Ambassador Sherali Saidamir Jononov

Kazakhstan Reserves:

Oil 30 billion bbl Natural Gas 85 TCF Coal 31.3 billion tons Hydro Power 20,000 MW

Uzbekistan Reserves:

Oil 594 million bbl Natural Gas 66 TCF Coal 3.3 billion tons Hydro Power 1,700 MW

Turkmenistan Reserves:

Oil 600 million bbl Natural Gas 280 TCF Coal Modest Hydro Power Modest

Tajikistan Reserves:

Oil 0.01 billion bbl Natural Gas 0.2 TCF Coal 3.6 billion tons Hydro Power 40,000 MW

Kyrgyzstan Reserves:

Oil 0.04 billion bbl Natural Gas 0.2 TCF Coal 0.9 billion tons Hydro Power 26,000 MW

Central Asia is endowed with vast energy potential…

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The proposed CASA-1000 transmission facilities would:

maximize the use of 1,300 MW renewable summer electricity surplus from existing plants in

Central Asia(Tajikistan &Kyrgyz Republic )

and

provide electricity to consumers in electricity

deficient South Asia (Afghanistan & Pakistan)

The project consists of:

Physical investment in transmission lines and related facilities linking Datka (KR) – Sangtuda (Taj) – Kabul (Af) – Peshawar (Pak)

Related project, revenue, environment and social management including land acquisition and compensation and communications

A community support program aimed at securing support for the project among communities along the route

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Even without new power generation, Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic have sufficient electricity

surplus during summers to warrant CASA-1000

3,750 GWh

18,815 GWh

Summer surplus

Domestic consumption

2,150 GWh

14,585 GWh

Power domestic consumption and summer surplus (est. 2016 based on feasibility report)

Tajikistan* Kyrgyz Republic

*Tajikistan spills water from its dams without generating electricity during the summer

…whereas Afghanistan and Pakistan face severe electricity shortages and rapidly increasing demand

Electricity riots in Lahore, PakistanBabar Shah/PPI Images

CountryPopulatio

n Million

GNI per capita Current US$

Per Capita Electricity

Consumption (kWh/year)

Installed Capacity

(GW)

Access Rate

Peak shortage (MW)

Afghanistan 32 310 31 0.5 13% --

Pakistan 180 1000 413 19.8 84% 5,022

Power network in Kabul, AfghanistanKabulkarzaiblogspot photo

Tajikistan spills water from its dams without generating electricity during the summer

Norak Hydro Power StattionPotential capacity in thousand Kwt 3000

Energy generation, mln. Kwt. Hour annual 11200

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The CASA-1000 project includes:

500 kV line Datka-Khudjand (477 km), with Tajik network transferring Kyrgyz exports to Sangtuda.

Tajikistan Grid Strengthening.

1300 MW AC-DC Convertor Station at Sangtuda.

750 km HVDC line Sangtuda-Kabul-Peshawar.

300 MW Convertor Station at Kabul (with both import & export capability).

1300 MW DC-AC Convertor Station at Peshawar.

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CASA-1000 benefits all four countries:

• Ensures a steady source of revenue from surplus hydropower exports for

Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic, the weakest economies in Central Asia

• Uses excess summer electricity that is currently being spilled

• Alleviates electricity shortages in Pakistan during the peak summer season

• Replaces fuel-based power generation in Afghanistan and Pakistan with

clean hydropower

• Establishes Afghanistan as a viable transit country, enhancing growth

prospects

Requires no new power generation investments

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Resources and demand in the region - electricity

$40 - $100 per MWh

Hydro Production Cost (estimate)

Willingness to Pay (estimate)

Peak Power Deficit

PAKISTAN

4,000-5,000 MW

Up to $140 per MWh

INDIA

12,000 - 13,000 MW

30,000 MW

Up to $70 per MWh

52,000 MW

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CASA-1000 - Status

• The four participating countries are finalizing commercial negotiations

• Procurement of the convertor stations and lines under way

• Estimated total project cost $1,160 million• Financing– From IDA (World Bank) Islamic Development Bank, Arab

