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INTRODUCTION
Weather is related to many pests/insects and diseases, which are bad for the development of healthy crops. We can fight to prevent the destruction of our food supply by learning more about the conditions that bring them about. If we are able to predict disease or pest outbreaks by using the weather, then we can prevent or decrease high losses to a minimum.
THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENT AND DISEASE ON THE HOST
BACTERIA WIND RAIN
APPLESCRABAPPLES
PEARS
SHOOTS TURN BLACK
FUNGI LOW Ta RAIN
SHADE TREESPERENNIALSTURF GRASS
LEAF SPOT DISEASE
FUNGI LOW Ta RAIN
ROOT PROBLEMS
FUNGI LOW Ta RAIN
DROUGHT-STRESSED
PLANTS
CANKER DISEASES
FUNGI
DRY CONDITIONS COLD Ta
or INTENSE
SUNLIGHT
WEATHER VARIABLES
Temperature (Ta) Relative humidity (RH) Rainfall
MODELS DEGREE DAYS / THERMAL TIME
EXAMPLES OF DISEASESCROPS
Stem and Leaf Diseases – FungalALTERNARIA BLACK SPOT, Alternaria brassicae
and A. raphani Symptoms
Black spots Survival and Spread
Soil Crop residue Seed Weed hosts RH > 80% Wind dispersal of spores
Control Crop rotation High germination (over 90%).
CROPS Stem and Leaf Diseases – Fungal
WHITE RUST, Albugo candida Symptoms
White creamy yellow pustules develop - lower leaf surface and pods
Infected flowers develop a "staghead"
Survival and Spread Crop refuse Seed Rain Cool Ta at flowering
Control Resistant varieties Three year crop rotation Control volunteer Canola and weeds
CROPS Stem and Leaf Diseases – Fungal
BLACKLEG, Leptosphaeria maculans Symptoms
White to gray spots on cotyledons and leaves Flowers blighted Few black fruiting bodies form.
Survival and Spread Seed-borne Initial spread - airborne spores Secondary spread - splash-dispersed spores Ta 21 °C Stem canker development - 24 °C day Ta Night temperatures 16 °C.
Control Plow down infected crop residue 4- year crop rotation Resistant varieties
CROPS Stem and Leaf Diseases – Fungal
DOWNY MILDEW, Peronospora parasitica Symptoms
Leaf spots initially angular, translucent, light green Stems of flower clusters become swollen Frequently associated with white rust
Survival and Spread Spores Windborne Long periods of dew, damp and cool weather and low
light intensity
Control Destroy crop refuse Crop rotation
CROPS Stem and Leaf Diseases – Fungal
YELLOW LEAF SPOT, Pyrenophora tritici-repentis
Symptoms Small yellow-brown oval spots Leaves yellow and die
Surivival and Spread Use leaf wetness meter - duration of wet leaf Rain and RH stays >90% “Smith simplified criteria”:
17h00 + rain + Ta >10 C OR rain in night + Ta >10 C at 08h00
Control Crop rotation Foliar fungicides may not be economical in many situations
SUNFLOWERS Stem and Leaf Diseases – Fungal
PHOMOPSIS STEM CANKER, Phomopsis (Diaporthe) helianthi
Symptoms Infection of lower leaves Light brown stem lesion Less chlorosis than inVerticillium
Survival and Spread Overwinters in sunflower or Crop refuse High Ta and high RH disease
Control Discing Crop rotation
ALTERNARIA LEAF AND STEM SPOT, Alternaria zinniae and Alternaria helianthi
Symptoms Circular to angular spots – leaves Dark circular spots on back of head Seedling blight
Survival and Spread Crop residue Airborne spores Wet weather + warm temperatures.
Control Crop rotation
SUNFLOWERS Stem and Leaf Diseases – Fungal
SUNFLOWERS Stem and Leaf Diseases – Fungal
SEPTORIA LEAF SPOT, Septoria helianthi Symptoms
Watersoaked spots - leaves dead areas
Survival and Spread Crop refuse Water-splashed spores Rainy weather or center pivot-irrigation
Control Crop rotation Bury crop refuse
SUNFLOWERS Head Diseases – Fungal
RHIZOPUS HEAD ROT, Rhizopus spp. Symptoms
Soft, mushy brown rot Shredding Head droops or falls off
Survival and Spread Warm moist weather Birds or hail
Control Unknown Reduce bird and insect damage to heads
SUNFLOWERS Head Diseases – Fungal
BOTRYTIS HEAD ROT, Botrytis cinerea Symptoms
Soft brown rot Wet weather - brown tissues develop velvety gray-
brown surface
Survival and Spread cool, wet conditions
Control Unknown Not severe disease
FRUITFungal infection of leaves
APPLE SCAB, Venturia inaequalis Symptoms
Apples and leaves infected
Survival and Spread Release of spores during rain Infected only if leaves stay wet Prediction uses “Mills” periods
unbroken period of 20 hours + Ta 14 C + leaves wet
Visible damage 3 weeks later
Control Resistant varieties
EXAMPLES OF PESTSTHE OLIVE FLY Bactrocera (Dacus) Oleae Symptoms
Visual inspection of fruit number of times eggs laid number of larvae number of flies hatched
Stings cause holes and a moon shaped blemish on olive
Survival and Spread Ta > 40 oC for > several hours + low RH (< 35%) inhibits Water stress impedes Lack of fruit or cold weather impedes
Control Timing of the first control measure of the year is crucial Lure and kill traps last 5 - 6 months Sprays last only days or weeks
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EFFECT ON PESTS
Weather and climate can: compete with insects and their production can be beneficial (pollinate, protect) aid as a vector (e.g. mosquito).Management of crop / stock + insect populations
NB Identify population processes How must activities of insects be managed? What is the susceptibility of hosts to insect
attack? What is the effect of global warming? This information can be utilised by decision-
makers.
