 1.30 2.33 1.27 1.43 3.93 0.779 2.278 5.79 1.315 2.821

65 Tirana 2.00 1.22 1.30 2.33 1.34 1.43 3.93 1.111 2.278 5.79 1.648 2.821

66 Fier 1.52 1.02 1.15 1.74 1.13 1.24 2.36 0.131 1.293 3.74 0.662 1.831

67 Elbasan 1.70 1.02 1.21 1.96 1.13 1.31 2.99 0.131 1.681 4.57 0.662 2.221

68 Berat 1.52 1.02 1.15 1.74 1.13 1.24 2.36 0.131 1.293 3.74 0.662 1.831

69 Vlorë 1.52 1.09 1.15 1.74 1.20 1.24 2.36 0.480 1.293 3.74 1.013 1.831

70 Gjirokastër 1.52 1.02 1.15 1.74 1.13 1.24 2.36 0.131 1.293 3.74 0.662 1.831

71 Korçë 1.52 1.02 1.15 1.74 1.13 1.24 2.36 0.131 1.293 3.74 0.662 1.831

72 Grad Beograd 1.79 0.98 1.28 2.10 1.08 1.42 3.30 -0.112 1.887 5.08 0.418 2.428

73 Borski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

74 Branicevski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 8

Traffic zones Growth factors 2012 – 2030 (percentage) Annual growth rates (percentage)

Low/ Moderate Moderate/High Low/ Moderate Moderate/High

75 Jablanicki okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

76 Kolubarski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

77 Macvanski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

78 Moravicki okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

79 Nišavski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

80 Pcinjski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

81 Pirotski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

82 Podunavski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

83 Pomoravski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

84 Rasinski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

85 Raški okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

86 Šumadijski okrug 1.50 0.90 1.17 1.72 0.99 1.28 2.27 -0.584 1.247 3.70 -0.056 1.785

87 Toplicki okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

88 Zajecarski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

89 Zlatiborski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

90 Srednje-banatski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

91 Severnobacki okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

92 Severno-banatski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

93 Južnobacki okrug 1.50 0.88 1.17 1.72 0.97 1.28 2.27 -0.716 1.247 3.70 -0.189 1.785

94 Južno-banatski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

95 Sremski okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

96 Zapadno-backi okrug 1.20 0.88 1.07 1.35 0.97 1.14 1.01 -0.716 0.528 2.03 -0.189 1.062

97 Prishtine 1.98 1.30 1.29 2.36 1.43 1.43 3.85 1.468 2.821 5.89 2.007 3.367

98 Gnjilane 1.60 1.08 1.18 1.87 1.19 1.28 2.66 0.439 1.856 4.25 0.972 2.397

99 Mitrovice 1.60 1.08 1.18 1.87 1.19 1.28 2.66 0.439 1.856 4.25 0.972 2.397

100 Pece 1.60 1.08 1.18 1.87 1.19 1.28 2.66 0.439 1.856 4.25 0.972 2.397

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 9

Traffic zones Growth factors 2012 – 2030 (percentage) Annual growth rates (percentage)

Low/ Moderate Moderate/High Low/ Moderate Moderate/High

101 Prizren 1.60 1.08 1.18 1.87 1.19 1.28 2.66 0.439 1.856 4.25 0.972 2.397

102 Vardarski (provisional code) 1.69 0.98 1.20 1.99 1.08 1.31 2.95 -0.111 1.694 4.68 0.419 2.234

103 Istocen (provisional code) 1.69 0.98 1.20 1.99 1.08 1.31 2.95 -0.111 1.694 4.68 0.419 2.234

104 Jugozapaden (provisional

code) 1.69 0.98 1.20 1.99 1.08 1.31 2.95 -0.111 1.694 4.68 0.419 2.234

105 Jugoistocen (provisional

code) 1.69 0.98 1.20 1.99 1.08 1.31 2.95 -0.111 1.694 4.68 0.419 2.234

106 Pelagoniski (provisional

code) 1.69 0.98 1.20 1.99 1.08 1.31 2.95 -0.111 1.694 4.68 0.419 2.234

107 Poloski (provisional code) 1.69 0.98 1.20 1.99 1.08 1.31 2.95 -0.111 1.694 4.68 0.419 2.234

108 Severoistocen (provisional

code) 1.69 0.98 1.20 1.99 1.08 1.31 2.95 -0.111 1.694 4.68 0.419 2.234

109 Skopski (provisional code) 2.07 1.00 1.31 2.49 1.10 1.47 4.13 0.000 2.465 6.27 0.531 3.009

59 Herceg Novi 1.57 0.97 1.17 1.80 1.07 1.26 2.53 -0.147 1.909 3.98 0.383 2.450

Source: The World Bank Team estimates

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 10

Table AI 2. Growth Factors for Air Transport

Low/Moderate Scenario Moderate/High Scenario

Country

Avg GDP

growth rate

(%)

2012-2030 Elasticity

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in traffic

2012-2030

Air

passenger

growth

factor

2012-30

Avg GDP

growth rate

(%)

2012-2030 Elasticity

Annual

growth rate

(%) in

traffic

2012-2030

Air

passenger

growth

factor

2012-30

ALB 2.67 1.20 3.20 1.76 2.67 1.80 4.81 2.33

BIH 1.94 1.20 2.33 1.51 1.94 1.80 3.49 1.85

CRO 1.03 1.20 1.24 1.25 1.03 1.80 1.85 1.39

KOS 2.9 1.20 3.48 1.85 2.9 1.80 5.22 2.50

MKD 3.1 1.20 3.72 1.93 3.1 1.80 5.58 2.66

MNE 2.58 1.20 3.10 1.73 2.58 1.80 4.64 2.26

SRB 1.2 1.20 1.44 1.29 1.2 1.80 2.16 1.47

Source: The World Bank Team estimates

16. The 2030 traffic projections for IWW and seaport were estimated using existing

(2012) traffic volumes and estimated growth factors for IWW transport and maritime ports.

For IWW only national data for each Regional Participant was used as a model input. Thus,

the estimation of traffic projections for the IWW sections is based on a single growth factor

for each Regional Participant, rather than a different growth factor for each port. These

growth factors were estimated based on GDP and population projections.

Table AI 3. Growth Factors for IWW Transport

Low/Moderate Scenario Moderate/High Scenario

Country

Avg

GDP

growth

rate

(%)

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in

passenger

traffic

2012-

2030

Passenger

growth

factor

2012-2030

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in freight

traffic

2012-

2030

Freight

growth

factor

2012-30

Avg

GDP

growth

rate (%)

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in

passenger

traffic

2012-

2030

Passenger

growth

factor

2012-2030

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in freight

traffic

2012-

2030

Freight

growth

factor

2012-30

BIH 1.94 6.16 2.70 2.48 1.39 1.94 7.70 3.38 3.10 1.73

CRO 1.03 4.72 2.25 2.48 1.39 1.03 5.90 2.81 3.10 1.73

SRB 1.2 7.36 3.90 1.92 1.23 1.2 9.20 4.87 2.40 1.53

Source: The World Bank Team estimates (GDP and elasticities) and Consultant’s estimates (growth factors)

17. For passenger traffic at maritime ports, different growth factors for each port were

used, depending on its characteristics. More specifically, the level of tourism was taken

into account, as well as the proximity to significant tourist attractions. To this end, for

example, the port of Dubrovnik was assumed to have higher growth factors due to the fact

that the city is a major touristic attraction and is expected to continue to be a major

destination for international passenger traffic. For the ports of Ploce and Rijeka, which both

have a strong freight orientation, lower growth factors for passenger traffic were assumed.

With regards to the port of Bar, which is the main Montenegro port, it is believed to have

a high potential to attract tourist flows with some capacity for cargo, while the port of

Durres in Albania is already serving a significant number of passengers.

Annex I: 2030 Growth Factors 11

Table AI 4. Growth Factors for Maritime Ports

Low/Moderate Scenario Moderate/High Scenario

Country

Port Annual

growth

rate (%)

in

passenger

traffic

2012-

2030

Passenger

growth

factor

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in freight

traffic

2012-

2030

Freight

growth

factor

2012-30

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in

passenger

traffic

2012-

2030

Passenger

growth

factor

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

rate (%)

in

freight

traffic

2012-

2030

Freight

growth

factor

2012-

30

ALB Durres 2.0 1.16 3.1 1.36 2.5 1.45 3.9 1.70

ALB Vlore 2.0 1.16 3.1 1.36 2.5 1.45 3.9 1.70

CRO Dubrovnik 5.6 1.81 2.2 1.20 7.0 2.26 2.8 1.50

CRO Ploce 2.8 1.30 2.2 1.20 3.5 1.63 2.8 1.50

CRO Pula 2.8 1.30 2.2 1.20 3.5 1.63 2.8 1.50

CRO Rijeka 2.8 1.30 2.2 1.20 3.5 1.63 2.8 1.50

CRO Sibenik 2.8 1.30 2.2 1.20 3.5 1.63 2.8 1.50

CRO Split 2.8 1.30 2.2 1.20 3.5 1.63 2.8 1.50

CRO Zadar 2.8 1.30 2.2 1.20 3.5 1.63 2.8 1.50

MON Bar 2.0 1.16 3.1 1.36 2.5 1.45 3.9 1.70

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Annex II: Model results “Do-nothing” Scenario 12

ANNEX II: Model Results “Do-nothing” Scenario

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 13

Model Results for the Road Network – “Do-nothing” Scenario

Table AII 1. “Do-nothing” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic Volumes – Road Network

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 16,272 13,275 1.14% 15,311 12,539 1.12% 961 736 1.49%

CRO Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 16,272 12,570 1.44% 15,311 11,879 1.42% 961 691 1.85%

CRO Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 16,272 12,481 1.48% 15,311 11,795 1.46% 961 686 1.89%

CRO Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 15,722 12,047 1.49% 14,612 11,310 1.43% 1,110 737 2.30%

CRO Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 15,722 11,786 1.61% 14,612 11,049 1.57% 1,110 737 2.30%

CRO Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 15,722 11,577 1.71% 14,612 10,898 1.64% 1,110 679 2.77%

CRO Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 15,722 11,531 1.74% 14,612 10,847 1.67% 1,110 684 2.72%

CRO Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 15,722 12,745 1.17% 14,612 11,818 1.19% 1,110 927 1.00%

CRO Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 15,722 12,592 1.24% 14,612 11,683 1.25% 1,110 909 1.11%

CRO Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 15,722 12,711 1.19% 14,612 11,803 1.19% 1,110 908 1.12%

CRO Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 15,722 12,094 1.47% 14,612 11,203 1.49% 1,110 891 1.23%

CRO Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 12,278 9,753 1.29% 11,292 9,055 1.23% 986 698 1.94%

CRO Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 12,278 10,059 1.11% 11,292 9,343 1.06% 986 716 1.79%

CRO Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 12,278 9,266 1.58% 11,292 8,643 1.50% 986 623 2.58%

CRO Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 12,278 8,595 2.00% 11,292 7,978 1.95% 986 617 2.64%

CRO Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 12,278 8,906 1.80% 11,292 8,279 1.74% 986 627 2.55%

CRO Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 11,015 8,012 1.78% 9,885 7,400 1.62% 1,130 612 3.46%

CRO Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 11,015 8,113 1.71% 9,885 7,471 1.57% 1,130 642 3.19%

CRO Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 11,015 7,466 2.18% 9,885 6,856 2.05% 1,130 610 3.48%

CRO Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 11,015 7,519 2.14% 9,885 6,911 2.01% 1,130 608 3.50%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 14

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Opuzen Klek R1.04 8,266 5,139 2.68% 7,511 4,672 2.67% 755 467 2.71%

CRO Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 8,266 7,511 755

CRO Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 8,977 8,346 0.41% 8,117 7,810 0.21% 860 536 2.66%

CRO Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 8,977 6,024 2.24% 8,117 5,628 2.06% 860 396 4.40%

CRO Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 8,977 6,194 2.08% 8,117 5,794 1.89% 860 400 4.34%

CRO Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 8,977 5,200 3.08% 8,117 4,889 2.86% 860 311 5.81%

CRO Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 3,930 3,393 0.82% 3,070 3,115 -0.08% 860 278 6.48%

CRO Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 3,930 2,891 1.72% 3,070 2,681 0.76% 860 210 8.15%

CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 3,930 2,942 1.62% 3,070 2,675 0.77% 860 267 6.71%

CRO Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 3,930 1,478 5.58% 3,070 1,344 4.70% 860 134 10.88%

CRO XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 8,266 4,495 3.44% 7,511 4,074 3.46% 755 421 3.30%

CRO Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 8,266 4,495 3.44% 7,511 4,074 3.46% 755 421 3.30%

CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 11,137 7,637 2.12% 10,372 6,699 2.46% 764 938 -1.13%

CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 18,132 11,872 2.38% 17,367 11,492 2.32% 764 380 3.96%

CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 3,459 1,921 3.32% 3,227 1,821 3.23% 232 100 4.78%

CRO Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 3,459 1,921 3.32% 3,227 1,821 3.23% 232 100 4.78%

MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 3,459 3,227 232

MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 16,109 13,780 2,329

CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 7,590 6,160 1.17% 7,099 5,746 1.18% 491 414 0.95%

CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 9,127 7,451 1.13% 8,676 7,080 1.14% 451 371 1.09%

CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 28,107 22,308 1.29% 24,645 20,589 1.00% 3,462 1,719 3.97%

MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 16,109 13,780 2,329

MNE Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 11,104 9,182 1,923

MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 19,477 11,274 3.08% 18,316 10,672 3.05% 1,161 602 3.71%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 15

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 17,266 10,294 2.91% 15,991 9,830 2.74% 1,274 464 5.77%

MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 13,586 12,311 1,274

MNE Misici Bar R1.13 22,741 20,184 2,558

CRO Pula Vodnjan R10.01.01 7,030 4,535 2.47% 6,518 4,316 2.32% 511 219 4.82%

CRO Vodnjan Kanfanar R10.01.02 7,030 6,036 0.85% 6,518 5,729 0.72% 511 307 2.88%

CRO Kanfanar Zminj R10.02.01 7,030 4,433 2.59% 6,518 4,121 2.58% 511 312 2.78%

CRO Zminj Rogovici R10.02.02 7,030 4,212 2.89% 6,518 3,911 2.88% 511 301 2.99%

CRO Rogovici Ivoli R10.02.03 7,030 5,499 1.37% 6,518 5,021 1.46% 511 478 0.38%

CRO Ivoli Cerovlje R10.02.04 7,030 6,252 0.65% 6,518 5,711 0.74% 511 541 -0.31%

CRO Cerovlje Lupoglav R10.02.05 7,030 6,058 0.83% 6,518 5,523 0.92% 511 535 -0.25%

CRO Lupoglav Vranja R10.02.06 7,030 6,824 0.17% 6,518 6,207 0.27% 511 617 -1.04%

CRO Vranja Veprinac R10.02.07 7,030 7,315 -0.22% 6,518 6,551 -0.03% 511 764 -2.21%

CRO Veprinac Matulji R10.02.08 7,030 7,315 -0.22% 6,518 6,551 -0.03% 511 764 -2.21%

CRO Rijeka Draga R10.04.01 23,061 16,378 1.92% 20,610 14,889 1.82% 2,451 1,489 2.81%

CRO Draga Sveti Kuzam R10.04.02 23,061 13,640 2.96% 20,610 12,400 2.86% 2,451 1,240 3.86%

CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.01 6,713 4,702 2.00% 6,354 4,482 1.96% 359 220 2.76%

CRO Bakar Smrika R10.05.02 6,713 4,702 2.00% 6,354 4,482 1.96% 359 220 2.76%

CRO Smrika Senj R10.06.01 6,713 7,082 -0.30% 6,354 6,438 -0.07% 359 644 -3.19%

CRO Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.01 4,784 3,528 1.71% 4,270 3,118 1.76% 514 410 1.26%

CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 8,072 3,376 4.96% 6,497 2,997 4.39% 1,575 379 8.23%

BIH Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 17,870 12,726 1.90% 12,247 10,335 0.95% 5,623 2,391 4.87%

BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 35,455 28,368 7,088

BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 4,720 3,142 2.29% 3,696 2,710 1.74% 1,024 432 4.91%

BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 4,417 2,493 3.23% 3,563 2,025 3.19% 854 468 3.40%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 16

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 4,417 2,493 3.23% 3,563 2,025 3.19% 854 468 3.40%

BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 8,282 13,715 -2.76% 6,888 12,899 -3.43% 1,394 816 3.02%

BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 5,371 3,570 2.30% 5,158 3,422 2.31% 214 148 2.06%

BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 2,188 1,943 246

BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 4,119 3,308 811

MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 1,175 1,054 121

MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 4,630 4,030 600

MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 4,630 4,030 600

MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 12,111 10,283 1,828

MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 13,972 8,140 3.05% 11,888 7,642 2.49% 2,084 498 8.28%

MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 14,912 12,454 2,458

MNE Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 6,672 5,083 1,589

ALB Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 6,672 475 15.81% 5,083 1,589 475 6.94%

ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 14,046 8,327 2.95% 9,926 6,426 2.45% 4,120 1,901 4.39%

ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 14,046 10,564 1.60% 9,926 8,342 0.97% 4,120 2,222 3.49%

ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 19,463 13,788 1.93% 13,856 10,945 1.32% 5,607 2,843 3.85%

ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 19,463 13,788 1.93% 13,856 10,945 1.32% 5,607 2,843 3.85%

ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 22,016 11,762 3.54% 13,856 7,455 3.50% 8,160 4,307 3.61%

ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 6,139 2,932 4.19% 2,573 1,254 4.07% 3,566 1,678 4.28%

ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 5,868 3,299 3.25% 4,725 3,154 2.27% 1,143 145 12.15%

ALB Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 7,403 3,299 4.59% 5,393 3,154 3.03% 2,009 145 15.73%

BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 17,038 14,536 2,502

BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 4,474 3,536 1.32% 4,232 3,388 1.24% 242 148 2.78%

BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 2,905 2,626 279

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 17

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 2,905 2,626 279

BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 6,539 5,271 1,268

BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 2,905 2,626 279

SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 2,905 1,011 6.04% 2,626 910 6.06% 279 101 5.80%

SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 2,905 2,145 1.70% 2,626 1,958 1.64% 279 187 2.24%

SRB Vatin Vrsac R4.01 1,543 1,109 1.85% 1,125 964 0.86% 418 145 6.06%

SRB Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 4,993 4,277 0.86% 4,575 3,793 1.05% 418 484 -0.81%

SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 30,155 17,294 3.14% 23,595 14,055 2.92% 6,560 3,239 4.00%

SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 31,643 22,760 1.85% 28,071 20,696 1.71% 3,572 2,064 3.09%

SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 31,643 22,760 1.85% 28,071 20,696 1.71% 3,572 2,064 3.09%

SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 15,543 12,938 1.02% 13,470 11,272 0.99% 2,074 1,666 1.22%

SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 10,086 7,777 1.45% 8,458 6,406 1.56% 1,628 1,371 0.96%

SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 10,086 6,254 2.69% 8,458 4,919 3.06% 1,628 1,335 1.11%

SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 14,720 8,863 2.86% 12,710 7,390 3.06% 2,010 1,473 1.74%

SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 14,720 11,894 1.19% 12,710 10,307 1.17% 2,010 1,587 1.32%

SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 13,371 9,421 1.96% 11,799 8,173 2.06% 1,572 1,248 1.29%

SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 12,361 9,060 1.74% 11,390 8,293 1.78% 971 767 1.32%

SRB Uzice Nova Varos R4.13 5,686 4,152 1.76% 4,943 3,683 1.65% 742 469 2.59%

SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 5,686 3,594 2.58% 4,943 3,131 2.57% 742 463 2.66%

SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 2,719 3,152 -0.82% 2,036 2,797 -1.75% 683 355 3.70%

MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 2,719 2,036 683

MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 7,648 3,895 3.82% 6,276 3,378 3.50% 1,372 517 5.57%

MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 7,553 6,209 1,344

MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 7,390 5,991 1,399

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 18

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 7,420 6,028 1,392

MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 7,069 4,624 2.39% 5,683 4,032 1.93% 1,386 592 4.84%

MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 11,854 6,391 3.49% 10,571 5,940 3.25% 1,284 451 5.98%

MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 11,854 6,580 3.32% 10,571 6,127 3.08% 1,284 453 5.96%

MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 11,854 6,673 3.24% 10,571 5,015 4.23% 1,284 1,658 -1.41%

SRB Paracin Boljevac R5.01 3,581 2,534 1.94% 2,828 2,016 1.90% 752 518 2.10%

SRB Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 3,585 2,603 1.79% 3,041 2,209 1.79% 543 394 1.80%

SRB Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2,350 1,600 2.16% 2,223 1,521 2.13% 126 79 2.64%

SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 11,088 8,507 1.48% 9,550 7,293 1.51% 1,538 1,214 1.32%

SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 16,716 13,841 1.05% 16,013 13,403 0.99% 704 438 2.67%

SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 10,391 6,708 2.46% 9,688 6,133 2.57% 704 575 1.13%

SBR Krusevac Pojate R5.09 6,795 5,839 0.85% 5,696 5,067 0.65% 1,099 772 1.98%

MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 6,221 5,255 966

MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 2,929 2,428 500

MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 3,151 2,789 362

SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 3,151 1,908 2.83% 2,789 1,759 2.59% 362 149 5.06%

SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 1,407 1,048 1.65% 1,277 929 1.78% 130 119 0.51%

KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 1,407 819 3.05% 1,277 695 3.44% 130 124 0.28%

KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 24,392 14,068 3.10% 20,140 11,937 2.95% 4,251 2,131 3.91%

KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 41,718 28,370 2.17% 29,984 22,638 1.57% 11,734 5,732 4.06%

KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja

Grlica

R6.09 33,169 17,423 3.64% 25,898 13,903 3.52% 7,271 3,520 4.11%

KOS Gerlice/Donja

Grlica

Kacanik R6.10 13,452 8,896 2.32% 10,781 7,098 2.35% 2,671 1,798 2.22%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 19

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

KOS Kacanik Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11 8,852 3,848 4.74% 6,181 3,070 3.96% 2,671 778 7.09%

MKD Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

Stenkovec R6.12 6,679 3,246 4.09% 6,181 2,948 4.20% 498 298 2.89%

KOS Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 37,897 26,259 2.06% 23,729 19,893 0.98% 14,168 6,366 4.54%

KOS Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 4,369 18,705 -7.76% 3,781 16,001 -7.70% 588 2,704 -8.13%

KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 5,237 3,293 2.61% 4,179 2,960 1.93% 1,058 333 6.63%

MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 355 218 136

MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 1,493 1,150 343

MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 706 471 235

MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 706 471 235

ALB Milot Rreshen R7.01 17,486 11,747 2.23% 15,998 11,033 2.09% 1,488 714 4.16%

ALB Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 13,515 9,372 2.05% 12,312 8,836 1.86% 1,203 536 4.59%

ALB Kalimash Morine R7.03 12,848 8,709 2.18% 12,312 8,188 2.29% 536 521 0.15%

KOS Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 11,175 14,140 -1.30% 10,463 11,284 -0.42% 712 2,856 -7.43%

KOS Prizren Suhareke/Suva

Reka

R7.07 26,811 16,420 2.76% 19,383 13,103 2.20% 7,428 3,317 4.58%

KOS Suhareke/Suva

Reka

Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 26,811 15,489 3.10% 19,383 12,360 2.53% 7,428 3,129 4.92%

KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 15,081 9,013 2.90% 14,553 8,649 2.93% 528 364 2.09%

KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 14,586 11,994 1.09% 10,766 10,298 0.25% 3,820 1,696 4.61%

KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 8,376 10,404 -1.20% 7,316 8,860 -1.06% 1,060 1,544 -2.07%

SBR Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 1,963 1,123 3.15% 1,364 907 2.29% 600 216 5.84%

SBR Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 4,579 2,950 2.47% 4,163 2,588 2.68% 415 362 0.77%

SBR Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 4,579 5,636 -1.15% 4,163 5,277 -1.31% 415 359 0.81%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 20

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 11,000 8,791 1.25% 9,281 8,004 0.83% 1,720 787 4.44%

MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 4,424 1,892 4.83% 4,223 1,829 4.76% 202 63 6.68%

MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 4,424 2,603 2.99% 4,223 2,434 3.11% 202 169 0.99%

CRO Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 9,882 7,652 1.43% 9,318 7,323 1.35% 564 329 3.04%

CRO Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 9,882 5,897 2.91% 9,318 5,072 3.44% 564 825 -2.09%

CRO Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 12,033 6,938 3.11% 11,310 6,469 3.15% 723 469 2.43%

CRO Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 12,404 6,938 3.28% 11,293 6,469 3.14% 1,111 469 4.91%

CRO Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 12,404 6,938 3.28% 11,293 6,469 3.14% 1,111 469 4.91%

CRO Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 12,404 6,938 3.28% 11,293 6,469 3.14% 1,111 469 4.91%

CRO Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 31,394 23,463 1.63% 27,471 21,330 1.42% 3,923 2,133 3.44%

CRO Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 31,394 23,463 1.63% 27,471 21,330 1.42% 3,923 2,133 3.44%

CRO Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 31,394 23,463 1.63% 27,471 21,330 1.42% 3,923 2,133 3.44%

CRO Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 15,702 8,833 3.25% 13,786 7,851 3.18% 1,916 982 3.78%

CRO Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 15,702 8,833 3.25% 13,786 7,851 3.18% 1,916 982 3.78%

CRO Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 15,702 8,833 3.25% 13,786 7,851 3.18% 1,916 982 3.78%

CRO Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 15,702 11,404 1.79% 13,786 10,300 1.63% 1,916 1,104 3.11%

CRO Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 15,702 11,603 1.69% 13,786 10,478 1.54% 1,916 1,125 3.00%

CRO Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 15,702 11,232 1.88% 13,786 9,963 1.82% 1,916 1,269 2.31%

CRO Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 15,702 11,306 1.84% 13,786 10,014 1.79% 1,916 1,292 2.21%

CRO Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 15,702 10,848 2.08% 13,786 9,620 2.02% 1,916 1,228 2.50%

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 31,974 21,200 2.31% 29,097 19,487 2.25% 2,877 1,713 2.92%

CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 31,974 20,598 2.47% 29,097 18,910 2.42% 2,877 1,688 3.01%

CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 31,974 20,650 2.46% 29,097 18,939 2.41% 2,877 1,711 2.93%

CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 35,999 27,225 1.56% 32,076 24,791 1.44% 3,923 2,434 2.69%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 21

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 40,369 30,002 1.66% 36,446 27,300 1.62% 3,923 2,702 2.09%

CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 45,980 35,698 1.42% 36,659 31,010 0.93% 9,322 4,688 3.89%

CRO Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 37,010 28,805 1.40% 29,759 25,023 0.97% 7,252 3,782 3.68%

CRO Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 30,432 23,768 1.38% 24,699 20,647 1.00% 5,734 3,121 3.44%

CRO Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 11,543 8,813 1.51% 9,581 7,561 1.32% 1,962 1,252 2.53%

CRO Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 11,543 8,586 1.66% 9,581 7,348 1.49% 1,962 1,238 2.59%

CRO Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 11,543 8,318 1.84% 9,581 7,160 1.63% 1,962 1,158 2.97%

CRO Novi Marof Varazdinske

Toplice

Vb.10.01 11,543 8,547 1.68% 9,581 7,429 1.42% 1,962 1,118 3.17%

CRO Varazdinske

Toplice

Varazdin Vb.10.02 11,543 9,364 1.17% 9,581 8,232 0.85% 1,962 1,132 3.10%

CRO Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 5,338 4,541 0.90% 4,681 3,942 0.96% 656 599 0.51%

CRO Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 5,338 3,769 1.95% 4,681 3,335 1.90% 656 434 2.32%

CRO Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 1,542 2,185 -1.92% 1,135 1,942 -2.94% 407 243 2.91%

CRO Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 1,542 2,185 -1.92% 1,135 1,942 -2.94% 407 243 2.91%

CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 2,674 989 5.68% 2,132 830 5.38% 542 159 7.05%

CRO Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 8,194 5,642 2.09% 7,652 5,191 2.18% 542 451 1.02%

CRO Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 8,194 6,678 1.14% 7,652 6,006 1.35% 542 672 -1.19%

CRO Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 24,512 19,062 1.41% 20,633 17,329 0.97% 3,879 1,733 4.58%

CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 3,674 1,707 4.35% 2,923 1,492 3.81% 751 215 7.19%

CRO Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 3,674 2,308 2.62% 2,923 2,000 2.13% 751 308 5.07%

CRO Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 3,674 2,686 1.75% 2,923 2,277 1.40% 751 409 3.43%

CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 5,486 2,383 4.74% 4,782 2,043 4.84% 704 340 4.13%

BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 8,016 7,312 704

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 22

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Metkovic HR/BH

(border)

Opuzen Vc.04.01 11,536 9,242 1.24% 10,781 8,402 1.39% 755 840 -0.59%

CRO Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 9,798 7,700 1.35% 8,050 6,942 0.83% 1,748 758 4.75%

CRO Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 9,798 5,732 3.02% 8,050 5,211 2.45% 1,748 521 6.96%

BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 14,954 13,261 1,692

BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 17,254 14,641 2,612

BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 17,563 15,226 2,337

BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 12,733 7,911 2.68% 11,316 6,617 3.03% 1,417 1,294 0.50%

BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 12,733 5,988 4.28% 11,316 4,952 4.70% 1,417 1,036 1.75%

BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 19,387 11,299 3.04% 17,781 9,937 3.29% 1,606 1,362 0.92%

BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 22,544 11,463 3.83% 19,624 9,012 4.42% 2,920 2,451 0.98%

BIH Visoko Josanica Vc.12 22,544 13,752 2.78% 19,624 11,427 3.05% 2,920 2,325 1.27%

BIH Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 26,569 15,886 2.90% 23,649 14,311 2.83% 2,920 1,575 3.49%

BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 26,569 23,649 2,920

BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 25,159 20,030 5,129

BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 11,359 7,409 2.40% 10,140 6,769 2.27% 1,219 640 3.64%

BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 11,359 5,061 4.59% 10,140 4,439 4.70% 1,219 622 3.81%

BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 10,529 7,802 1.68% 9,310 7,251 1.40% 1,219 551 4.51%

BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 10,529 6,453 2.76% 9,310 5,783 2.68% 1,219 670 3.38%

BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 7,361 6,453 0.73% 6,762 5,783 0.87% 599 670 -0.62%

BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 7,361 5,182 1.97% 6,762 4,864 1.85% 599 318 3.58%

BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 7,361 5,182 1.97% 6,762 4,864 1.85% 599 318 3.58%

BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 7,361 3,798 3.74% 6,762 3,556 3.63% 599 242 5.17%

ALB Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 33,939 25,076 1.70% 29,148 22,861 1.36% 4,790 2,215 4.38%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 23

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

ALB Vore Durres VIII.1.2 30,822 24,482 1.29% 27,420 22,437 1.12% 3,402 2,045 2.87%

ALB Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 30,822 24,482 1.29% 27,420 22,437 1.12% 3,402 2,045 2.87%

ALB Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 14,542 14,534 0.00% 12,284 14,255 -0.82% 2,258 279 12.32%

ALB Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 23,041 15,639 2.18% 17,172 12,823 1.64% 5,869 2,816 4.16%

ALB Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 17,873 12,160 2.16% 9,538 6,845 1.86% 8,334 5,315 2.53%

ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 8,415 5,988 1.91% 6,739 5,334 1.31% 1,676 654 5.37%

ALB Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 6,575 5,199 1.31% 4,899 3,965 1.18% 1,676 1,234 1.72%

ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 11,442 6,577 3.12% 10,741 6,286 3.02% 702 291 5.01%

ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 8,495 6,577 1.43% 6,552 5,213 1.28% 1,944 1,364 1.99%

ALB Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 5,045 3,659 1.80% 3,102 2,236 1.84% 1,944 1,423 1.75%

ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 5,045 5,736 -0.71% 3,102 4,823 -2.42% 1,944 913 4.29%

MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 4,021 2,838 1.95% 3,723 2,672 1.86% 298 166 3.31%

MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 4,021 3,868 0.22% 3,723 3,715 0.01% 298 153 3.78%

MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 5,201 3,868 1.66% 5,005 3,715 1.67% 196 153 1.39%

MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 5,748 3,868 2.23% 5,545 3,715 2.25% 203 153 1.58%

MKD Kicevo Gostivar VIII.5.06/07 5,748 3,951 2.10% 5,545 3,775 2.16% 203 176 0.79%

MKD Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 9,301 10,593 -0.72% 7,803 10,252 -1.51% 1,499 341 8.57%

MKD Tetovo Zelino VIII.5.09.01 9,301 9,924 -0.36% 7,803 9,525 -1.10% 1,499 399 7.63%

MKD Zelino Saraj VIII.5.09.02 15,785 8,651 3.40% 15,207 8,435 3.33% 579 216 5.63%

ALB Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 3,952 1,960 3.97% 1,423 746 3.65% 2,529 1,214 4.16%

MKD Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4,062 3,661 0.58% 3,483 2,856 1.11% 579 805 -1.82%

MKD Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 5,964 3,341 3.27% 5,027 2,598 3.74% 937 743 1.30%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 24

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MKD Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 9,414 5,856 2.67% 8,477 5,397 2.54% 937 459 4.05%

MKD Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 3,068 1,874 2.78% 3,065 1,873 2.77% 3 1 6.75%

MKD Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 3,068 1,874 2.78% 3,065 1,873 2.77% 3 1 6.75%

MKD Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 2,713 1,874 2.08% 2,707 1,873 2.07% 6 1 10.48%

MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 2,713 2,505 0.44% 2,707 2,379 0.72% 6 126 -15.55%

MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 2,713 1,499 3.35% 2,707 1,373 3.84% 6 126 -15.55%

CRO Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 13,948 9,304 2.27% 11,134 7,924 1.91% 2,814 1,380 4.04%

CRO Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 26,093 17,540 2.23% 21,163 15,237 1.84% 4,930 2,303 4.32%

CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 43,809 31,011 1.94% 34,676 26,939 1.41% 9,133 4,072 4.59%

CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 66,461 50,008 1.59% 53,206 43,441 1.13% 13,255 6,567 3.98%

CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 54,840 40,523 1.70% 46,495 35,202 1.56% 8,345 5,321 2.53%

CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 49,156 36,442 1.68% 41,924 31,657 1.57% 7,231 4,785 2.32%

CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 49,156 36,722 1.63% 41,924 31,900 1.53% 7,231 4,822 2.28%

CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 36,579 25,704 1.98% 31,186 22,469 1.84% 5,393 3,235 2.88%

CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 29,513 22,519 1.51% 24,494 19,437 1.29% 5,019 3,082 2.75%

CRO Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 26,523 19,491 1.73% 21,504 16,564 1.46% 5,019 2,927 3.04%

CRO Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 26,523 18,677 1.97% 21,504 15,769 1.74% 5,019 2,908 3.08%

CRO Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 26,523 18,221 2.11% 21,504 15,306 1.91% 5,019 2,915 3.07%

CRO Kutina Novska X.04.06 23,122 16,325 1.95% 18,372 13,617 1.68% 4,750 2,708 3.17%

CRO Novska Okucani X.04.07 23,122 15,073 2.41% 18,372 12,425 2.20% 4,750 2,648 3.30%

CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 19,649 13,969 1.91% 15,454 11,580 1.62% 4,195 2,389 3.18%

CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 18,718 13,083 2.01% 14,558 10,821 1.66% 4,159 2,262 3.44%

CRO Luzani Slavonski Brod -

West

X.06.01 17,017 12,941 1.53% 13,078 10,715 1.11% 3,939 2,226 3.22%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 25

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Slavonski Brod -

West

Slavonski Brod -

East

X.06.02 17,017 10,185 2.89% 13,078 8,326 2.54% 3,939 1,859 4.26%

CRO Slavonski Brod -

East

Sredanci X.06.03 17,017 11,225 2.34% 13,078 9,235 1.95% 3,939 1,990 3.87%

CRO Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 17,871 9,279 3.71% 14,277 7,511 3.63% 3,594 1,768 4.02%

CRO V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 14,293 8,497 2.93% 11,023 6,889 2.65% 3,270 1,608 4.02%

CRO Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 14,293 8,644 2.83% 11,023 7,024 2.54% 3,270 1,620 3.98%

CRO Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 7,945 6,218 1.37% 5,042 5,095 -0.06% 2,903 1,123 5.42%

CRO Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 7,945 6,174 1.41% 5,042 5,072 -0.03% 2,903 1,102 5.53%

CRO Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 7,945 6,174 1.41% 5,042 5,072 -0.03% 2,903 1,102 5.53%

SRB Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 7,945 10,376 -1.47% 5,042 8,463 -2.84% 2,903 1,913 2.34%

SBR Dobanovci Ostruznica X.10.1 Sec1-3 12,890 12,937 -0.02% 9,346 6,888 1.71% 3,543 6,049 -2.93%

SRB Ostruznica Orlovaca X.10.2 Sec4 14,557 9,831 2.20% 9,433 5,672 2.87% 5,125 4,159 1.17%

SRB Orlovaca Bubanj Potok X.10.3 Sec5-6 4,564 7,173 -2.48% 3,110 4,152 -1.59% 1,454 3,021 -3.98%

SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 55,727 47,496 0.89% 50,451 44,226 0.73% 5,276 3,270 2.69%

SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 145,058 123,032 0.92% 138,745 118,702 0.87% 6,313 4,330 2.12%

SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 56,966 47,663 1.00% 51,341 43,873 0.88% 5,626 3,790 2.22%

SRB Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 35,165 27,821 1.31% 29,695 23,327 1.35% 5,470 4,494 1.10%

SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 23,905 18,644 1.39% 18,435 15,159 1.09% 5,470 3,485 2.54%

SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 20,959 16,540 1.32% 16,200 12,946 1.25% 4,760 3,594 1.57%

SRB Velika Plana Batocina X.16 19,539 17,070 0.75% 15,274 13,173 0.83% 4,265 3,897 0.50%

SRB Batocina Paracin X.17 19,539 14,476 1.68% 15,274 11,418 1.63% 4,265 3,058 1.87%

SRB Paracin Pojate X.18 16,318 13,010 1.27% 12,484 9,885 1.31% 3,834 3,125 1.14%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 26

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

SRB Pojate Trupale X.19 15,561 11,787 1.56% 12,417 9,228 1.66% 3,144 2,559 1.15%

SRB Trupale Doljevac X.20 8,129 6,892 0.92% 6,595 5,691 0.82% 1,534 1,201 1.37%

SRB Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 8,129 5,811 1.88% 6,595 4,826 1.75% 1,534 985 2.49%

SRB Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 8,129 5,224 2.49% 6,595 4,344 2.35% 1,534 880 3.13%

SRB Grdelica Presevo X.23 7,559 6,381 0.95% 5,382 5,419 -0.04% 2,178 962 4.64%

MKD Tabanovce MK/SR

(border)

Kumanovo X.25 7,336 4,607 2.62% 5,680 4,098 1.83% 1,656 509 6.77%

MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 10,390 7,213 2.05% 8,738 6,554 1.61% 1,653 659 5.24%

MKD Miladinovci Veles X.27 13,647 7,879 3.10% 12,359 7,065 3.16% 1,288 814 2.58%

MKD Veles Gradsko X.28 6,677 4,832 1.81% 6,044 4,304 1.90% 633 528 1.01%

MKD Gradsko Negotino X.29 4,826 3,489 1.82% 4,192 2,850 2.17% 633 639 -0.05%

MKD Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4,826 3,312 2.11% 4,192 2,865 2.14% 633 447 1.95%

MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4,826 3,775 1.37% 4,192 3,046 1.79% 633 729 -0.78%

MKD Udovo Bogorodica X.32 5,880 4,534 1.45% 2,523 4,018 -2.55% 3,357 516 10.96%

CRO Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 11,038 7,525 2.15% 9,891 6,734 2.16% 1,146 791 2.08%

CRO Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 11,038 7,525 2.15% 9,891 6,734 2.16% 1,146 791 2.08%

CRO Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 14,109 7,821 3.33% 12,480 7,026 3.24% 1,629 795 4.07%

CRO Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 14,109 10,446 1.68% 12,480 9,262 1.67% 1,629 1,184 1.79%

CRO Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 14,109 11,895 0.95% 12,480 10,554 0.94% 1,629 1,341 1.09%

CRO Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 21,774 15,962 1.74% 19,724 14,636 1.67% 2,050 1,326 2.45%

CRO Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 21,774 15,962 1.74% 19,724 14,636 1.67% 2,050 1,326 2.45%

SRB Horgos Subotica Xb.1 6,816 5,192 1.52% 5,396 3,186 2.97% 1,420 2,006 -1.90%

SRB Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 9,349 6,750 1.83% 7,402 5,271 1.90% 1,948 1,479 1.54%

SRB Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 19,122 14,196 1.67% 16,244 11,760 1.81% 2,878 2,436 0.93%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 27

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

SRB Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 30,905 23,797 1.46% 28,027 22,372 1.26% 2,878 1,425 3.98%

SRB Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 10,175 7,953 1.38% 8,302 6,348 1.50% 1,873 1,605 0.86%

SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 6,874 5,113 1.66% 5,366 3,849 1.86% 1,509 1,264 0.99%

SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 6,874 4,749 2.08% 5,366 3,662 2.15% 1,509 1,087 1.84%

SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 7,291 5,200 1.90% 5,816 4,130 1.92% 1,475 1,070 1.80%

SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 5,830 4,064 2.02% 4,445 3,097 2.03% 1,385 967 2.02%

MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 4,819 2,849 2.96% 4,244 2,472 3.05% 575 377 2.37%

MKD Prilep Bitola Xd.02 4,819 2,813 3.04% 4,244 2,595 2.77% 575 218 5.54%

MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 3,541 2,393 2.20% 3,482 2,339 2.23% 60 54 0.54%

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 forecasts)

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 28

Table AII. 2. “Do-nothing” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic Volumes – Road Network

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 17,418 13,275 1.52% 16,264 12,539 1.46% 1,154 736 2.53%

CRO Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 17,418 12,570 1.83% 16,264 11,879 1.76% 1,154 691 2.89%

CRO Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 17,418 12,481 1.87% 16,264 11,795 1.80% 1,154 686 2.93%

CRO Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 16,816 12,047 1.87% 15,486 11,310 1.76% 1,329 737 3.33%

CRO Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 16,816 11,786 1.99% 15,486 11,049 1.89% 1,329 737 3.33%

CRO Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 16,816 11,577 2.10% 15,486 10,898 1.97% 1,329 679 3.80%

