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September2017 CH 4 CH 4 CO 2 CO 2 NO 2 NO 2 ENERGY INDUSTRY* AFOLU** WASTE GHG Platform India is a collective civil society initiative providing an independent estimation and analysis of India's Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions across key sectors, namely, Energy, Industry*, AFOLU** and Waste. The platform seeks to add value to the various ongoing GHG estimation efforts by helping address existing data gaps and data accessibility issues, extending beyond the scope of national inventories, and by increasing the volume of analytics and policy dialogue on India's Greenhouse Gas emissions sources, prole, and related policies. TrendAnalysisof GHGEmissionsinIndia TheStudyEstimatesandAssessesGreenhouseGasEmissionsandRemovalsfrom thefollowingsectors: Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends from 2005 to 2013 TheGreenhouseGasesCovered UnderthisExerciseare: Methane CH 4 CO 2 Carbon Dioxide Nitrous Oxide NO 2 * Industry emissions include Industrial Process and Product Use (IPPU) and Industrial Fuel Combustion (Fuel combusted for captive electricity generation has been reported under energy sector) ** AFOLU - Agriculture, Forestry & Other Land Use
Transcript

September�2017

CH4 CH4

CO2

CO2N O2

N O2

ENERGY INDUSTRY* AFOLU** WASTE

GHG Platform India is a collective civil society initiative providing an independent estimation and analysis of India's Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions across key sectors, namely, Energy, Industry*, AFOLU** and Waste.

The platform seeks to add value to the various ongoing GHG estimation efforts by helping address existing data gaps and data accessibility issues, extending beyond the scope of national inventories, and by increasing the volume of analytics and policy dialogue on India's Greenhouse Gas emissions sources, prole, and related policies.

Trend�Analysis�of�GHG�Emissions�in�India

The�Study�Estimates�and�Assesses�Greenhouse�Gas�Emissions�and�Removals�from�the�following�sectors:

Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends from 2005 to 2013

The�Greenhouse�Gases�Covered�Under�this�Exercise�are:�

Methane

CH4

CO2Carbon Dioxide Nitrous

Oxide

N O2

* Industry emissions include Industrial Process and Product Use (IPPU) and Industrial Fuel Combustion (Fuel combusted for captive electricity generation has been reported under energy sector)

** AFOLU - Agriculture, Forestry & Other Land Use

Economy�-�Wide��

62%

21%

13%4%

2005

Industry

Energy

WasteAFOLU

63%

26%

7% 4%

2013

Industry

Energy

WasteAFOLU

Sectoral�Share�of�Emissions

India's emissions have grown at the rate of

(compounded annually)from 2005 to 2013

5.74%

Energy Sector

is the Largest contributor to GHG Emissions in India

5.96%Energy

8.89%Industry

3.90%Waste

1.95%AFOLU

These growth rates have been compounded annually.

Sector-wise�Emissions�Growth�Rate�from�2005�to�2013

Trend�Analysis�of�GHG�Emissions�in�India

20132005

Emissions (MT CO e- AR2 GWP)2 Emissions (MT CO e- AR2 GWP)2

200.96

-12.65

271.67

-12.63

Indiaʼs�Total�Emissions�Profile�from�2005�and�2013�

��Emission�Estimates

Energy

Industry

AFOLU

Waste

Total

Trend of Economy- wide GHG Emission Estimates

from 2005 to 2013

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

2000.00

2500.00

1500.00

1000.00

500.00

0.00

20112007 20092008 2010 201220062005 2013

Energy

CSTEP Analysis

Emissions�from�Electricity�Generation�(2005�to�2013)

Share�of�Emissions�from�Coal�Based�Power�Generation(2005�to�2013)

The installed capacity of the utility-based generators and Captive Power Plants (CPP) of 1 MW or above has grown at ~9% during the period from 2005 to 2013. The annual emission growth rates from utility and captive power plants were 6.2% and 9.1%, respectively.There has been an increasing trend of emissions from coal and lignite based power plants. On the contrary, a decreasing trend of emissions was seen in the power plants using furnace oil, diesel,

1 2naptha, gas and LSHS / HHS .

Top�5�Emitting�States�In�Energy�Sector�-�2013

Emissions (MT CO e- AR2 GWP)2

184.8

0.23

Fugitive Emissions

Fuel Combustion:

Electricity Generation

Transport

Residential

Agriculture

Commercial

Electricity generation has been the single largest emitting category in India's emissions portfolio, accounting for 42% and 44% emissions in 2007 and 2010, respectively, as per ofcial inventories.

