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Weekly Chart BookOctober 27, 2013
Global Clients…Global Portfolios
disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Financial Conditions
3
Developed Markets
4
Emerging Markets
5
US Financial Conditions
6
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
7
Global Financial Stress Index
8
Citi Macro Risk Index
Fixed Income & Credit
10
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
11
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
12
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
13
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
14
U.S. Treasury 2yr-10yr Slope
15
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield – Forecast
16
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
17
Investment Grade Bond Prices
18
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
19
High Yield Bond Prices
20
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
21
Emerging Market Debt (Local Currency)
22
Emerging Market Bond Spreads
Global Equities
24
World Equity Indices
25
MSCI All Country World Index
26
ACWI Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
27
MSCI ACWI – Price, Price/Earnings, & Basic EPS
28
S&P 500 Index
29
S&P 500 Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
30
S&P 500 – Price, Price/Earnings, & Basic EPS
31
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index
32
MSCI EAFE Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
33
MSCI EAFE - Price/Earnings and Basic EPS
34
MSCI Emerging Markets Index
35
MSCI EM Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)
36
MSCI Emerging Markets - Price/Earnings and Basic EPS
37
Equity Risk Premiums by Country
38
AGO Constituents – Japan, China, Russia, Germany, Korea, & Austria
39
Global Heat Map – Sectors & Regions YTD
The Economy
41
Last week’s Economic Calendar
42
Next week’s Economic Calendar
43
Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)
44
US Economic Surprise Index (Data’s Deviation from Expectations)
45
30 Year Mortgage Rates
46
Initial Jobless Claims – 4 Week Moving Average
Currencies & Commodities
48
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
49
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q1 2014)
50
US Dollar Index
51
Euro €
52
Japanese Yen ¥
53
Mexican Peso
54
Global Commodity Prices
55
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
56
Gold Prices – 5 Years
57
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years