Date post: | 04-Jan-2016 |
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Air Transport 1903 - 1950
Air Transport 1950 - 2000
Air Transport2000 - 2050
• Carbon constrained or carbon free flight.
• Aerospace technology or eco-efficiency?
• UK visitors to Greece 1950 20,0002000 2,000,0002050 ??
The Problem is the Rate of Growth
Drivers for Future Growth
Aviation, City and Regional Development
• High speed carriage of people and high value goods over long distances.
• Accessibility to remote and island communities.
Economic Development(NW England)
The Multicultural Society
Travel for Personal Fulfilment
The Global Society
Aviation’s Contribution to the Development of Humankind
• Patterns of trade / migration
• Global socio-economy
• Intergovernmental alliances EC,SADC,MERCOSUR, AL
• Russia,India,China,Brazil.
• Next Africa?
Aviation and Sustainable Mobility
• Airports have critical role as inter-modal transport hubs.
• Airport capacity provision is therefore critical
Environment constrains airports when :
• Noise, emissions
or risk exceed:– regulatory limits
– local agreements
– community tolerance
– political support
Environment constrains airports when:• The airport cannot ensure
secure and adequate resources (water, energy) to allow normal operations.
• Due competition with other industries, homes, tourism, farming.
Environment Constrains Airports when:
• Further infrastructure growth is restricted by sensitive habitats, culturally sensitive sites or buildings (houses).
The move away from carbon fuels is more than Climate Change Issue.
• Increasing demand for aviation fuel by 2050-60?
• Peak oil now
• 50 yrs conventional oil remain
• Alternatives costly and limited production potential
Carbon Free in 50 Years?
• Monumental challenge
• Step change in Technology & Infrastructure.
• 20-30 years away?
• Who will fund this change?
Can we have a Global Society in a Carbon Constrained World?