UFlex Ltd.
An Established Leader in An Established Leader in Flexible Packaging
S t b 2009September 2009
Brief introduction
Largest flexible packaging company in India
Highly experienced leadership team with average experience of over 20 i h k i i dyears in the packaging industry
Only vertically integrated player with large film manufacturing capacities
World class film manufacturing facilities in India, Dubai, Mexico and Egypt [current : 160 000 TPA; By FY12 : 263 400 TPA][current : 160,000 TPA; By FY12 : 263,400 TPA]
Strong Global Sales & Distribution Network Customers in > 94 Countries
CAGR of 23%, 30% and 53% in revenue, EBITDA and PAT respectively over past 5 yearsover past 5 years
Existing clients include top multinationals like Unilever, Nestle, P&G & Britannia
Approximately 80% of company’s production is consumed by food & FMCG industry – strong revenue visibility
Board comprises 8 directors, of which 5 are independent; only 1 from promoter group
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Proven business strategy Proven business strategy creates long term shareholder valueshareholder value
Proven business strategy
World class manufacturing facilities
Operational expertise: Constant process re-Technical excellence
Strategic expansion
Operational expertise: Constant process reengineering has resulted in measurable gains with existing equipment
Strategic locations allow company to maximize tax benefits, leverage trade treaties while saving on key
Long-termShareholder
improves global reach
Customer focus
costs such as Freight
New facilities improve reach into large US & European markets
Consistent new product development in sync with ShareholderValue
Customer focus
Vertical integration allows cost
Consistent new product development in sync with customer needs
Packaging division sources films, inks & adhesives internally
allows cost minimization
Cost pass-through helps maintain
Engineering division complements product portfolio by providing packaging solutions
Raw material price changes are adjusted in the final product price with a lag
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marginsproduct price with a lag
Growth drivers
Expansion & growth of key application areas
Processed food
Meat poultry & sea foodMeat, poultry & sea food
Pet food & frozen food
With expanding middle class and rising income levels, consumption of packaged goods is increasing
Increased interaction with the developed world is influencing the quality standards of consumption for Indian consumer
Increasingly bigger market for small packets in rural areasg y gg p
Changing lifestyle & food habits amongst Indians
Increasing demand for ready-to-eat/ 2-minute foods - pasta, soups, and noodles etc
Business divisionsBusiness divisions
Presence in all segments of the value chain
Vertical integration enhances competitive edge
High quality control over final products
Timely delivery
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Timely delivery
Cost effectiveness
Diversification of product portfolio
Films division
Films DivisionFilms Division
Flexible Packaging Division
Engineering DivisionEngineering Division
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Films divisionFilm Grade Chips : Raw Material for manufacturing Polyester Films
Yarn Grade Chips : Raw Material for manufacturing Polyester Yarn
Bottle Grade Chips : Raw Material for production of PET BottlesPolyester Chips
Capacity (TPA) : India – 72,000
Properties : Barrier Properties, High Tensile & Dielectric Strength,Thermal & Chemical Stability & Toughness
A li ti F d P k i El t i I l ti G hi A t dApplication : Food Packaging, Electric Insulation, Graphic Arts andImaging
Capacity (TPA) : India – 54,000; Dubai – 51,600; Mexico- 52,800*;Egypt – 30,000**
BOPET Films
Brand : FLEXPET
Properties : Strong Moisture Barrier, Highly Cost Effective, FunctionallyEfficient
BOPP Films Application : Food Products Packaging (confectionery, biscuits, bakery,pasta etc.), Cigarette Cartons Wrapping, Bags for Readymade Garments,Adhesive Tapes & Print Lamination
Capacity (TPA) : India – 28,000; Egypt – 35,000***
BOPP Films
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Brand : FLEXOPP
* 26,400 TPA expected commissioning in October 2010
** Expected commissioning in April 2011
*** Expected commissioning in April 2010
Films division
CPP Fil
Properties : Highly Dynamic & Versatile Films with High Gloss, GreaterTransparency, Better Heat Sealability, Good Twisting Property & BetterTear Strength
CPP FilmsApplication : Retort Packing, Food Wraps, Anti Wraps, Anti Fog,Garments Bag, Deep Freeze Applications etc.
