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AE = C + I + G + NX C = C onsumption expenditures

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A ggregate E xpenditure. AE = C + I + G + NX C = C onsumption expenditures Durable goods: T.V.’s, and cars. Does not include houses Non-durable goods: clothing, food, and fuel Services: health care, education I = I nvestment expenditures - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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AE = C + I + G + NX C = Consumption expenditures Durable goods: T.V.’s, and cars. Does not include houses Non-durable goods: clothing, food, and fuel Services: health care, education I = Investment expenditures Business fixed investment on structures (factories, warehouses) and equipment (vehicles, furniture, computers) Residential investment on the construction of new homes G = Government expenditures on goods and services New aircraft carriers, Air Force I, Presidential limo, FBI vehicles, etc. Does the government buy US products only? NX = net exports = eXports – iMports X is the amount spent by foreigners on goods built in Aggregate Expenditure
Transcript

Chapter 30

AE = C + I + G + NX

C = Consumption expendituresDurable goods: T.V.s, and cars. Does not include housesNon-durable goods: clothing, food, and fuelServices: health care, education

I = Investment expendituresBusiness fixed investment on structures (factories, warehouses) and equipment (vehicles, furniture, computers)Residential investment on the construction of new homes

G = Government expenditures on goods and servicesNew aircraft carriers, Air Force I, Presidential limo, FBI vehicles, etc.Does the government buy US products only?

NX = net exports = eXports iMportsX is the amount spent by foreigners on goods built in the USAM is the amount spent by Americans on goods from outside of the USAAggregate Expenditure1Consumption expenditureThe Consumption function is the relationship between consumption and disposable income

Disposable income (DI) is aggregate income (GDP) minus net taxes (T).

DI = Y T

where T = taxes paid to the government minus transfer payments received from the government.

The diagram to the right shows how C and DI evolve over time.

Download the data, use Excel to derive the C functionhttp://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=o4I Simulated consumption

2Consumption expenditureSimulated consumption

A = W + Ye PL r

C = A + mpc DI

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

Example: Suppose consumer wealth is $8 trillion, expected future income is $12 trillion, the price level is $14.5 thousand, the real rate of interest is 3.5 percent, net tax revenue is $3 trillion, government expenditure is $3 trillion, and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75. Derive the consumption function.

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI3Consumption expenditureSimulated consumption

A = W + Ye PL r

C = A + mpc DI

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

Example: Suppose consumer wealth is $8 trillion, expected future income is $12 trillion, the price level is $14.5 thousand, the real rate of interest is 3.5 percent, net tax revenue is $3 trillion, government expenditure is $3 trillion, and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75. Derive the consumption function.

C = [ 8 + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI4Consumption expenditureSimulated consumption

A = W + Ye PL r

C = A + mpc DI

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

Example: Suppose consumer wealth is $8 trillion, expected future income is $12 trillion, the price level is $14.5 thousand, the real rate of interest is 3.5 percent, net tax revenue is $3 trillion, government expenditure is $3 trillion, and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75. Derive the consumption function.

C = [ 8 + 12 PL r ] + mpc DI5Consumption expenditureSimulated consumption

A = W + Ye PL r

C = A + mpc DI

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

Example: Suppose consumer wealth is $8 trillion, expected future income is $12 trillion, the price level is $14.5 thousand, the real rate of interest is 3.5 percent, net tax revenue is $3 trillion, government expenditure is $3 trillion, and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75. Derive the consumption function.

C = [ 8 + 12 14.5 r ] + mpc DI6Consumption expenditureSimulated consumption

A = W + Ye PL r

C = A + mpc DI

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

Example: Suppose consumer wealth is $8 trillion, expected future income is $12 trillion, the price level is $14.5 thousand, the real rate of interest is 3.5 percent, net tax revenue is $3 trillion, government expenditure is $3 trillion, and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75. Derive the consumption function.

C = [ 8 + 12 14.5 3.5 ] + mpc DI7Consumption expenditureSimulated consumption

A = W + Ye PL r

C = A + mpc DI

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

Example: Suppose consumer wealth is $8 trillion, expected future income is $12 trillion, the price level is $14.5 thousand, the real rate of interest is 3.5 percent, net tax revenue is $3 trillion, government expenditure is $3 trillion, and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75. Derive the consumption function.

C = [ 8 + 12 14.5 3.5 ] + 0.75 DI8Consumption expenditureSimulated consumption

A = W + Ye PL r

C = A + mpc DI

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

Example: Suppose consumer wealth is $8 trillion, expected future income is $12 trillion, the price level is $14.5 thousand, the real rate of interest is 3.5 percent, net tax revenue is $3 trillion, government expenditure is $3 trillion, and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.75. Derive the consumption function.

