ALL BEVERAGES QUARTERLY REVIEW - SP.pdfQuarterly Beverage Tracker 19 All Commercial Beverages/Q4...

2ND QUARTER1ST QUARTER

ALL BEVERAGES QUARTERLY REVIEW

3RD QUARTER 4TH QUARTER

Canadean Contacts: Debra Richards, Sales Support Manager: +44 (0)1256 394227 Alison Bodnar, Sales Support Administrator: +44 (0)1256 394287 Copyright

Information contained in Canadean reports is confidential and for use only by clients of Canadean with valid contracts. All copyright in these publications is reserved. No part of this report may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) without prior permission of the copyright owners. Liability

Whilst every effort has been made to ensure that information contained in this report is accurate and that opinions expressed are sound, Canadean Ltd cannot be made liable for any errors, omissions or incorrect information or for any loss or consequential losses arising as a result of decisions taken based on the contents of this report. Canadean prints its reports on 100% recycled paper using 80% post consumer waste.

Quarterly Wisdom Databases and Reports available from Canadean in 2012:

West Europe

Austria

Belgium

Denmark

Finland

France

Germany

Greece

Ireland (Republic)

Ireland (Northern)

Italy

Netherlands

Norway

Portugal

Spain

Sweden

Switzerland

United Kingdom

East Europe

Belarus

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bulgaria

Croatia

Czech Republic

Estonia

Hungary

Latvia

Lithuania

Macedonia

Poland

Romania

Russia

Serbia

Slovak Republic

Slovenia

Turkey

Ukraine

Asia Pacific

China India

Americas

Argentina*

Brazil

Chile* Colombia*

Mexico USA

* Data available only

Additional quarterly and monthly reports are available on Spain and Portugal Other products available from Canadean in 2012 include:

Global Beverage Forecasts

Soft Drinks Service – annual country and global Wisdom databases and reports

Beer Service – annual country and global Wisdom databases and reports. Includes Cider Service - annual country

and Wisdom databases and reports

Beverage Packaging Service – annual country and global Wisdom databases and reports

uConsulting and bespoke projects

For more information on any of Canadean’s beverage services or consulting please contact Canadean on tel: +44 (0)1256 394224, email: [email protected] or visit www.canadean.com

Quarterly Beverage Tracker 1

All Commercial Beverages/Q4 Feb-2013

Packaged Water ................................................................................................................................................. 4 Bulk/HOD Water ................................................................................................................................................. 4 Carbonates ......................................................................................................................................................... 5 Juice.................................................................................................................................................................... 5 Nectars................................................................................................................................................................ 6 Still Drinks ........................................................................................................................................................... 6 Squash/Syrups ................................................................................................................................................... 6 Fruit Powders ...................................................................................................................................................... 7 Iced/RTD Tea Drinks .......................................................................................................................................... 7 Iced/RTD Coffee Drinks ...................................................................................................................................... 8 Sports Drinks ...................................................................................................................................................... 8 Energy Drinks ..................................................................................................................................................... 8

Beer .................................................................................................................................................................... 9 Cider ................................................................................................................................................................... 9 Spirits ................................................................................................................................................................ 10 Wines ................................................................................................................................................................ 10 Other Alcoholic Drinks ...................................................................................................................................... 11

White Milk ......................................................................................................................................................... 11 Cultured Dairy Drinks ........................................................................................................................................ 11 Flavoured Milk .................................................................................................................................................. 12 Soymilk ............................................................................................................................................................. 12 Other Liquid Dairy ............................................................................................................................................. 12

Hot Coffee ......................................................................................................................................................... 13 Hot Tea ............................................................................................................................................................. 13

Commercial Beverage Market Trends - Million Litres, 2012P-2013F .............................................................. 19 Commercial Beverage Market Trends - Million Unit Cases, 2012P-2013F ...................................................... 20 Soft Drinks Market Trends - Million Litres, 2012P-2013F ................................................................................. 21 Soft Drinks Market Trends - Million Unit Cases, 2012P-2013F ........................................................................ 22 Carbonates Market Trends - Million Litres, 2012P-2013F ................................................................................ 23 Carbonates Market Trends - Million Unit Cases, 2012P-2013F ....................................................................... 24 Selected Retail Price Movements, 2012-2013 ................................................................................................. 25

