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Aerosols and Climate
Postgraduate lecture course 06/02/09
© Imperial College LondonPage 1
Outline
© Imperial College LondonPage 2
Part I
What is an aerosol?
How do aerosols affect climate?
Future climate?
Part II
Measuring aerosol from the ground, air and space
What is an aerosol?
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Definition:
An aerosol is a suspension of tiny particles in air
Characteristics:
Origin: Natural or anthropogenic
Size: nanometers – 10 m+
Concentrations: Typical~1000-10000 cm-3 but up to 109 cm-3
Climate impact: diverse!
What is an aerosol? I: Origin
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Natural
Anthropogenic
And they can mix Same aerosol type can be produced both naturally and anthropogenically
Primary and secondary
© Imperial College LondonPage 5Courtesy G. Mann
What is an aerosol? I: Origin
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IPCC, 2001
Sources in kg km-2 hr-1
Page 7
What is an aerosol? II: Size and shape
Different representations of size distribution mean different emphasis: most mass is in coarse mode but these may not be the most climatologically important aerosols…
10000© Imperial College London
AccumAitken CoarseNucln
10-3 10-2 10-1 100 101 102
Cloud and precipitation physics
Atmospheric electricity
Atmospheric radiation and optics
Air chemistry and pollution
Aerosol diameter (m)
What is an aerosol? III: Lifetime
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Diameter (m)
Designation Nucleation/Aitken nuclei Accumulation Coarse
Sources
Sinks
Liftetime
Combustion
Gas-to-particle conversions
Windblown dustsFly-ash,
sea-salt, pollensCoagulation of
Aitken nuclei
Coarse emissions from industriesCloud droplet
evaporation
CoagulationCapture by cloud particles
Precipitation scavenging
Dry fallout
Less than an hour in polluted air or clouds
Days Hours to days
Minutes to hours
10-3 10-2 10-1 100 101 102 103
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What is an aerosol? IV: Concentrations
Typically vary due to location
But also vary for same generic aerosol ‘type’ due to meteorological conditions
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Role in the climate system: one example
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Direct Radiative forcing
CO2 increase
Lower atmosphere warms
Stratosphere cools
Positive forcing
Radiative forcing (RF): ‘the net change in total irradiance at the tropopause to an applied perturbation after allowing for stratospheric temperatures to readjust to radiative equilibrium but holding all other atmospheric variables fixed’
Here net total irradiance (SW + LW) has the convention down – up
For WMGG, Ts ~ RF where is the climate sensitivity parameter
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Direct Radiative forcing
For aerosol it is more complicated: depends on aerosol properties plus characteristics of underlying surface
Case I: Scattering aerosol over dark surface
Reduced SW radiation at surface, more SW radiation reflected to space
Negative forcing
Local surface and atmospheric cooling
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Direct Radiative forcing
For aerosol it is more complicated: depends on aerosol properties plus characteristics of underlying surface
Case II: Absorbing aerosol over bright surface
Less SW radiation reaches surface, more absorbed in atmosphere, less reflected to space
Positive forcing
Local surface cooling and atmospheric warming – Oops!
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Direct Radiative forcing
What about a scattering aerosol over a bright surface?! How can we estimate whether forcing is positive or negative for a given set of conditions?
Concept of critical single-scattering albedo
First we need to back-track slightly and introduce some key aerosol parameters…
© Imperial College LondonPage 15
Calculating key aerosol optical properties
Assumption of particle shape + appropriate scattering code
PROCESSING
Mass extinction coefficient, ke
Single-scattering albedo, o
Scattering phase function
OUTPUTS
Size distribution
Chemical composition (complex refractive index)
INPUTS
Particle diameter (m)
Peak extinction
e.g. Spheres: Mie theory
Spheroids: T-Matrix
NB size parameter: 2r/
© Imperial College LondonPage 16
Single scattering albedo
o = ks / ke and ke = ks + ka
where ks is the mass scattering coefficient and ka is the mass absorption coefficient
NB: Instead of ke (ks, ka) can also use:
Extinction coefficient, e = attenuation of radiation per unit path length (m-1)
Extinction cross section, Ae = Qe x geometric area of particle (m2)
where Qe is extinction efficiency
Particle diameter (m)
n = 1.5-0.005i
n = 1.37-0.001i
© Imperial College LondonPage 17
The phase functionDefinition: ‘The angular distribution of scattered light intensity at a given
wavelength’
Isotropic scattering, P(,,m) = 1
Forward scatter
Back scatter
where is the scattering angle, m is the complex refractive index and dis an element of area
4
1m)dA,,(P4
1
cossinsincoscoscos oo
Taking o = 0 and assuming spherical scatterers:
2
0 0
1d d sin)(P4
1
© Imperial College LondonPage 18
The phase function
Definition: ‘The angular distribution of scattered light intensity at a given wavelength’
Related terms:
Asymmetry Parameter, g
Backscatter ratio, b
Gives idea of scatter direction
+ve: forward scatter
0: isotropic
-ve: back scatter
Proportion of radiation scattered into backwards hemisphere
0
d cossin)m,,(P2
1m),g(
0
2
d sin)m,,(P
d sin)m,,(P
)m,(b
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Critical single-scattering albedo
How can we estimate whether forcing is positive or negative for a given set of conditions?
