abAnalysts’ meeting1 March 2007
Slide 2
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Today’s agenda
Introduction Susan Holliday, Head IR
Group results George Quinn, CFO
Strategy update and outlook Jacques Aigrain, CEO
Slide 3
ab
Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Today’s agenda
Introduction Susan Holliday, Head IR
Group results George Quinn, CFO
Strategy update and outlook Jacques Aigrain, CEO
Slide 4
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Executive summaryExcellent 2006 results
Net income CHF 4.6 billion, up 98%, EPS of CHF 13.49
Strong performance across all businesses
Performance
Strong combined ratio of 90.4% in Property & Casualty
14% profit growth to CHF 1.5 billion in Life & Health
21% profit growth to CHF 0.5 billion in Financial Services
Continued good investment performance, RoI 5.3%
Quality
Shareholders’ equity up 27% to CHF 30.9 billion
RoE 16.3%, up from 10.3% in 2005
Shareholders’ equity, returns
Dividend proposal CHF 3.40 per share, up 36%
Up to CHF 6 billion share buyback plan
Capital management
All 2005 and 2006 figures are based on US GAAP unless stated otherwise
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Key figuresStrong performance across the Group
-1.0pts.5.3%6.3%Return on investments2
18.8pts.26.9%8.1%Financial Services return on total revenues
27%30.924.4Shareholders’ equity
-23.7pts.90.4%114.1%Non-life combined ratio, traditional1
81%13.497.44Earnings per share (EPS)
6.0pts.16.3%10.3%Return on equity
10.0%
4.6
29.5
2006
10%26.9Premiums earned
0.4pts.9.6%Life & Health return on operating revenues
98%2.3Net income
Change 2005CHF bn, except for EPS and relative numbers
1 Combined ratio includes unwind of discount – excluding this effect, combined ratio is 89.6%2 At average FX rates
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
25 000 27 000 29 000
29 515
-317
+21
+1 500
-826
+2 246
26 891
0First year impacts of Successor (P&C) and ALPS (L&H) transactions
Securitisations
n.a.Premiums earned 2005
3 548
0
1 021
55
2 472
Insurance Solutions
share
Contribution from IS as well as new life business in UK, US and Asia
Decrease in volume reflects lower demand
Reflects contribution from IS
Premiums earned 2006
Admin ReSM
Life and health, traditional
Non-life, non-traditional
Non-life, traditional
CHF m
Change in net earned premiums*
Group premiumsInsurance Solutions adds significant growth to premium income
* Fee income from policyholders is no longer included in net earned premiums following adoption of US GAAP
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
4% 5% 6%
Investments Return on investments of 5.3%
+5.3%
-0.3%
-0.5%
+0.5%
+5.6%
6 949
-373
-600
629
7 293Average running yield increased from 4.6% in 2005 to 4.8% in 2006
Gross investment income
Higher fixed income yields offset by lower realised gains
In line with the growth in assets under management
Mainly interest credited to third parties including impact from securitisation transactions
Gains mainly from equities partially offset by cost of derivatives used to hedge equity and corporate bond portfolios
Investment result
Investment expenses
Interest paid on cedant deposits
Net realised investment gains
CHF m
Change in investment result*
* At average FX rates; excluding assets held for linked liabilities
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
0
2 0
4 0
6 0
8 0
1 0 0
1 2 0
1 4 0
1 6 0
2 0 05 2 0 06
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2 0 0 5 2 00 6
125
163
Change
+30%0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2 00 5 2 0 0 6
7.5 6.9
Change
-7%
6.3%5.3%
Change
-1.0pts.