CRO Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 16,816 11,531 2.12% 15,486 10,847 2.00% 1,329 684 3.76%

CRO Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 16,816 12,745 1.55% 15,486 11,818 1.51% 1,329 927 2.02%

CRO Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 16,816 12,592 1.62% 15,486 11,683 1.58% 1,329 909 2.13%

CRO Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 16,816 12,711 1.57% 15,486 11,803 1.52% 1,329 908 2.14%

CRO Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 16,816 12,094 1.85% 15,486 11,203 1.82% 1,329 891 2.25%

CRO Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 13,306 9,753 1.74% 12,088 9,055 1.62% 1,218 698 3.14%

CRO Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 13,306 10,059 1.57% 12,088 9,343 1.44% 1,218 716 2.99%

CRO Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 13,306 9,266 2.03% 12,088 8,643 1.88% 1,218 623 3.79%

CRO Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 13,306 8,595 2.46% 12,088 7,978 2.34% 1,218 617 3.85%

CRO Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 13,306 8,906 2.26% 12,088 8,279 2.13% 1,218 627 3.76%

CRO Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 12,476 8,012 2.49% 11,022 7,400 2.24% 1,453 612 4.92%

CRO Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 12,476 8,113 2.42% 11,022 7,471 2.18% 1,453 642 4.64%

CRO Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 12,476 7,466 2.89% 11,022 6,856 2.67% 1,453 610 4.94%

CRO Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 12,476 7,519 2.85% 11,022 6,911 2.63% 1,453 608 4.96%

CRO Opuzen Klek R1.04 11,076 5,139 4.36% 10,229 4,672 4.45% 848 467 3.37%

CRO Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 11,076 10,229 848

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 29

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 10,312 8,346 1.18% 9,182 7,810 0.90% 1,130 536 4.23%

CRO Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 10,312 6,024 3.03% 9,182 5,628 2.76% 1,130 396 6.00%

CRO Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 10,312 6,194 2.87% 9,182 5,794 2.59% 1,130 400 5.94%

CRO Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 10,312 5,200 3.88% 9,182 4,889 3.56% 1,130 311 7.43%

CRO Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 4,543 3,393 1.63% 3,413 3,115 0.51% 1,130 278 8.10%

CRO Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 4,543 2,891 2.54% 3,413 2,681 1.35% 1,130 210 9.80%

CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 4,543 2,942 2.44% 3,413 2,675 1.36% 1,130 267 8.34%

CRO Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 4,543 1,478 6.44% 3,413 1,344 5.31% 1,130 134 12.58%

CRO XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 11,076 4,495 5.14% 10,229 4,074 5.25% 848 421 3.97%

CRO Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 11,076 4,495 5.14% 10,229 4,074 5.25% 848 421 3.97%

CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 14,781 7,637 3.74% 13,916 6,699 4.15% 865 938 -0.45%

CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 21,950 11,872 3.47% 21,085 11,492 3.43% 865 380 4.68%

CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 5,408 1,921 5.92% 5,144 1,821 5.94% 264 100 5.54%

CRO Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 5,408 1,921 5.92% 5,144 1,821 5.94% 264 100 5.54%

MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 5,408 5,144 264

MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 18,509 15,865 2,644

CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 8,097 6,160 1.53% 7,518 5,746 1.50% 579 414 1.88%

CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 9,676 7,451 1.46% 9,143 7,080 1.43% 533 371 2.03%

CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 32,130 22,308 2.05% 28,075 20,589 1.74% 4,055 1,719 4.88%

MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 18,509 15,865 2,644

MNE Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 12,249 10,063 2,186

MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 21,707 11,274 3.71% 20,378 10,672 3.66% 1,329 602 4.50%

MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 18,468 10,294 3.30% 17,003 9,830 3.09% 1,465 464 6.60%

MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 14,236 12,771 1,465

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 30

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MNE Misici Bar R1.13 24,800 21,854 2,947

CRO Pula Vodnjan R10.01.01 7,545 4,535 2.87% 6,939 4,316 2.67% 606 219 5.81%

CRO Vodnjan Kanfanar R10.01.02 7,545 6,036 1.25% 6,939 5,729 1.07% 606 307 3.85%

CRO Kanfanar Zminj R10.02.01 7,545 4,433 3.00% 6,939 4,121 2.94% 606 312 3.75%

CRO Zminj Rogovici R10.02.02 7,545 4,212 3.29% 6,939 3,911 3.24% 606 301 3.96%

CRO Rogovici Ivoli R10.02.03 7,545 5,499 1.77% 6,939 5,021 1.81% 606 478 1.32%

CRO Ivoli Cerovlje R10.02.04 7,545 6,252 1.05% 6,939 5,711 1.09% 606 541 0.63%

CRO Cerovlje Lupoglav R10.02.05 7,545 6,058 1.23% 6,939 5,523 1.28% 606 535 0.69%

CRO Lupoglav Vranja R10.02.06 7,545 6,824 0.56% 6,939 6,207 0.62% 606 617 -0.10%

CRO Vranja Veprinac R10.02.07 7,545 7,315 0.17% 6,939 6,551 0.32% 606 764 -1.28%

CRO Veprinac Matulji R10.02.08 7,545 7,315 0.17% 6,939 6,551 0.32% 606 764 -1.28%

CRO Rijeka Draga R10.04.01 25,902 16,378 2.58% 22,674 14,889 2.36% 3,228 1,489 4.39%

CRO Draga Sveti Kuzam R10.04.02 25,902 13,640 3.63% 22,674 12,400 3.41% 3,228 1,240 5.46%

CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.01 7,223 4,702 2.41% 6,803 4,482 2.35% 420 220 3.65%

CRO Bakar Smrika R10.05.02 7,223 4,702 2.41% 6,803 4,482 2.35% 420 220 3.65%

CRO Smrika Senj R10.06.01 7,223 7,082 0.11% 6,803 6,438 0.31% 420 644 -2.35%

CRO Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.01 5,006 3,528 1.96% 4,398 3,118 1.93% 608 410 2.21%

CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 9,736 3,376 6.06% 7,785 2,997 5.45% 1,950 379 9.53%

BIH Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 20,396 12,726 2.66% 14,398 10,335 1.86% 5,998 2,391 5.24%

BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 41,484 33,018 8,466

BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 5,836 3,142 3.50% 4,624 2,710 3.01% 1,212 432 5.90%

BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 5,382 2,493 4.37% 4,407 2,025 4.41% 975 468 4.16%

BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 5,382 2,493 4.37% 4,407 2,025 4.41% 975 468 4.16%

BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 9,288 13,715 -2.14% 7,682 12,899 -2.84% 1,606 816 3.83%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 31

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 6,278 3,570 3.19% 6,037 3,422 3.20% 241 148 2.76%

BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 2,645 2,367 278

BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 4,730 3,908 822

MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 1,448 1,316 132

MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 5,003 4,330 674

MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 5,003 4,330 674

MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 12,228 10,150 2,078

MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 15,242 8,140 3.55% 12,874 7,642 2.94% 2,368 498 9.05%

MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 16,007 13,212 2,795

MNE Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 7,453 5,649 1,804

ALB Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 7,453 4,224 3.21% 5,649 3,749 2.30% 1,804 475 7.70%

ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 15,335 8,327 3.45% 10,717 6,426 2.88% 4,618 1,901 5.06%

ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 15,335 10,564 2.09% 10,717 8,342 1.40% 4,618 2,222 4.15%

ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 20,966 13,788 2.36% 14,729 10,945 1.66% 6,237 2,843 4.46%

ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 20,966 13,788 2.36% 14,729 10,945 1.66% 6,237 2,843 4.46%

ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 23,519 11,762 3.92% 14,729 7,455 3.86% 8,790 4,307 4.04%

ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 6,324 2,932 4.36% 2,784 1,254 4.53% 3,540 1,678 4.23%

ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 6,293 3,299 3.65% 5,062 3,154 2.66% 1,232 145 12.62%

ALB Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 7,976 3,299 5.03% 5,753 3,154 3.40% 2,223 145 16.38%

BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 20,757 17,782 2,975

BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 6,097 3,536 3.07% 5,796 3,388 3.03% 301 148 4.02%

BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 3,215 2,883 333

BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 3,215 2,883 333

BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 7,246 5,925 1,322

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 32

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 3,215 2,883 333

SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 3,215 1,011 6.64% 2,883 910 6.62% 333 101 6.84%

SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 3,215 2,145 2.27% 2,883 1,958 2.17% 333 187 3.25%

SRB Vatin Vrsac R4.01 1,631 1,109 2.17% 1,192 964 1.19% 439 145 6.35%

SRB Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 5,599 4,277 1.51% 5,160 3,793 1.72% 439 484 -0.54%

SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 30,812 17,294 3.26% 23,622 14,055 2.93% 7,191 3,239 4.53%

SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 33,243 22,760 2.13% 28,823 20,696 1.86% 4,419 2,064 4.32%

SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 33,243 22,760 2.13% 28,823 20,696 1.86% 4,419 2,064 4.32%

SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 17,089 12,938 1.56% 14,562 11,272 1.43% 2,527 1,666 2.34%

SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 10,682 7,777 1.78% 8,810 6,406 1.79% 1,872 1,371 1.75%

SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 10,682 6,254 3.02% 8,810 4,919 3.29% 1,872 1,335 1.90%

SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 16,377 8,863 3.47% 14,034 7,390 3.63% 2,343 1,473 2.61%

SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 16,377 11,894 1.79% 14,034 10,307 1.73% 2,343 1,587 2.19%

SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 14,309 9,421 2.35% 12,412 8,173 2.35% 1,897 1,248 2.35%

SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 13,987 9,060 2.44% 12,788 8,293 2.44% 1,199 767 2.51%

SRB Uzice Nova Varos R4.13 6,899 4,152 2.86% 6,103 3,683 2.85% 796 469 2.98%

SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 6,899 3,594 3.69% 6,103 3,131 3.78% 796 463 3.05%

SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 2,996 3,152 -0.28% 2,284 2,797 -1.12% 712 355 3.94%

MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 2,996 2,284 712

MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 8,587 3,895 4.49% 7,095 3,378 4.21% 1,492 517 6.07%

MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 8,491 7,029 1,463

MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 8,298 6,712 1,586

MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 8,334 6,756 1,578

MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 7,972 4,624 3.07% 6,402 4,032 2.60% 1,571 592 5.57%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 33

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 12,890 6,391 3.97% 11,408 5,940 3.69% 1,482 451 6.83%

MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 12,890 6,580 3.81% 11,408 6,127 3.51% 1,482 453 6.81%

MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 12,890 6,673 3.73% 11,408 5,015 4.67% 1,482 1,658 -0.62%

SRB Paracin Boljevac R5.01 3,827 2,534 2.32% 3,019 2,016 2.27% 809 518 2.51%

SRB Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 3,816 2,603 2.15% 3,252 2,209 2.17% 564 394 2.01%

SRB Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2,412 1,600 2.31% 2,294 1,521 2.31% 118 79 2.27%

SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 11,786 8,507 1.83% 9,924 7,293 1.73% 1,863 1,214 2.41%

SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 18,382 13,841 1.59% 17,557 13,403 1.51% 824 438 3.57%

SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 11,108 6,708 2.84% 10,284 6,133 2.91% 824 575 2.02%

SBR Krusevac Pojate R5.09 7,922 5,839 1.71% 6,659 5,067 1.53% 1,263 772 2.77%

MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 6,954 5,861 1,093

MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 3,560 2,993 567

MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 3,789 3,379 410

SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 3,789 1,908 3.88% 3,379 1,759 3.69% 410 149 5.78%

SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 1,442 1,048 1.79% 1,232 929 1.58% 210 119 3.20%

KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 1,442 819 3.19% 1,232 695 3.23% 210 124 2.97%

KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 27,136 14,068 3.72% 22,378 11,937 3.55% 4,759 2,131 4.56%

KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 44,220 28,370 2.50% 32,010 22,638 1.94% 12,211 5,732 4.29%

KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja

Grlica

R6.09 34,746 17,423 3.91% 27,085 13,903 3.77% 7,661 3,520 4.42%

KOS Gerlice/Donja

Grlica

Kacanik R6.10 14,857 8,896 2.89% 11,796 7,098 2.86% 3,061 1,798 3.00%

KOS Kacanik Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11

9,567 3,848 5.19% 6,506 3,070 4.26% 3,061 778 7.91%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 34

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MKD Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

Stenkovec R6.12

7,054 3,246 4.41% 6,506 2,948 4.50% 548 298 3.44%

KOS Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 41,246 26,259 2.54% 26,860 19,893 1.68% 14,387 6,366 4.63%

KOS Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 4,671 18,705 -7.42% 3,942 16,001 -7.49% 729 2,704 -7.02%

KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 5,654 3,293 3.05% 4,377 2,960 2.20% 1,277 333 7.75%

MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 441 286 155

MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 1,621 1,294 327

MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 796 594 203

MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 796 594 203

ALB Milot Rreshen R7.01 18,578 11,747 2.58% 16,960 11,033 2.42% 1,619 714 4.65%

ALB Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 14,314 9,372 2.38% 13,024 8,836 2.18% 1,290 536 5.00%

ALB Kalimash Morine R7.03 13,647 8,709 2.53% 13,024 8,188 2.61% 623 521 1.00%

KOS Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 11,841 14,140 -0.98% 11,042 11,284 -0.12% 798 2,856 -6.84%

KOS Prizren Suhareke/Suva

Reka

R7.07 28,220 16,420 3.05% 20,706 13,103 2.57% 7,514 3,317 4.65%

KOS Suhareke/Suva

Reka

Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 28,220 15,489 3.39% 20,706 12,360 2.91% 7,514 3,129 4.99%

KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 15,765 9,013 3.16% 15,151 8,649 3.16% 614 364 2.95%

KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 22,728 11,994 3.61% 18,823 10,298 3.41% 3,905 1,696 4.74%

KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 16,000 10,404 2.42% 14,856 8,860 2.91% 1,145 1,544 -1.65%

SBR Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 2,029 1,123 3.34% 1,345 907 2.21% 685 216 6.62%

SBR Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 4,909 2,950 2.87% 4,444 2,588 3.05% 465 362 1.41%

SBR Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 4,909 5,636 -0.76% 4,444 5,277 -0.95% 465 359 1.45%

MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 11,962 8,791 1.73% 10,218 8,004 1.37% 1,744 787 4.52%

MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 4,627 1,892 5.09% 4,401 1,829 5.00% 226 63 7.35%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 35

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 4,627 2,603 3.25% 4,401 2,434 3.35% 226 169 1.63%

CRO Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 10,082 7,652 1.54% 9,418 7,323 1.41% 665 329 3.99%

CRO Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 10,082 5,897 3.02% 9,418 5,072 3.50% 665 825 -1.19%

CRO Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 12,927 6,938 3.52% 12,091 6,469 3.54% 836 469 3.26%

CRO Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 13,563 6,938 3.79% 12,184 6,469 3.58% 1,379 469 6.18%

CRO Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 13,563 6,938 3.79% 12,184 6,469 3.58% 1,379 469 6.18%

CRO Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 13,563 6,938 3.79% 12,184 6,469 3.58% 1,379 469 6.18%

CRO Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 34,517 23,463 2.17% 30,232 21,330 1.96% 4,285 2,133 3.95%

CRO Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 34,517 23,463 2.17% 30,232 21,330 1.96% 4,285 2,133 3.95%

CRO Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 34,517 23,463 2.17% 30,232 21,330 1.96% 4,285 2,133 3.95%

CRO Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 17,844 8,833 3.98% 15,350 7,851 3.80% 2,494 982 5.31%

CRO Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 17,844 8,833 3.98% 15,350 7,851 3.80% 2,494 982 5.31%

CRO Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 17,844 8,833 3.98% 15,350 7,851 3.80% 2,494 982 5.31%

CRO Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 17,844 11,404 2.52% 15,350 10,300 2.24% 2,494 1,104 4.63%

CRO Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 17,844 11,603 2.42% 15,350 10,478 2.14% 2,494 1,125 4.52%

CRO Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 17,844 11,232 2.60% 15,350 9,963 2.43% 2,494 1,269 3.83%

CRO Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 17,844 11,306 2.57% 15,350 10,014 2.40% 2,494 1,292 3.72%

CRO Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 17,844 10,848 2.80% 15,350 9,620 2.63% 2,494 1,228 4.01%

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 35,262 21,200 2.87% 31,614 19,487 2.72% 3,648 1,713 4.29%

CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 35,262 20,598 3.03% 31,614 18,910 2.90% 3,648 1,688 4.37%

CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 35,262 20,650 3.02% 31,614 18,939 2.89% 3,648 1,711 4.30%

CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 39,360 27,225 2.07% 34,479 24,791 1.85% 4,881 2,434 3.94%

CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 44,386 30,002 2.20% 39,504 27,300 2.07% 4,881 2,702 3.34%

CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 50,870 35,698 1.99% 41,268 31,010 1.60% 9,601 4,688 4.06%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 36

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 40,865 28,805 1.96% 33,333 25,023 1.61% 7,531 3,782 3.90%

CRO Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 33,528 23,768 1.93% 27,514 20,647 1.61% 6,013 3,121 3.71%

CRO Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 12,302 8,813 1.87% 10,061 7,561 1.60% 2,241 1,252 3.29%

CRO Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 12,302 8,586 2.02% 10,061 7,348 1.76% 2,241 1,238 3.35%

CRO Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 12,302 8,318 2.20% 10,061 7,160 1.91% 2,241 1,158 3.74%

CRO Novi Marof Varazdinske

Toplice

Vb.10.01 12,302 8,547 2.04% 10,061 7,429 1.70% 2,241 1,118 3.94%

CRO Varazdinske

Toplice

Varazdin Vb.10.02 12,302 9,364 1.53% 10,061 8,232 1.12% 2,241 1,132 3.87%

CRO Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 5,542 4,541 1.11% 4,832 3,942 1.14% 709 599 0.94%

CRO Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 5,542 3,769 2.16% 4,832 3,335 2.08% 709 434 2.77%

CRO Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 1,499 2,185 -2.07% 1,087 1,942 -3.17% 413 243 2.98%

CRO Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 1,499 2,185 -2.07% 1,087 1,942 -3.17% 413 243 2.98%

CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 2,954 989 6.27% 2,328 830 5.90% 626 159 7.92%

CRO Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 9,302 5,642 2.82% 8,676 5,191 2.89% 626 451 1.84%

CRO Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 9,302 6,678 1.86% 8,676 6,006 2.06% 626 672 -0.39%

CRO Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 29,453 19,062 2.45% 25,400 17,329 2.15% 4,053 1,733 4.83%

CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 5,958 1,707 7.19% 5,033 1,492 6.99% 925 215 8.44%

CRO Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 5,958 2,308 5.41% 5,033 2,000 5.26% 925 308 6.30%

CRO Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 5,958 2,686 4.53% 5,033 2,277 4.51% 925 409 4.64%

CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 7,300 2,383 6.42% 6,472 2,043 6.62% 828 340 5.07%

BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 10,209 9,382 828

CRO Metkovic HR/BH

(border)

Opuzen Vc.04.01 13,577 9,242 2.16% 12,729 8,402 2.33% 848 840 0.05%

CRO Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 11,006 7,700 2.00% 9,258 6,942 1.61% 1,748 758 4.75%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 37

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 11,006 5,732 3.69% 9,258 5,211 3.24% 1,748 521 6.96%

BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 15,776 13,781 1,994

BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 18,283 15,368 2,914

BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 19,341 16,860 2,481

BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 13,924 7,911 3.19% 12,364 6,617 3.53% 1,561 1,294 1.05%

BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 13,924 5,988 4.80% 12,364 4,952 5.21% 1,561 1,036 2.30%

BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 19,497 11,299 3.08% 17,684 9,937 3.25% 1,813 1,362 1.60%

BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 23,303 11,463 4.02% 19,973 9,012 4.52% 3,330 2,451 1.72%

BIH Visoko Josanica Vc.12 23,303 13,752 2.97% 19,973 11,427 3.15% 3,330 2,325 2.02%

BIH Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 27,932 15,886 3.18% 24,602 14,311 3.06% 3,330 1,575 4.25%

BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 27,932 24,602 3,330

BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 28,328 22,916 5,412

BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 13,045 7,409 3.19% 11,542 6,769 3.01% 1,502 640 4.86%

BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 13,045 5,061 5.40% 11,542 4,439 5.45% 1,502 622 5.02%

BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 11,949 7,802 2.40% 10,447 7,251 2.05% 1,502 551 5.73%

BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 11,949 6,453 3.48% 10,447 5,783 3.34% 1,502 670 4.59%

BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 8,752 6,453 1.71% 7,972 5,783 1.80% 779 670 0.84%

BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 8,752 5,182 2.95% 7,972 4,864 2.78% 779 318 5.11%

BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 8,752 5,182 2.95% 7,972 4,864 2.78% 779 318 5.11%

BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 8,752 3,798 4.75% 7,972 3,556 4.59% 779 242 6.71%

ALB Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 38,166 25,076 2.36% 32,822 22,861 2.03% 5,344 2,215 5.01%

ALB Vore Durres VIII.1.2 34,008 24,482 1.84% 30,375 22,437 1.70% 3,633 2,045 3.24%

ALB Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 34,008 24,482 1.84% 30,375 22,437 1.70% 3,633 2,045 3.24%

ALB Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 15,300 14,534 0.29% 12,961 14,255 -0.53% 2,339 279 12.54%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 38

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

ALB Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 24,531 15,639 2.53% 18,581 12,823 2.08% 5,950 2,816 4.24%

ALB Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 19,214 12,160 2.57% 9,978 6,845 2.12% 9,235 5,315 3.12%

ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 9,456 5,988 2.57% 7,582 5,334 1.97% 1,874 654 6.02%

ALB Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 7,340 5,199 1.93% 5,466 3,965 1.80% 1,874 1,234 2.35%

ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 12,206 6,577 3.50% 11,413 6,286 3.37% 794 291 5.73%

ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 9,394 6,577 2.00% 7,229 5,213 1.83% 2,165 1,364 2.60%

ALB Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 5,427 3,659 2.21% 3,262 2,236 2.12% 2,165 1,423 2.36%

ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 5,427 5,736 -0.31% 3,262 4,823 -2.15% 2,165 913 4.91%

MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 4,473 2,838 2.56% 4,145 2,672 2.47% 328 166 3.86%

MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 4,473 3,868 0.81% 4,145 3,715 0.61% 328 153 4.33%

MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 5,467 3,868 1.94% 5,243 3,715 1.93% 224 153 2.14%

MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 6,243 3,868 2.70% 6,014 3,715 2.71% 229 153 2.26%

MKD Kicevo Gostivar VIII.5.06/07 6,243 3,951 2.57% 6,014 3,775 2.62% 229 176 1.47%

MKD Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 10,259 10,593 -0.18% 8,656 10,252 -0.94% 1,603 341 8.98%

MKD Tetovo Zelino VIII.5.09.01 10,259 9,924 0.18% 8,656 9,525 -0.53% 1,603 399 8.03%

MKD Zelino Saraj VIII.5.09.02 17,223 8,651 3.90% 16,540 8,435 3.81% 683 216 6.61%

ALB Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 4,059 1,960 4.13% 1,500 746 3.96% 2,559 1,214 4.23%

MKD Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4,409 3,661 1.04% 3,725 2,856 1.49% 683 805 -0.91%

MKD Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 6,426 3,341 3.70% 5,358 2,598 4.10% 1,068 743 2.04%

MKD Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 10,394 5,856 3.24% 9,325 5,397 3.08% 1,068 459 4.81%

MKD Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 3,215 1,874 3.04% 3,212 1,873 3.04% 4 1 7.28%

MKD Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 3,215 1,874 3.04% 3,212 1,873 3.04% 4 1 7.28%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 39

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

MKD Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 2,798 1,874 2.25% 2,792 1,873 2.24% 7 1 11.21%

MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 2,798 2,505 0.62% 2,792 2,379 0.89% 7 126 -14.99%

MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 2,798 1,499 3.53% 2,792 1,373 4.02% 7 126 -14.99%

CRO Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 14,621 9,304 2.54% 11,431 7,924 2.06% 3,189 1,380 4.76%

CRO Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 27,158 17,540 2.46% 21,853 15,237 2.02% 5,305 2,303 4.75%

CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 47,815 31,011 2.43% 37,723 26,939 1.89% 10,092 4,072 5.17%

CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 73,249 50,008 2.14% 58,653 43,441 1.68% 14,596 6,567 4.54%

CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 61,091 40,523 2.31% 51,178 35,202 2.10% 9,913 5,321 3.52%

CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 54,103 36,442 2.22% 45,649 31,657 2.05% 8,454 4,785 3.21%

CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 54,103 36,722 2.18% 45,649 31,900 2.01% 8,454 4,822 3.17%

CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 40,427 25,704 2.55% 34,056 22,469 2.34% 6,371 3,235 3.84%

CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 32,933 22,519 2.13% 26,994 19,437 1.84% 5,939 3,082 3.71%

CRO Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 29,495 19,491 2.33% 23,556 16,564 1.98% 5,939 2,927 4.01%

CRO Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 29,495 18,677 2.57% 23,556 15,769 2.25% 5,939 2,908 4.05%

CRO Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 29,495 18,221 2.71% 23,556 15,306 2.42% 5,939 2,915 4.03%

CRO Kutina Novska X.04.06 25,958 16,325 2.61% 20,298 13,617 2.24% 5,659 2,708 4.18%

CRO Novska Okucani X.04.07 25,958 15,073 3.07% 20,298 12,425 2.76% 5,659 2,648 4.31%

CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 22,567 13,969 2.70% 17,459 11,580 2.31% 5,107 2,389 4.31%

CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 21,626 13,083 2.83% 16,554 10,821 2.39% 5,072 2,262 4.59%

CRO Luzani Slavonski Brod -

West

X.06.01 19,493 12,941 2.30% 14,649 10,715 1.75% 4,843 2,226 4.41%

CRO Slavonski Brod -

West

Slavonski Brod -

East

X.06.02 19,493 10,185 3.67% 14,649 8,326 3.19% 4,843 1,859 5.46%

CRO Slavonski Brod -

East

Sredanci X.06.03 19,493 11,225 3.11% 14,649 9,235 2.60% 4,843 1,990 5.07%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 40

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

CRO Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 20,155 9,279 4.40% 15,777 7,511 4.21% 4,378 1,768 5.17%

CRO V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 16,422 8,497 3.73% 12,424 6,889 3.33% 3,998 1,608 5.19%

CRO Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 16,422 8,644 3.63% 12,424 7,024 3.22% 3,998 1,620 5.15%

CRO Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 9,709 6,218 2.51% 6,112 5,095 1.02% 3,597 1,123 6.68%

CRO Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 9,709 6,174 2.55% 6,112 5,072 1.04% 3,597 1,102 6.79%

CRO Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 9,709 6,174 2.55% 6,112 5,072 1.04% 3,597 1,102 6.79%

SRB Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 9,709 10,376 -0.37% 6,112 8,463 -1.79% 3,597 1,913 3.57%

SBR Dobanovci Ostruznica X.10.1 Sec1-3 14,451 12,937 0.62% 10,002 6,888 2.09% 4,448 6,049 -1.69%

SRB Ostruznica Orlovaca X.10.2 Sec4 16,752 9,831 3.01% 10,111 5,672 3.26% 6,641 4,159 2.63%

SRB Orlovaca Bubanj Potok X.10.3 Sec5-6 6,367 7,173 -0.66% 4,337 4,152 0.24% 2,030 3,021 -2.18%

SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 63,612 47,496 1.64% 58,362 44,226 1.55% 5,250 3,270 2.67%

SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 165,384 123,032 1.66% 158,490 118,702 1.62% 6,893 4,330 2.62%

SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 63,040 47,663 1.57% 57,164 43,873 1.48% 5,876 3,790 2.47%

SRB Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 37,872 27,821 1.73% 31,575 23,327 1.70% 6,297 4,494 1.89%

SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 26,763 18,644 2.03% 20,466 15,159 1.68% 6,297 3,485 3.34%

SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 23,516 16,540 1.97% 18,042 12,946 1.86% 5,475 3,594 2.37%

SRB Velika Plana Batocina X.16 21,953 17,070 1.41% 17,030 13,173 1.44% 4,923 3,897 1.31%

SRB Batocina Paracin X.17 21,953 14,476 2.34% 17,030 11,418 2.25% 4,923 3,058 2.68%

SRB Paracin Pojate X.18 18,404 13,010 1.95% 13,975 9,885 1.94% 4,430 3,125 1.96%

SRB Pojate Trupale X.19 17,122 11,787 2.10% 13,448 9,228 2.11% 3,674 2,559 2.03%

SRB Trupale Doljevac X.20 9,114 6,892 1.56% 7,390 5,691 1.46% 1,724 1,201 2.03%

SRB Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 9,114 5,811 2.53% 7,390 4,826 2.40% 1,724 985 3.16%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 41

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

SRB Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 9,114 5,224 3.14% 7,390 4,344 3.00% 1,724 880 3.81%

SRB Grdelica Presevo X.23 8,521 6,381 1.62% 6,062 5,419 0.63% 2,459 962 5.35%

MKD Tabanovce MK/SR

(border)

Kumanovo X.25 8,257 4,607 3.29% 6,394 4,098 2.50% 1,863 509 7.47%

MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 11,455 7,213 2.60% 9,596 6,554 2.14% 1,860 659 5.93%

MKD Miladinovci Veles X.27 14,649 7,879 3.51% 13,274 7,065 3.57% 1,375 814 2.96%

MKD Veles Gradsko X.28 6,952 4,832 2.04% 6,374 4,304 2.21% 578 528 0.50%

MKD Gradsko Negotino X.29 4,823 3,489 1.81% 4,245 2,850 2.24% 578 639 -0.56%

MKD Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4,823 3,312 2.11% 4,245 2,865 2.21% 578 447 1.44%

MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4,823 3,775 1.37% 4,245 3,046 1.86% 578 729 -1.28%

MKD Udovo Bogorodica X.32 6,623 4,534 2.13% 2,782 4,018 -2.02% 3,841 516 11.80%

CRO Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 11,539 7,525 2.40% 10,354 6,734 2.42% 1,185 791 2.27%

CRO Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 11,539 7,525 2.40% 10,354 6,734 2.42% 1,185 791 2.27%

CRO Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 15,320 7,821 3.81% 13,398 7,026 3.65% 1,922 795 5.03%

CRO Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 15,320 10,446 2.15% 13,398 9,262 2.07% 1,922 1,184 2.73%

CRO Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 15,320 11,895 1.42% 13,398 10,554 1.33% 1,922 1,341 2.02%

CRO Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 23,427 15,962 2.15% 20,995 14,636 2.02% 2,431 1,326 3.43%

CRO Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 23,427 15,962 2.15% 20,995 14,636 2.02% 2,431 1,326 3.43%

SRB Horgos Subotica Xb.1 7,869 5,192 2.34% 6,171 3,186 3.74% 1,697 2,006 -0.92%

SRB Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 10,078 6,750 2.25% 7,799 5,271 2.20% 2,279 1,479 2.43%

SRB Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 21,064 14,196 2.22% 17,580 11,760 2.26% 3,484 2,436 2.01%

SRB Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 34,578 23,797 2.10% 31,094 22,372 1.85% 3,484 1,425 5.09%

SRB Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 10,867 7,953 1.75% 8,775 6,348 1.82% 2,092 1,605 1.48%

SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 7,267 5,113 1.97% 5,590 3,849 2.09% 1,678 1,264 1.59%

Annex II: Model results for the road network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 42

Country From To SEETO Code Total

veh/

day

2030

Total

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Car

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2012

Annual

growth

%

Trucks

veh/

day

2030

Trucks

veh/

day

2012

Annual

growth

%

SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 7,267 4,749 2.39% 5,590 3,662 2.38% 1,678 1,087 2.44%

SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 7,519 5,200 2.07% 6,075 4,130 2.17% 1,444 1,070 1.68%

SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 5,909 4,064 2.10% 4,553 3,097 2.16% 1,357 967 1.90%

MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 5,340 2,849 3.55% 4,644 2,472 3.57% 696 377 3.47%

MKD Prilep Bitola Xd.02 5,340 2,813 3.63% 4,644 2,595 3.29% 696 218 6.67%

MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 3,576 2,393 2.26% 3,522 2,339 2.30% 53 54 -0.05%

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 forecasts)

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 43

Model Results for the rail network – “Do-nothing” Scenario Table AII. 3. “Do-nothing” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic Volumes – Rail Network

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin 529 334 1.5826 2.58% 3,170 2,383 1.3304 1.60%

CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 586 452 1.2975 1.46% 3,031 2,383 1.2720 1.35%

CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 650 461 1.4110 1.93% 1,834 1,243 1.4750 2.18%

CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port) 46 29 1.5933 2.62% 831 756 1.0995 0.53%

CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port) 108 82 1.3220 1.56% 1,330 1,202 1.1067 0.57%

SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska 256 181 1.4139 1.94% 835 688 1.2146 1.09%

SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje 371 160 2.3228 4.79% 103 35 2.9133 6.12%

KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak 1,418 1,004 1.4123 1.94% 3,234 2,048 1.5792 2.57%

KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic 371 1,004 0.3697 -5.38% 103 2,048 0.0503 -15.30%

MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov 6 1 3.7846 7.67% 1,330 822 1.6184 2.71%

SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo 325 234 1.3899 1.85% 1,358 1,025 1.3253 1.58%

SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac 108 0 0.0000 -100.00% 539 365 1.4756 2.19%

CRO R12.1 SLO/HR border Cakovec 814 753 1.0807 0.43% 1,469 1,292 1.1371 0.72%

CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 814 753 1.0807 0.43% 1,469 1,336 1.0998 0.53%

CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border 814 753 1.0807 0.43% 1,469 1,169 1.2568 1.28%

SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 119 68 1.7488 3.15% 42 3 14.7259 16.12%

SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 119 68 1.7488 3.15% 42 3 14.7259 16.12%

MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi 612 1,048 691 1.5161 2.34%

ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder 524 594 383 1.5492 2.46%

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 44

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore 453 320 1.4156 1.95% 589 378 1.5594 2.50%

SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo 180 137 1.3114 1.52% 4,041 2,634 1.5341 2.41%

SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo 138 88 1.5680 2.53% 4,775 3,481 1.3716 1.77%

SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1,263 934 1.3517 1.69% 3,348 2,382 1.4055 1.91%

MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1,258 934 1.3463 1.67% 3,731 2,382 1.5661 2.52%

MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac 1,162 4,206 2,888 1.4564 2.11%

MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1,124 4,452 2,888 1.5417 2.43%

MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin 1,099 4,454 2,888 1.5421 2.44%

MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica 1,053 4,363 2,888 1.5107 2.32%

MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 214 1,382 883 1.5663 2.52%

MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 202 1,323 883 1.4989 2.27%

BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 379 253 1.5017 2.28% 7,414 4,672 1.5868 2.60%

BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 58 39 1.4752 2.18% 7,937 5,342 1.4856 2.22%

BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 294 201 1.4631 2.14% 7,844 6,548 1.1980 1.01%

CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo 40 26 1.5233 2.37% 1,104 919 1.2007 1.02%

CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar 40 26 1.5233 2.37% 1,104 894 1.2349 1.18%

CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka 127 117 1.0914 0.49% 986 1,113 0.8852 -0.68%

CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice 598 430 1.3883 1.84% 5,011 4,509 1.1115 0.59%

CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije 471 334 1.4120 1.94% 5,766 4,982 1.1573 0.81%

CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 468 334 1.4023 1.90% 8,438 7,378 1.1437 0.75%

CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 1,829 1,535 1.1914 0.98% 8,340 6,613 1.2612 1.30%

CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4,437 3,061 1.4494 2.08% 13,003 8,476 1.5340 2.41%

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 45

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 511 326 1.5696 2.54% 2,423 1,578 1.5350 2.41%

CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje 393 278 1.4133 1.94% 35 32 1.0879 0.47%

CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski Samac 89 58 1.5412 2.43% 2,554 1,960 1.3036 1.48%

BIH Vc.4 Bosanski

Samac

Doboj

416 3,004 0.1384 -10.40% 2,433 1,633 1.4901 2.24%

BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina 314 201 1.5593 2.50% 8,634 6,548 1.3187 1.55%

BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo 486 336 1.4433 2.06% 7,337 4,740 1.5480 2.46%

BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 198 134 1.4753 2.18% 6,541 4,603 1.4211 1.97%

BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce 160 94 1.7041 3.01% 6,092 4,038 1.5088 2.31%

ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near Tirana 1,012 644 1.5716 2.54% 72 33 2.1713 4.40%

ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres 909 566 1.6068 2.67% 424 225 1.8856 3.59%

ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet 421 538 0.7819 -1.36% 367 221 1.6602 2.86%

ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine 421 195 2.1607 4.37% 367 220 1.6736 2.90%

ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore 154 110 1.3999 1.89% 24 13 1.8408 3.45%

ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan 237 158 1.5028 2.29% 331 213 1.5529 2.48%

ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin 0 24 0 0

ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec 0 2 0 0

ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce 0 0 0 0

ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov 341 241 1.4126 1.94% 166 99 1.6777 2.92%

MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo 454 178 2.5477 5.33% 4,531 2,581 1.7558 3.18%

MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane 6 0 323 0

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 46

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo 0 0 0 0

CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 3,055 2,474 1.2345 1.18% 5,281 4,384 1.2046 1.04%

CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb 3,048 34,053 0.0895 -12.55% 5,267 4,509 1.1680 0.87%

CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 8,780 44,664 0.1966 -8.64% 12,974 7,734 1.6777 2.92%

CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 3,853 3,141 1.2266 1.14% 7,223 5,353 1.3493 1.68%

CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 2,644 2,384 1.1089 0.58% 4,789 3,826 1.2516 1.25%

CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 70 502 0.1403 -10.34% 4,679 3,460 1.3522 1.69%

CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 70 27 2.6253 5.51% 4,679 0 0.0000 -100.00%

CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 3,877 3,466 1.1185 0.62% 6,243 4,727 1.3205 1.56%

CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 801 1,024 0.7819 -1.36% 6,663 6,425 1.0369 0.20%

CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik 761 468 1.6246 2.73% 5,560 3,374 1.6480 2.81%

SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova 761 594 1.2812 1.39% 5,560 4,126 1.3476 1.67%

SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 3,890 3,407 1.1417 0.74% 16,122 11,984 1.3453 1.66%

SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 3,890 3,407 1.1417 0.74% 16,122 11,984 1.3453 1.66%

SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4,017 3,407 1.1789 0.92% 16,875 11,984 1.4082 1.92%

SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik 3,929 3,407 1.1530 0.79% 14,071 11,984 1.1742 0.90%

SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo 1,582 1,272 1.2439 1.22% 12,456 9,004 1.3835 1.82%

SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac 1,582 1,272 1.2439 1.22% 12,456 9,004 1.3835 1.82%

SBR X.18 Stalac Nis 1,535 1,272 1.2070 1.05% 12,563 9,004 1.3953 1.87%

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 47

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-

2030

Annual

growth

%

SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 833 695 1.1986 1.01% 5,581 3,844 1.4518 2.09%

MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 262 106 2.4782 5.17% 5,480 3,799 1.4424 2.06%

MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 266 106 2.5190 5.27% 5,507 3,799 1.4496 2.08%

MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 720 2,392 0.3010 -6.45% 6,440 4,039 1.5945 2.63%

MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija 351 239 1.4729 2.17% 7,579 6,096 1.2432 1.22%

SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1,255 0 11,258 8,358 1.3470 1.67%

SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1,177 986 1.1938 0.99% 11,003 8,335 1.3201 1.55%

SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3,028 2,012 1.5050 2.30% 10,996 8,243 1.3341 1.61%

SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 154 85 1.8139 3.36% 7,351 5,430 1.3538 1.70%

MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola 915 662 1.3828 1.82% 70 40 1.7678 3.22%

MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica 0 0 0 0

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 forecasts)

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 48

Table AII. 4. “Do-nothing” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate, 2030 Traffic Volumes – Rail Network

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin 598 334 1.7902 3.29% 3,635 2,383 1.5257 2.37%

CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 656 452 1.4517 2.09% 3,502 2,383 1.4698 2.16%

CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 721 461 1.5643 2.52% 2,184 1,243 1.7569 3.18%

CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port) 46 29 1.5907 2.61% 923 756 1.2209 1.12%

CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port) 108 82 1.3146 1.53% 1,477 1,202 1.2288 1.15%

SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska 302 181 1.6685 2.88% 937 688 1.3624 1.73%

SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje 416 160 2.5999 5.45% 113 35 3.1898 6.66%

KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak 1,619 1,004 1.6120 2.69% 3,713 2,048 1.8131 3.36%

KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic 416 1,004 0.4139 -4.78% 113 2,048 0.0551 -14.87%

MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov 7 1 4.5753 8.82% 1,474 822 1.7938 3.30%

SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo 381 234 1.6302 2.75% 1,518 1,025 1.4814 2.21%

SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac 122 0 595 365 1.6300 2.75%

CRO R12.1 SLO/HR

border

Cakovec

833 753 1.1061 0.56% 1,631 1,292 1.2624 1.30%

CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 833 753 1.1061 0.56% 1,631 1,336 1.2210 1.12%

CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border 833 753 1.1061 0.56% 1,631 1,169 1.3952 1.87%

SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 125 68 1.8473 3.47% 49 3 17.0718 17.07%

SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 125 68 1.8473 3.47% 49 3 17.0718 17.07%

MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi 722 0 1,178 691 1.7031 3.00%

ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder 620 0 664 383 1.7324 3.10%

ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore 538 320 1.6810 2.93% 665 378 1.7616 3.20%

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 49

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo 200 137 1.4613 2.13% 4,391 2,634 1.6670 2.88%

SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo 149 88 1.6901 2.96% 5,218 3,481 1.4991 2.27%

SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1,481 934 1.5855 2.59% 3,714 2,382 1.5588 2.50%

MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1,493 934 1.5978 2.64% 4,174 2,382 1.7521 3.16%

MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac 1,380 0 4,722 2,888 1.6350 2.77%

MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1,335 0 5,013 2,888 1.7359 3.11%

MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin 1,305 0 5,015 2,888 1.7364 3.11%

MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica 1,250 0 4,923 2,888 1.7046 3.01%

MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 260 0 1,556 883 1.7632 3.20%

MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 245 0 1,494 883 1.6932 2.97%

BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 412 253 1.6305 2.75% 8,348 4,672 1.7868 3.28%

BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 61 39 1.5415 2.43% 8,706 5,342 1.6295 2.75%

BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 305 201 1.5163 2.34% 8,598 6,548 1.3131 1.52%

CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo 40 26 1.5125 2.33% 1,225 919 1.3325 1.61%

CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar 40 26 1.5125 2.33% 1,225 894 1.3704 1.77%

CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka 193 117 1.6584 2.85% 1,157 1,113 1.0389 0.21%

CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice 638 430 1.4814 2.21% 5,564 4,509 1.2341 1.18%

CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije 520 334 1.5599 2.50% 6,472 4,982 1.2990 1.46%

CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 530 334 1.5895 2.61% 9,519 7,378 1.2903 1.43%

CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 2,278 1,535 1.4839 2.22% 9,410 6,613 1.4230 1.98%

CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4,641 3,061 1.5159 2.34% 15,331 8,476 1.8087 3.35%

CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 545 326 1.6737 2.90% 2,911 1,578 1.8443 3.46%

CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje 467 278 1.6802 2.92% 36 32 1.1411 0.74%

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 50

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski Samac 102 58 1.7647 3.21% 2,779 1,960 1.4182 1.96%

BIH Vc.4 Bosanski

Samac

Doboj

431 3,004 0.1436 -10.22% 2,644 1,633 1.6190 2.71%

BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina 342 201 1.7016 3.00% 9,826 6,548 1.5006 2.28%

BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo 525 336 1.5618 2.51% 8,405 4,740 1.7733 3.23%

BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 210 134 1.5622 2.51% 7,530 4,603 1.6360 2.77%

BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce 172 94 1.8272 3.41% 7,041 4,038 1.7437 3.14%

ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near Tirana 1,288 644 1.9989 3.92% 83 33 2.5160 5.26%

ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres 1,169 566 2.0655 4.11% 489 225 2.1754 4.41%

ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet 502 538 0.9323 -0.39% 420 221 1.8973 3.62%

ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine 502 195 2.5762 5.40% 420 220 1.9126 3.67%

ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore 176 110 1.6027 2.66% 27 13 2.0945 4.19%

ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan 285 158 1.8120 3.36% 378 213 1.7753 3.24%

ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin 0 24 0 0

ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec 0 2 0 0

ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce 0 0 0 0

ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov 422 241 1.7493 3.16% 189 99 1.9117 3.67%

MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo 581 178 3.2606 6.79% 5,290 2,581 2.0497 4.07%

MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane 0 0 378 0

MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci 0 0 0 0

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 51

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci 0 0 0 0

MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo 0 0 0 0

CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 3,693 2,474 1.4926 2.25% 5,707 4,384 1.3017 1.48%

CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb 3,697 34,053 0.1086 -11.60% 5,694 4,509 1.2627 1.30%

CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 9,479 44,664 0.2122 -8.25% 15,992 7,734 2.0679 4.12%

CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 3,948 3,141 1.2569 1.28% 8,563 5,353 1.5997 2.64%

CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 3,366 2,384 1.4116 1.93% 5,652 3,826 1.4773 2.19%

CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 78 502 0.1547 -9.85% 5,534 3,460 1.5992 2.64%

CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 78 27 2.8939 6.08% 5,534 0

CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 3,971 3,466 1.1455 0.76% 7,051 4,727 1.4916 2.25%

CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 888 1,024 0.8671 -0.79% 7,528 6,425 1.1717 0.88%

CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik 848 468 1.8117 3.36% 6,305 3,374 1.8688 3.53%

SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova 954 594 1.6066 2.67% 6,453 4,126 1.5641 2.52%

SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 4,285 3,407 1.2575 1.28% 17,281 11,984 1.4420 2.05%

SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 4,285 3,407 1.2575 1.28% 17,281 11,984 1.4420 2.05%

SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4,421 3,407 1.2975 1.46% 18,039 11,984 1.5054 2.30%

SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik 4,207 3,407 1.2346 1.18% 14,972 11,984 1.2494 1.24%

SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo 1,737 1,272 1.3657 1.75% 13,154 9,004 1.4609 2.13%

SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac 1,737 1,272 1.3657 1.75% 13,154 9,004 1.4609 2.13%

SBR X.18 Stalac Nis 1,691 1,272 1.3297 1.60% 13,263 9,004 1.4731 2.18%

SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 932 695 1.3418 1.65% 5,959 3,844 1.5501 2.46%

MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 322 106 3.0427 6.38% 5,848 3,799 1.5393 2.43%

MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 327 106 3.0960 6.48% 5,894 3,799 1.5515 2.47%

Annex II: Model results for the rail network – “Do-Nothing” Scenario 52

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

Growth

2012-2030

Annual

growth

%

MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 908 2,392 0.3796 -5.24% 6,830 4,039 1.6912 2.96%

MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija 369 239 1.5454 2.45% 8,127 6,096 1.3331 1.61%

SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1,319 0 11,739 8,358 1.4045 1.91%

SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1,227 986 1.2445 1.22% 11,470 8,335 1.3761 1.79%

SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3,331 2,012 1.6556 2.84% 11,484 8,243 1.3933 1.86%

SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 164 85 1.9381 3.74% 7,612 5,430 1.4018 1.89%

MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola 1,127 662 1.7027 3.00% 79 40 2.0003 3.93%

MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica 0 0 0 0

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 forecasts)

Annex II: Model results for maritime ports and IWW 53

Model Results for the Maritime Ports and IWW – “Do-nothing” Scenario Table AII. 5. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – IWW (low/moderate economic growth rate)

Country River From To Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers/

year 2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

BIH Sava Ustica Raca 150 286 50,000 62,320

CRO Sava Sisak Racinovci 1,877 3,096 373,306 465,289

CRO Drava Osijek Ajmas 145 239 121,709 151,698

CRO Danube Batina Ilok 24,503 40,420 326,847 407,382

SER Danube Bezdan Novi Sad 130,141 276,524 9,507,825 10,892,164

SER Danube Novi Sad Veliko

Gradiste

130,141 276,524 9,507,825 10,892,164

SER Danube Veliko Gradiste Timok

River

130,141 276,524 9,507,825 10,892,164

SER Sava Belgrade Vrbica 60 127 48,000 54,989

SER Sava Vrbica Jamena 60 127 48,000 54,989

SER Tisa HU Border Danube

River

636 1,351 57,600 65,987

Source: SEETO (2012) Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections)

Table AII. 6. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – IWW (moderate/high economic growth rate)

Country River From To Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers/

year 2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

BIH Sava Ustica Raca 150 358 50,000 77,900

CRO Sava Sisak Racinovci 1,877 3,870 373,306 581,611

CRO Drava Osijek Ajmas 145 299 121,709 189,623

CRO Danube Batina Ilok 24,503 50,525 326,847 509,228

Annex II: Model results for maritime ports and IWW 54

Country River From To Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers/

year 2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

SER Danube Bezdan Novi Sad 130,141 345,654 9,507,825 13,615,205

SER Danube Novi Sad Veliko

Gradiste 130,141 345,654 9,507,825 13,615,205

SER Danube Veliko Gradiste Timok

River 130,141 345,654 9,507,825 13,615,205

SER Sava Belgrade Vrbica 60 159 48,000 68,736

SER Sava Vrbica Jamena 60 159 48,000 68,736

SER Tisa HU Border Danube

River 636 1,689 57,600 82,483

Source: SEETO (2012) Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections)

Table AII. 7. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – River ports (low/moderate economic growth rate)

Country River Port Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers

/year 2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

BIH Sava Brcko 200 541 71,273 98,780

BIH Sava Samac - - 54,000 74,841

CRO Drava Osijek 1,475 3,312 257,937 357,486

CRO Sava Sisak - - 42,361 58,710

CRO Sava Sl. Brod - - 168,028 232,878

CRO Sava Vukovar - - 541,764 750,855

SER Danube Belgrade 61,037 238,044 332,485 407,625

SER Danube Novi Sad 11,800 46,018 1,100,000 1,348,596

Source: SEETO (2012) Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections)

Annex II: Model results for maritime ports and IWW 55

Table AII. 8. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – River ports (moderate/high economic growth rate)

Country River Port Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers

/year 2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

BIH Sava Brcko 200 676 71,273 123,476

BIH Sava Samac - - 54,000 93,551

CRO Drava Osijek 1,475 4,140 257,937 446,858

CRO Sava Sisak - - 42,361 73,388

CRO Sava Sl. Brod - - 168,028 291,097

CRO Sava Vukovar - - 541,764 938,569

SER Danube Belgrade 61,037 297,555 332,485 509,532

SER Danube Novi Sad 11,800 57,522 1,100,000 1,685,745

Source: SEETO (2012) Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections)

Table AII. 9. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Seaports (low/moderate economic growth rate)

Country Port Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers/year

2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

ALB Durres 798,524 926,288 3,516,446 4,782,367

ALB Vlore 190,015 220,417 164,620 223,883

CRO Dubrovnik 1,194,298 2,159,291 150 180

CRO Ploce 189,745 247,427 2,582,109 3,098,531

CRO Pula 50,000 65,200 568,000 681,600

CRO Rijeka 178,956 233,359 9,390,380 11,268,456

CRO Sibenik 297,000 387,288 410,000 492,000

CRO Split 4,253,135 5,546,088 2,825,192 3,390,230

CRO Zadar 2,390,229 3,116,859 252,582 303,098

Annex II: Model results for maritime ports and IWW 56

Country Port Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers/year

2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

MON Bar 60,000 69,600 1,640,000 2,230,400

Source: SEETO (2012) Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections)

Table AII. 10. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Seaports (moderate/high economic growth rate)

Country Port Passengers/

year 2012

Passengers/ye

ar 2030

Tons/year

2012

Tons/year

2030

ALB Durres 798,524 1,157,860 3,516,446 5,977,958

ALB Vlore 190,015 275,522 164,620 279,854

CRO Dubrovnik 1,194,298 2,699,113 150 225

CRO Ploce 189,745 309,284 2,582,109 3,873,164

CRO Pula 50,000 81,500 568,000 852,000

CRO Rijeka 178,956 291,698 9,390,380 14,085,570

CRO Sibenik 297,000 484,110 410,000 615,000

CRO Split 4,253,135 6,932,610 2,825,192 4,237,788

CRO Zadar 2,390,229 3,896,073 252,582 378,873

MON Bar 60,000 87,000 1,640,000 2,788,000

Source: SEETO (2012) Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections)

Annex II: Model results for airports 57

Model Results for the Airports – “Do-nothing” Scenario

Table AII. 11. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports for the Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate

Country Airport Passengers/ year 2012 Passengers/year 2030

ALB Tirana 1,665,331 2,930,983

BIH Banja Luka Airport 6,238 9,419

BIH Sarajevo 580,058 875,888

CRO Dubrovnik 1,480,470 1,850,588

CRO Osijek 2,195 2,744

CRO Pula 377,428 471,785

CRO Rijeka 140,000 175,000

CRO Split 1,425,749 1,782,186

CRO Zadar 500,000 625,000

CRO Zagreb 2,342,309 2,927,886

KOS Pristina 1,500,000 2,775,000

MKD Ohrid 78,040 150,617

MKD Skopje 828,831 1,599,644

MNE Podgorica 1,105,009 1,911,666

MNE Tivat 725,392 1,254,928

SRB Belgrade 3,363,919 4,339,456

SRB Nis 27,426 35,380

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections), based on growth factors provided by The World Bank Team

Annex II: Model results for airports 58

Table AII. 12. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports for the Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate

Country Airport Passengers/ year 2012 Passengers/year 2030

ALB Tirana 1,665,331 3,880,221

BIH Banja Luka Airport 6,238 11,540

BIH Sarajevo 580,058 1,073,107

CRO Dubrovnik 1,480,470 2,057,853

CRO Osijek 2,195 3,051

CRO Pula 377,428 524,625

CRO Rijeka 140,000 194,600

CRO Split 1,425,749 1,981,791

CRO Zadar 500,000 695,000

CRO Zagreb 2,342,309 3,255,810

KOS Pristina 1,500,000 3,750,000

MKD Ohrid 78,040 207,586

MKD Skopje 828,831 2,204,690

MNE Podgorica 1,105,009 2,497,320

MNE Tivat 725,392 1,639,386

SRB Belgrade 3,363,919 4,944,961

SRB Nis 27,426 40,316

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections), based on growth factors provided by The World Bank Team

Annex II: Model results for airports 59

Table AII. 13. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports – Direct and Indirect Traffic for the Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Banja Luka Airport Belgrade Airport 475 475 0 1.51 719 719 -

Banja Luka Airport Sarajevo Airport 4,008 4,008 0 1.51 6,065 6,065 -

Belgrade Airport Banja Luka Airport 2,340 2,340 0 1.29 3,027 3,027 -

Belgrade Airport Dubrovnik Airport 6,013 5,833 180 1.29 7,778 7,545 233

Belgrade Airport Nis Airport 0 0 0 1.29 - - -

Belgrade Airport Ohrid Airport 1,814 1,814 0 1.29 2,346 2,346 -

Belgrade Airport Podgorica Airport 217,999 217,999 0 1.29 281,982 281,982 -

Belgrade Airport Pula Airport 3,821 3,821 0

1.29

4,942

4,942 -

Belgrade Airport Sarajevo Airport 23,362 23,128 234 1.29 30,219 29,916 303

Belgrade Airport Skopje Airport 26,485 26,485 0 1.29 281,982 281,982 -

Belgrade Airport Split Airport 9,181 8,997 184 1.29 11,876 11,638 238

Belgrade Airport Tivat Airport 197,841 197,841 0 1.29 255,907 255,907 -

Belgrade Airport Zagreb Airport 1,229 0 1,229 1.29 1,590 1,590 -

Belgrade Airport Tirana Airport 2,227 0 2,227 1.29 2,881 2,881 -

Dubrovnik Airport Belgrade Airport 5,945 5,767 178 1.25 7,416 7,194 222

Dubrovnik Airport Osijek Airport 1,256 1,256 0 1.25 1,567 1,567 -

Dubrovnik Airport Rijeka Airport 0 0 0 1.25 - - -

Dubrovnik Airport Split Airport 4,495 3,191 1,304 1.25 5,607 3,981 1,627

Dubrovnik Airport Zagreb Airport 186,854 186,854 0 1.25 233,094 233,094 -

Nis Airport Belgrade Airport 0 0 0 1.29 - - -

Annex II: Model results for airports 60

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Nis Airport Podgorica Airport 19,255 19,255 0 1.29 24,906 24,906 -

Ohrid Airport Belgrade Airport 10,313 10,313 0 1.93 19,903 19,903 -

Osijek Airport Dubrovnik Airport 1,393 1,393 0 1.25 1,738 1,738 -

Osijek Airport Split Airport 1,697 1,663 34 1.25 2,117 2,075 42

Osijek Airport Zagreb Airport 478 478 0 1.25 596 596 -

Podgorica Airport Belgrade Airport 188,809 188,809 0 1.73 326,870 326,870 -

Podgorica Airport Nis Airport 32,557 32,557 0 1.73 56,363 56,363 -

Podgorica Airport Tivat Airport 0 0 0 1.73 - - -

Podgorica Airport Zagreb Airport 1,077 517 560 1.73 1,865 895 969

Pristina Airport Tirana Airport 10,491 9,966 525 1.85 19,419 18,447 972

Pristina Airport Zagreb Airport 7,162 7,162 0 1.85 13,257 13,257 -

Pula Airport Belgrade Airport 4,295 4,295 0 1.25 5,358 5,358 -

Pula Airport Zadar Airport 44,117 44,117 0 1.25 55,035 55,035 -

Pula Airport Zagreb Airport 4,048 4,008 40 1.25 5,050 5,000 50

Rijeka Airport Dubrovnik Airport 0 0 0 1.25 - - -

Rijeka Airport Split Airport 0 0 0 1.25 - - -

Rijeka Airport Zagreb Airport 0 0 0 1.25 - - -

Sarajevo Airport Banja Luka Airport 16,083 16,083 0 1.51 24,337 24,337 -

Sarajevo Airport Belgrade Airport 19,040 18,850 190 1.51 28,812 28,524 288

Sarajevo Airport Zagreb Airport 30,448 30,448 0 1.51 46,074 46,074 -

Skopje Airport Belgrade Airport 24,427 24,427 0 1.93 47,141 47,141 -

Annex II: Model results for airports 61

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Skopje Airport Zagreb Airport 21,215 21,003 212 1.93 40,942 40,533 409

Split Airport Belgrade Airport 8,807 8,631 176 1.25 10,986 10,767 220

Split Airport Dubrovnik Airport 4,361 3,096 1,265 1.25 5,440 3,862 1,578

Split Airport Osijek Airport 1,484 1,454 30 1.25 1,851 1,814 37

Split Airport Rijeka Airport 0 0 0 1.25 - - -

Split Airport Zagreb Airport 98,161 98,161 0 1.25 122,453 122,453 -

Tirana Airport Pristina Airport 8,714 8,714 0 1.76 15,373 15,373 -

Tirana Airport Belgrade Airport 1,832 0 1832 1.76 3,232 3,232 -

Tivat Airport Belgrade Airport 239,861 239,861 0 1.73 415,253 415,253 -

Tivat Airport Podgorica Airport 0 0 0 1.73 - - -

Zadar Airport Pula Airport 31,612 31,612 0 1.25 39,435 39,435 -

Zadar Airport Zagreb Airport 4,726 4,631 95

1.25

5,896

5,777 119

Zagreb Airport Belgrade Airport 1,318 0 1,318 1.25 1,644 1,644 -

Zagreb Airport Dubrovnik Airport 202,625 202,625 0 1.25 252,768 252,768 -

Zagreb Airport Osijek Airport 467 467 0 1.25 583 583 -

Zagreb Airport Podgorica Airport 1,334 640 694 1.25 1,664 798 866

Zagreb Airport Pristina Airport 7,751 7,363 388 1.25 9,669 9,185 484

Zagreb Airport Pula Airport 3,860 3,821 39 1.25 4,815 4,767 49

Zagreb Airport Rijeka Airport 0 0 0 1.25 - - -

Zagreb Airport Sarajevo Airport 40,057 40,057 0 1.25 49,970 49,970 -

Zagreb Airport Skopje Airport 24,622 24,376 246 1.25 30,715 30,408 307

Annex II: Model results for airports 62

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Zagreb Airport Split Airport 109,703 109,703 0 1.25 136,851 136,851 -

Zagreb Airport Zadar Airport 6,289 6,163 126 1.25 7,845 7,688 157

Source: SEETO (2012) and IATA database (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections), based on growth factors provided by The World Bank Team

Table AII. 14. “Do-nothing” 2030 Traffic Volumes – Airports – Direct and Indirect Traffic for the Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Banja Luka Airport Belgrade Airport 475 475 0 1.85 881 881 -

Banja Luka Airport Sarajevo Airport 4,008 4,008 0 1.85 7,434 7,434 -

Belgrade Airport Banja Luka Airport 2,340 2,340 0 1.47 3,438 3,438 -

Belgrade Airport Dubrovnik Airport 6,013 5,833 180 1.47 8,834 8,569 264

Belgrade Airport Nis Airport 0 0 0 1.47 - - -

Belgrade Airport Ohrid Airport 1,814 1,814 0 1.47 2,665 2,665 -

Belgrade Airport Podgorica Airport 217,999 217,999 0 1.47 320,266 320,266 -

Belgrade Airport Pula Airport 3,821 3,821 0 1.47 5,613 5,613 -

Belgrade Airport Sarajevo Airport 23,362 23,128 234 1.47 34,321 33,978 344

Belgrade Airport Skopje Airport 26,485 26,485 0 1.47 38,910 38,910 -

Belgrade Airport Split Airport 9,181 8,997 184 1.47 13,488 13,218 270

Belgrade Airport Tivat Airport 197,841 197,841 0 1.47 290,651 290,651 -

Annex II: Model results for airports 63

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Belgrade Airport Zagreb Airport 1,229 0 1,229 1.47 1,806 1,806 -

Belgrade Airport Tirana Airport 2,227 0 2,227 1.47 3,272 3,272 -

Dubrovnik Airport Belgrade Airport 5,945 5,767 178 1.39 8,275 8,027 248

Dubrovnik Airport Osijek Airport 1,256 1,256 0 1.39 1,748 1,748 -

Dubrovnik Airport Rijeka Airport 0 0 0 1.39 - - -

Dubrovnik Airport Split Airport 4,495 3,191 1,304 1.39 6,257 4,442 1,815

Dubrovnik Airport Zagreb Airport 186,854 186,854 0 1.39 260,081 260,081 -

Nis Airport Belgrade Airport 0 0 0 1.47 - - -

Nis Airport Podgorica Airport 19,255 19,255 0 1.47 28,288 28,288 -

Ohrid Airport Belgrade Airport 10,313 10,313 0 2.66 27,407 27,407 -

Osijek Airport Dubrovnik Airport 1,393 1,393 0 1.39 1,939 1,939 -

Osijek Airport Split Airport 1,697 1,663 34 1.39 2,362 2,315 47

Osijek Airport Zagreb Airport 478 478 0 1.39 665 665 -

Podgorica Airport Belgrade Airport 188,809 188,809 0 2.26 427,445 427,445 -

Podgorica Airport Nis Airport 32,557 32,557 0 2.26 73,706 73,706 -

Podgorica Airport Tivat Airport 0 0 0 2.26 - - -

Podgorica Airport Zagreb Airport 1,077 517 560 2.26 2,438 1,170 1,268

Pristina Airport Tirana Airport 10,491 9,966 525 2.50 26,217 24,905 1,312

Pristina Airport Zagreb Airport 7,162 7,162 0 2.50 17,898 17,898 -

Pula Airport Belgrade Airport 4,295 4,295 0 1.39 5,978 5,978 -

Pula Airport Zadar Airport 44,117 44,117 0 1.39 61,406 61,406 -

Annex II: Model results for airports 64

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Pula Airport Zagreb Airport 4,048 4,008 40 1.39 5,634 5,579 56

Rijeka Airport Dubrovnik Airport 0 0 0 1.39 - - -

Rijeka Airport Split Airport 0 0 0 1.39 - - -

Rijeka Airport Zagreb Airport 0 0 0 1.39 - - -

Sarajevo Airport Banja Luka Airport 16,083 16,083 0 1.85 29,832 29,832 -

Sarajevo Airport Belgrade Airport 19,040 18,850 190 1.85 35,317 34,965 352

Sarajevo Airport Zagreb Airport 30,448 30,448 0 1.85 56,478 56,478 -

Skopje Airport Belgrade Airport 24,427 24,427 0 2.66 64,914 64,914 -

Skopje Airport Zagreb Airport 21,215 21,003 212 2.66 56,378 55,815 563

Split Airport Belgrade Airport 8,807 8,631 176 1.39 12,258 12,013 245

Split Airport Dubrovnik Airport 4,361 3,096 1,265 1.39 6,070 4,309 1,761

Split Airport Osijek Airport 1,484 1,454 30 1.39 2,066 2,024 42

Split Airport Rijeka Airport 0 0 0 1.39 - - -

Split Airport Zagreb Airport 98,161 98,161 0 1.39 136,630 136,630 -

Tirana Airport Pristina Airport 8,714 8,714 0 2.33 20,285 20,285 -

Tirana Airport Belgrade Airport 1,832 0 1832 2.33 4,265 - 4,265

Tivat Airport Belgrade Airport 239,861 239,861 0 2.26 543,022 543,022 -

Tivat Airport Podgorica Airport 0 0 0 2.26 - - -

Zadar Airport Pula Airport 31,612 31,612 0 1.39 44,000 44,000 -

Zadar Airport Zagreb Airport 4,726 4,631 95 1.39 6,578 6,446 132

Zagreb Airport Belgrade Airport 1,318 0 1,318 1.39 1,835 1,835 -

Annex II: Model results for airports 65

From To Total

number of

passengers

(2012)

Direct

passengers

(2012)

Indirect

passengers

(2012)

Growth

factor

L/M

Total

number of

passengers

(2030)

Direct

passengers

(2030)

Indirect

passengers

(2030)

Zagreb Airport Dubrovnik Airport 202,625 202,625 0 1.39 282,032 282,032 -

Zagreb Airport Osijek Airport 467 467 0 1.39 650 650 -

Zagreb Airport Podgorica Airport 1,334 640 694 1.39 1,857 891 966

Zagreb Airport Pristina Airport 7,751 7,363 388 1.39 10,789 10,249 540

Zagreb Airport Pula Airport 3,860 3,821 39 1.39 5,373 5,318 54

Zagreb Airport Rijeka Airport 0 0 0 1.39 - - -

Zagreb Airport Sarajevo Airport 40,057 40,057 0 1.39 55,755 55,755 -

Zagreb Airport Skopje Airport 24,622 24,376 246 1.39 34,271 33,929 342

Zagreb Airport Split Airport 109,703 109,703 0 1.39 152,695 152,695 -

Zagreb Airport Zadar Airport 6,289 6,163 126 1.39 8,754 8,578 175

Source: SEETO (2012) and IATA database (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections), based on growth factors provided by The World Bank Team

Annex III: Model results “Full SEETO” Scenario 66

ANNEX III: Model Results the “Full SEETO” Scenario

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 67

Model Results for the Road Network – “Full SEETO” Scenario

Table AIII. 1. “Full SEETO” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic Volumes – Road Network

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 15,369 14,441 928 13,591

CRO Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 15,369 14,441 928 13,591

CRO Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 15,369 14,441 928 13,591

CRO Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 15,595 14,478 1,118 16,914

CRO Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 12,108 11,128 980 14,010

CRO Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 12,108 11,128 980 14,010

CRO Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 12,108 11,128 980 14,010

CRO Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 12,108 11,128 980 14,010

CRO Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 12,108 11,128 980 14,010

CRO Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 10,452 9,345 1,106 12,869

CRO Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 10,452 9,345 1,106 12,869

CRO Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 10,452 9,345 1,106 12,869

CRO Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 10,452 9,345 1,106 12,869

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 68

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW CRO Opuzen Klek R1.04 9,015 8,229 786 5,858

NEW CRO Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 9,015 8,229 786 5,858

CRO Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 8,688 7,755 933 7,479

CRO Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 8,688 7,755 933 7,479

CRO Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 8,688 7,755 933 7,479

CRO Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 8,688 7,755 933 7,479

CRO Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 4,850 4,286 564 4,526

NEW CRO Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 4,850 4,286 564 4,526

NEW CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 4,850 4,286 564 4,526

NEW CRO Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 4,850 4,286 564 4,526

NEW CRO XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 9,015 8,229 786 5,858

NEW CRO Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 9,015 8,229 786 5,858

NEW CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 11,690 10,895 795 5,932

NEW CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 16,436 15,641 795 5,932

UPGRADE CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 6,465 6,204 262 2,293

UPGRADE CRO Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 6,465 6,204 262 2,293

UPGRADE MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 5,630 5,372 258 2,254

UPGRADE MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 17,445 15,095 2,351 19,042

CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 7,590 7,099 491 5,730

CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 9,127 8,676 451 4,419

CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 28,107 24,645 3,462 30,164

UPGRADE MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 17,445 15,095 2,351 19,042

UPGRADE MNE Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 11,104 9,182 1,923 15,411

UPGRADE MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 19,583 18,319 1,264 10,979

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 69

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

UPGRADE MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 15,394 13,382 2,012 16,990

UPGRADE MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 15,394 13,382 2,012 16,990

UPGRADE MNE Misici Bar R1.13 22,741 20,184 2,558 20,601

CRO Pula Vodnjan R10.01.01 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Vodnjan Kanfanar R10.01.02 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Kanfanar Zminj R10.02.01 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Zminj Rogovici R10.02.02 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Rogovici Ivoli R10.02.03 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Ivoli Cerovlje R10.02.04 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Cerovlje Lupoglav R10.02.05 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Lupoglav Vranja R10.02.06 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Vranja Veprinac R10.02.07 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

CRO Veprinac Matulji R10.02.08 7,030 6,518 511 5,879

NEW CRO Rijeka Draga R10.04.01 23,587 21,101 2,486 35,141

NEW CRO Draga Sveti Kuzam R10.04.02 23,587 21,101 2,486 35,141

NEW CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.01 7,453 7,053 400 6,304

NEW CRO Bakar Smrika R10.05.02 7,453 7,053 400 6,304

NEW CRO Smrika Senj R10.06.01 7,453 7,053 400 6,304

NEW CRO Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.01 5,092 4,537 555 8,106

UPGRADE CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 29,262 26,758 2,504 41,606

NEW BIH Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 33,310 26,758 6,552 69,766

UPGRADE BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 33,310 26,758 6,552 69,766

UPGRADE BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 18,577 17,555 1,022 35,216

UPGRADE BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 18,214 17,246 968 34,707

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 70

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 18,214 17,246 968 34,707

NEW BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 26,114 24,605 1,508 39,046

UPGRADE BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 6,983 6,696 288 4,805

UPGRADE BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 3,820 3,500 320 5,034

UPGRADE BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 5,708 4,821 887 8,529

UPGRADE MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 2,764 2,567 197 3,729

MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 5,590 4,920 670 7,516

MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 5,590 4,920 670 7,516

MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 12,095 10,517 1,578 15,227

MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 13,903 12,064 1,839 17,320

UPGRADE MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 15,845 13,362 2,483 21,035

UPGRADE MNE Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 7,604 5,989 1,614 13,997

UPGRADE ALB Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 7,604 5,989 1,614 13,997

UPGRADE ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 14,118 9,973 4,145 34,242

UPGRADE ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 14,118 9,973 4,145 34,242

UPGRADE ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 20,939 15,387 5,552 44,136

UPGRADE ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 20,939 15,387 5,552 44,136

UPGRADE ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 23,492 15,387 8,105 61,896

ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 7,613 1,222 6,392 81,675

UPGRADE ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 5,848 4,705 1,143 18,497

UPGRADE ALB Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 7,384 5,374 2,010 32,271

NEW BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 18,097 15,722 2,375 27,312

BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 4,913 4,798 115 3,801

BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 3,619 3,487 132 3,522

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 71

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 3,619 3,487 132 3,522

BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 7,253 6,132 1,121 10,402

BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 3,619 3,487 132 3,522

SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 3,619 3,487 132 3,522

SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 3,619 3,487 132 3,522

NEW SRB Vatin Vrsac R4.01 1,561 1,136 425 7,499

NEW SRB Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 5,011 4,586 425 7,499

NEW SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 25,116 18,550 6,566 55,174

NEW SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 26,721 23,742 2,978 30,779

NEW SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 26,721 23,742 2,978 30,779

NEW SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 16,352 13,733 2,619 22,911

NEW SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 10,823 8,787 2,036 18,158

NEW SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 10,823 8,787 2,036 18,158

NEW SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 14,795 12,499 2,296 19,871

NEW SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 14,795 12,499 2,296 19,871

NEW SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 12,560 11,199 1,361 20,947

SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 3,490 3,358 132 3,522

NEW SRB Pozega Nova Varos R4.13 1,362 129 1,233 18,503

NEW SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 5,403 4,531 872 8,568

NEW SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 5,161 3,981 1,181 11,403

NEW MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 5,161 3,981 1,181 11,403

NEW MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 10,310 8,403 1,907 17,108

NEW MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 10,252 8,374 1,879 17,610

NEW MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 10,124 8,203 1,921 17,937

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 72

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 10,155 8,241 1,914 17,964

NEW MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 9,775 7,870 1,906 17,898

NEW MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 15,949 13,927 2,022 17,204

NEW MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 15,949 13,927 2,022 17,204

NEW MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 15,949 13,927 2,022 17,204

SRB Paracin Boljevac R5.01 3,560 2,818 742 9,911

SRB Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 3,564 3,031 533 8,416

SRB Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2,329 2,213 116 2,221

NEW SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 9,517 7,945 1,572 19,901

NEW SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 16,665 16,002 663 10,268

NEW SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 10,340 9,677 663 10,268

NEW SBR Krusevac Pojate R5.09 7,480 6,422 1,058 7,727

MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 6,302 5,291 1,011 8,015

MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 3,005 2,460 545 4,235

MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 3,197 2,792 405 3,128

SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 3,197 2,792 405 3,128

SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 2,327 1,920 407 3,703

UPGRADE KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 2,327 1,920 407 3,703

UPGRADE KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 22,152 17,624 4,528 36,111

NEW KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 41,996 28,436 13,560 178,633

NEW KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja Grlica R6.09 31,822 24,548 7,274 55,334

NEW KOS Gerlice/Donja Grlica Kacanik R6.10 12,991 10,317 2,674 23,334

NEW KOS Kacanik

Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic R6.11 8,391

5,717 2,674 23,334

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 73

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW MKD

Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic Stenkovec R6.12 6,276

5,717 559 6,486

UPGRADE KOS Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 36,684 24,292 12,392 8,635

UPGRADE KOS Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 4,989 4,412 576 4,761

UPGRADE KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 5,788 4,742 1,046 8,635

MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 1,211 1,075 136 1,089

MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 2,586 2,232 354 2,884

MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 1,798 1,552 246 2,024

MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 1,798 1,552 246 2,024

ALB Milot Rreshen R7.01 15,155 13,747 1,407 11,311

ALB Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 12,840 11,579 1,261 9,427

ALB Kalimash Morine R7.03 12,173 11,579 594 4,787

NEW KOS Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 10,512 9,740 771 6,014

NEW KOS Prizren Suhareke/Suva Reka R7.07 27,801 18,548 9,253 143,943

NEW KOS Suhareke/Suva Reka Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 27,801 18,548 9,253 143,943

NEW KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 16,071 13,718 2,353 95,943

UPGRADE KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 16,330 12,093 4,237 30,768

UPGRADE KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 11,394 10,747 647 5,254

NEW SBR Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 6,019 5,372 647 5,254

NEW SBR Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 6,019 5,372 647 5,254

NEW SBR Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 6,019 5,372 647 5,254

MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 11,201 9,481 1,720 13,306

MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 4,624 4,423 202 2,746

MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 4,624 4,423 202 2,746

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 74

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

CRO Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 7,999 7,432 567 6,219

CRO Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 7,999 7,432 567 6,219

CRO Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 12,662 11,911 751 14,834

CRO Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 13,019 11,871 1,147 19,090

CRO Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 13,019 11,871 1,147 19,090

CRO Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 13,019 11,871 1,147 19,090

NEW CRO Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 32,009 28,050 3,959 57,969

NEW CRO Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 32,009 28,050 3,959 57,969

NEW CRO Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 32,009 28,050 3,959 57,969

NEW CRO Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

NEW CRO Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

CRO Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

CRO Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

CRO Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

CRO Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

CRO Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

CRO Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 15,309 13,398 1,911 25,760

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 30,678 27,839 2,839 39,351

CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 30,678 27,839 2,839 39,351

CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 30,678 27,839 2,839 39,351

CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 35,869 31,907 3,962 52,345

UPGRADE CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 40,239 36,277 3,962 52,345

NEW CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 44,908 35,798 9,111 77,697

NEW CRO Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 35,938 28,898 7,041 63,297

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 75

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW CRO Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 29,360 23,838 5,523 52,737

CRO Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 10,421 8,670 1,751 26,497

CRO Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 10,421 8,670 1,751 26,497

CRO Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 10,421 8,670 1,751 26,497

CRO Novi Marof Varazdinske Toplice Vb.10.01 10,421 8,670 1,751 26,497

CRO Varazdinske Toplice Varazdin Vb.10.02 10,421 8,670 1,751 26,497

CRO Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 5,213 4,558 655 12,395

CRO Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 5,213 4,558 655 12,395

CRO Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 1,418 1,012 406 8,986

CRO Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 1,418 1,012 406 8,986

NEW CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 3,173 2,630 543 8,997

NEW CRO Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 8,693 8,150 543 8,997

NEW CRO Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 8,693 8,150 543 8,997

NEW CRO Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 26,749 22,862 3,887 33,178

CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 5,911 5,152 759 11,418

CRO Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 5,911 5,152 759 11,418

CRO Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 5,911 5,152 759 11,418

NEW CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 23,872 23,133 739 9,227

NEW BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 26,402 25,663 739 9,227

NEW CRO Metkovic HR/BH (border) Opuzen Vc.04.01 10,234 9,448 786 5,858

NEW CRO Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 9,798 8,050 1,748 12,160

NEW CRO Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 9,798 8,050 1,748 12,160

NEW BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 34,498 32,771 1,727 16,994

NEW BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 36,798 34,151 2,647 23,394

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 76

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 28,254 25,900 2,354 39,680

NEW BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 26,263 24,829 1,434 33,280

NEW BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 26,263 24,829 1,434 33,280

NEW BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 32,761 31,163 1,597 34,738

BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 33,493 30,618 2,876 29,853

BIH Visoko Josanica Vc.12 33,493 30,618 2,876 29,853

BIH Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 34,607 31,732 2,876 29,853

BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 34,607 31,732 2,876 29,853

NEW BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 31,836 26,656 5,180 37,722

NEW BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 21,946 16,766 5,180 37,722

NEW BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 21,946 16,766 5,180 37,722

NEW BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 21,946 16,766 5,180 37,722

NEW BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 21,946 16,766 5,180 37,722

NEW BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 15,947 14,677 1,270 10,522

NEW BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 15,947 14,677 1,270 10,522

NEW BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 15,947 14,677 1,270 10,522

NEW BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 15,947 14,677 1,270 10,522

NEW ALB Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 37,284 31,639 5,645 41,240

ALB Vore Durres VIII.1.2 29,780 26,478 3,302 21,993

ALB Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 29,780 26,478 3,302 21,993

UPGRADE ALB Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 14,707 10,933 3,775 11,680

UPGRADE ALB Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 23,206 15,820 7,386 36,800

UPGRADE ALB Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 11,680 9,538 2,142 15,222

ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 11,286 7,459 3,828 13,859

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 77

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

ALB Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 10,513 6,685 3,828 13,859

NEW ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 14,110 12,502 1,608 10,002

NEW ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 5,197 3,465 1,732 13,859

NEW ALB Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 5,045 3,102 1,944 16,040

ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 5,045 3,102 1,944 16,040

NEW MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 6,192 5,838 354 3,327

NEW MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 3,808 3,654 153 1,989

NEW MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 3,808 3,654 153 1,989

NEW MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 5,577 5,457 120 1,022

NEW MKD Kicevo Gostivar VIII.5.06/07 5,577 5,457 120 1,022

MKD Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 9,130 7,715 1,416 10,609

MKD Tetovo Zelino VIII.5.09.01 9,130 7,715 1,416 10,609

MKD Zelino Saraj VIII.5.09.02 15,615 15,119 496 4,209

NEW ALB Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 6,123 3,538 2,585 35,337

MKD Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4,041 3,545 496 4,209

MKD Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 6,792 5,879 913 9,668

MKD Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 10,242 9,329 913 9,668

NEW MKD Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 3,062 3,046 16 219

NEW MKD Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 3,062 3,046 16 219

NEW MKD Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 2,707 2,688 19 269

NEW MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 2,707 2,688 19 269

NEW MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 2,707 2,688 19 269

CRO Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 13,206 10,421 2,785 49,049

CRO Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 25,351 20,450 4,901 95,049

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 78

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 43,354 34,250 9,104 163,510

NEW CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 65,596 52,377 13,219 207,678

NEW CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 57,191 48,753 8,438 126,948

NEW CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 51,748 44,422 7,326 109,858

NEW CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 51,748 44,422 7,326 109,858

UPGRADE CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 40,465 34,649 5,816 84,499

UPGRADE CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 33,500 28,057 5,443 79,218

UPGRADE CRO Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 30,510 25,067 5,443 79,218

UPGRADE CRO Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 30,510 25,067 5,443 79,218

UPGRADE CRO Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 30,510 25,067 5,443 79,218

UPGRADE CRO Kutina Novska X.04.06 27,167 22,002 5,165 74,202

UPGRADE CRO Novska Okucani X.04.07 27,167 22,002 5,165 74,202

UPGRADE CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 38,058 32,874 5,183 78,280

UPGRADE CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 37,004 31,977 5,027 76,452

UPGRADE CRO Luzani Slavonski Brod - West X.06.01 35,344 30,536 4,807 72,187

UPGRADE CRO Slavonski Brod - West Slavonski Brod - East X.06.02 35,344 30,536 4,807 72,187

UPGRADE CRO Slavonski Brod - East Sredanci X.06.03 35,344 30,536 4,807 72,187

UPGRADE CRO Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 35,524 31,071 4,454 67,208

UPGRADE CRO V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 16,201 11,903 4,298 66,462

UPGRADE CRO Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 16,201 11,903 4,298 66,462

UPGRADE CRO Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 11,156 7,228 3,928 61,449

UPGRADE CRO Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 11,156 7,228 3,928 61,449

CRO Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 11,156 7,228 3,928 61,449

SRB Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 11,156 7,228 3,928 61,449

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 79

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

UPGRADE SBR Dobanovci Ostruznica X.10.1 Sec1-3 13,545 9,831 3,715 45,813

UPGRADE SRB Ostruznica Orlovaca X.10.2 Sec4 14,424 9,894 4,529 55,638

UPGRADE SRB Orlovaca Bubanj Potok X.10.3 Sec5-6 6,017 5,039 978 9,785

SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 57,302 51,168 6,134 34,715

SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 151,192 143,769 7,423 51,499

SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 64,999 57,916 7,083 41,128

SRB Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 34,203 29,016 5,187 39,712

SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 24,543 19,356 5,187 39,712

SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 21,588 17,114 4,475 33,697

SRB Velika Plana Batocina X.16 20,105 16,125 3,980 30,066

SRB Batocina Paracin X.17 20,105 16,125 3,980 30,066

SRB Paracin Pojate X.18 17,004 13,466 3,539 29,733

SRB Pojate Trupale X.19 15,356 12,521 2,835 26,349

SRB Trupale Doljevac X.20 9,700 8,072 1,629 15,139

SRB Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 9,700 8,072 1,629 15,139

SRB Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 9,700 8,072 1,629 15,139

UPGRADE SRB Grdelica Presevo X.23 8,940 6,836 2,104 19,600

UPGRADE MKD Tabanovce MK/SR (border) Kumanovo X.25 8,604 7,022 1,582 15,392

MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 11,595 10,003 1,592 15,513

MKD Miladinovci Veles X.27 13,491 12,202 1,289 14,448

MKD Veles Gradsko X.28 6,612 5,978 634 10,029

MKD Gradsko Negotino X.29 4,760 4,127 634 10,029

MKD Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4,760 4,127 634 10,029

NEW MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4,760 4,127 634 10,029

NEW MKD Udovo Bogorodica X.32 5,815 2,457 3,358 59,475

UPGRADE CRO Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 11,123 9,976 1,146 28,631

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 80

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

UPGRADE CRO Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 11,123 9,976 1,146 28,631

