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44
Martine Lejeune UNECE Geneva February 15th 2011 [email protected]
Transcript
Page 1: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Martine Lejeune

UNECE Geneva February 15th [email protected]

Page 2: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

MEUSE ?

Page 3: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

905 km

36.000 km²

350 m³/s at estuary

9 million inhab.

Page 4: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM ‐Wallonia

BELGIUM ‐ Flanders

LUXEMBOURG

GERMANY

NETHERLANDS

Page 5: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

17 partners4 countries1 river Meuse

PROJECT?

We like her;We want to write history with her;We want her to become the very best example of a climate‐proof river while keeping her natural beauty. 

Climate Changing? Meuse Adapting!because …

Page 6: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

But how are we thinking to realize this? 

Nice!

Enhancing our knowledge: building a sound scientific basis for adaptation

Realising pilot projects for adaptation

Crisis prevention and preparing to crisis

Communicating

Page 7: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Enhancing our knowledge

1

Bibliography

2

Analysis of climatechange, flood and low‐flow scenarios

3

4

Hydraulic modelling

Quantification of the impacts of floods and low flows on the economy

56

Climate check

Concertedstrategy onadaptation

Page 8: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Enhancing our knowledge

1

Bibliography

23

4

56

http://www.amice‐project.eu/biblio/

9 general categoriesexpert search tool> 800 references

Page 9: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Enhancing our knowledge

1

2

Analysis of climatechange, flood and low‐flow scenarios

3

4

56

Reference partner: Metz UniversityContact: dr. Gilles Droguedrogue@univ‐metz.fr

Page 10: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

To what?Climate evolutions

Which means for the Meuse? ??

ADAPTING?

Page 11: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

dry scenario

2070‐2100

summer

+5.5°c

+5.3°c

+4.5°c

+3.8°c

+4.9°c

‐40%

‐45%

‐40%

‐25%

‐40%

Page 12: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

wet scenario

2070‐2100

winter

+3.8°c

+1.0°c

+3.0°c

+4.0°c

+2.8°c

+15%

+55%

‐10%

+65%

+25%

Page 13: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

MAM7 ‐40%

dry scenario

2070‐2100

summer

+4.9°c

‐40%

wet scenario

2070‐2100

winter

+2.8°c

+30%

Q100 +30%

Page 14: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Enhancing our knowledge

1

23

4

Hydraulic modelling

56

Reference partner: Liège UniversityContact: dr.  Benjamin [email protected]

Page 15: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Hydraulic modellingExisting models and procedures

QuestionnaireHydraulic models available from spring to mouthSteady modelling in Wallonia

Main stream Flood plain Modelling mode

F 1D storage cells unsteady Stream

W 2D (     x = max 5 m ) steady Wolf 2D

FL 1D storage cells unsteady Mike 11

NL 1D 1D cross sections unsteady 1D Sobek

2D (Waqua, not in AMICE

DE 1D storage cells unsteady Sobek

Hydraulic modellingExisting models and procedures

Page 16: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Existing models and procedures

No significant damping of the flood waves in the central part of the basin

Slopes in the Meuse basin (M. de Wit 2008)

Page 17: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become
Page 18: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Hydraulic modelling

Page 19: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Hydraulic modelling

Page 20: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Conclusions (1/2)Set up of a transnational modelling methodology 

required max. 2 runs of each model to achieve consistency of results across the bordersHydraulic simulations run for two time horizons, 

corresponding to the wet scenario identified in Ac3Sensitivity of water elevations with respect to 

perturbations in discharge :• higher in the central part of the basin• lower in the upper and lower parts of the basin• Mean changes in water depth in the ranges

• 0.3 – 0.6 for 2021‐2050• 0.5 – 1.3 m for 2071‐2100

Page 21: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Conclusions (2/2)

Effect of damping and derivations on hydrographs between Borgharen and Roermond twice stronger for Q100 + 30% than for Q100

Reaches mostly contributing to the increase in flooded area as a result of climate change:

• between Andenne and Monsin (W),especially Ivoz‐Ramet ‐Monsin

• Lanaken ‐ Kessenich (FL/NL)

Next steps:Delivering hydraulic modelling results for risk 

analysis as well as other parts of the project;Detailed analysis of hotspots, including 

spatialization

Page 22: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Enhancing our knowledge

1

23

4

Quantificationof the impacts of floods and low flows on the economy

56

Reference partner:  Aachen UniversityContact: dr.  Benjamin  [email protected]‐aachen.de

2011Methodology developed

Page 23: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Enhancing our knowledge

1

23

4

56

Climate check

Concertedstrategy onadaptation

2011‐2012

Reference partner 5:  Flanders HydraulicsResearchContact: mr.  Wouter [email protected]

Reference partner 6:  RijkswaterstaatContact: mr.  Hendrik [email protected]

Page 24: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Important AMICE message:Adaptation everywhere!