Haywood and Boucher, 1999
b = 0.1 b = 0.2 b = 0.3
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Direct Radiative forcing
What about LW?
Only really an issue for aerosol types with large coarse mode population: most interest on mineral dust from anthropogenic activity…
NB1: Forcing magnitude strongly dependent on surface/atmospheric temperature contrast: sign can change
Reduction in OLR
Positive forcing
Local surface and atmospheric heating +LW
-LW
NB2: Natural emissions of mineral dust and volcanic material also affect the LW: impact on radiation field generally termed ‘Direct Effect’ as not strictly a forcing; ditto for impact of natural aerosols in SW
© Imperial College LondonPage 21
Direct Radiative forcing
…but some work suggests urban pollution, pollen outbreaks etc. also directly affect LW
Lubin et al., 1994 Spankuch et al., 2000
© Imperial College LondonPage 22
And Feedbacks…
A ‘simple’ example: absorbing dust over desert in daytime
+LW
-LWFeedback effect on OLR
Reduces reflected SW flux at TOA and surface
Reduces OLR, enhances downwelling flux at surface
Instantaneous
Surface cools atmosphere warms
Surface and atmosphere warmIndividual response
Atmos warms, surface?Combined response
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Enough of clear-skies: cloud-aerosol effects or Indirect aerosol forcing
COOLING OVERALL COOLING WARMING
IPCC, 2007Glaciation Indirect Effect
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More tenuous perhaps:
Observations: no of droplets does increase but concurrent widening of cloud droplet spectrum: ‘First Dispersion Effect’
Rotstayn and Liu, 2003
Could partially offset 1st indirect effect but countered by Lu and Seinfeld, 2006
Simulations suggest an associated increased precipitation amount:
‘Second dispersion Effect’
(e.g. Roelofs and Jongen, 2004)
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Highly uncertain in terms of climate impact
Efficacy = i/CO2
IPCC, 2007
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Future Climate?
Courtesy K. Carslaw
Mitchell et al., 1995
Consistent with:
(a) Global Dimming
Stanhill and Cohen, 2001
© Imperial College LondonPage 27
Future Climate?
Courtesy K. Carslaw
Consistent with:
(b) Global Brightening
Mitchell et al., 1995
Wild et al., 2005
© Imperial College LondonPage 28
Future Climate?
Andreae et al., 2005
Projected changes will exacerbate GHG effects
IPCC TAR prediction
Key: understanding present day forcing and sensitivity of climate to aerosols…
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Observing aerosol
dz
e055055 dz k
Average of nine model predictions
055
© Imperial College LondonPage 30
Observing aerosol – Ground based
AErosol ROBotic NETwork (AERONET)
http://aeronet.gsfc.nasa.gov/
20071994
© Imperial College LondonPage 31
Observing aerosol – Ground based
AERONET measurements directly provide:
∞ V() and, Beer-Lambert:
)m)(exp(R
R)(V)(V TOT
2
mo
s
dzds
Langley plots:
Leads to
)(V'ln))((m)V(ln oTOT
m
dy/dx
And
()a = ()TOT - ()t - ()r
Plane parallelm = sec s
In reality,
s < 60°, m ~ sec s
Measurements at several s, so also provides Ångström coefficient,
j
i
aj
ai
a
ln
)()(
ln
~lnd
)(lnd
© Imperial College LondonPage 32
Observing aerosol – Ground based
AERONET measurements also used to retrieve:
size distribution, single scattering albedo, phase function and complex index of refraction
Idea: simultaneously invert radiances measured at a number of wavelengths and scattering angles so uses diffuse and direct beam measurements
))(m),r(N(I),(Ior )),(P);();((I),(I aa aoaa
Then: variability in clear-sky downward solar radiance assumed dominated by aerosol
© Imperial College London
Observations of aerosol – in situ
Balloon or aircraft based instrumentation
One example: FAAM BAE-146
Type of measurement Instrument Size range, wavelengths etc
Aerosol microphysics PMS PCASPSID-1/SID-2FFSSP
0.05-1.5 m1-30 m1.5-20 m
Aerosol optical properties TSI NephelometerRadiance research PSAP
= 0.45,0.55,0.7 m = 0.568 m
Aerosol chemical comp Filters 2 ranges for inorganics and carbon
Broadband irradiance BBRs 0.3-3 or 0.7-3 m
Spectral radiances SWSARIES
303.4-1706.5 nm3.33-18.18 m
Spectral irradiances SHIMS 303.4-1706.5 nm
Plus other ‘standard’ meteorological measurements…
In situ size (and shape)
PCASP: Passive Cavity Aerosol Spectrometer Probe
Measures angular distribution of light scattered out of HeNe beam focussed on particle laden air stream
Uses Mie theory to relate scattering pattern to particle size
SID1/2: Small Ice Detector
Similar idea to above
Isolates single particles and measures angular scattering using array of detectors
Variation in detector response cf mean value provides particle shape information
FFSSP: Fast Forward Scattering Spectrometer Probe
As above, but only considers ‘forward’ scattered light
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In situ size
Page 35
SID2
FFSSP
PCASP
GERBILS campaign, June 2007
Courtesy S. Osborne
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In situ optical properties
Nephelometer
Measures total scatter and hemispheric backscatter