Cooperation Group and other donors under consideration– Multi-donor Trust Fund being established– Financing gap of $134 million remains

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CASA-1000 Significance

• Ensures a steady source of revenue for Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic, the weakest economies in Central Asia

• Requires no new investment in generation because it uses surplus water that would otherwise be spilled (wasted)

• Alleviates electricity shortages in Pakistan during the summer when demand is at its highest

• Replaces fuel based electricity generation for Afghanistan and Pakistan• Establishes Afghanistan as a viable transit country• Offers transmission capacity for other countries during the off-peak

season• Creates a viable governance mechanism to build confidence among

neighbors

The foreign policy of the Republic of Tajikistan on CASA-1000 outlined by the President of Tajikistan H.E. Mr. Imomali

Rahmon

• Construction of new railways, roads, gas and oil pipelines, power transmission lines are the core of creative plans, aimed at providing a peaceful and comfortable life for people of Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan and other countries of the region

• Trade and economic opportunities of Pakistan, its geo-strategic position and influence in South Asia and in the Islamic world are of great importance for Tajikistan. Therefore, we will continue to focus our efforts on strengthening relations with Pakistan and in our joint struggle against modern threats, especially terrorism, extremism and drug trafficking, we will purposefully boost our cooperation.

• This cooperation is of particular importance in the framework of trilateral relations with Afghanistan, because it is aimed not only at addressing the problems of Afghanistan, but also demonstrates the new creative sample of relationships in the region. In the framework of this cooperation the early implementation of projects such as “CASA-1000”power transmission line project will, in fact, further strengthen the foundation of our relations.

CASA-1000 was discussed by the the President of Tajikistan, H.E. Mr. Emomali Rahmon and The Speaker National Assembly,

H.E.Mr. Sardar Ayaz Sadiq

• May 26, 2014; The Speaker National Assembly, H.E.Mr. Sardar Ayaz Sadiq called on the President of Tajikistan, H.E. Mr. Emomali Rahmon in Dushanbe.

• The issue of power shortage in Pakistan was also discussed. The President of Tajikistan said that his country has surplus electricity; therefore it will export electricity to Pakistan to overcome its energy requirements. He said that CASA-1000 was a landmark project which will provide 1000 MW of electricity to Pakistan to mitigate its acute energy deficit.

The joint position of Tajikistan and Pakistan regarding CASA-1000

• «The two leaders reaffirmed their commitment to CASA-1000 project and underlined the importance of its earliest realization»

• (point 8 Tajikistan-Pakistan Joint Statement On Enhanced Partnership – sighed 17th June, 2014 in Dushanbe during official visit of H.E. Mr.

Muhammad Nawaz Sharif to Tajikistan)

Next steps of Tajikistan and Pakistan in the field of energy

• 21th July 2014 the President of Tajikistan H.E. Mr. Emomali Rahmon received the Federal Minister for Water and Energy of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, H.E.Mr. Khwaja Asif Mohammad.

• The sides addressed the issues of wide-ranging cooperation between Tajikistan and Pakistan, first of all in the energy field.

• Main attention was paid to the ways of fruitful implementation of regional project CASA-1000, envisaging for power transmission from Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan to Afghanistan and Pakistan.

• As it was informed, Tajikistan and Pakistan have established joint commission for development of energy cooperation and are currently taking efforts to prepare important documents for signing.

Is there any additional capacity to export electricity from Tajikistan to Pakistan?

• In Tajikistan today single available industrial mastering by power resource is a water-power of rivers. But spares a last, practically, unlimited- more 500 bill кWt. hour per annum, from which is today mastered only, order, 16 bill кWt. hour Herewith there is enormous amount of rivers in republic, from large before most small so theoretically possible provide firm, without deficit power supply it, as construction only one or several large stations with transmission of their energy in all regions, so and erection hundred small HPP change in direct vicinity to consumers.

• It is well know, that after bringing into operation the Rogun HPP in the republic will completely solve the problem concerning electricity insufficiency, and electricity surplus will increase by 10 milliards kW/h.