CHF bn, except for relative figures 2005 2006
Return on investments*Total investment result*Invested assets
InvestmentsReported results include sizeable FX remeasurement impacts in 2005
Sizeable remeasurement FX impacts in 2005 not repeated in 2006
Underlying investment result improved
RoI lower due to FX remeasurement gain in 2005
Growth due to Insurance Solutions acquisition in June 2006 (CHF 30bn) and GE Life UK in December 2006 (CHF 12bn)
* At average FX rates; excluding assets held for linked liabilities
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
0
2
4
6
8
1 0
1 2
1 4
1 6
2 0 05 2 0 06
16 346 17 441
Change
+7%0
0 .5
1
1 .5
2
2 .5
3
3 .5
4
4 .5
5
2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6
830
5 016
0. 00%
111. 41%
2005 2006
114.1%90.4%
CHF m, except for relative figures 2005 2006
Combined ratio, traditionalOperating incomePremiums earned
Property & Casualty Strong operating performance including Insurance Solutions and lower nat cats
Operating income increased due to strong performance across all lines and lower nat cat claims
Investment result up 14% to CHF 3.6bn, reflecting overall portfolio growth
Strong contribution of Insurance Solutions (CHF 628m or 13%)
Continued good experience and strong price increases in property; significantly improved experience in liability
Combined ratio for IS stand-alone: 98.2%
Unwind of discount on Group combined ratio: 0.8pts.
Lower than expected nat cat claims contributed 2.8pts. (CHF 496m)
Disciplined underwriting and focus on economic profit growth continued
Insurance Solutions contributed CHF 2.5bn or 14%
Change
+504%Change
-23.7pts.
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Property & Casualty traditional business Strong performance across the business
CHF m, except for combined ratios
4 9252
945
113
352
1 144
2 371
Operating income
Strong underlying performance89.6%114.1%Total
Improved performance in engineering and marine; continuing good results in aviation/space
83.2%104.2%Specialty1
Strengthening of reserves for US workers comp126.6%95.3%Accident
Including unwind of discount and capital costs90.4%114.1%Total
Continued improvement despite higher than expected claims in Europe, particularly in France
102.8%104.3%Motor
P&C traditional combined ratios
105.9%
70.1%
2006
Positive contribution from Insurance Solutions and lower incidence of natural catastrophes and man-made claims
111.2%Property
Significant improvement in experience, especially in the US133.2%Liability
Main drivers of change 2005
1 Specialty includes marine, engineering, aviation, multilines and other2 Including non-traditional business, operating income is CHF 5 016m
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Life & Health Continuing positive underlying performance
0
2
4
6
8
1 0
1 2
1 4
2 0 05 2 0 06
13.915.2
0
0 .2
0 .4
0 .6
0 .8
1
1 .2
1 .4
2 005 2 006
1.31.5
0.0 0%
1 .0 0%
2 .0 0%
3 .0 0%
4 .0 0%
5 .0 0%
6 .0 0%
7 .0 0%
8 .0 0%
9 .0 0%
2 00 5 2 0 06
9.6%10.0%
CHF bn, except for relative figures 2005 2006
Return on operating revenuesOperating resultOperating revenues
Solid performance in all lines of business
Strong 12.8% in Admin ReSM, reflecting good claims experience
9.2% in traditional portfolio, driven by excellent claims experience in health portfolio
New life business written in the US, the UK and Asia
Insurance Solutions contributed CHF 1.1bn or 7%
Change
+9%Change
+14%Change
+0.4pts.
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Financial ServicesOperating income up 21%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2005 2006
379460
Change
+21%0. 00%
5. 00%
10. 00%
15. 00%
20. 00%
25. 00%
2005 2006
8.1%
26.9%
Change
+18.8pts.0. 00%
10. 00%
20. 00%
30. 00%
40. 00%
50. 00%
60. 00%
70. 00%
80. 00%
2005 2006
81.2%89.9%
Change
+8.7pts.
