ACS Plans, Expectations and ProductsACS Plans, Expectations and Products

2010 Census

Slides available at http://edthefed.com/

USS USS CTPP

CTPP

Census 2010Census 2010It’s Only a Short Form QuestionnaireIt’s Only a Short Form Questionnaire

7 Questions7 Questions NameName SexSex AgeAge

RelationshipRelationship Hispanic OriginHispanic Origin

RaceRace Owner/RenterOwner/Renter

The Transportation SideThe Transportation Side““Long Form” to ACSLong Form” to ACS

1960 OMB Journey-to-Work Tables1960 OMB Journey-to-Work Tables

1970 and 1980 Urban Transportation Planning1970 and 1980 Urban Transportation Planning Package (UTPP) Package (UTPP)

1990 and 2000 Census Transportation Planning 1990 and 2000 Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP) Package (CTPP)

At ResidenceAt Workplace

Flows between Home and Work

The past Transportation data packages were unique The past Transportation data packages were unique because of the summary levels, geography, universes and because of the summary levels, geography, universes and data tables. The packages have always been designed by data tables. The packages have always been designed by

transportation planners for transportation plannerstransportation planners for transportation planners

Data Summary LevelsData Summary Levels

Why our earlier packages Why our earlier packages were so specialwere so special

T A Z

or Block Groups

Part 1 1 2 1 T a b l e s(at Residence)

Part 2(at Workplace)

Part 3(Worker Flows)

1 4 T a b l e s

6 8 T a b l e s

GeographyGeography

UniversesUniverses

SF3 CTPP 2000

Travel time to Work (4) by Means of Transportation (2)

Travel time to Work (15) by Means of Transportation (10)

Tenure (2) by Vehicles Available (6)

Vehicles Avail (5) by Hhld Income (25)

Vehicles Avail (5) by Nos. of workers in hhld (5)

AND MORE

Tables & CrosstabsTables & Crosstabs

Where do you get CTPP 2000 Where do you get CTPP 2000 Data? Data? ASCII FilesASCII Files

http://www.transtats.bts.gov/http://www.transtats.bts.gov/

https://www.bts.gov/pdc/https://www.bts.gov/pdc/

Where do you get CTPP 2000 Where do you get CTPP 2000 Data? Data? w/Extraction Softwarew/Extraction Software

Self Instructional

CD

Provides all the basics to understand, use and work Provides all the basics to understand, use and work with the CTPP 2000 data for transportation planningwith the CTPP 2000 data for transportation planning

Is there some training?Is there some training?

Email Email ed.christopher@fhwa.dot.goved.christopher@fhwa.dot.gov for a FREE copy of the GUIDEBOOKfor a FREE copy of the GUIDEBOOK

Journey to Work

DataWhat did all this cost?What did all this cost?

Buyers/Users Direct Cost Tables

1960 OMB ??? ???

1970 112 $0.6 M 43

1980 152 $2.0 M 82

1990 $2.5 M 120

2000 $3.0 M 203

2005 + AASHTO Consolidated Purchase $5.9 Million

All States and MPOs

THAT WAS THAT WAS THENTHEN

This is NOWThis is NOW

CCensus ensus TTransportation ransportation

PPlanning lanning PProductsroducts

The CTPP embodies a collection of Census Data used for The CTPP embodies a collection of Census Data used for Transportation Planning. With changing data needs and the Transportation Planning. With changing data needs and the ACS, there will be a variety of different products useful for ACS, there will be a variety of different products useful for transportation planning emanating from Census Data. There transportation planning emanating from Census Data. There will be Special Tabulations, Standard Tables and even Value will be Special Tabulations, Standard Tables and even Value Added-products. The CTPP captures all of these. Added-products. The CTPP captures all of these.

