48
Building Blocks for Growth ANALYSIS OF PAST PERFORMANCE 2008- 2011 THEORY TO ACTION, POLICY TO PRACTICE 1
Building Blocks for Growth
ANALYSIS OF PAST PERFORMANCE
2008- 2011
THEORY TO ACTION, POLICY TO PRACTICE
1
Get impact on Matric Results
• Matric results are clear indicators of systemic issues arising out of 12 years of schooling
• Many ignore the enormous impact that the GET Band (Grades R to 9) has on Grade 12 learner performance
• At a Foundation Phase level, the key indicators are the level of literacy and numeracy competence of learners at the end of each Grade from R to 3
2
Get impact on Matric Results … cont
• A poor base then hinders learners from grasping the
core subject content, knowledge and skills in the intermediate phase (Grades 4 to 6) and senior phase (Grades 7 to 9)
• In many instances, our learners exit Grade 9 and enter the Further Education and Training (FET) Band in Grade 10 without a grasp of basic concepts and Knowledge. Learners are therefore ill-equipped to handle the subject-specialised content in Grades 11 and 12
3
Get impact on Matric Results…cont
• National & provincial performance of learners in the 2011
& 2012 Annual National Assessments (ANA) in GET Band clearly indicates the outcomes those learners can anticipate on reaching Grade 12. Hence, it is crucial that any strategy for Learner Attainment that is adopted in ECP, must straddle both the GET & FET bands, with an emphasis on the 3 early phases of schooling
• NB: Then provide examples of 2012 ANA performance in
ECP as indicators of future Grade 12 performance
4
5
YEAR
2010 2011 2012
Grade Total
Learn
ers
Asses
sed
Total
Learn
ers
RP
Total
Learners
Assessed
Total
Learn
ers
RP
Total
Learners
Assessed
Total
Learners
RP
%
Passe
d
2010
%
Passe
d
2011
% Passed 2012 Difference 2012-2011
1
18380
3
14721
0 121744
10716
9 181727 146502 80.1 88 80.6 -7.4
2
15609
8
13111
3 102051 94701 154102 130837 84 92.8 84.9 -7.9
3
15109
8
12765
5 96079 88674 138968 120438 84.5 92.3 86.7 -5.6
4
15326
3
12502
2 90307 88261 135828 114221 81.6 97.7 84.1 -13.6
5
14580
3
12172
6 93249 86229 131207 114535 83.5 92.5 87.3 -5.2
6
14078
4
11844
7 92834 85683 127887 113077 84.1 92.3 88.4 -3.9
7
13760
0
11537
3 90601 84202 126328 110638 83.8 92.9 87.6 -5.3
8
12624
7
10060
7 87628 77969 124133 104747 79.7 89 84.4 -4.6
9
11124
7 78215 85583 62149 124821 83931 70.3 72.6 67.2 -5.4
10
11881
1 67360 79121 50624 110244 64905 56.7 64 58.9 -5.1
11 96675 51669 66322 39345 95881 56601 53.4 59.3 59.0 -0.3
GRAND TOTAL
15214
29
11843
97 1005519
86500
6 1451126 1160432 77.8 86 80.0 -6.0
6
Number of learners registered for ANA 2012 Prov Gr 1 Gr 2 Gr 3 Gr 4 Gr 5 Gr 6 Gr 9 Total
EC 215 321 179 411 163 194 158 399 151 580 149 519 148 828 1 166 252
FS 65 665 58 178 51 139 53 188 50 633 50 742 67 045 396 590
GP 195 601 172 495 157 972 150 006 145 757 148 367 166 483 1 136 681
KZN 287 086 247 075 221 499 218 267 212 283 232 372 214 537 1 633 119
LP 145 242 132 425 118 256 121 721 119 308 125 152 194 165 956 269
MP 118 298 104 040 91 871 93 061 92 348 93 501 105 261 698 380
NC 28 260 24 939 23 566 24 616 23 461 23 243 23 228 171 313
NW 78 594 73 101 65 368 64 809 60 311 60 131 62 766 465 080
WC 103 425 88 477 81 498 83 916 79 900 79 205 88 901 605 322
SA 1 237 492 1 080 141 974 363 967 983 935 581 944 397 1 089 049 7 229 006 7
Overall results in Mathematics (Average percentage mark)
8
Grade Mathematics
2012
Mathematics
2011
Difference
(% Points)
1 68 63 5
2 57 55 2
3 41 28 13
4 37 28 9
5 30 28 2
6 27 30 -3
9 13 * *
* Grade 9 was not part of the 2011 ANA.
