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JAMBJAMBJAMBJAMB 2012201220122012 rrrregistration started Nov. 2011,
and ended Mar. 12th 2012 after a 1 week
postponement.
TotalTotalTotalTotal ApplicantApplicantApplicantApplicant ==== 1111,,,,503503503503,,,,889889889889
1.5million Candidates will be vying for about
500,000 admission spaces in Nigeria tertiary
institutions.
1,503,889
500,00030303030%%%%˜
____
So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?So, what is the fate of the remaining 70%?
History of Applications 2000 – 2012
Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
416,381 749,417 994,380 1,132,392 841,878 916,371 803,472 911,653 1,054,060 1,182,381 1,375,652 1,493,604 1,503,889
416,381
749,417
994,380
1,132,392
841,878
916,371
803,472
911,653
1,054,060
1,182,381
1,375,652
1,493,604 1,503,889
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Year / Total Applicants
% Growth of Applications ‘00 – ‘12
Year Count% Growth
2000 416,381
2001 749,417 79.98%
2002 994,380 32.69%
2003 1,132,392 13.88%
2004 841,878 -25.65%
2005 916,371 8.85%
2006 803,472 -12.32%
2007 911,653 13.46%
2008 1,054,060 15.62%
2009 1,182,381 12.17%
2010 1,375,652 16.35%
2011 1,493,604 8.57%
2012 1,503,889 0.69%
79.98%
32.69%
13.88%
-25.65%
8.85%
-12.32%
13.46% 15.62%12.17%
16.35%
8.57%
0.69%
-40.00%
-20.00%
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
% Growth
Base on the growth trend above, JAMB
2013 may experience a decline. Could
this imply applicants are getting less
interested in Tertiary education?
…but why?
Federal – State – Private
Owner % of Applicants
Federal 68.56%
State 29.87%
Private 1.57%
Surprisingly, there are
more Private Institutions
than Federal or State.
Owner No. of Institution
Federal 36
State 37
Private 50
This means, Federal Schools will admit 68.56% ((((342,800342,800342,800342,800))))
Candidates, State Schools – 29.87% ((((149,350149,350149,350149,350)))) and Private
Schools – 1.57% (7,850)(7,850)(7,850)(7,850).
In other words, our schools are availableavailableavailableavailable but not
affordableaffordableaffordableaffordable. In fact, with the growth rate of the
establishment of private institutions, it has been
predicted that by 2015, Private institutions will
far out-number all other types of institutions in
Africa.
The implication is that Tertiary Education will be
more expensive just as the Government owned
will be over-stretched beyond capacity.
Federal – State - Private
Some schools consistently enjoy high patronage
even though over 90% of their applicants are
never offered admission space.
About 94,000+ candidates applied to UNILAG in
2011, only 8000+ were offered admission. This is
just about 8.5% success rate.
This year, 84,000+ applied to UNILAG as first
choice institution, how many will be admitted?
7148.93617021276595745 Applicants!About….
Why are some schools consistently over
subscribed while others are short of Students?
2012 Application by InstitutionBelow are top 10 Institutions with highest patronage
– University, Poly and College of Education
84,32482,382
80,216 79,84078,264
65,651
60,684
48,84845,851
43,500
94,078
80,275
74,269
82,043
64,261
69,498
89,310
64,160
42,086
14,029
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
UNILAG NAU UNIBEN UNN UNILORIN OAU ABU UNIPORT UNIUYO EVANS
2012
2011
Institutions like UNILAG, ABU, UNIPORT dropped in patronage, it
could be as a result of the establishments of new schools or
Applicants decide to try their luck elsewhere after several
disappointments.
Particularly surprised at EVANS, with over 200% increase in
patronage and ABU dropping down to 7th position on the list,
definitely besides the above mentioned reasons, political/religious
instability could be a culprit.
Total applicants to this 10 schools form about 45% of the total
candidates that apply for JAMB 2012.
Only one of these Schools is owned by a State government, none by
Private establishments; hence government remains the highest
investor in Nigeria Education.
One obvious fact is Federal schools are cheaper, but the truth is that
infrastructures in these schools are over-stretched. Still there are
some Federal schools with few applicants, with competitive
infrastructures that are less used.
Polytechnic and College of Education
163,836
116,412
99,818
83,785
71,517
59,827 57,08055,804
47,790 45,235
145,173
119,011
101,806
52,607
98,704
59,301
51,34151,111
47,017
38,102
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
NEKEDE YABA AUCHI OKO KADUNA RIVERS IBADAN NASARAWA AKWA-IBOM KWARA
2012
2011
162,642
101,294
97,693
72,377
67,88963,533
45,696
42,615 40,955 40,699
141,111
104,530
98,517
69,756
74,781 80,113
45,437
42,25444,883
39,423
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
A-IKOKU ADEYEMI ADENIRAN AKOKA PH ZARIA AKWA-IBOM ZUBA EKIADOLO NSUGBE
2012
2011
Polytechnic
College of education
295858
277815
264959
197836
177570
87385
6005451494
26113
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
Social Science Administration Medical Engineering Science Law Arts Education Agriculture
Shown below is applicants’ first choices based
on Faculty
Social Sciences and Administration are clear leaders
showing Applicants have higher preference for courses
listed in these faculties. This has been the usual trend.
