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ALGER: 2ème Assises de l’intelligence économique. VIP ... · 12/03/08 B.G. -VSST 11 TEXT MINING...

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Brigitte Gay Brigitte Gay Groupe Groupe ESC Business School ESC Business School ALGER : 2ème Assises de l’intelligence économique. VIP Groupe 10 au 11 Novembre 2008 Analyse des Jeux Mondiaux de Contrats dans l’Industrie Pharmaceutique par Intelligence Economique Implications Stratégiques 10.02.09 B.G. 1
Transcript

Bri

gitte

Gay

Bri

gitte

Gay

Gro

upe

Gro

upe

ESC

Busi

nes

s Sch

ool

ESC

Busi

nes

s Sch

ool

ALGER: 2èm

e Assises de l’intelligen

ce

économique. VIP G

roupe

10 au 11 Novembre 2008

Analyse des Jeu

x M

ondiaux de Contrats dans

l’Industrie Pharm

aceutique par Intelligen

ce

Economique

Implications Stratégiques

10.0

2.0

9B.G

.1

�L’utilisation d’outils, de méthodologies constitutives de l’intelligence

économique permet l’étude des réseaux d’alliances dans une industrie.

�Dans les industries oùla High Tech est très développée, l’innovation est

soutenue, souvent de rupture, et globale, les cartographies dynamiques de

réseaux permettent alors de faire des audits évolutifs des différents segments

technologiques constitutifs de ces industries: émergence de technologies

nouvelles, croissance et rythme de croissance, obsolescence, répartition

géographique.

�La prise ou la perte de pouvoir d’acteurs/firmes au sein de ces réseaux

mondiaux, et les contraintes exercées dans le temps par l’ensemble des acteurs

sur une entreprise, i.e. l’environnement concurrentiel, peuvent être analysés.

Les analyses de structures de réseau permettent ainsi de comprendre la

cohérence de la stratégie d’une entreprise et la pertinence de sa position dans

un segment donné, ou dans l’ensemble des segments de ou des industries dans

lesquels elle est impliquée. L’intelligence économique, dans ce cas, devrait

aider les entreprises àassurer la maîtrise de leur position.

10.0

2.0

9B.G

.2

.3

The

Str

ate

gic

Innova

tion C

hallen

ge

�Innovationmatters……the game keeps changing –new

technologies, new markets, new competitors, even new

rules for the game.

�Estimates indicate that, in fields in which technology-

exchange agreements between firms are widespread,

information about innovations is disseminated throughout

the world w

ithin

a y

ear or tw

oof the introduction of an

innovation

B.G

.10.0

2.0

93

Mee

ting

the

Str

ate

gic

Innova

tion C

hallen

ge

�Open innovation implies that organizationsopen

up

their innovation processes, searching widely outside their

boundaries and working towards managing a rich set of

network connections and relationships right across the

board.

�Innovation increasingly becomes a corporate wide task

and one which extends beyond the boundaries of the

enterp

rise.

B.G

.10.0

2.0

94

Fro

m a

clo

sed

to

an

op

en

co

rpo

rate

in

no

vati

on

sys

tem

: So

me

exa

mp

les

of

tra

nsf

orm

ati

on

an

d in

cre

ase

d

pe

rfo

rma

nce

�IB

M h

as

ge

ne

rate

d m

ore

th

an

$1

0 b

illio

n in

lice

nsi

ng

re

ven

ue

sfr

om

19

96

to

20

06

�C

om

pa

nie

s a

lso

re

ceiv

e r

eve

nu

es

fro

m r

oya

lty

pa

yme

nts

. IB

M f

or

exa

mp

le r

ece

ive

d $

1.9

bill

ion

in r

oya

lty

pa

yme

nts

in

20

01

.

B.G

.10.0

2.0

95

Som

e e

xam

ple

s o

f tr

an

sfo

rma

tio

n a

nd

incr

ea

sed

p

erf

orm

an

ce :

The pharmaceuticalindustry

�P

fize

r re

vie

we

d in

20

05

ove

r 4

00

lice

nsi

ng

or

acq

uis

itio

n

op

po

rtu

nit

ies.

�4

4 p

erc

en

t o

f m

id-p

ha

rma

reve

nu

es

in 2

00

5 w

ere

fro

m p

rod

uct

s d

isco

vere

d o

uts

ide

th

eir

ow

n p

ipe

line

s

�A

na

lyst

fo

reca

st:

–R

eve

nu

es

fro

m p

rod

uct

s d

isco

vere

d b

y e

xte

rna

l so

urc

es

will

re

ach

49

pe

rce

nt

by

20

10

ba

sed

on

ly o

n t

he

de

als

alr

ea

dy

in p

lace

.

