+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Activities of the Tritium/C14 Working Group...A test of models that predict trit ium concentrations...

Activities of the Tritium/C14 Working Group...A test of models that predict trit ium concentrations...

Date post: 07-Feb-2021
Category:
Upload: others
View: 0 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
12
Activities of the Tritium/C14 Working Group Phil Davis, AECL, Working Group Leader Mikhail Balonov, IAEA Scientific Secretary Ian Barraclough, Enviros, Technical Secretary
Transcript
  • Act

    iviti

    es o

    f the

    Trit

    ium

    /C14

    W

    orki

    ng G

    roup

    Phil D

    avis,

    AEC

    L, W

    orkin

    g Gr

    oup

    Lead

    erMi

    khail

    Balo

    nov,

    IAEA

    Scie

    ntifi

    c Sec

    reta

    ryIan

    Bar

    raclo

    ugh,

    Env

    iros,

    Tech

    nica

    l Sec

    reta

    ry

  • Pg 2

    Obj

    ectiv

    es o

    f the

    WG

    •To

    esta

    blish

    the c

    onfid

    ence

    in th

    e pre

    dict

    ions

    of

    envir

    onm

    enta

    l trit

    ium

    and

    C-14

    mod

    els, p

    artic

    ular

    ly m

    odels

    for t

    he fo

    rmat

    ion

    and

    trans

    loca

    tion

    of o

    rgan

    ically

    bo

    und

    tritiu

    m (O

    BT)

    •To

    reco

    mm

    end

    mod

    ellin

    g ap

    proa

    ches

    that

    will

    resu

    lt in

    im

    prov

    ed p

    redi

    ctio

    ns•

    To en

    cour

    age e

    xper

    imen

    tal w

    ork t

    hat w

    ill lea

    d to

    dat

    a set

    s th

    at ca

    n be

    use

    d in

    mod

    el te

    stin

    g

  • Pg 3

    Test

    Sce

    nario

    s

    Com

    plet

    e−

    Perc

    h La

    ke sc

    enar

    io−

    Soyb

    ean

    scen

    ario

    −Pi

    cker

    ing

    scen

    ario

    Ongo

    ing

    −Hy

    poth

    etica

    l sce

    nario

    s−

    Pine

    tree

    scen

    ario

    −Ri

    ce sc

    enar

    io (C

    -14)

