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Assessing the effect of the CAP on farm innovation adoption.
An analysis in two French regions
Bartolini Fabio1; Latruffe Laure2,3; Viaggi Davide1
1 Alma mater studiorum - University of Bologna, Department of Agricultural Economics and Engineering, Italy2 INRA, UMR1302 SMART, F-35000 Rennes, France
3 Agrocampus Ouest, UMR1302 SMART, F-35000 Rennes, France
122nd European Association of Agricultural Economists Seminar
Evidence-Based Agricultural and Rural Policy MakingMethodological and Empirical Challenges of Policy Evaluation
February 17th – 18th, 2011, Ancona (Italy)
associazioneAlessandroBartola studi e ricerche di economia e di politica agraria
Centro Studi Sulle Politiche Economiche, Rurali e AmbientaliUniversità Politecnica delle Marche
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
BackgroundObjectiveMethodologyData usedResultsConclusions
Outline
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Background
New technology adoption and innovation diffusion are two elements of the firm development and growth process
Literature on innovation adoption mechanism has emphasised – the positive effect of the Single Farm
Payments (SFP) and Rural Development Payments on the adoption of new technologies
– the role of innovation attitude and past innovation adoptions are determinants of the future innovation adoptions
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Objective
To analyse the process of future innovation adoptions and to identify the innovation adoption determinants with focus on – farmers past innovation adoption behaviour– effects of agricultural policy in the promotion
the innovation adoption at the farm level
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Methodology
Developed in two consequential steps:Cluster Analysis
– Identification of homogenous groups of farmers based on different innovation behaviour using data obtained from past adoptions (past 10 years)
Econometric analysis (Zero Inflated Poisson model)– Analysis of the determinants of future innovation
adoption under two different policy scenarios (next 10 years)
• Scenario 1: Baseline (current 2009 CAP)• Scenario 2: NO-CAP (complete abolishment of CAP
after 2013)– Dependent variable: sum of the stated
innovation adoptions
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Data used (1)Overview Questionnaire used to collect information of both past innovation
adoptions and stated intention about future innovation adoptions on the same farm
Face to face questionnaire Questionnaire address:
– Farm, farmer and household characteristics– Information about the past
• innovation adopted;• source of information used to collect information about innovation adopted;
– Stated intentions under policy scenarios• Farm strategy (exit, growth, changes in the factor use etc)• stated intention about future innovation adoptions
Questions about the stated intentions are repeated for the two policy scenarios
Questionnaire addressed to 295 farmers in two regions in France– 140 respondents in Centre CSA– 155 respondents in Midi-Pyrénées CSA
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Data used (2)Past innovations (used for clustering) Innovation adoptions (past 10 years) and the
timing of adoption of a category of innovation (modified from Sunding and Zilberman 2001)– “Which innovation have you adopted in your
farm in the last 10 years. Please specify the year of adoptions and who provided the information about the innovation)”
• Farming systems innovations• Mechanical innovations• Biological innovations• Agronomic innovations• Chemical innovations• Biotechnology innovations• Marketing innovations• Processing innovations
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Data used (3)Future innovations (used ZIP model)“intention to adopt the following category of
innovation in the next 10 years (YES/NO)”• Robotisation/precision farming• New irrigation systems or input reducing new technology• E-commerce/direct selling or other innovation in
commercialisation of the farmer’s production• Energy crops or production of energy by the farm through
solar panel, wind or biogas etc• Other innovation, a category let “blank” for adding other
innovations that surveyed farmers could intend to adopt in the next years
Sum of the future innovation adoptions (next 10 years)
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Results (1)Cluster analysisclusters identified following the Rogers (1995)
innovation attitude categories Variables used for the clustering:
– number of past innovations adopted– timing of adoption– age of the farm owner
Cluster Cluster description
Farmers (#)
Age (average)
Innovations adopted last 10 years (#)
Innovations adopted last 5 years (#)
Innovation adopted last 3 years (#)
CL1
Laggards and young
77 26.55 0.86 0.84 0.81
CL2Innovators and young
31 27.55 2.16 1.96 0.71
CL3Innovators and old
39 49.12 2.33 0.71 0.38
CL4Laggards and old
64 55.54 0.67 0.54 0.34
CL5 Late majority 82 41.39 1.06 0.78 0.59
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Results (2)Future innovations (dependent variable)Sum of stated innovation adopted for both policy
scenarios (Innovation intensity)– (0= no innovation >>>> 5 all innovations)
Two separated ZIP modelsNumber of innovation adopted (#)
BASELINENO –CAP scenario
078 75
(31.2) (38.86)
189 63
(35.6) (32.64)
245 35
(18) (18.13)
329 14
(11.6) (7.25)
47 4
(2.8) (2.07)
52 2
(0.8) (1.04)
Total 250 193
(100) (100)
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Results (3)ZIP models
Variable (Description)
Parameter estimated under the baseline scenario(Model 1)
Parameter estimated under the NO-CAP scenario(Model 2)
Innovators and old (dummy) +.4763Laggards and old (dummy) -.4601Late majority (dummy) -.3642Information collected only directly by the farmer (dummy) -.3645Share of farm income from agricultural activity in total household income (%) -.0068
Household lives on the farm (dummy) +.3698 +.4243
Educational level lower than secondary school (dummy) -.7200
External labour used on farm (# of full time equivalents) +.831 +.1075UAA (ha) +.0018
Farm type mixed crop livestock (dummy) -1.3472
Legal status: partnership (dummy) -.5063Plain (dummy) +.4780 +.7775Hill (dummy) +.3551 +.5654
ZERO INFLATED OUTCOME (Logit)
Household labour + external labour used on farm (# of full time equivalents) -2.164Age of respondent (Ln of age_y) +9.927Midi-Pyrénées region (dummy) -2.167Share of farm income from agricultural activity in total household income (%) +.0349Sources used to collected information about past innovations (#) -1.7898Late majority (dummy) +2.301Laggards and old (dummy) +1.577
NB variables not significant at 0.10 are omitted
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Conclusions
Preliminary results confirm that the process of innovation adoption does not follow breakthrough, and are not discontinuous, etc,
The storyline about past innovation, the number of past innovations adopted and the timing of adoption, are significant explanatory variables of the new technology adopting process
Results highlight that the CAP strongly affects the innovations– the CAP abolishment increases the exit (also those farmers
who state intention to innovate under the baseline scenario)– the CAP abolishment reduces the access to any innovation for
those farmers who could be grouped in the category of laggards or late adopters
– in a scenario without CAP, the information and the source of information collected strongly affect the innovation adoption
Need to better targeting policy instruments aimed to encouraging innovation adoption or diffusion through financial incentive of innovation
Need of specific instrument aimed to promoting innovation through a development of a system of consultancy specific for the innovations
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122nd EAAE Seminar, February 17th – 18th , 2011, Ancona (Italy)
Thank you
Contact: [email protected]