Think of CTPP as a place to look for Census Data Think of CTPP as a place to look for Census Data products to help with your Transportation needsproducts to help with your Transportation needs

Enter the ACS era…Enter the ACS era…

All States + DCAll States + DC

AASHTO LedAASHTO Led

Oversight BoardOversight Board

Five Year period Five Year period ~ 2011~ 2011

Consolidated CTPP PurchaseConsolidated CTPP Purchase

Federal Technical Advisory GroupFederal Technical Advisory GroupTRB Subcommittee -- List Serve (700 strong)TRB Subcommittee -- List Serve (700 strong)Quarterly Newsletter -- OutreachQuarterly Newsletter -- OutreachSeveral WebsitesSeveral Websites

AASHTO Oversight Board AASHTO Oversight Board

StatesStatesMel Adams, VT (Region I)

Nathan Erlbaum, NY (Region I)Hui Wei Shen, FL (Region II)Mike Thomas, GA (Region II)

Phillip Mescher, IA (Region III)Ahmad Jaber, UT (Region IV)

Ayalew Adamu, CA (Region IV

MPOsMPOsKuo-Ann Chiao, NYMTCJerry Duke, RTC Vegas

Steven Gayle, BMTSMell Henderson MARC

Arash Mirzaei, NCTCOGGuy Rousseau, ARC

Ex Officio MembersEx Officio MembersEd Christopher, FHWA

Alison Fields, Census BureauDeLania Hardy, AMPO

Elaine Murakami, FHWARobert Padgette, APTA

Alan Pisarski, ConsultantSteven Polzin, USF. CUTR

Nanda Srinivasan, TRB

Chair:Chair: Kent Cooper, NV (Region IV)Vice Chair:Vice Chair: Jonette Kreideweis, MN (Region III)

AASHTO Liaison:AASHTO Liaison: Janet Oakley

17 voting members: 9 states and 8 MPOs17 voting members: 9 states and 8 MPOs

Consensus Decision MakingConsensus Decision Making

AASHTO Oversight BoardAASHTO Oversight Board

First meeting August 5-6, 2008 First meeting August 5-6, 2008

Approved Work ProgramApproved Work Program

Program Management--Hire PersonProgram Management--Hire Person

Census Data TabulationsCensus Data Tabulations3- and 5-year data products3- and 5-year data productsTAZ creationTAZ creation

Training and Technical AssistanceTraining and Technical Assistance

ResearchResearch

Approved FHWA-CB IAA for $1.19 millionApproved FHWA-CB IAA for $1.19 million

Census Data TabulationsCensus Data Tabulations3- and 5-year data products3- and 5-year data productsTAZ creationTAZ creation

X

3-year Product Hits Snag3-year Product Hits Snag Disclosure Review BoardDisclosure Review Board

All Tables rounded like 2000All Tables rounded like 2000

No thresholds on Univariate Mode tablesNo thresholds on Univariate Mode tables

Cell thresholds on all Mode by “X” tablesCell thresholds on all Mode by “X” tablesTables with failing cells will be suppressedTables with failing cells will be suppressedIncludes all Resident and Workplace tablesIncludes all Resident and Workplace tables

Worker flows by Total Workers and Flows by Worker flows by Total Workers and Flows by Mode [7] no thresholds Mode [7] no thresholds

1.1. Find unique traveler Find unique traveler and build pseudo and build pseudo microdata record with microdata record with all the crosstabsall the crosstabs

18 variables 18 variables

The CORE IssueThe CORE Issue

CTPP TablesCTPP Tables link to link to PUMS Records PUMS Records

=>2. 2. Add additional Add additional variables to pseudo variables to pseudo microdata recordmicrodata record

150 variables150 variables

3.3. Take new 20,000 Pop area Take new 20,000 Pop area Frankenstein recordFrankenstein record

4.4. Match it to files on Internet Match it to files on Internet

5.5. Produce a person’s name Produce a person’s name100 Main Street100 Main StreetFairfax VAFairfax VA

So what does all this mean?So what does all this mean?