CHF m, except for relative figures 2005 2006
Combined ratio, traditionalReturn on total revenuesOperating income
Improved margins in trading business
Continued solid claims experience and stringent underwriting in Credit Solutions
2005 included a large favourable claims settlement agreement
Strong underwriting performance in credit reinsurance
Increased revenues in traded credit and insurance linked securities (ILS)
Growth in third party asset management of 18% to CHF 85.4bn (mainly Conning)
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Shareholders’ equityUp 27% reflecting excellent earnings and IS acquisition
CHF m
Change in shareholders’ equity
24 393
-1 176
-723
-776
4 284322
4 560
30 884
17 500
22 500
27 500
32 500
End 2005 Net income Dividends Net change in unrealised
gains/losses on
securities
Foreign currency
translation adjustments
Additional paid-in capital
Pensions/other
End 2006
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Financial year 2006Excellent overall results
Net income up 98%, EPS of CHF 13.49
RoE 16.3%, up from 10.3% in 2005
Property & Casualty traditional combined ratio 90.4%, Credit Solutions 89.9%
Life & Health return on operating revenues 10.0%, up from 9.6%
Financial Services return on total revenues 26.9%, up from 8.1%
Continued strong investment performance, RoI of 5.3%
Shareholders’ equity increased 27% to CHF 30.9 billion
Proposed dividend of CHF 3.40 per share, 3 year share buyback/cancellation programme up to CHF 6 billion
Slide 15
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Today’s agenda
Introduction Susan Holliday, Head IR
Group results George Quinn, CFO
Strategy update and outlook Jacques Aigrain, CEO
Slide 16
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Our strategic direction
Generate economic profit growth
Reduce earnings volatility
Enlarge market scope
Advance organisational excellence
Higher sustainable shareholder
returns
Best-in-classcustomer service
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Total traditional portfolio
January 2007 renewalsHighly successful outcome for Swiss Re
100%76%
114%
-20%-4%
14%
4% 16%
4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Total renewable
01.01.2007
Pending Cancelledor
replaced
Renewed Increase on
renewal
New business/replace-
ment
InsuranceSolutions
Pending Estimated outcome
CHF 9.0bn
CHF 10.3bn
This represents 6%increase on the renewedblock, comprising:Rates 1%Change in share 3%Exposure growth 2%
Generate economic profit growth
All renewal figures are estimated and calculated at constant foreign exchange rates
Swiss Re’s renewed portfolio increased 14% (incl. Insurance Solutions) with rates up 1% overall growth in economic profit of 21%
75% of Insurance Solutions non-life book retained to date (70% in January 2007 renewals, 91% in July 2006 renewals)
Continuing attractive market conditions with industry focused on return on capital employed
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
288 387 379 435
9.7%11.0% 10.2%
12.8%
0
250
500
2003 2004 2005 20060.0%
4.0%
8.0%
12.0%
Admin ReSM
GE Life UK – largest transaction to date
GBP 471m acquisition of GE‘s direct UK life operations completed December 2006
– largest Admin ReSM transaction to date– 400 000 policies with total assets of GBP 8bn– annual recurring premium volume of approx. GBP 100m; in addition single
premium new business volume of GBP 750m– provides further scale and infrastructure for Admin ReSM in the UK
Strong pipeline for further Admin ReSM opportunities particularly in the US and UK
Generate economic profit growth
CHF m, except for relative figures Operating result Return on operating revenues
Invested assets
Capital invested1 040591 415524
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Hedging expanded from capital to earnings protection
Claims exceeding these figures are considered as “extreme” claims
USD m
50 yrs
50 yrs
25 yrs
25 yrs
Return period
Earnings volatility events
15 000
22 500
13 000
55 000
Market loss
550
1 100
1 400
1 900
Est. Swiss Re gross claims
- 100
- 350
- 775
- 950
Est. claims hedge effect
450
750
625
950
Est. net claims
Earthquake JAPAN
Earthquake CALIFORNIA
Windstorm EUROPE
Hurricane NORTH ATLANTIC
Winter storm “Kyrill”
Swiss Re expects winter storm “Kyrill” to produce estimated net claims of EUR 140m (estimated gross claims EUR 220m)
Reduce earnings volatility
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Equity and credit exposure hedgingIncreased portfolio protection against stress scenarios
Reduce earnings volatility
The net stress test loss is based on a 30% fall in traded equity markets with a simultaneous increase in volatility for Swiss Re’s tradeable equities