UPGRADE CRO Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 13,699 12,078 1,621 27,247

UPGRADE CRO Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 13,699 12,078 1,621 27,247

UPGRADE CRO Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 13,699 12,078 1,621 27,247

NEW CRO Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 21,364 19,322 2,042 30,498

NEW CRO Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 21,364 19,322 2,042 30,498

SRB Horgos Subotica Xb.1 7,177 5,756 1,420 22,352

SRB Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 9,875 7,927 1,947 24,019

SRB Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 21,495 18,311 3,184 30,013

SRB Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 35,755 32,571 3,184 30,013

SRB Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 5,875 4,482 1,393 17,199

NEW SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 6,857 5,358 1,500 18,944

NEW SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 6,857 5,358 1,500 18,944

NEW SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 7,274 5,807 1,467 24,264

NEW SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 6,078 4,701 1,377 22,798

NEW MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 4,881 4,306 575 3,956

MKD Prilep Bitola Xd.02 4,881 4,306 575 3,956

MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 3,650 3,590 59 941

NEW ALB Tepelene Elbasan 1,912 1,332 580 5,014

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

Sections marked as ‘upgrade’: upgrade according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

Sections marked as ‘new’: new sections according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new road section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing road section

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 81

Table AIII. 2. “Full SEETO” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic Volumes – Road Network

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 17,396 16,275 1,121 16,140

CRO Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 17,396 16,275 1,121 16,140

CRO Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 17,396 16,275 1,121 16,140

CRO Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 17,824 16,482 1,342 20,056

CRO Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 14,258 13,046 1,212 17,082

CRO Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 14,258 13,046 1,212 17,082

CRO Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 14,258 13,046 1,212 17,082

CRO Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 14,258 13,046 1,212 17,082

CRO Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 14,258 13,046 1,212 17,082

CRO Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 12,926 11,516 1,410 16,131

CRO Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 12,926 11,516 1,410 16,131

CRO Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 12,926 11,516 1,410 16,131

CRO Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 12,926 11,516 1,410 16,131

NEW CRO Opuzen Klek R1.04 11,333 10,447 887 6,934

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 82

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW CRO Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 11,333 10,447 887 6,934

CRO Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 11,162 9,924 1,239 9,921

CRO Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 11,162 9,924 1,239 9,921

CRO Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 11,162 9,924 1,239 9,921

CRO Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 11,162 9,924 1,239 9,921

CRO Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 6,694 5,911 783 6,275

NEW CRO Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 6,694 5,911 783 6,275

NEW CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 6,694 5,911 783 6,275

NEW CRO Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 6,694 5,911 783 6,275

NEW CRO XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 11,333 10,447 887 6,934

NEW CRO Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 11,333 10,447 887 6,934

NEW CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 14,641 13,737 904 7,073

NEW CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 20,484 19,580 904 7,073

UPGRADE CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 8,060 7,758 301 2,254

UPGRADE CRO Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 8,060 7,758 301 2,254

UPGRADE MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 7,431 7,135 296 2,211

UPGRADE MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 19,904 17,233 2,671 21,262

CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 8,097 7,518 579 6,562

CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 9,676 9,143 533 5,086

CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 30,038 25,919 4,119 37,283

UPGRADE MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 19,904 17,233 2,671 21,262

UPGRADE MNE Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 11,661 9,475 2,186 17,519

UPGRADE MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 21,123 19,675 1,449 12,435

UPGRADE MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 15,710 13,407 2,303 19,294

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 83

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

UPGRADE MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 15,710 13,407 2,303 19,294

UPGRADE MNE Misici Bar R1.13 24,800 21,854 2,947 23,714

CRO Pula Vodnjan R10.01.01 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Vodnjan Kanfanar R10.01.02 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Kanfanar Zminj R10.02.01 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Zminj Rogovici R10.02.02 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Rogovici Ivoli R10.02.03 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Ivoli Cerovlje R10.02.04 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Cerovlje Lupoglav R10.02.05 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Lupoglav Vranja R10.02.06 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Vranja Veprinac R10.02.07 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

CRO Veprinac Matulji R10.02.08 7,545 6,939 606 6,703

NEW CRO Rijeka Draga R10.04.01 26,282 23,016 3,267 45,231

NEW CRO Draga Sveti Kuzam R10.04.02 26,282 23,016 3,267 45,231

NEW CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.01 8,183 7,717 466 7,304

NEW CRO Bakar Smrika R10.05.02 8,183 7,717 466 7,304

NEW CRO Smrika Senj R10.06.01 8,183 7,717 466 7,304

NEW CRO Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.01 5,528 4,874 654 9,417

UPGRADE CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 30,914 28,963 1,951 44,570

NEW BIH Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 35,138 28,963 6,175 76,954

UPGRADE BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 35,138 28,963 6,175 76,954

UPGRADE BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 20,008 18,810 1,198 48,327

UPGRADE BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 19,588 18,454 1,134 47,690

NEW BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 19,588 18,454 1,134 47,690

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 84

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 28,541 26,776 1,765 52,757

UPGRADE BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 8,823 8,503 320 4,867

UPGRADE BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 5,251 4,894 357 5,133

UPGRADE BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 7,057 6,125 932 9,145

UPGRADE MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 3,985 3,773 212 3,625

MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 6,925 6,178 747 7,908

MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 6,925 6,178 747 7,908

MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 12,561 10,786 1,775 16,965

MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 15,513 13,442 2,070 19,331

UPGRADE MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 17,160 14,336 2,824 23,860

UPGRADE MNE Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 8,606 6,772 1,833 15,845

UPGRADE ALB Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 8,606 6,772 1,833 15,845

UPGRADE ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 15,487 10,839 4,647 38,357

UPGRADE ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 15,487 10,839 4,647 38,357

UPGRADE ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 22,810 16,612 6,198 49,744

UPGRADE ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 22,810 16,612 6,198 49,744

UPGRADE ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 25,474 16,612 8,862 70,168

ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 9,092 2,172 6,920 91,809

UPGRADE ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 6,299 5,067 1,232 19,670

UPGRADE ALB Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 7,981 5,758 2,223 35,410

NEW BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 21,183 18,397 2,786 30,984

BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 5,613 5,502 111 3,616

BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 3,508 3,316 192 4,817

BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 3,508 3,316 192 4,817

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 85

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 7,300 6,076 1,224 12,729

BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 3,508 3,316 192 4,817

SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 3,508 3,316 192 4,817

SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 3,508 3,316 192 4,817

NEW SRB Vatin Vrsac R4.01 1,644 1,204 440 7,745

NEW SRB Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 5,244 4,804 440 7,745

NEW SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 26,108 18,806 7,302 62,835

NEW SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 28,905 25,161 3,744 37,634

NEW SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 28,905 25,161 3,744 37,634

NEW SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 17,518 14,847 2,671 25,526

NEW SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 11,169 9,177 1,992 20,054

NEW SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 11,169 9,177 1,992 20,054

NEW SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 15,785 13,466 2,320 22,273

NEW SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 15,785 13,466 2,320 22,273

NEW SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 13,859 12,262 1,598 23,557

SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 3,413 3,221 192 4,817

NEW SRB Pozega Nova Varos R4.13 95 95 0 0

NEW SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 6,829 5,849 980 8,397

NEW SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 5,728 4,400 1,329 11,526

NEW MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 5,728 4,400 1,329 11,526

NEW MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 11,478 9,339 2,140 18,212

NEW MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 11,412 9,304 2,109 18,960

NEW MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 11,015 8,857 2,158 19,349

NEW MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 11,052 8,903 2,149 19,377

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 86

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 10,660 8,520 2,140 19,301

NEW MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 17,756 15,436 2,320 19,568

NEW MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 17,756 15,436 2,320 19,568

NEW MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 17,756 15,436 2,320 19,568

SRB Paracin Boljevac R5.01 3,816 3,012 804 10,339

SRB Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 3,805 3,245 559 8,569

SRB Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2,401 2,288 114 2,143

NEW SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 9,733 8,189 1,544 23,040

NEW SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 18,327 17,495 832 14,400

NEW SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 11,727 10,895 832 14,400

NEW SBR Krusevac Pojate R5.09 8,747 7,555 1,193 8,997

MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 6,648 5,519 1,129 9,183

MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 3,241 2,639 601 4,961

MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 3,388 2,945 443 3,696

SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 3,388 2,945 443 3,696

SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 1,749 1,651 98 1,863

UPGRADE KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 1,749 1,651 98 1,863

UPGRADE KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 24,790 20,083 4,706 39,000

NEW KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 43,092 28,814 14,278 204,649

NEW KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja Grlica R6.09 32,472 24,649 7,823 62,812

NEW KOS Gerlice/Donja Grlica Kacanik R6.10 14,278 11,255 3,023 26,012

NEW KOS Kacanik Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11 9,478 6,455 3,023 26,012

NEW MKD Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

Stenkovec R6.12 7,027 6,455 572 6,462

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 87

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

UPGRADE KOS Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 38,857 25,642 13,215 9,851

UPGRADE KOS Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 5,516 4,861 655 5,366

UPGRADE KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 6,445 5,242 1,203 9,851

MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 1,615 1,460 155 1,239

MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 3,125 2,723 401 3,260

MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 2,298 2,020 277 2,276

MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 2,298 2,020 277 2,276

ALB Milot Rreshen R7.01 15,788 14,236 1,552 13,089

ALB Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 13,544 12,159 1,385 10,883

ALB Kalimash Morine R7.03 12,848 12,159 689 5,547

NEW KOS Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 11,066 10,192 874 6,959

NEW KOS Prizren Suhareke/Suva Reka R7.07 28,553 19,002 9,551 165,577

NEW KOS Suhareke/Suva Reka Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 28,553 19,002 9,551 165,577

NEW KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 16,313 13,962 2,351 110,377

UPGRADE KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 21,316 17,206 4,110 32,132

UPGRADE KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 14,836 13,606 1,230 10,052

NEW SBR Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 4,926 3,695 1,230 10,052

NEW SBR Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 7,889 6,799 1,090 9,126

NEW SBR Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 7,889 6,799 1,090 9,126

MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 11,730 9,920 1,810 15,150

MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 4,866 4,640 226 3,006

MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 4,866 4,640 226 3,006

CRO Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 8,926 8,258 669 7,121

CRO Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 8,926 8,258 669 7,121

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 88

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

CRO Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 13,537 12,671 867 16,855

CRO Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 14,143 12,724 1,419 23,608

CRO Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 14,143 12,724 1,419 23,608

CRO Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 14,143 12,724 1,419 23,608

NEW CRO Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 34,167 29,743 4,424 68,261

NEW CRO Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 34,167 29,743 4,424 68,261

NEW CRO Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 34,167 29,743 4,424 68,261

NEW CRO Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

NEW CRO Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

CRO Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

CRO Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

CRO Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

CRO Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

CRO Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

CRO Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 17,152 14,664 2,487 32,629

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 34,548 30,940 3,608 48,770

CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 34,548 30,940 3,608 48,770

CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 34,548 30,940 3,608 48,770

CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 40,461 35,515 4,946 63,560

UPGRADE CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 45,021 40,075 4,946 63,560

NEW CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 47,128 37,443 9,685 87,601

NEW CRO Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 37,768 30,243 7,525 71,041

NEW CRO Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 30,904 24,963 5,941 58,897

CRO Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 11,129 9,124 2,005 28,721

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 89

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

CRO Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 11,129 9,124 2,005 28,721

CRO Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 11,129 9,124 2,005 28,721

CRO Novi Marof Varazdinske Toplice Vb.10.01 11,129 9,124 2,005 28,721

CRO Varazdinske Toplice Varazdin Vb.10.02 11,129 9,124 2,005 28,721

CRO Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 5,467 4,759 708 12,892

CRO Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 5,467 4,759 708 12,892

CRO Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 1,424 1,013 411 8,951

CRO Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 1,424 1,013 411 8,951

NEW CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 3,442 2,815 628 10,402

NEW CRO Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 9,202 8,575 628 10,402

NEW CRO Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 9,202 8,575 628 10,402

NEW CRO Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 29,252 25,051 4,201 38,983

CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 7,508 6,571 937 13,959

CRO Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 7,508 6,571 937 13,959

CRO Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 7,508 6,571 937 13,959

NEW CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 26,415 25,540 875 8,488

NEW BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 29,055 28,180 875 8,488

NEW CRO Metkovic HR/BH (border) Opuzen Vc.04.01 11,333 10,447 887 6,934

NEW CRO Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 10,224 8,400 1,824 13,984

NEW CRO Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 10,224 8,400 1,824 13,984

NEW BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 37,609 35,567 2,042 17,697

NEW BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 40,009 37,007 3,002 25,057

NEW BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 30,680 28,107 2,573 53,544

NEW BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 29,943 28,330 1,613 46,184

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 90

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 29,943 28,330 1,613 46,184

NEW BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 34,999 33,194 1,805 47,885

BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 36,603 33,301 3,303 34,367

BIH Visoko Josanica Vc.12 36,603 33,301 3,303 34,367

BIH Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 39,106 35,804 3,303 34,367

BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 39,106 35,804 3,303 34,367

NEW BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 36,510 30,845 5,665 44,708

NEW BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 26,190 20,525 5,665 44,708

NEW BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 26,190 20,525 5,665 44,708

NEW BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 26,190 20,525 5,665 44,708

NEW BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 26,190 20,525 5,665 44,708

NEW BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 17,583 15,998 1,585 13,428

NEW BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 17,583 15,998 1,585 13,428

NEW BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 17,583 15,998 1,585 13,428

NEW BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 17,583 15,998 1,585 13,428

NEW ALB Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 39,328 32,768 6,560 47,199

ALB Vore Durres VIII.1.2 32,330 28,563 3,768 24,466

ALB Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 32,330 28,563 3,768 24,466

UPGRADE ALB Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 16,430 12,330 4,100 13,432

UPGRADE ALB Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 25,298 17,430 7,868 42,320

UPGRADE ALB Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 12,326 9,978 2,347 0.000000

ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 12,601 8,310 4,290 15,559

ALB Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 11,536 7,245 4,290 15,559

NEW ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 15,049 13,019 2,030 11,294

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 91

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 5,827 3,885 1,942 17,732

NEW ALB Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 5,427 3,262 2,165 17,732

ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 5,427 3,262 2,165 17,732

NEW MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 6,455 6,059 396 3,568

NEW MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 6,455 6,059 396 3,568

NEW MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 3,777 3,606 171 2,252

NEW MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 6,043 5,909 134 1,131

NEW MKD Kicevo Gostivar VIII.5.06/07 6,043 5,909 134 1,131

MKD Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 9,813 8,265 1,548 12,317

MKD Tetovo Zelino VIII.5.09.01 9,813 8,265 1,548 12,317

MKD Zelino Saraj VIII.5.09.02 17,039 16,451 588 4,957

NEW ALB Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 6,383 3,659 2,724 40,379

MKD Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4,345 3,757 588 4,957

MKD Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 8,057 7,062 995 10,208

MKD Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 11,657 10,662 995 10,208

NEW MKD Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 3,197 3,190 7 106

NEW MKD Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 3,197 3,190 7 106

NEW MKD Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 2,780 2,770 10 164

NEW MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 2,780 2,770 10 164

NEW MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 2,780 2,770 10 164

CRO Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 13,902 10,743 3,158 55,047

CRO Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 26,531 21,165 5,366 107,947

CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 45,718 35,565 10,153 186,069

NEW CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 69,667 54,927 14,741 238,040

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 92

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

NEW CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 63,074 53,038 10,036 147,898

NEW CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 57,113 48,533 8,579 125,701

NEW CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 57,113 48,533 8,579 125,701

UPGRADE CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 45,239 38,353 6,886 98,437

UPGRADE CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 37,856 31,401 6,454 92,483

UPGRADE CRO Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 34,736 28,281 6,454 92,483

UPGRADE CRO Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 34,736 28,281 6,454 92,483

UPGRADE CRO Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 34,736 28,281 6,454 92,483

UPGRADE CRO Kutina Novska X.04.06 31,269 25,105 6,164 87,164

UPGRADE CRO Novska Okucani X.04.07 31,269 25,105 6,164 87,164

UPGRADE CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 39,196 34,004 5,192 87,732

UPGRADE CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 38,041 33,032 5,009 85,647

UPGRADE CRO Luzani Slavonski Brod - West X.06.01 36,443 31,662 4,780 81,135

UPGRADE CRO Slavonski Brod - West Slavonski Brod - East X.06.02 36,443 31,662 4,780 81,135

UPGRADE CRO Slavonski Brod - East Sredanci X.06.03 36,443 31,662 4,780 81,135

UPGRADE CRO Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 37,567 33,264 4,303 74,694

UPGRADE CRO V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 19,449 15,318 4,131 71,572

UPGRADE CRO Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 19,449 15,318 4,131 71,572

UPGRADE CRO Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 13,102 9,377 3,725 66,160

UPGRADE CRO Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 13,102 9,377 3,725 66,160

CRO Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 13,102 9,377 3,725 66,160

SRB Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 13,102 9,377 3,725 66,160

UPGRADE SBR Dobanovci Ostruznica X.10.1 Sec1-3 15,306 10,810 4,497 54,450

UPGRADE SRB Ostruznica Orlovaca X.10.2 Sec4 16,417 10,730 5,687 65,426

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 93

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

UPGRADE SRB Orlovaca Bubanj Potok X.10.3 Sec5-6 6,477 4,875 1,602 10,806

SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 60,092 53,621 6,470 39,598

SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 159,803 151,459 8,344 59,798

SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 68,624 60,901 7,723 46,877

SRB Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 37,617 31,325 6,292 44,804

SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 27,537 21,245 6,292 44,804

SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 24,283 18,816 5,467 37,876

SRB Velika Plana Batocina X.16 22,655 17,739 4,915 33,971

SRB Batocina Paracin X.17 22,655 17,739 4,915 33,971

SRB Paracin Pojate X.18 19,215 14,798 4,417 34,716

SRB Pojate Trupale X.19 17,718 14,030 3,687 32,026

SRB Trupale Doljevac X.20 11,736 9,873 1,864 16,349

SRB Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 11,736 9,873 1,864 16,349

SRB Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 11,736 9,873 1,864 16,349

UPGRADE SRB Grdelica Presevo X.23 10,910 8,505 2,405 21,243

UPGRADE MKD Tabanovce MK/SR (border) Kumanovo X.25 10,530 8,720 1,810 16,425

MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 13,657 11,847 1,810 16,429

MKD Miladinovci Veles X.27 14,186 12,810 1,376 14,266

MKD Veles Gradsko X.28 6,656 6,078 578 8,826

MKD Gradsko Negotino X.29 4,724 4,146 578 8,826

MKD Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4,724 4,146 578 8,826

NEW MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4,724 4,146 578 8,826

NEW MKD Udovo Bogorodica X.32 6,525 2,683 3,841 68,004

Annex III: Model results for the road network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 94

Status* Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

ton/day

2030

UPGRADE CRO Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 11,627 10,442 1,185 29,597

UPGRADE CRO Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 11,627 10,442 1,185 29,597

UPGRADE CRO Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 14,871 12,957 1,914 32,136

UPGRADE CRO Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 14,871 12,957 1,914 32,136

UPGRADE CRO Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 14,871 12,957 1,914 32,136

NEW CRO Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 22,977 20,554 2,423 36,084

NEW CRO Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 22,977 20,554 2,423 36,084

SRB Horgos Subotica Xb.1 7,799 6,102 1,697 26,634

SRB Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 10,602 8,323 2,279 27,466

SRB Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 24,172 20,318 3,854 35,393

SRB Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 39,052 35,198 3,854 35,393

SRB Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 6,219 4,657 1,563 18,246

NEW SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 7,304 5,627 1,677 20,033

NEW SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 7,304 5,627 1,677 20,033

NEW SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 7,556 6,112 1,443 23,625

NEW SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 6,165 4,808 1,357 22,223

NEW MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 5,372 4,676 696 4,788

MKD Prilep Bitola Xd.02 5,372 4,676 696 4,788

MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 3,648 3,595 53 815

NEW ALB Tepelene Elbasan 1,278 618 660 5,608

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

Sections marked as ‘upgrade’: upgrade according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

Sections marked as ‘new’: new sections according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new road section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing road section

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 95

Model Results for the Rail Network – “Full SEETO” Scenario

Table AIII. 3. “Full SEETO” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic Volumes – Rail Network

Status* Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

NEW CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin

529 368 3,170 2,462

UPGRADE CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic

586 411 3,031 2,338

UPGRADE CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split

650 458 1,834 1,241

UPGRADE CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port)

46 35 831 750

UPGRADE CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port)

108 84 1,330 1,201

SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska

214 179 755 683

SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje

330 276 164 70

UPGRADE KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak

1,377 1,005 3,295 1,989

UPGRADE

KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic 330 1,005 164 1,989

UPGRADE MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov

47 4 1,410 901

SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo

256 237 1,455 1,024

SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac

81 91 701 358

CRO R12.1 SLO/HR border Cakovec

814 756

1,469 1,328

CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba

814 755

1,469 1,328

UPGRADE CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border

814 756

1,469 1,328

UPGRADE SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic

136 68

50 5

UPGRADE SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos

136 68

50 5

UPGRADE MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi

514 444 730 695

UPGRADE ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder

440 375 525 389

UPGRADE ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore

383 320 599 371

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 96

Status* Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo

177 129 3,575 2,751

SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo

135 94 4,309 3,368

UPGRADE SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega

1,234 936 2,738 2,299

UPGRADE MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica

1,160 928 3,213 2,479

UPGRADE MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac

1,065 856 3,688 2,774

UPGRADE MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo

1,027 827 3,941 2,916

UPGRADE MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin

1,002 808 3,942 2,916

UPGRADE MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica

955 772 3,864 2,840

UPGRADE MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar

214 157 1,382 911

UPGRADE MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar

202 148 1,323 863

UPGRADE BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj

379 254 7,414 4,682

UPGRADE BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla

58 40 7,937 5,929

UPGRADE BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko

294 203 7,844 5,875

UPGRADE CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo

40 33 1,104 998

UPGRADE CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar

40 33 1,104 998

UPGRADE CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka

127 116

1,253 1,009

NEW CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice

598 431 5,011 4,522

NEW CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije

471 336 5,766 5,010

NEW CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac

468 338 8,438 6,996

UPGRADE CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb

1,829 1,546 8,340 6,900

UPGRADE CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo

4,894 3,092 14,299 8,579

UPGRADE CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek

469 332 2,405 1,585

UPGRADE CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje

351 286 17 32

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 97

Status* Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

UPGRADE CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski Samac

89 61 2,554 1,826

UPGRADE BIH Vc.4 Bosanski Samac Doboj

416 295 2,433 1,737

UPGRADE BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina

314 211 8,634 6,125

UPGRADE BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo

486 327 7,337 5,154

UPGRADE BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina

198 139 6,541 4,593

UPGRADE BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce

160 112 6,092

UPGRADE ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near Tirana

1,012 640 72 36

UPGRADE ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres

909 564 424 224

UPGRADE ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet

477 288 706 226

UPGRADE ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine

477 288 706 226

UPGRADE ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore

154 112 24 16

ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan

316 160 691 204

ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin

104 16 557 0

ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec

8 0 116 0

NEW ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce

8 0 116 0

ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane

98 0 518 0

NEW MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo

98 0 518 0

MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov

439 244 680 104

UPGRADE MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo

510 321 4,905 2,491

UPGRADE MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane

8 0 590 0

NEW MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence

2 0 279 0

NEW MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci

2 0 279 0

NEW MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci

2 0 279 0

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 98

Status* Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

NEW MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo

2 0 279 0

UPGRADE CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic

2,640 2,459 4,002 4,462

UPGRADE CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb

2,640 35,233

4,002 4,450

UPGRADE CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo

53,245 46,585

8,569 7,653

UPGRADE CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska

1,392 3,282 3,103 5,336

UPGRADE CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak

1,698 2,314 843 3,702

UPGRADE CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja

2,540 54 3,815 3,595

UPGRADE CRO X.07 Sunja Novska

2,540 54 3,815 3,595

UPGRADE CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje

3,835 3,300 6,225 4,755

UPGRADE CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci

801 659 6,663 5,074

UPGRADE CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik

761 626 5,560 4,077

UPGRADE SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova

761 720

5,560 4,193

UPGRADE SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd

3,890 3,121 16,110 11,999

UPGRADE SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd

3,890 3,121 16,110 11,999

UPGRADE SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd

4,014 3,208 16,397 12,472

UPGRADE SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik

3,904 3,382 14,149 10,588

UPGRADE SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo

1,593 1,287 12,575 9,230

UPGRADE SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac

1,593 1,287 12,575 9,230

UPGRADE SBR X.18 Stalac Nis

1,521 1,249 12,847 9,232

UPGRADE SRB X.19 Nis Presevo

857 188 5,503 3,901

UPGRADE MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo

316 188 5,406 3,812

UPGRADE MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo

322 191 5,716 3,811

UPGRADE MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles

720 512 6,440 4,562

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 99

Status* Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

UPGRADE MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija

351 243 7,579 5,275

UPGRADE SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica

1,255 625 11,246 8,487

UPGRADE SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad

1,177 859 10,991 8,275

UPGRADE SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova

3,028 2,402 10,984 8,256

UPGRADE SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad

155 99 7,550 5,434

UPGRADE MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola

915 652 70 44

NEW MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica

915 0 70 0

NEW CRO

ZG bypass

Lucko 9,569 0 5,632 0

NEW CRO ZG bypass Buzin Dugo Selo 9,569 0 5,632 0

UPGRADE CRO Karlovac Zagreb 0 0

UPGRADE CRO Sisak Buzin 0 0

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

Sections marked as ‘upgrade’: upgrade according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

Sections marked as ‘new’: new sections according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new rail section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing rail section

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 100

Table AIII. 4. “Full SEETO” Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate 2030 Traffic Volumes – Rail Network

Status Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

UPGRADE CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin

598 368 3,635 2,462

UPGRADE CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic

656 411 3,502 2,338

CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split

721 458 2,184 1,241

CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port)

46 35 923 750

CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port)

108 84 1,477 1,201

SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska

251 179 845 683

UPGRADE SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje

365 276 184 70

UPGRADE KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak

1,568 1,005 3,784 1,989

UPGRADE

KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic 365 1,005 184 1,989

UPGRADE MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov

57 4 1,566 901

UPGRADE SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo

299 237 1,612 1,024

NEW SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac

91 91 764 358

UPGRADE CRO R12.1 SLO/HR border Cakovec

833 756

1,631 1,328

UPGRADE CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba

833 755

1,631 1,328

UPGRADE CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border

833 756

1,631 1,328

UPGRADE SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic

141 68

52 5

UPGRADE SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos

141 68

52 5

UPGRADE MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi

610 444 827 695

UPGRADE ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder

524 375 594 389

UPGRADE ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore

458 320 681 371

SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo

197 129 3,885 2,751

SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo

145 94 4,713 3,368

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 101

Status Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

UPGRADE SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega

1,450 936 3,046 2,299

UPGRADE MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica

1,380 928 3,595 2,479

UPGRADE MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac

1,267 856 4,143 2,774

UPGRADE MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo

1,222 827 4,441 2,916

UPGRADE MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin

1,192 808 4,443 2,916

UPGRADE MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica

1,137 772 4,366 2,840

UPGRADE MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar

260 157 1,556 911

UPGRADE MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar

245 148 1,494 863

UPGRADE BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj

412 254 8,348 4,682

UPGRADE BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla

61 40 8,706 5,929

UPGRADE BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko

305 203 8,598 5,875

UPGRADE CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo

40 33 1,225 998

UPGRADE CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar

40 33 1,225 998

UPGRADE CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka

131 116

1,963 1,009

UPGRADE CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice

638 431 5,564 4,522

UPGRADE CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije

520 336 6,472 5,010

UPGRADE CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac

530 338 9,519 6,996

UPGRADE CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb

2,278 1,546 9,410 6,900

UPGRADE CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo

5,161 3,092 16,714 8,579

UPGRADE CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek

504 332 2,892 1,585

UPGRADE CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje

426 286 17 32

UPGRADE CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski Samac

102 61 2,779 1,826

UPGRADE BIH Vc.4 Bosanski Samac Doboj

431 295 2,644 1,737

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 102

Status Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

NEW BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina

342 211 9,826 6,125

NEW BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo

525 327 8,405 5,154

NEW BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina

210 139 7,530 4,593

NEW BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce

172 112 7,041 4,257

NEW

ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near

Tirana 1,288 640 83

NEW ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres

1,169 564 489 224

UPGRADE ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet

571 288 803 226

UPGRADE ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine

571 288 803 226

UPGRADE ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore

176 112 27 16

UPGRADE ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan

378 160 784 204

ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin

120 16 626 0

UPGRADE ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec

10 0 131 0

UPGRADE ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce

10 0 131 0

UPGRADE ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane

113 0 579 0

UPGRADE MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo

113 0 579 0

UPGRADE MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov

535 244 763 104

UPGRADE MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo

642 321 5,690 2,491

UPGRADE MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane

10 0 658 0

UPGRADE MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence

2 0 294 0

NEW MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci

2 0 294 0

NEW MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci

2 0 294 0

NEW MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo

2 0 294 0

NEW CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic

3,214 2,459 4,343 4,462

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 103

Status Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

NEW CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb

3,214 35,233

4,343 4,450

NEW CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo

55,236 46,585

9,696 7,653

UPGRADE CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska

1,359 3,282 3,366 5,336

UPGRADE CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak

2,103 2,314 952 3,702

UPGRADE CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja

2,670 54 4,435 3,595

UPGRADE CRO X.07 Sunja Novska

2,670 54 4,435 3,595

UPGRADE CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje

3,930 3,300 7,032 4,755

UPGRADE CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci

888 659 7,528 5,074

UPGRADE CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik

848 626 6,305 4,077

UPGRADE SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova

848 720

6,305 4,193

SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd

4,285 3,121 17,268 11,999

UPGRADE SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd

4,285 3,121 17,268 11,999

UPGRADE SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd

4,418 3,208 17,521 12,472

UPGRADE SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik

4,181 3,382 15,056 10,588

UPGRADE SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo

1,748 1,287 13,285 9,230

SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac

1,748 1,287 13,285 9,230

SBR X.18 Stalac Nis

1,674 1,249 13,569 9,232

SRB X.19 Nis Presevo

958 188 5,880 3,901

MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo

382 188 5,774 3,812

MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo

389 191 6,119 3,811

UPGRADE MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles

908 512 6,830 4,562

UPGRADE MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija

369 243 8,127 5,275

UPGRADE SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica

1,319 625 11,726 8,487

Annex III: Model results for the rail network – “Full SEETO” Scenario 104

Status Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Pass/day

2012

Ton/day

2030

Ton/day

2012

UPGRADE SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad

1,227 859 11,457 8,275

UPGRADE SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova

3,331 2,402 11,471 8,256

UPGRADE SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad

166 99 7,837 5,434

UPGRADE MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola

1,127 652 79 44

UPGRADE MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica

1,127 0 79 0

UPGRADE CRO

ZG bypass

Lucko 9,857 0 5,969 0

UPGRADE CRO ZG bypass Buzin Dugo Selo 9,857 0 5,969 0

UPGRADE CRO Karlovac Zagreb 0 0

UPGRADE CRO Sisak Buzin 0 0

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

Sections marked as ‘upgrade’: upgrade according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

Sections marked as ‘new’: new sections according to the SEETO plan for 2020 and SEETO MAP 2015. + recommendations from CAE

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new rail section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing rail section

Annex IIIa: Sections with highest 2030 traffic projections 105

ANNEX IIIa: Sections with Highest 2030 Traffic Projections /Traffic

Growth

Annex IIIa: Sections with highest 2030 traffic projections 106

Table AIIIa. 1.Road Sections with the Highest Traffic Flows for 2030 and/or Highest Growth Rates for the

Low/Moderate Growth Rate Scenario

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Table AIIIa. 2.Road Sections with the Highest Traffic Flows for 2030 and/or Highest Growth Rates for the

Moderate/High Growth Rate Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

Veh/day Annual growth

SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 165,384 1.66%

CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 73,249 2.14%

SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 63,612

1.64%

SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3

63,040

1.57%

CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 61,091 2.31%

CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb -

Kosnica

X.03.02 54,103 2.22%

CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 54,103 2.18%

CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki

Novaki

Vb.09.01 50,870 1.99%

CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 47,815 2.43%

CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 44,386 2.20%

KOS* Pristina Lipljan R6.08 44,220 2.50%

BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 41,484

KOS* Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 41,246 2.54%

Highest annual growth rate

CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 5,958 7.19%

SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 3,215 6.64%

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Country From To SEETO

Code

Veh/day Annual

growth

SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 145,058 0.92%

CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 66,461 1.59%

SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 56,966 1.00%

SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 55,727 0.89%

CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 54,840 1.70%

CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 49,156 1.68%

CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 49,156 1.63%

CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 45,980 1.42%

CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 43,809 1.94%

KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 41,718 2.17%

Highest annual growth rate

ALB Hani I Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 6,672 15.81%

Annex IIIa: Sections with highest 2030 traffic projections 107

Table AIIIa. 3. Rail Sections with the Highest Traffic Projections in 2030 for the Low/Moderate Growth Rate

Scenario

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day Ton/day

CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 8,780 12,974

CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4,437 13,003

SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4,017 16,875

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Table AIIIa. 4. Rail Sections with Highest Annual Growth in Number of Passengers in 2030 for the

Low/Moderate Rate Scenario

Country SEETO

Code

From To Growth

rate

SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 8.62%

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Table AIIIa. 5. Rail sections with Hhighest Annual Growth in Number of Tons in 2030 for the Low/Moderate

Growth Rate Scenario

Country SEETO

Code

From To Growth

rate

SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 12.57%

SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 12.57%

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Table AIIIa. 6. Rail Sections with the Highest Traffic Projections in 2030 for the Moderate/High Growth Rate

Scenario

Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day Ton/day

CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 9,479 15,992

CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4,641 15,331

SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4,421 18,039

SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi

Beograd

4,285 17,281

SRB X.13 Beograd Novi

Beograd

4,285 17,281

SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik 4,207 14,972

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Table AIIIa. 7. Rail Sections with Highest Annual Growth in Number of Passengers in 2030 for the

Moderate/High Growth Rate Scenario

Country SEETO

Code

From To Growth

rate

SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 9.30%

SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 4.24%

ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres 4.13%

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Annex IIIa: Sections with highest 2030 traffic projections 108

Table AIIIa. 8. Rail Sections with the Highest Annual Growth in Number of Tons in 2030 for the Moderate/High

Growth Rate Scenario

Country SEETO

Code

From To Growth

rate

SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 13.50%

SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 13.50%

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Annex IV: Comparison between the ‘Do-nothing’ and the ‘Full SEETO’ scenario 109

ANNEX IV: Comparison between the “Do-nothing” and the “Full

SEETO” Scenario

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 110

Comparison between the “Do-nothing” and “Full SEETO” Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate Scenario and Additional Investments needed for the SEETO Comprehensive Network than the ones included in the SEETO MAP

2014

Table AIV. 1. Comparison Results for the Road Network (low/moderate economic growth rate)

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

73 CRO Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 4 20 20569 15369 14441 928 CRO 4 20 Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 16272 15311 961 13103

74 CRO Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 4 28 20569 15369 14441 928 CRO 4 28 Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 16272 15311 961 13103

167 CRO Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 4 13 20569 15369 14441 928 CRO 4 13 Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 16272 15311 961 13103

168 CRO Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 4 10 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 10 Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 15722 14612 1110 15751

75 CRO Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 4 32 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 32 Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 15722 14612 1110 15751

76 CRO Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 4 11 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 11 Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 15722 14612 1110 15751

77 CRO Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 4 23 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 23 Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 15722 14612 1110 15751

78 CRO Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 4 5 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 5 Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 15722 14612 1110 15751

182 CRO Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 4 33 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 33 Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 15722 14612 1110 15751

183 CRO Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 4 7 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 7 Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 15722 14612 1110 15751

79 CRO Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 4 4 20734 15595 14478 1118 CRO 4 4 Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 15722 14612 1110 15751

181 CRO Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 4 9 16641 12108 11128 980 CRO 4 9 Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 12278 11292 986 12956

178 CRO Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 4 16 16641 12108 11128 980 CRO 4 16 Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 12278 11292 986 12956

80 CRO Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 4 22 16641 12108 11128 980 CRO 4 22 Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 12278 11292 986 12956

179 CRO Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 4 10 16641 12108 11128 980 CRO 4 10 Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 12278 11292 986 12956

81 CRO Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 4 9 16641 12108 11128 980 CRO 4 9 Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 12278 11292 986 12956

82 CRO Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 4 14 14545 10452 9345 1106 CRO 4 14 Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 11015 9885 1130 13046

83 CRO Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 4 18 14545 10452 9345 1106 CRO 4 18 Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 11015 9885 1130 13046

84 CRO Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 4 14 14545 10452 9345 1106 CRO 4 14 Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 11015 9885 1130 13046

197 CRO Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 4 13 14545 10452 9345 1106 CRO 4 13 Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 11015 9885 1130 13046

NEW 85 CRO Opuzen Klek R1.04 4 18 11421 9015 8229 786 CRO 2 18 Opuzen Klek R1.04 8266 7511 755 6017

NEW 86 CRO Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 4 7 11421 9015 8229 786 CRO 2 7 Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 8266 7511 755 6017

174 CRO Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 4 12 12591 8688 7755 933 CRO 4 12 Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 8977 8117 860 6881

175 CRO Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 4 18 12591 8688 7755 933 CRO 4 18 Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 8977 8117 860 6881

142 CRO Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 4 7 12591 8688 7755 933 CRO 4 7 Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 8977 8117 860 6881

143 CRO Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 4 11 12591 8688 7755 933 CRO 4 11 Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 8977 8117 860 6881

144 CRO Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 4 30 7910 4850 4286 564 CRO 4 30 Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 3930 3070 860 6881

NEW 145 CRO Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 4 4 7910 4850 4286 564 CRO 4 4 Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 3930 3070 860 6881

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 111

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 146 CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 4 17 7910 4850 4286 564 CRO 2 17 Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 3930 3070 860 6881

NEW 196 CRO Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 4 19 7910 4850 4286 564 CRO 2 19 Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 3930 3070 860 6881

NEW 87 CRO XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 4 11 11421 9015 8229 786 CRO 2 11 XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 8266 7511 755 6017

NEW 88 CRO Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 4 14 11421 9015 8229 786 CRO 2 14 Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 8266 7511 755 6017

NEW 89 CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 4 30 14284 11690 10895 795 CRO 2 30 Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 11137 10372 764 6091

NEW 90 CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 4 8 19734 16436 15641 795 CRO 2 8 Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 18132 17367 764 6091

UPGRADE 61 CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 4 28 11262 6465 6204 262 CRO 2 28 Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 3459 3227 232 1826

UPGRADE 265 CRO Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 4 4 11262 6465 6204 262 CRO 2 4 Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 3459 3227 232 1826

UPGRADE 266 MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 2 15 10982 5630 5372 258 MNE 2 15 Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 3459 3227 232 1826

UPGRADE 242 MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 4 18 24352 17445 15095 2351 MNE 2 18 Igalo Kamenari R1.09 16109 13780 2329 18652

180 CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 4 19 8880 7590 7099 491 CRO 4 19 Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 7590 7099 491 5730

141 CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 2 11 11180 9127 8676 451 CRO 2 11 Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 9127 8676 451 4419

198 CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 4 14 25404 28107 24645 3462 CRO 4 14 Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 28107 24645 3462 30164

UPGRADE 271 MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 4 32 25121 17445 15095 2351 MNE 2 32 Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 16109 13780 2329 18652

UPGRADE 261 MNE Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 4 2 10477 11104 9182 1923 MNE 2 2 Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 11104 9182 1923 15411

UPGRADE 268 MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 4 20 27233 19583 18319 1264 MNE 2 19.5 Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 19477 18316 1161 9780

UPGRADE 243 MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 4 15 26689 15394 13382 2012 MNE 2 15 Budva Petrovac R1.11 17266 15991 1274 11017

UPGRADE 244 MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 4 10 24812 15394 13382 2012 MNE 2 10 Petrovac Misici R1.12 13586 12311 1274 11017

UPGRADE 245 MNE Misici Bar R1.13 4 9 21389 22741 20184 2558 MNE 2 9 Misici Bar R1.13 22741 20184 2558 20601

153 CRO Pula Vodnjan R10.01.01 4 6 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 4 6 Pula Vodnjan R10.01.01 7030 6518 511 5879

154 CRO Vodnjan Kanfanar R10.01.02 4 20 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 4 20 Vodnjan Kanfanar R10.01.02 7030 6518 511 5879

155 CRO Kanfanar Zminj R10.02.01 4 7 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 4 7 Kanfanar Zminj R10.02.01 7030 6518 511 5879

156 CRO Zminj Rogovici R10.02.02 4 11 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 4 11 Zminj Rogovici R10.02.02 7030 6518 511 5879

157 CRO Rogovici Ivoli R10.02.03 2 6 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 2 6 Rogovici Ivoli R10.02.03 7030 6518 511 5879

158 CRO Ivoli Cerovlje R10.02.04 2 5 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 2 5 Ivoli Cerovlje R10.02.04 7030 6518 511 5879

159 CRO Cerovlje Lupoglav R10.02.05 2 13 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 2 13 Cerovlje Lupoglav R10.02.05 7030 6518 511 5879

160 CRO Lupoglav Vranja R10.02.06 2 6 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 2 6 Lupoglav Vranja R10.02.06 7030 6518 511 5879

161 CRO Vranja Veprinac R10.02.07 2 9 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 2 9 Vranja Veprinac R10.02.07 7030 6518 511 5879

162 CRO Veprinac Matulji R10.02.08 2 9 8668 7030 6518 511 CRO 2 9 Veprinac Matulji R10.02.08 7030 6518 511 5879

NEW 163 CRO Rijeka Draga R10.04.01 4 2 28729 23587 21101 2486 CRO 4 2 Rijeka Draga R10.04.01 23061 20610 2451 34483

NEW 164 CRO Draga Sveti Kuzam R10.04.02 4 4 28729 23587 21101 2486 CRO 4 4 Draga Sveti Kuzam R10.04.02 23061 20610 2451 34483

NEW 176 CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.01 4 5 14972 7453 7053 400 CRO 2 5 Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.01 6713 6354 359 5634

NEW 177 CRO Bakar Smrika R10.05.02 4 8 14972 7453 7053 400 CRO 2 8 Bakar Smrika R10.05.02 6713 6354 359 5634

