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AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK CABO VERDE PRIVATE SECTOR COMPETITIVENESS AND LOCAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME PHASE I (PSC-LED - I) ECGF DEPARTMENT July 2018 Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized
Transcript
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AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

CABO VERDE

PRIVATE SECTOR COMPETITIVENESS AND LOCAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

PROGRAMME PHASE I

(PSC-LED - I)

ECGF DEPARTMENT

July 2018

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ................................................................................................................ ii

LOAN INFORMATION ........................................................................................................................................ iii

PROGRAMME SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................... v

I. INTRODUCTION: THE PROPOSAL ............................................................................................................ 1

II. COUNTRY CONTEXT .................................................................................................................................. 2 2.1 Political Situation and Governance Context ........................................................................................... 2 2.2 Recent Socioeconomic and Budgetary Trends ............................................. Erreur ! Signet non défini. 2.3 Competitiveness of the Economy ................................................................. Erreur ! Signet non défini. 2.4 Public Finance Management ........................................................................ Erreur ! Signet non défini. 2.5 Inclusive, Growth, Poverty Situation and Social Context ....................................................................... 7

III. GOVERNMENT DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME .................................................................................... 8 3.1. Government’s Overall Development Strategy and Medium-Term Reform Priorities ............................ 8 3.2. Challenges in Implementing the National Development Programme ..................................................... 9 3.3. Consultation and Participation Processes ................................................................................................ 9

IV. BANK SUPPORT FOR THE GOVERNMENT’S STRATEGY .................................................................. 10 4.1. Linkage with Bank Strategy .................................................................................................................. 10 4.2. Compliance with Eligibility Criteria ..................................................................................................... 10 4.3. Collaboration and Coordination with other Partners ............................................................................. 10 4.4. Linkage with Other Bank Operations ................................................................................................... 11 4.5. Analytical Underpinnings of this Operation ......................................................................................... 12

V. PROPOSED PROGRAMME ........................................................................................................................ 12 5.1. Programme Goal and Objective ............................................................................................................ 12 5.2. Programme Components ....................................................................................................................... 13 5.3. Policy Dialogue ..................................................................................................................................... 18 5.4. Loan Conditions .................................................................................................................................... 19 5.5. Application of Best Practice Principles on Conditionality .................................................................... 20 5.6. Financing Needs and Arrangements ..................................................................................................... 21 5.7. Application of Bank Group Policy on Debt Accumulation................................................................... 21

VI. IMPLEMENTATION, MONITORING AND EVALUATION .................................................................... 21 6.1 Programme Beneficiaries ...................................................................................................................... 21 6.2 Impact on Gender Issues, the Poor and Vulnerable Groups .................................................................. 21 6.3 Environmental Impact and Climate Change ......................................................................................... 22 6.4 Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation ........................................................................................ 22 6.5. Financial Management and Disbursement ............................................................................................ 22

VII. LEGAL INSTRUMENT AND AUTHORITY .............................................................................................. 23 7.1 Legal Instrument ................................................................................................................................... 23 7.2 Conditions Associated with Bank Intervention ..................................................................................... 23 7.3 Compliance with Bank Group Policies ................................................................................................. 23

VIII. RISK MANAGEMENT ................................................................................................................................ 23

IX. RECOMMENDATION ................................................................................................................................. 23

Annex 1 : Government’s Letter of Economic Policy

Annex 2 : PSC-LED Reform Matrix

Annex 3 : Outcomes Achieved under Previous Budget Support Operations

Annex 4 : Note on Relations with the IMF

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LIST OF TABLES

Table 1 : Macroeconomic indicators

Table 2 : Lessons from Previous Bank Operations

Table 3 : Measures Precedent to PSC-LED-I, and PSC-LED-II Triggers

Table 4 : Financing Gap

Table 5 : Risks and Mitigation Measures

LIST OF GRAPHS AND BOXES

Graph 1 : Real GDP Growth (%)

Graph 2 : Fiscal balance (% GDP)

Graph 3 : 2017 Doing business ranking

Graph 4 : Contributions of Labor, Capital and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in the average

growth in the total Value Added

Box 1 : Promoting Economic Growth while Insuring Debt Sustainability

Box 2 : Overcoming the Middle Income Trap

Box 3 : Decentralization and local development in Cabo Verde

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i

CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS May 2018

Currency = Escudos (ECV) UA 1 = ECV 131.28 EUR 1 = ECV 110.27 USD 1 = ECV 91.29

FISCAL YEAR 1 January - 31 December

WEIGHTS AND MEASURES

1 tonne = 2 204 pounds (lbs.) 1 kilogramme (kg) = 2.200 lbs. 1 metre (m) = 3.28 feet (ft.) 1 millimetre (mm) = 0.03937 inch (“) 1 kilometre (km) = 0.62 mile 1 hectare (ha) = 2.471 acres

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ii

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

AEO African Economic Outlook

AfDB African Development Bank

AMNCV Cabo Verde Municipality Association

BSG Budget Support Group

CFRA Country Fiduciary Risk Assessment

PSC-LED Private Sector Competitiveness and Local Economic Development Programme

CM Council of Ministers

COSN Senegal Country Office

CPIA Country Policy and Institution Assessment

CSP Country Strategy Paper

CVE Cabo Verdean Escudo

DB Doing Business Report

DNP National Planning Directorate

ELECTRA National Electricity Company

EU European Union

FDI Foreign Direct Investment

GAP II Governance Operational Framework and 2013-2017 Action Plan

GCI Global Competitiveness Index

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GoCV Government of Cabo Verde

GPRSP III Growth and poverty reduction strategy paper III

HDI Human Development Index

ICT Information and Communication Technologies

IEFP Institute for Training and Employment

IIAG Mo Ibrahim Index of African Governance

IFH Imobiliária Fundiária e Habitat

IMF International Monetary Fund

INE National Statistics Institute

JICA Japanese International Cooperation Agency

MoF Ministry of Finance

MIC Middle-Income Country

MPD Movement for Democracy

MSME Micro-, Small- and Medium-sized Enterprises

PACE Economic Growth Support Programme

PAGEPPI Public Corporate Governance and Investment Promotion Support Programme

PAICV African Party for the Independence of Cabo Verde

PBO Policy Based Operation

PEDS Economic Plan for Sustainable Development

PEFA Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability

PFM Public Financial Management

PIEFE Integrated Policy for Education, Training and Employment

PPP Public-Private Partnership

REMPE Special Regime for Micro and Small Enterprises

RBF Results Based Financing

SCADA Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition

SIGOF Integrated Financial and Budget Management System

SAIDI System Average Interruption Duration Index

SAIFI System Average Interruption Frequency Index

SIM Municipality Information System

SME Small- and Medium-size Enterprise

SOE State-Owned Enterprise

TACV Transportes Aéreos de Cabo Verde (Cabo Verde Air Transport Company)

TFP Technical and Financial Partner

UNDP United Nations Development Programme

UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organisation

WB World Bank

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iii

LOAN INFORMATION

Client Information

BENEFICIARY : Republic of Cabo Verde

SECTOR : Economic and Financial Governance

EXECUTING AGENCY : Ministry of Finance

AMOUNT : EUR 20 million

2018 Financing Plan for 2018-2019 Budget Support

Source Total Amount (2018

– 2019) Amount (2018)

Amount (2019) -

Commitment

AfDB EUR 40 million EUR 20 million EUR 20 million

World Bank ≥ USD 20 million USD 20 million To be confirmed

Luxembourg EUR 4 million EUR 2 million EUR 2 million

European Union EUR 18 million Up to EUR 9 million Up to EUR 9 million

Portugal EUR 1 million EUR 0.5 million EUR 0.5 million

Information on AfDB Financing

Loan Currency: Euros (EUR) [or any other acceptable currency]

Loan type: Fully flexible loan

Maturity: To be determined (up to maximum 25 years)

Grace period: To be determined (up to maximum 8 years)

Weighted average

maturity**: To be determined (depending on amortization profile)

Reimbursements: Half-yearly instalments at the end of the grace period

Interest rate: Base rate + Margin on financing cost + Loan margin +

Maturity premium

This interest rate must be greater than or equal to zero.

Base rate : Floating (6 Months EURIBOR revised on February 1st

and August 1st or any other acceptable rate)

A free option is offered to set the base rate

Margin on financing cost:

Margin on the Bank’s financing cost revised on January

1st and July 1st and applied on February 1st and August

1st with the base rate.

Loan margin: 80 base points (0.8%)

Maturity premium: To be determined :

0% if the weighted average maturity <= 12.75

years

0.10% if 12.75 <the weighted average maturity <=

15

0.20% if the weighted average maturity> 15 years

Opening Commission: 0.25% of the loan amount

Commitment fee:

0.25% per annum of the undisbursed amount. It begins to

run 60 days after the date of signature of the loan

agreement and is payable on the interest payment dates.

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iv

Option to convert base

rate * :

Besides the free option to set the base rate, the possibility

is offered to the borrower to return to the floating rate or

to re-fix on all or part of the disbursed amount of his loan.

Transaction fees are payable

Option of rate ceiling or

tunnel * :

The possibility is offered to the borrower to put a ceiling

or a tunnel on the base rate for all or part of the disbursed

amount of his loan.

Transaction fees are payable

Currency conversion

option *:

The possibility is offered to the borrower to change the

currency of all or part of his loan, whether disbursed or

not, into another loan currency of the Bank.

Transaction fees are payable

* The conversion options and related transactions costs are governed by the Guidelines for conversion of loan

terms available on the Bank’s website

** Calculation of the weighted average maturity is available on the Bank’s website

Implementation Schedule – Key Milestones (Expected)

Activities Dates

Appraisal March 2018

Negotiation May 2018

Approval July 2018

Effectiveness August 2018

Disbursement August 2018

Supervision November 2018

Closing December 2019

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v

PROGRAMME SUMMARY

Programme

Overview

Programme Name: Private Sector Competitiveness and Local Economic Development

Programme (PSC-LED) – Phase I. General Schedule: 2018/2019. Financing: EUR 20 million.

Operational Instrument: General budget support. Sector: Multisector.

Programme

Outcomes

The Government of Cabo Verde (GoCV) is entering the implementation phase of its new

Economic Plan for Sustainable Development 2018-2021 (PEDS) with ambitious targets in terms

of growth and improvement in the quality of life of its citizens. For the PEDS to be effectively

rolled-out, the authorities are putting great emphasis on (1) a model of economic growth based

on private investment, on complementing a social and shared economy and on social and

territorial inclusion and (2) on a major focus on local and regional development via greater

decentralisation (annex1). Considering the constraints faced by the overall indebtedness level,

the low multiplier effects of public spending, and decreasing total factor productivity, the

authorities must further stimulate competitiveness to achieve its goals. The PEDS underpins this

approach and is geared for a medium term economic diversification, with particular attention

given to the domestic private sector, leveraging on comparative advantages held by each island

and ensuring spatial distribution of economic opportunities. In addition to macroeconomic

stability, achieving this goal requires improving the quality of public spending, most notably on

education and training to minimize the skill mismatch in the labor market, reduce the regulatory

burden on firms, improve access to finance by small and medium-sized enterprises and create the

enabling environment to facilitate structural transformation. Against this background, the PSC-

LED intends to support the authorities’ objective geared towards a move to private sector led

growth and local economic development via a first component focusing on (i) Promoting

competitiveness and local private sector development and a second set to (ii) promote local

economic development and local governance. The overall impact sought by the PSC-LED is to

back the increased contribution from the private sector and local entities to growth and

employment. This is to be achieved through the following outcomes: (a) enhancement of the

ease of doing business and competitiveness measured through (i) improvements in reaching the

Doing Business frontier from 56.24 pts in 2018 to 60pts in 2020, (ii) increase in the credit to the

private sector to 70% in 2020, (iii) increase in the labor contribution to total value added growth

in the economy from 1.1% in the 2007-2014 period to 2% in 2017-2020, (iv) increase the number

of training centres developing PPPs by 20%; (b) Enhanced local economic development and

decentralisation contribution to growth measured through (i) decreased dependency ratios of

municipalities on government transfers from 80% in the 6 most dependent municipalities, (with

14 municipalities with more than 60%) in 2017 to 3 municipalities with more than 80% (and 10

with more than 60%) in 2020, and (ii) an increase in participatory local economic plan

implementation from zero in 2017 to 9 locally developed plans framed in the regionalized PEDS

in 2020.

Alignment

with Bank

Priorities

The program is aligned with the Country Strategy Paper (CSP) priority “strengthening economic

governance in the public and private sectors”. In particular, it is consistent with the orientations

of the authorities for the disengagement of the State in favor of partnership with the private sector

and decentralized communities as highlighted in the CSP’s mid-term review. In addition, the

PSC-LED’s strategic orientation reflects priorities of the Bank’s GAP II (2014-2018) as set in its

third pillar “investment and business climate”. It is also aligned with the Bank’s gender strategy

through its foci on land issues, access to finance and skills development which tend to

disproportionately impact women. Lastly, it is aligned with the “Improving the quality of life for

Africans” High 5 priority through private sector development and its focus on spatial (economic)

inequalities. PSC-LED is also aligned with the “Industrialise Africa” priority through measures

supporting industrial policy development and the reduction in costs for factors of production.

Needs

Assessment

and

Justification

Cabo Verde faces key binding constraints to future growth such as the indebtedness level, the

low multiplier effects of public spending, and low/decreasing productivity. Against this

background, fiscal policy cannot be a growth driver, and monetary policy is somewhat limited

considering the peg to the Euro and weak monetary transmission mechanisms. Growth must

emanate from the private sector, taking advantage of all available potential sources across the

territory. To overcome these, the government is working to place the private sector at the centre

of economic growth and is initiating key structural reforms to improve productivity and economic

diversification. This encompasses competitiveness enhancement through reforms linked to access

to credit, firm-related regulation, skills matching to market demand, factors of production (land,

electricity etc.) and spatial planning. Private sector led growth will in part provide an answer to

the fiscal and debt constraint, and will enable improvements in citizen’s revenues and decrease

unemployment. Over the past, much reform emphasis has been put on FDI and the external sector

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vi

as growth sources. However, this approach can lead to territorial pockets of growth and

productivity, which in turn leads to spatial inequalities and internal migration pressures. Growth

must thus also be domestically sourced, i.e. through a more productive local private sector (in

particular MSMEs), and be equitably distributed across the islands so as to ensure inclusivity

through the promotion of economic opportunities. To this end, the promotion of decentralisation

is key.

Harmonisation

Since 2006, Cabo Verde's main bilateral and multilateral donors have harmonized their budget

support to the country based on a mutually agreed matrix. The budget support instrument, which

has become increasingly predominant in recent years in relation to project loans, is being used to

promote collaboration with other development partners in the country's public finance

management and sector support. Harmonisation takes place within the Budget Support Group

(BSG) which meets in Praia twice a year. The Bank took over the group’s presidency in 2017.

Bank’s Value

Added

The Bank has financed several budget support operations in Cabo Verde over the past few years.