The net stress loss shows the impact of the widening of credit spreads based on the experience over the past 15 years
0
3
6
9
12
15
31.12.05 31.03.06 30.06.06 30.09.06 31.12.06
Market values Net, stress test loss
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
31.12.05 31.03.06 30.06.06 30.09.06 31.12.06
Market values Net, stress test loss
CHF bn
Traded equities
CHF bn
Credit product
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Attractive opportunities for growth Commercial insurance
Enlarge market scope
Market
2006
USD
72bn*
2006
USD
0.8bn
Prospects
Significant growth in premiums over the cycle should be possible
Swiss Re’s current target growth segments: Property, excess & surplus lines and professional liability
Main territorial business focus: USA and Canada
Swiss Re is a leader in the professional groups ‘agents’ and ‘lawyers’ and actively pursuing additional professional groups
Considerable cross-selling opportunities such as large corporate clients
US market volume
Premium volume
2006
95%
Combined ratio
Swiss Re
2006
1.1%
Swiss Re market share
* Represents segments where Swiss Re pursues business opportunities; total US Commercial Insurance market approx. USD 260bn, Canada approx, USD 6bn
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Attractive opportunities for growthVariable annuity reinsurance
Enlarge market scope
US premium volume (in USD bn)
150
300
2006 2011E
Strong growth in the market driven by demographic changes
ProspectsClient markets, Products and Financial Services divisions together structure individual solutions to meet client needs
Significant demand driven by demographic factors and from clients seeking to address capital efficiency, rating agency issues and internal risk management
Treaties written and requests for coverage: in Japan and the US, with potential to develop in Europe and Asia
+
Swiss Re’s unique position
Expertise in risk transfer and
capital markets
Leadership in Life & Health reinsurance
Unique integrated product capability
Slide 22
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Expansion in engineering, weather, agricultural and marineCombination of IS market position and Swiss Re capital markets expertise provides strong growth opportunity
Nat cat protection for governments and NGOsSwiss Re structured and placed a transaction to allow access to the capital markets and a new source of capacity for the Mexico Natural Disaster Fund
Health protection in emerging markets26% stake in TTK Healthcare Services in India acquired in December 2006
Further growth opportunitiesEnlarge market scope
$160mm Principal At-RiskVariable Rate Notes
Sole Manager2006
CAT-Mex Ltd.United Mexican States
Credit in emerging marketsHigh demand for trade finance, corporate credit solutions and credit and surety business
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Insurance Solutions acquisitionSuccess story with full positive impact still to come
Enlarge market scope
109 of 136 former IS key people (first/second management level) joined Swiss Re, including two at Executive Board level
Complementary strengths and diversification of client base and portfolio (critical illness, health, commercial insurance, engineering, etc.)
Fit
In 6 1/2 months, IS contributed CHF 3.5 billion to premiums earned in 2006
75% of non-life and 98% of life and health book retained to date
Growth
Stand-alone combined ratio 98.2% for period 9 June to 31 Dec 2006
Total cost of investment USD 8.8 billion, limited goodwill of USD 1.3 billion, strong profit contribution already in 2006 (CHF 764 million operating income contribution)
IS acquisition accretive to EPS and RoE as from 2007, the first full year after closing
Value creation
Generate economic profit growth
Reduce earnings volatility
Advance organisational excellence
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Higher cost synergies and lower restructuring costs than planned
Estimated cost synergies of at least CHF 460m (previously CHF 390m) pre-tax p.a. anticipated to be fully realised by end 2008
Total one-time restructuring cost below original estimate of CHF 325mCHF 210m in 2006, less than CHF 50m expected in 2007
Global IT cost savings of CHF 42m: consolidation of data centres, infrastructure harmonisation, reduction of contractors, services migration
Offices consolidated in North America, Europe and Asia:
CHF m, pre-tax
Estimated cost synergies and restructuring costs
338>460
1310
250
500
2006 2007 2008
Cost synergies
Restructuring costs
<50210
0
250
500
2006 2007 2008
Advance organisational excellence
75 93 74
58