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 112

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 165 CRO Smrika Senj R10.06.01 4 45 14972 7453 7053 400 CRO 2 45 Smrika Senj R10.06.01 6713 6354 359 5634

NEW 166 CRO Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.01 4 27 14533 5092 4537 555 CRO 2 27 Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.01 4784 4270 514 7435

UPGRADE 62 CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 4 11 23980 29262 26758 2504 CRO 2 11 Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 8072 6497 1575 38628

NEW 70 BIH Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 4 31 25740 33310 26758 6552 BIH 4 31 Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 17870 12247 5623 66788

UPGRADE 33 BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 4 16 34970 33310 26758 6552 BIH 4 16 Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 35455 28368 7088 45856

UPGRADE 64 BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 4 77 14958 18577 17555 1022 BIH 2 77 Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 4720 3696 1024 34554

UPGRADE 34 BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 4 34 14452 18214 17246 968 BIH 2 34 Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 4417 3563 854 33034

NEW 35 BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 4 23 14452 18214 17246 968 BIH 2 37 Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 4417 3563 854 33034

NEW 65 BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 4 25 25381 26114 24605 1508 BIH 2 33 Travnik Lasva R2a.07 8282 6888 1394 37370

UPGRADE 59 BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 4 50 6371 6983 6696 288 BIH 2 50 Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 5371 5158 214 2114

UPGRADE 60 BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 4 33 2862 3820 3500 320 BIH 2 33 Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 2188 1943 246 2344

UPGRADE 67 BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 4 21 3518 5708 4821 887 BIH 2 21 Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 4119 3308 811 5841

UPGRADE 68 MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 4 26 1258 2764 2567 197 MNE 2 26 Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 1175 1054 121 1041

246 MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 4 46 4797 5590 4920 670 MNE 2 46 Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 4630 4030 600 4873

269 MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 2 15 4797 5590 4920 670 MNE 2 15 Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 4630 4030 600 4873

247 MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 2 29 9222 12095 10517 1578 MNE 2 29 Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 12111 10283 1828 13826

248 MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 2 20 11207 13903 12064 1839 MNE 2 20 Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 13972 11888 2084 15879

UPGRADE 249 MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 4 9 18126 15845 13362 2483 MNE 2 9 Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 14912 12454 2458 19751

UPGRADE 267 MNE Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 4 15 9581 7604 5989 1614 MNE 2 15 Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 6672 5083 1589 12713

UPGRADE 1 ALB Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 4 35 9581 7604 5989 1614 ALB 2 35 Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 6672 5083 1589 12713

UPGRADE 2 ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 4 42 14759 14118 9973 4145 ALB 2 42 Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 14046 9926 4120 32959

UPGRADE 3 ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 4 13 14759 14118 9973 4145 ALB 2 13 Lezhe Milot R2b.13 14046 9926 4120 32959

UPGRADE 3 ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 4 14 24110 20939 15387 5552 ALB 2 14 Milot Mamurras R2b.14 19463 13856 5607 44216

UPGRADE 4 ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 4 14 24110 20939 15387 5552 ALB 2 14 Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 19463 13856 5607 44216

UPGRADE 20 ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 4 13 25220 23492 15387 8105 ALB 2 13 Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 22016 13856 8160 61976

5 ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 2 71 6133 7613 1222 6392 ALB 2 71 Fier Tepelene R2c.1 6139 2573 3566 27865

UPGRADE 6 ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 4 23 7887 5848 4705 1143 ALB 2 23 Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 5868 4725 1143 18126

UPGRADE 7 ALB Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 4 31 9408 7384 5374 2010 ALB 4 31 Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 7403 5393 2009 31900

NEW 36 BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 4 21 27294 18097 15722 2375 BIH 2 21 Sarajevo Pale R3.01 17038 14536 2502 25717

71 BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 2 50 4595 4913 4798 115 BIH 2 50 Pale Mesici R3.02 4474 4232 242 2207

37 BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 4 19 2642 3619 3487 132 BIH 2 19 Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 2905 2626 279 3579

38 BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 3 13 2642 3619 3487 132 BIH 2 13 Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 2905 2626 279 3579

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 113

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

39 BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 2 15 5372 7253 6132 1121 BIH 2 15 Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 6539 5271 1268 10459

69 BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 2 13 2642 3619 3487 132 BIH 2 13 Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 2905 2626 279 3579

272 SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 2 19 2642 3619 3487 132 SRB 2 19 Kotroman Kremna R3.07 2905 2626 279 3579

273 SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 2 35 2642 3619 3487 132 SRB 2 35 Kremna Uzice R3.08 2905 2626 279 3579

NEW 274 SRB Vatin Vrsac R4.01 4 14 2003 1561 1136 425 SRB 2 14 Vatin Vrsac R4.01 1543 1125 418 7423

NEW 275 SRB Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 4 68 5003 5011 4586 425 SRB 2 68 Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 4993 4575 418 7423

NEW 276 SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 4 10 29365 25116 18550 6566 SRB 4 10 Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 30155 23595 6560 55097

NEW 327 SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 4 3 37218 26721 23742 2978 SRB 2 3 Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 31643 28071 3572 30064

NEW 286 SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 4 14 37218 26721 23742 2978 SRB 2 14

Belgrade

(Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 31643 28071 3572 30064

NEW 317 SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 4 40 24853 16352 13733 2619 SRB 2 44 Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 15543 13470 2074 20957

NEW 277 SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 4 25 22844 10823 8787 2036 SRB 2 25 Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 10086 8458 1628 15793

NEW 330 SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 4 13 22844 10823 8787 2036 SRB 2 26 Ljig Rudnik R4.08 10086 8458 1628 15793

NEW 278 SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 4 15 27834 14795 12499 2296 SRB 2 12 Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 14720 12710 2010 18521

NEW 279 SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 4 16 27834 14795 12499 2296 SRB 2 15 Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 14720 12710 2010 18521

NEW 322 SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 4 33 22375 12560 11199 1361 SRB 2 41 Cacak Pozega R4.11 13371 11799 1572 17802

280 SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 2 22 2642 3490 3358 132 SRB 2 22 Pozega Uzice R4.12 12361 11390 971 9330

NEW 281 SRB Pozega Nova Varos R4.13 2 59 16633 1362 129 1233 SRB 2 66 Uzice Nova Varos R4.13 5686 4943 742 6000

NEW 282 SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 4 20 9979 5403 4531 872 SRB 2 25 Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 5686 4943 742 6000

NEW 283 SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 4 17 10288 5161 3981 1181 SRB 2 36 Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 2719 2036 683 5960

NEW 250 MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 4 17 10288 5161 3981 1181 MNE 2 22 Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 2719 2036 683 5960

NEW 251 MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 4 12 15792 10310 8403 1907 MNE 2 23 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 7648 6276 1372 11691

NEW 252 MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 4 15 15712 10252 8374 1879 MNE 2 21 Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 7553 6209 1344 11446

NEW 253 MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 4 17 16358 10124 8203 1921 MNE 2 17 Kolasin Mioska R4.19 7390 5991 1399 11870

NEW 254 MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 4 33 16382 10155 8241 1914 MNE 2 40 Mioska Bioce R4.20 7420 6028 1392 11802

NEW 255 MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 4 13 15966 9775 7870 1906 MNE 2 13 Bioce Podgorica R4.21 7069 5683 1386 11739

NEW 256 MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 4 23 22211 15949 13927 2022 MNE 2 30 Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 11854 10571 1284 11231

NEW 257 MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 4 2 22211 15949 13927 2022 MNE 2 2 Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 11854 10571 1284 11231

NEW 258 MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 4 12 22211 15949 13927 2022 MNE 2 12 Sotonici Misici R4.24 11854 10571 1284 11231

284 SRB Paracin Boljevac R5.01 2 47 4735 3560 2818 742 SRB 2 47 Paracin Boljevac R5.01 3581 2828 752 10046

285 SRB Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 2 39 4793 3564 3031 533 SRB 2 39 Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 3585 3041 543 8551

287 SRB Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2 11 3869 2329 2213 116 SRB 2 11 Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2350 2223 126 2356

NEW 288 SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 4 31 18352 9517 7945 1572 SRB 2 31 Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 11088 9550 1538 19876

NEW 289 SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 4 6 19729 16665 16002 663 SRB 2 5.5 Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 16716 16013 704 11305

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 114

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 290 SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 4 55 14229 10340 9677 663 SRB 2 54.9 Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 10391 9688 704 11305

NEW 326 SBR Krusevac Pojate R5.09 4 24 8135 7480 6422 1058 SBR 2 23.5 Krusevac Pojate R5.09 6795 5696 1099 6560

259 MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 2 30 6787 6302 5291 1011 MNE 2 30 Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 6221 5255 966 7978

260 MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 4 29 3299 3005 2460 545 MNE 2 29 Berane Rozaje R6.02 2929 2428 500 4273

318 MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 4 20 3493 3197 2792 405 MNE 2 20 Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 3151 2789 362 3191

291 SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 2 15 3493 3197 2792 405 SRB 2 15 Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 3151 2789 362 3191

333 SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 2 10 2970 2327 1920 407 SRB 2 10 Ribarice Banje R6.05 1407 1277 130 1630

UPGRADE 230 KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 4 36 2970 2327 1920 407 KOS 2 36 Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 1407 1277 130 1630

UPGRADE 231 KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 4 35 25877 22152 17624 4528 KOS 2 35

Mitrovice/Mitrovic

a Pristina R6.07 24392 20140 4251 34038

NEW 232 KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 4 12 45390 41996 28436 13560 KOS 4 12 Pristina Lipljan R6.08 41718 29984 11734 86985

NEW 233 KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja Grlica R6.09 4 23 38064 31822 24548 7274 KOS 2 23 Lipljan Gerlice/Donja Grlica R6.09 33169 25898 7271 55297

NEW 234 KOS Gerlice/Donja Grlica Kacanik R6.10 4 17 15851 12991 10317 2674 KOS 2 17

Gerlice/Donja

Grlica Kacanik R6.10 13452 10781 2671 23297

NEW

23 KOS Kacanik

Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11 4 12 11851 8391 5717 2674 KOS 2 12 Kacanik

Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11 8852 6181 2671 23297

NEW

24 MKD Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic Stenkovec R6.12 4 10 9979 6276 5717 559 MKD 2 20

Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

Stenkovec R6.12 6679 6181 498 6452

UPGRADE 21 KOS Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 4 12 26898 36684 24292 12392 KOS 4 12 Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 37897 23729 14168 99978

UPGRADE 26 KOS Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 4 68 5766 4989 4412 576 KOS 4 68 Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 4369 3781 588 4903

UPGRADE 241 KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 4 24 6640 5788 4742 1046 KOS 2 24 Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 5237 4179 1058 8778

25 MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 2 37 2231 1211 1075 136 MNE 2 37 Beluhe Murino R6b.04 355 218 136 1089

262 MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 2 18 4416 2586 2232 354 MNE 2 18 Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 1493 1150 343 2741

263 MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 2 33 3544 1798 1552 246 MNE 2 33 Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 706 471 235 1881

264 MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 2 13 3544 1798 1552 246 MNE 2 13 Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 706 471 235 1881

32 ALB Milot Rreshen R7.01 2 26 16767 15155 13747 1407 ALB 2 25.9 Milot Rreshen R7.01 17486 15998 1488 11336

28 ALB Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 4 60 13711 12840 11579 1261 ALB 4 60.2 Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 13515 12312 1203 9015

324 ALB Kalimash Morine R7.03 4 28 13421 12173 11579 594 ALB 4 28.3 Kalimash Morine R7.03 12848 12312 536 4375

NEW 235 KOS Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 4 18 11487 10512 9740 771 KOS 4 18 Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 11175 10463 712 5593

NEW 240 KOS Prizren Suhareke/Suva Reka R7.07 4 19 28639 27801 18548 9253 KOS 4 19 Prizren Suhareke/Suva Reka R7.07 26811 19383 7428 52312

NEW 236 KOS Suhareke/Suva Reka Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 4 20 28639 27801 18548 9253 KOS 4 20

Suhareke/Suva

Reka Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 26811 19383 7428 52312

NEW 237 KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 4 25 21439 16071 13718 2353 KOS 2 25

Carraleve/Crnoljev

o Lipljan R7.09 15081 14553 528 4312

UPGRADE 239 KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 4 17 17917 16330 12093 4237 KOS 2 17 Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 14586 10766 3820 27380

UPGRADE 238 KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 4 16 13717 11394 10747 647 KOS 2 16 Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 8376 7316 1060 8180

NEW 320 SBR Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 2 28 5069 6019 5372 647 SBR 2 28 Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 1963 1364 600 4980

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 115

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 321 SBR Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 2 33 7745 6019 5372 647 SBR 2 33 Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 4579 4163 415 3497

NEW 319 SBR Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 2 24 7745 6019 5372 647 SBR 2 24 Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 4579 4163 415 3497

215 MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 2 7 9501 11201 9481 1720 MKD 2 7 Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 11000 9281 1720 12647

216 MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 2 39 4444 4624 4423 202 MKD 2 39 Ohrid Resen R8.02 4424 4223 202 2087

220 MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 2 32 4444 4624 4423 202 MKD 2 32 Resen Bitola R8.03 4424 4223 202 2087

151 CRO Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 2 17 10893 7999 7432 567 CRO 2 17 Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 9882 9318 564 6199

152 CRO Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 2 26 10893 7999 7432 567 CRO 2 26 Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 9882 9318 564 6199

172 CRO Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 4 1 19626 12662 11911 751 CRO 4 1 Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 12033 11310 723 14216

91 CRO Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 4 6 19462 13019 11871 1147 CRO 4 6 Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 12404 11293 1111 18440

92 CRO Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 4 3 19462 13019 11871 1147 CRO 4 3 Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 12404 11293 1111 18440

93 CRO Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 4 6 19462 13019 11871 1147 CRO 4 6 Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 12404 11293 1111 18440

NEW 94 CRO Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 4 3 37515 32009 28050 3959 CRO 4 3 Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 31394 27471 3923 57320

NEW 95 CRO Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 4 4 37515 32009 28050 3959 CRO 4 4 Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 31394 27471 3923 57320

NEW 96 CRO Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 4 5 37515 32009 28050 3959 CRO 4 5 Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 31394 27471 3923 57320

NEW 97 CRO Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 4 5 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 5 Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 15702 13786 1916 25781

NEW 98 CRO Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 4 5 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 5 Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 15702 13786 1916 25781

99 CRO Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 4 9 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 9 Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 15702 13786 1916 25781

100 CRO Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 4 11 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 11 Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 15702 13786 1916 25781

101 CRO Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 4 9 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 9 Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 15702 13786 1916 25781

102 CRO Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 4 11 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 11 Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 15702 13786 1916 25781

103 CRO Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 4 15 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 15 Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 15702 13786 1916 25781

104 CRO Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 4 14 15356 15309 13398 1911 CRO 4 14 Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 15702 13786 1916 25781

105 CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 4 4 29188 30678 27839 2839 CRO 4 4 Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 31974 29097 2877 38883

106 CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 4 13 29188 30678 27839 2839 CRO 4 13 Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 31974 29097 2877 38883

107 CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 4 11 29188 30678 27839 2839 CRO 4 11 Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 31974 29097 2877 38883

108 CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 4 18 36721 35869 31907 3962 CRO 4 18 Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 35999 32076 3923 52366

UPGRADE 109 CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 4 23 40521 40239 36277 3962 CRO 4 23 Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 40369 36446 3923 52366

NEW 193 CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 4 4 42876 44908 35798 9111 CRO 4 4 Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 45980 36659 9322 79585

NEW 110 CRO Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 4 3 35976 35938 28898 7041 CRO 4 3 Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 37010 29759 7252 65185

NEW 111 CRO Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 4 11 30916 29360 23838 5523 CRO 4 11 Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 30432 24699 5734 54625

112 CRO Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 4 11 13808 10421 8670 1751 CRO 4 11 Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 11543 9581 1962 28385

113 CRO Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 4 13 13808 10421 8670 1751 CRO 4 13 Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 11543 9581 1962 28385

114 CRO Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 4 9 13808 10421 8670 1751 CRO 4 9 Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 11543 9581 1962 28385

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 116

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

115 CRO Novi Marof Varazdinske Toplice Vb.10.01 4 9 13808 10421 8670 1751 CRO 4 9 Novi Marof Varazdinske Toplice Vb.10.01 11543 9581 1962 28385

116 CRO Varazdinske Toplice Varazdin Vb.10.02 4 6 13808 10421 8670 1751 CRO 4 6

Varazdinske

Toplice Varazdin Vb.10.02 11543 9581 1962 28385

117 CRO Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 4 7 6219 5213 4558 655 CRO 4 7 Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 5338 4681 656 12309

185 CRO Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 4 8 6219 5213 4558 655 CRO 4 8 Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 5338 4681 656 12309

186 CRO Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 4 14 1602 1418 1012 406 CRO 4 14 Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 1542 1135 407 8900

171 CRO Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 4 3 1602 1418 1012 406 CRO 4 3 Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 1542 1135 407 8900

NEW CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 4 16 3629 3173 2630 543 CRO 2 16 Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 2674 2132 542 9084

NEW 118 CRO Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 4 6 8429 8693 8150 543 CRO 2 4 Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 8194 7652 542 9084

NEW 119 CRO Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 4 11 8429 8693 8150 543 CRO 2 23 Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 8194 7652 542 9084

NEW 120 CRO Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 4 5 21880 26749 22862 3887 CRO 2 8 Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 24512 20633 3879 33506

121 CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 4 8 5120 5911 5152 759 CRO 4 8 Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 3674 2923 751 11746

122 CRO Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 4 23 5120 5911 5152 759 CRO 4 23 Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 3674 2923 751 11746

123 CRO Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 4 20 5120 5911 5152 759 CRO 4 20 Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 3674 2923 751 11746

NEW 173 CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 4 13 22669 23872 23133 739 CRO 2 13 V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 5486 4782 704 7150

NEW 66 BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 4 21 24869 26402 25663 739 BIH 2 21 Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 8016 7312 704 7150

NEW 199 CRO

Metkovic HR/BH

(border) Opuzen Vc.04.01 4 12 19349 10234 9448 786 CRO 2 12

Metkovic HR/BH

(border) Opuzen Vc.04.01 11536 10781 755 6017

NEW 149 CRO Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 4 11 7760 9798 8050 1748 CRO 2 11 Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 9798 8050 1748 12160

NEW 195 CRO Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 4 3 7760 9798 8050 1748 CRO 2 3 Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 9798 8050 1748 12160

NEW 40 BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 4 27 36283 34498 32771 1727 BIH 2 28 Modrica Seslije Vc.05 14954 13261 1692 14917

NEW 41 BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 4 15 37883 36798 34151 2647 BIH 2 15 Seslije Doboj Vc.06 17254 14641 2612 21317

NEW 42 BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 4 4 30460 28254 25900 2354 BIH 2 8 Doboj Karuse Vc.07 17563 15226 2337 39429

NEW 43 BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 4 17 31660 26263 24829 1434 BIH 2 21 Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 12733 11316 1417 33029

NEW 44 BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 4 41 31660 26263 24829 1434 BIH 2 58 Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 12733 11316 1417 33029

NEW 45 BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 4 9 41626 32761 31163 1597 BIH 2 8 Zenica Lasva Vc.10 19387 17781 1606 34784

46 BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 2 35 34818 33493 30618 2876 BIH 2 35 Lasva Visoko Vc.11 22544 19624 2920 30621

47 BIH Visoko Josanica Vc.12 4 9 34818 33493 30618 2876 BIH 4 9 Visoko Josanica Vc.12 22544 19624 2920 30621

48 BIH Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 4 9 38318 34607 31732 2876 BIH 4 9 Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 26569 23649 2920 30621

49 BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 2 8 38318 34607 31732 2876 BIH 2 8 Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 26569 23649 2920 30621

NEW 50 BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 4 9 30170 31836 26656 5180 BIH 4 9 Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 25159 20030 5129 37513

NEW 58 BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 4 19 21570 21946 16766 5180 BIH 2 19 Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 11359 10140 1219 10313

NEW 51 BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 4 18 21570 21946 16766 5180 BIH 2 24 Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 11359 10140 1219 10313

NEW 52 BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 4 21 21570 21946 16766 5180 BIH 2 22 Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 10529 9310 1219 10313

NEW 53 BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 4 36 21570 21946 16766 5180 BIH 2 51 Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 10529 9310 1219 10313

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 117

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 54 BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 4 20 16105 15947 14677 1270 BIH 2 20 Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 7361 6762 599 4828

NEW 55 BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 4 10 16105 15947 14677 1270 BIH 2 10 Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 7361 6762 599 4828

NEW 56 BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 4 16 16105 15947 14677 1270 BIH 2 16 Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 7361 6762 599 4828

NEW 57 BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 4 9 16105 15947 14677 1270 BIH 2 9 Capljina Doljani Vc.23 7361 6762 599 4828

NEW 8 ALB Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 4 16 35055 37284 31639 5645 ALB 4 16 Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 33939 29148 4790 37270

9 ALB Vore Durres VIII.1.2 4 22 27687 29780 26478 3302 ALB 4 22 Vore Durres VIII.1.2 30822 27420 3402 26043

10 ALB Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 4 37 27687 29780 26478 3302 ALB 4 37 Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 30822 27420 3402 26043

UPGRADE 11 ALB Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 4 20 12652 14707 10933 3775 ALB 4 20 Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 14542 12284 2258 16323

UPGRADE 12 ALB Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 4 22 18622 23206 15820 7386 ALB 4 22 Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 23041 17172 5869 41443

UPGRADE 13 ALB Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 4 39 14714 11680 9538 2142 ALB 4 39 Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 17873 9538 8334 69383

14 ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 2 25 8234 11286 7459 3828 ALB 2 25 Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 8415 6739 1676 13409

15 ALB Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 3 34 6983 10513 6685 3828 ALB 2 34 Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 6575 4899 1676 13409

NEW 19 ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 4 32 17281 14110 12502 1608 ALB 2 32 Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 11442 10741 702 5613

NEW 29 ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 2 13 10297 5197 3465 1732 ALB 2 27 Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 8495 6552 1944 16040

NEW 16 ALB Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 4 40 7297 5045 3102 1944 ALB 2 40 Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 5045 3102 1944 16040

17 ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 2 32 5312 5045 3102 1944 ALB 2 32 Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 5045 3102 1944 16040

NEW 22 MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 4 13 7442 6192 5838 354 MKD 2 13 Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 4021 3723 298 2878

NEW 228 MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 4 10 7753 3808 3654 153 MKD 2 10 Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 4021 3723 298 2878

NEW 18 MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 4 16 4301 3808 3654 153 MKD 2 16 Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 5201 5005 196 1675

NEW 201 MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 4 39 5864 5577 5457 120 MKD 2 39 Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 5748 5545 203 1687

NEW 227 MKD Kicevo Gostivar VIII.5.06/07 4 48 5864 5577 5457 120 MKD 2 48 Kicevo Gostivar

VIII.5.06/

07 5748 5545 203 1687

202 MKD Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 4 24 8399 9130 7715 1416 MKD 4 24 Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 9301 7803 1499 11274

225 MKD Tetovo Zelino VIII.5.09.01 4 8 8399 9130 7715 1416 MKD 4 8 Tetovo Zelino

VIII.5.09.

01 9301 7803 1499 11274

226 MKD Zelino Saraj VIII.5.09.02 4 26 16010 15615 15119 496 MKD 4 26 Zelino Saraj

VIII.5.09.

02 15785 15207 579 4874

NEW 30 ALB Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 4 27 6412 6123 3538 2585 ALB 2 13 Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 3952 1423 2529 34888

218 MKD Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4 11 5427 4041 3545 496 MKD 4 11 Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4062 3483 579 4874

224 MKD Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 4 16 6790 6792 5879 913 MKD 4 16 Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 5964 5027 937 10312

203 MKD Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 4 14 9790 10242 9329 913 MKD 4 14 Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 9414 8477 937 10312

NEW 204 MKD Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 4 14 4159 3062 3046 16 MKD 2 14 Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 3068 3065 3 54

NEW 205 MKD Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 4 10 4159 3062 3046 16 MKD 2 10 Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 3068 3065 3 54

NEW 206 MKD Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 4 8 4054 2707 2688 19 MKD 2 8 Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 2713 2707 6 104

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 118

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 207 MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 4 27 4054 2707 2688 19 MKD 2 27 Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 2713 2707 6 104

NEW 223 MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 4 14 4054 2707 2688 19 MKD 2 14 Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 2713 2707 6 104

170 CRO Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 4 2 15274 13206 10421 2785 CRO 4 2 Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 13948 11134 2814 49666

124 CRO Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 4 6 24374 25351 20450 4901 CRO 4 6 Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 26093 21163 4930 95666

187 CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 4 7 40434 43354 34250 9104 CRO 4 7 Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 43809 34676 9133 164128

NEW 188 CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 4 5 66900 65596 52377 13219 CRO 4 5 Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 66461 53206 13255 208328

NEW 189 CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 4 7 53416 57191 48753 8438 CRO 4 7 Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 54840 46495 8345 126030

NEW 192 CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 4 8 54499 51748 44422 7326 CRO 4 8 Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 49156 41924 7231 108926

NEW 147 CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 4 5 54499 51748 44422 7326 CRO 4 5 Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 49156 41924 7231 108926

UPGRADE 125 CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 4 9 38481 40465 34649 5816 CRO 4 9 Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 36579 31186 5393 81637

UPGRADE 150 CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 4 16 31574 33500 28057 5443 CRO 4 16 Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 29513 24494 5019 76351

UPGRADE 126 CRO Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 4 9 28974 30510 25067 5443 CRO 4 9 Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 26523 21504 5019 76351

UPGRADE 169 CRO Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 4 13 28974 30510 25067 5443 CRO 4 13 Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 26523 21504 5019 76351

UPGRADE 194 CRO Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 4 18 28974 30510 25067 5443 CRO 4 18 Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 26523 21504 5019 76351

UPGRADE 191 CRO Kutina Novska X.04.06 4 21 24847 27167 22002 5165 CRO 4 21 Kutina Novska X.04.06 23122 18372 4750 71368

UPGRADE 190 CRO Novska Okucani X.04.07 4 25 24847 27167 22002 5165 CRO 4 25 Novska Okucani X.04.07 23122 18372 4750 71368

UPGRADE 63 CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 4 16 34092 38058 32874 5183 CRO 4 16 Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 19649 15454 4195 74801

UPGRADE 127 CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 4 22 32597 37004 31977 5027 CRO 4 22 Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 18718 14558 4159 73934

UPGRADE 128 CRO Luzani

Slavonski Brod -

West X.06.01 4 21 31151 35344 30536 4807 CRO 4 21 Luzani

Slavonski Brod -

West X.06.01 17017 13078 3939 69669

UPGRADE 129 CRO Slavonski Brod - West

Slavonski Brod -

East X.06.02 4 11 31151 35344 30536 4807 CRO 4 11

Slavonski Brod -

West

Slavonski Brod -

East X.06.02 17017 13078 3939 69669

UPGRADE 130 CRO Slavonski Brod - East Sredanci X.06.03 4 19 31151 35344 30536 4807 CRO 4 19

Slavonski Brod -

East Sredanci X.06.03 17017 13078 3939 69669

UPGRADE 148 CRO Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 4 8 30532 35524 31071 4454 CRO 4 8 Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 17871 14277 3594 64921

UPGRADE 131 CRO V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 4 13 16350 16201 11903 4298 CRO 4 13 V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 14293 11023 3270 60787

UPGRADE 132 CRO Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 4 12 16350 16201 11903 4298 CRO 4 12 Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 14293 11023 3270 60787

UPGRADE 133 CRO Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 4 17 11085 11156 7228 3928 CRO 4 17 Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 7945 5042 2903 55793

UPGRADE 134 CRO Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 4 12 11085 11156 7228 3928 CRO 4 12 Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 7945 5042 2903 55793

316 CRO Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 4 3 11085 11156 7228 3928 CRO 4 3 Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 7945 5042 2903 55793

292 SRB Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 4 92 11085 11156 7228 3928 SRB 4 92 Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 7945 5042 2903 55793

UPGRADE 315 SBR Dobanovci Ostruznica

X.10.1 Sec1-

3 4 17 15303 13545 9831 3715 SBR 4 17 Dobanovci Ostruznica

X.10.1

Sec1-3 12890 9346 3543 44729

UPGRADE 331 SRB Ostruznica Orlovaca X.10.2 Sec4 4 7 17347 14424 9894 4529 SRB 2 7 Ostruznica Orlovaca

X.10.2

Sec4 14557 9433 5125 55139

UPGRADE 325 SRB Orlovaca Bubanj Potok

X.10.3 Sec5-

6 4 13 8768 6017 5039 978 SRB 2 13 Orlovaca Bubanj Potok

X.10.3

Sec5-6 4564 3110 1454 10164

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 119

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

323 SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 4 15 47979 57302 51168 6134 SRB 4 15 Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 55727 50451 5276 37557

293 SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 4 7 135159 151192 143769 7423 SRB 4 7 Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 145058 138745 6313 52077

294 SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 4 10 53498 64999 57916 7083 SRB 4 10 Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 56966 51341 5626 43691

295 SRB Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 4 24 34674 34203 29016 5187 SRB 4 24 Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 35165 29695 5470 42656

296 SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 4 24 26274 24543 19356 5187 SRB 4 24 Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 23905 18435 5470 42656

297 SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 4 30 22670 21588 17114 4475 SRB 4 30 Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 20959 16200 4760 36678

298 SRB Velika Plana Batocina X.16 4 22 21037 20105 16125 3980 SRB 4 22 Velika Plana Batocina X.16 19539 15274 4265 32808

299 SRB Batocina Paracin X.17 4 46 21037 20105 16125 3980 SRB 4 46 Batocina Paracin X.17 19539 15274 4265 32808

300 SRB Paracin Pojate X.18 4 12 17903 17004 13466 3539 SRB 4 12 Paracin Pojate X.18 16318 12484 3834 32032

301 SRB Pojate Trupale X.19 4 63 19901 15356 12521 2835 SRB 4 62.6 Pojate Trupale X.19 15561 12417 3144 30149

302 SRB Trupale Doljevac X.20 4 16 9467 9700 8072 1629 SRB 4 16.2 Trupale Doljevac X.20 8129 6595 1534 15346

303 SRB Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 4 13 9467 9700 8072 1629 SRB 4 12.8 Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 8129 6595 1534 15346

304 SRB Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 4 21 9467 9700 8072 1629 SRB 4 21.3 Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 8129 6595 1534 15346

UPGRADE 305 SRB Grdelica Presevo X.23 4 99 8227 8940 6836 2104 SRB 2 99 Grdelica Presevo X.23 7559 5382 2178 21156

UPGRADE 208 MKD

Tabanovce MK/SR

(border) Kumanovo X.25 4 8 7595 8604 7022 1582 MKD 4 8

Tabanovce MK/SR

(border) Kumanovo X.25 7336 5680 1656 16948

209 MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 4 43 11678 11595 10003 1592 MKD 4 43 Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 10390 8738 1653 16904

219 MKD Miladinovci Veles X.27 4 40 15220 13491 12202 1289 MKD 4 40 Miladinovci Veles X.27 13647 12359 1288 15468

210 MKD Veles Gradsko X.28 4 20 8683 6612 5978 634 MKD 4 20 Veles Gradsko X.28 6677 6044 633 10350

211 MKD Gradsko Negotino X.29 4 16 7073 4760 4127 634 MKD 4 16 Gradsko Negotino X.29 4826 4192 633 10350

212 MKD Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4 17 7073 4760 4127 634 MKD 4 17 Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4826 4192 633 10350

NEW 213 MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4 22 7073 4760 4127 634 MKD 2 22 Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4826 4192 633 10350

NEW 214 MKD Udovo Bogorodica X.32 4 29 6076 5815 2457 3358 MKD 4 29 Udovo Bogorodica X.32 5880 2523 3357 59796

UPGRADE 184 CRO Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 4 2 13780 11123 9976 1146 CRO 4 2 Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 11038 9891 1146 28631

UPGRADE 135 CRO Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 4 7 13780 11123 9976 1146 CRO 4 7 Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 11038 9891 1146 28631

UPGRADE 136 CRO Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 4 10 13399 13699 12078 1621 CRO 4 10 Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 14109 12480 1629 27279

UPGRADE 137 CRO Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 4 5 13399 13699 12078 1621 CRO 4 5 Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 14109 12480 1629 27279

UPGRADE 138 CRO Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 4 13 13399 13699 12078 1621 CRO 4 13 Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 14109 12480 1629 27279

NEW 139 CRO Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 4 17 24998 21364 19322 2042 CRO 4 17 Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 21774 19724 2050 30530

NEW 140 CRO Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 4 9 24998 21364 19322 2042 CRO 4 9 Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 21774 19724 2050 30530

328 SRB Horgos Subotica Xb.1 4 23 6872 7177 5756 1420 SRB 4 23 Horgos Subotica Xb.1 6816 5396 1420 22352

306 SRB Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 4 91 14114 9875 7927 1947 SRB 4 91 Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 9349 7402 1948 23659

307 SRB Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 4 61 28163 21495 18311 3184 SRB 4 61 Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 19122 16244 2878 27788

314 SRB Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 4 10 38130 35755 32571 3184 SRB 4 10 Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 30905 28027 2878 27788

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 120

Type*

No

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

Country From To SEETO

Code

No. of

lanes

Length

km

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

tons/day

2030

Country

No.

of

lanes

Length

km From To

SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

313 SRB Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 4 19 9047 5875 4482 1393 SRB 4 19 Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 10175 8302 1873 22304

NEW 308 SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 4 32 10583 6857 5358 1500 SRB 2 32 Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 6874 5366 1509 19420

NEW 309 SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 4 28 10583 6857 5358 1500 SRB 2 28 Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 6874 5366 1509 19420

NEW 310 SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 4 24 11119 7274 5807 1467 SRB 2 24 Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 7291 5816 1475 24741

NEW 311 SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 4 7 10192 6078 4701 1377 SRB 2 7 Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 5830 4445 1385 23264

NEW 217 MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 4 55 5263 4881 4306 575 MKD 2 55 Veles Prilep Xd.01 4819 4244 575 4654

221 MKD Prilep Bitola Xd.02 2 42 5263 4881 4306 575 MKD 2 42 Prilep Bitola Xd.02 4819 4244 575 4654

222 MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 2 20 3271 3650 3590 59 MKD 2 20 Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 3541 3482 60 980

NEW ALB Tepelene Elbasan 4 89 5538 1912 1332 580

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new road section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing road section

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 121

Table AIV. 2. Comparison Results for the Road Network (moderate/high economic growth rate)

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

73 CRO Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 17396 16275 1121 16140 73 CRO Bosiljevo 2 Ogulin R1.01.01 17418 16264 1154 15336

74 CRO Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 17396 16275 1121 16140 74 CRO Ogulin Brinje R1.01.02 17418 16264 1154 15336

167 CRO Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 17396 16275 1121 16140 167 CRO Brinje Zuta Lokva R1.01.03 17418 16264 1154 15336

168 CRO Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 17824 16482 1342 20056 168 CRO Zuta Lokva Otocac R1.01.04 16816 15486 1329 18511

75 CRO Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 17824 16482 1342 20056 75 CRO Otocac Perusic R1.01.05 16816 15486 1329 18511

76 CRO Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 17824 16482 1342 20056 76 CRO Perusic Gospic R1.01.06 16816 15486 1329 18511

77 CRO Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 17824 16482 1342 20056 77 CRO Gospic Gornja Ploca R1.01.07 16816 15486 1329 18511

78 CRO Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 17824 16482 1342 20056 78 CRO Gornja Ploca Sveti Rok R1.02.01 16816 15486 1329 18511

182 CRO Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 17824 16482 1342 20056 182 CRO Sveti Rok Maslenica R1.02.02 16816 15486 1329 18511

183 CRO Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 17824 16482 1342 20056 183 CRO Maslenica Posedarje R1.02.03 16816 15486 1329 18511

79 CRO Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 17824 16482 1342 20056 79 CRO Posedarje Zadar 1 R1.02.04 16816 15486 1329 18511

181 CRO Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 14258 13046 1212 17082 181 CRO Zadar 1 Zadar 2 R1.02.05 13306 12088 1218 15690

178 CRO Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 14258 13046 1212 17082 178 CRO Zadar 2 Benkovac R1.02.06 13306 12088 1218 15690

80 CRO Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 14258 13046 1212 17082 80 CRO Benkovac Pirovac R1.02.07 13306 12088 1218 15690

179 CRO Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 14258 13046 1212 17082 179 CRO Pirovac Skradin R1.02.08 13306 12088 1218 15690

81 CRO Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 14258 13046 1212 17082 81 CRO Skradin Sibenik R1.02.09 13306 12088 1218 15690

82 CRO Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 12926 11516 1410 16131 82 CRO Sibenik Vrpolje R1.02.10 12476 11022 1453 16471

83 CRO Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 12926 11516 1410 16131 83 CRO Vrpolje Prgomet R1.02.11 12476 11022 1453 16471

84 CRO Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 12926 11516 1410 16131 84 CRO Prgomet Vucevica R1.02.12 12476 11022 1453 16471

197 CRO Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 12926 11516 1410 16131 197 CRO Vucevica Dugopolje R1.02.13 12476 11022 1453 16471

NEW 85 CRO Opuzen Klek R1.04 11333 10447 887 6934 85 CRO Opuzen Klek R1.04 11076 10229 848 6756

NEW 86 CRO Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 11333 10447 887 6934 86 CRO Neum Northwest Neum SouthEast R1.05 11076 10229 848 6756

174 CRO Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 11162 9924 1239 9921 174 CRO Dugopolje Bisko R1.05.01 10312 9182 1130 9040

175 CRO Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 11162 9924 1239 9921 175 CRO Bisko Blato (na Cestini) R1.05.02 10312 9182 1130 9040

142 CRO Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 11162 9924 1239 9921 142 CRO Blato (na Cestini) Sestanovac R1.05.03 10312 9182 1130 9040

143 CRO Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 11162 9924 1239 9921 143 CRO Sestanovac Zagvozd R1.05.04 10312 9182 1130 9040

144 CRO Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 6694 5911 783 6275 144 CRO Zagvozd Ravca R1.05.05 4543 3413 1130 9040

NEW 145 CRO Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 6694 5911 783 6275 145 CRO Ravca Vrgorac R1.05.06 4543 3413 1130 9040

NEW 146 CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 6694 5911 783 6275 146 CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 4543 3413 1130 9040

NEW 196 CRO Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 6694 5911 783 6275 196 CRO Mali Prolog Cevljusa R1.05.08 4543 3413 1130 9040

NEW 87 CRO XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 11333 10447 887 6934 87 CRO XY Zaton Doli R1.06.01 11076 10229 848 6756

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 122

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 88 CRO Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 11333 10447 887 6934 88 CRO Zaton Doli Slano R1.06.02 11076 10229 848 6756

NEW 89 CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 14641 13737 904 7073 89 CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 14781 13916 865 6895

NEW 90 CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 20484 19580 904 7073 90 CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 21950 21085 865 6895

UPGRADE 61 CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 8060 7758 301 2254 61 CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 5408 5144 264 2078

UPGRADE 265 CRO Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 8060 7758 301 2254 265 CRO Karasovici Karasovici R1.07.03 5408 5144 264 2078

UPGRADE 266 MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 7431 7135 296 2211 266 MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 5408 5144 264 2078

UPGRADE 242 MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 19904 17233 2671 21262 242 MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 18509 15865 2644 21171

180 CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 8097 7518 579 6562 180 CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 8097 7518 579 6562

141 CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 9676 9143 533 5086 141 CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 9676 9143 533 5086

198 CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 30038 25919 4119 37283 198 CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 32130 28075 4055 37283

UPGRADE 271 MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 19904 17233 2671 21262 271 MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 18509 15865 2644 21171

UPGRADE 261 MNE Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 11661 9475 2186 17519 261 MNE Raskrnica E65 Tivat (airport) R1.10.1 12249 10063 2186 17519

UPGRADE 268 MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 21123 19675 1449 12435 268 MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 21707 20378 1329 10876

UPGRADE 243 MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 15710 13407 2303 19294 243 MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 18468 17003 1465 13667

UPGRADE 244 MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 15710 13407 2303 19294 244 MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 14236 12771 1465 13667

UPGRADE 245 MNE Misici Bar R1.13 24800 21854 2947 23714 245 MNE Misici Bar R1.13 24800 21854 2947 23714

153 CRO Pula Vodnjan R10.01.01 7545 6939 606 6703 153 CRO Pula Vodnjan

R10.01.0

1 7545 6939 606 6703

154 CRO Vodnjan Kanfanar R10.01.02 7545 6939 606 6703 154 CRO Vodnjan Kanfanar

R10.01.0

2 7545 6939 606 6703

155 CRO Kanfanar Zminj R10.02.01 7545 6939 606 6703 155 CRO Kanfanar Zminj

R10.02.0

1 7545 6939 606 6703

156 CRO Zminj Rogovici R10.02.02 7545 6939 606 6703 156 CRO Zminj Rogovici

R10.02.0

2 7545 6939 606 6703

157 CRO Rogovici Ivoli R10.02.03 7545 6939 606 6703 157 CRO Rogovici Ivoli

R10.02.0

3 7545 6939 606 6703

158 CRO Ivoli Cerovlje R10.02.04 7545 6939 606 6703 158 CRO Ivoli Cerovlje

R10.02.0

4 7545 6939 606 6703

159 CRO Cerovlje Lupoglav R10.02.05 7545 6939 606 6703 159 CRO Cerovlje Lupoglav

R10.02.0

5 7545 6939 606 6703

160 CRO Lupoglav Vranja R10.02.06 7545 6939 606 6703 160 CRO Lupoglav Vranja

R10.02.0

6 7545 6939 606 6703

161 CRO Vranja Veprinac R10.02.07 7545 6939 606 6703 161 CRO Vranja Veprinac

R10.02.0

7 7545 6939 606 6703

162 CRO Veprinac Matulji R10.02.08 7545 6939 606 6703 162 CRO Veprinac Matulji

R10.02.0

8 7545 6939 606 6703

NEW 163 CRO Rijeka Draga R10.04.01 26282 23016 3267 45231 163 CRO Rijeka Draga

R10.04.0

1 25902 22674 3228 44502

NEW 164 CRO Draga Sveti Kuzam R10.04.02 26282 23016 3267 45231 164 CRO Draga Sveti Kuzam

R10.04.0

2 25902 22674 3228 44502

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 123

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 176 CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.01 8183 7717 466 7304 176 CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar

R10.05.0

1 7223 6803 420 6568

NEW 177 CRO Bakar Smrika R10.05.02 8183 7717 466 7304 177 CRO Bakar Smrika

R10.05.0

2 7223 6803 420 6568

NEW 165 CRO Smrika Senj R10.06.01 8183 7717 466 7304 165 CRO Smrika Senj

R10.06.0

1 7223 6803 420 6568

NEW 166 CRO Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.01 5528 4874 654 9417 166 CRO Senj Zuta Lokva

R10.07.0

1 5006 4398 608 8681

UPGRADE 62 CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 30914 28963 1951 44570 62 CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska R2a.01 9736 7785 1950 46666