The completion reports of previous programmes concluded that Cabo Verde’s performance was

satisfactory in the area of implementation and in terms of ownership by the authorities of the

structural reforms agreed upon with the Bank. In this regard, the Bank has acquired valuable

experience in accompanying the country’s reform programme in general. Its current position as

the chair of the Budget Support Group gives it further resonance in policy dialogue. In addition,

the Bank has been slowly shifting focus on its budget support, from more traditional public

financial management, towards competitiveness and private sector development and youth

employment in alignment with the needs of a middle-income country (MIC). This has given the

Bank a comparative advantage in a MIC whose challenges are linked to its capacity to generate

and maintain the necessary growth levels so as to escape the middle-income trap.

Contribution

to Gender

Equality and

Women’s

Empowerment

In order to mainstream gender in the operation, the 2017 Bank-produced gender profile was used

as a basis. PSC-LED seeks to produce a favourable impact on gender through the measures

targeting improved factor efficiency and transparency such as land. Indeed, beyond the

importance of land rights for private sector investment, land issues are a key binding constraint

for women’s empowerment as highlighted in the 2017 gender profile. Similarly, measures aimed

at access to finance will specifically impact women considering that the lack of access to funds

inhibits growth and productivity of their business efforts. In addition, through the skills for

competitiveness measures in the PSC-LED, women are particularly targeted with specific results-

based indicators. Lastly, regarding local economic development in general, the Bank will use the

PSC-LED as a dialogue platform to ensure that local planning is undertaken with a full-on

integration of the gender dimension.

Policy

Dialogue and

Related

Technical

Assistance

During PSC-LED’ implementation, dialogue with Cabo Verdean authorities will focus mainly on

the following areas: (i) support for the promotion of private sector development, in general, and

for the improvement of the business environment in particular (improved understanding of

differences in business environment constraints faced by men and women entrepreneurs); (ii)

accompaniment of decentralisation policies and local economic development planning, and (iii)

support for the implementation of an inclusive and market-responsive skills development

roadmap. As the chair of the budget support group, the Bank will ensure continuous dialogue on

fiscal and debt policy to ensure macroeconomic stability. It will also initiate discussions on the

monitoring and evaluation of public policies to set a framework for evaluating reforms, including

those supported by partners.

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vii

Results-Based Logical Framework

Country and program name: Cabo Verde – Private sector competitiveness and local economic development programme (PSC-LED) Phase I

Purpose of the program : Support the National Development Plan’s objective geared towards a move to private sector led growth and local economic

development

RESULTS CHAIN PERFORMANCE INDICATORS

MOV RISKS/MITIGATI

ON MEASURES Indicator (including CSI*) Baseline Target

IMP

AC

T

Increase

contribution to

growth and

employment from

the private sector

and local entities

Global Competitiveness Index

Financial market

development (2017):

3.4

Higher education and

training (2017): 4.1

Financial market development

(2020): 3.7

Higher education and training

(2020): 4.4

GCI,

MoF,

INE,

AfDB

(AEO)

Risk 1: An

unfavourable

macroeconomic

environment and

exogenous shocks.

Mitigation

Measures: This type

of risk is the subject

of an on-going

dialogue with the

authorities, and is

monitored regularly

within the context of

the BSG that brings

together partners

involved in

programme support

operations. It is also

mitigated by the

ongoing reforms for

economic

diversification and

broadening of the

tax-base supported by

partners, including

the Bank.

Risk 2: The capacity

of government

services, although

above the regional

average, is limited.

This could slow down

or even halt the

implementation of

programme reforms.

Mitigation

Measures: The

Government is

committed, at the

highest level

(Presidency, Prime

Minister’s Office,

Ministry of finance,

and line ministries),

to a process of

structural reforms as

per the PEDS.

Moreover, delivery

capacity on reforms

is the subject of

regular monitoring by

partners, particularly

in the context of the

BSG which holds

biannual joint review

missions.

Real GDP growth 4% (2017) 5% (2020)

Unemployment rate

15% overall (2016)

17.4% women (2016)

41% youth (2016)

10% overall (2020)

14% women (2020)

35% youth (2020)

OU

TC

OM

E

Outcome A.1

Ease of doing

business and

competitiveness

enhanced

Doing business indicators

improvements

Distance to frontier is

56.24 pts (DB 2018)

Distance to frontier is 60 pts (DB

2020) WB

Credit to the private sector

(%GDP) 63% (2016) 70% (2020) MoF

Labor contribution to value

added growth

1,1% (2007-2014

period) 2% (2017-2020 period) AfDB

Increase the number of training

center developing PPP 0 4 (2020)

Outcome A.2

Local economic

development and

decentralisation

enhanced

Dependency ratio on

government transfers (% of

revenues from direct central

government transfers)

80% in the 6 most

dependent municipalities,

and 14 municipalities

with more than 60%

(2017)

3 municipalities with more than

80% and 10 with more than 60%

(2020)

MoF

Increased participatory

economic planning at

municipality level

No local participatory

planning

9 locally developed participatory

development plans framed in the

regionalized PEDS (2019)

MoF,

UNDP

OU

PU

TS

A.1 Promoting competitiveness and private sector development

A.1.1 Improved

legal framework

and systems for

business

competitiveness

and investment

1.1.1 Effective set-up of the

competitiveness reform

coordination unit.

1.1.2 Revision of the code for

commercial companies (codigo

das sociedades commercias)

1.1.3 Approval of secondary

legislation for insolvency

1.1.4 Approval of the industrial

policy and related action plan

1.1.5 Approval of the strategy

and action plan for the

transition from the informal to

the formal sector.

Unit composed of 3

staff and narrowly

focusing on Doing

Business reforms.

Previous code in place

Insolvency law existing

but secondary

legislation for

insolvency

administrators not in

place (2017)

Strategy finalized but

not adopted (2017)

Strategy finalized but

not adopted (2017)

Unit structure approved (2018

– prior action), head of unit in

place and 50% of the staff

mentioned in the approved

organigram recruited (2019)

New code approved by CM

(2019)

Approval of the statutes,

guidelines, and regulatory

practice for judicial insolvency

administrators (2018)

The strategy and its action plan

are adopted (2018/19)

The committee on the

transition from the informal to

the formal sector formed

(2018– prior action) and a

strategy adopted (2019)

A.1.2 Skills

development

anchored in private

sector needs

1.2.1 Develop a Roadmap for

PPPs in vocational training

1.2.2 Increase private sector

participation to TVET through

the elaboration of

apprenticeship training

program.

No action plan, lack of

participation of private

sector to TVET system

(2017)

No apprenticeship

training program in

place (2017)

The Roadmap has been

developed and adopted to put

in place PPP in TVET (2019)

TVET Law enforcement

decree passed to

institutionalize the

apprenticeship training

program , and a first cohort of

60 youth trained through the

apprenticeship training (30%

women) (2019)

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viii

A.1.3 Improved

factor efficiency in

support of MSME

development

1.3.1 Guarantee registry

established up and running

1.3.2 Completion of land

mapping and digitization, for

the municipalities on Sal, Maio,

Boa Vista, and Sao Vicente

(except Mindelo), and launch of

the process in Santiago (at least

one municipality)

System not in full use

(2017)

Land mapping 80%

completed (2017)

Fund manager for the

guarantee scheme selected

(2019)

Land mapping 100%

completed for the

municipalities on Sal, Maio,

Boa Vista, and Sao Vicente

(except Mindelo), and launch

of the process in at least one

municipality of Santiago

(2018)

A.2 Promoting local economic development and local governance

A.2.1 Improved

local government

support for

enterprise

development

2.2.1 Effective implementation

of contract programs between

municipalities and technical &

vocational institutions

2.2.3 Interface between housing

registry and municipalities for

the issuance of property tax

certificate (certidião matricial)

14 contract programs

signed in 2017 - No

training for youth

unemployed undertaken

Interface between

housing registry and

municipalities not

functional (2017)

60 training activities

undertaken for at least 600

youth and adults (of which

40% women) (2018)

Interface up and running

(2019)

MoF,

AMNCV

, IEFP

A.2.2 Updated

legislative

framework for local

economic

development and

decentralization

2.2.1 New law on the status of

municipalities

2.2.2 New law on municipal

financing

Law on the statutes of

municipalities in place

2005 law on local

municipality financing

in place (2017)

New law on the statutes of

municipalities submitted to

parliament (2019)

New law on local municipality

financing submitted to

parliament (2019)

A.2.3 Improved

local economic

development

planning

2.3.1 Endorsement of the

regionalized PEDS

2.3.2 Effective set-up of the

Local Economic Development

structure integrated with

planning

Regionalized PEDS not

endorsed (2017)

Unit de-linked with

planning directorate

and only staffed by a

coordinator (2017)

Regionalized PEDS endorsed

by authorities (2018 – prior

action)

Prerogatives for local

economic development linked

with Planning directorate, unit

coordinator confirmed/

nominated (2018 – prior

action), and recruitment

process (concourso publico)

for at least 50% of the staff

defined in the organigram

launched (2019)

MoF

Funding in million EUR 20 for phase I and EUR 20 million for phase II- AfDB

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1

I. INTRODUCTION: THE PROPOSAL

1.1. Management hereby submits the following proposal and recommendation to grant a loan

of EUR 20 million to the Republic of Cabo Verde to finance the Private Sector Competitiveness

and Local Economic Development Programme - Phase I (PSC-LED-I). PSC-LED-I is the first phase

of a programme-based budget support operation covering fiscal years 2018 and 2019, with an overall

indicative financing of EUR 40 million. PSC-LED-I presents the multi-annual framework of the

programme and provides a list of reform measures considered as indicative triggers for the second phase

(PSC-LED-II). The programme-based approach helps improve aid predictability and facilitates

alignment with the country's development policies, thus creating conditions for sustained, sustainable

and inclusive growth.

1.2. The programme interlocks seamlessly with the Economic Plan for Sustainable

Development (PEDS) 2017-2021, while leveraging on previous budget support operations whose

results helped improve not only the public finance management system, but also public corporate

governance and the promotion of private investment. Previous operations, including the 2013-2014

Public Corporate Governance and Investment Promotion Support Programme Phases I and II

(PAGEPPI and II), and the 2015-2017 Economic Growth Support Programme Phase I and II (PACE-I

and II), helped create conditions for inclusive economic development. The reforms supported by these

programmes have led to: (i) improved transparency of public procurement; (ii) improved public

corporate governance through the signing of performance contracts between the State and public

enterprises; (iii) better promotion of investment through the operationalization of the one-stop shop and

the establishment of a PPP Unit, (iv) strengthening of business supporting entities through the effective

set-up of incubators, (v) improvements in the business environment via the application of key laws (e.g.

microfinance law, insolvency law, MSME law) (vi) reductions in import/export delays (from 20 to 6

days). Such achievements and commitment to reforms helped growth resumption, a positive investment

trend and increased economic confidence (annex 3).

1.3. In spite of such major achievements, Cabo Verde still faces structural challenges. The

authorities’ pursuit of increase growth levels are underpinned by the willingness not to fall in the

“middle income trap”1 and a drive to substantially improve the life of citizens. There are however key

binding constraints such as the indebtedness level, the low multiplier effects of public spending, and

low/decreasing productivity. To overcome these, the government is working to place the private sector

at the centre of economic growth and is initiating key structural reforms to improve productivity and

economic diversification. Private sector led growth will in part provide an answer to the fiscal and debt

constraint through growth, and will enable improvements in citizen’s revenues and decrease

unemployment. To do so and ensure that growth is spatially inclusive, it must be domestically sourced

leveraging on the diverse comparative advantages held across the 9 inhabited islands. In other words,

Cabo Verde’s challenges are twofold: firm-up and move forward with the change in growth paradigm

in favour of the private sector, and ensure that growth is inclusive across the territory and strata of

society.

1.4. To address these issues, PSC-LED aims to (i) consolidate the gains from previous

operations, and support Cabo Verde's efforts to tackle the above challenges through reforms to

improve overall competitiveness, while also (ii) seeking to set the basis for local economic

development. Its objective is to support the National Development Plan’s objective geared towards a

move to private sector led growth and local economic development. PSC-LED is not only concerned

with the pace of growth (i.e. growth levels), but its pattern (i.e. sources of growth and spatial

distribution)2. To do so, PSC-LED is intended to support GoCV’s efforts through 6 operational

1 In the literature, the "middle income trap" is a situation where a country moves from “low” to “middle income” status but is unable to

move to the next stage due to a lack of differentiation, specialization or incremental productivity gains. 2 For the AfDB, inclusive growth is a key development objective, conceptualized it in terms of four dimensions: economic, social, spatial

and political inclusion (AfDB (2016), Measuring Inclusive Growth: From Theory to Applications in North Africa, Working Paper). The

importance of inclusive growth with regards to job creation and spatial inequalities has been delved upon in the 2015 AEO with a focus

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objectives, namely: (i) Improved legal framework and systems for business competitiveness and

investment, (ii) Skills development anchored in private sector needs, (iii) Improved factor efficiency in

support of MSME development, (iv) Improved local government support for enterprise development,

(v) Updated legislative framework for local economic development and decentralization and (vi)

Improved local economic development planning.

II. COUNTRY CONTEXT

2.1 Political Situation and Governance Context

2.1.1. Cabo Verde is widely recognized amongst African countries for its good governance.

According to the Mo Ibrahim Index of African Governance (IIAG), in 2017, the country scored 72.2

out of 100, ranking fourth out of 54 African countries. The country has used the media and the networks

of social and civil partners to carry out an extensive awareness campaign for participatory citizenship

in the country's development process. This approach has enabled the involvement and participation of

all civil society actors in national and international fora aimed at promoting the culture of peace,

improving security, and encouraging responsible citizenship and participation. The country has been

also effective in combating corruption. In Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index

2017, Cabo Verde, which ranked 48th out of 175 countries, was the third least corrupt African country

at par with Rwanda.

2.1.2. The political and institutional environment is characterized by a multi-party system and

smooth political governance. Cabo Verde has a semi-presidential regime. Executive power is held by

the Prime Minister and Head of Government, who is designated by the party or group of parties with a

majority in the National Assembly. In 2018, Freedom House granted a rating of 1 to Cabo Verde due to

a wide range of civil liberties (including freedoms of expression, assembly, association, education, and

religion) and political rights (including free and fair elections) enjoyed by the population. Cabo Verde

ranks 27th out of countries in the 2017 World Press Freedom Index. The March 2016 legislative elections

led to a change in the parliamentary majority with the victory of the Movement for Democracy (MpD).

That change came about 15 years following governments led by the African Party for the Independence

of Cabo Verde (PAICV). In September 2016, the MpD won the municipal elections (19 municipal

councillors out of 22).

2.2.1. Although the Cabo Verde economy shows signs

of recovering after a period of decline due mostly to the

global financial crisis of 2008 and the debt crisis in

Europe, it remains susceptible to structural risks. The

country went into recession in 2009 before growth

resumed back to positive territory averaging barely 1.3%

between 2010 and 2015. It was only in 2016 that a real

recovery began, with an estimated 3.8% growth rate,

thanks to an improvement in tourism, public

administration and agriculture. In 2017, the economy is

estimated to have expanded by 4% supported by the double

digit-growth in tourist arrivals, the recovery in credit to the

private sector, and stronger consumer and business

confidence. Overall, the short-term outlook appears

positive, yet it is still subject to major challenges, including

improving factor productivity (currently trending

downward), diversifying the economy, increasing

resilience to exogenous shocks (climate, dependence on trade with Europe, etc.), and achieving

on territorial development and spatial inclusion, in the 2016 AEO with regards to the role of urban centers and structural transformation.