12 Jun 06 1 Jan 07 1 Jan 08
Insurance Solutions officesSwiss Re offices
133
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Our strategic direction
Active capital
management
Generate economic profit growth
Reduce earnings volatility
Enlarge market scope
Advance organisational excellence
Higher sustainable shareholder
returns
Best-in-classcustomer service
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Dividend and capital management
Swiss Re is focused on delivering a sustainable dividend and active capital management while maintaining superior capital adequacy and credit ratings
Planned capital management actions reflect:
– Very strong operating performance and balance sheet in 2006
– Continued commitment to underwriting discipline
– Initial successful steps in streamlining Swiss Re’s legal entity structure including:
– GE Re merged into Swiss Re America
– Part VII transfer in UK to combine IS portfolio with SR
– Swiss Re Italia merged into Italian Branch of SRZ
– Additional legal entity simplification planned during 2007 and 2008
Capital management
Slide 28
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Proposed capital management actions and dividend policy
Capital management
Proposed dividend of CHF 3.40 per share
Dividend payment growth to reflect progress on sustainable earnings
Dividend
Multi-year buyback/cancellation plan of up to CHF 6 billion within a three year period to improve capital efficiency
Swiss Re waives the GE lock-up from 1 March through 9 March 2007
Subject to market conditions Swiss Re agrees to repurchase 50% of GE’s stake in conjunction with an accelerated book build for the remainder of the stake
Buyback
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Outlook
Fundamentals for 2007 remain strong
Swiss Re will profit from growth provided by first year full inclusion of Insurance Solutions and GE Life UK
Swiss Re will seize opportunities in Admin ReSM to put capital to work at attractive rates of return
Swiss Re will continue to actively address client needs by developing new products in areas such as variable annuities, health, longevity, and engineering
Developments in European regulatory framework, including EU Reinsurance Directive and Solvency II, will create new opportunities for strongly capitalised reinsurers like Swiss Re
Swiss Re remains committed to delivering economic profit growth by maintaining strict underwriting discipline and by actively hedging its financial markets and cat exposures
Over the cycle targets
EPS growth
10%
RoE
13%
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Appendix
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Group income statement
n.a.n.a.
124%
-4%32%
1%-8%
-10%
5%-2%
87%-45%12%-1%8%
Change constant
FX
98%4 5602 304Net income
14%6 9906 137Net investment income- 44%1 9483 474Net realised investment gains
89%654346Trading revenues
0%879881Fee income
- 1%280283Other revenues6%40 26638 012Total revenues
Expenses-9%-21 393-23 426Claims and claim adjustment expenses; L&H benefits- 6%-2 827-3 019Interest credited to policyholders
3%-6 079-5 927Acquisition costs33%-4 111-3 081Other operating costs and expenses- 3%-34 410-35 453Total expenses
-1 296
5 856
29 515
2006
Revenues
408%-255Income tax expense
129%2 559Income before tax expense
10%26 891Premiums earned
Change 2005CHF m
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
2006 income statementBusiness segment results
5 016
-16 138-1 373-3 459
-11 306
21 15474
4752
2 883
17 441
Property & Casualty
4 560Net income
6 99082793 946Net investment income1 948-352271 521Net realised investment gains/losses
65477573Trading revenues
879879Fee income
28022184Other revenues40 266-1711 96317 320Total revenues
Expenses-21 393-493-9 594Claims and claim adjustment expenses & L&H benefits
-2 827-2 827Interest credited to policyholders-6 079-364-2 256Acquisition costs-4 111-1 131-646-961Other operating costs and expenses
-34 410-1 131-1 503-15 638Total expenses
1 682
10 974
Life & Health
Group income statement by business segments
-1 302
Other
Revenues
-1 296Income tax expense
5 856460Income/loss before tax expense
29 5151 100Premiums earned
TotalFinancial ServicesCHF m
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
60%520326Financing expenses550%11718Restructuring expense
131%8336Other expenses36%1 131834Other operating costs and expenses
28%8768Indirect and other taxes
Corporate Centre & “other” costs
3242006
-16%386Group function expensesChange 2005CHF m
Other operating costs/expenses
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Property & Casualty income statementOperating income up 504%
n.a.n.a.n.a.n.a.