Known light source, known path length: obtain scattering coefficient
Page 36
Particle soot absorption photometer (PSAP)
Measures absorptance through a filter
Provides absorption coefficient
Combination of two allows derivation of extinction coefficient
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In situ optical properties
Page 37
Courtesy S. Osborne and B. Johnson
Excellent detail and opportunity to study aerosol case studies but ‘snapshot’ in nature
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Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 38
Geostationary: rotates with Earth. Limited view but excellent time resolution
Basics: 3 types of orbit
Sun-synchronous or Polar: Provides coverage of whole globe within ~ 6 days dependent on inclination. Always crosses given latitude band at same local times
Inclined or Precessing: Generally a low angle of inclination. Limits latitude regions sampled but increases sampling rate
Most (but not all) ‘aerosol’ instruments in polar or near polar orbit
© Imperial College LondonPage 39
Surface
representation
Atmospheric
profile
Aerosol representation
Radiative Transfer code
Channel filter functions
Simulated quantity, (s,v,r,)
Set of geometries and s
SUN
r
LUT GENERATION
Observed quantity, (s,v,r
Retrieved
geometrical restrictions
Observations of aerosol – from space
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5th March, 2007, 14:00 UTC
GERB cloud mask:
Oops!Dust flag: restores points incorrectly identified as cloud. ‘Biased’ towards thicker plumes (055 > ~ 0.5)
(Brindley and Russell, 2006)
But which points to perform retrieval on?
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Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 41
Longest established method: Narrow band radiometers
Different spectral regions exploited for different purposes
(i) Visible reflectancesoch
chch F
L
Requires a large contrast between surface and aerosol reflectance, and surface bi-directional reflectance function (BDRF) to be well known: good for ocean
Longest record (1979+) from AVHRR
Jacobowitz et al., 2003
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12:00 UTC 04/03/04
3gen OPAC Nonspher DesMODIS (Terra)
SEVIRI
3. Dust detection and loading
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Brindley and Ignatov, 2006
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Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 44
Longest established method: Narrow band radiometers
Different spectral regions exploited for different purposes
(ii) Visible reflectances may also be used over other dark targets but extra information is required
Kaufman et al., 1997
Relies on relationship between s in different spectral channels
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Observations of aerosol – from space
MODerate Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)
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Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 46
Longest established method: Narrow band radiometers
Different spectral regions exploited for different purposes
(iii) UV radiances: exploits low surface reflectance in this regime (bar snow)
Development of UV aerosol index, UVAI
)R(I
Ilog100UVAI
*354
calc354
obs354
An ‘error’ caused by presence of aerosol
Positive for absorbing aerosols
Qualitative, but correlated to aerosol optical depth, and a long-term record
e.g. Torres et al., 2007
© Imperial College London
Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 47
Longest established method: Narrow band radiometers
Different spectral regions exploited for different purposes
(iv) IR radiances: avoids reflectance issue, exploits contrast between Tsfc and
Tdust. Sensitive to dust height, atmospheric profile and surface emissivity
AOD from SEVIRI, 1200 UTC, 18th June, 2007
e.g. Legrand et al., 2001, Brindley, 2007
© Imperial College London
Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 48
Alternatives:
(v) Exploit directional behaviour of aerosol scattering: viewing different angles allows differentiation between surface structure and different aerosol types
Example: Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR)
nadir
70.5° backward viewR (nadir), G (70.5 ° forward), B(70.5 ° back) Diner et al., 2001
© Imperial College London
Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 49
Alternatives:
(vi) Exploit directional behaviour plus change in polarisation caused by aerosols
Example: POLarisation and Directionality of the Earth’s Reflectances (POLDER)
R (0.443 m), G (0.670 m), B ( 0.865 m)
‘Natural’ light Polarised light
Note: larger particles have smaller polarisation signal
Polarisation also affected by shape of aerosol
e.g. Deuzé et al., 2001, 2002
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Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 50
Alternatives:
(vii) Use active techniques
Example: Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP)
532 nm total
532 nm perp
1064 nm total
Cirrus
Dust Biomass Measures backscatter.