Capacity (TPA) : India – 6,000; Egypt – 12,000*
B d FLEXCPPBrand : FLEXCPP
* Expected commissioning in April 2011
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Films – Industry overview
Dupont/T iji 14%
BOPET Films (Major Players Worldwide): Market Size- USD 4.8 bn
Chinese Players
BOPP Films (Major Players Worldwide): Market Size- USD 8.0 bn
Teijin 14%
Toray/Saehan 13%
Others 55%Moplefan 3%
Treophane 3%
Chinese Players 25%
Mitsubishi/Hoechst 8%
SKC 8%Ufl 4%
Others 53%Others 55%
Mobil/Exxon 9%
Nanya/Formosa 5%
SKC 8%Uflex 4%
Ufl 22%MTZ 6%
Others 3%
BOPET Films (Major Players in India): Market Size- USD 0.34 bn
Uflex 17%Max 5%
Others 6%
BOPP Films (Major Players in India): Market Size- USD 0.25 bn
Uflex 22%
Ester 10%
Poly Plex 8%Max 5%
11Jindal 26%Garware 13%
SRF 12%
Jindal 43%
Cosmo 29%
Source: Company/PCI research reports
Efficient film producer
EBITDA per Film
Company
EBITDA per KG for Films
Film Capacities
(MT)
Cosmo Films Limited 16.3 56,000
Jindal Poly Films Limited* 15.8 266,000
Max (I) Limited 17.9 29,200
Polyplex Corporation 13.0 22,900
Uflex Limited 17 3 133 600Uflex Limited 17.3 133,600
* FY08Source: Company reports for last reported fiscal
1212
Flexible packaging division
Films DivisionFilms Division
Flexible Packaging Division
Engineering DivisionEngineering Division
1313
Packaging industry
Packaging Industry
Rigid Packaging Flexible PackagingFlexible packaging is fast
g g g Packaging
Glass/PlasticBottle
Plastic/ Film
• Flexible packaging is fast replacing rigid packaging owing to superior qualities at competitive price points
• Management estimates Plastic/ FilmManagement estimates growth of > 20% in flexible packaging demand in the near futureCarton Box
Metal Can/Boxes
Paper
14Wooden Box Alu-Foil
Flexible packaging
Products :Flexible Laminates : BOPP, BOPET, VMPET, VMOPP, BON, CPP, AluminumFoil Paper LDPE/LLDPE/m LLDPE HDPE Acid Co Polymer Ionomer Saran
Flexible Laminates &
Pouches
Foil, Paper, LDPE/LLDPE/m-LLDPE, HDPE, Acid Co-Polymer, Ionomer, SaranCoating, Security HologramsPre – Formed Pouches : Stand-up/Centre-sealed, Three SideSealed, Guessetted Pouches and Bags; Reclosable Zipper and SliderPouches (for powders and granules); Reclosable Cap and Pouring SpoutPouches (for liquids); Carry bags, Gift and Promotional Bags( q ); y g , g
Capacity (TPA) : India – 55,400
Products : Holographic Metalized Films; Holographic Metalized transfer toProducts : Holographic, Metalized Films; Holographic, Metalized transfer topaper with or without printing; Gift Wraps; All Purpose Slider Bags; BOPETFilms Laminated to Paper; BOPP with or without Surface Printing
Capacity (mn Sheets) : India – 70Holograms
Allied
Products : Inks & AdhesivesApplications : Inks – used for printing on a substrate (film) and then driedAdhesives – applied on multiple application roll that applies the adhesives toSubstrate (film)
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Allied Materials
Substrate (film)
Capacity (TPA) : Inks – 9,600; Adhesives – 6,000
Flexible packaging – Industry overview
Flexible Packaging Laminates (Worldwide) : Flexible Packaging Laminates (India):
Alcan 7%Bemis 7%
Amcor 5%
Flexible Packaging Laminates (Worldwide) :Market Size- USD 25 bn
Others 29%Uflex 19%
Flexible Packaging Laminates (India):Market Size- USD 2.3 bn
Sealed Air 4%
Constantia 2%
Exopact 2%Others 69%
Rexor 4%
Sharp-Akar 7%
Printpack 2%
Winpack 2%Paper
Products 15%
Positive
Essel Propack 8%
Multiflex 4%
Paharpur 4%
Source: Company/PCI research reports
Packaging 10%
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Competitive packaging solutions provider
Last reported
CompanyMCap
(USD mn)Operating profit%
Bemis – flexible packaging division 2,873 10
Sonoco Products – packaging division 2 616 8Sonoco Products – packaging division 2,616 8
Uflex – flexible packaging division 127 16Source: Company reports for last reported fiscal; Bloomberg
Sonoco & Bemis are among the leaders in packaging solutions globally
Vertical integration and location of units in lower cost regions enables Uflex to earn higher margins
1717
Engineering division
Films DivisionFilms Division
Flexible Packaging Division
Engineering DivisionEngineering Division
1818
Engineering division
Uflex specializes in manufacturing of a wide variety of packaging machines whichUflex specializes in manufacturing of a wide variety of packaging machines, whichcater to customer’s specific requirementsUflex machines are globally accepted in more than 35 countriesValued customers for machines include MNCs like Unilever, Coca Cola, Wrigley, TataTea, ITC etc.