485%
-15%48%
0%-22%
7%61%
-85%-37%43%
6%
Change constant
FX
89.6%90.4%26.3%64.1%
5 016
-16 138-1 373-3 459
-11 306
21 15474
4752
2 88317 441
2006
-24.5pts.114.1%Combined ratio excl. unwind of discount-23.7pts.114.1%Combined ratio in %
1.5pts.24.8%Expense ratio in %-25.2pts.89.3%Claims ratio in %
504%
-14%49%
1%-22%
8%61%
-85%-37%45%
7%
Change
19 595Total revenues46Fees, commissions and other revenues
Key figures (traditional business only)
-924Other operating costs and expenses-18 765Total expenses
830Operating income
-3 411Acquisition costs-14 430Claims and claim adjustment expenses
Expenses
27Trading revenues1 188Net realised investment gains1 988Net investment income
16 346Premiums earnedRevenues
2005CHF m
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Premiums earned by line of business
Property & CasualtyShift to property – non-traditional reduced
The reduction in non-traditional business due to continuing lower demand has increased all the traditional weightings
Property and specialty also benefited from strong rate increases in nat cat
Good contribution from Insurance Solutions for property and liability
31% 35%
13%11%
25%26%
5%6%
19%17%
9%3%
2005 2006
Non-traditionalSpecialtyAccidentMotorLiabilityProperty
Premiums earned2005 16 3462006 17 441
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Treaty year
Premiums by type of business
Property & Casualty Insurance Solutions increases direct and non-proportional portfolio weightings
45% 41%
31%33%
24% 26%
2005 2006
Facultative/directNon-proportionalProportional
Based on treaty year premiums (2006 estimated), traditional business only
Proportional split for Swiss Re book stable
IS added significant volumes of direct business through Commercial Insurance
The IS treaty portfolio is weighted towards non-proportional covers
Overall effect is to reduce the proportional treaty segment
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Swiss Re’s catastrophe perils hedging has grown further
1
2
3
4
Jul 99 Jul 00 Jul 01 Jul 02 Jul 03 Jul 04 Jul 05 Jul 06 Jan 07
Industry losswarranties (ILW) andDerivativesInsurance linkedsecurities (e.g.Successor, Australis)
Swaps
Retro
CHF bn
Hedging instruments
Slide 38
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
US onshore hurricane Exposure and protection of Swiss Re
USD20bn
USD150bn
Indu
stry
loss
18%
0.5%
Loss
pro
babi
lity
Substantial protection exists throughout the risk spectrum
Protection is twofold:
– low attaching protection against severe earnings volatility through ILS, ILWand retrocession
– medium to high attaching hedging for capital protection through ILS, retrocession and risk swaps
0% 50% 100%
* Expected pattern as of June 2007; data includes assumptions about the basis risk between inwards indemnity covers and outwards hedging based on parametric or market loss triggers.
Treaty year Hedging* Loss for Swiss Re
Premiums by type of business
Slide 39
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Property & CasualtyPositive net reserve development of CHF 100 million
CHF m
Reserve development since 2003
-1395
-948
-400
100
-1,500
-1,250
-1,000
-750
-500
-250
0
250
2003 2004 2005 2006
Slide 40
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Loss development tableNet claim reserves and re-estimates
Claim reserves as of 31.12.