The Bank is responding to the challenge of supporting inclusive growth by focusing on five priority areas, referred to as the High 5s.

Table 1: Macroeconomic indicators

2016 2017(e) 2018(p) 2019(p)

Real GDP growth 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.1 Real GDP p.c. growth 2.0 2.5 2.9 2.9

CPI inflation -1.4 1.1 1.4 2.0

Budget balance %

GDP -3.3 -4.1 -4.4 -3.9

Current acc. % GDP -5.4 -7.2 -7.3 -7.3 Source: Data from domestic authorities; estimates (e) and projections (p) based on

authors' calculations, AEO.

Graph 1: Real GDP Growth (%)

0

2

4

6

8

10

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Cabo Verde West Africa

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successfully the ongoing restructuring of public enterprises. The outlook for the first half of 2018 is

positive, as are confidence indicators (technical annex 8), and expectations for the tourism industry.

GDP growth should reach 4.1% in 2018 and 2019 respectively3.

2.2.2. Since 2013, the Banco de Cabo Verde (BCV) has adopted a monetary policy stance to

ensure money supply, in line with the goals of price stability and preservation of the value of the

national currency. Monetary policy is constrained by the need to maintain fixed parity between the

Capverdian escudo (CVE) and the euro. Due to tighter monetary conditions and the slowdown in

economic activity, inflation fell from 4.5% in 2011 to -1.4% in 2016. Inflation is estimated at 1.1% in

2017 and is projected to rise to 1.4% in 2018. This low inflation

rate provides the BCV with space to soften its monetary policy for

growth. The policy rate was lowered to 3.5% in February 2015 and

has remained unchanged since then. In the same month, reserve

requirements were reduced to 15% from 18% in order to stimulate

economic growth and support the resumption of bank loans to the

private sector. The response to those measures was modest, with a

slight uptake in loans to the private sector in 2016, despite the

general decrease in interest rates. In June 2017, BCV adopted

measures to strengthen the monetary transmission mechanism.

Plans to adopt a new foreign exchange law and a new BCV organic law are underway. Consolidating

the existing foreign exchange legislation and liberalizing the already de facto open capital and financial

accounts will support efforts to further integrate Cabo Verde in the global economy.

2.2.3. Following the 2008/2009 crisis, the authorities launched a counter-cyclical policy to

stimulate the country’s growth which led to a rapid deterioration of the budget deficit and an

increase in public debt levels. Debt increased from 71.9% of GDP in 2010 to 129.6% in 2016. With

this in mind, the authorities have made a commitment to strengthen budget consolidation. In 2015, the

public deficit stood at -4.1% of GDP, and at -3.3% in 2016, less than the rates of -7.5% and -8.9%

recorded in 2014 and 2013, respectively. In 2017 it is expected to stand at -4.1% and at -4.4% in 2018.

The efforts compared to the pre-2014 situation (graph 2) stems primarily from achievements on the

revenue side, with a significant increase in revenue accruing following the expansion of the tax base.

On the expenditure side, compression of the public investment program also contributed to deficit

reduction. Moreover, efforts are under way to address the fiscal risks related to poor-performing public

enterprises. Over the past year, important efforts have been made to stop the running liabilities of Cabo

Verde Air Transport Company (TACV)4, circumscribe those of the housing scheme ‘IFH’, and decrease

government funding dependence of the electricity company ELECTRA. In addition, a privatization

program of other State-Owned Enterprises is underway, with AfDB and World Bank support, to

disengage the State and reduce contingent liabilities.

3 These figures reflect AfDB projections. Government forecasts between 4.5% and 5% in 2018 and 5% to 6% in 2019. Differences reside

most importantly on the outcomes of fiscal consolidation, the success of the privatization program and the contribution of FDI. 4 Running a monthly deficit of nearly EUR 3m/month, TACV local and regional operations were dismantled and the market filled by a

private operator (Binter). The international part of TACV has been taken over by Icelandair through a 1 year management contract in

anticipation of privatization. The government still has a EUR 100 million liability (~6.5% of GDP) which it seeks to reduce through

negotiations. The cost of TACV’s retrenchment and winding-down is expected to cost about 2.2% of GDP in 2017-2018 (IMF 2018).

Graph 2: Fiscal balance (% GDP)

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Cabo Verde West Africa

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2.2.4. Tackling the debt situation requires a multi-layered approach (Technical annex 7).

Economic theory suggests three core variables for a sustainable debt path: growth, primary fiscal

balance and interest rates. To the extent that growth is superior to borrowing rates, debt levels will fall.

Similarly, a primary budget surplus causes the debt stock to fall, by allowing the government to pay off

some of the existing debt. Ongoing fiscal consolidation efforts are one part of the equation as they

directly impact the fiscal balance (Box 1). However, it is important that such efforts are not detrimental

to future growth. This was the premise under which the previous PACE budget support operation

accompanied Cabo Verde to improve its public investment selection criteria and system. Regarding

interest rates, Cabo Verde’s choice to turn towards development partners as opposed to untested and

still expensive (as per its debt profile) international markets ensures that they are contained. The last

key variable and core challenge is boosting growth levels which authorities aim to tackle through

reforms aimed at unleashing private sector activity.

2.2.5. Sustaining and accelerating the growth momentum requires that the government address

the various bottlenecks in the economy, which requires implementing measures to improve its

human capital base, raising government effectiveness, improving the environment for private

sector participation in the economy, and boosting local economic development. Lacking natural

resources and economies of scale to sustain a significant manufacturing base, the economy is

concentrated in the services sector. In 2015, the tertiary sector represented about 69.9% of GDP and

was dominated by tourism, and foreign direct investment (FDI) in the tourism sector. Structural reforms

– such as a better organization of local production of goods and services, or improvements in the inter-

island transportation systems – are necessary to boost tourism so that it generates more substantial

economic benefits. This in turn requires a further strengthening of the local private sector and capacity

to generate development across islands relying on diverse sources of income5. Due to poor natural

conditions, agriculture is not developed and accounts for less than 10% of GDP. Nevertheless, it remains

a critical sector for inclusive growth, poverty reduction, promotion of green growth, and resilience to

climate change. The industrial sector, which accounts for 8% of GDP, is marginally developed and is

highly concentrated in export-oriented fishing activities (see technical annex 11 on sector-based

activities in relation to the High 5s, including on industry). According to the 2015 employment survey,

the strongest job-creating sectors are agriculture/fishery/livestock farming (with 19% of jobs), trade and

automobile repair (18%), the public service (13%) and industry (10%).

5 While some islands such as Sal of Boa Vista are mostly relying on tourism, others also lean on other incomes sources such as industry

(Santiago), Agriculture (Sao Nicolau) or fishing (Santo Antao or Sao Vicente).

Box 1: Promoting Economic Growth while Insuring Debt Sustainability

As a result of high public investment spending, low growth rates, declining prices as well as the appreciation of the USD against the

ECV, public debt level increased drastically, from 71.9% of GDP in 2010 to 129.6% in 2016. In 2017, public debt stock has declined to

126.5% of GDP, the first decline in a decade. External government debt represents 77% of the total public debt. While external public

debt is high, it is overwhelmingly concessional with long maturity profile and low average interest rates. Multilateral institutions are the

main external creditors. Domestic public debt structure and maturity remain favorable. Treasury bonds make up about 96% of domestic

debt. Despite the impressive fiscal consolidation in recent years, reducing public debt burden remains a challenge. There are two reasons

for this situation. Firstly, the State granted loans to public enterprises. In 2016, TACV and IFH maturing bonds equivalent to 3% of GDP

were redeemed by the Government. Given that the TACV and IFH are unable to cover the repayment of such bonds, the central

Government may be required to cover the debt of public enterprise to the tune of up to 12% of GDP. A second factor is the appreciation

of the dollar against the euro. At first glance, only 5% of the debt is denominated in USD, but the actual ratio rises to 21% since the debt

is exposed to the USD via Special Drawing Rights.

The government is challenged to accelerate efforts to rationalize public investments and contain contingent liabilities in the country’s

public bodies without impeding the recent growth momentum. Gross financing needs are increasing, limiting the ability of the

government to use fiscal policy to absorb shocks. Fiscal consolidation is needed to create a sustainable debt path. To reduce the risk of

debt distress, emphasis should be placed on streamlining expenditure rather than adopting austerity measures. Tackling transfers to public

enterprises and reducing contingent liabilities is crucial for debt sustainability.

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2.2.6. The productivity and economic diversification

challenges call for the stimulation of the private sector.

Cabo Verde’s exposure to exogenous shocks remains a major

concern. The impact of past exogenous crises on growth has

papered over a major structural weakness, namely the low

productivity of the economy. Indeed, data analysis undertaken

by the Bank (Technical annex 4) shows that total factor

productivity (the share of growth not attributable to capital or

labor) has been negative for the 2007-2014 period, while labor

and capital contributions have somewhat declined. This

suggests that other things being equal, growth levels should

decrease over the long term. Hence, apart from diversification

of sources of growth, structural reforms aimed at increasing

productivity and private sector profile are necessary. As per

the country’s national development plan (PEDS), authorities intend to engage in this path through a new

private-sector focused model of economic growth, and a new State model underpinned by higher

efficiency of service delivery and locally induced development through a decentralization policy. This

change of paradigm may help, from a structural standpoint, to avoid the “middle-income trap” (Box 2).

2.2.7. Local economic development is an important challenge to ensure spatial distribution of

economic opportunities according to island specific comparative advantages. Decentralization

efforts (box 3) are based on the premises that decision making on areas of service delivery is best done

at local level as sub-national governments are better informed of on the ground needs6. Being an

archipelago with diverse islands both geographically and economically, the government intends to

invigorated local economic development as per the PEDS (Box 3). Doing so will not only contribute to

higher growth, but also respond to considerations such as (i) reducing inter-islands inequalities, (ii)

easing pressure on inter-island migration (2015 AEO) and (iii) assist secondary cities across islands in

leading the way on structural transformation (2016 AEO). Country specific analysis undertaken in the

2015 African Economic Outlook (AEO) focusing on territorial development and spatial inclusion

suggests that territorial imbalances in Cabo Verde are not only based on social service delivery, but also

on economic opportunities, leading to internal migration pressures. Similarly, the 2016 AEO focuses

6 Tiebout (1961) argued that the decentralization of public goods provision allowed governments to better respond to individual needs

(Brueckner 2000). Similarly, Oates (1972) theorized about the inefficiencies stemming from a uniform spatial provision of public goods

and services. Decentralisation efforts embedded in policy making are sourced from these works. In this case, decentralization is part of a

broader state reform aimed at improving service delivery and accountability. This “New Public Management” approach posits that by

being closer to the users, efficiency gains are obtained.

BOX 3: Decentralization and local development in Cabo Verde

Cape Verde is formed by 10 islands, in which 9 are inhabited. The decentralization process of public administration in Cabo Verde has gone

a long way since independence with 14 municipalities in 1975 to 22 in 2005. The island of Santiago, most populated, has 9 municipalities,

Santo Antão 3, Fogo 3 and São Nicolau 2. The remaining 5 are in the islands of São Vicente, Maio, Brava, Sal and Boa Vista, each with one

municipality. In addition to the growing number of municipalities, recent data from the National Institute of Statistic (INE) shows that the

national population has increased during the years: in 1990 there were 341,491 residents in the archipelago, and 531,239 in 2016. In addition

to the increased population, a shift in the trend of the rural population was also verified: in 1990 56% of the population was living in rural

areas and 35.7% in 2016.

The legal framework for decentralization in Cabo Verde is enshrined in the Constitution and defined in the Law nº 134/IV/95 which underlines

administrative autonomy (Article 2) and financial autonomy (Article 3). The current legislation regarding financial autonomy was upgraded

and approved into law in 2005 (Law of Local finance nº 79/VI/2005). This law defines the general and specific rules, as well as how each

municipality can manage their revenues, accumulate debts and receive transferences from the central government. In order to deepen the

decentralization process, in 2010 the government approved the Decentralization Framework Law nº69/VII/2010. Municipalities have thus

been given the power to control their social/economic development policies, taking into account their rights and duties. They also hold the

power among other things, to elaborate their own development plans, approve and implement their budgets and projects, and create

partnerships close to international entities in order to boost local development.

On a developmental level, the country still faces social and economic obstacles linked to its territorial configuration: there are socio-economic

discrepancies between the touristic islands (Sal, Boa Vista, Santiago and Sao Vicente) in relation to the others islands. These differences are

also be found at local level where recent data from municipalities indicates that in some cases the global poverty incidence is higher than

50%. Due to unbalanced socio-economic developments across the country, the current government’s policy emphasises that specific efforts

must be made towards strengthening democracy at regional level as a key element to support decentralization especially as the country’s

fragmented market imposes several constraints related to equal/equitable development.

BOX 2: Overcoming the Middle Income Trap

To overcome stagnation at middle-income levels

structural characteristics of the economy are

important, as is infrastructure level, financial breadth

and depth and labor market characteristics. Factor

productivity is crucial in this regard. To this end,

“macroeconomic stability and trade openness are

necessary for productivity growth, they are not

sufficient. Small MICs need to improve the quality of

their public spending, most notably on education to

minimize the skill mismatch in the labor market,

reduce the regulatory burden on firms, improve

access to finance by SMEs and create the enabling

environment to facilitate structural transformation in

these economies”.

Source: Abdychev et al. (2014), Increasing Productivity Growth

in Middle Income Countries, IMF Working Paper WP/15/2.

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on sustainable cities and structural transformation, suggesting that the country’s urban renewal

(including based on economic opportunities) can be an important driver of structural transformation.

2.3.1. Cabo Verde’s recent reforms to improve its

business environment have been positive, but mask a

large degree of variation in performance across key

indicators. As shown in graph 3, the country performs well

on some Doing Business (DB) indicators such as contract

enforcement or licensing, but lags in issues regarding to

investor protection or closing businesses (including

insolvency). Recent business environment improvement

measures – some of which were supported by the previous

PACE budget support – have included the streamlining of

administrative procedures for entrepreneurs with the

opening of a one-stop shop, the adoption of the revised Tax

Code on tax benefits for investments, the operationalization of the online business tax return filing

system, or the adoption of a new legislation on insolvency. To date, Cabo Verde is ranked 129th out of

190 economies in the 2017 DB report.

2.3.2. According to the Global Competitiveness Report 2017-

2018, which presents the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI)

with 12 pillars ranging from institutions and infrastructure to the

macroeconomic environment and goods market efficiency,

Cabo Verde ranks 110th out of 144 countries, with a score of

3.76 out of 7. This performance is a slight improvement over the

last five years with a move from 122nd out of 148 countries, with

a score of 3.5 out of 7 in 2013-2014. It would appear from the

report that the main obstacles to the competitiveness of Cabo

Verde's economy is not only the limited size of the domestic

market, but also the difficulty of obtaining credit due to the

interest rates (extremely high despite the excess liquidity of

commercial banks), the lack of basic infrastructure and labor-

market mismatches. This is compounded by the level of informality in the economy. The informal

economy represents 12.1% of GDP (INE 2015). Indeed, economic activity in Cabo Verde is mostly

conducted by small, mostly informal, firms. In 2015, the business sector was comprised of 9,357 formal

firms providing 52,783 jobs and approximately 33,000 informal firms providing close to 40,000 jobs

(World Bank 2017). Developing private sector competitiveness should include actions to support Micro,

Medium and Small Enterprises (MSMEs). The need to simplify the process to register MSMEs is

highlighted in the draft government strategy for the transition from the informal to the formal sector.