2 Quarterly Beverage Tracker


Quarterly Year

Q4-12 vs Q4-11 Actual Forecast Actual vs Forecast

Million Litres % Change 2012P 2013 % Change

All Commercial Beverages

Hot Beverages

Soft Drinks

- Carbonates

- Dilutables

- Juice/Nectars/Still Drinks

- Packaged Water

- Energy Drinks

- Sports Drinks

- Iced/RTD Tea Drinks

- Iced/RTD Coffee Drinks

Dairy Drinks

Beer

Other Alcoholic Drinks

Bulk/HOD Water

SOURCE: Trade Interviews, Canadean

1 2 3 4 5 Are confidence levels in the industry better or worse than Q3-12? [1=Better; 3=Uncertain; 5=Worse]

Are net prices rising or falling? [1=Rising; 3=Same; 5=Falling Strongly]

How are PL products performing versus the rest of the market? [1=Strongly Outperforming; 3=In line with the market; 5= Strongly Underperforming]

SOURCE : Canadean





Soft Drinks

Packaged Water

Quarterly Performance

Forecast Commentary

Bulk/HOD Water


Forecast Commentary



Carbonates


Forecast Commentary

Juice


Forecast Commentary



Nectars


Forecast Commentary

Still Drinks


Forecast Commentary

Squash/Syrups




Forecast Commentary

Fruit Powders


Forecast Commentary

Iced/RTD Tea Drinks


Forecast Commentary



Iced/RTD Coffee Drinks


Forecast Commentary

Sports Drinks


Forecast Commentary

Energy Drinks


Forecast Commentary



Alcoholic Drinks

Beer


Forecast Commentary

Cider




Forecast Commentary

Spirits


Forecast Commentary

Wines


Forecast Commentary



Other Alcoholic Drinks


Forecast Commentary

Dairy Drinks

White Milk


Forecast Commentary

Cultured Dairy Drinks




Forecast Commentary

Flavoured Milk


Forecast Commentary

Soymilk


Forecast Commentary

Other Liquid Dairy




Forecast Commentary

Hot Beverages

Hot Coffee


Forecast Commentary

Hot Tea


Forecast Commentary



Soft Drinks Quarterly Update

Industry News

Distribution News



Packaging/Legislation News



New Products and Photo Shots

Company Brand Flavours Size/Price Comments

Packaged Water

Carbonates

Juice

Nectars

Still Drinks

Squash/Syrups



Company Brand Flavours Size/Price Comments

Energy Drinks

Source: Canadean

Figure 1: Figure 2: Figure 3:

Source: Canadean



Category Functional soft drinks

(m litres) % chg % category share

2010 2011 2012F 2010-11 2011-12F 2010 2011 2012F

Total Functional Soft Drinks

Fortified

Juice

Nectars

Still Drinks

Squash/Syrups

Nutraceutical



Quarter 4 Year To Date MAT Year

Oct-Dec %Chg Jan-Dec %Chg Dec %Chg Actual Forecast %Chg

Million Litres 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012P 2013


Hot Beverages

- Hot Tea

- Hot Coffee

Soft Drinks

Alcoholic Drinks

- Beer

- Wine

- Cider

- Spirits

- Flavoured Alcoholic Beverages

- Fortified Wine

Dairy Drinks

- White Milk

- Flavoured Milk

- Cultured Dairy Drinks

- Soymilk

- Other Liquid Dairy

Bulk/HOD Water






Million Unit Cases 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012P 2013


Hot Beverages

- Hot Tea

- Hot Coffee

Soft Drinks

Alcoholic Drinks

- Beer

- Wine

- Cider

- Spirits

- Flavoured Alcoholic Beverages

- Fortified Wine

Dairy Drinks

- White Milk

- Flavoured Milk

- Cultured Dairy Drinks

- Soymilk

- Other Liquid Dairy

Bulk/HOD Water






Million Litres 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012P 2013

Total Soft Drinks

Packaged Water

- Carbonated

- Still

Carbonates

* Regular

* Low Calorie

- Cola

- Clear Lemonade

- Other Non-Fruit Flavours

- Tonic Mixers & Bitters

- Other Fruit Flavours

- Lemon-lime

- Orange

- Lemon

Juice (100%)