NEW 70 BIH Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 35138 28963 6175 76954 70 BIH Gradiska Klasnice R2a.02 20396 14398 5998 79050

UPGRADE 33 BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 35138 28963 6175 76954 33 BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 41484 33018 8466 53976

UPGRADE 64 BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 20008 18810 1198 48327 64 BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 5836 4624 1212 42677

UPGRADE 34 BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 19588 18454 1134 47690 34 BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 5382 4407 975 40591

NEW 35 BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 19588 18454 1134 47690 35 BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 5382 4407 975 40591

NEW 65 BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 28541 26776 1765 52757 65 BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 9288 7682 1606 45654

UPGRADE 59 BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 8823 8503 320 4867 59 BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 6278 6037 241 2478

UPGRADE 60 BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 5251 4894 357 5133 60 BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 2645 2367 278 2745

UPGRADE 67 BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 7057 6125 932 9145 67 BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 4730 3908 822 6761

UPGRADE 68 MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 3985 3773 212 3625 68 MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 1448 1316 132 1241

246 MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 6925 6178 747 7908 246 MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 5003 4330 674 5573

269 MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 6925 6178 747 7908 269 MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 5003 4330 674 5573

247 MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 12561 10786 1775 16965 247 MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 12228 10150 2078 15821

248 MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 15513 13442 2070 19331 248 MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 15242 12874 2368 18141

UPGRADE 249 MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 17160 14336 2824 23860 249 MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 16007 13212 2795 22400

UPGRADE 267 MNE Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 8606 6772 1833 15845 267 MNE Tuzi Bozaj R2b.10 7453 5649 1804 14384

UPGRADE 1 ALB Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 8606 6772 1833 15845 1 ALB Hani i Hotit Shkoder R2b.11 7453 5649 1804 14384

UPGRADE 2 ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 15487 10839 4647 38357 2 ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 15335 10717 4618 36897

UPGRADE 3 ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 15487 10839 4647 38357 3 ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 15335 10717 4618 36897

UPGRADE 3 ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 22810 16612 6198 49744 3 ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 20966 14729 6237 49948

UPGRADE 4 ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 22810 16612 6198 49744 4 ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 20966 14729 6237 49948

UPGRADE 20 ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 25474 16612 8862 70168 20 ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 23519 14729 8790 70372

5 ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 9092 2172 6920 91809 5 ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 6324 2784 3540 30636

UPGRADE 6 ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 6299 5067 1232 19670 6 ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 6293 5062 1232 19347

UPGRADE 7 ALB Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 7981 5758 2223 35410 7 ALB Gjirokaster Kakavija R2c.3 7976 5753 2223 35087

NEW 36 BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 21183 18397 2786 30984 36 BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 20757 17782 2975 30044

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 124

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

71 BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 5613 5502 111 3616 71 BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 6097 5796 301 2681

37 BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 3508 3316 192 4817 37 BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 3215 2883 333 4188

38 BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 3508 3316 192 4817 38 BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 3215 2883 333 4188

39 BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 7300 6076 1224 12729 39 BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 7246 5925 1322 12100

69 BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 3508 3316 192 4817 69 BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 3215 2883 333 4188

272 SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 3508 3316 192 4817 272 SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 3215 2883 333 4188

273 SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 3508 3316 192 4817 273 SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 3215 2883 333 4188

NEW 274 SRB Vatin Vrsac R4.01 1644 1204 440 7745 274 SRB Vatin Vrsac R4.01 1631 1192 439 7669

NEW 275 SRB Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 5244 4804 440 7745 275 SRB Vrsac Pancevo R4.02 5599 5160 439 7669

NEW 276 SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 26108 18806 7302 62835 276 SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 30812 23622 7191 62759

NEW 327 SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 28905 25161 3744 37634 327 SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 33243 28823 4419 36906

NEW 286 SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 28905 25161 3744 37634 286 SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 33243 28823 4419 36906

NEW 317 SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 17518 14847 2671 25526 317 SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 17089 14562 2527 23895

NEW 277 SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 11169 9177 1992 20054 277 SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 10682 8810 1872 17965

NEW 330 SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 11169 9177 1992 20054 330 SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 10682 8810 1872 17965

NEW 278 SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 15785 13466 2320 22273 278 SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 16377 14034 2343 21371

NEW 279 SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 15785 13466 2320 22273 279 SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 16377 14034 2343 21371

NEW 322 SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 13859 12262 1598 23557 322 SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 14309 12412 1897 20945

280 SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 3413 3221 192 4817 280 SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 13987 12788 1199 10454

NEW 281 SRB Pozega Nova Varos R4.13 95 95 0 0.000000 281 SRB Uzice Nova Varos R4.13 6899 6103 796 6535

NEW 282 SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 6829 5849 980 8397 282 SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 6899 6103 796 6535

NEW 283 SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 5728 4400 1329 11526 283 SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 2996 2284 712 6702

NEW 250 MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 5728 4400 1329 11526 250 MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 2996 2284 712 6702

NEW 251 MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 11478 9339 2140 18212 251 MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 8587 7095 1492 13392

NEW 252 MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 11412 9304 2109 18960 252 MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 8491 7029 1463 13127

NEW 253 MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 11015 8857 2158 19349 253 MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 8298 6712 1586 13613

NEW 254 MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 11052 8903 2149 19377 254 MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 8334 6756 1578 13627

NEW 255 MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 10660 8520 2140 19301 255 MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 7972 6402 1571 13553

NEW 256 MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 17756 15436 2320 19568 256 MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 12890 11408 1482 13940

NEW 257 MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 17756 15436 2320 19568 257 MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 12890 11408 1482 13940

NEW 258 MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 17756 15436 2320 19568 258 MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 12890 11408 1482 13940

284 SRB Paracin Boljevac R5.01 3816 3012 804 10339 284 SRB Paracin Boljevac R5.01 3827 3019 809 10461

285 SRB Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 3805 3245 559 8569 285 SRB Boljevac Zajecar R5.04.05 3816 3252 564 8690

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 125

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

287 SRB Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2401 2288 114 2143 287 SRB Zajecar Vrska Cuka R5.06 2412 2294 118 2264

NEW 288 SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 9733 8189 1544 23040 288 SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 11786 9924 1863 23742

NEW 289 SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 18327 17495 832 14400 289 SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 18382 17557 824 13633

NEW 290 SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 11727 10895 832 14400 290 SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 11108 10284 824 13633

NEW 326 SBR Krusevac Pojate R5.09 8747 7555 1193 8997 326 SBR Krusevac Pojate R5.09 7922 6659 1263 8212

259 MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 6648 5519 1129 9183 259 MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 6954 5861 1093 9206

260 MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 3241 2639 601 4961 260 MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 3560 2993 567 5018

318 MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 3388 2945 443 3696 318 MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 3789 3379 410 3788

291 SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 3388 2945 443 3696 291 SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 3789 3379 410 3788

333 SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 1749 1651 98 1863 333 SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 1442 1232 210 1878

UPGRADE 230 KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 1749 1651 98 1863 230 KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 1442 1232 210 1878

UPGRADE 231 KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 24790 20083 4706 39000 231 KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 27136 22378 4759 39015

NEW 232 KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 43092 28814 14278 204649 232 KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 44220 32010 12211 99593

NEW 233 KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja Grlica R6.09 32472 24649 7823 62812 233 KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja Grlica R6.09 34746 27085 7661 63065

NEW 234 KOS Gerlice/Donja Grlica Kacanik R6.10 14278 11255 3023 26012 234 KOS Gerlice/Donja Grlica Kacanik R6.10 14857 11796 3061 26265

NEW

23 KOS Kacanik

Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11 9478 6455 3023 26012 23 KOS Kacanik

Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11 9567 6506 3061 26265

NEW

24 MKD Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic Stenkovec R6.12 7027 6455 572 6462 24 MKD

Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

Stenkovec R6.12 7054 6506 548 6738

UPGRADE 21 KOS Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 38857 25642 13215 9851 21 KOS Pristina Sllatine/Slatina R6b.01 41246 26860 14387 114887

UPGRADE 26 KOS Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 5516 4861 655 5366 26 KOS Sllatine/Slatina Peje/Pec R6b.02 4671 3942 729 5522

UPGRADE 241 KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 6445 5242 1203 9851 241 KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 5654 4377 1277 10007

25 MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 1615 1460 155 1239 25 MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 441 286 155 1239

262 MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 3125 2723 401 3260 262 MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 1621 1294 327 3104

263 MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 2298 2020 277 2276 263 MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 796 594 203 2121

264 MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 2298 2020 277 2276 264 MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 796 594 203 2121

32 ALB Milot Rreshen R7.01 15788 14236 1552 13089 32 ALB Milot Rreshen R7.01 18578 16960 1619 13118

28 ALB Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 13544 12159 1385 10883 28 ALB Rreshen Kalimash R7.02 14314 13024 1290 10453

324 ALB Kalimash Morine R7.03 12848 12159 689 5547 324 ALB Kalimash Morine R7.03 13647 13024 623 5117

NEW 235 KOS Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 11066 10192 874 6959 235 KOS Vermice/Vrbnica Prizren R7.06 11841 11042 798 6518

NEW 240 KOS Prizren Suhareke/Suva Reka R7.07 28553 19002 9551 165577 240 KOS Prizren Suhareke/Suva Reka R7.07 28220 20706 7514 60245

NEW 236 KOS Suhareke/Suva Reka Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 28553 19002 9551 165577 236 KOS Suhareke/Suva Reka Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 28220 20706 7514 60245

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 126

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 237 KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 16313 13962 2351 110377 237 KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 15765 15151 614 5045

UPGRADE 239 KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 21316 17206 4110 32132 239 KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 22728 18823 3905 31383

UPGRADE 238 KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 14836 13606 1230 10052 238 KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 16000 14856 1145 9303

NEW 320 SBR Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 4926 3695 1230 10052 320 SBR Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 2029 1345 685 5623

NEW 321 SBR Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 7889 6799 1090 9126 321 SBR Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 4909 4444 465 3897

NEW 319 SBR Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 7889 6799 1090 9126 319 SBR Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 4909 4444 465 3897

215 MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 11730 9920 1810 15150 215 MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 11962 10218 1744 14343

216 MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 4866 4640 226 3006 216 MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 4627 4401 226 2199

220 MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 4866 4640 226 3006 220 MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 4627 4401 226 2199

151 CRO Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 8926 8258 669 7121 151 CRO Vukovar Vinkovci R9.01.01 10082 9418 665 7097

152 CRO Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 8926 8258 669 7121 152 CRO Vinkovci Zupanja R9.01.02 10082 9418 665 7097

172 CRO Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 13537 12671 867 16855 172 CRO Rupa (border) Rupa Vb.01.01 12927 12091 836 16130

91 CRO Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 14143 12724 1419 23608 91 CRO Rupa Permani Vb.01.02 13563 12184 1379 22891

92 CRO Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 14143 12724 1419 23608 92 CRO Permani Jurdani Vb.01.03 13563 12184 1379 22891

93 CRO Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 14143 12724 1419 23608 93 CRO Jurdani Matulji Vb.01.04 13563 12184 1379 22891

NEW 94 CRO Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 34167 29743 4424 68261 94 CRO Matulji Diracje Vb.02.01 34517 30232 4285 67544

NEW 95 CRO Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 34167 29743 4424 68261 95 CRO Diracje Skorinje Vb.02.02 34517 30232 4285 67544

NEW 96 CRO Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 34167 29743 4424 68261 96 CRO Skorinje Rijeka Vb.02.03 34517 30232 4285 67544

NEW 97 CRO Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 17152 14664 2487 32629 97 CRO Rijeka Cavle Vb.03.01 17844 15350 2494 32648

NEW 98 CRO Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 17152 14664 2487 32629 98 CRO Cavle Kikovica Vb.03.02 17844 15350 2494 32648

99 CRO Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 17152 14664 2487 32629 99 CRO Kikovica Ostrovica Vb.04.01 17844 15350 2494 32648

100 CRO Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 17152 14664 2487 32629 100 CRO Ostrovica Vrata Vb.04.02 17844 15350 2494 32648

101 CRO Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 17152 14664 2487 32629 101 CRO Vrata Delnice Vb.04.03 17844 15350 2494 32648

102 CRO Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 17152 14664 2487 32629 102 CRO Delnice Ravna Gora Vb.04.04 17844 15350 2494 32648

103 CRO Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 17152 14664 2487 32629 103 CRO Ravna Gora Vrbovsko Vb.05.01 17844 15350 2494 32648

104 CRO Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 17152 14664 2487 32629 104 CRO Vrbovsko Bosiljevo 2 Vb.05.02 17844 15350 2494 32648

105 CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 34548 30940 3608 48770 105 CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 35262 31614 3648 47984

106 CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 34548 30940 3608 48770 106 CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 35262 31614 3648 47984

107 CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 34548 30940 3608 48770 107 CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 35262 31614 3648 47984

108 CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 40461 35515 4946 63560 108 CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 39360 34479 4881 63435

UPGRADE 109 CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 45021 40075 4946 63560 109 CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 44386 39504 4881 63435

NEW 193 CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 47128 37443 9685 87601 193 CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 50870 41268 9601 89921

NEW 110 CRO Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 37768 30243 7525 71041 110 CRO Kraljevacki Novaki Popovec Vb.09.02 40865 33333 7531 73361

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 127

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 111 CRO Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 30904 24963 5941 58897 111 CRO Popovec Sveta Helena Vb.09.03 33528 27514 6013 61217

112 CRO Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 11129 9124 2005 28721 112 CRO Sveta Helena Komin Vb.09.04 12302 10061 2241 31041

113 CRO Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 11129 9124 2005 28721 113 CRO Komin Breznicki Hum Vb.09.05 12302 10061 2241 31041

114 CRO Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 11129 9124 2005 28721 114 CRO Breznicki Hum Novi Marof Vb.09.06 12302 10061 2241 31041

115 CRO Novi Marof Varazdinske Toplice Vb.10.01 11129 9124 2005 28721 115 CRO Novi Marof Varazdinske Toplice Vb.10.01 12302 10061 2241 31041

116 CRO Varazdinske Toplice Varazdin Vb.10.02 11129 9124 2005 28721 116 CRO Varazdinske Toplice Varazdin Vb.10.02 12302 10061 2241 31041

117 CRO Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 5467 4759 708 12892 117 CRO Varazdin Ludbreg Vb.11.01 5542 4832 709 12793

185 CRO Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 5467 4759 708 12892 185 CRO Ludbreg Cakovec Vb.11.02 5542 4832 709 12793

186 CRO Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 1424 1013 411 8951 186 CRO Cakovec Gorican Vb.11.03 1499 1087 413 8852

171 CRO Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 1424 1013 411 8951 171 CRO Gorican Gorican (border) Vb.12 1499 1087 413 8852

NEW CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 3442 2815 628 10402 CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 2954 2328 626 10501

NEW 118 CRO Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 9202 8575 628 10402 118 CRO Beli Manastir Karanac Vc.01.02 9302 8676 626 10501

NEW 119 CRO Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 9202 8575 628 10402 119 CRO Karanac Osijek - North Vc.01.03 9302 8676 626 10501

NEW 120 CRO Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 29252 25051 4201 38983 120 CRO Osijek - North Josipovec Vc.01.04 29453 25400 4053 39242

121 CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 7508 6571 937 13959 121 CRO Josipovec Cepin Vc.02.01 5958 5033 925 14218

122 CRO Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 7508 6571 937 13959 122 CRO Cepin Djakovo Vc.02.02 5958 5033 925 14218

123 CRO Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 7508 6571 937 13959 123 CRO Djakovo Sredanci Vc.02.03 5958 5033 925 14218

NEW 173 CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 26415 25540 875 8488 173 CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 7300 6472 828 8329

NEW 66 BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 29055 28180 875 8488 66 BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 10209 9382 828 8329

NEW 199 CRO

Metkovic HR/BH

(border) Opuzen Vc.04.01 11333 10447 887 6934 199 CRO

Metkovic HR/BH

(border) Opuzen Vc.04.01 13577 12729 848 6756

NEW 149 CRO Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 10224 8400 1824 13984 149 CRO Opuzen Cevljusa Vc.04.02 11006 9258 1748 13984

NEW 195 CRO Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 10224 8400 1824 13984 195 CRO Cevljusa Ploce Vc.04.03 11006 9258 1748 13984

NEW 40 BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 37609 35567 2042 17697 40 BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 15776 13781 1994 17538

NEW 41 BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 40009 37007 3002 25057 41 BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 18283 15368 2914 24898

NEW 42 BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 30680 28107 2573 53544 42 BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 19341 16860 2481 47791

NEW 43 BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 29943 28330 1613 46184 43 BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 13924 12364 1561 40431

NEW 44 BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 29943 28330 1613 46184 44 BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 13924 12364 1561 40431

NEW 45 BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 34999 33194 1805 47885 45 BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 19497 17684 1813 42486

46 BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 36603 33301 3303 34367 46 BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 23303 19973 3330 34566

47 BIH Visoko Josanica Vc.12 36603 33301 3303 34367 47 BIH Visoko Josanica Vc.12 23303 19973 3330 34566

48 BIH Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 39106 35804 3303 34367 48 BIH Josanica Semizovac Vc.13 27932 24602 3330 34566

49 BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 39106 35804 3303 34367 49 BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 27932 24602 3330 34566

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 128

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

NEW 50 BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 36510 30845 5665 44708 50 BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 28328 22916 5412 43918

NEW 58 BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 26190 20525 5665 44708 58 BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 13045 11542 1502 12638

NEW 51 BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 26190 20525 5665 44708 51 BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 13045 11542 1502 12638

NEW 52 BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 26190 20525 5665 44708 52 BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 11949 10447 1502 12638

NEW 53 BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 26190 20525 5665 44708 53 BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 11949 10447 1502 12638

NEW 54 BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 17583 15998 1585 13428 54 BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 8752 7972 779 6274

NEW 55 BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 17583 15998 1585 13428 55 BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 8752 7972 779 6274

NEW 56 BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 17583 15998 1585 13428 56 BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 8752 7972 779 6274

NEW 57 BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 17583 15998 1585 13428 57 BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 8752 7972 779 6274

NEW 8 ALB Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 39328 32768 6560 47199 8 ALB Tirana Vore VIII.1.1 38166 32822 5344 42776

9 ALB Vore Durres VIII.1.2 32330 28563 3768 24466 9 ALB Vore Durres VIII.1.2 34008 30375 3633 29091

10 ALB Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 32330 28563 3768 24466 10 ALB Durres Rrogozhine VIII.1.3 34008 30375 3633 29091

UPGRADE 11 ALB Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 16430 12330 4100 13432 11 ALB Rrogozhine Lushnje VIII.2.1 15300 12961 2339 18717

UPGRADE 12 ALB Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 25298 17430 7868 42320 12 ALB Lushnje Fier VIII.2.2 24531 18581 5950 47605

UPGRADE 13 ALB Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 12326 9978 2347 0.000000 13 ALB Fier Vlore VIII.2.3 19214 9978 9235 76210

14 ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 12601 8310 4290 15559 14 ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 9456 7582 1874 14993

15 ALB Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 11536 7245 4290 15559 15 ALB Librazhd Perrenjas VIII.3.3 7340 5466 1874 14993

NEW 19 ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 15049 13019 2030 11294 19 ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 12206 11413 794 6351

NEW 29 ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 5827 3885 1942 17732 29 ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 9394 7229 2165 17732

NEW 16 ALB Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 5427 3262 2165 17732 16 ALB Pogradec Korce VIII.4.2 5427 3262 2165 17732

17 ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 5427 3262 2165 17732 17 ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 5427 3262 2165 17732

NEW 22 MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 6455 6059 396 3568 22 MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 4473 4145 328 3043

NEW 228 MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 6455 6059 396 3568 228 MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 4473 4145 328 3043

NEW 18 MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 3777 3606 171 2252 18 MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 5467 5243 224 1889

NEW 201 MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 6043 5909 134 1131 201 MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 6243 6014 229 1892

NEW 227 MKD Kicevo Gostivar

VIII.5.06/0

7 6043 5909 134 1131 227 MKD Kicevo Gostivar

VIII.5.06/

07 6243 6014 229 1892

202 MKD Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 9813 8265 1548 12317 202 MKD Gostivar Tetovo VIII.5.08 10259 8656 1603 13078

225 MKD Tetovo Zelino

VIII.5.09.0

1 9813 8265 1548 12317 225 MKD Tetovo Zelino

VIII.5.09.

01 10259 8656 1603 13078

226 MKD Zelino Saraj

VIII.5.09.0

2 17039 16451 588 4957 226 MKD Zelino Saraj

VIII.5.09.

02 17223 16540 683 5718

NEW 30 ALB Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 6383 3659 2724 40379 30 ALB Perrenjas Qafe Thane VIII.5.1 4059 1500 2559 39854

218 MKD Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4345 3757 588 4957 218 MKD Saraj Stenkovec VIII.5.10 4409 3725 683 5718

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 129

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

224 MKD Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 8057 7062 995 10208 224 MKD Stenkovec Skopje bypass VIII.5.11 6426 5358 1068 11267

203 MKD Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 11657 10662 995 10208 203 MKD Skopje bypass Miladinovci VIII.5.12 10394 9325 1068 11267

NEW 204 MKD Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 3197 3190 7 106 204 MKD Kumanovo Vojnik VIII.5.14 3215 3212 4 60

NEW 205 MKD Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 3197 3190 7 106 205 MKD Vojnik Rugince VIII.5.15 3215 3212 4 60

NEW 206 MKD Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 2780 2770 10 164 206 MKD Rugince Stracin VIII.5.16 2798 2792 7 119

NEW 207 MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 2780 2770 10 164 207 MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 2798 2792 7 119

NEW 223 MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 2780 2770 10 164 223 MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 2798 2792 7 119

170 CRO Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 13902 10743 3158 55047 170 CRO Bregana Bobovica X.01.01 14621 11431 3189 55772

124 CRO Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 26531 21165 5366 107947 124 CRO Bobovica Sveta Nedelja X.01.02 27158 21853 5305 108672

187 CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 45718 35565 10153 186069 187 CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 47815 37723 10092 186794

NEW 188 CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 69667 54927 14741 238040 188 CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 73249 58653 14596 238757

NEW 189 CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 63074 53038 10036 147898 189 CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 61091 51178 9913 146673

NEW 192 CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 57113 48533 8579 125701 192 CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 54103 45649 8454 124457

NEW 147 CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 57113 48533 8579 125701 147 CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 54103 45649 8454 124457

UPGRADE 125 CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 45239 38353 6886 98437 125 CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 40427 34056 6371 94811

UPGRADE 150 CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 37856 31401 6454 92483 150 CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 32933 26994 5939 88853

UPGRADE 126 CRO Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 34736 28281 6454 92483 126 CRO Ivanic Grad Kriz X.04.03 29495 23556 5939 88853

UPGRADE 169 CRO Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 34736 28281 6454 92483 169 CRO Kriz Popovaca X.04.04 29495 23556 5939 88853

UPGRADE 194 CRO Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 34736 28281 6454 92483 194 CRO Popovaca Kutina X.04.05 29495 23556 5939 88853

UPGRADE 191 CRO Kutina Novska X.04.06 31269 25105 6164 87164 191 CRO Kutina Novska X.04.06 25958 20298 5659 83576

UPGRADE 190 CRO Novska Okucani X.04.07 31269 25105 6164 87164 190 CRO Novska Okucani X.04.07 25958 20298 5659 83576

UPGRADE 63 CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 39196 34004 5192 87732 63 CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 22567 17459 5107 89270

UPGRADE 127 CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 38041 33032 5009 85647 127 CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 21626 16554 5072 88368

UPGRADE 128 CRO Luzani

Slavonski Brod -

West X.06.01 36443 31662 4780 81135 128 CRO Luzani

Slavonski Brod -

West X.06.01 19493 14649 4843 83857

UPGRADE 129 CRO Slavonski Brod - West Slavonski Brod - East X.06.02 36443 31662 4780 81135 129 CRO

Slavonski Brod -

West

Slavonski Brod -

East X.06.02 19493 14649 4843 83857

UPGRADE 130 CRO Slavonski Brod - East Sredanci X.06.03 36443 31662 4780 81135 130 CRO

Slavonski Brod -

East Sredanci X.06.03 19493 14649 4843 83857

UPGRADE 148 CRO Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 37567 33264 4303 74694 148 CRO Sredanci V. Kopanica X.06.04 20155 15777 4378 77585

UPGRADE 131 CRO V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 19449 15318 4131 71572 131 CRO V. Kopanica Babina Greda X.07.01 16422 12424 3998 72923

UPGRADE 132 CRO Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 19449 15318 4131 71572 132 CRO Babina Greda Zupanja X.07.02 16422 12424 3998 72923

UPGRADE 133 CRO Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 13102 9377 3725 66160 133 CRO Zupanja Spacva X.07.03 9709 6112 3597 67537

UPGRADE 134 CRO Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 13102 9377 3725 66160 134 CRO Spacva Lipovac X.08.01 9709 6112 3597 67537

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 130

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

316 CRO Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 13102 9377 3725 66160 316 CRO Lipovac Bajakovo X.08.02 9709 6112 3597 67537

292 SRB Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 13102 9377 3725 66160 292 SRB Batrovci Dobanovci X.09 9709 6112 3597 67537

UPGRADE 315 SBR Dobanovci Ostruznica

X.10.1

Sec1-3 15306 10810 4497 54450 315 SBR Dobanovci Ostruznica

X.10.1

Sec1-3 14451 10002 4448 53466

UPGRADE 331 SRB Ostruznica Orlovaca

X.10.2

Sec4 16417 10730 5687 65426 331 SRB Ostruznica Orlovaca

X.10.2

Sec4 16752 10111 6641 65766

UPGRADE 325 SRB Orlovaca Bubanj Potok

X.10.3

Sec5-6 6477 4875 1602 10806 325 SRB Orlovaca Bubanj Potok

X.10.3

Sec5-6 6367 4337 2030 11622

323 SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 60092 53621 6470 39598 323 SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 63612 58362 5250 41926

293 SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 159803 151459 8344 59798 293 SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 165384 158490 6893 60663

294 SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 68624 60901 7723 46877 294 SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 63040 57164 5876 48906

295 SRB Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 37617 31325 6292 44804 295 SRB Bubanj Potok Mali Pozarevac X.13 37872 31575 6297 47648

296 SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 27537 21245 6292 44804 296 SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 26763 20466 6297 47648

297 SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 24283 18816 5467 37876 297 SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 23516 18042 5475 40764

298 SRB Velika Plana Batocina X.16 22655 17739 4915 33971 298 SRB Velika Plana Batocina X.16 21953 17030 4923 36432

299 SRB Batocina Paracin X.17 22655 17739 4915 33971 299 SRB Batocina Paracin X.17 21953 17030 4923 36432

300 SRB Paracin Pojate X.18 19215 14798 4417 34716 300 SRB Paracin Pojate X.18 18404 13975 4430 35262

301 SRB Pojate Trupale X.19 17718 14030 3687 32026 301 SRB Pojate Trupale X.19 17122 13448 3674 33914

302 SRB Trupale Doljevac X.20 11736 9873 1864 16349 302 SRB Trupale Doljevac X.20 9114 7390 1724 16388

303 SRB Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 11736 9873 1864 16349 303 SRB Doljevac Pecenjevce X.21 9114 7390 1724 16388

304 SRB Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 11736 9873 1864 16349 304 SRB Pecenjevce Grdelica X.22 9114 7390 1724 16388

UPGRADE 305 SRB Grdelica Presevo X.23 10910 8505 2405 21243 305 SRB Grdelica Presevo X.23 8521 6062 2459 22825

UPGRADE 208 MKD

Tabanovce MK/SR

(border) Kumanovo X.25 10530 8720 1810 16425 208 MKD

Tabanovce MK/SR

(border) Kumanovo X.25 8257 6394 1863 18007

209 MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 13657 11847 1810 16429 209 MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 11455 9596 1860 17962

219 MKD Miladinovci Veles X.27 14186 12810 1376 14266 219 MKD Miladinovci Veles X.27 14649 13274 1375 15385

210 MKD Veles Gradsko X.28 6656 6078 578 8826 210 MKD Veles Gradsko X.28 6952 6374 578 9105

211 MKD Gradsko Negotino X.29 4724 4146 578 8826 211 MKD Gradsko Negotino X.29 4823 4245 578 9105

212 MKD Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4724 4146 578 8826 212 MKD Negotino Demir Kapija X.30 4823 4245 578 9105

NEW 213 MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4724 4146 578 8826 213 MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 4823 4245 578 9105

NEW 214 MKD Udovo Bogorodica X.32 6525 2683 3841 68004 214 MKD Udovo Bogorodica X.32 6623 2782 3841 68283

UPGRADE 184 CRO Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 11627 10442 1185 29597 184 CRO Donji Macelj Trakoscan Xa.1.01 11539 10354 1185 29597

UPGRADE 135 CRO Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 11627 10442 1185 29597 135 CRO Trakoscan Djurmanec Xa.1.02 11539 10354 1185 29597

UPGRADE 136 CRO Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 14871 12957 1914 32136 136 CRO Djurmanec Krapina Xa.1.03 15320 13398 1922 32128

UPGRADE 137 CRO Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 14871 12957 1914 32136 137 CRO Krapina Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Xa.2.01 15320 13398 1922 32128

Annex IV: Comparison results for the road network 131

TYPE*

FULL SEETO Scenario Do-Nothing Scenario

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

No Country From To SEETO

Code

Total

veh/day

2030

Car

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

Trucks

veh/day

2030

UPGRADE 138 CRO Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 14871 12957 1914 32136 138 CRO Sveti Kriz-Zacretje Gubasevo Xa.2.02 15320 13398 1922 32128

NEW 139 CRO Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 22977 20554 2423 36084 139 CRO Gubasevo Zapresic Xa.2.03 23427 20995 2431 36076

NEW 140 CRO Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 22977 20554 2423 36084 140 CRO Zapresic Jankomir Xa.2.04 23427 20995 2431 36076

328 SRB Horgos Subotica Xb.1 7799 6102 1697 26634 328 SRB Horgos Subotica Xb.1 7869 6171 1697 26634

306 SRB Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 10602 8323 2279 27466 306 SRB Subotica Novi Sad Xb.2 10078 7799 2279 27115

307 SRB Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 24172 20318 3854 35393 307 SRB Novi Sad Batajnica Xb.3 21064 17580 3484 33972

314 SRB Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 39052 35198 3854 35393 314 SRB Batajnica Novi Beograd Xb.4 34578 31094 3484 33972

313 SRB Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 6219 4657 1563 18246 313 SRB Trupale Niska Banja Xc.1 10867 8775 2092 23694

NEW 308 SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 7304 5627 1677 20033 308 SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 7267 5590 1678 20394

NEW 309 SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 7304 5627 1677 20033 309 SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 7267 5590 1678 20394

NEW 310 SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 7556 6112 1443 23625 310 SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 7519 6075 1444 23986

NEW 311 SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 6165 4808 1357 22223 311 SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 5909 4553 1357 22574

NEW 217 MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 5372 4676 696 4788 217 MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 5340 4644 696 5628

221 MKD Prilep Bitola Xd.02 5372 4676 696 4788 221 MKD Prilep Bitola Xd.02 5340 4644 696 5628

222 MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 3648 3595 53 815 222 MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 3576 3522 53 847

NEW ALB Tepelene Elbasan 1278 618 660 5608

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new road section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing road section

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 132

Table AIV. 3. Comparison Results for the Rail Network (low/moderate economic growth rate)

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

UPGRADE 67 ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder 440 525 1 35 67 ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder 524 594 1 35

UPGRADE 27 ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore 383 599 1 84 27 ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore 453 589 1 84

UPGRADE 1 ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near Tirana 1012 72 1 17

1 ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near

Tirana 1012 72 1 17

UPGRADE 2 ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres 909 424 1 20 2 ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres 909 424 1 20

UPGRADE 3 ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet 477 706 1 1 3 ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet 421 367 1 1

UPGRADE 4 ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine 477 706 1 33 4 ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine 421 367 1 33

UPGRADE 5 ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore 154 24 1 84 5 ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore 154 24 1 84

6 ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan 316 691 1 40 6 ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan 237 331 1 40

7 ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin 104 557 1 63 7 ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin 0 0 1 63

8 ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec 8 116 1 15 8 ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec 0 0 1 15

NEW 9 ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce 8 116 1 80 9 ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce 0 0 0 80

10 ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane 98 518 1 4 10 ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane 0 0 0 4

UPGRADE 11 BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 379 7414 1 94 11 BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 379 7414 1 94

UPGRADE 12 BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 58 7937 1 58 12 BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 58 7937 1 58

UPGRADE 13 BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 294 7844 1 72 13 BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 294 7844 1 72

UPGRADE 14 BIH Vc.4 Bosanski Samac Doboj 416 2433 1 85

14 BIH Vc.4 Bosanski

Samac

Doboj 416 2433 1 85

UPGRADE 15 BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina 314 8634 2 87 15 BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina 314 8634 2 87

UPGRADE 16 BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo 486 7337 2 86 16 BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo 486 7337 2 86

UPGRADE 17 BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 198 6541 1 170 17 BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 198 6541 1 170

UPGRADE 18 BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce 160 6092 1 23 18 BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce 160 6092 1 23

NEW 19 CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin 529 3170 1 182 19 CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin 529 3170 1 223

UPGRADE 20 CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 586 3031 1 54 20 CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 586 3031 1 54

UPGRADE 21 CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 650 1834 1 49 21 CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 650 1834 1 49

UPGRADE 22 CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port) 46 831 1 95 22 CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port) 46 831 1 95

UPGRADE 23 CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port) 108 1330 1 21 23 CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port) 108 1330 1 21

24 CRO R12.1 SLO/HR border Cakovec 814 1469 1 9

24 CRO R12.1 SLO/HR

border

Cakovec 814 1469 1 9

25 CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 814 1469 1 39 25 CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 814 1469 1 39

UPGRADE 26 CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border 814 1469 1 3 26 CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border 814 1469 1 3

UPGRADE 28 CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo 40 1104 1 15 28 CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo 40 1104 1 15

UPGRADE 29 CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar 40 1104 1 3 29 CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar 40 1104 1 3

UPGRADE 30 CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka 127 1253 1 30 30 CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka 127 986 1 30

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 133

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

NEW 31 CRO Vb.02 Rijeka XY 598 5011 1 31.5 31 CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice 598 5011 1 90

NEW 32 CRO Vb.03 XY Ostarije 471 5766 1 41.5 32 CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije 471 5766 1 36

NEW 33 CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 468 8438 1 50 33 CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 468 8438 1 50

UPGRADE 34 CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 1829 8340 1 53 34 CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 1829 8340 1 53

UPGRADE 35 CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4894 14299 1 79 35 CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4437 13003 1 79

UPGRADE 36 CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 469 2405 1 32 36 CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 511 2423 1 32

UPGRADE 37 CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje 351 17 1 48 37 CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje 393 35 1 48

UPGRADE 38 CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski Samac 89 2554 1 23

38 CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski

Samac 89 2554 1 23

UPGRADE 39 CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 2640 4002 2 12 39 CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 3055 5281 2 12

UPGRADE 40 CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb 2640 4002 2 15 40 CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb* 3048 5267 2 15

UPGRADE 41 CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 53245 8569 2 33 41 CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo* 8780 12974 2 33

UPGRADE 42 CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 1392 3103 1 84 42 CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 3853 7223 1 84

NEW CRO ZG bypass

Lucko

Buzin 1698 843 1 9

2644 4789

NEW CRO ZG bypass

Buzin

Dugo Selo 2540 3815 1 20

70 4679

UPGRADE 43 CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 2540 3815 1 50 43 CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 70 4679 1 50

UPGRADE 44 CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 3835 6225 1 23 44 CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 3877 6243 1 23

UPGRADE 45 CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 801 6663 1 45 45 CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 801 6663 1 45

UPGRADE 46 CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 761 5560 2 119 46 CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 761 5560 2 119

UPGRADE 47 CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 9569 5632 2 32 47 CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 0 0 2 32

UPGRADE 48 CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik 9569 5632 2 34 48 CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik 0 0 2 34

UPGRADE 49 KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak 1377 3295 1 2 49 KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak 1418 3234 1 2

UPGRADE 50 KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

330 164 1 149

50 KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

371 103 1 149

UPGRADE 51 MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov 47 1410 1 17 51 MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov 6 1330 1 17

NEW 52 MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo 98 518 0 55 52 MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo 0 0 0 55

53 MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov 439 680 1 103 53 MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov 341 166 1 103

UPGRADE 54 MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo 510 4905 1 14 54 MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo 454 4531 1 14

UPGRADE 55 MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane 8 590 1 14 55 MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane 6 323 0 14

NEW 56 MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence 2 279 1 14 56 MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence 0 0 0 14

NEW 57 MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci 2 279 1 8 57 MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci 0 0 0 8

NEW 58 MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci 2 279 1 35 58 MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci 0 0 0 35

NEW 59 MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo 2 279 1 1 59 MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo 0 0 0 1

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 134

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

UPGRADE 60 MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 316 5406 1 19 60 MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 262 5480 1 19

UPGRADE 61 MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 322 5716 1 30 61 MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 266 5507 1 30

UPGRADE 62 MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 720 6440 1 51 62 MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 720 6440 1 51

UPGRADE 63 MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija 351 7579 1 115

63 MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija 351 7579 1 115

UPGRADE 64 MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola 915 70 1 129 64 MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola 915 70 1 129

NEW 65 MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica 915 70 1 17 65 MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica 0 0 1 17

UPGRADE 66 MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi 514 730 1 25 66 MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi 612 1048 1 25

UPGRADE 68 MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1160 3213 1 25 68 MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1258 3731 1 25

UPGRADE 69 MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac 1065 3688 1 11 69 MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac 1162 4206 1 11

UPGRADE 70 MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1027 3941 1 9 70 MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1124 4452 1 9

UPGRADE 71 MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin 1002 3942 1 64 71 MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin 1099 4454 1 64

UPGRADE 72 MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica 955 3864 1 29 72 MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica 1053 4363 1 29

UPGRADE 73 MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 214 1382 1 21 73 MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 214 1382 1 21

UPGRADE 74 MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 202 1323 1 68 74 MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 202 1323 1 68

75 SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac 81 701 1 20 75 SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac 108 539 1 20

UPGRADE 76 SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1234 2738 1 67 76 SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1263 3348 1 67

UPGRADE 77 SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik 3904 14149 1 71 77 SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik 3929 14071 1 71

UPGRADE 78 SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac 1593 12575 1 8 78 SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac 1582 12456 1 8

UPGRADE 79 SBR X.18 Stalac Nis 1521 12847 1 20 79 SBR X.18 Stalac Nis 1535 12563 1 20

80 SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska 214 755 1 79 80 SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska 256 835 1 79

81 SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje 330 164 2 22 81 SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje 371 103 2 22

82 SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo 256 1455 1 176 82 SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo 325 1358 1 176

UPGRADE 83 SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 136 50 1 144 83 SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 119 42 1 144

UPGRADE 84 SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 136 50 2 80 84 SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 119 42 2 80

85 SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo 177 3575 2 30 85 SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo 180 4041 2 30

86 SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo 135 4309 2 5 86 SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo 138 4775 2 5

UPGRADE 87 SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova 761 5560 2 14

87 SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova 761 5560 2 14

UPGRADE 88 SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 3890 16110 2 76 88 SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 3890 16122 2 76

UPGRADE 89 SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 3890 16110 2 19 89 SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 3890 16122 2 19

UPGRADE 90 SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4014 16397 2 67 90 SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4017 16875 2 67

UPGRADE 91 SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo 1593 12575 2 67 91 SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo 1582 12456 2 67

UPGRADE 92 SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 857 5503 1 157 92 SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 833 5581 1 157

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 135

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

UPGRADE 93 SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1255 11246 1 2 93 SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1255 11258 1 2

UPGRADE 94 SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1177 10991 1 106 94 SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1177 11003 1 106

UPGRADE 95 SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3028 10984 1 43 95 SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3028 10996 1 43

UPGRADE 96 SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 155 7550 1 104 96 SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 154 7351 1 104

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new rail section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing rail section

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 136

Table AIV. 4. Comparison Results for the Rail Network (moderate/high economic growth rate)

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

UPGRADE 67 ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder 524 594 1 35 67 ALB R2.2 Hani i Hotit Shkoder 620 664 1 35

UPGRADE 27 ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore 458 681 1 84 27 ALB R2.3 Shkoder Vore 538 665 1 84

UPGRADE 1 ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near Tirana 1288 83 1 17

1 ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near

Tirana 1288 83 1 17

UPGRADE 2 ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres 1169 489 1 20 2 ALB VIII.02 Vore Durres 1169 489 1 20

UPGRADE 3 ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet 571 803 1 1 3 ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet 502 420 1 1

UPGRADE 4 ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine 571 803 1 33 4 ALB VIII.04 Shkozet Rrogozhine 502 420 1 33

UPGRADE 5 ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore 176 27 1 84 5 ALB VIII.05 Rrogozhine Vlore 176 27 1 84

6 ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan 378 784 1 40 6 ALB VIII.06 Rrogozhine Elbasan 285 378 1 40

7 ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin 120 626 1 63 7 ALB VIII.07 Elbasan Lin 0 0 1 63

8 ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec 10 131 1 15 8 ALB VIII.08 Lin Pogradec 0 0 1 15

NEW 9 ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce 10 131 1 80 9 ALB VIII.08.1 Pogradec Korce 0 0 0 80

10 ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane 113 579 1 4 10 ALB VIII.09 Lin Qafe Thane 0 0 0 4

UPGRADE 11 BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 412 8348 1 94 11 BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 412 8348 1 94

UPGRADE 12 BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 61 8706 1 58 12 BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 61 8706 1 58

UPGRADE 13 BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 305 8598 1 72 13 BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 305 8598 1 72

UPGRADE 14 BIH Vc.4 Bosanski Samac Doboj 431 2644 1 85

14 BIH Vc.4 Bosanski

Samac

Doboj 431 2644 1 85

UPGRADE 15 BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina 342 9826 2 87 15 BIH Vc.5 Doboj Jelina 342 9826 2 87

UPGRADE 16 BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo 525 8405 2 86 16 BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo 525 8405 2 86

UPGRADE 17 BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 210 7530 1 170 17 BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 210 7530 1 170

UPGRADE 18 BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce 172 7041 1 23 18 BIH Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce 172 7041 1 23

NEW 19 CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin 598 3635 1 182 19 CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin 598 3635 1 223

UPGRADE 20 CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 656 3502 1 54 20 CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 656 3502 1 54