2.3.3. Factor productivity is a key constraint for improved competitiveness. As previously noted,

a growth accounting analysis indicates that the reduction in the rate of growth verified over the period

2007-2014 is partly due to the negative growth of total factor productivity (technical annex 4), and a

slowing contribution of labor. Technology absorption, training and education are crucial to boost total

factor productivity. Improved information and communication technology (ICT) penetration, better

inter-island transportation, and R&D activities are key determinants. In this regard, progress on some

Bank funded projects such as the Praia Technological Park or the port of Maio is key. Equally important

are market “misallocations” such as gender discrimination7 which should be addressed through active

policies aimed at women’s economic participation. Similarly, reducing skills mismatch relative to

private sector needs is a key factor to increase competitiveness and promote youth employment.

According the last World Bank Enterprise Surveys, 49% of firms in Cabo Verde have identified an

7 According to a recent study, closing the gap between men and women in the work force could increase the country’s GDP by 12.2%.

See Marone, Heloisa (2016), Demographic Dividends, Gender Equality, and Economic Growth: The Case of Cabo Verde, IMF Working

Paper WP/16/169, Washington D.C.: International Monetary Fund.

Graph 3: 2017 Doing business ranking

-10

40

90

140

190

Ease of Doing

Business

Starting a

business

Dealing with

licenses

Registering

property

Getting credit

Protecting

investors

Paying taxes

Trading across

borders

Enforcing

contracts

Closing a

business

Graph 4: Contributions of Labor, Capital and

Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in the average

growth in the total Value Added

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

1980 - 1987 1987-1997 1997-2007 2007-2014

TFP Labor capital Physical Capital

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inadequately educated workforce as a major constraint of business environment (average sub-Saharan

Africans 19.4%). In addition, the absence of core strategies such as one for industrial development or

the blue economy are also limiting factors.

2.3.4. Moving the competitiveness agenda forward requires both leadership and reforms

coordination. An analysis of Cabo Verde’s performance in terms of Doing Business reforms over the

past years reveals that the lack of coordination between agencies on the reform agenda is currently a

significant constraint. To date, involved stakeholders tend to work with little or no coordination. A

coordination unit exists within the Prime Minister’s office but is virtually staff-free, without a strong

mandate, and narrowly focused on Doing Business indicators rather that the competitiveness agenda at

large. This leads to slow implementation and missed opportunities to streamline actions. According to

the World Bank, a review of factors which allowed some countries around the world to achieve great

leaps in competitiveness indicators brings out two important factors: (i) leadership and (ii) a solid

coordination unit.

2.4.1. The last public finance review notably the 2015 Public Expenditure and Financial

Accountability (PEFA) assessment, the IMF 2017 mission, and the Bank’s 2018 review indicate

that Cabo Verde’s public finance management (PFM) system has made significant strides

(Technical annex 2). The 2015 PEFA assessment concluded that the performance of the country's PFM

system was satisfactory, with 24 indicators out of 28 having a PEFA score of C+ or above (8 A, 9 B or

B+ and 7 C+). Over the past few years, the authorities have taken several structural reform initiatives

to further improve the public finance management system. Hence, progress has been achieved with

respect to completeness, transparency and supervision, particularly through the introduction of

programme-based classification, Treasury management reforms, and the deployment of an Integrated

Financial and Budget Management System (SIGOF) in all ministries. Regarding SIGOF, work remains

to be done for its integration with the Municipality information System (SIM), which would itself first

require harmonisation and upgrade. This would ensure proper accounting of Municipal finances with

that of central government. In addition, to further strengthen public financial management, it would be

necessary to accelerate the State’s property inventory, while also complementing internal control’s

capacity to oversee public private partnerships.

2.4.2. As regards to external control, the February 2018 law expanding the Court of Auditors remit is

a positive move forward. This law will reinforce and enlarge the oversight and audit mandate of the

Court of Auditors namely by increasing the scope of entities subject to external control, the adoption of

performance audit and the possibility of carrying out concomitant audit. The posting on the Ministry of

Finance website of the draft Budget Framework Bill and the draft Public Debt Bill for public

consultation enabled increased transparency. The revisions of both Bills have been approved by the

council of Ministers and are deemed to be fundamental steps in the consolidation of the PFM legal

architecture and PFM reform which will contribute to the modernization of financial management and

control processes. Lastly, there is a need to accelerate efforts to reinforce a performance and evaluation

culture in the public sector. In a context of increasing modernization of the economy, it becomes

increasingly crucial to provide sufficient quantitative and qualitative means to properly ensure the

enforcement of 'checks and balances' and to preserve the overall good functioning of the administration.

2.5 Inclusive, Growth, Poverty Situation and Social Context

2.5.1 While overall poverty declined sharply since the 1990-2007 period, spatial (inter-island)

and gender inequalities remain important. National poverty rates dropped sharply from 49% in 1990

to 26.6% in 2007 and 24.2% in 2015. There are still strong gender- and community-based disparities:

33% of women-headed households are poor, compared to 21% of male-headed households (INE, 2015).

Therefore, poverty remains widespread among women-headed households, which represent almost half

(46%) of all households (INE, 2017). The poverty rate was 15% in urban areas, compared to 40.9% in

rural areas. Similarly, poverty rates on islands with better tourism infrastructure, notably Sal and Boa

Vista, are less than half of the national average. Hence, a more equitable development between islands,

between rural and urban areas and between women and men is key for inclusive growth in the country.

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2.5.2 The structure of the Caboverdian labour market is characterized by regional disparities

and vulnerability of young people to unemployment. While counter-cyclical spending initially

helped reduce unemployment - bringing the rate from 13.1% in 2009 to 10.7 % in 2010 – it however

rose again to 12.2% in 2011 and reached 15% in 2016. The increase in national unemployment rate is

aligned with the steep rise in unemployment among women, which rose from 11.2% in 2015 to 17.4%

in 2016, whereas unemployment among men dropped from 15% to 12.9% over the same period. There

are also regional disparities, with unemployment hitting certain regions particularly hard: 15.9% in

Boavista; 15.7% in Praia; and 14.5% in Sao Vicente. Unemployment among young people, who

represent half of the working population, is a source of concern as the unemployment rate for the age

cohort 15-24 is 41%. The unemployed population is mainly constituted by youth looking for their first

job (74.3%). This situation underlines a mismatch in the labor market: the economy does not produce

enough jobs to absorb the number of newly active youth. Promoting an enabling environment for

competitiveness of private sector, boosting the local economy and supporting youth entrepreneurship is

key to response to such challenges. There are also issues pertaining to the quality of jobs for women

and for people in rural areas. The rate of underemployment is 26.1% overall, while people in rural areas

(46.3%) and women (28.2%) are mostly affected. Furthermore, a significant number of workers do not

have access to social protection and decent job. Workers without written contracts amount to 50% and

only 36% of them have been registered in the social prevention institute in 2015 (INE 2015).

2.5.3 Despite the progress made in the education system, a qualitative mismatch is observed in

the labor market: the skills provided by the education system are not aligned with the needs of

the private sector. Basic education is satisfactory overall. The literacy rate is 85% for women and 93%

for men; in rural areas, it is stands at 74% for women and 87% for men. Parity between boys and girls

has been achieved at the primary school level and the literacy rate is at 98% for both genders in the 15-

24 age group. At the secondary school level, the enrolment rate is 98.3% for boys and 87.7% for girls.

At the same time the unemployment rate of secondary school graduate is very high (55%). Improving

the quality of education and its relevance for the needs of the economy remains a challenge. In 2014,

the Government approved the Integrated Policy for Education, Training and Employment (PIEFE),

which focuses on youth employability.

2.5.4 With life expectancy at 72 years for men and 80 years for women, the quality of life of the

people of Cabo Verde is higher than the continental average (60 years). The main health sector

indicators are much higher than those of most African countries. The Human Development Index (HDI)

stood at 0.646 in 2014, slightly above the average of 0.630 for MICs. With regard to infant mortality,

the rate fell from 22 per 1 000 in 2013 to 21 per 1 000 in 2015. However, there are major disparities in

terms of access to and quality of health services across islands.

2.5.5 Although the performance in terms of gender equality are positive, certain challenges

remain (Technical annex 10). Women enjoy the same legal rights as men, including rights under family

law, property law, and in the judicial system. According to the Bank’s gender equality index, Cabo

Verde ranks 9th on the continent. Despite this performance, women in Cabo Verde, especially the 36%

of them living in rural areas, continue to face gender-based disparities, notably with regard to access to

decent income and participation in political life. Even when they obtain basic infrastructure for greater

productivity or to improve their productivity on a small scale in agriculture, fisheries and trade, they are

more vulnerable than men, especially in rural areas. Gender disparities in unemployment rates,

particularly between young men and women, indicate an uneven access to resources.

III. GOVERNMENT DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME

3.1. Government’s Overall Development Strategy and Medium-Term Reform Priorities

3.1.1 Cabo Verde's development strategy is enshrined in the Economic Plan for Sustainable

Development (PEDS) 2017-2021. The authorities set a global orientation in the IXth legislature’s

government programme published in 2016. They are opting for divestiture of the State from the

economy, to make the private sector the real driver of growth in a manner that considers the priority

needs of the people and improvements of their living conditions and lifestyles. This vision is laid out

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and detailed in the 2017-2021 PEDS which contains three strategic thrusts. The first thrust focuses on

establishing a new economic growth model, having as sub-components economic diversification,

structural reforms, and development of the islands as economic units. The second thrust targets the

delivery of social services by the State, human capital, quality of life and fight against inequality. The

third thrust concerns a new State model, with a focus on such issues as security, justice, defence and

making optimal use of the Diaspora.

3.1.2 PSC-LED-I will support the implementation of Cabo Verde’s overall development

strategy. More specifically, it will support the National Development Plan’s objective geared

towards a move to private sector led growth and local economic development. As noted in the

policy development letter (annex 1), “for a proper and efficient execution of the PEDS, it requires : (1)

a model of economic growth based on private investment, on complementing a social and shared

economy and on social and territorial inclusion; (2) a major focus on local and regional development

via greater decentralisation”. This policy based operation, whose objective is to build on the gains of

previous operations as well as continue support for new efforts by the GoCV to make the economy more

competitive and inclusive, is thus consistent with GoCV's matrix of programme reforms. Support for

key structural reforms aimed at improving the competitiveness, and spurring local economic

development will help to achieve the goals laid out in the PEDS. With regards to the former, PSC-LED

will support the shift in growth paradigm through reforms aimed at furthering competitiveness by lifting

binding constraints for businesses. With regards to the latter, PSC-LED takes into account the drive for

a new State model underpinned by higher efficiency of service delivery and locally induced

development through decentralization. Being an archipelago with geographically and economically

diverse islands, PSC-LED intends to invigorate local economic development as per the PEDS.

3.2. Challenges in Implementing the National Development Programme

2.5.6 Cabo Verde faces several challenges that could hamper its economic growth in the

medium term. In the first instance, the country faces a series of structural constraints relating to the

small size of its domestic market, the fragmentation of the country into several islands, and the lack of

natural resources over which the authorities have little or no control. In addition to these structural

challenges due to nature, there are others that the authorities should address to ensure sustained growth

in the years ahead, among which: (i) control of debt levels by seeking other sources of financing,

especially private sources, and by improving the management of public enterprises and major public

investment projects to ensure better achievement of the desired effects in terms of economic growth;

and (ii) diversification of the economy by creating conditions conducive to private sector development.

Being limited in size and in view of infrastructural problems related to the country’s insularity, the said

sector faces a number of difficulties stemming from the cost of factors of production (electricity and

transport), the poor quality of labour, bureaucracy and the weakness of the supervisory structure put in

place to support the development of small- and micro-sized enterprises (SMEs). The issue of financial

inclusion of SMEs needs to be resolved, in view of the fact that the difficulty which project owners have

in finding project guarantees/guarantors, or simply the lack of “bankable” projects, severely restrains

the transition of SMEs to medium-sized competitive enterprises.

3.3. Consultation and Participation Processes

3.1.1 Cabo Verdean authorities conducted extensive consultations with all stakeholders to

ensure broad-based ownership of the country's overall development strategy. The consultations

were held both at the national level and on each island. The authorities held talks with Members of

Parliament, local elected officials, representatives of civil society and the private sector, the media and

technical and financial partners. A series of institutional mechanisms (Steering Committee comprising

thematic groups) guided the preparation of the PEDS to ensure a broad understanding and involvement

of all stakeholders.

3.1.2 The design of PSC-LED-I was also preceded by extensive consultations to ensure

ownership by entities involved in the various reforms supported by this operation. The

consultations involved authorities responsible for promoting the effectiveness of public investment in

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the Ministry of Finance, representative structures of the private sector and professional associations

(Chambers of Commerce, Banks, Insurance companies), and TFPs (the World Bank, the European

Union, IMF, etc.). These consultations afforded an opportunity to assess the progress achieved in

implementing the reforms supported by previous programmes (PACE I & II) and to discuss with

beneficiaries the challenges that should be addressed in order to improve the governance of public

enterprises and promote private investment in Cabo Verde. Participants in the consultations put forward

suggestions which were taken up by the Bank for discussion with authorities and allowed the Bank to

have a comprehensive view of reforms to be supported. It should be noted that in order to ensure

accountability to lower-level beneficiaries, the Bank will initiate discussions with authorities on the

monitoring and evaluation of public policies to ensure feedback to the population.

IV. BANK SUPPORT FOR THE GOVERNMENT’S STRATEGY

4.1. Linkage with Bank Strategy

4.1.1 The Policy-Based Operation (PBO) is fully aligned with the GoCV Development Strategy

(PEDS) which it intends to accompany. The program’s goal is to support the National Development

Plan’s objective geared towards a move to private sector led growth and local economic development.

It is thus by definition aligned to the PEDS covering the 2017-2021 period. The program is also aligned

with the CSP priority of strengthening economic governance in the public and private sectors. In

particular, it is consistent with the orientations of the authorities for the disengagement of the State in

favor of partnership with the private sector and decentralized communities as highlighted in the CSP’s

mid-term review. In addition, the PSC-LED’s strategic orientation reflects priorities of the Bank’s GAP

II (2014-2018) as set in its third pillar “investment and business climate”. Lastly, it is aligned with the

“Improving the quality of life for Africans” High 5 priority through private sector development and its

focus on spatial (economic) inequalities. PSC-LED is also aligned with the “Industrialise Africa”

priority through measures supporting industrial policy development and the reduction in costs for factors

of production necessary for industrial development.