Feb 5: Submitted 3-year CTTP Data requestFeb 5: Submitted 3-year CTTP Data requestFeb. 14: Staff email suggests new DBR rulesFeb. 14: Staff email suggests new DBR rulesMar. 12: New DRB rules receivedMar. 12: New DRB rules receivedMarch-April: Discussed with communityMarch-April: Discussed with communityMay 2: Sent response to DRBMay 2: Sent response to DRBMay 12: Met with full DRBMay 12: Met with full DRBJune 2: AASHTO files appeal June 2: AASHTO files appeal August 5: FHWA sends support letterAugust 5: FHWA sends support letterAugust 28: AASHTO - DSEP meetAugust 28: AASHTO - DSEP meet

Sept: anticipating responseSept: anticipating response

http://trbcensus.com/drbhttp://trbcensus.com/drb

Needless to say a lot of Needless to say a lot of rethinking is going onrethinking is going on

Data TabulationsData Tabulations3- and 5-year data products3- and 5-year data productsTAZ creationTAZ creation

What we were planning a year agoWhat we were planning a year ago

Will there be Will there be TAZS?TAZS?

5-year data 5-year data productproduct

Hinges on DRB posture andHinges on DRB posture and appeal to Data Stewardshipappeal to Data Stewardship Executive Policy CommitteeExecutive Policy Committee

Likely to be all syntheticLikely to be all synthetic

Needs some key research to be done. Needs some key research to be done. $550K Problem Statement in to NCHRP $550K Problem Statement in to NCHRP for considerationfor consideration

What else can be said?What else can be said?

X

Geography

The 3-year Product dream The 3-year Product dream

MSA – EACH Principal City

Metropolitan Statistical Area

State-POW PUMA

State-PUMA

State-Place

State-County-MCD

State-County

Nation (US Total)

Product Structure

3-PartsPart 1- Place of Residence

Part 2- Place of Work

Part 3- Flows between Home and Work

(Extraction Software)

State

Stay TunedStay Tuned

Research EffortsResearch Efforts

Report 588 Using ACS forReport 588 Using ACS forTransportation Planning (9/06)Transportation Planning (9/06)

08-36(63) Making NAICS Work08-36(63) Making NAICS Workfor Transportation (March 2007)for Transportation (March 2007)

08-36(71) Disclosure Avoidance Techniques 08-36(71) Disclosure Avoidance Techniques to Improve ACS Data Availability (10/08)to Improve ACS Data Availability (10/08)

8-36(81) Enhancing the ACS as a Source for 8-36(81) Enhancing the ACS as a Source for Home-to-Work Flows (5/09)Home-to-Work Flows (5/09)

www.trb.org/CRP/NCHRP/NCHRPProjects.asp?AreaID=8www.trb.org/CRP/NCHRP/NCHRPProjects.asp?AreaID=8

Workplace Allocation--Workplace Allocation-- Research and Implementation ($250K)Research and Implementation ($250K)

Synthetic Data Research (Various)Synthetic Data Research (Various)

Imputation of Vehicle Ownership and Imputation of Vehicle Ownership and Means of TransportationMeans of Transportation

Research EffortsResearch Efforts

http://ctpp.transportation.orghttp://ctpp.transportation.org

ACS Data ACS Data ProfilesProfiles

Trend Data 2000 andTrend Data 2000 and 3-year ACS3-year ACS

Includes MOEs and significance testsIncludes MOEs and significance tests

Keys on Transportation VariablesKeys on Transportation Variables

New ProfilesNew Profiles Under DevelopmentUnder Development

January 2009January 2009

www.TRBcensus.comwww.TRBcensus.com

Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning TeamFederal Highway Administration

19900 Governors DriveOlympia Fields, IL 60461

708-283-3534edc@EdTheFed.com

http://www.dot.gov/ctpphttp://www.dot.gov/ctpp

http://www.TRBcensus.comhttp://www.TRBcensus.com

202-366-5000202-366-5000

When Mining Your DataWhen Mining Your DataKeep us in MindKeep us in Mind

Let Us Know What You Have DoneLet Us Know What You Have DoneWe Are Always Interested We Are Always Interested

Want to…Want to…Show Off Your Work?Show Off Your Work?Gain National Gain National Exposure?Exposure?Meet Other Data Users?Meet Other Data Users?Tour Washington DC?Tour Washington DC?

Sound Exciting?Sound Exciting?

TRB Urban Data and Information Systems CommitteeTRB Urban Data and Information Systems Committee

Ed Christopher (708-283-3534)Ed Christopher (708-283-3534)