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Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

Date post: 06-May-2015
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The Amazon Fire Phone is majorly flawed and will not gain strong traction, but Amazon will still benefit from it as a potential retail-store killer. The Fire Phone, like the Kindle, is a step in the right direction and it will continue to improve and become cheaper in future iterations. Amazon’s business is not dependent upon the immediate success of the Fire Phone, and it will most likely thrive either way. I Know First’s algorithm predicts a drop in the near future (1 month), but is bullish in the longer term (3 month, 1 year).
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Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke © I Know First 2014. All rights reserved. www.iknowfirst.c om
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Page 1: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

Algorithm Predicts That

Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If

The Fire Phone Goes Up In

Smoke

© I Know First 2014. All rights reserved. www.iknowfirst.com

Page 2: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

Summary

Amazon Fire Phone majorly flawed, but Amazon will still benefit from it as a potential retail-store killer

Low sales figures will bring relatively higher benefit to Amazon than its competition

Fire Phone will continue to improve with cheaper iterations

Amazon not dependent on the Fire Phone

I Know First’s Algorithm predicts a drop in the near future (1 month), but is bullish in the immediate term (3 month, 1 year)

Page 3: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

The Fire Phone

Basic Details Models:

32 GB Model Price: $199

64 GB Model Price: $299

Both models will come with a free year of Amazon Prime Service (usually $99) and sold exclusively through AT&T

The phone is 8.9 mm thick, 5.64 ounces and has a 4.7 inch display

Page 4: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

Comparison

Page 5: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

Initial Reactions

Firefly is the most important feature of the Amazon Fire Phone

Firefly can be used with the Phone’s camera to identify over 100 million objects and bring up the purchase link, often directing the user to Amazon

Dynamic Perspective is a new technology created by Amazon which allows the user navigate the interface by tilting the phone

24/7 customer support service through Mayday

Page 6: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

US Wireless Subscription Market

Page 7: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke
Page 8: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

The chart above shows I Know First's prediction for Amazon for June 22nd 2014 for the 1-month, 3-month, and year time horizons. 

I Know First Amazon Prediction

Page 9: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

How To Read The Prediction Two indicators:

Signal – Predicted movement of the asset

Predictability Indicator – Historical correlation between the prediction and the actual market movement

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Page 10: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

We developed an advanced algorithm based on artificial intelligence and machine learning that also incorporates elements of artificial neural networks and genetic algorithms

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Our live portfolio from 2013 returned 60.66% in 12 months beating the S&P 500 by 31.27%

Page 11: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

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Page 13: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

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Page 14: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

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Page 15: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

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Page 16: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

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Page 17: Algorithm Predicts That Amazon Is Still Hot, Even If The Fire Phone Goes Up In Smoke

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