UPGRADE 21 CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 721 2184 1 49 21 CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 721 2184 1 49

UPGRADE 22 CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port) 46 923 1 95 22 CRO R1.4 Knin Zadar (port) 46 923 1 95

UPGRADE 23 CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port) 108 1477 1 21 23 CRO R1.5 Perkovic Sibenik (port) 108 1477 1 21

24 CRO R12.1 SLO/HR border Cakovec 833 1631 1 9

24 CRO R12.1 SLO/HR

border

Cakovec 833 1631 1 9

25 CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 833 1631 1 39 25 CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 833 1631 1 39

UPGRADE 26 CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border 833 1631 1 3 26 CRO R12.3 Kotoriba HR/HU border 833 1631 1 3

UPGRADE 28 CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo 40 1225 1 15 28 CRO R9b.1 Vinkovci Borovo 40 1225 1 15

UPGRADE 29 CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar 40 1225 1 3 29 CRO R9b.2 Borovo Vukovar 40 1225 1 3

UPGRADE 30 CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka 131 1963 1 30 30 CRO Vb.01 Sapjane Rijeka 193 1157 1 30

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 137

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

NEW 31 CRO Vb.02 Rijeka XY 638 5564 1 31.5 31 CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice 638 5564 1 90

NEW 32 CRO Vb.03 XY Ostarije 520 6472 1 41.5 32 CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije 520 6472 1 36

NEW 33 CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 530 9519 1 50 33 CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 530 9519 1 50

UPGRADE 34 CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 2278 9410 1 53 34 CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 2278 9410 1 53

UPGRADE 35 CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 5161 16714 1 79 35 CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4641 15331 1 79

UPGRADE 36 CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 504 2892 1 32 36 CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 545 2911 1 32

UPGRADE 37 CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje 426 17 1 48 37 CRO Vc.2 Osijek Vrpolje 467 36 1 48

UPGRADE 38 CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski Samac 102 2779 1 23

38 CRO Vc.3 Vrpolje Slavonski

Samac 102 2779 1 23

UPGRADE 39 CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 3214 4343 2 12 39 CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 3693 5707 2 12

UPGRADE 40 CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb 3214 4343 2 15 40 CRO X.02 Zapresic Zagreb* 3697 5694 2 15

UPGRADE 41 CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 55236 9696 2 33 41 CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo* 9479 15992 2 33

UPGRADE 42 CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 1359 3366 1 84 42 CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 3948 8563 1 84

NEW CRO ZG bypass

Lucko

Buzin 2103 952 1 9

3366 5652

NEW CRO ZG bypass

Buzin

Dugo Selo 2670 4435 1 20

78 5534

UPGRADE 43 CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 2670 4435 1 50 43 CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 78 5534 1 50

UPGRADE 44 CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 3930 7032 1 23 44 CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 3971 7051 1 23

UPGRADE 45 CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 888 7528 1 45 45 CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 888 7528 1 45

UPGRADE 46 CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 848 6305 2 119 46 CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 848 6305 2 119

UPGRADE 47 CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 9857 5969 2 32 47 CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 0 0 2 32

UPGRADE 48 CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik 9857 5969 2 34 48 CRO X.10 Vinkovci Tovarnik 0 0 2 34

UPGRADE 49 KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak 1568 3784 1 2 49 KOS R10.3 Donje Jarinje Lesak 1619 3713 1 2

UPGRADE 50 KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

365 184 1 149

50 KOS R10.4 Lesak Hani i

Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

416 113 1 149

UPGRADE 51 MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov 57 1566 1 17 51 MKD R10.5 Blace Gjorce Petrov 7 1474 1 17

NEW 52 MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo 113 579 0 55 52 MKD VIII.10 Kafasan Kicevo 0 0 0 55

53 MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov 535 763 1 103 53 MKD VIII.11 Kicevo Gjorce Petrov 422 189 1 103

UPGRADE 54 MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo 642 5690 1 14 54 MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo 581 5290 1 14

UPGRADE 55 MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane 10 658 1 14 55 MKD VIII.13 Kumanovo Dobrosane 0 378 0 14

NEW 56 MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence 2 294 1 14 56 MKD VIII.14 Dobrosane Dovezence 0 0 0 14

NEW 57 MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci 2 294 1 8 57 MKD VIII.15 Dovezence Beljakovci 0 0 0 8

NEW 58 MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci 2 294 1 35 58 MKD VIII.16 Kriva palanka Beljakovci 0 0 0 35

NEW 59 MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo 2 294 1 1 59 MKD VIII.17 Kriva Palanka Zedilovo 0 0 0 1

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 138

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

UPGRADE 60 MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 382 5774 1 19 60 MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 322 5848 1 19

UPGRADE 61 MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 389 6119 1 30 61 MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 327 5894 1 30

UPGRADE 62 MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 908 6830 1 51 62 MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 908 6830 1 51

UPGRADE 63 MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija 369 8127 1 115

63 MKD X.23 Veles Gevgelija 369 8127 1 115

UPGRADE 64 MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola 1127 79 1 129 64 MKD Xd-1 Veles Bitola 1127 79 1 129

NEW 65 MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica 1127 79 1 17 65 MKD Xd-2 Bitola Kremenica 0 0 1 17

UPGRADE 66 MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi 610 827 1 25 66 MNE R2.1 Podgorica Tuzi 722 1178 1 25

UPGRADE 68 MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1380 3595 1 25 68 MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1493 4174 1 25

UPGRADE 69 MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac 1267 4143 1 11 69 MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac 1380 4722 1 11

UPGRADE 70 MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1222 4441 1 9 70 MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1335 5013 1 9

UPGRADE 71 MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin 1192 4443 1 64 71 MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin 1305 5015 1 64

UPGRADE 72 MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica 1137 4366 1 29 72 MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica 1250 4923 1 29

UPGRADE 73 MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 260 1556 1 21 73 MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 260 1556 1 21

UPGRADE 74 MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 245 1494 1 68 74 MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 245 1494 1 68

75 SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac 91 764 1 20 75 SBR R11.2 Kraljevo Stalac 122 595 1 20

UPGRADE 76 SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1450 3046 1 67 76 SBR R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1481 3714 1 67

UPGRADE 77 SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik 4181 15056 1 71 77 SBR X.15 Beograd Resnik 4207 14972 1 71

UPGRADE 78 SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac 1748 13285 1 8 78 SBR X.17 Lapovo Stalac 1737 13154 1 8

UPGRADE 79 SBR X.18 Stalac Nis 1674 13569 1 20 79 SBR X.18 Stalac Nis 1691 13263 1 20

80 SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska 251 845 1 79 80 SRB R10.1 Kraljevo Raska 302 937 1 79

81 SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje 365 184 2 22 81 SRB R10.2 Raska Jarinje 416 113 2 22

82 SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo 299 1612 1 176 82 SRB R11.1 Pozega Kraljevo 381 1518 1 176

UPGRADE 83 SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 141 52 1 144 83 SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 125 49 1 144

UPGRADE 84 SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 141 52 2 80 84 SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 125 49 2 80

85 SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo 197 3885 2 30 85 SRB R4.1 Vrsac Pancevo 200 4391 2 30

86 SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo 145 4713 2 5 86 SRB R4.2 Beograd Pancevo 149 5218 2 5

UPGRADE 87 SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova 848 6305 2 14

87 SRB X.11 Sid Stara Pazova 954 6453 2 14

UPGRADE 88 SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 4285 17268 2 76 88 SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 4285 17281 2 76

UPGRADE 89 SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 4285 17268 2 19 89 SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 4285 17281 2 19

UPGRADE 90 SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4418 17521 2 67 90 SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4421 18039 2 67

UPGRADE 91 SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo 1748 13285 2 67 91 SRB X.16 Velika Plana Lapovo 1737 13154 2 67

UPGRADE 92 SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 958 5880 1 157 92 SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 932 5959 1 157

Annex IV: Comparison results for the rail network 139

Full SEETO Scenario Do-nothing Scenario

No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length No Country SEETO

Code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

No

tracks

Length -

km

UPGRADE 93 SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1319 11726 1 2 93 SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1319 11739 1 2

UPGRADE 94 SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1227 11457 1 106 94 SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1227 11470 1 106

UPGRADE 95 SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3331 11471 1 43 95 SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3331 11484 1 43

UPGRADE 96 SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 166 7837 1 104 96 SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 164 7612 1 104

Source: Consultant’s estimates

Note:

* Status “NEW”: construction of a new rail section

Status “UPGRADE”: upgrade of existing rail section

Annex V: Capacity considerations for the road network 140

ANNEX V: Capacity Considerations for the Road Network

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 141

1. For the purposes of the study, an assessment of road capacity for each road section was

made based on the “ideal” values for the “ideal” base conditions suitably downgraded due to

specific deficiencies such as sub-standard road widths, pavement deterioration, difficult

terrain/gradients and/or significant heavy vehicle (HGV) traffic, to produce “modified” tabulations

for road capacity as shown below.

Table AV. 1. Modified Estimated Capacity Levels for 2x2-Lane Highway in AADT Vehicles/Day

Free Flow

Speeds

Issues affecting

capacity

80 km/h

Significant

HGV traffic

80 km/h

Pavement

deterioration

80 km/h

Ideal

conditions

100 km/h

Significant

HGV traffic

100 km/h

Pavement

deterioration

100 km/h

Optimum

conditions

Level terrain

[ <1% ]

30,000 33,000 39,000 34,000 38,000 46,000

Rolling terrain

[<5% ]

28,000 31,000 37,000 32,000 36,000 44,000

Mountainous

Terrain

[ >5% ]

25,000 28,000 34,000 29,000 33,000 40,000

Source: Transportation Research Board. (2000) Highway Capacity Manual 2000. Available from:

https://sjnavarro.files.wordpress.com/2008/08/highway_capacital_manual.pdf

Table AV. 2. Modified Estimated Capacity Levels for High Class 2-Lane Road in AADT Vehicles/Day

Free Flow

Speeds

Issues affecting

capacity

80 km/h

Significant

HGV traffic

80 km/h

Pavement

deterioration

80 km/h

Ideal

conditions

90 km/h

Significant

HGV

traffic

90 km/h

Pavement

deterioration

90-110 km/h

Optimum

conditions

Level terrain [

<1% ]

10,000 11,000 15,000 12,000 13,000 15,000

Rolling terrain

[<5% ]

8,000 9,000 14,000 11,000 12,000 15,000

Mountainous

terrain

[ >5% ]

2,000 3,000 8,000 4,000 5,000 8,000

Source: Transportation Research Board. (2000) Highway Capacity Manual 2000. Available from:

https://sjnavarro.files.wordpress.com/2008/08/highway_capacital_manual.pdf

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 142

ANNEX VI: Road Section Grouping by Intervention

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 143

1. Four broad categories were used to define the interventions:

(i) Road sections that require no immediate upgrading

There are a few complete corridors/highways that fall into that category:

ROAD 9 - Croatia – all sections [Vukovar-Vinkovci-Zupanja]

ROAD Xa - Croatia – all sections [Zagreb/Donji Macelj – Jankomir]

ROAD Xb - Serbia – all sections [Horgos-Subotica-Novi Sad-Batajnica-Dobanovci]

In addition, there are many sections within each corridor which also fall into this category.

(ii) Road sections that are candidates for immediate rehabilitation to preserve capacity

These are road sections where existing pavement conditions are in need of rehabilitation; otherwise,

they will suffer a consequent reduced road capacity caused by these existing conditions. Road

maintenance and rehabilitation works mainly aim at addressing deteriorating pavement conditions.

(iii) Road sections that are candidates for immediate upgrading (upgrading works or

widening) to increase capacity

These are specific sections where the current road conditions require immediate

upgrading/widening works to increase capacity to meet the current traffic projections. Some of

these road sections require widening from 2 lanes to 4 lanes (in some cases from 4 lanes to 6 lanes),

whereas there are other road sections that only require alternative lower cost upgrading works such

as provision of crawling lanes, road shoulders, improved lane widths, improved geometry, junction

improvements, etc.

(iv) Road sections that are candidates for future upgrading (upgrading works or widening)

to increase capacity in the future

These are specific sections where the current road conditions may require future

upgrading/widening works to increase capacity to meet the 2030 traffic projections. It is therefore

recommended that these specific sections should be subject to further studies in due course, in

preparation for works implementation at a later date, which may be in the range from 2020 onwards

up to 2030.

2. In the following Table AVI.1, the proposed interventions for the existing road network are

summarized for both low/moderate and moderate/high economic growth scenario.

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 144

Table AVI. 1. Proposed Interventions for the Existing SEETO Comprehensive RoadINetwork for both Economic Growth Scenario

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

CRO Vrgorac Mali Prolog R1.05.07 x

CRO Slano Dubrovnik R1.06.03 x x x

CRO Dubrovnik Cibasa R1.07.01 x x

CRO Cibasa Karasovici R1.07.02 x

MNE Debeli Brijeg Igalo R1.08 x

MNE Igalo Kamenari R1.09 x x x

CRO Zadar (port) Zadar Port R1.09.01 x x

CRO Sibenik Sibenik R1.09.02 x x

CRO Dugopolje Split (port) R1.09.03 x x

MNE Kamenari Raskrnica E65 R1.10 x x x

MNE Raskrnica E65 Budva R1.10.2 x x x

MNE Budva Petrovac R1.11 x x x

MNE Petrovac Misici R1.12 x x

MNE Misici Bar R1.13 x x

CRO Sveti Kuzam Bakar R10.05.0

1 x x

CRO Bakar Smrika R10.05.0

2 x x

CRO Smrika Senj R10.06.0

1 x x x

CRO Senj Zuta Lokva R10.07.0

1 x x

BIH Klasnice Banja Luka R2a.03 x x

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 145

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

BIH Banja Luka Jajce R2a.04 x x x

BIH Jajce Donji Vakuf R2a.05 x x x

BIH Donji Vakuf Travnik R2a.06 x x x

BIH Travnik Lasva R2a.07 x x

BIH Sarajevo Dobro Polje R2b.01 x

BIH Dobro Polje Brod na Drini/Foca R2b.02 x

BIH Brod na Drini/Foca Hum R2b.03 x

MNE Scepan Polje Pluzine R2b.04 x

MNE Pluzine Sipacno R2b.05 x

MNE Sipacno Niksic R2b.06 x

MNE Niksic Danilovgrad R2b.07 x x

MNE Danilovgrad Podgorica R2b.08 x x

MNE Podgorica Tuzi R2b.09 x x

ALB Shkoder Lezhe R2b.12 x x x

ALB Lezhe Milot R2b.13 x x x

ALB Milot Mamurras R2b.14 x x x

ALB Mamurras Fushe Kruje R2b.15 x x x

ALB Fushe Kruje Vore R2b.16 x

ALB Fier Tepelene R2c.1 x

ALB Tepelene Gjirokaster R2c.2 x x

BIH Sarajevo Pale R3.01 x x x

BIH Pale Mesici R3.02 x

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 146

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

BIH Mesici Ustipraca R3.03 x

BIH Ustipraca Medjedja R3.04 x

BIH Medjedja Visegrad R3.05 x

BIH Visegrad Donja Vardiste R3.06 x

SRB Kotroman Kremna R3.07 x

SRB Kremna Uzice R3.08 x

SRB Pancevo Belgrade R4.03 x x

SRB Belgrade Belgrade (Cukarica) R4.04 x x x

SRB Belgrade (Cukarica) Orlovaca R4.05 x x x

SRB Orlovaca Lazarevac R4.06 x x

SRB Lazarevac Ljig R4.07 x x

SRB Ljig Rudnik R4.08 x x

SRB Rudnik Gornji Milanovac R4.09 x x

SRB Gornji Milanovac Cacak R4.10 x

SRB Cacak Pozega R4.11 x x

SRB Pozega Uzice R4.12 x

SRB Pozega Nova Varos R4.13 x

SRB Nova Varos Prijepolje R4.14 x x

SRB Prijepolje Gostun R4.15 x x

MNE Dobrakovo Bijelo Polje R4.16 x x x

MNE Bijelo Polje Mojkovac R4.17 x x x

MNE Mojkovac Kolasin R4.18 x x x

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 147

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

MNE Kolasin Mioska R4.19 x x

MNE Mioska Bioce R4.20 x x x

MNE Bioce Podgorica R4.21 x x

MNE Podgorica Virpazar R4.22 x x x

MNE Virpazar Sotonici R4.23 x x

MNE Sotonici Misici R4.24 x x

SRB Cacak Kraljevo R5.07 x x x

SRB Kraljevo Beranovac R5.08 x

SRB Beranovac Krusevac R5.08.01 x x x

MNE Bijelo Polje Berane R6.01 x

MNE Berane Rozaje R6.02 x

MNE Rozaje Spiljani R6.03 x

SRB Spiljani Ribarice R6.04 x

SRB Ribarice Banje R6.05 x

KOS Banje Mitrovice/Mitrovica R6.06 x

KOS Mitrovice/Mitrovica Pristina R6.07 x x x

KOS Pristina Lipljan R6.08 x x

KOS Lipljan Gerlice/Donja Grlica R6.09 x x x

KOS Gerlice/Donja Grlica Kacanik R6.10 x x x

KOS Kacanik Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

R6.11 x

MKD Hani i Elezit/Djeneral

Jankovic

Stenkovec R6.12 x

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 148

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

KOS Peje/Pec Beluhe R6b.03 x

MNE Beluhe Murino R6b.04 x

MNE Murino Andrijevica R6b.05 x

MNE Andrijevica Matesevo R6b.06 x

MNE Matesevo Kolasin R6b.07 x

KOS Suhareke/Suva Reka Carraleve/Crnoljevo R7.08 x x

KOS Carraleve/Crnoljevo Lipljan R7.09 x x

KOS Pristina Luzhane/Luzane R7.11 x x x

KOS Luzhane/Luzane Merdare R7.12 x x x

SRB Merdare Kursumlija R7.13.14 x

SRB Kursumlija Prokuplje R7.15.16 x

SRB Prokuplje Doljevac R7.17.18 x

MKD Podmolje Ohrid R8.01 x

MKD Ohrid Resen R8.02 x

MKD Resen Bitola R8.03 x

CRO Bosiljevo 2 Bosiljevo 1 Vb.06.01 x

CRO Bosiljevo 1 Novi Grad Vb.06.02 x

CRO Novi Grad Karlovac Vb.07 x

CRO Karlovac Jastrebarsko Vb.08.01 x

CRO Jastrebarsko Lucko Vb.08.02 x

CRO Ivanja Reka Kraljevacki Novaki Vb.09.01 x

CRO Dubosevica Beli Manastir Vc.01.01 x

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 149

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

CRO V. Kopanica Slavonski Samac Vc.03.01 x x x

BIH Bosanski Samac Modrica Vc.04 x x x

CRO Metkovic HR/BH

(border)

Opuzen Vc.04.01 x x

BIH Modrica Seslije Vc.05 x x x

BIH Seslije Doboj Vc.06 x x x

BIH Doboj Karuse Vc.07 x

BIH Karuse Maglaj Vc.08 x x x

BIH Maglaj Zenica Vc.09 x

BIH Zenica Lasva Vc.10 x x

BIH Lasva Visoko Vc.11 x

BIH Semizovac Sarajevo Vc.14 x x x

BIH Sarajevo Blazuj Vc.15 x

BIH Blazuj Tarcin Vc.16 x

BIH Tarcin Konjic Vc.17 x

BIH Konjic Jablanica Vc.18 x

BIH Jablanica Mostar bypass 1 Vc.19 x

BIH Mostar bypass 1 Mostar bypass 2 Vc.20 x x x

BIH Mostar bypass 2 Zitomislic Vc.21 x x x

BIH Zitomislic Capljina Vc.22 x x x

BIH Capljina Doljani Vc.23 x x x

ALB Elbasan Librazhd VIII.3.2 x x

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 150

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

ALB Tirana Elbasan VIII.3.4 x x x

ALB Perrenjas Pogradec VIII.4.1 x x

ALB Korce Kapeshtice VIII.4.3 x

MKD Kafasan Struga VIII.5.02 x x x

MKD Struga Pesocani VIII.5.03 x

MKD Pesocani Botun VIII.5.04 x

MKD Botun Kicevo VIII.5.05 x

MKD Kicevo Gostivar VIII.5.06

/07 x

MKD Stracin Kriva Palanka VIII.5.17 x

MKD Kriva Palanka Deve Bair VIII.5.18 x

CRO Sveta Nedelja Jankomir X.01.03 x

CRO Jankomir Lucko X.02.01 x

CRO Lucko Zagreb - Buzin X.03.01 x

CRO Zagreb - Buzin Zagreb - Kosnica X.03.02 x x

CRO Zagreb - Kosnica Ivanja Reka X.03.03 x x

CRO Ivanja Reka Rugvica X.04.01 x

CRO Rugvica Ivanic Grad X.04.02 x

CRO Okucani Nova Gradiska X.05.01 x

CRO Nova Gradiska Luzani X.05.02 x

SRB Dobanovci Novi Beograd X.11.1 x

SRB Novi Beograd Belgrade X.11.2 x x x

Annex VI: Road section grouping by intervention 151

Count

ry

From To SEETO

Code

Immediate

Rehabilita

tion

Immedi

ate

Upgrad

ing

Measur

es

Immedi

ate

Wideni

ng

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Low/Mode

rate

Scenario)

Future

Upgrading

Measures

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

Future

Widening

by 2030

(Moderate/

High

Scenario)

SRB Belgrade Bubanj Potok X.11.3 x x x

SRB Mali Pozarevac Mihajlovac X.14 x

SRB Mihajlovac Velika Plana X.15 x

MKD Kumanovo Miladinovci X.26 x

MKD Demir Kapija Udovo X.31 x

SRB Niska Banja Bela Palanka Xc.2 x x

SRB Bela Palanka Pirot Xc.3 x x

SRB Pirot Dimitrovgrad Xc.4 x x

SRB Dimitrovgrad Gradina Xc.5 x x

MKD Veles Prilep Xd.01 x

MKD Bitola Medzitlija Xd.03 x

Source: Consultant’s estimates based on SEETO data (2012) and the model outputs (2030 forecasts)

Annex VII: Possible interventions for the railway network 152

ANNEX VII: Possible Interventions to Increase Capacity of the Railway

Network

Annex VII: Possible interventions for the rail network 153

1. Possible interventions for railway sections with capacity constraints, in order to increase

their capacity, include the construction of a double track, line improvements (e.g. station, additional

sidings, ballast, curves improvement etc.), and block and signaling system upgrades. The proposed

possible interventions rely on expert experience and while appropriate for strategic assessment,

would require feasibility studies prior to making a decision to move forward. More specifically the

possible interventions are:

Adding second track: The number of tracks has a major impact on capacity: two tracks

usually have around four times more capacity than a single track. However, adding a

second track may not eliminate the problem because stations could constitute a real

bottleneck. Auxiliary tracks at crossing stations also increase the capacity of a single track

because they allow trains to carry out crossings and overtaking.

Managing Network effects: A single line cannot be considered as a fully independent

part of the whole network due to crossing and overlapping lines, which can be true

bottlenecks. As a consequence, the capacity of a line cannot be defined without considering

what happens on the interfering lines.

Track structure and speed limits: The condition of the rails, ties, and ballast dictate the

weight and type of equipment that can be used on the line, as well as the speeds allowed

on the line. They have an important influence on the capacity.

Length of line sections: Lengths of line sections between stations (where crossing and

overtaking are allowed) are important, mainly, on single track sections.

Train mix: Railway capacity is dependent on the traffic mix. As the mixture of different

train increases, more interference is generated. Thus, trains require overtaking and

crossings, and the mixture reduces the traffic flow.

Manage Traffic peaking factor: The concentration of traffic within a short time period

has significant impact on capacity. Effort should be done to spread the peaks.

Manage Train heterogeneity: The heterogeneity in double-track and single-track cases

affects capacity. In single-track lines, capacity is more affected by train speed than by

heterogeneity. In double-track lines, the capacity is affected by heterogeneity more than

by train speed.

Implement modern signaling, ERTMS: To ensure the safe operations and enable

optimization of the line capacity, the specifications of ERTMS include the calculation

method of the headway time between consecutive trains.

Annex VIIa: Rail section grouping by intervention 154

ANNEX VIIa: Rail Section Grouping by Intervention

Annex VIIa: Rail section grouping by intervention 155

Low/Moderate Growth Rate Scenario

Table AVIIa. 1. Rail sections with Minor Capacity Constraints for the Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate

Scenario 2030

Country SEETO

code

From To Pass/day

2030 Ton/day

2030 Traffic 2030 as

% of

CALCULATED

Capacity

Proposed intervention

CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 586 3031 51% Minor upgrade

CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 650 1834 59% Minor upgrade

CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 814 1469 51% Minor upgrade

SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 136 50 42% Minor upgrade

SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 136 50 43% Minor upgrade

MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1160 3213 51% Minor upgrade

MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1027 3941 64% Minor upgrade

MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 214 1382 56% Minor upgrade

BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 379 7414 62% Minor upgrade

BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 58 7937 52% Minor upgrade

BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 294 7844 60% Minor upgrade

CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice 598 5011 64% Minor upgrade

CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 469 2405 62% Minor upgrade

BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 198 6541 58% Minor upgrade

CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 8780 12974 45% Minor upgrade

CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 2540 3815 58% Minor upgrade

CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 2540 3815 63% Minor upgrade

CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 3835 6225 57% Minor upgrade

CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 801 6663 55% Minor upgrade

SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 3890 16110 64% Minor upgrade

SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4014 16397 65% Minor upgrade

MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 316 5406 49% Minor upgrade

MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 322 5716 50% Minor upgrade

SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 155 7550 43% Minor upgrade

Source: Consultant’s estimates based on the model outputs (2030 projections)

Annex VIIa: Rail section grouping by intervention 156

Table AVIIa. 2. Rail Sections with Significant Capacity Constraints for the Low/Moderate Economic Growth

Rate Scenario 2030

Country SEETO

code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

Traffic 2030 as

% of

CALCULATED

Capacity

Proposed intervention

SRB R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1234 2738 70% Significant upgrading measures

CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije 471 5766 70% Significant upgrading measures

CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 1698 843 75% Significant upgrading measures

SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 3890 16110 66% Significant upgrading measures

SRB X.15 Beograd Resnik 3904 14149 67% Significant upgrading measures

MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 720 6440 66% Significant upgrading measures

SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1255 11246 68% Significant upgrading measures

Source: Consultant’s estimates based on the model outputs (2030 projections)

Table AVIIa. 3. Rail Sections with Major Capacity Constraints for the Low/Moderate Economic Growth Rate

Scenario 2030

Country SEETO

code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

Traffic 2030 as

% of

CALCULATED

Capacity

Proposed intervention

MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 202 1323 97% Major interventions

(construction of new line/additional tracks)

CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 468 8438 104% Major interventions

(construction of new line/additional tracks)

CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 1829 8340 99% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4894 14299 126% Major interventions (construction of new

line/additional tracks)

CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 2640 4002 101% Major interventions

(construction of new line/additional tracks)

CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 1392 3103 125% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 857 5503 183% Major interventions (construction of new

line/additional tracks)

SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1177 10991 113% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3028 10984 112% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

Source: Consultant’s estimates based on the model outputs (2030 projections)

Annex VIIa: Rail section grouping by intervention 157

Moderate/High Growth Rate Scenario

Table AVIIa. 4. Rail Sections with Minor Capacity Constraints for the Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate

Scenario 2030

Country SEETO

code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

Traffic 2030 as

% of

CALCULATED

Capacity

Proposed intervention

CRO R1.1 Ostarije Knin 598 3635 44% Minor upgrade

CRO R1.2 Knin Perkovic 656 3502 57% Minor upgrade

CRO R12.2 Cakovec Kotoriba 833 1631 53% Minor upgrade

SRB R13.1 Subotica Palic 125 49 46% Minor upgrade

SRB R13.2 Palic Horgos 125 49 47% Minor upgrade

MNE R4.4 Pozega Vrbnica 1493 4174 60% Minor upgrade

MNE R4.5 Bijelo Polje Mojkovac 1380 4722 44% Minor upgrade

MNE R4.6.2 Trebaljevo Kolasin 1305 5015 43% Minor upgrade

MNE R4.6.3 Kolasin Podgorica 1250 4923 46% Minor upgrade

BIH R9a.02 Doboj Tuzla 61 8706 57% Minor upgrade

BIH R9a.03 Tuzla Brcko 305 8598 63% Minor upgrade

BIH Vc.6 Jelina Sarajevo 525 8405 42% Minor upgrade

BIH Vc.7 Sarajevo Capljina 210 7530 64% Minor upgrade

CRO Vc.8 Metkovic Ploce 172 7041 45% Minor upgrade

ALB VIII.01 Tirana Vore-near Tirana 1288 83 43% Minor upgrade

ALB VIII.03 Durres Shkozet 502 420 45% Minor upgrade

MKD VIII.12 Gjorce Petrov Trubarevo 581 5290 49% Minor upgrade

CRO X.03 Zagreb Dugo Selo 9479 15992 52% Minor upgrade

CRO X.06 Sisak Sunja 78 5534 65% Minor upgrade

CRO X.08 Novska Vrpolje 3971 7051 60% Minor upgrade

CRO X.09 Vrpolje Vinkovci 888 7528 62% Minor upgrade

SRB X.17 Lapovo Stalac 1737 13154 43% Minor upgrade

SRB X.18 Stalac Nis 1691 13263 43% Minor upgrade

MKD X.20 Tabanovci Kumanovo 322 5848 57% Minor upgrade

MKD X.21 Kumanovo Trubarevo 327 5894 58% Minor upgrade

SRB Xc.1 Nis Dimitrovgrad 164 7612 45% Minor upgrade

Source: Consultant’s estimates based on the model outputs (2030 projections)

Annex VIIa: Rail section grouping by intervention 158

Table AVIIa. 5. Rail Sections with Significant Capacity Constraints for the Moderate/High Economic Growth

Rate Scenario 2030

Country SEETO

code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

Traffic 2030 as

% of

CALCULATED

Capacity

Proposed intervention

CRO R1.3 Perkovic Split 721 2184 66% Significant upgrading measures

MNE R4.6.1 Mojkovac Trebaljevo 1335 5013 74% Significant upgrading measures

MNE R4.7.1 Podgorica Virpazar 260 1556 67% Significant upgrading measures

BIH R9a.01 Banja Luka Doboj 412 8348 68% Significant upgrading measures

CRO Vb.02 Rijeka Moravice 638 5564 70% Significant upgrading measures

CRO Vb.03 Moravice Ostarije 520 6472 77% Significant upgrading measures

CRO Vc.1 Beli Manastir Osijek 545 2911 68% Significant upgrading measures

CRO X.07 Sunja Novska 78 5534 69% Significant upgrading measures

SRB X.12 Stara Pazova Novi Beograd 4285 17281 72% Significant upgrading measures

SRB X.13 Beograd Novi Beograd 4285 17281 70% Significant upgrading measures

SRB X.14 Novi Beograd Beograd 4421 18039 71% Significant upgrading measures

SRB X.15 Beograd Resnik 4207 14972 72% Significant upgrading measures

MKD X.22 Trubarevo Veles 908 6830 78% Significant upgrading measures

SRB Xb.0 Kelebija Subotica 1319 11739 71% Significant upgrading measures

Source: Consultant’s estimates based on the model outputs (2030 projections)

Table AVIIa. 6. Rail Sections with Major Capacity Constraints for the Moderate/High Economic Growth Rate

Scenario 2030

Country SEETO

code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

Traffic 2030 as

% of

CALCULATED

Capacity

Proposed intervention

SRB R4.3 Resnik Pozega 1481 3714 81% Major interventions

(construction of new line/additional tracks)

MNE R4.7.2 Virpazar Bar 245 1494 114% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

CRO Vb.04 Ostarije Karlovac 530 9519 117% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

CRO Vb.05 Karlovac Zagreb 2278 9410 120% Major interventions

(construction of new line/additional tracks)

CRO Vb.07 Dugo Selo Botovo 4641 15331 137% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

CRO X.01 Savski Marof Zapresic 3693 5707 121% Major interventions (construction of new

line/additional tracks)

Annex VIIa: Rail section grouping by intervention 159

Country SEETO

code

From To Pass/day

2030

Ton/day

2030

Traffic 2030 as

% of

CALCULATED

Capacity

Proposed intervention

CRO X.04 Dugo Selo Novska 3948 8563 132% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

CRO X.05 Zagreb Sisak 3366 5652 94% Major interventions (construction of new

line/additional tracks)

SRB X.19 Nis Presevo 932 5959 202% Major interventions

(construction of new line/additional tracks)

SRB Xb.1 Subotica Novi Sad 1227 11470 118% Major interventions

(construction of new

line/additional tracks)

SRB Xb.2 Novi Sad Stara Pazova 3331 11484 121% Major interventions (construction of new

line/additional tracks)

Source: Consultant’s estimates based on the model outputs (2030 projections)

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 160

ANNEX VIII: Comparison of Capacities Against Traffic Flows in 2030

for Maritime and River Ports

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 161

Table AVIII. 1. Comparison of Calculated Maritime port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts for the Low/Moderate Scenario

FREIGHT PASSENGERS

Country Port

Freight

volume

(2012)

Current Capacity

(Cargo, 2014)

Low/Moderate

Scenario

Forecast (2030)

Assessment

of capacity

provisions

Passengers

volume (2012)

Current Capacities

2014

Low/Moderate

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment

of capacity

provisions

(Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Passengers per

year)

(Passengers per

year)

(Passengers per

year)

ALB Durres

3,516,446 3,950,000 4,800,000 Insufficient

798,524 1,200,000 925,000 Sufficient

ALB Vlore

164,620 500,000 225,000 Sufficient

190,015 No passenger terminal 220,000 Insufficient

CRO Dubrovnik

150 Cruise port 180 Sufficient

1,194,298 2,000,000 2,150,000 Insufficient

CRO Ploce

2,582,109

13,500,000

1,200,000 tons liquid

cargo

3,100,000 Sufficient

189,745 Inadequate passenger

terminal 250,000 Insufficient

CRO Pula

568,000 400,000 680,000 Insufficient

50,000 Inadequate passenger

installations 65,000 Insufficient

CRO Rijeka

9,390,380

20,900,000 dry cargoes

(after the completion of

new container terminal)

24,000,000 liquid cargoes

11,300,000 Sufficient

178,956

New modern

passenger terminal

opened in 2009

235,000 Sufficient

CRO Sibenik

410,000 1,730,000 490,000 Sufficient

297,000

1,000,000

(Future plans for

2,000,000)

390,000 Sufficient

CRO Split 2,825,192 2,500,000 3,400,000 Insufficient 4,253,135 7,000,000 5,500,000 Sufficient

CRO Zadar

252,582 1,500,000 300,000 Sufficient

2,390,229 2,300,000 3,100,000 Insufficient

MON Bar

1,640,000 7,720,000 2,250,000 Sufficient

60,000 Adequate passenger

installations 70,000 Sufficient

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Note: Cargo capacities include liquid, general cargo and containers (assumed as 20 tons/TEU).

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 162

Table AVIII. 2. Comparison of Calculated Maritime Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts for the Moderate/High Scenario

FREIGHT PASSENGERS

Country Port

Freight volume

(2012)

Current Capacity (Cargo,

2014)

Moderate-High

Scenario

Forecast(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

Passengers volume

(2012)

Current Capacities

2014

Moderate-High

Scenario

Forecast(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions (Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Tons per year)

(Passengers per

year) (Passengers per year) (Passengers per year)

ALB Durres

3,516,446 3,950,000 6,000,000 Insufficient

798,524 1,200,000 1,200,000 Marginally

sufficient

ALB Vlore

164,620 500,000 300,000 Sufficient

190,015 No passenger terminal 300,000 Insufficient

CRO Dubrovnik

150 Cruise port 200 Sufficient 1,194,298 2,000,000 3,000,000 Insufficient

CRO Ploce

2,582,109 13,500,000

1,200,000 tons liquid cargo 4,000,000 Sufficient

189,745 Inadequate passenger

terminal 300,000 Insufficient

CRO Pula

568,000 400,000 850,000 Insufficient

50,000 Inadequate passenger

installations 80,000 Insufficient

CRO Rijeka

9,390,380

20,900,000 dry cargoes

(after the completion of

new container terminal)

24,000,000 liquid cargoes

14,000,000 Sufficient

178,956

New modern passenger

terminal opened in

2009

300,000 Sufficient

CRO Sibenik

410,000 1,730,000 600,000 Sufficient

297,000

1,000,000

(Future plans for

2,000,000)

500,000 Sufficient

CRO Split

2,825,192 2,500,000 4,000,000 Insufficient

4,253,135 7,000,000 7,000,000 Marginally

sufficient

CRO Zadar

252,582 1,500,000 400,000 Sufficient

2,390,229 2,300,000 4,000,000 Insufficient

MON Bar

1,640,000 7,720,000 3,000,000 Sufficient

60,000 Adequate passenger

installations 90,000 Sufficient

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Note: Cargo capacities include liquid, general cargo and containers (assumed as 20 tons/TEU).

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 163

Table AVIII. 3. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts: Ports of Serbia (low/moderate scenario)

IWW port location in relation to Dunabe, Sava and Drava segments

Port Terminal

Current Capacity

(Cargo, 2014)

Low/Moderate

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity provisions Current Capacities

(Passengers, 2014)

Low/Moderate

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

(Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Passengers) (Passengers per year)

Belgrade

(Beograd)

General cargo, bulk 1,500,000 407,625

Sufficient n.a 238,044 Insufficient

Container 180,000 Current flow: 61,037

Novi Sad

General cargo, bulk and

containers 700,000

1,348,596 Insufficient n.a

46,018 Insufficient

Container 10,000 Current flow: 11,800

Pancevo Multi-purpose (General,

Bulk, Liquid, Ro-Ro

Containers)

900,000 n.a n.a

Smederevo Multi-purpose (General

cargo, Bulk) 310,000 n.a n.a

Prahovo Multi-purpose (General

cargo, Bulk) 250,000 n.a

n.a

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 164

Table AVIII. 4. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts: Ports of Croatia (low/moderate scenario)

IWW port location in relation to Danube, Drava and Sava segments

Port Terminal

Current Capacity

(Cargo, 2014)

Low/Moderate Scenario

Forecast (2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

Current Capacities

(Passengers, 2014)

Low/Moderate

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

(Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Passengers) (Passengers per year)

Vukovar

Multi-purpose terminal

(Bulk and general cargo,

containers)

1,500,000 750,855 tons/year in Dunabe

river from Batina to Ilok Sufficient

3 small passenger ports

are under development 40,420 Sufficient

Osijek

Bulk cargo terminal Heavy

cargo (iron/steel and also

coal, gravel)

900,000 357,486 Sufficient

Capacity n.a

Current flow: 1,475 3,312 Sufficient

Sisak Bulk cargo terminal (Kupa) 300,000

58,710 Sufficient n.a

n.a n.a Oil terminal (Crnac) 1,500,000

Slavonski

Brod

Ruscica terminal (crude oil) 150,000 232,878 Insufficient

n.a n.a n.a

General cargo

The International Sava River Basin Commission works towards a plan for the rehabilitation and improvement of the Sava River waterway through dredging and construction of sills (to increase the

water level), construction of groynes (to achieve higher flow velocities) and other works that would upgrade navigation to class IV. Such improvement will allow river ports on the Sava river (Slavonski

Brod and Sisak) to exploit their current capacities, attract induced traffic and probably justify future plans.

The master plan of Slavonski Brod foresees bio-diesel plan, wood processing, cement storage etc. Sisak port perspective is less demanding as the unfavorable port location in the Kupa river and the

bridges between the Kupa-Sava confluence, pose barriers to future development.

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 165

Table AVIII. 5. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts: Ports of Bosnia & Herzegovina (low/moderate scenario)

IWW port location in relation to river Drava and Sava segments

Port Terminal

Current Capacity

(Cargo, 2014)

Low/Moderate Scenario

Forecast (2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

Current Capacities

(Passengers, 2014)

Low/Moderate

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

(Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Passengers) (Passengers per year)

Brcko General and bulk cargo 430,000 98,780

Sufficient

n.a

Current flow: 200 541 Sufficient

Samac Bulk cargo (steel and semi-

finished products) 60,000 74,841 Insufficient n.a n.a n.a

The International Sava River Basin Commission works towards a plan for the rehabilitation and improvement of the Sava River waterway through dredging and construction of sills (to increase

the water level), construction of groynes (to achieve higher flow velocities) and other works that would upgrade navigation to class IV. Such improvement will allow river ports on the Sava river

(Brcko and Samac) to exploit their current capacities, attract induced traffic and probably justify future plans.

Brcko port requires equipment investments to continue to improve both its capacity and operational efficiency. After the implementation of these long-term investments, the maximum capacity is

estimated at 720,000 tons. Samac port have started an ambitious investment plan for rehabilitation aiming at infrastructure improvements, installation of modern cargo handling equipment, and

establishment of storage facilities.

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 166

Table AVIII. 6. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts: Ports of Serbia (moderate/high scenario)

IWW port location in relation to river Dunabe, Sava and Drava segments

Port Terminal

Current Capacity

(Cargo, 2014)

Moderate/High

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity provisions Current Capacities

(Passengers, 2014)

Moderate/High

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

(Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Passengers) (Passengers per year)

Belgrade

(Beograd)

General cargo, bulk 1,500,000 509,532

Sufficient n.a 297,555 Insufficient

Container 180,000 Current flow: 61,037

Novi Sad

General cargo, bulk and

containers 700,000

1,685,745 Insufficient n.a

57,522 Insufficient

Container 10,000 Current flow: 11,800

Pancevo Multi-purpose (General,

Bulk, Liquid, Ro-Ro

Containers)

900,000 n.a n.a

Smederevo Multi-purpose (General

cargo, Bulk) 310,000 n.a n.a

Prahovo Multi-purpose (General

cargo, Bulk) 250,000 n.a

n.a

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 167

Table AVIII. 7. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts: Ports of Croatia (moderate/high scenario)

IWW port location in relation to Danube, Drava and Sava segments

Port Terminal

Current Capacity

(Cargo, 2014)

Moderate/High Scenario

Forecast (2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

Current Capacities

(Passengers, 2014)

Moderate/High

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

(Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Passengers) (Passengers per year)

Vukovar

Multi-purpose terminal

(Bulk and general cargo,

containers)

1,500,000 938,569 tons/year in Dunabe

river from Batina to Ilok Sufficient

3 small passenger ports

are under development 50,525 Sufficient

Osijek

Bulk cargo terminal Heavy

cargo (iron/steel and also

coal, gravel)

900,000 257,937 Sufficient

Capacity n.a

Current flow: 1,475 4,140 Sufficient

Sisak Bulk cargo terminal (Kupa) 300,000

73,388 Sufficient n.a

n.a n.a Oil terminal (Crnac) 1,500,000

Slavonski

Brod

Ruscica terminal (crude oil) 150,000 168,028 Insufficient n.a n.a n.a

General cargo

The International Sava River Basin Commission works towards a plan for the rehabilitation and improvement of the Sava River waterway through dredging and construction of sills (to increase the

water level), construction of groynes (to achieve higher flow velocities) and other works that would upgrade navigation to class IV. Such improvement will allow river ports on the Sava river (Slavonski

Brod and Sisak) to exploit their current capacities, attract induced traffic and probably justify future plans.