Nectars (25%-99%)

Still Drinks (<25%)

Squash/Syrups (RTD)

Fruit Powders

Iced/RTD Tea Drinks


Sports Drinks

Energy Drinks

MAT = Moving Annual Total Carbonates exclude sports/energy drinks and iced/rtd tea and coffee drinks Iced/rtd tea and coffee drinks and sports/energy drinks include carbonated, still and powder/concentrate (RTD)







Total Soft Drinks

Packaged Water

- Carbonated

- Still

Carbonates

* Regular

* Low Calorie

- Cola

- Clear Lemonade

- Other Non-Fruit Flavours

- Tonic Mixers & Bitters

- Other Fruit Flavours

- Lemon-lime

- Orange

- Lemon

Juice (100%)

Nectars (25%-99%)

Still Drinks (<25%)

Squash/Syrups (RTD)

Fruit Powders

Iced/RTD Tea Drinks


Sports Drinks

Energy Drinks

MAT = Moving Annual Total Carbonates exclude sports/energy drinks and iced/rtd tea and coffee drinks Iced/rtd tea and coffee drinks and sports/energy drinks include carbonated, still and powder/concentrate (RTD)






Million Litres 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012 2011 2012P 2013

Carbonates

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Cola

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Clear Lemonade

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Other Non-Fruit Flavours

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Tonic Mixers & Bitters

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Other Fruit Flavours

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Lemon-lime

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Orange

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Lemon

- Regular

- Low Calorie

MAT = Moving Annual Total Carbonates exclude sports/energy drinks and iced/rtd tea and coffee drinks







Carbonates

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Cola

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Clear Lemonade

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Other Non-Fruit Flavours

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Tonic Mixers & Bitters

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Other Fruit Flavours

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Lemon-lime

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Orange

- Regular

- Low Calorie

Lemon

- Regular

- Low Calorie

MAT = Moving Annual Total Carbonates exclude sports/energy drinks and iced/rtd tea and coffee drinks




Price (£)

Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan

Pack size/ Pack type in cl

Brands 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013

Packaged Water

4 x 200 nrPET

6 x150 nrPET

500 nrPET

97.5 nr PET

100 nrPET

150 nrPET

200 nrPET

150 nrPET

10 x 33 nr PET

12 x 50 nr PET

6 x 100 nrPET

75 nr glass

200 nrPET

200 nrPET

Carbonates

15 can

12 x 15 can

8 x 33 can

50 nrPET

125 nrPET

200 nrPET

8 x 33 can

200 nrPET

50 nrPET

200 nrPET

200 nrPET

60 nr nrPET

200 nrPET

200 nrPET

100 nrPET

75 nr glass

200 nrPET

200 nrPET

200 nrPET

100 nrPET



Price (£)

Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan


Brands 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013

200 nrPET

200 nrPET

Juice

750 nrPET

125 nrPET

100 carton

100 carton

75cl carton

100 carton

125 carton

100 carton

100 carton

4 x 100 carton

100 nrPET

100 carton

100 carton

100 carton

100 carton

100 carton

100 carton

100 carton

Nectars

100 carton

4 x 27.5 nr glass

4 x 33 nr glass

100 carton

4 x 20 nr PET

Still Drinks

12 x 18.5 plastic

10 x 20 foil pack

4 x 20 nrPET

8 x 20 nrPET

3 x 20cl carton



Price (£)

Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan


Brands 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013

100 carton

150 nrPET

50 nrPET

4 x 20cl carton

10 x 20cl carton

50 nrPET

100 nrPET

Squash/Syrups

50 nr glass

100 nrPET

100 nrPET

60 nrPET

85 nrPET

85 nrPET

100 nrPET

175cl nr PET

500 plastic

100 nrPET

100 nrPET

75 nrPET

100 nrPET

75 nrPET

150 nrPET

Iced/Rtd Tea Drinks

50 nrPET

150 nrPET

25 nr Glass

Sports Drinks

4 x 50 nrPET

50 nrPET

50 nrPET

50 nrPET

Energy Drinks

38 nrPET



Price (£)

Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan


Brands 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013

6x38 nrPET

50 nrPET

50 nrPET

100 nr PET

100 nr PET

25 can

35.5 can

50 can

25 can

25 can

Source: Canadean Store Checks

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