4.2. Compliance with Eligibility Criteria

4.2.1 Cabo Verde fulfils the eligibility criteria for general budget support operations defined

in the Bank’s Policy on Programme-Based Operations, adopted in March 2014 (ADB/BD/IF/2014/40). The detailed analysis of these criteria is attached as Technical Annex 1. With

regard to GoCV’s commitment to reducing poverty, it is worth noting that by properly implementing

the previous national development plan (GPRSP III), the country succeeded in improving the living

conditions of the population by slashing the poverty rate from 49% in 1989 to about 24.2% in 2015.

The current PEDS sets clear targets for poverty and social inequality reduction. Concerning macro-

economic stability, the latest IMF report and the November 2017 Budget Support Group (BSG) mission

concluded that the country’s macroeconomic framework was stable. Cabo Verde’s debt distress risk

remains moderate and medium-term prospects are on the upside, thanks mainly to the performance of

the tourism sector and the expected rebound in Eurozone economies. Regarding political stability, Cabo

Verde is one of the most politically stable countries in Africa. In terms of the fiduciary review, thanks

to efforts aimed at improving the fiduciary framework, the Bank’s review concluded that the risk was

moderate and that the public finance management system fulfilled Bank requirements for budget support

operations. Lastly, efforts are being made to further strengthen harmonisation between the Bank and

other TFPs, especially the World Bank, the European Union, Luxemburg, Portugal and Spain – all part

of the Budget Support Group.

4.3. Collaboration and Coordination with other Partners

4.3.1 The Bank is active within the Cabo Verde Budget Support Group (BSG). It participates in

the deliberations of the BSG (Multilateral: the Bank, the World Bank and the European Union; Bilateral:

Portugal and Luxemburg) which meets twice yearly - in May and November. For a two-year period

starting in November 2017, the Bank is presiding the BSG. While there is no common matrix for

monitoring the reforms supported by the various TFPs of the BSG in their respective budget support

operations, the measures targeted by this programme were previously discussed with the TFPs of the

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BSG and selected based on the comparative advantages and value added of each participant, with a view

to harmonization, in accordance with the Paris Declaration. However, under the Bank’s leadership a

common matrix is being drawn to integrate and streamline all BSG reform indicators. This matrix

should be used from the 2018 BSG meetings onwards. During the preparation of the PSC-LED, the

Bank undertook a mission in parallel with the World Bank. In addition, extensive stakeholder

consultations were held with private sector representatives as well as central and sub-national

government entities. BSG members operate a complementary division of labour: as the Bank is

concerned with growth and competitiveness, the World Bank lays emphasis mainly on fiscal matters,

public enterprises and debt management, while the European Union focuses on public financial

management. Luxembourg is concerned with employment and employability while Portugal on security

issues. In addition, the Bank led consultation and partnerships with UNDP (on local economic

planning), ILO (on firm formalisation) and UNIDO (on industrial strategy). PSC-LED has been

designed in a manner whereby the engagement of each of these institutions through technical assistance

is leveraged at the policy level.

4.4. Linkage with Other Bank Operations

4.4.1 On 31 April 2018, the Bank’s portfolio in Cabo Verde comprised 11 operations for a total

commitment of UA 81.03 million. The portfolio comprises one private sector operation namely

Cabeolica Wind project which amounted EUR 15 million and has been fully disbursed. The sectoral

breakdown of the portfolio is as follow: information and communication technology (ICT) (32.7%),

transport (29.7%), governance (22.7%), energy (10.4%), social (1.6%), and water and sanitation (0.8%).

The performance of the Bank’s portfolio in Cabo Verde is deemed satisfactory with a score of 3 on a

scale of 1 to 4. The main indicators of that performance are: (i) the average effectiveness timeframe

dropped from 9.7 months in 2013 to 6 months in 2017; (ii) the average timeframe between approval and

initial disbursement dropped from 16.3 months in 2013 to 9.5 months in 2017; (iii) the average portfolio

age was 3.4 years in 2018; (iv) 54% of projects are managed by the AfDB Office in Senegal (COSN);

(v) the disbursement rate was 52.7% in April 2018; (vi) the portfolio does not include any problematic

project (PP) or potentially problematic project (PPP) categories. The Government and the Bank have

made a commitment to actively implement the provisions of Presidential Directive No. 02/2015

concerning the design, implementation and cancellation of Bank Group sovereign operations.

4.4.2 The PBO has links with other Bank projects. It builds on the achievements of PACE by

taking a step further in reforms related to private sector development. While the PACE focused both on

the domestic private sector as well as foreign investment, the PSC-LED focuses on endogenous and

local development. The Bank is providing technical assistance projects finance through MIC and FAPA

Grants in support of MSME development and towards establishing a PPP framework. As the PSC-LED

will support local economic development, the Bank is working towards a new Results-Based-Financing

(RBF) operation for 2019 on the issue to complement and deepen its engagement.

4.4.3 In designing this programme-based operation the lessons from previous Bank operations

in Cabo Verde were taken into account. The Bank has financed several budget support operations in

Cabo Verde over the past few years. The Public Corporate Governance and Investment Promotion

Support Programme, Phases I and II, approved in 2013 and 2014 respectively, and the Economic

Growth Support Programme Phase I and II (PACE-I & II) approved in 2015 and 2017 enabled, among

others: (i) the improvement of public finance management and macro-economic stability through better

budgetary and financial management, tighter control of public expenditure, and greater transparency in

the public procurement system; (ii) improvements in the formalisation of SME access to credit; (iii) the

improvement of public corporate governance by strengthening the regulatory framework of economic

activity and redefining relations between the State and public enterprises; and (iv) the improvement of

private investment promotion through a more attractive investment climate and better management of

pro-PPP public investments. The completion reports of previous programmes concluded that Cabo

Verde’s performance was satisfactory in the area of implementation and in terms of ownership by the

authorities of the structural reforms agreed upon with the Bank. The great strides made by these

programmes (see Annex 3) are all the more reason for continuing to support the reform efforts of GoCV,

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in conjunction with other development partners. Thus, in designing PSC-LED-I based on a programme-

based approach spanning two years (2018 and 2019), account was taken of the key lessons from these

operations, summarized in Table 2 below.

Table 2: Lessons from Previous Bank Operations

4.5. Analytical Underpinnings of this Operation

4.5.1 The PBO is underpinned by a wide range of analytical work. Two background papers were

elaborated by the Bank to inform the operation. They include (i) a paper on Local Economic

Development and Decentralization (technical annex 6) and (ii) a paper on total factor productivity

(technical annex 4). Both are being considered for publication under the Bank’s knowledge products

and will become part of the dialogue tools in the context of the PSC-LED. Other Bank driven analytical

underpinnings include (iii) the 2017 gender profile, (iv) the 2018 African Economic Outlook country

note and its macroeconomic analysis, (v) the 2015 African Economic Outlook focusing on territorial

development and spatial inclusion, (vi) the 2016 African Economic Outlook focusing on the role of

urban centers beyond capital cities and structural transformation, (v) the draft PCR of PACE I and II,

(vii) the 2016 updated Financial Risk Assessment, (viii) the Bank’s Country Policy and Institution

Assessment (CPIA), and (ix) the Bank’s CSP 2014-2018 and its mid-term review. IMF reports, the

World Bank’s Doing Business report and the WEF Competitiveness Report were also used. In addition,

the PBO leaned on analysis and diagnostics undertaken by the UNDP (through their local economic

development project), on UNIDO for the development of the industrial strategy and ILO on the

formalization of informal enterprises and on their diagnostic for the Special Regime for Micro and Small

Enterprises (REMP).

5 PROPOSED PROGRAMME

5.1 Programme Goal and Objective

5.1.1 PSC-LED intends to support the authorities’ medium-term goal for inclusive growth and

economic diversification, with particular attention given to the domestic private sector and local

actors given their potential contribution to the economy. It will support the National Development

Plan’s objective geared towards a move to private sector led growth and local economic development.

While the previous PACE budget support focus was on the private sector at large, including the

attraction of FDI, the PSC-LED narrows its focus on the domestic private sector, its competitiveness

and local economic development across islands. Noting that substantial progress has been made towards

regulatory simplification under PACE, maintaining the momentum and completing the reform agenda

will be critical, adding to it (i) a local development dimension, (ii) a productivity dimension.

5.1.2 In this context, the program’s proposed development objective is to promote inclusive and

sustainable economic development. It will support PEDS’s objective geared towards a move to private

sector led growth and local economic development. It will address key constraints for (i) private sector

development and competitiveness and (ii) local economic development and governance. Both elements

are complementary since efficient local economic structures are needed to provide the necessary

environment for MSME to develop across all islands. The inclusiveness of the operation is guaranteed

to the extent that the PSC-LED will seek to respond to spatial inequalities by promoting local economic

development according to each island’s comparative advantage.

Key Lessons Reflection in PSC-LED-I

Budget support operations must be carried

out in parallel with institutional support

projects targeting the same priority sectors.

A MIC grant on professional training is currently underway and will help

materialise some of the measures in PSC-LED. In addition, projects financed with

MIC grants should be developed depending on funding availability to target fiscal

decentralisation.

Disbursement conditions must be realistic

and reflect the country’s capacity.

Meetings between technical directorates during preparation and appraisal helped to

ensure that measures proposed in PSC-LED-I were feasible. Its design follows a

programme-based approach (2 single-tranche operations) which leaves room for

flexibility on reform measures precedent to Board presentation and for maintaining

dialogue on reforms to ensure their effective implementation.

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5.2 Programme Components

5.2.1 PSC-LED-I is structured around two complementary components. Designed using an

complementary approach with the operations of other TFPs while ensuring full ownership by Cabo

Verdean authorities and taking into account the country’s challenges, PSC-LED-I is based on two

components:

(1) Promotion of competitiveness and private sector development. Particular attention will be given

to (i) improved legal framework and systems for business competitiveness and investment, (ii)

skills development anchored in private sector needs and (iii) improved factor efficiency in

support of MSME development. These areas reflect key dimensions of competitiveness, which

is defined here as “a set of institutions, policies and factors that determine the level of

productivity of a country” (WEF definition). Measures that take into account institutions and

policies are proposed in the PSC-LED (through legislative enhancement and administrative

organization), as well as reforms to boost factor effectiveness and efficiency. That includes the

improved understanding of differences in business environment constraints faced by men and

women entrepreneurs. (2) Promotion of local economic development and local governance. Particular attention will be

given to (i) improved local government support for enterprise development, (ii) updated

legislative framework for local economic development and decentralization and (iii) improved

local economic development planning. This component is in line with the authorities shift from

planning at an aggregate level towards planning at a sub-national level to ensure that growth

potential from each particular part of the country is unearthed. The overall policy matrix is

presented in annex 2.

Component I – Promoting competitiveness and private sector development

5.2.2 While recent reforms have considerably contributed towards establishing the foundations for

improved competitiveness, both international rankings on the business environment and data on factor

productivity suggest there is still much to do. The PSC-LED will ensure that the reforms initiated and

supported under the last budget support operation (PACE) related to business enabling environment,

are taken forward, while also supporting further priority actions.

a) Context, challenges and recent government actions

5.2.3 Many of the indicators available (WEF Competitiveness indicators, Doing Business report, etc.)

highlight several categories of challenges for Cabo Verde which include (i) access to finance, (ii)

bureaucracy and the completeness and usefulness of the legal arsenal for businesses, (iii) skills and

labour markets, (iv) factor efficiency including land or inputs such as electricity. While a number of

critical policies and legislative frameworks have been approved, institutions and IT-systems established,

two issues are currently coming up. First, not all are all fully effective. Important gaps remain such as

for instance in the case of tax expenditure incentives, or the functioning of access to finance schemes.

Second, much of the reforms targeting the private sector had a stronger focus on the attraction of foreign

investment (investment code reforms, tax exemptions for FDI). This leaves gaps for the domestic private

sector which continues to suffer from important constraints linked to skills, access to finance and

bureaucracy.

5.2.4 Competitiveness reform coordination: As previously noted, an analysis of Cabo Verde’s

performance in competitiveness reforms over the past years reveals a lack of coordination between

agencies on the reform agenda. According to the World Bank, a review of factors which allowed some

countries around the world to achieve great leaps in their Doing business ranking brings out two

important factors: (i) leadership and (ii) a solid coordination unit. More than 30 economies around the

world have established units dedicated to the competitiveness and business environment agenda. More

often than not, they are composed of a steering committee with high level political leadership and an

operational secretariat.

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Key PSC-LED measures: (1) Setting a well-functioning reforms coordination infrastructure will be

determinant in the PSC-LED’ success and will as such constitute “action precedent to PSC-LED-I”.

5.2.5 Access to finance: Usage and availability of financial services is a core constraint for MSMEs

in Cabo Verde. Lending tends to focus on real estate and construction activities, while the banking

system in general is characterized by a persistent situation of excess liquidity. Cabo Verde recently

improved its credit information system by adopting in 2014 a new law providing for the establishment

of private credit bureaus8. This could enable better risk management by banks and smoother lending

processes for people under coverage by the bureaus. Although the Central Bank has a credit information

system, it cannot (by law) cover some elements that private bureaus can, such as history on utility bill

payments or fiscal information. However, the establishment of a private bureau faces institutional and

regulatory issues and is yet to be opened. Concurrently, the authorities launched in 2010 CV-Garante,

a credit guarantee scheme. The objective of this fund was for banks to increase access to finance to

MSMEs. The guarantee fund would work as a partial credit guarantee where banks take a share of the

risk with a counter-guarantee from a public fund. Its set-up and operationalization has however been

ineffective. An assessment of the system conducted by the World Bank in 2016 found that its

governance, institutional structure, and design had rendered it unattractive for banks as a risk-sharing

mechanism and as such did not meet many of the principles for Public Credit Guarantee (PCG) schemes.

For instance, its approval processes were deemed complex and cumbersome, and bring no value-added

compared to the risk reviews conducted by banks. In 2018, the government launched a new USD 10

million guarantee fund. The fund is expected to be managed by a private entity (the Fund Manager) who

will be chosen on a competitive basis. The Fund Manager will develop risk measures and exercise

control on operations.

Key PSC-LED measures: (2) Effective operationalization of the risk-sharing facility (credit guarantee),

which will constitute “action precedent to PSC-LED-I”. This is in continuation of the PACE which

supported measures to establish the Fund that is currently being structured with World Bank assistance. The

establishment of the guarantee registry will accompany this measure for effectiveness reasons. PSC-LED

will also seek to accompany the operationalization of credit bureaus. Although the legal framework is in

place for it to operate, PSC-LED will support the set-up of a working commission including the Central

Bank, CreditInfo, the chamber of commerce and Ministry of Economy to address pending issues (annex 2).

This approach will strengthen focus on gender equitable access to financial services.

5.2.6 Legal framework for competitiveness: In 2016, the National Assembly approved the Recovery

and Insolvency Code (Law 116/VIII/2016 of September 1st). The code came to bridge a key legislative

gap noting that previous provisions on insolvency were anchored in legislation dating from 1962, i.e.

before independence. This legislation is important to the extent that the lack of clear insolvency

procedures implies that losses in the event of bankruptcy are likely to be greater for all parties. This is

mainly due to the fact that as legal challenges on assets of insolvent firms can for instance bear a cost

to all parties, including the insolvents firm’s remaining resources. The approved code is broadly up-to-

date with international practice. Still, there remains key secondary legislation which needs to be passed

for completeness. The law provides for new professions such as that of insolvency mediator, or judicial

insolvency administrator. However, the statutes, guidelines, and regulatory practices for these

administrators is yet to be drafted. In addition to dealing with insolvency issues, Cabo Verde is to update

its corporate code (codigo das sociedades comercias). The current code dates from 1999. At the time,

it was based on the premises of a changing economy that takes into account entrepreneurs and

cooperatives – two entities which were not properly delineated in previous legislation. It however

presents some shortcomings, most notably in relation to the protection of minority investors. According

to the 2018 Doing Business report, Cabo Verde ranks 164th out of 190 countries, falling behind Guinea-

Bissau (138th) or Angola (81st).