Form Fill & Seal Machines : Packaging of tea, sugar, spices etc.High Speed Pouch Making Machines : Tailor made for Stand-up, Easy Pour, Centre
Seal, Zip Slider PouchesConverting Machines : Rotogravure
Printing, Lamination, Slitting, Inspection, Holographic MachinesWrapping Machines : For Round & Rectangular Objects like
Biscuits, Soaps, Cassettes, IV BottlesSpecial Purpose Machines : Vacuum Brick Pack Machines, Pick Fill & Seal Machines
Capacity (Nos) : India – 1,570
Reach : Accepted in > 35 countries
Customers : Unilever, Coca Cola, Wrigley, Tata Tea, ITC etc..
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Expansion PlansExpansion Plans
Strong expansion plans
Phase I Phase II
Mexico Egypt
Phase I Phase II Phase I (July 2009)
Phase II (Oct. 2010) Total
Product PET film PET film PET film
Phase I (March 2010)
Phase II (March 2011) Total
Product BOPP filmCPP + PET
filmsPP + PET
films
12000 + 47000 + Capacity 26400 tpa 26400 tpa 52800 tpa
Total investment (USD mn) 54 54 108
Capacity 35000 tpa 30000 tpa 30000 tpa
Total investment (USD mn) 52 83 135
The move is primarily to counter the anti dumping measures unfavorable to exports of films from India
Overseas facilities in countries with trade pacts allow access to large & Overseas facilities in countries with trade pacts allow access to large & profitable markets
Mexico – part of NAFTA and access to North American Markets
Egypt – GCC nations, Southern Europe & Africa
Dubai (existing facility) – Middle East, West Asia, CIS etc.
Global presence post expansion
Jammu (J&K)• Packaging• Holography
Noida (UP)• Packaging
Holography
Jammu (J&K)• Packaging• Holography
Jammu (J&K)• Packaging• Holography
Noida (UP)• Packaging
Holography
Noida (UP)• Packaging
Holography• Holography• Rotogravure Cylinder
(47,000 Nos.)• Poly Film (6,000 TPA)• PET Film (54,000 TPA)• PP Film (28,000 TPA)• Metalized Film
(28,800 TPA)• Inks and Adhesives
(14 800 TPA)
• Holography• Rotogravure Cylinder
(47,000 Nos.)• Poly Film (6,000 TPA)• PET Film (54,000 TPA)• PP Film (28,000 TPA)• Metalized Film
(28,800 TPA)• Inks and Adhesives
(14 800 TPA)
• Holography• Rotogravure Cylinder
(47,000 Nos.)• Poly Film (6,000 TPA)• PET Film (54,000 TPA)• PP Film (28,000 TPA)• Metalized Film
(28,800 TPA)• Inks and Adhesives
(14 800 TPA)(14,800 TPA)• Converting and
Packaging Equipments(1,570 Nos.)
Malanpur (MP)• Poly
Condensation• Packaging
(14,800 TPA)• Converting and
Packaging Equipments(1,570 Nos.)
(14,800 TPA)• Converting and
Packaging Equipments(1,570 Nos.)