• For the transmission of this energy to the neighboring countries, such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, China , Iran and Central Asia it is necessary to construct the new lines electric transmissions.

CASA-1000-2?500 KV OVERHEAD POWER TRANSMISSION LINE FROM TAJIKISTAN TO PAKISTAN VIA

VAKHAN OF AFGHANISTAN

• The project is proposed to construct 500 kV Over Head Transmission Line «Rogun Hydro Power Plant-Kalai Khumb-Ishkoshim- Vakhan Corridor (Afghanistan)- Chitral (Pakistan)»

Description

• 1 500 kV Overhead Power Transmission Line with section of 3х400 (1100 km) and Two Transformer Substation 500/220 kV

REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTANCapital: Dushanbe

Population: about 8 millionTerritory: 143.1 thousand square km

• The Republic of Tajikistan is a unique country with the mountains of the Tien Shan and Pamir ranges in the north averaging over 6,000 meters in height.

• With more than 1,000 rivers and lakes, 80% of which are located 3,000m above sea level, the country also has significant water resources and its rivers are one of the main sources of replenishment for the Aral Sea.

• Tajikistan is situated in south-east Central Asia bordering in the West and North with Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, in the East with China, and in the South with Afghanistan. The country has an area of 143,000 square kilometres and a population of approximately 8 million (of whom more than 73% live in rural areas).

• The climate in Tajikistan varies widely throughout the year with mild temperatures and heavy showers in spring; hot summers with temperatures over 40˚C and cold winters.

HYDROPOWER RESOURSES OF THE REPUBLIC OF TAJIKISTAN

Unique Hydro Energy Resources

• Second Among CIS Countries

• Eights in the World4% of World’s Which is equal to 527 billion kWh in one year

This is 3 times more than present annual consumption.

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CURRENTLY INSTALLED CAPACITIES

Currently installed capacity of hydro power plants (HPP) is 4741 thousand kW;

Main Hydro Power Plants:

Name Installed Capacity in thousand kW

Energy generation in mln. kWh

annually

Norak 3000 11200

Boyghozi 600 3500

Sangtuda-1 671 2700

Sarband 210 130022

CURRENTLY INSTALLED CAPACITIES, CONTINUE

Besides big HPPs, there are 20 medium and 40 small HPPs in remotemountain areas, with capacity ranging from 5 kW to 1500 kW, including

Name Installed Capacity in thousand kW

Energy generation in mln. kWh annually

Perepadnaya 29.9 220

Centralnaya 15.1 110

Pamir-1 14.0 -

Varzob System HPPs

25.43 -

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CURRENTLY INSTALLED CAPACITIES, CONTINUE

All five abovementioned HPP are on Vakhsh River.

There is also Qayroqum HPP in the northern part of country on river Syr Darya with installed capacity of 126 MW

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NORAK, 3000MW

BOYGHOZI, 600MW

SARBAND, 240 MW

SANGTUDA-I, 671 MW

HYDRO ENERGY RESOURCES ON THE VAKHSH RIVER

There are currently eight HPPs situated on the Vakhsh River with a feasibility

study currently being undertaken to complete a ninth - the Rogun HPP which

will be located at the head of the Vakhsh River and which has a designed

capacity of 3,600 MW’s.

The potential energy resources on the Vakhsh River alone are estimated to

be 75.5 TWh/year

FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS

A) CONSTRUCTION OF NEW HPP

HPPs UNDER CONSTRUCTION:

1. ROGHUN

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FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

ROGHUN HPP

THE BIGGEST HYDRO POWER PLANT IN CENTRAL ASIA WITH DAM HEIGHT OF 335M.

CONSTRUCTION STARTED IN 1976.

THE ESTIMATED CAPACITY OF ITS 6 GENERATORS IS 3600 MW, OR 13.1 BLN. KWH ANNUALLY.

FOR COMPLETION OF THE PROJECT, THE GOVERNMENT OF TAJIKISTAN IS ESTABLISHING A CONSORTIUM WITH PARTICIPATION OF FOREIGN INVESTORS.