1 year later
200556 549
2 years later
200347 874
47 727
52 096
3 years later
200245 965
47 047
47 063
51 029
4 years later
200152 265
47 195
47 836
48 200
51 481
5 years later
200042 398
42 336
40 338
41 120
41 302
42 680Current reservesplus payments sinceoriginal reportingyear
6 years later
199938 031
37 580
36 528
34 750
34 464
34 601
35 643
7 years later
199833 387
34 810
33 648
32 291
30 234
29 536
29 452
30 204
8 years later
199731 767
29 904
30 901
29 233
27 694
25 733
25 419
25 277
25 686
9 years later
199628 474
28 385
26 602
27 463
26 080
24 811
23 053
22 604
22 553
23 070
10 years later
200448 379
53 461
Surplus / (deficiency) 5 134 5 799 2 904 2 028 -617 289 -5 294 -3 975 -3 829 2 169
As a percent of original reserves 18.0% 18.3% 8.7% 5.3% -1.5% 0.6% -11.5% -8.3% -7.9% 3.8%
As a percent of original reserves
Excluding foreign exchange:Surplus / (deficiency)
Original reporting year
23 340
25 967
30 483
36 003
43 015
51 976
51 259
51 848
52 207
54 379
200675 533
18.1% 16.9% 9.9% -3.0% -11.8% -14.8% -15.1% -7.2% -1.2% 0.9%
5 158 5 365 3 312 -1 141 -4 986 -7 748 -6 963 -3 470 -605 502
CHF millions
Slide 41
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Loss development tableNet claim reserves and payments
1 year later
2 years later
9 440
16 281
3 years later
10 285
16 436
21 373
4 years later
10 854
18 184
23 324
27 306
5 years later
2001
8 451
15 529
20 093
23 726
26 153Paid claims and LAE(cumulative) in respectof losses prior to31.12. as of
6 years later
2000
8 355
13 471
17 214
20 096
22 238
23 905
7 years later
1999
6 703
11 337
14 193
16 418
18 322
19 708
20 879
8 years later
1998
5 725
9 636
12 738
14 328
15 847
17 152
18 067
18 935
9 years later
1997
5 572
8 568
11 016
13 328
14 397
15 438
16 356
17 012
17 676
10 years later
1996
18 439
10 129
LAE = Loss adjustment expenses
CHF millions Original reporting year
19 954
22 258
25 616
28 542
30 833
25 727
21 476
16 654
10 534
Cumulative pay-outs as of 31.12.06 64.8% 62.8% 66.7% 67.4% 67.3% 59.0% 56.0% 44.9% 34.4% 18.6%
200520032002 2004 2006
56 54947 87445 96552 26542 39838 03133 38731 76728 474 48 379 75 533Claim reserves as of 31.12.
Slide 42
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Loss development tableGAAP perspective
Net impact on GAAP results
Less unwind of discount (offset with investment income)
Less non-traditional business (partially offset with investment income)
Less impact of minor accounting changes (2005)
Less impact of late reported premiums and commissions
Loss development table surplus (deficiency) as published
CHF m
-16125
050
-400400
107-400
2119
-994
2005
502
2006
Slide 43
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Asbestos & Environmental reservesContinuing low significance
A&E as % of total reserves
Total net reserves*
A&E as % of reserves
Total net non-life reserves
total Net A&E reservesYear end
2 961
2 757
2 118
1 675
1 357
1 375
2 226
2.7%100 7495.3%52 1692001
1.4%97 3662.8%47 4562004
1.8%92 6333.5%47 4142003
3.7%79 4216.9%43 1082000
2.3%92 1224.6%45 6882002
56 549
72 769
Asbestos & Environmental (A&E) reserve development
89 649
121 211 1.8%3.1%2006
1.5%2.4%2005
CHF m
* Unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses and life and health policy benefits
Slide 44
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Life & Health income statementOperating result up 14%
n.a.n.a.
11%
0%
5%24%
0%-8%9%
5%-17%
-3%-1%
12%
Change constant
FX
10.0%6.3%
1 517
1 682
-15 638-961
-2 256-2 827-9 594
17 3201 5213 946
87910 974
2006
6%16 318Total revenues
0.4pts.9.6%Return on operating revenues in %0.8pts.5.5%Management expense ratio in %
14%
2%
7%26%
2%-6%
11%
-15%-1%0%
14%
Change
-3 019Interest credited to policyholders
881Fee income
1 333Operating result, ex. non-participating net realisedinvestment gains
-765Other operating costs and expenses-14 673Total expenses
1 645Operating income
-2 221Acquisition costs
-8 668Claims and claim adjustment expenses; L&H benefitsExpenses
1 799Net realised investment gains4 000Net investment income
9 638Premiums earnedRevenues
2005CHF m
Slide 45
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Life & Health Higher returns in Admin ReSM
more than offset lower traditional returns
-16%-2 258-2 68671%-569-333Interest credited to policyholders
-1%84184712%3834Fee income
Revenues
2.6pts.12.8%10.2%-0.2pts.9.2%9.4%Return on operating revenues0.7pts.9.4%8.7%1.2pts.5.5%4.3%Management expense ratio
15%43537913%1 082954Operating result, excl. non-participating net realised inv. gains
-18%42552012%1 2571 125Operating income
-15%-4 426-5 20618%-11 212-9 467Total expenses-2%-319-32546%-642-440Other operating costs and expenses
-61%-99-25610%-2 157-1 965Acquisition costs
-10%-1 750-1 93917%-7 844-6 729Claims and claim adjustment expenses; L&H benefits Expenses
-15%4 8515 72618%12 46910 592Total revenues-35%9361 44063%585359Net realised investment gains
-8%2 1942 3959%1 7521 605Net investment income
-16%8801 04417%10 0948 594Premiums earned
Change20062005Change20062005
Admin ReSMTraditionalCHF m
Slide 46
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
20062005
11 85310 519Total
CHF m
Premiums earned and fee income
Life & Health Insurance Solutions leads to strong European growth
46%
18%15%
23% 31%
9% 8%
50%
2005 2006
Rest of WorldEuropeAdmin ReNorth America traditional
SM
Slide 47
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Financial Services income statementOperating income up 21%
n.a.
