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Air Quality and Air Quality and Climate Change Climate Change Challenges in Challenges in
California and the California and the Bay AreaBay Area
Jack P. BroadbentExecutive Officer/Air Pollution Control Officer
1
Presentation to the
Power Association of Northern California (PANC)City Club of San Francisco
March 17, 2015
Bay Area Air QualityBay Area Air QualityManagement District Management District (BAAQMD)(BAAQMD)
Established in 1955
100+ cities
7 million people
5 million vehicles
Mission: To protect and improve public health, air quality, and the global climate
Mission StatementMission Statement
VisionA healthy breathing environment for every Bay Area resident.
Mission To protect and improve public health, air quality, and the global climate.
Summary of Ozone SeasonsSummary of Ozone Seasons(April through October)(April through October)
YearYear
NationalNational
8-Hour8-Hour
StateState
1-Hour1-Hour
StateState
8-Hour8-Hour
20112011 44 55 1010
20122012 44 33 88
20132013 33 33 33
20142014 55 33 1010
Spare the Air Alerts: 5/12, 5/13, 5/14, 6/8, 6/9, 7/25, 8/1, 9/11, 9/12, 10/3
Days > 0.075 ppm 8-hour NAAQS: 4/30, 5/1, 5/14, 10/4, 10/5
Ozone Exceedance Trends Ozone Exceedance Trends 1968 to Present1968 to Present
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Nu
mb
er
of
Da
ys
Year
Number of Days Exceeding the National 8-hour Standard (0.075ppm)
3-Yr Running 8-Hour Average
Days Exceeding the Ozone Standard
Winter PMWinter PM2.52.5 Seasons Seasons(November through February)(November through February)
YearDays > 35
µg/m3
Winter Spare the Air Alerts
2011/2012 11 15
2012/2013 1 10
2013/2014 15 30
2014/2015 6 23• Spare the Air Alert Called for: 11/9, 11/25, 11/26, 11/27, 12/28, 12/29, 1/2, 1/3,
1/4, 1/5, 1/6, 1/7, 1/8, 1/9, 1/10, 1/11, 1/12, 1/15, 1/16, 1/17, 1/24, 1/25, 2/3
• Days > 35 µg/m3 24-hr NAAQS: 1/3, 1/6, 1/8, 1/14, 1/15, 1/16
PMPM2.52.5 Exceedance Trends 2000 Exceedance Trends 2000 to Presentto Present
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Nu
mb
er
of
Da
ys
Year
Number of Days Exceeding the National 24-Hour Standard (35 ug/m3)
3-Yr Running 24-Hour
Days Exceeding the PM2.5 Standard
Air Quality in the Bay AreaAir Quality in the Bay Area
Current Perspective Perspective
Much progress has been made Still need to drive down emission to achieve
State / Federal standards Strong public support for reducing emissions
from major sources Strong support for GHG reductions
Recent Key EffortsRecent Key Efforts
Commuter Benefits Program
Implementation of AB 32 Programs
Cement, Metal Melting Operations
Current Rulemaking EffortsCurrent Rulemaking Efforts
Refinery Emissions Tracking and Mitigation
Refinery Emissions Reduction Strategy 20% reduction in emissions by 2020 Additional 20% reduction in health risk by 2020
Multiple Amendments for Multiple Amendments for Refinery OperationsRefinery Operations
Date Reg.-Rule
Description Pollutant
3/92, 1/98, 11/02, 1/04
8-18 Equipment leaks at refineries ROG
3/92 8-22, 8-25
Leaks from valves and flanges ROG
1/93, 12/99, 10/06
8-5 Storage tanks ROG
1/94, 12/10, 10/13
9-10 Boilers, steam generators, process heaters
NOX
12/97, 3/98, 12/05
8-28 Leaks from pressure relief valves ROG
6/03 12-11 Refinery flare monitoring All
1/04 8-10 Process vessel depressurization ROG
9/04 8-8 Refinery wastewater separators ROG
7/05, 4/06 12-12 Refinery flares All
12/05 8-44 Marine loading operations ROG
7/07 9-8 Stationary internal combustion engines NOx, PM
4/09 8-33, 8-39
Gasoline bulk terminals ROG
4/12 8-53 Vacuum trucks ROG
Regulation 12-15 and 12-16Regulation 12-15 and 12-16
Regulation 12, Rule 15: Petroleum Refining Emissions Tracking Upgraded reporting of air pollutants, including GHG Report crude oil characteristics Updated refinery-wide Health Risk Assessments Enhanced fence line and community air monitoring
Regulation 12, Rule 16, Petroleum Refining Emissions Analysis, Thresholds and Mitigation Causal analysis if emissions increase significantly above
baseline Mitigation plan to reduce emissions to levels consistent
with baseline within two years
Back-Up Generator Rule Back-Up Generator Rule (BUG)(BUG) 6,700 back-up generators permitted in the Air
District 40% of these predate EPA emissions standards A subset of these older, dirtier engines pose
potential health risks due to nearby sensitive receptors
Upcoming rule will impose PM emissions controls on older engines near sensitive receptors
Expected reduction of black carbon will help protect climate
Current Rules Directed at Current Rules Directed at Power GenerationPower Generation
Regulation 9, Rule 9: Nitrogen Oxides and Carbon Monoxide from Stationary Gas Turbines
GHG Emission Reduction GHG Emission Reduction EffortsEffortsTwo region-wide GHG reduction planning efforts:
1.1.Air District’s Regional Climate Protection StrategyAir District’s Regional Climate Protection Strategy• Air District’s regional goal - reduce Bay Area GHG emissions 80%
below 1990 levels by 2050
• Framework for how the Air District will lead the region in making progress toward this goal
• Included in Air District’s 2015
Clean Air Plan
GHG Reduction EffortsGHG Reduction Efforts
2.2. Plan Bay Area – prepared by Plan Bay Area – prepared by regional partners MTC & ABAGregional partners MTC & ABAG• Collaborative effort to reduce GHG
emissions from light duty vehicles
• Required by state legislation (SB 375), integrates land use/housing and transportation planning
• GHG reduction targets: 7% per capita by 2020; 15% per capita by 2035
• Adopted in 2013; next update underway for 2016-217
Total Bay Area GHG Emissions 2011: 86 MMT/year
Getting to 2050Getting to 2050
• Requires transformational change that must occur at the national, state, regional and local levels
• How will the Bay Area Air District complement the State of California’s actions in meeting this target?