Overall results in Language: Grades 1-3 (Average percentage mark)
9
Grade HL 2012 Lang 2011
1 58 59
2 55 52
3 52 35
Overall results in Language: Grades 4-6 and 9 (Average percentage mark)
10
Grade HL 2012 Fal 2012 Lang 2011
4 43 34 34
5 40 30 28
6 43 36 28
9 43 35 *
* Grade 9 was not part of the 2011 ANA.
Overall results in Mathematics (Average percentage mark)
11
Grade Mathematics
2012
Mathematics
2011
Difference
(% Points)
1 68 63 5
2 57 55 2
3 41 28 13
4 37 28 9
5 30 28 2
6 27 30 -3
9 13 * *
* Grade 9 was not part of the 2011 ANA.
Overall results in Language: Grades 1-3 (Average percentage mark)
12
Grade HL 2012 Lang 2011
1 58 59
2 55 52
3 52 35
Overall results in Language: Grades 4-6 and 9 (Average percentage mark)
13
Grade HL 2012 Fal 2012 Lang 2011
4 43 34 34
5 40 30 28
6 43 36 28
9 43 35 *
* Grade 9 was not part of the 2011 ANA.
Achievement in Grade 1 Mathematics by province in 2012
14
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 65,2 72,8
FS 70,2 81,0
GP 74,1 85,7
KZN 69,1 78,8
LP 64,7 73,1
MP 65,9 74,9
NC 63,5 71,6
NW 63,3 71,2
WC 70,1 80,3
Total 68,1 77,4
Achievement in Grade 1 Language by province in 2012
15
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 55,0 60,0
FS 59,8 68,5
GP 62,7 72,1
KZN 58,4 65,4
LP 54,6 58,8
MP 54,1 58,1
NC 52,4 55,7
NW 53,1 55,5
WC 61,0 68,5
National 57,5 63,7
Achievement in grade 2 Mathematics by province in 2012
16
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learner
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 55.2 63.3
FS 59.7 72.6
GP 63.2 78.3
KZN 58.4 69.9
LP 52.7 59.2
MP 54.3 62.9
NC 54.4 61.5
NW 50.6 54.2
WC 62.1 76.8
National 57.4 67.8
Achievement in grade 2 Language by
province in 2012
17
PROVINCE AVERAGE PERCENTAGE MARK PERCENTAGE LEARNERS
ACHIEVING 50% AND MORE
EC 52,8 60,0
FS 56,3 66,4
GP 59,1 69,9
KZN 57,8 68,4
LP 53,3 60,4
MP 53,4 61,4
NC 48,7 52,2
NW 46,9 48,8
WC 59,9 71,6
National 55,3 64,0
Achievement in grade 3 Mathematics by
province in 2012
18
Province Average Percentage Mark Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% and more
EC 40,5 34,9
FS 44,7 41,8
GP 46,9 47,9
KZN 42,2 37,6
LP 34,4 23,7
MP 35,6 25,0
NC 37,9 31,2
NW 34,1 23,4
WC 47,4 48,0
National 41,2 36,3
Achievement in grade 3 Language by province in 2012
19
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 50,3 52,7
FS 56,3 65,2
GP 54,8 61,7
KZN 53,5 59,2
LP 47,9 48,8
MP 48,0 48,9
NC 49,4 51,4
NW 46,4 46,3
WC 57,1 67,4
National 52,0 56,6
Achievement in grade 3 Language by province in 2012
20
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 50,3 52,7
FS 56,3 65,2
GP 54,8 61,7
KZN 53,5 59,2
LP 47,9 48,8
MP 48,0 48,9
NC 49,4 51,4
NW 46,4 46,3
WC 57,1 67,4
National 52,0 56,6
Achievement in grade 4 Mathematics by province in 2012
21
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 35,3 22,7
FS 36,3 22,9
GP 42,0 35,9
KZN 39,4 30,5
LP 29,4 13,7
MP 31,7 16,0
NC 34,9 23,0
NW 31,0 15,5
WC 45,6 42,2
National 37,0 26,3
Achievement in Grade 4 language by province in 2012
22
Home Language FAL
Province Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving 50%
& Above
Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving 50%
& Above
EC 38,3 32,5 36,0 28,8
FS 53,4 59,0 31,9 21,2
GP 49,7 53,2 40,0 36,9
