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1959 2003 Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents Worldwide Operations 1959 - 2003 Statistical Summary of Commercial Jet Airplane Accidents Worldwide Operations 1959 - 2003 Commercial Airplanes
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Page 1: Air Accidents

1959 2003

StatisticalSummary of

Commercial JetAirplane Accidents

Worldwide Operations1959 - 2003

StatisticalSummary of

Commercial JetAirplane Accidents

Worldwide Operations1959 - 2003

Commercial Airplanes

Page 2: Air Accidents
Page 3: Air Accidents

Introduction 2

Definitions 3

Terms and Exclusions 5

Airplane Accidents, Year 2003 List 6

Departures, Flight Hours, and Jet Airplanes in Service 7

Accident Summary by Type of Operation 8

Accident Summary by Damage and Injury 9

Accident Rates and Fatalities by Year 10

Accident Rates by Years Following Introduction 11

U.S.A. and Canadian Operators Accident Rates 12

Accident Rates by Type of Operation 13

Accident Rates by Airplane Type 14

Fatalities by Accident Category 15

Accidents and Onboard Fatalities by Phase of Flight 16

Accidents by Primary Cause 17

Excluded Events 18

Hostile Actions 19

Non-Hostile Events 20

Published by:

Airplane Safety Boeing Commercial AirplanesP.O. Box 3707 M/S 67-TCSeattle, Washington 98124-2207, U.S.A.(425) 237-1692E-mail: [email protected]/news/techissuesMay 2004

Contents

12003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 4: Air Accidents

Introduction

The accident statistics presented in this document apply to worldwide commercial jet airplanes that are heavier than 60,000 pounds maximum gross weight. These statistics are presented in two distinct sections called; Statistical Accidents, which outlines hull loss, substantial damage, fatal injury and serious injury accidents; and Excluded Events, outlining hostile actions, and non-hostile events.

Not covered in this document are airplanes manufactured in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) (former Soviet Union), which are excluded because of the lack of operational data. Statistics on commercial airplanes operated in military service are not covered in this document; however, when a military-owned commercial jet transport type is used for civilian commercial service, those data are contained within this document.

The following airplane types are included:

717 DC-8 A300 BAe 146 F-28 Concorde L-1011 BAC 1-11 Comet 4707, 720 DC-9 A300-600 RJ-70/-85/-100 F-70 Trident 727 DC-10 A310 CRJ-700/-900 F-100 Caravelle737 MD-11 A320/319/321 Mercure747 MD-80/-90 A330 CV-880/-990757 A340 VC-10767 777

Airplane flight time and departures are primarily obtained from airplane and engine manufacturer compilations. Flight operations data for non-Boeing-manufactured airplanes is augmented by the AirCraft Analytical System (ACAS) electronic database that is published by AvSoft, Limited, of Rugby, England.

Accident data are obtained, when available, from government accident reports. Otherwise, information is solicited from operators, manufacturers, various government and private information services, and press accounts. Definitions related to development of statistics in this book are primarily based on corresponding International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) terms as explained in the next section. Some variations to the ICAO definitions are applied to facilitate the purposes of this document.

22003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 5: Air Accidents

Definitions

Events in this publication are classified according to the following definitions. These definitions are consistent with those of the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) and the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO).

Airplane accident: An occurrence associated with the operation of an airplane that takes place between the time any person boards the airplane with the intention of flight and such time as all such persons have disembarked in which:

• Airplane sustains substantial damage.• Death or serious injury results from:

– Being in or upon the airplane.– Direct contact with the airplane or anything attached thereto.– Direct exposure to jet blast.

Hull loss: Airplane damage that is substantial and is beyond economic repair. Hull loss also includes events in which:• Airplane is missing.• Search for the wreckage has been terminated without it being located.• Airplane is substantially damaged and inaccessible.

Substantial damage: Damage or structural failure that adversely affects the struc tural strength, performance, or flight characteristics of the airplane and would normally require major repair or replacement of the affected component. Substantial damage is not considered to be:

• Engine failure or damage limited to an engine if only one engine fails or is damaged.• Bent aerodynamic fairings.• Dents in the skin.• Damage to landing gear.• Damage to wheels.• Damage to tires.• Damage to flaps.

Fatal accident: An accident that results in fatal injury.

Fatal injury: An injury that results in death within 30 days as a result of an accident.

32003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 6: Air Accidents

Definitions (continued)

Serious injury: An injury sustained in an accident that:• Requires hospitalization for more than 48 hours that begins within 7 days of the date of injury.• Results in a fracture of any bone (except simple fractures of fingers, toes, or nose).• Produces lacerations that result in severe hemorrhage or nerve, muscle, or tendon damage.• Involves injury to any internal organ.• Involves second or third degree burns over 5 percent or more of the body.• Involves verified exposure to infectious substance or injurious radiation.