8 Private credit bureaus in Africa tend to perform in terms of softening of financial constraints as shown in Triki, T. and O. Gadjigo (2012),

Credit Bureaus and Registries and Access to Finance: New Evidence from 42 African Countries, African Development Bank, WP 154.

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Key PSC-LED measures: (3) the revision of the code for commercial companies (codigo das empresas

comerciais) to include harmonized procedures for business registrations, and provisions for protection of

minority investors is a key measure in order to facilitate enterprise creation and reduce bureaucracy. (4) In

the same vein the statutes, guidelines, and regulatory practice for judicial insolvency administrators will

form another key measure supported by the operation.

5.2.7 Promoting firm formalization and development: The informal sector in Cabo Verde plays an

important role in the economy (with a contribution of about 25% of GDP) and in terms of social

development (70% of jobs). The potentialities of this sector should be supported by Government through

a strategy of transition from informal to formal sector. Reforms and measures are crucial to improving

its productivity, provide decent jobs and promote the growth of MSMEs. Indeed, of the more than 33

000 individual production units (IPU) that were on record in 2015, approximately 85% operate in the

informal sector9. Of this number, almost 63% were created or belonged to women. Against this

background, Law No. 70 / VIII / 2014 of 26 August created the Special Regime for Micro and Small

Enterprises – (REMPE). The REMPE entails simplified taxation measures for Micro and small

enterprises (MSEs), as well as positive discrimination in public procurement (25% of public

procurements and 10% of the value of the public works contract must be outsourced to MSEs). The

implementation of the REMPE has however encountered difficulties which include the absence or delay

in the publication of the regulations, the lack of financial resources for implementation, or instability as

it has undergone 3 revisions over the past two years.

Key PSC-LED measures: (5) set-up of an inter-institutional committee on the transition from the informal

to the formal sector which will constitute an “action precedent to PSC-LED-I”. The approval of the strategy

from the informal to the formal sector as well as the social security mechanisms in partnership with ILO and

in a participatory process as recommended by the Gender profile will constitute the second level objective

to be pursued by the committee. The PSC-LED will also endeavour to support the update of the Special

Regime for Micro and Small Enterprises (REMP) together with ILO (annex 2).

5.2.8 Skills development: On skills development to strengthen local MSME competitiveness, the

main challenge is to better anchor the technical and vocational education and training (TVET) system

to private sector requirements. The PEDS identified dynamic sectors through which the country can

boost its economic growth through agriculture, industrial transformation, tourism, transport/logistic,

new technology. Vocational training should prepare qualified human resources to take opportunities in

these sectors and promote youth entrepreneurship. Conversely, youth are more exposed to

unemployment. New data for 2016 from the National Statistics Institute (INE) show the lack of jobs:

the unemployment rate for the age cohort 15-24 is 41%, which means that almost half of youth who are

in the labor market seeking work do not find jobs, and amongst youth workers, 31% are under-employed

suggesting a low level of labor productivity.

5.2.9 Against this background, a roadmap to develop the Public-Private Partnership in the TVET

system is key to improving competitiveness and youth employment. The involvement of the private

sector is key in the TVET system. Presently, the training centers have not created strong links with the

private sector and professional associations. This link can be developed gradually from ‘skills

anticipation’ studies, the participation in the governance of training centers, involvement in the

implementation of training, or the evaluation of the external returns of training systems. The

development of apprenticeship programs is one way of developing this partnership between firms and

training centers. This training modality can provide an alternative model of education anchored in the

productive system. Traditionally, in Cabo Verde several young people acquire technical skills in the

informal sector. Such learning practices are not recognized by the education system and remain

unstructured. Professional apprenticeship is planned in the TVET Law adopted in 2014 but has not been

implemented and the related law decrees have not been adopted.

9 A.B. Lopes and J.J. Borges de Oliveira (2018). Régime Spécial des Micro et Petites Entreprises: Diagnostic sur l’Etat d’Avancement

de la Mise en Œuvre, Praia : Organisation International du Travail.

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Key PSC-LED measures: (6) the development of a roadmap for PPPs in vocational training and support

the establishment of the new program of apprenticeship in the TVET system that should facilitate the link

between schools and jobs, change gender-biased employment expectations of parents, teachers and students.

It will also support the approval of the country’s industrial strategy and related action plan in collaboration

with UNIDO.

5.2.10 Factor efficiency: According to the 2017 Doing Business survey, Cabo Verde ranks 142nd out

of 190 on the ease of getting electricity indicator. Doing Business uses the system average interruption

duration index (SAIDI) and the system average interruption frequency index (SAIFI) to measure the

duration and frequency of power outages in the largest business city of an economy. Despite significant

improvements in recent years, the reliability of electricity supply remains an issue since the SAIDI and

SAIFI indexes have struggled to fall below values that would qualify for a positive score under the

Doing Business methodology. Cabo Verde’s electricity utility company ELECTRA has undergone

significant institutional and operational restructuring with support of the Bank amongst others such as

the World Bank and JICA. The SCADA software (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition) is a

necessity in order to measure outages, but also allows for a more efficient control of the grid, thus

allowing for speedier resolutions of technical issues, and thus a reduction in outage time and technical

losses which can directly impact businesses. An ambitious urban and rural land reform is ongoing and

involves major changes at the legal and institutional level, with the establishment of a new integrated

national cadastral information system. This initiative will impact land management with improved

transparency and increased legal and operational security for economic actors.

Key PSC-LED measures: The PSC-LED will support the effective roll-out of the SCADA software which

will allow ELECTRA to detect network issues and drastically reduce power shortages for firms. Further

transparency in proceedings related to land will also be supported by the PSC-LED. This includes the

publication of (i) land transfer statistics on the “Porton di Nos Ilhas” government portal and (ii) the

publication of services standards for the documents required for Cadastre, as well as the completion of land

mapping and digitization for Sal, Maio, Boa Vista, and Sao Vicente (except Mindelo), and launch of the

process in Santiago (in at least one municipality).

5.2.11 Expected Outcomes: The effective implementation of these reforms will lead to improved

competitiveness through notably a positive review of the following indicators: (i) improvement in the

distance to frontier of the Doing Business Report from 56.24 points in the 2018 report to 60 points in

the 2020 report; (ii) increase in credit to the private sector from 63% in 2016 to 70% of GDP in 2020;

(iii) the increase from 0 to 4 in the number of training centres developing partnership with private sector

and the first cohort of 100 youth trained through professional apprenticeship in the pilot phase; (iv) and

improvement in labor contribution to value added growth from 1.1% registered over the 2017-2014

period to 2% in 2017-2020.

Component II - Promoting local economic development and local governance

5.2.12 Local economic development is a new objective laid out in the PEDS for which structuring

reforms are needed. Local economic development is intrinsically linked to the attributes of each island,

their geographic and economic features. In this regard, subnational governments are well positioned to

provide support to the endogenous private sector. The PEDS seeks to promote a “regionalization”

approach, through improved municipal infrastructures and capacities to deliver on local economic

programs. Against this background, the PSC-LED will support key reforms that will frame the context

in which local economic development can occur. This will be done in three key areas: (i) updated

legislative framework for local economic development and decentralization, (ii) improved local

government support for enterprise development (and youth employment) and (iii) improved local

economic development planning. Similarly, to component I, effective coordination of reforms touching

upon local economic development is crucial.

a) Context, Challenges and Recent Government Actions

5.2.13 Legislative framework for local economic development and decentralization: the legal

framework for decentralization in Cabo Verde is defined in Law nº 134/IV/95 which lays out a set of

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items including administrative autonomy (Article 2) and financial autonomy (Article 3). The current

legislation regarding financial autonomy was upgraded and approved into law in 2005 (Law of Local

finance nº 79/VI/2005). This law defines general and specific rules, as well as how each municipality

can manage their revenues, accumulate debts and receive transferences from central government. In

order to deepen the decentralization process, in 2010 the government approved the Decentralization

Framework Law nº69/VII/2010. This legislative corpus should however be re-crafted in the face of the

new approach to local economic development and regionalization set in the PEDS. A law on

regionalization is being finalized and will introduce a new layer (regions) in between central

government and municipalities. Against this background new sets of laws on the status of municipalities

and on municipal financing need to be crafted. The law on municipal financing is key for the PEDS’

local economic development and the regionalization objectives.

5.2.14 In addition to efforts that should be undertaken to enlarge the municipal tax basis, challenges

are found in the financial dependency in relation to government transfers which impose several bounds

on the ways each municipality can implement its local socio-economic development plan (technical

annex 6). The new law on municipal financing should ensure that the change in the methodology of

budgeting adopted at central level based on budgetary management by objectives and results, is now

declined to municipalities. It should clarify the allocation of public resources between the State and

Municipalities, refine the criteria for allocating the Municipal Fund between Municipalities, and

improve their revenue frameworks. The new proposed Law on the statutes of Municipalities will come

after the new law on Regionalisation and alongside a Law on Municipal financing, and is a necessity in

view of the 2020 autarkic/local elections.

Key PSC-LED measures: PSC-LED will support update of the legislative framework for local economic

development and decentralization to better fit with the objectives of the PEDS. This will include the (1)

revision of the 2005 law on local municipality financing, and of the law on the (2) Statutes of Municipalities.

Clarifying and updating the way municipalities are financed as well as their competencies and prerogatives

vis-à-vis the citizens and the private sector is a condition sine qua non for local development.

5.2.15 Improved local government support for enterprise development (and youth

employability): the access for youth to training opportunities and support to entrepreneurship program

is unequally distributed across the country. This situation partly explains inter-island migration (mainly

youth) and is a reflection of regional socio-economic disparities. The share of Santo Antao’s population

out of the country’s overall population decreased from 19% to 6.6% between 1940 to 2016. Conversely,

the population of South Santiago increased from 10% to 34.9% over the same period. To restore regional

equalization and stabilize youth in their territory, the Employment and Training Institute (IEFP) signed

program contract with 14 municipalities where there is no TVET Centers to provide training and

employability support.

5.2.16 Regarding Cabo Verde’s challenge to create enough jobs to absorb youth, the solution lies in

the development of enterprise spirit and initiative to promote youth employment. It is with this in mind

the previous PACE budget support operation supported the creation of incubators. The Bank is working

with authorities to support youth entrepreneurship at the local level through the launch of a business

plan competition organized in training centers. Moreover, youth entrepreneurs have limited access to

finance. Among young entrepreneurs trained and supported by ADEI in 2014 (PROEMPRESA in 2017)

only 13.3% had access to finance. This initiative will award young graduates from TVET programs with

innovative and bankable business plans through a grant (made of an equipment kit to start business and

benefit from non-financial support).

Key PSC-LED measures: The operation will support the (3) effective implementation of the 14 program

contracts signed between IEFP and Municipalities to train at least 600 youth (40% women) in dynamics

sectors (2019). In addition it will oversee a business plan competition organized by IEFP to support youth

entrepreneurs through a grant of kit of equipment targeting 130 youth (annex 2).

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5.2.17 Improved local economic development planning: The new law on Municipal status and

Municipal financing should specifically target the issue of policy-making autonomy of sub-national

entities. According to the PEDS, the policy objective sought is one of greater autonomy through the

devolution (rather than delegation) of key functions. In this regard Municipalities are to become

responsible for the planning and roll-out of local economic development plans, nested in the overall

framework set by the regionalized PEDS. Currently 8 municipalities have completed diagnostics and

are starting the drafting of participatory economic plans with UNDP support. Other municipalities and

islands are working on sector specific plans, such as Maio and Boa Vista which are preparing tourism

strategies. Noting the bottom-up planning underway, a key challenge to face is paradoxically a

strengthening of the central planning oversight to ensure that local/municipal initiatives fit within the

PEDS. In rolling out decentralization reforms in support of local economic development, it is important

that appropriate coordination is in place in order to oversee the cross-thematic issues required for

effective local economic development planning. To date, a unit exists at the level of the Prime Minister’s

office. The unit is however understaffed and not fully effective. A move of the team’s prerogatives

within the planning directorate is advisable to ensure closer coordination.

Key PSC-LED measures: (4) integrating the current prerogatives of the local development unit with those

of the planning directorate will constitute an “action precedent to PSC-LED-I”. A team should be set-up to

coordinate inputs from line ministries, oversee and monitor the regionalization of the PEDS and oversee the

support to local administration in areas such as financial management, support to enterprises, local

development plans. PSC-LED will also support the approval for the (5) regionalization of the PEDS (action

precedent to PSC-LED-I), and build upon efforts made by the UNDP which is assisting municipalities in

drafting local development plans, as well on the finalization of an island specific mater tourism plan on a

pilot basis (annex 2). Ideally, these plans will be subjected to a specific RBF operation going forward.

5.2.18 At the level of municipalities, it is necessary to introduce a set of reforms and equip them with

management tools that (i) are focused on the local development vision and align with the country's

development options and (ii) align with the reform of the State aiming at introducing mechanisms that

promote greater effectiveness, quality, celerity, rigor, transparency, and efficiency and effectiveness in

the relationship with citizens and, in particular, with the business community. Municipalities are thus

challenged to improve the existing information system in municipalities SIM (Municipal Information

System), modernizing it and endowing it with new capabilities as per the new competencies being

bestowed upon them. The existing SIM is currently not set in a stable inter-municipal network, does not

including planning or monitoring and evaluation modules, is not linked to the central financial

management system SIGOF, nor does it have key functionalities such as the ability to insert and manage

cadastral information (e.g. alteration of buildings, matrix value, environmental plans, municipal

signage, etc.). As noted in annex 2, PSC-LED will follow through with the harmonization and update

of SIM and its link to SIGOF. In doing so, it will ensure that the development of these systems include

(i) gender-markers in SIM to allow for the inclusion of gender targets at municipality level through

budget and via the monitoring of local economic development plans, and (ii) a gender-marker in SIGOF.

Doing so will allow gender streamlining in the PEDS (via the budget) to be measurable based on

financial resources actually applied to projects that integrate gender at different levels and dimensions.

5.2.19 Expected Outcomes: The effective implementation of these reforms will lead to improved

competitiveness through notably a positive review of the following indicators: (i) a decrease of

dependency ratio on government transfers from 80% in the 6 most dependent municipalities, and 60%

+ in 14 municipalities (2017) to 3 municipalities with more than 80% and 10 with more than 60% in

2020, (ii) Increased participatory economic planning at municipality level from no such planning at

municipal level in 2017 to 9 locally developed participatory development plans framed in the

regionalized PEDS in 2019.

