Date post: | 25-Dec-2015 |
Category: |
Documents |
Upload: | norman-stewart |
View: | 215 times |
Download: | 0 times |
Topics of Discussion2
1. Background Information
2. Development of A.A – Djibouti New Standard Gauge Railway Line
3. Techno-Economic Feasibility Study
4. Conclusion
1. Background3
A) Socio-Economic Conditions
Ethiopia Area: about 1 million square kilometer Population: 74 million (2007 Census); 80 million in 2011
Addis Ababa (capital city)
Population: 2.74 Million (2007)cover 32.27% all cities populationannual growth rate 2.1%
Growing City : size of 540 sq. km About 110 Embassies/Consulates Head Quarters of AU and UNECA
Djibouti
Border countries: Eritrea 109 km, Ethiopia 349 km,
Somalia 58 km
Area: 23,200 square kilometer
Population: 774,389 with a growth rate of 2.285% (2012 Census)
Capital: Djibouti
Two-third of the population of the country live in the
capital city
4
Background continued
The Economy of the two countries (Ethiopia and Djibouti) is highly integrated and is at the stage of convergence
Various Preferential & Bilateral Agreements
Closely work at different levels
The Heads of State and Government
Joint Ministerial Commission Joint Border Administration Technical Committees
Members of IGAD, COMESA
5
Background continued
Background continued
6
B) Transport and other infrastructureNo Paramet
erUnit of
MeasurePrior to 1991
Cumulative 2010
2011 – 2015
1 Road km 26,050(FRA + RRA)
48,800(FRA + RRA)
64,500 (FRA + RRA)
71,523 (URARP)
2 Railway km About 800 (old meter
gauge)
Preparation for
standard gauge
2,395 (new standard gauge)
3 Power MW <800 2,000 10,000 including Millennium
Dam)
4 Import mill T/yr
< 1 reached 8.7
estimated 10in 2015
5 Export mill T/yr
<< 1 reached
0.98
Estimated 3 in 2015
Note: FRA = Federal Roads Authority; RRA = Regional Roads Authority, URAR P= Universal Rural Access Road Project; FRA and RRA are Asphalt and Gravel while URAR P is all weather rural road
Background continued
7
C) History of Railway in Ethiopia and Djibouti
Railway service began before 100 yrs (1915)
The Legacy Railway is 1,000 mm gauge with diesel traction
It is owned and administered by the governments of Djibouti and Ethiopia (Bi-lateral ownership and operation)
It stretches from Addis Ababa – Djibouti (about 780 km: 680 in Ethiopia and 100 in Djibouti
Background continued
8
One Meter gauges were very popular in East African Countries (Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania )
In all of these countries, all suffer from old-age, lack of spares, technology obsolescence
High operating cost, worn out track, too old Locomotives, low capacity (12 -16 Ton/Axle)
Intermittent service only in few one segment (Dire Dawa to Port of Djibouti – 459 km)
A legacy system and historical tie of sisterly countries
Background continued
10
G) Railway Development Approach
Two Phases of development• 1st Phase/GTP (2010/11- 2014/15) about 2,395 km• 2nd Phase (2015/16 – 2020/21) about 2,665 km
Deploy multiple Lots in parallel
National Railway Network Characteristics Standard Gauge (1,435 mm) Electric Traction High Capacity (22 - 25 Ton/axle) Moderate Speed (120- 160 km/hr for passenger and 120 km/hr for
freight) Concrete Sleeper (160cm x20.5cmx22cm)
12
b) Consultation: Bilateral (with Republic of Djibouti)
Signed MoU on June 10, 2010 “The Development and Operation of Standard Gauge Railway Line between Ethiopia and Djibouti”
Follow-up meetings and work visits by Ministers
Establishment of technical working group
Technical experts experience sharing Submission of draft Bilateral agreement on
“The Development and Operation of a Standard Gauge Railway Network” by FDRE to the RoD
Development of A.A – Djibouti continued
13
c) Consultation with EPC/Turnkey Contractors Construction contract for Addis Ababa –
Mieso Signed on October 25, 2011 Construction contract for Mieso – Dawanle
(border of Ethiopia with Djibouti) signed December 16, 2011.
Construction Contract Project from Ethiopian border to the Port of Djibouti has signed
Development of A.A – Djibouti continued
14
Techno-Economic Feasibility Continued
CargoType
09/10Base yr
10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 19/20
Export 791 894 978 1262 1597 1824 2084 2221 2370 2535 2631
Import
Dry 5256 5529 5261 5704 6189 6721 7304 7944 8646 9416 9597
Fuel 2880 3148 3452 3790 4114 4471 4862 5293 5767 6344 6401
Total 8927 9571 9691 10756 11900 13016 14250 15458 16783 18295 18629
3.3 Transport Demand Forecast - Volume
15
3.3 Transport Demand Forecast - Volume
CargoType
09/10Base yr
20/21 21/22 22/23 23/24 24/25 25/26 26/27 27/28
Export 791 2920 3241 3598 3994 4433 4920 5462 6063
Import
Dry 5256 10653 11825 13125 14569 16172 17950 19925 22117
Fuel 2880 7106 7887 8754.7 9718 10787 11973 13290 14752
Total 8927 20678 22953 25478 28280 31391 34844 38677 42932
Techno-Economic Feasibility Continued
3.4 Project Financing and Cost Estimate Financing
o 15% Equity and 85% loan Cost Estimate
16
Techno-Economic Feasibility Continued
Investment Costs (million USD Equivalent)
Cost Category EquityFinancing
Debt FinancingTotal (USD)
Railway Works * 535.1 3,032.29 3,567.4 Telecom Supply ** 4.4 0.0 4.4Power Supply ** 62.2 0.0 62.2Right-of-way 29.5 0.0 29.5
ESIA 7.6 0.0 7.6
Rolling stock 0.0 366.2 366.2
Total 638.9 3,398.5 4,037.4
5. Conclusion
The project has great socio economic significance or the Peoples and Governments of Ethiopia and Djibouti
The Corridor has sub-regional, regional and continental importance
The Project is Socially Acceptable; Technically Feasible; Economically Viable Environment Friendly
17