    −Mu

    ssel

    scen

    ario

    −Na

    ture

    and

    defin

    ition

    of O

    BTIn

    Pre

    para

    tion

    −An

    imal

    scen

    ario

    s

  • Pg 4

    Perc

    h La

    ke S

    cena

    rioA

    test

    of m

    odels

    that

    pre

    dict

    triti

    um co

    ncen

    tratio

    ns in

    aqua

    ticec

    osys

    tem

    s at s

    tead

    y sta

    te

    Pred

    icted

    HTO

    conc

    entra

    tions

    ge

    nera

    lly la

    y with

    in 30

    % o

    f the

    ob

    serv

    atio

    ns

    Pred

    icted

    OBT

    conc

    entra

    tions

    gene

    rally

    lay w

    ith a

    fact

    or o

    f 2of

    the o

    bser

    vatio

    ns

    The f

    inal

    repo

    rt is

    com

    plet

    e and

    will

    be p

    ublis

    hed

    shor

    tly

  • Pg 5

    Soyb

    ean

    Scen

    ario

    A te

    st o

    f mod

    els th

    at p

    redi

    ct th

    e tim

    e-de

    pend

    ent b

    ehav

    iour

    of t

    ritiu

    min

    plan

    ts ac

    utely

    expo

    sed

    to el

    evat

    ed le

    vels

    of H

    TO in

    air

    The m

    odels

    gen

    erat

    e a

    signi

    fican

    tly sm

    aller

    amou

    ntof

    OBT

    per

    uni

    t tim

    e-in

    tegr

    ated

    HTO

    conc

    entra

    tion

    than

    the

    plan

    ts p

    rodu

    ce in

    reali

    ty

    A dr

    aft f

    inal

    repo

    rt ha

    s bee

    n pr

    oduc

    ed an

    d wi

    ll be f

    inali

    zed

    this

    week

  • Pg 6

    Pick

    erin

    g Sc

    enar

    ioA

    test

    of m

    odels

    that

    pre

    dict

    triti

    um co

    ncen

    tratio

    ns in

    agric

    ultu

    ral

    ecos

    yste

    ms a

    t ste

    ady s

    tate

    The m

    odels

    per

    form

    ed w

    ell fo

    rHT

    O co

    ncen

    tratio

    ns in

    soil,

    milk

    and

    beef

    , and

    for O

    BT in

    milk

    The m

    odels

    ove

    rpre

    dict

    ed O

    BT

    conc

    entra

    tions

    in p

    lants

    and

    HTO

    and

    OBTc

    once

    ntra

    tions

    in eg

    gs

    and

    chick

    en fl

    esh

    A dr

    aft f

    inal

    repo

    rt ha

    s bee

    n pr

    oduc

    ed an

    d wi

    ll be f

    inali

    zed

    this

    week

  • Pg 7

    Hyp

    othe

    tical

    Sce

    nario

    sTo

    asse

    ss th

    e con

    sequ

    ence

    s of a

    n ac

    ute a

    tmos

    pher

    ic re

    lease

    of

    tritiu

    m w

    ith th

    e aim

    of p

    rovid

    ing

    guid

    ance

    to d

    ecisi

    on-m

    aker

    s in

    man

    agin

    g th

    e acc

    iden

    t

    Larg

    e diff

    eren

    ces i

    n pr

    edict

    ed ai

    rco

    ncen

    tratio

    ns w

    ere r

    educ

    ed b

    y de

    finin

    g th

    e sce

    nario

    mor

    epr

    ecise

    ly

    The m

    odels

    pre

    dict

    very

    diff

    eren

    tco

    ntrib

    utio

    ns to

    tota

    l dos

    e by t

    hedi

    ffere

    nt ex

    posu

    re p

    athw

    ays

    The l

    ates

    t res

    ults

    will

    be d

    iscus

    sed

    this

    week

    to tr

    y to

    expl

    ainth

    ese

    diffe

    renc

    es

    Food

    - Ca

    se 1

    dos

    es v

    ersu

    s pa

    thwa

    ys -

    norm

    alize

    d

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    Kore

    aG

    erm

    any

    Japa

    n - Y

    Japa

    n - K

    Cana

    daRo

    man

    iaIn

    diaFr

    ance

    mSv

    Milk

    Mea

    tCe

    real

    sG

    arde

    n ve

    gIn

    halat

    ion

  • Pg 8

    Pine

    Tre

    e Sc

    enar

    ioA

    test

    of m

    odels

    that

    pre

    dict

    triti

    um co

    ncen

    tratio

    ns in

    nee

    dles

    and

    tree r

    ings

    for t

    rees

    gro

    wing

    nea

    r a co

    ntin

    uous

    atm

    osph

    eric

    sour

    ceof

    HTO

    The i

    nitia

    l pre

    dict

    ions

    of H

    TO

    conc

    entra

    tions

    in p

    ine n

    eedl

    essc

    atte

    red

    arou

    nd th

    e obs

    erva

    tions

    The s

    cena

    rio w

    as re

    vised

    toin

    clude

    a m

    ore d

    etail

    ed g

    roun

    d-wa

    ter c

    ompo

    nent

    The l

    ates

    t res

    ults

    will

    be d

    iscus

    sed

    this

    week

    and

    reas

    ons f

    ordi

    ffere

    nces

    in p

    redi

    ctio

    ns w

    ill be

    soug

    ht

  • Pg 9

    Ric

    e Sc

    enar

    io (C

    -14)