Generation: Airplane types are classified by generation groups in order of introduction to service as follows:

First Second Early Widebody Current

707, 720 727 747-100/-200/-300/SP MD-80/-90DC-8 BAC 1-11 DC-10 767Comet 4* DC-9 L-1011 757CV-880/-990* 737-100/-200 A300 BAe 146, RJ-70/-85/-100Caravelle* F-28 A310Mercure* Trident* A300-600

VC-10* 737-300/-400/-500A320/319/321F-100F-70747-400MD-11A340A330777737-600/-700/-800/-900717CRJ-700/-900

* These types are no longer in significant commercial service.

42003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 7: Air Accidents

Terms and Exclusions

Excluded events:

• Fatal and nonfatal injuries from natural causes.

• Fatal and nonfatal self-inflicted injuries.

• Fatal and nonfatal injuries of stowaways hiding outside the areas normally available to the passengers and crew.

• Experimental test flight accidents. (Maintenance test flights, ferry, positioning, training and demonstration flights are included).

• Nonfatal injuries resulting from atmospheric turbulence, maneuvering, loose objects, boarding, disembarking, evacuation, and maintenance and servicing.

• Nonfatal injuries to persons not onboard the airplane.

Regional identification: Events are identified by the operator’s national domicile and by event location.

Airplane collisions: Events involving two or more airplanes are counted as separate events, one for each airplane. For example, destruction of two airplanes in a collision is considered two separate hull loss accidents.

Accident rates: In general, this expression is a measure of accidents per million departures. Departures (or flight cycles) are used as the basis for computing rates, since there is a stronger statistical correlation between accidents and departures than there is between accidents and flight hours, or between accidents and the number of airplanes in service, or between accidents and passenger miles. Airplane departures data are continually updated and revised as new information and estimating processes become available. These form the baseline for the measure of accident rates and, as a consequence, rates may appear to vary between editions of this publication.

52003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 8: Air Accidents

XX

X

X

X

XX

X

XXX

X12

Airplane AccidentsWorldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 2003

62003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

1/8/20031/8/2003

1/17/20031/23/20031/26/20032/15/20033/6/2003

3/12/20033/21/20033/21/20033/26/20033/31/20034/18/20036/17/20037/6/20037/8/2003

7/11/20038/11/20038/15/20039/12/200310/1/200310/3/200311/1/200311/6/2003

11/29/200312/7/2003

12/13/200312/18/200312/18/200312/19/200312/20/200312/25/2003

32

Turkish Airlines (THY)TAN AirlinesTAMEStar AirVASP AirlinesEvergreen International AirlinesAir AlgerieSingapore AirlinesRoyal Air MarocTransasia AirwaysRoyal Air MarocAirTran AirwaysWetrafa AirliftOnur AirCielos del PeruSudan AirwaysAir MemphisGaruda IndonesiaEasyJetNorthwest AirlinesCargo Air LinesGaruda IndonesiaEgyptAirTAMEHydro AirEast African Safari AirAero ContinenteFedExLineas Aereas SuramericanasAir GabonGOL Transportes Aereos LtdaUnion Des Transports Africains

RJ100F-28F-28737-200737-200747-200737-200747-400737-400A321737-400717-200DC-9-32MD-88DC-10-30737-200707-300CF-28737-300DC-9-15747-200C737-500A321-230A320747-258CF-28737-200MD-10-10DC-9-15F737- 300737- 700727- 200

Diyarbakir, Turkey Chachapoyas, Peru Quito, Ecuador Jakarta, Indonesia Rio Branco, Brazil Catania, Italy Tamanrasset, Algeria Auckland, New Zealand Marrakech, Morocco Tainan, Taiwan Oujda, Morocco New York, USA Brazzaville, Congo Groningen, Netherlands Curitiba, Brazil Port Sudan, Sudan Dacca, Bangladesh Jakarta, Indonesia Geneva, Switzerland Norfolk, USA Liege, Belgium Semarang, Indonesia Moscow, Russia Florianopolis, Brazil La Guaira, Venezuela Lokichokio, Kenya Lima, Peru Memphis, USA Mitu, Colombia Libreville, Gabon Navegantes, Brazil Cotonou, Benin

75460000

10300000000

116000100000000300

139483

Final approachInitial approachTakeoffLandingInitial approachLandingTakeoffTakeoffLandingLandingLandingParkedLandingTakeoffLandingInitial climbTakeoffLandingClimbTowLandingLandingTaxiLandingLandingLandingLandingLandingDescentLandingLandingTakeoff