According to JobermanJobermanJobermanJoberman SalarySalarySalarySalary SurveySurveySurveySurvey 2012201220122012; Accounting/Finance &
Administrative skills ranked as the two most employed skills in Nigeria.
What does this infer for the competitiveness of the Nigeria Economy
and the future of the Sciences?
249928
184210
160466 157460
117905
68434 67851
36590
11216
275208
198572
179056174409
139129
7524483009
44346
13408
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
Social Science Administration Medical Engineering Science Law Arts Education Agriculture
20
08
20
09
Country’s economy are usually divided into ServiceServiceServiceService,
IndustryIndustryIndustryIndustry & AgricultureAgricultureAgricultureAgriculture sectors. Most developed
countries are more into Services (driven by Technology & the
Sciences) and less of Agriculture & Industry.
The World Economy is: Service(63636363%%%%),,,, Industry(31313131%%%%)
& Agriculture(6666%%%%) while the Nigeria economy is:
Service(35353535%%%%), Industry(33333333%%%%) & Agriculture (32323232%%%%)
This shows that in order for the Nigeria economy to
measure up and deliver prosperity to its citizens,
careers choices should be more of courses that
offers intangible services that are exportable.
Courses that lead to the production & adaptation of
Information, generation & application of Knowledge,
improvement of Productivity, Performance, Potential
and Sustainability should be pursued intently.
Which are the future Profession and
Professionals, and which ones are going to be
no more?
We have courses that have existed for ages, are
they still relevant in the 21st Century and beyond.
Also, there are emerging Professions and
Professionals, can they stand the test of
innovation?
A school of thought believes ‘it doesn’t matter
what you study, just get a good grade’ and jobs
will find you out. The other believe the only
courses worth studying are ‘professional
courses’?
2012 Application by CourseTop 10 Courses with highest patronage – University
Law Business Admin. Mass Comm.
87,385 82,551 69,836
Biochemistry
37,318
Med. & Surgery Accounting Economics
116,037 101,877 98,967
Political Sci. Computer Sci. Microbiology
69,047 67,996 47,097
More than 50% (778778778778,,,,111111111111) of total Candidates applied for
these top 10 courses.
No Engineering or Arts/Humanities course made the top
10. Mechanical (32323232,,,,493493493493) & Civil Engineering (32323232,,,,223223223223) came
in 13th & 14th positions respectively; despite, we do not
have mechanized industries and our roads are deplorable.
Nursing & Pharmacy ranks 11th and 12th on the list;
together with Biochemistry, Microbiology and Medicine &
Surgery, they totaled 266,117 candidates, yet Life
Expectancy in Nigeria is about 47yrs.
By these facts; there should be more Doctors,
Accountants, Economist, Lawyers, etc. than all other
professionals.
But the reality is that most of these Applicants do not
really get to study their first choice for many reasons; so
they opt for less known courses, if you like ‘the non-
professional courses’.
Beside Law and Medicine & Surgery, getting employed in
any of the other profession could just be a matter of
earning a good first degree, corresponding 2nd degree and
professional certifications
The Labour market is biased towards Grade than Course
of Study, a good grade appears better than a good course.
Also true is the fact that lots of Graduate do not work with
what they study – some Doctors, Lawyers, Engineers,
abandon their profession for other fields they find
interesting – financially or fulfilling.
Why would a Candidate prefer to study a course in School
A instead of B? Is this true for all courses?
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Accounting Med &
Surgery
Biz Admin Law Economics Mass Comm Nursing Elect/Elect Petroleum
Eng
Pharmacy Political Sci Computer
Sci
1st
2nd
3rd
UN
ILO
RIN
OA
UU
NIL
AG
UN
NO
AU
UN
ILO
RIN
UN
ILO
RIN
UN
ILA
GU
NIB
EN
UN
NU
NIB
EN
OA
U
NA
UU
NN
EV
AN
S UN
ILO
RIN
UN
ILA
GN
AU
UN
NO
AU
LAU
TE
CH
FU
TO
UN
IBE
NF
UTA
FU
TO
UN
IPO
RT
UN
IBE
N
UN
NA
BU
UN
IBE
N
UN
IBE
NU
NIP
OR
TB
SU
UN
ILO
RIN
FU
TO
UN
ILA
G
Illustration: Accounting is the most preferred course, with UNILORIN as the 1st institution of choice, then OAU & UNILAG
First Course 1st 2nd 3rd
Accounting 10,192 9,406 7,616
Med & Surgery 10,131 9,184 8,694
Biz Admin 9,423 7,741 7,343
Law 6,634 6,469 6,042
Economics 6,071 5,057 4,684
Mass Comm. 6,315 5,966 5,459
Nursing 5,056 4,441 3,581
Elect/Elect 4,948 2,790 2,507
Petroleum Eng 4,663 3,904 3,140
Pharmacy 4,397 4,091 4,076
Political Sci 4,367 3,255 3,120
Computer Sci 4,201 2,921 2,846
Statistically; UNN seems to be the institution of choice for
Medicine & Surgery, Law, Nursing, Pharmacy, etc.