California’s Path to 2050
Regional Climate Protection Regional Climate Protection StrategyStrategy
Key elements of the Strategy:Key elements of the Strategy:
• Background on climate action planning • Climate change impacts to the Bay Area• Regional GHG inventory & projections• Economic sector GHG analyses• Strategies & actions moving forward• Integration with strategies to reduce air pollution
What is the best role for the Air What is the best role for the Air District?District?
Economic GHG Sector Economic GHG Sector AnalysisAnalysisThe heart of the Strategy will assess GHG emissions in nine The heart of the Strategy will assess GHG emissions in nine economic sectors:economic sectors:
• Agriculture• Natural & Working
Lands• Energy
• Transportation• Stationary Sources• Short-lived Climate
Pollutants
• Green Buildings• Water• Waste
Through a sector-by-sector analysis of:Through a sector-by-sector analysis of:
•Major GHG sources & trends•Analysis of federal, state, regional, and local GHG reduction policies•GHG reduction priorities and strategic opportunities for the Air District•Best role and value added by the Air District
Incentives for Electric Incentives for Electric Vehicles and Charging Vehicles and Charging StationsStations Vehicles For Public Agencies (Available Now):
o $2,500 for light-duty electric and hydrogen fuel cell (H2) vehicles, and zero emissions motorcycles;
o $1,000 for light-duty plug-in hybrids and $500 for neighborhood electric vehicles
Charging Stations (scheduled to open mid-May 2015)o Level 2, Level 1, and DC Fast chargers at key
destination sites, workplaces, multi-unit dwellings, and along major transportation corridors
Electric and H2 light-duty fleets and heavy-duty vehicles (scheduled to open by July 2015)
PG&E ApplicationPG&E Application
PG&E has applied to the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) for permission to build in its Northern and Central California service territory: o ~25,000 Level 2 electric vehicle chargers (at multi-family dwellings,
retail centers, and workplaces)o ~ 100 DC Fast Chargers (in metropolitan areas)
Cost would be “shared” by all electric customers (PG&E estimates that a typical residential customer would pay about 70 cents more per month over the period 2018 to 2022.)
CPUC is currently reviewing 2 similar proposals(from SDGE and SCE) and is expected to make a determination on those in late 2015. CPUC is NOT expected to begin rulemaking on PG&E’s application until 2016.
Spare the AirSpare the Air
Winter Spare the Air Results
30% of Bay Area households reduced their wood burning
Support for the Wood Burning Rule remains strong and consistent over the past three seasons at 75%.
Summer Spare the Air ResultsDECREASE in the number of motorists driving alone in their car
o 2012 = 55.1%o 2013 = 52.7%o 2014 = 49.7%
INCREASE in the number of motorists who carpoolo 2012 = 20.7%o 2013 = 20.8%o 2014 = 25.9%
Summary PerspectiveSummary Perspective
• Air District’s Spare the Air programs continue to demonstrate results – key component of clean air strategy
• Continue multi-faceted approach toward achieving clean air goals through a combination of regulations, outreach, incentives, guidance & tools, and collaborations
• Climate change continues to be a significant and growing focus of our clean air strategy in the Bay Area
Climate RulemakingClimate Rulemaking
Rules that address various GHG emissions:
Regulation 3, Schedule T: Greenhouse Gas Fee
Regulation 9, Rule 7: Nitrogen Oxides & Carbon Monoxide from Industrial, Institutional & Commercial Boilers, Steam Generators & Process Heaters
Regulation 12, Rule 7: Motor Vehicle Air Conditioner Refrigerants
Regulation 12, Rule 11: Flare Monitoring
Climate RulemakingClimate Rulemaking
Regulation 8 Rules that reduce Methane:
Rule 10: Process Vessel Depressurization
Rule 18: Equipment Leaks
Rule 28: Episodic Releases from Pressure Relief Devices at Petroleum Refineries & Chemical Plants
Rule 34: Solid Waste Disposal Sites
Rule 37: Natural Gas & Crude Oil facilities
Rule 44: Marine Vessel Loading Terminals
Rule 53: Vacuum Truck Operations