5.3 Policy Dialogue

5.3.1 During PSC-LED’ implementation, dialogue with Cabo Verdean authorities will focus mainly

on the following areas: (i) support for the promotion of private sector development, in general, and for

the improvement of the business environment; (ii) accompaniment of decentralisation policies and local

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economic development planning in particular, and (iii) support for the implementation of an inclusive

and market-responsive skills development roadmap. As the chair of the budget support group, the Bank

will ensure continuous dialogue on fiscal, monetary and debt policy to ensure macroeconomic stability

and the creation an environment that facilitates access to credit for SMEs. It will also initiate discussions

on the monitoring and evaluation of public policies to set a framework for evaluating reforms, including

through supported by partners.

5.4 Loan Conditions

5.4.1 PSC-LED-I is the first of a two-phased programme-based budget support operation. This first

phase is subject to measures precedent to presentation of the programme to the Board. The preparation

of Phase II will be subject to a series of reforms serving as triggers to be assessed by July 2019.

5.4.2 Measures precedent and triggers: Following the dialogue with authorities, the measures

precedent to Board presentation of PSC-LED-I and PSC-LED-II triggers are summarized in Table 3

below.

Table 3: Measures Precedent to PSC-LED-I, and PSC-LED-II Triggers

Measures Precedent to PSC-LED-I PSC-LED-II Indicative Triggers

General condition precedents:

(i) For Phase I and II: Maintain a stable macroeconomic framework, as reflected by the reports or appraisals respectively produced or conducted by

the IMF or the PTF Budget Support Group. Evidence: Copy of the IMF press release on the findings of the last mission or a copy of the Budget

Support Group's report on the macroeconomic framework.

(ii) For Phase II: Satisfactory review of phase I reforms under the policy matrix (annex 2). Evidence: Aide-mémoire of supervision mission.

Component I – Promoting competitiveness and local private sector development

Prior Action 1: Effective set-up of the competitiveness reforms

coordination unit

Status: Achieved

Evidence: Publication in official bulletin of the decree approving

the unit structure or of organic decree-law of ministry of Finance

approving the unit structure

Trigger 1: Effective set-up of the competitiveness reforms coordination

unit

Evidence: Secretary executive of the Unit nominated and 50% of the staff

mentioned in the approved organigram recruited.

Trigger 2: Revision of the code for commercial companies (codigo das

sociedades commercias)

Evidence: Certified copy of the legislative decree or the decision from CM

approving the new code with harmonized procedures for business

registrations, provisions for protection of minority investors.

Trigger 3: Approval of secondary legislation for insolvency

Evidence: Copy of the approval of the statutes, guidelines, and regulatory

practice for judicial insolvency administrators

Prior Action 2: Set-up of the inter-institutional committee on the

transition from the informal to the formal sector

Status: Achieved

Evidence: Certified copy of the resolution from the CM creating the

committee

Trigger 4: Approval of the strategy and action plan for the transition from

informal to formal sector

Evidence: Certified copy of the resolution from the CM

Prior Action 3: Decree -law on the set-up of the credit guarantee

scheme approved by the CM

Status: Achieved

Evidence: Certified copy of the CM’s approval

Trigger 5: Operationalization of the credit guarantee scheme Evidence: Contract with Fund manager signed.

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Trigger 6: Develop a Roadmap to develop PPP in vocational training

Evidence: Letter confirming the approval of the roadmap by the Minister of

Finance and copy of the roadmap.

Component II – Promoting local economic development and local governance

Trigger 7: New law on the status of municipalities

Evidence: Copy of the CM’s approval

Trigger 8: New law on municipal financing

Evidence: Copy of the CM’s approval

Prior Action 4: Effective integration of the Local Economic

Development Unit in the Ministry of Finance

Status: Achieved

Evidence: Publication in the official bulletin of the decree approving

the unit/service structure or of the organic decree-law of ministry of

Finance mentioning the inclusion of core competencies on local

economic development planning and coordination

Prior Action 5: Endorsement of the “Regionalised PEDS” document

Status: Achieved

Evidence: Despacho or commitment letter from the Minister of

Finance

Trigger 9: Approval of the “Regionalised PEDS” document

Status: Achieved

Evidence: Certified copy of the CM’s approval

Trigger 10: Implementation of 14 contract programs between

municipalities and technical & vocational institutions.

Evidence: Report attesting that training activities were undertaken for at

least 600 youth and adults (of which 40% women).

5.5 Application of Best Practice Principles on Conditionality

5.5.1 In accordance with the Bank's policy on programme-based support operations, PSC-

LED-I’s design took into account the five best practice principles on conditionality. The

programme-based approach adopted for this new operation is intended to create a flexible and inclusive

framework for dialogue to ensure better predictability of budget resources and the successful

implementation of major structural economic reforms. Thus, to better support Cabo Verdean authorities

in this programme, best practice principles were followed: (i) GoCV took ownership of the programme,

given that it was designed with the active collaboration of State entities (Directorates of Planning, the

Treasury, Public Finance Reforms and Revenue, and the Central Bank), private sector (Chamber of

Commerce, commercial banks, etc.); (ii) the efforts of development partners were coordinated for better

complementarity of interventions in support of the country's policies through the BSG; (iii) the

programme is fully in line with Cabo Verde's national policies and helps to support this country’s

remarkable efforts to create sustainable and inclusive policies for strong economic growth; (iv) the

conditions precedent to Board presentation and the triggers for the second phase of the programme are

deemed realistic and achievable, and were accepted by Cabo Verdean authorities at appraisal.

Furthermore, (v) PSC-LED-I is aligned with the country's budget cycle, thus allowing GoCV to include

it in its 2018 and 2019 budgets.

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5.6 Financing Needs and

Arrangements

5.6.1 This budget support operation

is an integral part of the external

financing sources that will help to

bridge the financing gap for 2018 and

2019. For 2018, the financing needs stand

at CVE 5.7 billion and CVE. To meet this

need, the GoCV still relies on grant-based

budget supports as part of its income as

well as loan-based budget supports as part

of gap financing to the tune of CVE 2.7

billion. The Bank will provide budget

support equivalent to CVE 2.2 billion,

equivalent to 1.4% of GDP (table 4).

5.7 Application of Bank Group

Policy on Debt Accumulation

5.7.1 PSC-LED-I complies with the

principles of Bank Group Policy on Non-concessional Debt. According to the Bank’s classification,

Cabo Verde is a middle-income country and therefore eligible for African Development Bank window

resources. The latest debt sustainability analysis conducted in 2016 concluded that the debt was

sustainable with a high risk of debt distress. Although external public debt seems high (77% of the total

public debt), it remains predominantly concessional and debt service indicators show that the country

will be in a comfortable position to retire this debt in the future.

6 IMPLEMENTATION, MONITORING AND EVALUATION

6.1 Programme Beneficiaries

6.1.1 PSC-LED-I will benefit the entire Cabo Verde population. The results from sound

management of public investments and a more developed private sector will improve the population’s

living conditions. Good public corporate governance will lead to the improvement of the quality of

public services provided to users. Efforts to facilitate access to financing, on the one hand, and the

provision of training aimed at supporting the establishment and development of MSEs, on the other,

will make the private sector more dynamic and responsive to increased opportunities from the massive

public investment projects. These positive effects will spur economic growth in the country for the good

of the people.

6.2 Impact on Gender Issues, the Poor and Vulnerable Groups

6.2.1 The implementation of the programme reforms will help to improve the living conditions

of the poor and vulnerable groups. The essence of local economic development is that it can better

respond to needs as well as comparative advantages of local communities. A better integration of

planning at the local level, enhanced means for sub-national entities to conduct and develop projects as

well as capacity to accompany local firms will provide responses to groups often left out of broader

economic planning. In essence, poverty will be addressed through a more specific deployment of means

across the territory to provide economic opportunities. For instance, the approval of the regional PEDS

and the support to local economic development plans will help the development of municipalities such

as São Salvador do Mundo or Santa Cruz whose income is three time less than Boa Vista, and poverty

rates above 50%.

6.2.2 PSC-LED-I is designed to specifically take into account the gender dimension as per key

recommendations made under the 2017 country gender profile (technical annex 10). Gender Category

for the project is GEN II according to the Bank’s Gender Marker System. Reforms under the skills focus

are expected to directly impact women through an increased number of women beneficiating from

Table 4: Financing gap

2018

(CVE

million)

2018

(%

GDP)

2019

(CVE

million)

2019

(%

GDP)

A - Total income 55,558 34.7% 56,543 29.1%

Of which grants

E.U (budget support grant) 988 0.6% 988 0.5%

Portugal (budget support grant) 55 0.0% 55 0.03%

Luxembourg (budget support grant) 110 0.1% 110 0.06%

Other grants 851 0.5% 1,478 0.8%

B - Total expenditures, including 61,255 38.2% 62,116 31.9%

Current expenditures 44,627 27.8% 46,035 23.7%

Investment expenditures 16,628 10.4% 16,081 8.3%

C - Overall deficit (A-B) -5,697 -3.6% -5,573 -2.9%

D – Financing (E+F+G+H) 5,696 3.6% 5,573 2.9%

E - Domestic financing -6,639 -4.1% -1,811 -0.9%

Assets -10,175 -6.3% -5,145 -2.7%

Liabilities 4,076 2.5% 3,334 1.7%

F - Foreign financing, of which: 8,678 5.8% 7,384 3.8%

African Development Bank (budget

support loan) 2,195 1.4% 2,205 1.1%

World Bank (budget support loan) 1,004 0.6% 1,000 0.5%

Project borrowing 6,020 3.8% 6,101 3.1%

G – On-lending (project loans) 6,964 4.3% 2,289 1.2%

H - Amortization -3,847 -2.4% -4,212 -2.2%

I - FINANCING GAP (C-D) 0 0.0% 0 0.0%

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training programmes. What is more, PSC-LED focuses on professional training in areas/municipalities

not covered by training centres, thus extending opportunities to women in spatially remote areas. At

least 600 youth and adults, of which 40% women are expected to receive training. Women will also be

positively impacted by the development of a roadmap develop PPP in vocational training which will in

its content include a strong gender dimension. PSC-LED is intended to produce a favourable impact on

gender through the measures targeting improved factor efficiency and transparency such as land. Indeed,

beyond the importance of land rights for private sector investment, land issues are a key binding

constraint for women’s empowerment as highlighted in the 2017 gender profile. Similarly, measures

aimed at access to finance will specifically impact women considering that the lack of access to funds

inhibits growth and productivity of their business efforts. Lastly, in accompanying the harmonization

and update of SIM and its link to SIGOF, PSC-LED will ensure that the development of these systems

include specific markers to allow gender streamlining based on financial resources actually applied to

projects that integrate gender at different levels.

6.3 Environmental Impact and Climate Change

6.3.1 Since the programme is a general budget support operation to sustain reforms, and has no

impact on the environment and climate change, it is classified in Category III.

6.4 Implementation, Monitoring and Evaluation

6.4.1 Overall responsibility for PSC-LED’ implementation rests on the Ministry of Finance

and Planning (MFP). MFP satisfactorily managed and coordinated previous operations funded by the

Bank and other TFPs. It will rely on the National Directorate of Planning (DNP) for day-to-day

programme management and monitoring. However, in the interest of participatory implementation, all

stakeholders will be involved in programme implementation.

6.5. Financial Management and Disbursement

6.5.1 Country Fiduciary Risk Analysis (CFRA): The fiduciary framework assessment conducted

by the Bank in 2016 and updated in 2018 concluded that the fiduciary risk was moderate and that

the public finance management system fulfilled the Bank requirements for budget support

operations. Overall, Cabo Verde’s public finance management system, which was deemed strong and

reliable in the PEFA 2015 report. In accordance with the Paris Declaration and the Accra Forum on Aid

Effectiveness, the Bank will continue to support reforms aimed at strengthening public finance

management, procurement and audit systems. The Bank recommends the use public finance

management systems in their entirety for implementing programme-based support operations, such as

PSC-LED-I. Technical Annex 2 presents a detailed country risk analysis, with proposed measures for

mitigating the country fiduciary risk.

6.5.2 Mechanism for financial management, audit, procurement and disbursement: In

compliance with the fiduciary strategy defined for the 2014 -2018 CSP period, PSC-LED will be

entirely managed within the national public finance management system. Disbursement projections

for the 2018 and 2019 fiscal years should be clearly shown in the Budget Act. The general compliance

report prepared by the Court of Auditors on 2018 and 2019 accounts will serve as the programme’s

audit report. Each fiscal year, the compliance report should be forwarded to the Bank at the same time

that it is submitted to the National Assembly. In line with the programme-based approach, the loan will

be disbursed in a single tranche of EUR 20 million to finance the 2018 budget implementation. Once

the loan becomes effective and the conditions precedent to loan disbursement are fulfilled (see § 7.2.2),

the single tranche will be disbursed pursuant to the terms of the Loan Agreement. At the Borrower’s

request, the Bank will release funds into a special account denominated in Euro, opened with the Central

Bank of Cabo Verde. With regard to procurement, the loan will be in the form of general budget support.

Consequently, its implementation does not raise direct issues of procurement of goods and services.

The evaluation of the national procurement system, conducted by the Bank concluded that Cabo Verde’s

procurement regulations are largely compliant with the Bank’s procurement policy standards, except

for a few discrepancies that are being discussed by the Bank and the country’s authorities (technical

annex 2).

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7 LEGAL INSTRUMENT AND AUTHORITY

7.1 Legal Instrument

The legal instrument that will be used for this Programme is the Loan Agreement between the Republic

of Cabo Verde (the Borrower) and the African Development Bank (the Bank).

7.2 Conditions Associated with Bank Intervention

7.2.1 Conditions precedent to effectiveness: Effectiveness of the Loan Agreement shall be subject

to fulfilment, by the Borrower, of the conditions set out in Section 12.01 of the General Conditions

Applicable to Bank Loan and Guarantee Agreements.

7.2.2 Conditions precedent to disbursement of resources for the first phase of PSC-LED-I

programme-based operation in 2015. In addition to the conditions precedent set out in 7.2.1 above,

disbursement of the loan resources totalling EUR 20 million shall be subject to the following condition:

Provide the Bank with the references of the Treasury bank account opened at the Bank of Cape Verde

in Praia in which the loan resources will be will transferred.

7.2.3 A simplified appraisal report will be prepared for PSC-LED Phase II in 2019 and presented to

the Boards for approval. This report will mainly indicate the relevant measures precedent taken by Cabo

Verdean authorities prior to Board submission. A separate loan agreement will be prepared for phase

II.

7.3 Compliance with Bank Group Policies

7.3.1. PSC-LED-I complies with Bank Group policies and guidelines on programme-based support

operations. It is consistent with the operational priorities of the Bank's Ten-Year Strategy for 2013-2022

and the CSP 2014-2018. For this operation, no exception has been requested in respect of Bank

Guidelines.

8 RISK MANAGEMENT

8.1. Table 5 below presents potential risks and mitigation measures:

Table 5: Risks and Mitigation Measures Risks Mitigation Measures

Macroeconomic risk: An unfavourable macroeconomic situation

and exogenous shocks could affect programme implementation.

Level: High

This type of risk is the subject of an on-going dialogue with the

authorities and is monitored regularly as part of activities of the

BSG which meets twice a year (May and November) and the

IMF under Article IV. The latest BSG and IMF analyses point

to the achievement of macroeconomic stability in the country in

the medium term. Moreover, there is need to step up

macroeconomic consolidation efforts, especially on debt

reduction and economic diversification.