KZN 38,2 31,9 34,3 26,4
LP 24,1 12,1 28,5 17,4
MP 31,8 23,6 30,4 19,4
NC 41,1 39,1 33,2 24,8
NW 25,9 14,3 29,9 19,5
WC 54,8 63,0 33,4 24,2
National 42,6 41,3 33,6 25,2
Achievement in Grade 5 Mathematics by province in 2012
23
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 28,1 12,0
FS 30,9 15,5
GP 35,7 24,3
KZN 31,1 16,7
LP 24,3 7,4
MP 26,1 8,9
NC 27,1 12,7
NW 26,1 9,1
WC 39,4 30,9
National 30,4 16,1
Achievement in Grade 5 Language by province in 2012
24
Home Language FAL
Province Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving
50% & Above
Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving 50%
& Above
EC 35,0 27,6 30,3 16,4
FS 50,2 53,9 27,9 11,5
GP 45,5 46,4 35,8 25,7
KZN 34,4 26,7 31,0 18,4
LP 24,2 12,0 25,2 10,8
MP 30,9 22,0 26,3 10,6
NC 38,1 31,0 30,1 17,7
NW 26,2 13,6 27,9 12,6
WC 50,9 55,2 31,0 16,0
National 39,9 36,5 29,6 15,9
Achievement in Grade 6 Mathematics by province in 2012
25
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 24,9 8,1
FS 28,4 11,7
GP 30,9 16,4
KZN 28,1 11,8
LP 21,4 4,6
MP 23,4 5,7
NC 23,8 7,6
NW 23,6 7,1
WC 32,7 19,9
National 26,7 10,6
Achievement in Grade 6 Language by province in 2012
26
Home Language FAL
Province Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving 50% &
Above
Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving
50% &
Above
EC 38,4 29,4 36,3 25,0
FS 52,2 56,8 37,3 24,8
GP 49,3 51,6 42,8 38,9
KZN 40,9 34,9 35,3 23,5
LP 28,2 14,5 31,7 18,2
MP 33,4 23,2 31,1 17,6
NC 39,0 29,1 36,4 25,3
NW 33,1 20,4 36,1 24,9
WC 49,7 50,4 38,3 28,7
National 42,8 38,7 35,6 24,4
Overall Grade 6 Achievement (Average mark in percentage)
27
Province
Language
Mathematics
2011 2012 2012 2011 2012
HL FAL
EC 29 38 36 29 25
FS 23 52 37 28 28
GP 35 49 43 37 31
KZN 29 41 35 32 28
LP 21 28 32 25 21
MP 20 33 31 25 23
NC 27 39 36 28 24
NW 22 33 36 26 24
WC 40 50 38 41 33
National 28 43 36 30 27
Achievement in Grade 9 Mathematics by province in 2012
28
Province Average Percentage
Mark
Percentage Learners
Achieving 50% & Above
EC 14,6 2,6
FS 14,0 3,1
GP 14,7 3,7
KZN 12,0 1,9
LP 8,5 0,5
MP 11,9 1,0
NC 13,2 2,0
NW 11,2 1,4
WC 16,7 5,0
National 12,7 2,3
Achievement in Grade 9 Language by province in 2012
29
Home Language FAL
Province Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving 50%
& Above
Average
Percentage
Mark
Percentage
Learners
Achieving 50%
& Above
EC 42,6 36,0 35,0 20,9
FS 48,9 48,7 37,2 22,9
GP 50,3 54,1 40,3 31,0
KZN 37,7 28,4 32,3 17,6
LP 31,2 17,0 29,8 13,7
MP 40,3 32,8 37,4 24,8
NC 44,3 36,1 37,9 26,2
NW 39,3 29,2 39,1 27,0
WC 48,4 47,4 37,2 22,9
National 43,4 38,9 34,6 20,8
Special Schools: Average marks (%) in
Grade 6 Language and Mathematics
30
Home Language
First Additional
Language Mathematices
Province AVE% AVE% AVE%
EC 9.8 47.9 22.0
FS 0.0* 18.7 5.8
GP 27.8 38.9 29.5
KZ 1.5 2.1 24.9
LP 0.0* 6.8 8.8
MP 0.0 5.1 21.9
NC 17.1 22.0 5.9
NW 0.0* 42.1 21.9
WC 51.5 35.8 27.0
National 8.7 10.3 23.6
* Indicates cases where no learners participated
Overall Provincial Pass Rates : 2008 - 2011
Status 2008 2009 2010 2011
Wrote 60 297 68 129 63 807 65 359
Passed Bachelor 8 622 9 492 10 225 10 291
Passed Diploma 11 155 13 883 15 281 15 530
Passed Higher Cert 10 707 11 240 11 711 12 102