Pilot projects for adaptation:

Page 25: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Adapting to climate evolutions means:  Higher temperaturesMore high waters in winterMore droughts in summer

too much water or not enough water!

Remember?

Page 26: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM GERMANY

The NETHERLANDS

LUXEMBOURG

Steenbergse Vliet 

Ardennes: Amblève

Hotton: river Naives

COPING? 

‘s Hertogenbosch

Albert Canal

Rur basins

too much waternot enough water

Page 27: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM GERMANY

The NETHERLANDS

LUXEMBOURG

Steenbergse Vliet 

Ardennes: Amblève

Hotton: river Naives

‘s Hertogenbosch

Albert Canal

Rur basins

Reference partner :  Waterboard Aa en MaasContact: mr.  Joop de [email protected]

Page 28: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

‘s Hertogenbosch

Flexible storages

Page 29: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM GERMANY

The NETHERLANDS

LUXEMBOURG

Steenbergse Vliet 

Ardennes: Amblève

Hotton: river Naives

‘s Hertogenbosch

Albert Canal

Rur basins

Reference partner :  Waterboard  Brabantse DeltaContact: mr.  Ron [email protected]

Page 30: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Wetland restoration, more space for the river, recreation

status: works started

GPS art‐routing: being developed

Page 31: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM GERMANY

The NETHERLANDS

LUXEMBOURG

Steenbergse Vliet 

Ardennes: Amblève

Hotton: river Naives

‘s Hertogenbosch

Albert Canal

Rur basins

Reference partner :  De ScheepvaartContact: ir.  Koen [email protected]

Page 32: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Water savings

Page 33: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM GERMANY

The NETHERLANDS

LUXEMBOURG

Steenbergse Vliet 

Ardennes: Amblève

Hotton: river Naives

‘s Hertogenbosch

Albert Canal

Rur basins

Reference partner :  Wasserverband Eifel‐RurContact:  dr. Gerd [email protected]

Page 34: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Status: studies being carried out

Adaptation of a complex dam system

Page 35: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM GERMANY

The NETHERLANDS

LUXEMBOURG

Steenbergse Vliet 

Ardennes: Amblève

Hotton: river Naives

‘s Hertogenbosch

Albert Canal

Rur basins

Reference partner :  RiouContact:  mrs. Martine [email protected]

Page 36: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Restoration and conservation of wetlands

Page 37: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

FRANCE

BELGIUM GERMANY

The NETHERLANDS

LUXEMBOURG

Steenbergse Vliet 

Ardennes: Amblève

Hotton: river Naives

‘s Hertogenbosch

Albert Canal

Rur basins

Reference partner :  Community of HottonContact:  ir. Carole [email protected]

Page 38: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Wetland restoration, more water storage capacity

Status: works started

Huge problems with important stakeholder

Page 39: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Crisis prevention and preparing to crisis

? ?

?

Page 40: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become
Page 41: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Communication

1

Newsletters

23

4

5

Website

Site visits

International events

Interactivedocumentary

“Meuse and Climate”

www.amice‐project.eu

Existing events;AMICE ‘final’ 2013

Page 42: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Interactive documentary

Want to see more? www.rombus.nl

www.maasfilm.eu

http://www.maasfilm.eu/
Page 43: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

‐17 partners (coming from 4 countries – 5 regions) is a lot             internal communication is very important;‐ Financial incentives proved to be a powerful means to getting people to working together;‐Importance of political support and willingness;‐Hydraulic modelling of the whole of the Meuse proved difficult: the river tended to ‘jump’ at the frontiers;‐ Different existing flood warning systems and crisis prevention tools are not compatible. 

Problems encountered and lessons learnt

Page 44: AMICE: writing history with the river Meuse · 2011. 5. 5. · 17 partners. 4. countries. 1. river Meuse. PROJECT? We like her; We want to write history with her; We want her to become

Writing new history with the river Meuse …

Thank you for your attention!

22nd century


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