Malanpur (MP)• Poly
Condensation• Packaging
Malanpur (MP)• Poly
Condensation• Packaging
Malanpur (MP)• Poly
Condensation• Packagingg gg gg gg g
Dubai (UAE)
•PET Film (51,600 TPA)
Egypt
• PET Film (30,000
Mexico
•PET Film (52,800 )**
Market Presence
Agents / Distribution
TPA)*
•PP Film (47,000 TPA)*
TPA)**
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Market Presence
Manufacturing Facilities
* Expected commissioning in FY11 & FY12
** Expected commissioning of Phase 2 by Oct, 2010
Funding for capex in place
Phase I(2010)
Phase II(2011)
TotalEgypt
Equity 27 20 47
Debt 25 63 88
Total 52 83 135
Phase I(completed)
Phase II Total
Equity 30 8 38
Mexico
Debt 24 46 70
Total 54 54 108Source: Company, Almondz Research
For Egypt, out of the total debt requirement of USD 88 mn, USD 50 mn has been tied up. Balance amount is only required in FY11
For Phase II in Mexico, total debt required is USD 46 mn, arrangement for which is already in place. Equity will be provided by the parent company
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Reasonable debt/ equity of 1.4x with good operational cash flows allows headroom for different funding options
Outlook
Overseas expansion should improve profitability
Stable power supply – key factor for higher productivity
Indian production facility suffers from erratic power supply and is reliant on captive DG sets: relatively lower productivity and relatively more frequent maintenance y p y y qprotocols
Overseas facilities have high quality power supply (=> reliable, available, low voltage fluctuation), which results in higher productivity and lower per unit cost of productionp
By FY12, 71% of production will be in overseas facilities vs 40% at present
Blended tax experience for the consolidated entity is lower because of lower tax regime in overseas locations
Dubai: zero tax rate
Egypt: 20%
Mexico: 30%
Reach enhanced by strategic location of units
Dubai: Middle East
Egypt: will cater to Africa, Europe including CIS countries
Mexico: member of NAFTA; easy reach into Americas
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o b o ; asy a o as
Favourable change in geographic mix
Revenue Mix
As capacities in Egypt and Mexico come online by FY12, a larger share of revenue contribution will come from exports which have higher realisations & revenue contribution will come from exports which have higher realisations & higher margins
Significant increase in capacities by FY12
PET – 188,400 MT in India, Egypt and Mexico, , gyp
PP – 75,000 MT in India and Egypt
Packaging – 73,600 in India
( ) C it Mi (MT)Revenue Mix (INR mn)
30,00040,00050,000
Capacity Mix (MT)
200,000
300,000
400,000
-10,00020,000
FY09 FY12
D i E
-
100,000
,
FY09 FY12
PP P k i PET
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Domestic Exports PP Packaging PET
Source: Company, Almondz Research
Proven business strategy=Financial success
Sales (Rs mn)25,000FY09 Net Revenues breakup
Flexible Packaging,
International 43%
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000g g,
31%, 43%
-
,
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Plastic Films, 69%
Domestic, 57%
EBITDA (Rs mn)
3,0003,5004,000
PAT (Rs mn)
1 500
2,000
69%
-500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,000
-
500
1,000
1,500
27
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09
Source: Company, Almondz Research
Proven business strategy=Financial success
Sales growth EBITDA & EBITDA margin
10 000
20,00030,000
40,00050,000
10%
20%
30%
40%
2 000
4,0006,000
8,00010,000
15%
17%
19%
21%
010,000
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E0%
Sales (Rs mn) Sales growth (%)
-2,000
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E13%
EBITDA (Rs mn) EBITDA %
EPS growth
30.0
40.0
40%
60%80%
Net Debt & ROE %
1.50
2.00
15%
20%
0.0
10.0
20.0
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E-20%0%
20%40%
EPS (R ) EPS th %
0.00
0.50
1.00
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E0%
5%
10%
N t D bt ( h) / E it R E %
28Source: Company, Almondz Research
EPS (Rs) EPS growth % Net Debt (cash) / Equity RoE %
Incremental RoCE is earnings accretive
RoCE vs Incremental RoCE
25%30%35%
5%10%15%20%
Source: Company Almondz Research
5%FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E
RoCE Incremental RoCE
New investments generate higher returns
Larger export content (carries higher realisation per MT)
Higher productivity in overseas locations (yield higher margins)
Source: Company, Almondz Research
29
Higher productivity in overseas locations (yield higher margins)
Innovative packaging solutions deliver higher margins
Financials
Financials
