Date post: | 12-Apr-2017 |
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Welcome!
Jon Thompson• West Point Grad• M.S. Aerospace Engineering
(Texas)• Vietnam Vet/Combat Pilot• Venture capitalist• Former Director of Cultural Affairs,
City of Memphis• Developed touring exhibitions• Dived on the Titanic• Working to solve the mystery of
Amelia Earhart
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical UniversityFebruary 9, 2017
Amelia Earhart Discovery Project
PASSION,
PATIENCE and
persistence
Recently discovered photograph found in Japan. Believed to be taken from a Japanese fishing vessel on July 2, 1937 near Howland Island.
JUSTKIDDING!
How it was done
Amelia Earhart History
Amelia Earhart: July 2, 1937, 8:43 a.m. “We must be on you but cannot
see you … gas is running low………”
Amelia EarhartHow I got hooked!
“Preparation is rightly two-thirds of any venture.”
Amelia Earhart
• A call from Fred Smith• A visit to Nauticos• A meeting with Elgen Long• Titanic Expedition 2000• Blackbeard Cannon Recovery 2001
Technical Basis for Search• 30-years of research by Elgen Long,
pilot & author.*• Aeronautical analysis of Earhart’s fuel
consumption (Cal Tech).• Engineering analysis of Earhart’s radio
transmissions (Collins Radio).*• Scientific analysis of Visual Range
Acquisition (MIT Lincoln Labs).• Study of 1930’s aerial navigational techniques –
specifically those used by Earhart/Noonan.• Navigational reconstruction - RENAV™.*• Technological advances in deep ocean searches.*
Keys to Success:
* Items proprietary to Nauticos
Summary of Successes I-52: Japanese WWII Submarine
Located: Atlantic Ocean 17,000’ INS DAKAR
Located: Mediterranean Sea 10,000’Salvaged 4-ton section of hull
Battle of Midway: Japanese Aircraft Carrier IJN KAGA
Located: Pacific Ocean 17,500’Produced Discovery Channel documentary
Discovery of Ancient Shipwreck (300 BC)Located: Mediterranean Sea 10,000’
1937 48-Star Flag
Mermaid Vigilance
Team Nauticos
Longitude
Latit
ude
Probable Flight Path
150 E 155 E 160 E 165 E 170 E 175 E 180 175 W
0
5 N
10 N
5 S
10 S
Lae
Howland I.
Baker I.
Nukumanu I.
Nauru I.
USS Ontario
SS Myrtlebank
Ocean I.
Tabiteuea Atoll
145 E
Earhart Flight, Lae to Howland I.
Radio S-4
Radio S-3
Direct Flight PathRadio Range Circles
Radio S-1
Amelia’s Final MessagesJuly 3, 1937
Radio calls by Earhart (call sign KHAQQ) as heard by Coast Guard Ship ITASCA anchored off Howland Island.
1745: ITASCA log, “About 200 miles out, approximately. Whistling now.” (signal strength S-3)
1815: ITASCA log, “Please take bearing on us and report in half hour. I will make noise in microphone. About 100 miles out.” (S-4, getting stronger)
1912: ITASCA log, “KHAQQ calling ITASCA. We must be on you but cannot see you but gas is running low. Been unable to reach you by radio. We are flying at altitude 1000 feet.” (S-5)
1928: ITASCA log, “KHAQQ calling ITASCA. We are circling but cannot hear you. Go ahead on 7500 [kHz] with a long count either now or on the scheduled time on half hour.” (S-5+)
1930: ITASCA log, “KHAQQ calling ITASCA. We received your signals but unable to get a minimum. Please take bearing on us and answer 3105 [kHz] with voice.” [Earhart then sent a series of long dashes on 3105 kHz.] (S-5+)
2014: ITASCA log, “KHAQQ to ITASCA. We are on the line 157–337. Will repeat message. We will repeat this on 6210 kcs. Wait. We are running north and south on the line. Listening 6210 kcs.” (S-5)
… nothing further was heard from Amelia Earhart.
Scenario 1 Tracks at Howland I.
2040 2060 2080 2100 2120 2140 2160 2180 2200 2220 2240X (nm from Lae)
Y (n
m fr
om L
ae)
DR Track
Smoothed Track
Uncertainty Ellipse
Howland I.
Baker I.
Visual Range Circles
380
400
420
440
460
480
Other Scenario Outcomes
Final Assimilation of Scenarios
2040 2060 2080 2100 2120 2140 2160 2180 2200 2220 2240X (nm from Lae)
Y (n
m fr
om L
ae)
Baker I.
Visual Range Circles
380
400
Howland I.
420
440
460
480
Other Scenario Outcomes
Final Assimilation of Scenarios
Uncertainty Ellipse
Highest Probability Search Area
REMUS 6000
Launch Preparation
Launch
Deck for Sonars
AFTER DISCOVERY AND RECOVERYTHE DESIGN AND ECONOMICS OF A MEGA EXHIBITION
WHAT’S NEXT?
“Begin with the end in mind ...” Stephen Covey
WE’RE GOING BACK
TO COMPLETE THE JOB THIS MONTH!!!!
“… decide … whether or not the goal is worth the risks involved. If it is, stop worrying.”
Amelia Earhart
STAY TUNED!
Upcoming Spring 2017Webinars:Mar. 9 Cross-Cultural Project ManagementApr. 13 10 Traits Every Leader Should HaveMay 11 An Introduction to Human Factors in AviationJun. 22 How to Create a Career Enhancement Toolkit
webinars.erau.edu