1Low Sulphur Heavy Stock 2 Hot Heavy Stock

State-wise�Total�Energy�Emissions�Profile�of�India�in�2013

Statewise�Emissions�from�Electricity�Generation(2005�to�2013)

The top emitters in public electricity generation sector are Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh while that in captive electricity generation sectors are Odisha, Gujarat and Chhattisgarh.

PEG Industries

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201320062005

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

Total Power GenerationCoal Based Power Generation

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201320062005

583667

10341110

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201320062005

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

Uttar Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Chhattisgarh

Madhya Pradesh

Maharashtra

Odisha

Gujrat

West Bengal

Tamil Nadu

Jharkhand

Karnataka

Rajasthan

Rest of India

Trend�Analysis�of�GHG�Emissions�in�India

UttarPradesh

Maharashtra

Andhra�Pradesh

Chattisgarh Madhya�Pradesh

In 2013, out of 34 states and union territories considered for this evaluation, 10 states accounted for ~80% of GHG emissions from industry sub-sectors, viz. - Gujarat (14%), Odisha (13%), Chhattisgarh (10%), Jharkhand (9%), Karnataka (8%), Maharashtra (8%), Andhra Pradesh (7%), Tamil Nadu (6%), Rajasthan (5%), and West-Bengal (5%).

State-wise�Total�Industrial�Emissions�Profile�of�India�in�2013���

Emissions (MT CO e- AR2 GWP)2

4Em

issi

ons

from

Indust

ry S

ecto

r 2

01

3

Industry sector represents ~25% of the overall national estimates for the greenhouse gas emissions. As per our estimates, GHG emissions from industries grew at a compound rate of 9% – rising from ~315 Million Tonnes (MT) of Carbon-dioxide equivalent (CO e) in 2005, to 2

~623 MT CO e in 2013.2

In 2013, manufacturing of iron and steel represented the largest share of emissions (38%), followed by non-metallic minerals (predominantly, cement) with a share of 29% in overall industrial emissions. Coal consumption is the prime driver behind their overall emissions.

Trend�of�Greenhouse�Gas�Emissions�by�Various�Industrial�Sub-sectors

Iron and Steel Non-metallic Minerals Non-Ferrous metals

Petroleum Refining Chemicals and Fertilizers Pulp, Paper and Print

Machinery Textiles and Leathers Other Industries

Overall Emissions (Secondary Axis)

Shar

e of

Sub-s

ecto

rs in

Ove

rall

Em

issi

ons

(%)

CEEW Analysis

Industry

3Industrial Energy Use

Industrial Process and Product Use

(IPPU)

State-wise�GHG�Emission�Trend�from�the�Industry�Sector�(2005�to�2013)

GHG emission due to industry energy use has grown upwards at a rate of 10%, rising from ~217 MT in 2005, to ~ 467 MT in 2013. Also, its share in the total industrial emissions has increased from 65% to 76% in the same period. IPPU emissions grew at a lower annual growth rate of 6% increasing from ~ 102 MT in 2005, to ~156 MT in 2013.

3 Fuel combusted for captive electricity generation has been reported under energy sector4 Emissions for Mizoram and Lakshwadeep have not been calculated for industry sector

Gujarat

Chattisgarh

Odisha

JharkhandAndhra Pradesh

Karnataka

Tamil Nadu

Maharashtra

West Bengal

Rajasthan

Other States

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201320062005

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

90

0

20112007 20092008 2010 2012 201320062005

0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0

100

150

250

300

400

500

50

450

200

350

In 2013 AFOLU sector contributed to ~7% of India’s overall GHG emissions. The emissions decreased from ~201 MT CO e 2

in 2005 to ~172 MT Co e in 2013. This marginal decline is 2

primarily due to increased removal of CO by land, mainly forests 2

which acts as a carbon sink.

States with maximum emissions from AFOLU sector in 2013 were Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar and West Bengal. These states together accounted for ~88% of India's total AFOLU emissions.

There are, however, many states that have negative emissions from this sector, primarily because of a large forest area within their territories. The top 5 states/UT with negative emissions in 2013 were Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Arunachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

AFOLU

Vasudha Foundation Analysis

Livestock

Land

Aggregate Sources & Non- CO 2

Emission Sources on Land

Total�Emissions�from�AFOLU�Sector�from�2005�to�2013

Emissions from this sector are dominated by mainly two sources viz. livestock and rice cultivation which together account for ~ 80% of the emissions.