Though there are no enough evidence to conclude UNN is
the best in these courses, but there it gives high indication
that it might be the best in Medical sciences.
UNILORIN could be considered tops for Administrative
courses – Accounting and Business Administration
FUTO stood out as the institution of choice for Engineering
courses, coming tops in Elect/Elect & Petroleum
Engineering
EVANS (Imo) – Economics, LAUTECH (Osun) - Nursing &
BSU (Benue) – Political Science & Business Management
are the only 3 States Universities on the list
One of the greatest resource for the achievement of a
Nation’s developmental goals is the availability of quality
Teachers.
The Teaching professional is not well embraced as
evidenced in Candidates’ choice of study; for obvious
reasons, teachers are one of the least paid professionals.
Even those that deliberately chose Education as course of
study are poached by organization (Banks, Telecoms, Oil &
Gas, InfoTech.) once they graduate with enviable grades –
2nd class upper & 1st class.
Yearly, graduates of Education are produced but very few
practice the profession. Why?
Some of those graduates took to Education because it
offers them easier opportunity for tertiary education.
A total of 51515151,,,,494494494494 candidates applied for courses in
Education. This is just 3333....42424242%%%% of total applicants.
Based on 500500500500,,,,000000000000 (30% of applicants) carrying capacity of
our Tertiary institutions; only 15151515,,,,488488488488 (i.e. 30303030%%%% ofofofof 51515151,,,,494494494494)
potential teachers would be produced in the year 2017.
See
distribution of
applicants per
Subject areas:
Admin &
Planning, 7764
Adult & Child,
1968
Arts, 18674
commercial,
11054
Sciences, 12034
Students performance in WAEC, NECO & JAMB in the
Sciences have been discouraging, could it be due to
insufficient manpower in the Sciences?
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
The Sciences trail behind except Biology & Agric. It is also
worrisome that Mathematics unlike English Language is
not a subject of choice for Education applicants.
Core Subjects & Applicants’ Interests
ArtsArtsArtsArts
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
English IRS Hausa CRS History Yoruba Arabic French Igbo Govt Music Nig Lang Edo Lang
Core Subjects & Applicants’ Interests
CommercialsCommercialsCommercialsCommercials
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Economics Business Education Accounting
Core Subjects & Applicants’ Interests
SciencesSciencesSciencesSciences
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Biology Agric Math Physics Chemistry
Only 3 university of Agriculture exist. UNAAB, MAKURDI &
UMUDIKE. Some of the non-Agric. institutions have faculty
of Agriculture.
A total of 26262626,,,,113113113113 candidates applied for courses in
Agriculture. This is just 1111....74747474%%%% of total applicants.
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Agric - Biz Food Sci & Tech Agric Agric-econs &
Ext
Agric Eng Agric Econs Agric Sci & Edu
Courses with high
interest
Plant Sci. & Microbiology 0
Home Science, Nutrition And Dietetics 0
Home Economics And Food Management 0
Forestry 0
Soil Science Management 0
Agriculture/Mechanization And Technology 0
Soil Science And Agro-climatology 0
Courses with no interest as first choice
Though food business is a serious business, most
Agriculture graduates prefer white collar jobs to farm
management and the likes.
With Nigeria population at about 2% growth rate;
importation of food – both raw and processed – are
definitely going to be on the increase.
Benue state is known as the “FoodFoodFoodFood BasketBasketBasketBasket ofofofof thethethethe NationNationNationNation”
and claimed to have the weather condition of 5 South-
American countries making it indeed a potential food
producer for the Nation.
Though Lagos is congested; Nigeria is filled with lots of
virgin forests and thick bushes uninhabited but very useful
for Agricultural produce.
Food for all is possible in Nigeria; a clarion call to the
Government for the sustenance of the future generation.
StatiSense ® - Wale Micaiah ©
Freely share, freely use and freely quote the source
– © Wale Micaiah
Data source:
- JAMB results as announced in the dailies
- WAEC results as announced in the dailies
Analysis by: WaleWaleWaleWale MicaiahMicaiahMicaiahMicaiah
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