CFIT crashed into mountainCFIT crashed into mountainRTO/tunway excursionRunway excursionHit tree on approach to landRunway overrun on landingCrashed after takeoffTailstrike on takeoffLanding overrunRunway excursionRunway excursionEvacuation injuriesIntentional off runway gear-up landingRTO overrunLanding overrunCrashed after takeoffRTO overrunLMLG collapseHail damage in flightTug driver fatally injuredLanding overrunRunway departureSkidded off runwayRunway offside excursionRunway offside excursionRunway excursionLanded with all landing gear retractedRMLG collapse, fuselage burnedCrashed into jungleLanding overrun during heavy rainLanding overrunHit building on takeoff

Date Airline Airplane Type Accident Location Hull Fatalities Phase DescriptionLoss

Page 9: Air Accidents

1965 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003

• 429.9 million cumulative departures (354.2 million on Boeing airplanes)

• 712.1 million cumulative flight hours (595.9 million on Boeing airplanes)

• 7 manufacturers – 33 significant types (13 Boeing) in service as of 12/31/2003

*Certified jet airplanes greater than 60,000 pounds maximum gross weight, including those in temporary non-flying status and those in use by non-airline operators. Excluded are military airplanes and CIS-(Soviet Union) manufactured airplanes.

Departures, Flight Hours, and Jet Airplanes in Service*Worldwide Operations 1965 Through 2003

Num

ber

of a

irpla

nes,

(t

hous

ands

)

Ann

ual d

epar

ture

s an

dfli

ght h

ours

(m

illio

ns)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1965 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003

Departures

Flight Hours

17,991 (11,755 Boeing)

16.90

33.92

72003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

18

15

12

9

6

3

0

Year

Year

Page 10: Air Accidents

1959-2003 1994-2003 1959-2003 1994-2003 1959-2003 1994-2003

Accident Summary by Type of OperationWorldwide Commercial Jet Fleet

Type of operation All Accidents Hull loss and/orfatal accidents Onboard fatalities

82003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

*Military-owned commercial jet transport types used in civilian commercial service.

Passenger 1,083 291 598 145 25,387 6,415

Cargo 182 77 125 51 220 46

Ferry, test 104 13 61 8 189 23

Other* 2 0 2 0 11 0

Totals 1,371 381 786 204 25,807 6,484

US. & Canada operators 460 92 223 41 6,081 1,052

Rest of the world 911 289 563 163 19,726 5,432

Totals 1,371 381 786 204 25,807 6,484

Page 11: Air Accidents

98 injury accidents with less than substantial damage(60 fatalities)

707 hull losses(437 fatalities)

566 substantial damage accidents(19 fatalities)

Excludes:• Fatal injuries from natural causes, or suicide.• Experimental test flights.• Military airplanes.• Sabotage, hijacking, terrorism, or military action.• Non-fatal injuries involving:

• Atmospheric turbulence, maneuvering, or loose objects.• Boarding, disembarking, or evacuation.• Maintenance or servicing.• Persons not onboard the airplane.

Accident Summary by Damage and InjuryAll Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003

1,371 accidents worldwide

98(60fatal)

707(437 fatal)

566(19 fatal)

92003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 12: Air Accidents

0

10

20

30

40

50

1959 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 95 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003

Year

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Hull loss and/orfatal accidents

All accidents

Onboard Fatalities

Accident Rates and Fatalities by YearAll Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003

Fatalities

Accidentrate

(accidents per

milliondepartures)

102003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, may 2004

Page 13: Air Accidents

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44

Years since introduction

First generation

Second generation

Early Widebody

Current Generation

Accident Rates by Years Following IntroductionHull Loss and/or Fatal accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003

Accidentrate

(accidents per

milliondepartures)

112003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 14: Air Accidents

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1959 61 63 65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 2003

Year

US. & Canada operators

Rest of World

U.S.A. and Canadian Operators Accident RatesHull Loss and/or Fatal accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003

Accidentrate

(accidents per

milliondepartures)

122003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 15: Air Accidents

Accident Rates by Type of OperationHull Loss and/or Fatal accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1993 through 2003

*Unscheduled passenger and charter, cargo, ferry, test, training, and demonstration.

10-yearaccident

rate (accidents per million

departures)

Scheduled passenger operations143.8 million departures

All other operations*25.4 million departures

132003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

2.64

0.96

0.0

0.5

1.0

2.0

2.5

3.0

1.5

Page 16: Air Accidents

Not flying**707/720

DC-8727

737-100/-200DC-9

BAC 1-11F-28

747-EarlyDC-10

A300-EarlyL-1011

ConcordeMD-80/-90

767757

BAe146, RJ-70/85/100A310

A300-600737-300/-400/-500

A320/319/321F-100

747-400MD-11

CRJ-700/-900A340A330

777737-600/-700/-800/-900

717F-70

Accident Rates by Airplane TypeHull Loss Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1959 through 2003

Hull loss accident Rate per million departures12 15963

83124

7382728023342422

941

1245764

1795350000000

708TotalHull Losses

** The Comet, CV880/990, Caravelle, Trident and VC-10 are no longer incommercial service, and are combined in the “Not flying” bar.