�D

ata

mo

nit

or

sta

tist

ics

on

th

e in

cre

ase

d d

ep

en

de

nce

on

lice

nsi

ng

ove

r th

e n

ext

ye

ars

:

–B

ig p

ha

rma

ceu

tica

l co

mp

an

ies

sho

uld

re

trie

ve o

ver

US$

10

0 b

illio

nin

sa

les

fro

m li

cen

sed

pro

du

cts

by

20

10

. B.G

.10.0

2.0

96

INTERFIR

M A

LLIA

NC

ES

INTERFIR

M A

LLIA

NC

ES

B.G

. 12/0

3/0

87

B.G

.10.0

2.0

97

B.G

. -VSST

Taking a Network Lens to Alliance Management

Taking a Network Lens to Alliance Management

DYNAMICS!!

????

????

????

???

12/0

3/0

88

B.G

.

Fir

m1

Fir

m2

Con

trac

t

Fir

m1

Fir

m2

10.0

2.0

98

AT STAKE IN STRATEGY:

•FIRM POSITION W

ITHIN UNBALANCED COMPLEX NETWORKS OF

ALLIANCES

•THE CONCEPTION OF EGONET STRUCTURES W

ELL ADAPTEDTO THE

MACRO STRUCTURES INTO W

HICH FIRMS ARE EMBEDDED

POWER

CONTROL

CONSTRAINT

B.G

.10.0

2.0

99

B.G

.

X3 D

Cooc

Dic 3Dic 1

Dic 2

Met

a

leve

l

Corp

us

4

Corp

us

3

Corp

us

2

1'

Corp

us

1

DB

WebCD

Met

a-

data

Met

a-

data

Met

a-

data

Met

a-

data

Met

a-

data

Met

a-

data

Arc

hitec

ture

DATA E

XTRACTIO

N

PRE-P

RO

CESSIN

G

DATA M

ININ

GVIS

UALIS

ATIO

N

STATS

12/0

3/0

810

B.G

.10.0

2.0

910

12/0

3/0

8B.G

. -VSST

11

TE

XT M

ININ

G (open

-sourc

e, p

ress

rel

ease

s): 5600

allia

nce

s in

the

PH

ARM

A Indust

ry in 2

004 a

nd 2

005 (sim

plified

im

age)

B.G

.10.0

2.0

911

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.

ab

RAND

OM

ARCH

ITECTURE

ALLIA

NCE

NETW

ORK

12

B.G

.10.0

2.0

912

B.G

. Connec

tivi

ty:

cluster

ing c

oef

fici

ent

Shortes

t

Path

Bio

tech

nolo

gy

net

work

0,2

7*

3,5

**

Random

gra

ph

0,0

05

6,1

Sm

all-W

orld F

eatu

res of th

e Bio

tech

nolo

gy

Net

work

*th

e cl

ust

erin

g c

oef

fici

ent of a reg

ula

r la

ttic

e te

nds to

0,7

5.

Whet

her

we

exam

ine

a h

igh-tec

h sec

tor

or a w

hole

indust

ry …

……

….

12/0

3/0

813

This

worl

d is not RAN

DO

M …

.. A

nd it is

SM

ALL

B.G

.10.0

2.0

913

ENTREPRENEURS NEED TO UNDERSTAND THE

MACRO ENVIR

ONMENT IN W

HIC

H THEIR

FIR

M IS

SIT

UATED

Indust

ries

rapid

move

s transl

ate

into

com

ple

x

allia

nce

net

work

s su

bm

itte

d to sustain

ed innova

tion

and fast

diffu

sion

B.G

.10.0

2.0

914

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.15

Topic

sArc

hitec

ture

Contr

ibution

Concl

usion

Contr

ibution

To A

llia

nce

Analy

sis

Indust

ry

Seg

men

t N

Indust

ry

Seg

men

t 1

Indust

ry

Seg

men

t 2

ALLIA

NCES IN T

HE W

HO

LE IN

DU

STRY F

RO

M

2004 T

O F

EB2006

SECTOR 1

Genentech

Medarex

Morphosys Ag

Biogen Idec

Medim

mune

Xoma

Protein Design Labs

Seattle Genetics

Centocor

Abbott

SECTOR 2

NIH

Merck

GlaxoSmithKline

Crucell

Chiron

Aventis

Medim

mune

Id Biomedical

Dow

Genvec

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

New

Alliance

Number

2004

2005

feb

2006

Year

Segment 1 (Ab)

Segment 2 (Vac)

B.G

.10.0

2.0

915

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.16

1996-2003 TAKING NETWORK «SNAPSHOTS»EVERY TWO YEARS

POWER CONTROL: INTERDEPENDENCY FIRM-NETWORK

B.G

.10.0

2.0

916

10.0

2.0

9B.G

.17

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.18

ALLIA

NCES

AT

FIR

M L

EVEL ?

B.G

.10.0

2.0

918

10.0

2.0

919

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.19

GSK

WH

OLE IN

DU

STRY

GSK

WH

OLE IN

DU

STRY

MERC

K W

HO

LE IN

DU

STRY

MERC

K W

HO

LE IN

DU

STRY

GSK

SEG

MEN

T 2

GSK

SEG

MEN

T 1

MERC

K S

EG

MEN

T 1

MERC

K S

EG

MEN

T 2

B.G

.