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FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

1. Panj River and Amu Darya (upstream) 14 plants with annual capacity of 86.3 bln. kWh)

No NAME Capacity, MW Energy generation bln. kWh annually

1. Barshor 300 1.62. Anjeerob 650 3.33. Pish 320 1.74. Khorugh 250 1.3

Prospective energy generation potential by rivers

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HYDRO ENERGY RESOURCES ON THE

PANJ RIVER

There are twelve HPPs on the Panj River with installed capacities ranging

from 250 MW to 3,000 MW. Preliminary technical and economic studies

show that one of the most attractive projects in Tajikistan is the development

of the Dashtijum HPP with a design capacity of 4,000 MW.

FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

1. Panj River and Amu Darya (upstream)

NAME Capacity, MW Energy generation bln. kWh annually

5. Rushon 3000 14.86. Yazghulom 850 4.27. Darvozai Khoro 2100 10.58. Shirovat 1900 9.79. Khostav 1200 6.110. Dashtijum 4000 15.611. Jumar 2000 8.212. Moscow 800 3.413. Kokchinskaya 350 1.514. Upstream Amudarya 1000 4.4

Prospective energy generation potential by rivers

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FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

Among others, Dashtijum HPP is the most attractive with its capacity of 4000 MW, and 17.6 km3 water basin.

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FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

Preliminary Economic And Technical Characteristics of Dashtijum HPP:

Cost of the project, bln. USD 3.2

Dam’s height, m. 320

Reservoir ‘s capacity, mln. m3: total needed

17.610.2

Length of reservoir, km 70

Projected capacity of the plant, MW 4000

Annual energy generation, kWh 15.6 bln.

Cost of investment per 1 kW USD 800

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FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

2. Obi Khingov River (upper stream of Vakhsh)

NAME Capacity, MW Energy generation bln. kWh annually

Sangvor 800 2.0

Ourfatin 850 2.1

Shtiyen 600 1.5

Evtach 800 2.0

Gaftarguzar 650 1.67

5 plants with annual capacity of 9.7 bln. kWh)

Prospective energy generation potential by rivers

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FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

Prospective energy generation potential by rivers

3. Surkhob River (upper stream of Vakhsh)

NAME Capacity, MW Energy generation bln. kWh annually

Jamboul 800 2.0

Sayron 850 2.1

Gorgen 600 1.5

Gharm 800 2.0

4 plants with annual capacity of 7.6 bln. kWh)

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FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

Prospective energy generation potential by rivers

Other rivers

Kofarnihon River : 5 stations, with general capacity of 411 MW;

Varzob River: 3 stations, with general capacity 100 MW;

Zarafshon River : 6 stations, with general capacity of 640 MW;

Fon Daryo River : 4 stations, with general capacity of 510MW;

Mascho District’s rivers (Upstream of Zarafshon): 5 stations, with general capacity of 500 MW;

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HYDRO ENERGY RESOURCES ON THE ZERAFSHAN RIVER

The Zerafshan river is fed from glacial and snow runoff from the mountains.

This river constitutes a potential hydro-power resource of over 33.94 TWh

of which it is technically possible to develop HPPs with a total installed

capacity of 10.55 TWh.

Based on preliminary estimations, as a result of implementation of abovementioned projects, energy generation in the country would

be:

FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

•2025: 80.0 bln. kWh;

•2010: 26.4 bln. kWh;

•2015: 36.6 bln. kWh;

•2020: 58.3-60.3 bln. kWh;

ENERGY GENERATION

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While energy consumption of the country’s economy within the framework of possible intense development would be:

FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

•2025: 32.5 bln. kWh;

•2010: 21.4 bln. kWh;

•2015: 24.6 bln. kWh;

•2020: 28.3 bln. kWh;

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Accordingly, there would be energy export potential of:

FUTURE PLANS/PROJECTS, CONTINUE

•2025: 47.5 bln. kWh;

•2010: 5 bln. kWh;

•2015: 12 bln. kWh;

•2020: 30-32 bln. kWh;

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Thank you