C = 2 + 0.75 DI9Consumption expenditureExample (continued):

C = 2 + 0.75 DI

When DI = 0

C = 2 + 0.75(0)

C = 2

When DI = 8

C = 2 + 0.75(8)

C = 2 + 6

C = 8

02DIC88Simulated consumption10Consumption expenditure02DIC88Example (continued):

C = 2 + 0.75 DI

When consumption lies on the 45 line, all disposable income is consumed and saving is zero.

Saving = DI C = 8 8 = 0

45 oSimulated consumption11Consumption expenditureExample (continued):

C = 2 + 0.75 DI

When consumption lies below the 45 line, saving occurs.

When DI = 9.5

C = 2 + 0.75(9.5) = 2 + 7.125 = 9.125

S = DI C = 9.5 9.125 = 0.3750

9.502DIC45 o9.125Simulated consumption12Consumption expenditureExample (continued):

C = 2 + 0.75 DI

When consumption lies above the 45 line, dissaving occurs.

When DI = 6

C = 2 + 0.75(6) = 2 + 4.5 = 6.5

S = DI C = 6 6.5 = 0.5

602DIC45 o6.5Simulated consumption13Consumption expenditureExample (continued): With real GDP held constant at 15 trillion dollars, show what happens to the consumption model whenconsumer wealth rises to 8.5 trillion dollarsexpected future income decreases to 11.5 trillion dollars price level increases to 14.5 thousand dollarsmpc increases to 0.8 real rate of interest increases by 0.5 pct. pointstax revenue is cut by 0.5 trillion dollarsgovernment expenditure is raised by 0.5 trillion dollarsWhat is monetary policy, and who conducts it?What is fiscal policy, and who conducts it?Compute the budget balance. Is there a budget deficit or surplus?

Simulated consumption

14wealth is $8 trillionexpected future income is $12 trillionthe price level is $14.5 thousandthe real rate of interest is 3.5 percentnet tax revenue is $3 trilliongovernment expenditure is $3 trillionConsumption expenditureBecause AE, AD, SRAS, and LRAS are graphed with Y on the horizontal axis, C should be too:C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc DI

DI = Y T

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc (DI)

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc (Y T )

C = [ W + Ye PL r ] + mpc Y mpc T

C = [ W + Ye PL r mpc T ] + mpc Y

Simulated consumer expenditure 15Consumption expenditureSimulated consumer expenditure

Example (continued): With real GDP held constant at 15 trillion dollars, show what happens to the consumption model whenconsumer wealth rises to 8.5 trillion dollarsexpected future income decreases to 11.5 trillion dollars price level increases to 14.5 thousand dollarsmpc increases to 0.8 real rate of interest increases by 0.5 pct. pointstax revenue is cut by 0.5 trillion dollarsgovernment expenditure is raised by 0.5 trillion dollarsWhat is monetary policy, and who conducts it?What is fiscal policy, and who conducts it?Compute the budget balance. Is there a budget deficit or surplus?

16wealth is $8 trillionexpected future income is $12 trillionthe price level is $14.5 thousandthe real rate of interest is 3.5 percentnet tax revenue is $3 trilliongovernment expenditure is $3 trillionImport function Money is spent on domestic products (C ) & imported products (M ). M is the amount spent by Americans on goods from outside of the USA. In the short run, the factor influencing imports is U.S. real GDP

If Y = 0, products cannot be imported (M = 0)As Y rises, expenditures on imports increase. Download the following data to generate an empirical iMport function

http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/graph/?g=o4M

Marginal Propensity to iMport is the fraction of a rise in Y spent on imports.

M = mpm Y

Simulated net foreigner expenditure eXports are exogenousNX = X MNX = X mpmY

Example: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.

NX = 0.5 0.25Y Net foreigner expenditure17Aggregate ExpenditureAE = [C ]+ I + G + NX }Simulated AE18AE = [C ]+ I + G + {NX}

NX = X mpm Y

C = W + Ye PL r mpc T + mpc Y

AE = [W + Ye PL r mpc T + mpc Y ] + I + G + {X mpm Y }

AE = [W + Ye PL r mpc T + I + G + X ] + mpc Y mpm Y

AE = [W + Ye PL r mpc T + I + G + X ] + { mpc mpm } Y Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AE19AE = [C ]+ I + G + {NX}