The master plan of Slavonski Brod foresees bio-diesel plan, wood processing, cement storage etc. Sisak port perspective is less demanding as the unfavorable port location in the Kupa river and the

bridges between the Kupa-Sava confluence, pose barriers to future development.

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Annex VIII: Capacity considerations for maritime and IWW ports 168

Table AVIII. 8. Comparison of Calculated IWW Port Capacities against 2030 Traffic Forecasts: Ports of Bosnia & Herzegovina (moderate/high scenario)

IWW port location in relation to river Drava and Sava segments

Port Terminal

Current Capacity

(Cargo, 2014)

Moderate/High Scenario

Forecast (2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

Current Capacities

(Passengers, 2014)

Moderate/High

Scenario Forecast

(2030)

Assessment of

capacity

provisions

(Tons per year) (Tons per year) (Passengers) (Passengers per year)

Brcko General and bulk cargo 430,000 123,476

Sufficient

n.a

Current flow: 200 676 Sufficient

Samak Bulk cargo (steel and semi-

finished products) 60,000 93,551 Insufficient n.a n.a n.a

The International Sava River Basin Commission works towards a plan for the rehabilitation and improvement of the Sava River waterway through dredging and construction of sills (to increase

the water level), construction of groynes (to achieve higher flow velocities) and other works that would upgrade navigation to class IV. Such improvement will allow river ports on the Sava river

(Brcko and Samac) to exploit their current capacities, attract induced traffic and probably justify future plans.

Brcko port requires equipment investments to continue to improve both its capacity and operational efficiency. After the implementation of these long-term investments, the maximum capacity is

estimated at 720,000 tons. Samac port have started an ambitious investment plan for rehabilitation aiming at infrastructure improvements, installation of modern cargo handling equipment, and

establishment of storage facilities.

Source: SEETO (2012), Consultant’s estimates (2030 projections and capacity considerations)

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 169

ANNEX IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 170

1. The 2012 traffic projections for the main links of the SEETO Comprehensive

Network from the 2003 REBIS study were reviewed and assessed against reported traffic

counts (as per SEETO database and traffic counts undertaken by the Consultant) in order

to assess the accuracy of the projections. The main goal of this analysis was to identify

possible gaps in the assumptions, which would be used to inform model development for

the update.

2. The review showed significant variations which were not consistent across the

network or at the national level. The forecasted traffic on some sections of the network was

underestimated by the REBIS 2003 study. More specifically, reported AADT is more than

100% of the respective REBIS 2003 study forecasts on:

22% of the road links in Albania

16% of the road links in Bosnia and Herzegovina

42% of the road links in the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia

16% of the road links in Serbia

53% of the road links in Croatia

20% of the road links in Montenegro

75% of the road network in Kosovo*

32% of the SEETO Comprehensive Road Network

3. The detailed results are presented below.

2003 REBIS Moderate Scenario - Albania Forecast 2006 Forecast 2015 Forecast 2025

General results for Albania

Population (in millions) 3.62 3.89 4.21

Index income per capita 2001 prices 130 214 371

Level of car ownership (cars/1.000

inhabitants)

51 113 232

Traffic growth rates 2001-2006 2001-2015 2001-2025

Passenger cars 63% 299% 850%

Trucks - national 46% 186% 507%

Trucks - international 25% 87% 194%

Rail freight C 17% 56% 115%

Rail passengers 20% 65% 136%

Passenger Cars 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT cars 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Hani I Hoti - Shkoder 8433 3750 44.5%

Shkoder - Lezhe 3939 6426 163.1%

Lezhe - Fushe Kruje 5834 10946 187.6%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 171

Fushe Kruje - Vore 7727 7456 96.5%

Vore - Durres 25115 22438 89.3%

Durres - Rrogozhine 22677 22438 98.9%

Rrogozhine - Lushnje 20440 14256 69.7%

Lushnje - Fier 17328 12824 74.0%

Fier - Jorgucati 3909 3154 80.7%

Jorgucati - Kakavile 4254 3154 74.1%

Shkoder - Morine 1071 0 0.0%

Fier - Vlore 13386 6846 51.1%

Vlore - Saranda 718 0 0.0%

Saranda - Jorgucati 1528 0 0.0%

Vore - Tirane 31394 22862 72.8%

Tirane - Bradahesh 5440 6286 115.5%

Bradahesh - Elbasan 7558 6286 83.2%

Elbasan - Qafe Thane 5297 3966 74.9%

Qafe Thane - Progadec 4075 5214 127.9%

Progradec - Korca 6947 2236 32.2%

Korca - Kapshtice 4325 4824 111.5%

Rrogozhine - Bradahesh 1082 0 0.0%

Trucks and Buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Hani I Hoti - Shkoder 4281 608 14.2%

Shkoder - Lezhe 2189 2098 95.9%

Lezhe - Fushe Kruje 3078 3378 109.7%

Fushe Kruje - Vore 3968 4952 124.8%

Vore - Durres 6185 2366 38.3%

Durres - Rrogozhine 5328 2366 44.4%

Rrogozhine - Lushnje 5320 554 10.4%

Lushnje - Fier 4843 3178 65.6%

Fier - Jorgucati 1044 536 51.3%

Jorgucati - Kakavile 1670 536 32.1%

Shkoder - Morine 818 0 0.0%

Fier - Vlore 6104 5628 92.2%

Vlore - Saranda 274 0 0.0%

Saranda - Jorgucati 350 2216 633.8%

Vore - Tirane 7731 2262 29.3%

Tirane - Bradahesh 955 416 43.6%

Bradahesh - Elbasan 5033 1358 27.0%

Elbasan - Qafe Thane 1789 1166 65.2%

Qafe Thane - Progadec 1466 2788 190.1%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 172

Progradec - Korca 1298 1706 131.4%

Korca - Kapshtice 2796 198 7.1%

Rrogozhine - Bradahesh 1832 0 0.0%

Rail Passengers 2012 passengers

forecast

2003 REBIS

Passengers 2012

- SEETO

Passengers

SEETO/passengers

REBIS1

Hani Hotit - Shkoder 0 0 0.0%

Shkoder - Lezhe 296828 115200 38.8%

Lezhe - Milot 296828 115200 38.8%

Rrreshen - Milot 0 115200 0.0%

Milot - Vore 296828 115200 38.8%

Vore - Tirane 1484142 231840 15.6%

Vore - Durres 1187314 203760 17.2%

Durres - Rrogozhine 890486 0 0.0%

Rrogozhine - Elbasan 593657 56880 9.6%

Elbasan - Librazhd 296828 8640 2.9%

Librazhd - Prenjas 296828 8640 2.9%

Prenjas - Pogradec 296828 0 0.0%

Rrogozhine - Lushnje 445242 39600 8.9%

Lushnje - Fier 445242 39600 8.9%

Fier - Balsh 0 39600 0.0%

Fier - Vlore 148414 39600 26.7%

Rail Freight 2012 tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 tonnes - SEETO Tonnes SEETO/

tonnes

2003 REBIS

Hani Hotit - Shkoder 0 138240 0.0%

Shkoder - Lezhe 36167 136080 376.3%

Lezhe - Milot 36167 136080 376.3%

Rrreshen - Milot 853 0 0.0%

Milot - Vore 253297 136080 53.7%

Vore - Tirane 69163 12240 17.7%

Vore - Durres 328786 80640 24.5%

Durres - Rrogozhine 0 0 0.0%

Rrogozhine - Elbasan 279527 76320 27.3%

Elbasan - Librazhd 52445 0 0.0%

Librazhd - Prenjas 52445 0 0.0%

Prenjas - Pogradec 20827 0 0.0%

Rrogozhine - Lushnje 212948 5040 2.4%

Lushnje - Fier 212948 5040 2.4%

Fier - Balsh 182468 5040 2.8%

Fier - Vlore 7594 5040 66.4%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 173

2003 REBIS Moderate Scenario – Bosnia and Herzegovina Forecast 2006 Forecast 2015 Forecast 2025

General results for Bosnia and Herzegovina

Population (in millions) 4,18 4,38 4,60

Index income per capita 2001 prices 120 167 241

Level of car ownership (cars/1.000

inhabitants) 201 291 374

Traffic growth rates 2001-2006 2001-2015 2001-2025

Passenger cars 30% 108% 206%

Trucks - national 29% 102% 232%

Trucks - international 25% 87% 194%

Rail freight C 11% 35% 66%

Rail passengers 13% 39% 76%

Passenger Cars 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT cars 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Banja Luka - D. Vakuf 3276 2710 83%

Banja Luka - Doboj 14171 0 0%

Biha - D. Vakuf 3063 0 0%

Bos. Gradiška - Banja Luka 10847 10336 95%

D. Vakuf - Zenica 3902 9938 255%

D. Vakuf - Tomislavgrad 2241 0 0%

Mostar - Sarajevo 8111 7252 89%

Mostar - Doljani 15736 4864 31%

Sarajevo - Šepan Polje 2760 3422 124%

Sarajevo - Vardište 1921 3388 176%

Sarajevo - Tuzla 35757 0 0%

Sarajevo - Zenica 39135 11428 29%

Tuzla - Zvornik 6571 0 0%

Tuzla - Orašje 9010 0 0%

Tuzla - Doboj 9833 0 0%

Zenica - Doboj 6159 4952 80%

Doboj - Slavonski Samac border 8568 0 0%

Jajce - D. Vakuf 5327 2026 38%

Trucks and Buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Banja Luka - D. Vakuf 530 498 94%

Banja Luka - Doboj 2294 0 0%

Biha - D. Vakuf 495 0 0%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 174

Trucks and Buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Bos. Gradiška - Banja Luka 1755 2612 149%

D. Vakuf - Zenica 632 1540 244%

D. Vakuf - Tomislavgrad 363 0 0%

Mostar - Sarajevo 1312 676 52%

Mostar - Doljani 2547 390 15%

Sarajevo - Šepan Polje 446 182 41%

Sarajevo - Vardište 311 182 59%

Sarajevo - Tuzla 5787 0 0%

Sarajevo - Zenica 6334 2492 39%

Tuzla - Zvornik 1063 0 0%

Tuzla - Orašje 1458 0 0%

Tuzla - Doboj 1591 0 0%

Zenica - Doboj 997 1168 117%

Doboj - Slavonski Samac border 1133 0 0%

Jajce - D. Vakuf 704 542 77%

Rail Passengers 2012 passengers

forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 passengers

SEETO

Passengers

SEETO/passengers

REBIS1

Sarajevo - Konjic 194991 48240 25%

Konjic - Mostar 154228 48240 31%

Mostar - Žitomislii 119956 48240 40%

Žitomislii - Šurmanci 120726 48240 40%

Šurmanci - apljina 120904 48240 40%

apljina - Ploe 37616 48240 128%

Sarajevo - Visoko 73477 120240 164%

Visoko - Kakanj 208488 120240 58%

Kakanj - Zenica 166427 120240 72%

Zenica - Zavidovii 81786 72720 89%

Zavidovii - Maglaj 35570 72720 204%

Maglaj - Doboj 128449 72720 57%

Doboj - Modria 128449 108144 84%

Modria - Šamac 86005 108144 125%

Doboj - B. Luka 184296 90720 49%

B. Luka - Omarska 198816 0 0%

Omarska - Prijedor 279233 0 0%

Prijedor - Svodna 232322 0 0%

Svodna - Novi Grad 232322 0 0%

Novi Grad - Dobrljin 149670 0 0%

Novi Grad - Blatna 208868 0 0%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 175

Blatna - Biha 180581 0 0%

Biha - Ripa 35830 0 0%

Rail Freight 2012 tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes SEETO/

Tonnes REBIS1

Lujaba - N. Grad 357001 0 0%

B. Luka - Lujaba 371930 0 0%

Stacani - B. Luka 371930 0 0%

Doboj - Stacani 375851 0 0%

Doboj - Samac 97364 595698 612%

Zadvidovici - Doboj 89965 2357280 2620%

Zenica - Zadvidovici 91912 2357280 2565%

Kakanj - Zenica 433334 2357280 544%

Podlugovi - Kakanj 455403 2357280 518%

Semizovac - Podlugovi 219523 2357280 1074%

Alipašin Most - Semizovac 213032 2357280 1107%

Sarajevo Ter. - Alipašin Most 194078 1656720 854%

Blazuj - Sarajevo Ter. 201219 1656720 823%

Konjic - Blazuj 231856 1656720 715%

Rastani - Konjic 230558 1656720 719%

Mostar - Rastani 248043 1656720 668%

Bacevici - Mostar 249471 1656720 664%

Capljina - Bacevici 551447 1656720 300%

Metkovic - Capljina 331240 1656720 500%

Ploce - Metkovic 649737 1656720 255%

2003 REBIS Moderate Scenario – Croatia

Forecast 2006 Forecast 2015 Forecast 2025

General results for Croatia

Population (in millions) 4,65 4,86 5,11

Index income per capita 2001 prices 117 159 224

Level of car ownership (cars/1.000

inhabitants) 322 393 490

Traffic growth rates 2001-2006 2001-2015 2001-2025

Passenger cars 25% 72% 144%

Trucks - national 29% 96% 214%

Trucks - international 25% 87% 194%

Rail freight C 11% 33% 62%

Rail passengers 14% 39% 74%

Inland Waterways 24% 76% 160%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 176

Passenger Cars 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT cars 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Plovanija - Baderna(exir to Porec) 5435 0 0.0%

Baderna(exir to Porec) - Bale (exit to

Rovinj) 0 0 0.0%

Bale (exit to Rovinj) - Galizana 1358 0 0.0%

Galizana - Pula 0 0 0.0%

Matulji - Pula 13898 0 0.0%

Lupoglav - Matulji 8038 6552 81.5%

Matulji - Pasjak 6227 6470 103.9%

Matulji - Rupa 6883 6470 94.0%

Rijeka - Senj 9176 6438 70.2%

Senj - Maslenica 2333 11684 500.7%

Rijeka - Orehovica 25592 7852 30.7%

Orehovica - Delnice 9064 10478 115.6%

Delnice - Karlovac 8752 10014 114.4%

Karlovac - Lucko 26588 27300 102.7%

Lucko - Jankomir 12595 43442 344.9%

Jankomir - Bregana 12595 15230 120.9%

Jankomir - Krapina 13889 10554 76.0%

Krapina - Macelj 10162 7026 69.1%

Lucko - Ivanja Reka 28612 31900 111.5%

Ivanja Reka - Varazdin 8789 8232 93.7%

Varazdin - Cakovec 14378 3942 27.4%

Cakovec - Gorican 2063 1942 94.1%

Ivanja Reka - Slavonski border 18342 12426 67.7%

Slavonski border - Slavonski Brod border 9671 8326 86.1%

Slavonski border - Donji Miholjac 3490 2278 65.3%

Slavonski border - Sikirevci 9134 2278 24.9%

Sikirevci - Zupanja 1186 2278 192.0%

Zupanja - Bajakovo 1689 2278 134.9%

Sikirevci - Slavonski Samac border 1674 2278 136.0%

Zupanja - Zupanja border 7372 2278 30.9%

Sikirevci - Osijek 13976 17330 124.0%

Osijek - Manastin 7485 6006 80.2%

Karlovac - Grabovac 13481 11880 88.1%

Grabovac - Licko Petrovo Selo 7372 11050 149.9%

Grabovac - Gracac 10774 10848 100.7%

Gracac - Maslenica 5030 11684 232.3%

Maslenica - Zadar 11955 11204 93.7%

Zadar - Split 13637 8644 63.4%

Gracac - Sinj 5574 0 0.0%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 177

Passenger Cars 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT cars 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Sinj - Kamensko 1435 0 0.0%

Sinj - Split 5340 0 0.0%

Split - Ploce 13516 4890 36.2%

Ploce - Opuzen 9313 6942 74.5%

Opuzen - Metkovic 9573 8402 87.8%

Metkovic - Metkovic border 6056 0 0.0%

Opuzen - Dubac 5952 4672 78.5%

Dubac - Gornji Brgat border 0 4672 0.0%

Dubac - Karasovici border 2020 0 0.0%

Matulji - Rijeka 25592 21330 83.3%

Trucks and buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Plovanija - Baderna(exir to Porec) 938 0 0.0%

Baderna(exir to Porec) - Bale (exit to

Rovinj) 0 0 0.0%

Bale (exit to Rovinj) - Galizana 165 0 0.0%

Galizana - Pula 0 0 0.0%

Matulji - Pula 800 0 0.0%

Lupoglav - Matulji 1395 884 63.4%

Matulji - Pasjak 1058 514 48.6%

Matulji - Rupa 1072 514 47.9%

Rijeka - Senj 1594 716 44.9%

Senj - Maslenica 340 1036 304.7%

Rijeka - Orehovica 4383 1078 24.6%

Orehovica - Delnice 1220 1236 101.3%

Delnice - Karlovac 1332 1412 106.0%

Karlovac - Lucko 4762 3026 63.5%

Lucko - Jankomir 2549 7074 277.6%

Jankomir - Bregana 2549 2482 97.4%

Jankomir - Krapina 1482 1432 96.7%

Krapina - Macelj 1774 848 47.8%

Lucko - Ivanja Reka 8215 5194 63.2%

Ivanja Reka - Varazdin 1619 1244 76.8%

Varazdin - Cakovec 1857 644 34.7%

Cakovec - Gorican 812 254 31.3%

Ivanja Reka - Slavonski border 3653 2808 76.9%

Slavonski border - Slavonski Brod border 1836 1940 105.6%

Slavonski border - Donji Miholjac 878 438 49.9%

Slavonski border - Sikirevci 1944 438 22.5%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 178

Trucks and buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Sikirevci - Zupanja 1816 438 24.1%

Zupanja - Bajakovo 515 438 85.1%

Sikirevci - Slavonski Samac border 323 438 135.7%

Zupanja - Zupanja border 1160 438 37.7%

Sikirevci - Osijek 2457 1928 78.5%

Osijek - Manastin 437 692 158.4%

Karlovac - Grabovac 2119 786 37.1%

Grabovac - Licko Petrovo Selo 1160 850 73.2%

Grabovac - Gracac 1339 794 59.3%

Gracac - Maslenica 1081 1036 95.9%

Maslenica - Zadar 781 1016 130.0%

Zadar - Split 1575 734 46.6%

Gracac - Sinj 935 0 0.0%

Sinj - Kamensko 151 0 0.0%

Sinj - Split 1081 0 0.0%

Split - Ploce 1118 370 33.1%

Ploce - Opuzen 619 898 145.1%

Opuzen - Metkovic 1893 934 49.3%

Metkovic - Metkovic border 1006 0 0.0%

Opuzen - Dubac 584 520 89.0%

Dubac - Gornji Brgat border 0 0.0%

Dubac - Karasovici border 157 0 0.0%

Matulji - Rijeka 4383 2372 54.1%

Rail Passengers 2012 passengers

forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 passengers

SEETO

Passengers

SEETO/passengers

REBIS1

Koprivnica - Krizevci 1300123 551160 42.4%

Krizevci - Dugo Selo 2122161 551160 26.0%

Hrvatski Leskovac - Karlovac 1314528 551160 41.9%

Karlovac - Ogulin 1730861 60120 3.5%

Ogulin - Rijeka 721947 77400 10.7%

Rijeka - Sapjane border 17898 20880 116.7%

Savski Marof border - Zapresic 756544 445320 58.9%

Zapresic - Zagreb 2910543 6129720 210.6%

Zagreb (Velika Gorica) - Sisak

Caprag 1162192 429120 36.9%

Sisak Caprag - Sunja 198244 90360 45.6%

Sunja - Novska 73346 4680 6.4%

Sesvete - Dugo Selo 4891839 8003520 163.6%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 179

Rail Passengers 2012 passengers

forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 passengers

SEETO

Passengers

SEETO/passengers

REBIS1

Dugo Selo - Banova Jaruga 2920436 565200 19.4%

Banova Jaruga - Novska 1273915 565200 44.4%

Novska - Nova Kapela Batrina 1376870 623880 45.3%

Nova Kapela Batrina - Slavonski

Brod 1363365 623880 45.8%

Slavonski Brod - Strizivojna

Vrpolje 993300 623880 62.8%

Strizivojna Vrpolje - Jarmina 537236 1843920 343.2%

Jarmina - Vinkovci 0 1843920 -

Vinkovci - Tovarnik 73355 84240 114.8%

Kotoriba - Cakovec 1434515 135720 9.5%

Cakovec - Sredisce border 39529 135720 343.3%

Ostarije – Knin 793721 60120 7.6%

Knin - Perkovic 345219 81360 23.6%

Perkovic - Split 390963 82800 21.2%

Knin - Zadar 62083 5400 8.7%

Perkovic - Sibenik 144175 14760 10.2%

Sunja - Volinja border 43660 0 0.0%

Martin Brod border - Knin 0 40680 0.0%

Beli Manastir border - Osijek 172603 50040 29.0%

Osijek - Strizivojna Vrpolje 205455 10440 5.1%

Strizivojna Vrpolje - Sl. Samac

border 20901 16920 81.0%

Metkovic border - Ploce 18828 4680 24.9%

Vinkovci - Borovo 33416 0 0.0%

Buzet border - Pula 261393 0 0.0%

Rail Freight 2012 tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 Tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes

SEETO/Tonnes

REBIS1

Koprivnica - Krizevci 2783474 1525680 54.8%

Krizevci - Dugo Selo 3638275 1525680 41.9%

Hrvatski Leskovac - Karlovac 3688248 1525680 41.4%

Karlovac - Ogulin 4235999 1525680 36.0%

Ogulin - Rijeka 4324971 1328040 30.7%

Rijeka - Sapjane border 3251013 811440 25.0%

Savski Marof border - Zapresic 906763 200520 22.1%

Zapresic - Zagreb 2078634 789120 38.0%

Zagreb (Velika Gorica) - Sisak

Caprag 2438616 811800 33.3%

Sisak Caprag - Sunja 960743 688680 71.7%

Sunja - Novska 682193 622800 91.3%

Sesvete - Dugo Selo 330586 0 0.0%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 180

Rail Passengers 2012 passengers

forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 passengers

SEETO

Passengers

SEETO/passengers

REBIS1

Dugo Selo - Banova Jaruga 5714926 1392120 24.4%

Banova Jaruga - Novska 2713786 963360 35.5%

Novska - Nova Kapela Batrina 1433308 963360 67.2%

Nova Kapela Batrina - Slavonski

Brod 1727506 852120 49.3%

Slavonski Brod - Strizivojna

Vrpolje 1767902 852120 48.2%

Strizivojna Vrpolje - Jarmina 1683851 852120 50.6%

Jarmina - Vinkovci 1524455 1156680 75.9%

Vinkovci - Tovarnik 1522288 1156680 76.0%

Kotoriba - Cakovec 966394 607320 62.8%

Cakovec - Sredisce border 2960981 240480 8.1%

Ostarije – Knin 3324585 232560 7.0%

Knin - Perkovic 1643266 428760 26.1%

Perkovic - Split 1273554 428760 33.7%

Knin - Zadar 526379 223920 42.5%

Perkovic - Sibenik 230440 136080 59.1%

Sunja - Volinja border 639999 216360 33.8%

Martin Brod border - Knin 359126 0 0.0%

Beli Manastir border - Osijek 20040 0 0.0%

Osijek - Strizivojna Vrpolje 225646 284040 125.9%

Strizivojna Vrpolje - Sl. Samac

border 523605 5760 1.1%

Metkovic border - Ploce 5935 726840 12246.5%

Vinkovci - Borovo 740195 165600 22.4%

Buzet border - Pula 75505 0 0.0%

Inland Waterways 2012tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes

SEETO/Tonnes

REBIS1

Germany - Vukovar 77658

Austria - Vukovar 8875

Slovakia - Vukovar 22188

Ukraine - Vukovar 10429

Vukovar - Netherland 1553

Vukovar - Austria 42823

Germany - Osijek 42157

Austria - Osijek 117596

Hungary - Osijek 1553

Ukraine - Osijek 85646

Osijek - Germany 18638

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 181

Inland Waterways 2012tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes

SEETO/Tonnes

REBIS1

Osijek - Austria 107834

Osijek - Hungary 23519

Croatia - Osijek 29078

Danube+Drava 465949 448556 96.3%

Sava- Sl. Brod - Sisak 0 373306 0.0%

2003 REBIS Moderate Scenario – the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia Forecast 2006 Forecast 2015 Forecast 2025

General results for MKD

Population (in millions) 2,10 2,19 2,30

Index income per capita 2001 prices 117 163 235

Level of car ownership (cars/1.000

inhabitants) 180 260 353

Traffic growth rates 2001-2006 2001-2015 2001-2025

Passenger cars 25% 99% 207%

Trucks - national 25% 96% 222%

Trucks - international 25% 87% 194%

Rail freight C 10% 33% 64%

Rail passengers 11% 37% 73%

Inland Waterways 32% 130% 327%

Passenger Cars 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT cars 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Kafasan - Struga 1367 2672 195%

Podmolje - Struga 7774 3716 47.8%

Podmolje - Botun 4876 3716 76.2%

Kicevo - Botun 2201 3716 168.8%

Novo Selo - Kicevo 3474 3776 108.7%

Gostivar - Novo Selo 4042 3776 93.4%

Totovo - Gostivar 6639 10252 154.4%

Skopje - Tetovo 3448 8436 244.6%

Kumanovo - Stracin 3861 1874 48.5%

Stracin - Kriva Palanka 2907 2380 81.9%

Kriva Palanka - Border 1230 1374 111.7%

Yugoslavia border - Kumanovo 1961 4098 209.0%

Kumanovo - Miladinovci 4429 6554 148.0%

Miladinovci - Petrovec 4850 7066 145.7%

Petrovec - Veles 3646 7066 193.8%

Veles - Gradsko 2322 4304 185.4%

Gradsko - Negotino 2649 2850 107.6%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 182

Negotino - Demir Kapja 3113 2866 92.1%

Demir Kapja - Udovo 2485 3046 122.6%

Udovo - Gevgelija (Greek border) 3535 4002 113.2%

Podmolje - Ohrid 10620 8004 75.4%

Orhid - Resen 2958 1830 61.9%

Resen - Bitola 3483 2434 69.9%

Bitola - Prilep 3844 2596 67.5%

Prilep - Rosoman 3517 0 0.0%

Rosoman - Gradsko 5400 0 0.0%

Veles - Stip 4558 0 0.0%

Stip - Krupiste 4910 0 0.0%

Krupiste - Kocani 7198 0 0.0%

Kocani - MaKedonska Kamenica 5229 0 0.0%

Makedonska Kamenica - Delcevo 2064 0 0.0%

Delveco - Bulgarian border 396 0 0.0%

Stip - Radovis 2735 0 0.0%

Radovis - Strumica 4568 0 0.0%

Strumica - Bulgarian border 3839 0 0.0%

gr. Makedonije (Den. Jankovic) - Skopje 5727 2598 45.4%

Skopje - Miladinovci 3337 5398 161.8%

Bitola - Niki (Greek border) 2281 2340 102.6%

Trucks and buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

Kafasan - Struga 390 190 48.8%

Podmolje - Struga 3617 238 6.6%

Podmolje - Botun 1516 238 15.7%

Kicevo - Botun 585 238 40.7%

Novo Selo - Kicevo 1076 246 22.9%

Gostivar - Novo Selo 1254 246 19.6%

Totovo - Gostivar 2609 500 19.2%

Skopje - Tetovo 1364 334 24.5%

Kumanovo - Stracin 1593 4 0.3%

Stracin - Kriva Palanka 1220 148 12.1%

Kriva Palanka - Border 475 150 31.6%

Yugoslavia border - Kumanovo 1135 614 54.1%

Kumanovo - Miladinovci 2363 874 37.0%

Miladinovci - Petrovec 3135 1002 32.0%

Petrovec - Veles 2118 1002 47.3%

Veles - Gradsko 1330 622 46.8%

Gradsko - Negotino 1788 722 40.4%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 183

Negotino - Demir Kapja 2110 506 24.0%

Demir Kapja - Udovo 1449 834 57.6%

Udovo - Gevgelija (Greek border) 2050 584 28.5%

Podmolje - Ohrid 1186 910 76.7%

Orhid - Resen 1313 82 6.2%

Resen - Bitola 1534 202 13.2%

Bitola - Prilep 1703 276 16.2%

Prilep - Rosoman 1567 0 0.0%

Rosoman - Gradsko 2389 0 0.0%

Veles - Stip 1271 0 0.0%

Stip - Krupiste 1355 0 0.0%

Krupiste - Kocani 1440 0 0.0%

Kocani - MaKedonska Kamenica 1736 0 0.0%

Makedonska Kamenica - Delcevo 475 0 0.0%

Delveco - Bulgarian border 212 0 0.0%

Stip - Radovis 675 0 0.0%

Radovis - Strumica 1125 0 0.0%

Strumica - Bulgarian border 946 0 0.0%

gr. (Den. Jankovic) - Skopje 1410 782 55.5%

Skopje - Miladinovci 1472 616 41.8%

Bitola - Niki (Greek border) 326 64 19.7%

Rail Passengers 2012 passengers

forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 passengers -

SEETO

Passengers

SEETO/passengers

REBIS1

Tabanosci - Skopje 163975 38160 23.3%

Skopje - Veles 1291118 861120 66.7%

Veles - Gevgelija 195998 85680 43.7%

Veles - Kocani 16717 0 0.0%

Veles - Bitola 440731 238320 54.1%

Skopje - Dorce Petrov 245630 64080 26.1%

Dorce Petrov - Yugoslavia

border 0 720 0.0%

Dorce Petrov - Kicevo 137993 87120 63.1%

Rail Freight 2012 tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes

SEETO/Tonnes

REBIS1

Tabanosci - Skopje 2420483 1367280 56.5%

Skopje - Veles 1986870 1453680 73.2%

Veles - Gevgelija 2944066 2194560 74.5%

Veles - Kocani 38156 0 0.0%

Veles - Bitola 21618 14400 66.6%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 184

Skopje - Dorce Petrov 1568253 928800 59.2%

Dorce Petrov - Yugoslavia

border 83098 295920 356.1%

Dorce Petrov - Kicevo 22243 35280 158.6%

2003 REBIS Moderate Scenario – Serbia and Montenegro

Forecast 2006 Forecast 2015 Forecast 2025

General results for Serbia and Montenegro

Population (in millions) 10,91 11,41 12,00

Index income per capita 2001 prices 120 179 277

Level of car ownership (cars/1.000

inhabitants) 246 349 457

Traffic growth rates 2001-2006 2001-2015 2001-2025

Passenger cars 30% 110% 226%

Trucks - national 30% 119% 292%

Trucks - international 25% 87% 194%

Rail freight C 12% 39% 78%

Rail passengers 13% 44% 89%

Inland Waterways 24% 93% 214%

Passenger Cars 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT cars 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

gr. APV (Batrovci) - Sremska Mitrovica 4158 8464 203.6%

Sremska Mitrovica - Ruma 9213 8464 91.9%

Ruma - Bgd (Novi Sad) 14953 8464 56.6%

Bgd (Novi Sad) - Bubanj Potok 103260 43874 42.5%

Bubanj Potok - Mali Požarevac 31270 23328 74.6%

Mali Požarevac - Batoina 20669 13174 63.7%

Batoina - Parain 14856 11418 76.9%

Parain - Pojate 11290 9886 87.6%

Pojate - Niš (Trupale) 10830 9228 85.2%

Niš (Trupale) - Leskovac (Lebane) 5421 5692 105.0%

Leskovac (Lebane) - gr. BJRM

(Tabanovce) 6009 5420 90.2%

Niš (Trupale) - gr. Bugarske (Gradina) 4126 4130 100.1%

BGD (petlja Mostar) - BGD (Krnjaa) 41179 14056 34.1%

Bgd (Krnjaa) - Panevo 2 (Zrenjanin) 19237 14056 73.1%

Panevo 2 (Zrenjanin) - gr. Rumunije

(Vatin) 5962 3794 63.6%

gr. Crne Gore (Debeli Brijeg) - Petrovac 5046 10672 211.5%

Petrovac - Podgorica 4696 5940 126.5%

Podgorica - Ribarevina 3792 0 0.0%

Ribarevina - gr. Crne Gore (Špiljani) 2815 0 0.0%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 185

Passenger Cars 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT cars 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

gr. Crne Gore (Špiljani) - gr. APKM

(Vitaki) 3913 0 0.0%

gr. APKM (Vitaki) - Mitrovica 1363 0 0.0%

Mitrovica - Pristina 9817 11938 121.6%

Pristina - Llapsllaselle 19893 22638 113.8%

Llapsllaselle - gr. Makedonije 5589 7098 127.0%

Podgorica - Budva 5428 0 0.0%

Petrovac - gr. Crne Gore (Sukobin) 3888 0 0.0%

Loznica - gr. RS (Mali Zvornik) 7183 0 0.0%

gr. RS (Vardište) - Užice 2607 0 0.0%

Užice - Požega 10454 8294 79.3%

Požega - Preljina 11071 8174 73.8%

Preljina - Kraljevo 9326 7294 78.2%

Kraljevo - Kruševac 11697 6134 52.4%

Kruševac - Pojate 7259 5068 69.8%

Parain - gr. Bugarske (Vrška uka) 2824 2016 71.4%

gr. Crne Gore (Šepan Polje) - Podgorica 3439 0 0.0%

Podgorica - gr. Crne Gore (Božaj) 3974 0 0.0%

Novi Sad (Petrovaradin) - Ruma 10986 0 0.0%

Ruma - granica APV (Šabac) 5786 0 0.0%

granica APV (Šabac) - Šabac 5256 0 0.0%

Šabac - Loznica 8765 0 0.0%

Užice - Nova Varoš 5973 3684 61.7%

Nova Varoš - gr. CG (Gostun) 5679 3132 55.2%

gr. Crne Gore (Barski Most) - Ribarevina 5747 0 0.0%

Horgoš (povezni put) - petlja Horgoš 6473 3186 49.2%

petlja Horgoš - Novi Sad 6 (Temerin) 7122 5272 74.0%

Novi Sad 6 - Bdg (Novi Sad) 16780 11760 70.1%

Bgd (Novi Sad) - Bgd (ukarica) 184012 20696 11.2%

Bgd (ukarica) - elije 20431 11272 55.2%

elije - Preljina 8550 10308 120.6%

Kraljevo - Raška 6374 0 0.0%

Raška - gr. APKM (donje Jarinje) 2358 0 0.0%

gr. APKM (Donje Jarinje) - Junction to

Rudare 1366 0 0.0%

Niš (Knjaževac) - gr. APKM (Merdare) 3864 2588 67.0%

Merdare - Pristina 8779 10298 117.3%

Llapsllaselle - Prizren 7898 12360 156.5%

Prizren - gr Albanije 3665 11284 307.9%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 186

Trucks and Buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

gr. APV (Batrovci) - Sremska Mitrovica 757 2194 289.7%

Sremska Mitrovica - Ruma 1500 2194 146.3%

Ruma - Bgd (Novi Sad) 2195 2194 99.9%

Bgd (Novi Sad) - Bubanj Potok 13743 4714 34.3%

Bubanj Potok - Mali Požarevac 6641 5464 82.3%

Mali Požarevac - Batoina 5019 4560 90.9%

Batoina - Parain 4619 3578 77.5%

Parain - Pojate 4616 3638 78.8%

Pojate - Niš (Trupale) 4272 2992 70.0%

Niš (Trupale) - Leskovac (Lebane) 2203 1450 65.8%

Leskovac (Lebane) - gr. BJRM

(Tabanovce) 3032 1148 37.9%

Niš (Trupale) - gr. Bugarske (Gradina) 1307 1178 90.1%

BGD (petlja Mostar) - BGD (Krnjaa) 2192 3350 152.8%

Bgd (Krnjaa) - Panevo 2 (Zrenjanin) 1126 3350 297.5%

Panevo 2 (Zrenjanin) - gr. Rumunije

(Vatin) 922 556 60.3%

gr. Crne Gore (Debeli Brijeg) - Petrovac 726 796 109.6%

Petrovac - Podgorica 735 512 69.7%

Podgorica - Ribarevina 883 0 0.0%

Ribarevina - gr. Crne Gore (Špiljani) 943 0 0.0%

gr. Crne Gore (Špiljani) - gr. APKM

(Vitaki) 435 0 0.0%

gr. APKM (Vitaki) - Mitrovica 728 0 0.0%

Mitrovica - Pristina 941 2274 241.7%

Pristina - Llapsllaselle 8898 858 9.6%

Llapsllaselle - gr. Makedonije 2701 1888 69.9%

Podgorica - Budva 1653 0 0.0%

Petrovac - gr. Crne Gore (Sukobin) 524 0 0.0%

Loznica - gr. RS (Mali Zvornik) 1257 0 0.0%

gr. RS (Vardište) - Užice 680 0 0.0%

Užice - Požega 1777 956 53.8%

Požega - Preljina 1846 1432 77.6%

Preljina - Kraljevo 2622 1378 52.6%

Kraljevo - Kruševac 1718 700 40.7%

Kruševac - Pojate 2209 942 42.6%

Parain - gr. Bugarske (Vrška uka) 1044 568 54.4%

gr. Crne Gore (Šepan Polje) - Podgorica 857 0 0.0%

Podgorica - gr. Crne Gore (Božaj) 263 0 0.0%

Novi Sad (Petrovaradin) - Ruma 1735 0 0.0%

Ruma - granica APV (Šabac) 1380 0 0.0%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 187

Trucks and Buses 2012 forecast

2003 REBIS

ADT trucks

and buses 2012

-SEETO

ADT /forecast R

granica APV (Šabac) - Šabac 1285 0 0.0%

Šabac - Loznica 1828 0 0.0%

Užice - Nova Varoš 1305 560 42.9%

Nova Varoš - gr. CG (Gostun) 1407 554 39.4%

gr. Crne Gore (Barski Most) - Ribarevina 714 0 0.0%

Horgoš (povezni put) - petlja Horgoš 1500 2356 157.1%

petlja Horgoš - Novi Sad 6 (Temerin) 1688 1744 103.3%

Novi Sad 6 - Bdg (Novi Sad) 3679 2846 77.4%

Bgd (Novi Sad) - Bgd (ukarica) 19618 2820 14.4%

Bgd (ukarica) - elije 4212 2002 47.5%

elije - Preljina 2931 1818 62.0%

Kraljevo - Raška 1949 0 0.0%

Raška - gr. APKM (donje Jarinje) 637 0 0.0%

gr. APKM (Donje Jarinje) - Junction to

Rudare 445 0 0.0%

Niš (Knjaževac) - gr. APKM (Merdare) 803 460 57.3%

Merdare - Pristina 5236 1818 34.7%

Llapsllaselle - Prizren 4753 3288 69.2%

Prizren - gr Albanije 2186 3000 137.2%

Rail Passengers 2012 passengers

forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 passengers

SEETO

Passengers

SEETO/passengers

REBIS1

Batajnica - Subotica 3012965 362160 12.0%

Resnik - Presevo 170286 228960 134.5%

Nis - Dimitrovgrad 722070 15120 2.1%

Stalac - Pozega 431673 42120 9.8%

Pancevo (V) - Vrsac 104500 24480 23.4%

Stara pazova - Sid 75299 106920 142.0%

Resnik - Bar 2734670 168120 6.1%

Pancevo - Kikinda 47511 0 0.0%

Rail Freight 2012 tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes

SEETO/Tonnes

REBIS1

Belgrade - Resnik 1051426 4314240 410.3%

Resnik - Vreoci 1051426 857520 81.6%

Vreoci - Valjevo 175237 857520 489.3%

Valjevo - Uzice 233650 857520 367.0%

Uzice - B. Pol;je 175237 857520 489.3%

B. Polje - Podgor. 175237 1039680 593.3%

Annex IX: Assessment of the 2003 REBIS Traffic Projections 188

Rail Freight 2012 tonnes forecast

2003 REBIS

2012 tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes

SEETO/Tonnes

REBIS1

Podgor. - Bar 175237 317520 181.2%

Beograd - Indjija 525713 2967120 564.4%

Indjija - Petrov. 525713 2967120 564.4%

Petrov. - N. Sad 642538 2967120 461.8%

N.Sad - Vrbas 525713 3000960 570.8%

Vrbas - Zednik 525713 3000960 570.8%

Zednik - Subotica 846982 3000960 354.3%

Stara pazova - Indjija 350476 2967120 846.6%

Indjija - Ruma 408888 1485360 363.3%

Ruma - Sid 233650 1485360 635.7%

Beograd - Rakovica 759363 4314240 568.1%

Rakovica - Resnik 759363 4314240 568.1%

Resnik - Lapovo 379682 4314240 1136.3%

Lapovo - Nis 642538 3241440 504.5%

Nis - Presevo 292063 1383840 473.8%

Nis - Dimitrovgrad 554919 1954800 352.3%

Inland Waterways 2012 tonnes

Forecasts

2003 REBIS

2012 Tonnes

SEETO

Tonnes

SEETO/Tonnes

REBIS1

Danube - Hungarian border -

Romanian border 14280357 9507825 66.6%

Sava - Croatian border - Danube 2227620 1180708 53.0%

Tisa - Hungarian border -

Danube 212207 * *

Tamis - Romanian border -

Danube 3127 * *

Begej - Romanian border - Tisa 80467 * *

Veliki Backi kanal - Danube -

Tisa 67531 * *


Recommended