Income Statement FY08A FY09A FY10E FY11E FY12E Cash Flow Statement FY08A FY09A FY10E FY11E FY12ENet Sales 16,389 20,421 25,383 32,412 40,840 Operating profit 1,790 2,645 3,413 4,797 6,104 Cost of sales (11,929) (14,105) (17,420) (21,922) (27,232) + Depreciation 852 1,004 1,257 1,295 1,629 Employee Exp (888) (1,080) (1,472) (1,718) (2,042) + WC changes (1,082) (2,545) (1,387) (970) (1,983) Other Expenses (1,658) (2,597) (2,284) (2,917) (3,676) Other CFO 104 91 - - - EBITDA 2,641 3,648 4,670 6,092 7,733 (-) Purchase of FA (3,641) (2,976) (4,976) (4,752) (650) Interest (646) (944) (1,250) (1,296) (1,490) (-) Tax paid (166) (167) (303) (700) (1,107)
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )Depreciation (851) (1,003) (1,257) (1,295) (1,629) FCF to Enterprise (2,143) (1,948) (1,996) (331) 3,993 Other Income 46 62 - - - (-) Net Interest (833) (1,049) (1,250) (1,296) (1,490) PBT 1,223 1,803 2,163 3,501 4,614 FCF to equity (2,976) (2,997) (3,246) (1,627) 2,503 Less: Tax (171) (337) (433) (840) (1,246) Dividend paid (-) - (260) (310) (311) (394)
Tax Rate 14% 19% 20% 24% 27% Net Debt mvmt (4,529) (775) (456) (1,938) 2,109 PAT 1,052 1,465 1,730 2,661 3,368Less: Preferred Dividend - - - - - PAT for Equity S/H 1,052 1,465 1,730 2,661 3,368 Valuation Ratios FY08A FY09A FY10E FY11E FY12E
EPS - Diluted 13.0 18.1 20.2 25.2 32.0 Cash EPS 23 30 35 38 47Book Value 139.5 136.7 144.6 170.3 202.9
Balance Sheet FY08A FY09A FY10E FY11E FY12E DPS 4.7 4.0 2.9 2.9 3.7 Gross Block 18,923 22,447 23,539 29,086 33,114 Dividend Yield (%) 2.9% 3.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.8%Less: Accumalted Depreciation (6,988) (7,929) (9,186) (10,481) (12,110) P/E (x) 12.0 4.5 4.8 3.8 3.0Net Block (incl Cap WIP) 13,160 15,110 18,829 22,287 21,308 Cash P/E (x) 6.9 3.4 2.8 2.6 2.0
Price/BV (x) 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5Investments 2,909 974 772 772 772 EV/Sales (x) 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6Total CA 11,378 12,391 12,824 15,028 18,465 EV/EBITDA (x) 8.6 5.6 4.5 3.9 3.1Debtors 4,070 3,950 4,984 6,365 8,020 EV/EBIT (x) 12.7 7.8 6.1 5.0 3.9I t 1 941 2 238 2 763 3 478 4 320 EV/NOPAT ( ) 14 7 9 6 7 7 6 6 5 4Inventory 1,941 2,238 2,763 3,478 4,320 EV/NOPAT (x) 14.7 9.6 7.7 6.6 5.4Cash 2,766 1,190 0 0 0Loans and Advances 2,602 5,013 5,077 5,186 6,126Total 27,447 28,475 32,425 38,086 40,545 Key Financial Ratios FY08A FY09A FY10E FY11E FY12E
GrowthLess: Current Liab. & Prov. Revenue 18% 25% 24% 28% 26%Creditors (2,148) (2,059) (2,386) (3,003) (3,730) EBIT 24% 48% 29% 41% 27%Provisions (455) (507) (507) (507) (507) EPS -6% 39% 12% 25% 27%Total (2,603) (2,566) (2,893) (3,510) (4,237) Margins
Gross Margin 27.2% 30.9% 30.0% 31.0% 31.0%Net Working Capital 3,949 6,158 7,545 8,515 10,498 EBITDA Margin 16.1% 17.9% 18.4% 18.8% 18.9%Deferred Tax (555) (878) (1,007) (1,147) (1,286) EBIT Margin 10.9% 13.0% 13.4% 14.8% 14.9%Equity Share Capital 650 650 1,213 1,213 1,213 PAT Margin 5% 5% 6% 7% 7%Reserves 7,102 8,145 13,503 15,853 18,827 LeverageNet Worth 7,752 8,795 13,201 15,550 18,524 Net Debt/Equity (x) 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.7
Net debt/EBITDA (x) 4.4 3.4 2.8 2.4 1.7ProfitabilityRoE 15.8% 17.6% 15.7% 18.5% 19.8%
Turnover Ratios FY08A FY09A FY10E FY11E FY12E RoIC 10.0% 11.2% 11.5% 12.8% 14.2%Debtor (Days) 77 72 72 72 72 Turnover Ratio
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Debtor (Days) 77 72 72 72 72 Turnover RatioInventory (Days) 59 58 58 58 58 Asset T/O (x) 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2Creditors (Days) 53 59 50 50 50 Receivables T/O (x) 4.0 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1Asset Turnover (x) 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 Inventory T/O (x) 8.4 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.5
Disclaimer
This Document has been prepared by Almondz Global Securities Ltd The information analysis and This Document has been prepared by Almondz Global Securities Ltd. The information, analysis and estimates contained herein are based on Almondz’s assessment and have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. This document is meant for the use of the intended recipient only. This document, at best, represents Almondz opinion and is meant for general information only. Almondz, its directors, officers or employees shall not in anyway be responsible for the contents stated herein. Almondz expressly disclaims any and all liabilities that may arise from information, errors or omissions p y y y ,in this connection. This document is not to be considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. Almondz, its affiliates and their employees may from time to time hold positions in securities referred to herein. Almondz or its affiliates may from time to time solicit from or perform investment banking or other services for any company mentioned in this document.