Apart from these two sub-categories another sub-category with signicant emissions is Direct and Indirect N O emissions agriculture 2

soils that show an increasing trend primarily due to use of fertilisers.

7080

90

100

50

40

30

20

10

0

60

Agricultural Soil Biomass Burning in Crop Land Biomass Burning in Forest Land

Rice Cultivation Cropland Grassland

Other Land Settlements Enteric Fermentation

Manure Management

Share�from�AFOLU�Sector�without�Forest�Land�(2005-2013)

Percentage�contribution�to�the�economy�in�2013

Trend�Analysis�of�GHG�Emissions�in�India

9%Livestock

7%Land(Sink)

5%Aggregate

4Sources

State-wise�Total�AFOLU�Emissions�Profile�of�India�in�2013

Livestock Aggregate sources& Non-Co emissions 2

sources on land

250

200

150

100

50

0

-50

-100

-150

-200

Land Total

2005 2006 2009 2010 2011 20132007 2008 2012

2005 2006 2009 2010 2011 20132007 2008 2012

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

Share�of�Emissions�from�Top�Five�States�in�India�-�2013

Uttar Pradesh

Andhra Pradesh

Rajasthan

Bihar

West Bengal

Rest of India

31%

16%15%

14%

12%

12%

Emissions(MT CO e- AR2 GWP)2

54.24

-34.74

The Waste sector emitted ~89 MT CO e in 2013, contributing to 2

~4% of India's total GHG emissions. GHG emissions from this sector grew at a CAGR of 3.9% from 2005 to 2013.

Rural areas and urban areas contribute to about 60% and 40% of the total emissions from domestic wastewater in the country respectively.

The six states of Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal together contributed to 57% of the Waste Sector emissions in the 2013.

Changing solid waste composition across the states has resulted in an increase in the GHG emission generated from every tonne of solid waste disposed over the years. Rural areas and urban areas contribute to about 60% and 40% of the total emissions from domestic wastewater in the country respectively. Pulp & paper, Coffee, Soft drink, Meat and Tannery sectors are critical industry sectors having the highest GHG emission per tonne of product and for every cubic meter of industrial wastewater generated.

Waste

ICLEI Local Goverments for Sustainability (South Asia) Analysis

Solid Waste Disposal

Domestic Wastewater

Industrial Wastewater

Sub-sector Contribution to the Waste Sector in 2013

14.78

0.028

Em

issi

ons

from

Was

te S

ecto

r 2013

State-wise Waste Emissions profile of India from 2005 to 2013

Emissions(MT CO e- AR2 GWP)2

GHG�Emission�Estimates�for�Waste�Sector�in�India�from�2005�to�2013���

Domestic Wastewater Treatment and Discharge 

Industrial Wastewater Treatment and Discharge 

Solid Waste Disposal 

Waste Sector 

70

80

90

100

50

40

30

20

10

60

20092005 20072006 2008 2010

0

2011 2012 2013

Em

issi

on E

stim

ates

(M

T C

Oe)

2

60%Domestic

Wastewater

23% Industrial Wastewater

17% Solid WasteDisposal

Secretariat Contact:

Vasudha Foundation, CISRS House, 14 Jangpura B,

Mathura Road, New Delhi – 110014, India

Phone No. - 011-24372680

All information mentioned in this document is sourced from GHG Platform India. To download this document and to know more about the Platform,

please visit www.ghgplatform-india.org or write to [email protected]

The GHG Platform India is a collective civil society initiative providing an independent estimation and analysis of India's Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions across key sectors, namely, Energy, Industry, AFOLU and Waste.

The platform comprises civil society groups as under:

In collaboration with

Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW) is one of South Asia’s leading not for prot policy research institutions.

The International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT) is the global leader in agricultural research for development in wheat and maize based farming systems.

Center for Study of Science, Technology and Policy (CSTEP) is a not for prot research organisation incorporated in 2005 u/s 25 of The Companies Act, 1956.

ICLEI - Local Governments for Sustainability is a leading association of more than 1000 metropolises, cities, urban regions and towns across the world.

Shakti Sustainable Energy Foundation works to strengthen the energy security of the country by aiding the design and implementation of policies that encourage energy efciency, renewable energy and sustainable transport solutions.

Vasudha Foundation, set up in 2010, is a not for prot organization, working in the clean energy and climate policy space.

WRI- India is a global research organization that spans more than 50 countries, with ofces in the United States, China, India, Brazil, Indonesia and more.


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