    A te

    st o

    f mod

    els th

    at p

    redi

    ct st

    eady

    -sta

    te C

    -14 c

    once

    ntra

    tions

    inpl

    ants

    gro

    wing

    nea

    r a co

    ntin

    uous

    atm

    osph

    eric

    sour

    ce o

    f C-1

    4

    The s

    cena

    rio d

    escr

    iptio

    n wa

    s di

    strib

    uted

    dur

    ing

    the s

    umm

    eran

    d th

    e firs

    t rou

    nd o

    f calc

    ulat

    ions

    has b

    een

    subm

    itted

    The r

    esul

    ts w

    ill be

    disc

    usse

    d at

    this

    mee

    ting

  • Pg 1

    0

    Mus

    sel S

    cena

    rioA

    test

    of m

    odels

    that

    pre

    dict

    the t

    ime-

    depe

    nden

    t beh

    avio

    ur o

    ftri

    tium

    in aq

    uatic

    org

    anism

    s exp

    osed

    to an

    abru

    pt ch

    ange

    intri

    tium

    conc

    entra

    tions

    in th

    eir en

    viron

    men

    t

    The s

    cena

    rio d

    escr

    iptio

    n wa

    s di

    strib

    uted

    dur

    ing

    the s

    umm

    eran

    d th

    e firs

    t rou

    nd o

    f calc

    ulat

    ions

    has b

    een

    subm

    itted

    The r

    esul

    ts w

    ill be

    disc

    usse

    d at

    this

    mee

    ting

  • Pg 1

    1

    Scen

    ario

    s In

    volv

    ing

    Larg

    e A

    nim

    als

    Scen

    ario

    s are

    still

    in th

    e plan

    ning

    stag

    e. A

    num

    ber o

    f dat

    a set

    s ar

    e bein

    g co

    nsid

    ered

    invo

    lving

    shor

    t-ter

    m o

    r pro

    long

    ed ex

    posu

    reof

    cows

    or p

    igs t

    hrou

    gh th

    eir d

    iet.

    The s

    cena

    rios w

    ill te

    st d

    ynam

    icm

    odels

    of H

    TO an

    d OB

    T be

    havio

    urin

    larg

    e ani

    mals

    A te

    st sc

    enar

    io in

    volvi

    ng la

    rge

    anim

    als w

    ill be

    adop

    ted

    at th

    ism

    eetin

    g

  • Pg 1

    2

    Nat

    ure

    and

    Def

    initi

    on o

    f OB

    T•

    The O

    BT o

    f int

    eres

    t fro

    m a

    dose

    poi

    nt o

    f view

    is ca

    rbon

    -bou

    nd

    tritiu

    m•

    In p

    ract

    ice, O

    BT co

    ncen

    tratio

    ns ar

    e det

    erm

    ined

    expe

    rimen

    tally

    as

    the a

    ctivi

    ty o

    f non

    -exc

    hang

    eabl

    e trit

    ium

    in th

    e com

    bust

    ion

    wate

    r of t

    he d

    ried

    sam

    ple i

    n qu

    estio

    n•

    Som

    e of t

    he n

    on-e

    xcha

    ngea

    ble t

    ritiu

    m in

    the c

    ombu

    stio

    n wa

    ter

    may

    not

    be c

    arbo

    n bo

    und,

    but

    asso

    ciate

    d wi

    th la

    rge m

    olec

    ules

    th

    at re

    main

    afte

    r the

    exch

    ange

    able

    tritiu

    m is

    rem

    oved

    (bur

    ied

    tritiu

    m)

    •Bu

    ried

    tritiu

    m is

    imm

    ediat

    ely re

    lease

    d as

    HTO

    dur

    ing

    dige

    stio

    n an

    d do

    es n

    ot h

    ave t

    he d

    ose c

    onse

    quen

    ces o

    f OBT

    •Ex

    perim

    ents

    inve

    stig

    atin

    g th

    e exis

    tenc

    e of b

    uried

    triti

    um ar

    e go

    ing

    on in

    two

    mem

    ber l

    abs


Recommended