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.20

RO

CH

E

WH

OLE IN

DU

STRY

RO

CH

E

SEG

MENT O

NE

GENEN

TEC

H

SEG

MENT O

NE

…and

51%

inte

rest in

Chugai

Roch

e

Gro

wth

outlook

secu

red b

y

com

bin

ed

tech

/pip

elin

e

portfo

lio

B.G

.10.0

2.0

920

UNDERSTANDIN

G THE

DYNAMIC

S …

…..

B.G

.10.0

2.0

921

B.G

.22

BIG

PH

ARM

AS:

Ver

y Fast T

urn

ove

r of links

!!!

Obligato

ry to e

scape

com

pet

itio

n

2004

2005

2004

2005

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.

Fir

m A

Fir

m A

Fir

m B

10.0

2.0

922

SPATIA

L ANALYSIS

WORLDW

IDE INTERACTIO

NS

B.G

.10.0

2.0

923

B.G

.12/0

3/0

8B.G

.24

Worl

dW

ide

Situation

Worl

dW

ide

Situation--H

isto

gra

mH

isto

gra

m

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

% Alliances

usa

canada

germany

uk

japan

china

netherl

india

switzer

france

austral

israel

sweden

Pays

2004

2005

10.0

2.0

924

25

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.25

Worl

dW

ide

Analy

sis

Worl

dW

ide

Analy

sis ––

Net

work

Str

uct

ure

Net

work

Str

uct

ure

2004

2005

B.G

.10.0

2.0

9

Increasing the signal ….. A shift in control and power

B.G

.10.0

2.0

926

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.27

Worl

dW

ide

Analy

sis

Worl

dW

ide

Analy

sis ––

Net

work

Struct

ure

Net

work

Struct

ure: CHINA

: CHINA

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

% Alliances

usa

canada

germany

uk

japan

china

netherl

india

switzer

france

austral

israel

sweden

Pays

2004

2005

Dév

eloppem

ent fo

rt sur

l’Asie

Atten

tion à

la

stru

ctura

tion sur ce

tte

zone

= sig

nal

fort/n

om

bre

d’a

llia

nce

s

B.G

.10.0

2.0

927

B.G

.

SE

CTO

R 1

SE

CTO

R 2

WH

OLE

IN

DU

STR

Y

10.0

2.0

928

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.29

Worl

dW

ide

Analy

sis

Worl

dW

ide

Analy

sis ––

Net

work

Struct

ure

Net

work

Struct

ure: has

: has

a firm a global reach ?

a firm a global reach ?

B.G

.10.0

2.0

929

INNOVATION -SMALL WORLD –

POWER + Dynamics !

B.G

.10.0

2.0

930

Europe

Océanie

Amérique

du Nord

Asie

Afrique

32%

32%

8%8%

2%2%

58%

58%

9%

31%

31%

2%2%

58%

58%

13%

13%

57%

57%

30%

30%

42%

42%

50%

50%

8%8%

EXAM

PLE:

MAJO

R S

ECTO

R O

F T

HE

PH

ARM

A IN

DU

STRY 2

006-

2007

I’VE M

ADE IT SIM

PLE TODAY

AND SHOW

N BASIC

THIN

GS

Conclusion 1

B.G

.10.0

2.0

931

Ma

pp

ing

of

Ma

pp

ing

of evolving

evolving

net

wo

rks

sta

rtin

g f

rom

op

en

net

wo

rks

sta

rtin

g f

rom

op

en

sou

rces

fo

un

d o

n t

he

Wo

rld

sou

rces

fo

un

d o

n t

he

Wo

rld

Wid

e W

eb c

an

bri

ng

W

ide

Web

ca

n b

rin

g

imp

ort

an

t in

form

ati

on

imp

ort

an

t in

form

ati

on

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.32

B.G

.10.0

2.0

932

AT STAKE IN STRATEGY:

•FIRM POSITION W

ITHIN UNBALANCED COMPLEX NETWORKS OF

ALLIANCES

•THE CONCEPTION OF EGONET STRUCTURES W

ELL ADAPTEDTO THE

MACRO STRUCTURES INTO W

HICH FIRMS ARE EMBEDDED

POWER

CONTROL

CONSTRAINT

B.G

.10.0

2.0

933

12/0

3/0

8B.G

.34

��TH

AN

K Y

OU

VERY M

UCH

FO

R Y

OU

R

TH

AN

K Y

OU

VERY M

UCH

FO

R Y

OU

R

ATTEN

TIO

NATTEN

TIO

N

��Q

UESTIO

NS ?

QU

ESTIO

NS ?

Gro

upe

ESC

Busi

nes

s Sch

ool

B.G

.10.0

2.0

934

A p

ath

fo

rwa

rd f

rom

alliance

ma

na

ge

me

nt

to network

ma

na

ge

me

nt.

A

pa

th f

orw

ard

fro

m alliance

ma

na

ge

me

nt

to network

ma

na

ge

me

nt.


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