LIDAR ratio, = extinction/backscatter
Requires modelling of expected for different atmospheric components
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Breon et al., 2002
Possibility to investigate indirect effects…
POLDER
Observations of aerosol – from space
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…and semi-direct effects
MODIS
Observations of aerosol – from space
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UK Air Quality Network
Attempts to relate PM measurements to AOT
Pere et al., 2009
Observations of aerosol – from space Relationship with air quality…
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Observations of aerosol – from space
Page 54
The Future?
GLORY: aims to measure total solar irradiance and aerosol/cloud properties
Cirrus
Dust Biomass
Data product Range Uncertainty
AOD 0-5 0.02 (ocean) 0.04 (land)
Effective radius 0.05-5 m 10 %
Effective variance 0-3 40 %
Real Refractive index
1.3-1.7 0.02
Single-scattering albedo
0-1 0.03
Morphology Spherical, irregular dust, soot clusters
N/A
Mishchenko et al., 2007
© Imperial College LondonPage 55
Cirrus
Dust Biomass
Problems
1. Continental aerosol with diameters > ~ 0.2 m have a size distribution which can be approximated by:
where N is the number concentration, D is the aerosol diameter, C is a constant. Sketch this distribution as a function of D on a log-log scale and interpret . Derive expressions for dN/dD and dV/d(log D) assuming spherical particles. For continental aerosol ~3. What does this imply about the mass distribution of the aerosol? Which types of aerosol would you therefore expect to dominate the total aerosol mass loading in the Earth’s atmosphere?
2. Aerosol with diameter D between ~ 2 to 40 m experience a ‘Stokes drag force’ given by 3Dv, where is the viscosity of the air, and v is the velocity of the aerosol through air. Neglecting the density of the air compared to the density of the aerosol, derive an expression for the terminal velocity vs of the aerosol. Hence calculate the terminal velocity of aerosol with diameters 2 and 10 m respectively. What does this imply about the evolution of a size distribution associated with a particular aerosol event as it moves away from its source? What assumptions have you made?
[Terminal velocity or ‘settling velocity’ is achieved when the forces acting on a falling particle balance. Take = 103 kg m-3 and = 1.7 x 10-5 kg m-1s-1]
D log CD) d(log
dN log
© Imperial College LondonPage 56
Cirrus
Dust Biomass
Problems
3. Define single-scattering albedo, o and explain what it means. What is the value of o for a purely scattering aerosol?
Consider the case of a hypothetical purely scattering aerosol layer which scatters equally in all directions. Show that the corresponding asymmetry parameter is equal to zero. What is the backscatter ratio? If the aerosol was placed over a vegetated surface with reflectance 0.2 would you expect it to cool or warm the surface?
Some of the vegetation is now burnt and the aerosol layer becomes mixed with soot. It’s properties change such that the magnitude of the absorption coefficient is equivalent to 10 % of the scattering coefficient and the backscatter ratio is 0.1.
What is the new value of o? Does the aerosol warm or cool the surface?
A wind picks up and transports the mixed aerosol over a nearby desert. What would the surface reflectance need to be in order for a positive radiative forcing to occur? Is this likely?
4. Briefly describe the concepts of global dimming and global brightening. What factors need to be accounted for when correlating surface based measurements of solar radiation with aerosol amount?
© Imperial College LondonPage 57
Cirrus
Dust Biomass
Problems
5. A hand-held microtops sun photometer works in an analogous manner to AERONET measurements. What would you expect the main difficulties to be in obtaining an accurate aerosol optical depth measurement on (a) land, (b) ship. How, practically, could these be reduced?
An operator outside the Albert Hall took a set of microtops cloud-free measurements during the course of 21st June, 2008. At 12 pm, V at 0.44 m is measured at 54 mV, while by 4 pm this reading had dropped to 40 mV. If Vo(0.44 m) is known to be constant at 75 mV what is the aerosol optical depth at this wavelength? Corresponding measurements at 0.87 m are 52 and 45 mV, with Vo(0.87 m) constant at 68 mV. What are the aerosol Ångström coefficients at the two times? What does this suggest about changes in the aerosol size distribution over time?
[You may assume a negligible contribution to the total optical depth from molecular scatter and trace gas absorption]
6. Briefly outline the different techniques currently used to observe aerosol from space. What are the main strengths and weaknesses associated with each method?