Passed NSC 10 116 147 74
Total Achieved 30 494 34 731 37 364 37 997
Fail 29 803 33 398 26 442 26 984
31
32
Overall Provincial Pass Rates Percentage: 2008 - 2011
Status 2008 2009 2010 2011
Wrote 60 297 68 129 63 807 65 359
Passed Bachelor 14.3 13.9 16.0 15.7
Passed Diploma 18.5 20.4 23.9 23.8
Passed Higher Cert 17.8 16.5 18.4 18.5
Passed NSC 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
Total Achieved 50.6 51.0 58.3 58.1
Fail 49.4 49.0 41.4 41.3
Overall Pass Rate
33
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Passed Bachelor Passed Diploma Passed HigherCert
Passed NSC Total Achieved Fail
'2008
'2009
'2010
'2011
34
District Pass Rates
'Passed 'Wrote % Passed
District Name 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Butterworth 1160 1496 1559 1746 3154 4107 3339 3813 36.8 36.4 46.7 45.8
Cofimvaba 580 810 995 955 1645 2237 1746 1379 35.3 36.2 57.0 69.3
Cradock 550 604 563 601 873 888 747 814 63.0 68.0 75.4 73.8
Dutywa 757 1304 1627 1617 2298 3002 3146 3186 32.9 43.4 51.7 50.8
East London 3528 3717 3754 4006 5829 6199 5608 6284 60.5 60.0 66.9 63.7
Fort Beaufort 791 894 874 804 1829 2081 1986 1927 43.2 43.0 44.0 41.7
35
District Pass Rates
'Passed 'Wrote % Passed
District Name 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Graaff-Reinet 558 543 584 571 796 829 814 810 70.1 65.5 71.7 70.5
Grahamstown 641 588 579 626 962 1027 901 904 66.6 57.3 64.3 69.2
King Williams Town 2369 2664 2701 2864 4961 5452 5112 4984 47.8 48.9 52.8 57.5
Lady Frere 589 622 756 760 1273 1256 1249 1131 46.3 49.5 60.5 67.2
Libode 1570 2331 2295 2299 3023 4425 4891 5772 51.9 52.7 46.9 39.8
Lusikisiki 1036 1484 1508 1739 2796 3012 2497 2978 37.1 49.3 60.4 58.4
36
District Pass Rates
'Passed 'Wrote % Passed
District Name 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Maluti 761 925 990 955 1602 1784 1427 1331 47.5 51.8 69.4 71.8
Mbizana 823 1157 1312 1609 2811 3065 2634 2929 29.3 37.7 49.8 54.9
Mt Fletcher 566 671 755 810 1162 1650 1374 1183 48.7 40.7 54.9 68.5
Mt Frere 699 917 1011 1118 1769 2003 1916 2371 39.5 45.8 52.8 47.2
Mthatha 2537 2762 3469 3464 4909 5578 5531 5464 51.7 49.5 62.7 63.4
Ngcobo 457 687 776 918 1380 1392 1180 1312 33.1 49.4 65.8 70.0
Port Elizabeth 5372 5122 5233 4755 7833 7847 8147 7012 68.6 65.3 64.2 67.8
37
District Pass Rates
'Passed 'Wrote % Passed
District Name 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Queenstown 1461 1446 1659 1588 2512 2704 2815 2780 58.2 53.5 58.9 57.1
Qumbu 624 813 1085 1039 1647 2293 1905 1748 37.9 35.5 57.0 59.4
Sterkspruit 958 1046 1171 1050 1889 2013 2110 2140 50.7 52.0 55.5 49.1
Uitenhage 2107 2128 2108 2103 3344 3285 3015 3107 63.0 64.8 69.9 67.7
38
Performance of Section 20 and 21 schools 1n 2011 Grade 12
Wrote Passed Pass %
Section 20
2008 5356 2850 53.2%
2009 6080 3170 52.1%
2010 6168 3587 58.2%
2011 6501 3710 57.1%
Section 21
2008 54861 27631 50.4%
2009 61966 31548 50.9%
2010 57913 33776 58.3%
2011 58888 34287 58.2%
39
Independent Schools
2008 2009 2010 2011
'Wrote 2 345 2 977 3 284 3 261
'Passed 1 321 1 597 2 020 2 057
% Passed 56.3 53.6 61.5 63.1
Public Schools
2008 2009 2010 2011
'Wrote 57 877 65 078 60 753 62 016
'Passed 29 135 33 090 35 301 35 872
% Passed 50.3 50.8 58.1 57.8
Special Schools