Risk related to human capacity: The capacity of government

services, although above the regional average, is limited. This

could slow down or even halt the implementation of programme

reforms. Level: Average

The Government is committed, at the highest level (Presidency,

Prime Minister’s Office, Ministry of finance, and line

ministries), to a process of structural reforms as per the PEDS.

Moreover, delivery capacity on reforms is the subject of regular

monitoring by partners, particularly in the context of the BSG

which holds biannual joint review missions.

9 RECOMMENDATION

It is recommended that the Board approve a loan of EUR 20 million in the form of programme-based

general budget support for the Republic of Cabo Verde to finance the Private Sector Competitiveness

and Local Economic Development Programme (PSC-LED – I).

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Annex 1: Government’s Letter of Economic Policy

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II

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III

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Annex 2: PSC-LED Reform Matrix

Policy area Area of

intervention Measure Baseline 2018 2019

Promoting

competitiveness

and endogenous

private sector

development

Financial

infrastructure to

improve

transparency for

greater access to

credit

Partial credit risk guarantee fund in

place and operational Scheme not in place (2017)

Decree -law on the set-up of the

scheme approved by the CM

Entity in charge of running the scheme is

selected and operational (Trigger)

Operationalisation of the private credit

bureau system Credit bureau not operational

Set-up of a working commission

including the Central Bank,

CreditInfo, Chamber of commerce,

Ministry of Economy

Improved legal

framework and

systems for business

competitiveness and

investment

Effective set-up of the competitiveness

reforms coordination unit Unit not effectively set-up (2017)

Decree approving the unit structure

published in official bulletin (Prior

action)

Head of the Unit nominated and 50% of the

staff mentioned in the approved

organigramme recruited. (Trigger)

Revision of the code for commercial

companies (codigo das sociedades

commercias)

Previous code in place

New code with harmonized procedures for

business registrations, provisions for

protection of minority investors approved by

CM (Trigger)

Approval of secondary legislation for

Insolvency Secondary legislation not in place

Statutes, guidelines, and regulatory practice

for judicial insolvency administrators in place

(Trigger)

Approval of the strategy of transition

from informal to formal sector

Strategy developed but not officially

approved

The intersectorial committee on the

transition from the informal to the

formal sector is set-up (Prior

action)

The strategy is approved by the CM (Trigger)

Approval of the industrial policy and

related action plan

Industrial policy and related action

plan not approved The strategy is approved by the CM

Update of the Special Regime for Micro

and Small Enterprises (REMP) Regime existing but not applicable New draft REMP law approved by CM

Skills development

anchored in the

private sector needs

Develop a Roadmap to develop PPP in

vocational training

No action plan, lack of participation

of private sector to TVET system

The Roadmap has been developed and

adopted to put in place PPP in TVET

(Trigger)

Increase private sector participation to

TVET through the elaboration of

apprenticeship training program.

No apprenticeship training program

in place

TVET Law enforcement decree to

institutionalize the Apprenticeship training

program

Improved factor

efficiency in support

of MSME

development

Implementation of the SCADA

software at the national electricity

company (ELECTRA)

SCADA software not in place (2017) SCADA Software operational

Completion of land mapping and

digitization in Sal, Maio, Boa Vista, and

Sao Vicente (except Mindelo), and

launch of the process in Santiago (at

Land mapping incomplete

Sal, Maio, Boa Vista, and Sao Vicente (except

Mindelo), and launch of the process in

Santiago (2019)

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least one municipality)

Web publication of (i) land transfer

statistics on the “Porton di Nos Ilhas”

government portal and (ii) of services

standards for the documents required

for Cadastre

No land transfer statistics and no

service standards for cadaster

available online

Land transfer statistics and services

standards for the documents

required for Cadastre available

online

Policy area Area of

intervention Measure Baseline 2018 2019

Promoting local

economic

development

Improved local

government support

for enterprise

development and

youth employment

Implement the 14 contract programs

between municipalities and technical &

vocational institutions

14 contract programs signed in 2017

- No training for youth unemployed

undertaken

14 contract programmes implemented with

training activities undertaken for at least 600

youth and adults (of which 40% women)

(Trigger)

Interface between housing registry and

municipalities for the issuance of

property tax certificate (certidião

matricial)

Interface between housing registry

and municipalities not functional Interface up and running

Business plan competition organized in

training centers to support youth

entrepreneurship through the kit of

equipment.

No youth received the kit of insertion

in 2017

130 youth receive the kit of equipment to start

a business (30% of women)

Updated legislative

framework for local

economic

development and

decentralization

New law on the status of municipalities Law on the statutes of municipalities

in place

New law on the statutes of municipalities

submitted to parliament (Trigger)

New law on municipal financing

(including a % dedicated to support

youth employability and

entrepreneurship)

2005 law in place New on municipal financing law submitted to

parliament (Trigger)

Link between the municipality

information system (SIM) and SIGOF No link between systems

SIM system harmonised and SIGOF linkage

completed (end 2019)

Improved local

economic

development

planning

Local development plans developed by

Municipalities (which also include

employment objectives)

0 local development plans developed 9 development plans approved by the

respective municipal councils

Launch of island specific tourism

master plans No master plan available

Approval of master plan by the Central

Tourism Authority

Effective set-up of the Local Economic

Development Unit Unit not effectively set-up (2017)

New organigram published in

official bulletin (Prior action)

Unit director (or head) nominated, and

recruitment process (concourso publico) for at

least 50% of the staff defined in the

organigram launched.

Regionalisation of the PEDS (including

regional plateform for employment

coordination)

Regionalised version of the PEDS

not existing (2017)

Regionalised PEDS endorsed by

authorities (Prior action)

Adoption of the regionalized PEDS (Trigger)

and of local development plans articulated

with the regional PEDS.

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Annexe 3: Outcomes of Previous Budget Support Operations in Cabo Verde

Public Finance Management and Private Sector Recovery Support Programme (PAGF-

RSP): 2011-2012

Improvement of Public Finance Management and Macroeconomic Stability

Bank support helped to: (i) reduce government arrears stock from 16% in 2009 to 0% in 2011 and

2012; (ii) reduce the timeframe for submission to the National Assembly of the General State Account

(CGE) and the Notice of Compliance issued by the Court of Auditors (CoA) from 24 months on

average before 2010 to 12 months in 2012; (iii) increase the number of services covered by the

General State Inspectorate (IGF) from 32 in 2010 to over 46 in 2012; (iv) reduce the average

procurement timeframe from eight months in 2010 to less than three months in 2012; and (v) increase

the cases of dispute handled by the Public Procurement Regulatory Agency (ARAP) according to the

new legislation in force from 50% in 2010 to 100% in 2012. The various reforms introduced are: (i)

availability of a medium-term strategy 2012-2015 for State debt management; (ii) availability of 2009

and 2010 reports on the State’s contingent commitments and liabilities; (iii) availability of the public

finance management system reform programme that emanated from PEMFAR recommendations; (iv)

effective appointment of the remaining members of the Board of the Public Procurement Regulatory

Agency (ARAP) and members of the Dispute Settlement Commission; and (v) availability of ARAP’s

audit report on public procurement contracts awarded in 2010.

Creation of an Enabling Environment for the Revival of the Private Sector

Bank support helped to: (i) improve Cabo Verde’s ranking in the Doing Business report on company

bankruptcy from 183rd out of 183 countries in 2010 to 178th out of 183 countries in 2012; (ii) increase

the number of SMEs registered in the Citizen’s House Network from 913 in 2010 to 1197 in 2012;

and (iii) improve Cabo Verde’s ranking in the Doing Business indicator on getting credit from 152nd

out of 183 countries in 2010 to 97th out of 183 countries in 2012. The various reforms introduced are:

(i) availability and adoption by the Council of Ministers of the new Investment Code; (ii) availability

and adoption by the Council of Ministers of a Tax Incentives Code, compliant with WTO rules; (iii)

introduction of new windows for the Citizen’s House; and (iv) setting up of two new incubators.

Public Corporate Governance and Investment Promotion Support Programme

Phases I and II (PAGEPPI I and II): 2013 - 2014

Improvement of Public Corporate Governance

Structural reforms in the area of corporate governance helped improve the performance of public

enterprises. The Cabo Verde Air Transport Company (TACV) is on track to post a profit this year

(2015). All major public enterprises have signed performance contracts with the State to guarantee

that they will be properly managed. The main achievements are: (i) adoption of statutory instruments

operationalizing the 2009 law on public enterprises, provided for under Section 52 (1) of that law (Lei

No. 47 /VII/2009); (ii) evaluation of the regulatory authorities, preparation and adoption by the

Government of an action plan to review their articles of association for the purpose of reforming these

regulatory bodies, as provided for by Law No. 14/VIII/2012; (iii) production by MF and availability

in 2014 of the annual report on the liabilities of public enterprises for 2013; and (iv) signing of three

additional performance contracts in 2014 between the State and other major public enterprises (ASA,

ENAPOR and EMPROFAC).

Investment Promotion

Credit to the private sector is increasing, despite relative stagnation. The main achievements include:

(i) adoption by the Council of Ministers of legislative decrees to operationalize the law relating to the

General Investment Code in order to facilitate the establishment of a one-stop shop for investors; (ii)

adoption of the decree to establish and operationalize the PPP Privatization and Promotion Unit; and

(iii) production in 2013 and 2014 of a report containing criteria for assessing priority investments and

prospective PPP projects.

Economic Growth Support Programme (PACE)

Phases I and II: 2015-2017

Improvement Of Public Investment Effectiveness

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Reforms supported by the PACE helped improve public enterprise management, reduce SOE related

fiscal risks, set up a system to better prioritise future investments, and better frame PPPs. Main

achievements include: (i) Operationalisation of the Investment Periodisation System (SNIP) to be

used in the 2018 and 2019 budgets, (ii) approval of the framework law on public enterprise

governance, (iii) preparation and publication of SOE contingent liabilities reports, (iv) creation of a

dedicated unit (UASE) to monitor State participation in enterprises and accompany the State’s

privatisation agenda (supported in parallel via a Bank-funded MIC grant), (v) elaboration of a PPP

policy and related manual, and (vi) the construction of a pipeline for privatisation.

Support for the Promotion of Private Sector Development

Reforms supported by the PACE led to achievements both on business environment and on

entrepreneurship. Main achievements include: (i) Operationalization of the on-line tax reporting

system for businesses (e-tax), (ii) adoption by the CM of the draft law on insolvency and recovery of

enterprises, (iii) adoption by the CM of the three decrees of application of the Law on the legal regime

of Micro and Small Enterprises, (iv) Creation and operationalization of five incubators (2 tourism, 1

ICT, 2 agro-business). Two tourism incubators were created in Sal and Boa Vista, one ICT incubator

in Praia, two agro-business incubators (one in Santiago and one São Antão). Another "Mix" incubator

was created in São Vicente; (v) adoption of the application decrees on the law related to microfinance

institutions.

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Annex 4: NOTE ON RELATIONS WITH THE IMF

PRESS RELEASE: Executive Board Concludes 2018 Article IV Discussions with Cabo Verde

April 18, 2018

On March 26, 2018, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the

2018 Article IV consultation with Cabo Verde.

The economic recovery is gaining momentum, reflecting a more favorable external environment

and the payoff of ongoing economic reforms. In 2017, the economy is estimated to have expanded

by 4 percent supported by the double digit-growth in tourist arrivals, the recovery in credit to the

private sector, and stronger consumer and business confidence. These factors are expected to boost

growth further to 4.3 percent in 2018. Over the medium term, real GDP growth is projected to

stabilize at around 4 percent. Average inflation turned positive (0.8 percent) in 2017, reflecting the

increase in energy prices. The current account deficit is estimated to have widened to 8.8 percent of

GDP as the higher tourism receipts were more than offset by the rapid increase of imports, partly

owing to higher oil prices, and a decline in remittances; and was mostly financed by FDI.

Cabo Verde achieved an impressive fiscal consolidation in recent years. In 2017, the budget deficit

is estimated to have narrowed to 3 percent of GDP from 3.1 percent in 2016, and public debt to

have declined to 126 percent of GDP from 129.5 percent, the first decline in a decade. The 2018

budget targets a deficit target of 3.1 percent of GDP.

Citing the absence of price pressures and adequate reserve levels, the Banco de Cabo Verde’s (BCV)

cut its policy rate by 200 basis points to 1.5 percent in June, 2017. The response of credit to the

economy to the monetary stimulus has been sluggish but it is now recovering, reaching 5.3 percent

annual growth in November, 2017. Financial stability indicators have improved but the level of non-

performing loans (NPLs) remains elevated.

Executive Board Assessment

Executive Directors agreed with the thrust of the staff appraisal. They welcomed Cabo Verde’s

ongoing economic recovery, reflecting a more favorable external environment and the payoff of

recent economic reforms. They agreed that the medium-term outlook is broadly stable, conditional

on a decisive implementation of the authorities’ reform agenda. They stressed that the current

favorable external conditions present an opportunity to accelerate reforms to address vulnerabilities

and make progress toward the goal of promoting higher and inclusive growth.

Directors commended the substantial fiscal consolidation of recent years. They encouraged the

authorities to sustain and deepen the adjustment efforts through a combination of revenue and

expenditure measures to reduce the high level of public debt. This will help lower the risk of external

debt distress, safeguard macroeconomic and financial stability, and support economic growth in the

medium term. Directors also called for accelerating the restructuring of loss-making state-owned

enterprises to eliminate their need for government support, and for strengthening fiscal institutions.

Directors agreed that the monetary policy stance of the Banco de Cabo Verde (BCV) has been

appropriate in the absence of pressures on inflation or reserves, and consistent with the objective of

protecting the currency peg. Nonetheless, they urged the BCV to remain vigilant as economic

conditions evolve. They welcomed the measures adopted to strengthen the monetary policy

transmission mechanism, and encouraged the BCV to step up efforts to enhance its liquidity

management capacity and reduce the high level of excess liquidity in the banking system.

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Directors welcomed the improvement in financial stability indicators. Nonetheless, they urged the

authorities to give priority to the resolution of the high level of legacy nonperforming loans.

Directors agreed that fostering financial intermediation is important to strengthen the role of the

private sector as the engine of growth. They recommended focusing reforms on strengthening

collateral repossession and improving the credit information system.

Director agreed that the loss of correspondent banking relationships represents a vulnerability, given

Cabo Verde’s reliance on migrant remittances and deposits. They urged the authorities to continue

to strengthen the AML/CFT framework in line with international standards and to cooperate

effectively with other jurisdictions on tax issues.

Directors welcomed the authorities’ Strategic Plan for Sustainable Development to improve the

business environment and build on the progress in improving governance and fighting corruption.

They underscored that steady implementation of structural reforms is critical to boost potential

output growth and reduce poverty. To increase productivity and address the high levels of youth

and female unemployment, priority should be given to improving the efficiency and flexibility of

the labor market, as well as the quality and relevance of education. Strengthening and better

targeting social protection programs would also be important.

It is expected that the next Article IV consultation with Cabo Verde will be held on the standard 12-

month cycle.


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