M = mpm Y

C = W + Ye PL r mpc T + mpc Y

AE = [W + Ye PL r mpc T + mpc Y ]+ I + G + X {mpm Y }

AE = [W + Ye PL r mpc T + I + G + X ] + mpc Y mpm Y

AE = [W + Ye PL r mpc T + I + G + X ] + { mpc mpm } Y Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AE20Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [W + Ye PL r mpc T + I + G + X ] + { mpc mpm } Y21Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + Ye PL r mpc T + I + G + X ] + { mpc mpm } Y22Aggregate ExpenditureAE = [8 + 12 PL r mpc T + I + G + X ] + { mpc mpm } YSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.23Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 r mpc T + I + G + X ] + { mpc mpm } Y24Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 mpc T + I + G + X ] + { mpc mpm } Y25Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 0.75 T + I + G + X ] + { 0.75 mpm } Y26Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 0.75 3 + I + G + X ] + { 0.75 mpm } Y27Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 0.75 3 + 2.75 + G + X ] + { 0.75 mpm } Y28Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 0.75 3 + 2.75 + 3 + X ] + { 0.75 mpm } Y29Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 0.75 3 + 2.75 + 3 + 2 ] + { 0.75 mpm } Y30Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 0.75 3 + 2.75 + 3 + 2 ] + { 0.75 0.25 } Y31Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = [ 7.5 ] + { 0.5 } Y32Aggregate Expenditure

When Y = 0 AE = 7.5 + 0.5 (0) = 7.5

When Y = 15 AE = 7.5 + 0.5 (15) = 15Simulated AEExample: In addition to W = 8, Ye = 12, PL = 14.5, r = 3.5, mpc = 0.75, and T = 3, assume, investment expenditures total $2.75 trillion, government expenditures total $3 trillion, exports total $2 trillion, and mpm = 0.25. Derive the AE equation.AE = 7.5 + 0.5 Y33Example:

Point 1Y = 0 AE = 7.5

Point 2Y = 15AE = 15

Since aggregate planned expenditure equals GDP, the change in firms inventories equals the planned change. The AE model has reached an equilibrium

07.5YAE151545 oAggregate ExpenditureSimulated AE34Example: Suppose real GDP is $19 trillion.

AE = 7.5 + 0.5(19) = 7.5 + 9.5 = 17

AE < YWhen aggregate planned expenditure is less than real GDP, an unplanned increase in inventories occurs.0YAE45 oAggregate Expenditure19 17Simulated AE350YAE45 oAggregate Expenditure19AE = YSimulated AE 171515firms cut production. Real GDP decreases until it reaches equilibrium.Example: Suppose real GDP is $19 trillion.

AE = 7.5 + 0.5(19) = 7.5 + 9.5 = 17

AE < YWhen aggregate planned expenditure is less than real GDP, an unplanned increase in inventories occurs.3613Example: Suppose real GDP is $11 trillion.

AE = 7.5 + 0.5(11) = 7.5 + 5.5 = 13

AE > YWhen aggregate planned expenditure exceeds real GDP , an unplanned decrease in inventories occurs.0YAE45 oAggregate Expenditure11Simulated AE3713firms raise production. Real GDP increases until it reaches equilibrium.0YAE45 oAggregate Expenditure111515Example: Suppose real GDP is $11 trillion.

AE = 7.5 + 0.5(11) = 7.5 + 5.5 = 13

AE > YWhen aggregate planned expenditure exceeds real GDP , an unplanned decrease in inventories occurs.AE = YSimulated AE38Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated AE

Example (continued): With real GDP held constant at 15 trillion dollars, show what happens to the consumption model whenconsumer wealth rises to 8.5 trillion dollarsexpected future income decreases to 11.5 trillion dollars price level increases to 14.5 thousand dollarsmpc increases to 0.8 real rate of interest increases by 0.5 pct. pointstax revenue is cut by 0.5 trillion dollars. Compute the tax cut multiplier. Compute the budget balance. government expenditure is raised by 0.5 trillion dollars. Compute the government expenditure multiplier. Compute the budget balance.What is monetary policy, and who conducts it?What is fiscal policy, and who conducts it?

39wealth is $8 trillionexpected future income is $12 trillionthe price level is $14.5 thousandthe real rate of interest is 3.5 percentnet tax revenue is $3 trilliongovernment expenditure is $3 trillioninvestment expenditures total $2.75 trillionexports total $2 trillionAE = [8 + 12 14.5 3.5 0.75 3 + 2.75 + 3 + 2 ] + { 0.75 0.25 } YYAE What happens if the price level rises by 1 thousand dollars?

15.5AE > Y13AE = 5.25 + 0.5 YY = 5.25 + 0.5 Y0.5 Y= 5.25Y= 10.51545 oYPL15AD13Aggregate ExpenditureSimulated ADExample (continued):6.57.5(PL = 15.5)(PL = 14.5)14.515.5Unplanned increase in inventoriesReal GDP will fall40


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