2008 2009 2010 2011
'Wrote 75 74 53 82
'Passed 38 44 43 68
% Passed 50.7 59.5 81.1 82.9
Dinaledi Schools
2008 2009 2010 2011
'Wrote 6 788 7 741 7 758 8 173
'Passed 4 537 5 033 5 305 5 377
% Passed 66.8 65.0 68.4 65.8
40
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
% Passed AllSchools
% PassedIndependent
% Passed PublicSchools
% Passed Special % Passed DinalediSchools
'2008
'2009
'2010
'2011
41
Pass Rate Per Gender
Year % Female Passed % Male Passed
2008 28.1 22.4
2009 28 23
2010 32.1 26.2
2011 31.3 26.8
42
Farm Schools
Year Wrote Pass %Pass
2008 341 242 71.0
2009 341 259 76.0
2010 417 320 76.7
2011 261 213 81.6
43
Remote Schools
Year Wrote Pass % Pass
2008 3303 1140 34.5
2009 4066 1775 43.7
2010 3740 1943 52.0
2011 3830 1935 50.5
44
Schools in terms of Quintiles
Year 1 2 3 4 5
2008 34.77 39.37 45.52 69.67 87.52
2009 39.43 46.22 45.17 63.88 87.07
2010 49.52 53.73 52.66 70.62 84.29
2011 50.70 52.04 53.04 69.18 88.49
45
Schools with 100% Pass Rate
2010 2011 Change
44 47 + 03
Schools with less than 60% Pass Rate
2010 2011 Change
497 481 -16
46
No. of Schools per percentage Pass Range Interval
Pass Range 2008 2009 2010 2011
Results with-held - - - 3
0% 11 3 5 1
1 – 19 % 165 92 48 54
20 – 29% 116 136 86 72
30 – 39% 123 157 121 103
40 – 49% 109 110 99 130
50 – 59% 84 121 138 118
60 – 69% 81 75 123 138
70 -79% 55 75 105 106
80 – 89% 121 94 138 143
100% 40 44 44 47
47
Subject Analysis
2008 2009 2010 2011 %
Subject Name Wrote Passed Wrote Passed Wrote Passed Wrote Passed 2008 2009 2010 2011 Diff
Accounting 17889 10080 20130 11888 18055 11180 17547 10550 56.3 59.1 61.9 60.1 -1.8
Afrikaans Home 4940 4890 4652 4620 4543 4538 4222 4216 99.0 99.3 99.9 99.9 0.0
Agricultural Sciences 13297 6255 15293 7923 13580 9232 14350 10499 47.0 51.8 68.0 73.2 5.2
Business Studies 20290 13521 22802 14678 21797 14108 22270 16072 66.6 64.4 64.7 72.2 7.4 Computer Applications Technology 4573 3531 4942 3960 4240 3818 4409 3745 77.2 80.1 90.0 84.9 -5.1
Consumer Studies 3139 2735 3512 3226 3342 3198 3637 3497 87.1 91.9 95.7 96.2 0.5
Economics 16241 11018 18455 12252 17501 12468 18073 9928 67.8 66.4 71.2 54.9 -16.3
English Home 7215 7070 7484 7398 7588 7551 7386 7348 98.0 98.9 99.5 99.5 0.0
Geography 21783 16122 24365 16699 23823 15915 24696 15271 74.0 68.5 66.8 61.8 -5.0
History 12302 6905 12618 8622 12185 8925 12337 7940 56.1 68.3 73.2 64.4 -8.9
Information Technology 315 286 279 266 175 170 258 252 90.8 95.3 97.1 97.7 0.5
IsiXhosa Home 48643 48569 56089 56073 52295 52276 53754 53747 99.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 0.0
Life Sciences 35996 22056 40480 23755 38293 25238 38373 24966 61.3 58.7 65.9 65.1 -0.8
Mathematical Literacy 24639 17655 25999 18537 26140 20903 27770 21933 71.7 71.3 80.0 79.0 -1.0
Mathematics 37069 13839 43251 16198 38801 14457 38067 12752 37.3 37.5 37.3 33.5 -3.8
Mathematics: probability 1257 428 707 367 440 303 425 367 34.0 51.9 68.9 86.4 17.5
Physical Sciences 25595 11119 30120 8627 27163 11753 26367 12123 43.4 28.6 43.3 46.0 2.7
Sesotho Home 1178 1178 1443 1439 1248 1247 1129 1129 100.0 99.7 99.9 100.0 0.1
Tourism 7433 6247 8599 7409 9164 8520 10512 9976 84.0 86.2 93.0 94.9 1.9
Conclusion
•
• Thank you
• Dankie
• Siyabonga
• Re le boga
48
