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Analyst: JohnPaul Bennett and Ron Sivick
Thursday, September 24th, 2009
Stock Price$51.82 (as of 09/23/09)
52-week range$34.33 - 59.22
Market Cap
$209.02 billion (Large, value stock)
Beta0.87
IMP Portfolio currently holds 0 shares of CHL
Current Stock Price
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Sector: Telecommunications
Industry: Wireless Communications
China Mobile Limited provides mobile telecommunications and related services primarily in China, Hong Kong, and internationally
It offers mobile voice services, such as: local calls domestic long distance calls international long distance calls intra/inter-provincial roaming international roaming voice value-added services
The company also engages in data businesses, which include short message services, wireless application protocol, and multimedia messaging services, and provides various data products, such as java applications, IVR, and PIM
In addition, it offers agricultural information services
As of December 31, 2008, it had approximately 498 million subscriber base
Company Overview
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Intrinsic Valuation
3 Stage Dividend Discount Model$159.13
Undervalued (CP<IV)Current price =$ 51.82 (09/23/09)Intrinsic Value = $159.13
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Valuation Ratios
StockS&P 500
P/E 12.2 18.9P/B 2.9 2.2P/S 3.2 1.1Dividend Yield % 3.2 2.3Stock S&P 500Forward P/E 12.1 16.3PEG Ratio 0.8 1.8
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Key Statistics
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Key Statistics cont.
Experts opinion on the industry: Buy or Hold
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Current Ratio 1.281
2 Yr Price Performance of CHL vs. Competitors
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
5-Year Comparison with S&P 500, Shanghai SE Composite, and CHU
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Strengths Weaknesses
Opportunities Threats
Prominent mobile telecommunications player Growth through acquisitions Strong financial performance
Declining key parameters Lack of broadband services
Strategic alliance with SOFTBANK Corp and Vodafone International 2010 Shanghai Expo 3G technology
Intense competition Limited spectrum allocation Stringent government regulations
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
“…far ahead of its nearest competitors. Additionally, a strong balance sheet, strong free cash flow and sustainable dividends facilitate the company's efforts to weather economic volatility…” –Zacks.com
“There is much more room for growth. Many rural areas of China are not deeply penetrated, and the country’s overall wireless penetration is only about 50%. China Mobile is advancing into un-serviced areas.”- Seeking Alpha
“China Mobile is the Goliath of the wireless communications industry in China… more than 70% market share in mainland China… those millions of customers provide recurring revenue year in and year out.” – Motley Fool
“China Mobile has a perfect five-star rating on CAPS… a perfect dividend stock”- Motley Fool
“Growth, financial health, and profitability received ‘B’ by Morningstar”
Headlines and Reports
Sources: Yahoo Finance, Morningstar, Datamonitor, Valueline, and Valuepro
Recommendations
• Long-term, value stock
• Rock solid financial statements
• Experts suggest fair value estimate is $63.00 and to sell @ $126.00
• Durable for weathering economic volatility
• Strong government support
• Buy 60 shares of CHL @ 51.81 (price as of 09/23/09