1) Development Rate and Phenology Primary factor is TEMPERATURE (Ta) Degree days Warm areas - high Ta + water stress conditions Temperate areas - Ta starts slowly in spring, progresses
rapidly and slowing again in autumn Can predict phenology from climate (Ta) and to do this
one must consider: daily variations spatial differences insects with own Ta regulation
Development of mites, earwigs, moths, worms, mosquitoes, butterflies, blowflies, dung beetles, bollworms and armyworms weather parameters and weather parameters development
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EFFECT ON PESTS
2) Survival, Fitness and Population Size Mortality or death Extreme weather events Fitness of insects, means enough food which is influenced by:
indirect effect of weather and microclimate.
Use models, statistics and indexes for combination, transformation and integration of weather elements (mainly daily Ta, rain)
Optimal conditions exist for specific insects Heavy rain high mortality rates Hot, dry conditions high mortality rates Ta and rain influences ticks, aphids, grasshoppers, fruit flies, wasps and vegetable bugs
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EFFECT ON PESTS
3) Distribution of insects Insects have thresholds Tmx or Tmn + moisture stress distribution Distribution of insects - spatial over land, time or
seasons because of different spatial occupations 4) Activity Weather affects vigour in insects e.g. flight is influenced by winds Sequence of events and conditions activity Radar - locust flight patterns
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EFFECT ON PESTS
5) Migration Pests - vectors of insect-borne pathogens Locusts - Ta at dusk > 20 C + rain flight Moths – Change in season + Ta migrate Migration stops with Ta Winds migration Ta profile: with height convergence wind direction + wind speed
6) Continuity and Establishment of Infestation Crop rotation Frost - kills aphids (plant lice) Cold and drought kill insects - natural enemies Beneficial insects - bees and wasps
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EFFECT ON PESTS
7) Outbreak Initiation Rain or drought Outbreak availability of food for insects
8) Host Susceptibility Damage incurred condition of crops Crops - wind-blown, rain-drenched, water-stressed, are more vulnerable Sheep – rain and mist increase in nematodes (round-, wire-worms)
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EFFECT ON PESTS
9) Management Activities Bad weather disrupts normal management Farmers or growers - surveys + access to sprays Planting dates can be changed Efficiency of sprays depend on weather:
RH, wind, stability and rain Management - daily farm management + long term
decisions Short term decisions-use
daily weather forecaststemperaturerainfall
Long term decisions-useweather in past week / monthdeviations from normal weather patterninteractions between weather elements
GIS, satellite, models + decision support systems
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EFFECT ON PESTS
INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT (IPM)
What is IPM?IPM is an approach to solving pest problems by applying our knowledge about pests to prevent them from damaging crops, harming animals, infesting buildings or otherwise interfering with our livelihood or enjoyment of life. IPM means responding to pest problems with the most effective, least-risk option
IPM applied ONLY when unacceptable levels Impact on environment must be limited Applications of pesticides - always last resort in an IPM program
IPM Soil Preparation
Suitable site Test soil Rotate crops Create raised beds Sufficient organic matter.
Planting Tolerant varieties Planting time Row spacing diseases and insects
prevention Forecasting
Pest outbreaks Treatments timed prevent crop damage +
saving sprays
Pest Trapping Traps to identify possible outbreak
Monitoring Inspection of fields to determine damaging
levels of pests Thresholds
Before treating, growers wait until pest populations reach a scientifically determined level that could cause economic damage. Before threshold is reached, cost of yield + quality loss < than cost for control
Cultural Controls Turn under crop residues Sterilize greenhouse tools Harvest early
IPM
Biological Controls Conserve the many beneficial natural
enemies
Chemical Controls Select best pesticide Calibrate sprayers Good weather conditions
Recordkeeping Pest traps, weather and treatments
IPM
Who can use IPM? Farmers Buildings and grounds maintenance personnel Professional pest control operators Home dwellers
What are pesticide risks? Humans exposed to toxic concentrations According to the WHO, > 3 million people are
severely sickened and 220,000 die from pesticides each year worldwide
In the U.S. alone, 110,000 people are poisoned by pesticides annually These are "acute" poisonings
Long-term effects include cancer, birth defects and other disorders.
IPM
Birds - 60 million to 70 million killed each year in US
Fish and other wildlife Wild bees and honey bees - essential for
pollination of many crops, but many are lost to pesticide exposure
> one-third of calls to animal poison centers pets exposed
Pests can also become resistant to pesticides control costs + crop losses + pest damage
Many natural enemies of pests killed by pesticides Pesticides are powerful medicines for pest
problems It’s not smart, effective or affordable to take
medicines when you‘re not sick Eating right and staying fit is a great, low risk
medicine for your health Using IPM to prevent pest problems is the best
solution for a healthy environment for everyone
IPM
CONCLUSIONS We are all aware that there is a definite increase in the appearance of
disease and the frequency with which it occurs.
Many diseases are weather-related and so we as Agrometeorologists can play an increasingly important role in the prediction of diseases.
Development of models as early warning systems can assist in prevention of unnecessary application of sprays and fungicides and so increase the profits of those involved in the production of the food resources necessary for our survival and well-being.