* These types have accumulated fewer than 1 million departures .

142003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

14.56

1.65

0

0.0*0.00.00.0*0.0*

3.730.830.72

0.510.37

1.171.68

0.950.370.370.38

0.751.54

2.451.99

3.722.71

1.281.33

1.105.82

11.36*

9.15

0.0*

0.0*

Hull Losses

Page 17: Air Accidents

Fatalities by Accident CategoryFatal Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1994 Through 2003

32 2 2 2 162 3 1 324 6218Number of fatal accidents 105 total Note: Accidents involving multiple, non-onboard fatalities are included

Accidents involving single, non-onboard fatalities are excludedFatalities/accidents are placed in one category only.

* CFIT = Controlled Flight Into Terrain** RTO = Refused Takeoff

Fatalities

1

CFIT* In-flightfire

Mid-aircollision

Fueltank

explosion

LandingTakeoffconfiguration

Fuelexhaustion

Windshear

Runwayincursion

Loss ofcontrol in

flight

UnknownTurbulenceRTO**Misc.fatality

Total Fatalities = 6,795 (6,484 onboard)

2003 fatalities = 484 (483 onboard)

Structure

1032,131

1211,701

420339

231 225

85192

12137 29 12 3 2

1

258244

152003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 18: Air Accidents

Accidents and Onboard Fatalities by Phase of FlightHull Loss and/or Fatal Accidents - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1994 - 2003

Hull loss and/or fatal accidents Onboard fatalities

Taxi, load,parked

Takeoff Initialclimb

Climb

Fatalities

Cruise Descent Initialapproach

Finalapproach

Landing

11

3

25

Hulllossand/orfatalaccidents

539

1117

1,619

788

137

14

1,066

13

Initialapproach

7%

13%

12%

Descent

3%

8%

11%

Finalapproach

6%

16%

3%

Percentage of accidents/fatalities

Takeoff

12%

8%

1%

Initialclimb

5%

14%

1%

Landing

45%

2%

1%

Taxi,load,

parked

5%

0%

Climb(flaps up)

8%

25%

14%

Cruise

6%

12%

57%

17% 51%

22% 18%

Accidents

Fatalities

Initialapproach

fix

Exposure = percentage of flight timebased on flight duration of 1.5 hours

Distribution of accidents and fatalities

0

20

40

60

80

100

0

500

1000

1500

2000

902

541

93

161

Fatalities

865

Finalapproach

fix

162003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 19: Air Accidents

Accidents by Primary Cause*Hull Loss - Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 1994 through 2003-

62%

14%

12%

5%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Flight Crew

Airplane

Weather

Misc./Other

Maintenance

Airport/Air Traffic Control

Total with known causes

Unknown or awaiting reports

Total

84

19

16

7

5

5

136

50

186*As determined by the investigating authority,percent of accidents with known causes.

4%

172003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 20: Air Accidents

The following 3 pages, Hostile Actions and Non-Hostile Events, are excluded from the statistical analysis in the preceding portions of the document and may not be a complete listing due to incomplete reporting.

Hostile Action EventsWorldwide Commercial Jet Fleet - 2003Events which occur as a result of a premeditated, overt act originating from terrorism, sabotage or suicide.

DHL Airways

Total events

A300 Baghdad, Iraq 0

0

0

0

The airplane sustained damage to the left wing by a ground-launched missile.

Date Airline Airplane Accident Hull Onboard DescriptionType Location Loss

22-Nov-03

1

Excluded EventsWorldwide Commercial Jet Fleet

182003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Page 21: Air Accidents

Hostile ActionsWorldwide Commercial Jet Fleet — 1983 Through 2003

192003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1983 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 2002 2003Year

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1983 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 2002 2003

Year

Numberof

events

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8Number of events

Rate

Sabotage/terrorist rate per million

departures

Page 22: Air Accidents

0 20 40 60 80 100

Severe turbulence:• No injury – 7 events• Flight attendant injury – 12 events• Passenger injury – 11 events• Passenger and flight attendant injury – 8 events

Emergency evacuation:• Minor injury – 6 events

Non-Hostile Events

Turbulence

Pushback

Servicing injury

Aircraft struck by vehicle

Emergency evacuation

Pushback:• Airplane towed into de-icing truck – 1 event

Ground operations: • Engine struck jetway – 1 event• Airplane damaged while taxiing - inadvertently hit other

airplane, tug, jetway – 1 event• Airplane damaged from foreign object debris – 5 events• Tug driver fatally injured – 1 event

Events Occurring From 1994 Through 2003

Events Occurring In 2003

202003 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, MAY 2004

Number of events

Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet


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