n.a.
19%
26%15%22%50%
24%-17%78%-7%-9%
20%
Change constant
FX
26.9%
89.9%
460
-1 503-646-364-493
1 963184573
2779
1 100
2006
18.8pts.8.1%Fee business: return on total revenues (in %) excluding proprietary asset management
8.7pts.81.2%Credit Solutions: combined ratio, trad (in %)
21%
27%16%23%50%
26%-16%80%-7%-7%
21%
Change
1 560Total revenues220Other revenues
-558Operating costs-1 181Total expenses
379Operating income
-295Acquisition costs-328Claims and claim adjustment expenses
Expenses
319Trading revenues29Net realised investment gains85Net investment income
907Premiums earnedRevenues
2005CHF m
Slide 48
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Capital Management and AdvisoryBack testing of trading Value-at-Risk
CMA risk is captured in disclosed Group risk figures
Risk appetite was well controlled during the year
Results were well within VaR and stress tolerances
Slide 49
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Net investment income grew 14%
Net investment income increased 14% to CHF 7.0 billion. Due to active duration management, Swiss Re’s running yield on its large fixed income portfolios increased from 4.6% in 2005 to 4.8% in 2006
92%-600-313Interest paid on cedant deposits
28%-373-292Investment expenses
19%1 4621 224Other asset classes
52%249164Equities
14%6 9906 137Net investment income
-11%670751Assets held for linked liabilities
5 582
2006
21%4 603Fixed income
Change 2005CHF m
Slide 50
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Lower realised gains
Net realised investment gains decreased to CHF 1.9bn
– 2005 benefited from a sizeable sale of BBB-rated corporate bonds
– Other includes costs of derivatives used to hedge equity and corporate bond portfolios against potential large declines in equity markets or widening of spreads as well as from reinsurance derivatives to protect against large nat cats
– Foreign exchange and mark-to-market on trading securities reversed in 2006 after large unrealised FX gains in 2005
-6%1 3191 396Assets held for linked liabilitiesn.a.-322135Other
50%850566Equities
-44%1 9483 474Total net realised investment gainsn.a.-43896
Foreign exchange remeasurement and desginated trading portfolios*
1442006
-70%481Fixed incomeChange 2005CHF m
* The designated trading portfolios are foreign currency denominated trading fixed income securities which back certain foreign currency denominated liabilities
Slide 51
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Return on investments calculation
-10 722-10 393Funds held under reinsurance treaties-10 667-3 964Other adjustments2
156 837119 057Invested assets
130 524114 679Average invested assets3
172 741125 756Total investments (as defined in the balance sheet)-21 668-13 681Assets held for linked liabilities12 7477 993Cash and cash equivalents14 40613 346Funds held by ceding companies
5.3%6.3%Return on investments
6 9907 227Investment result (basis for RoI)41-237Adjustments1
6 9497 464Investment result excl. linked
2006at avg FX
2005at avg FXCHF m
1 Income from current cash accounts, reinsurance derivatives, participating business and other adjustments2 GE Life UK, participating business and other adjustments3 Average assets are calculated as opening balance plus one half of the net asset turnover at average foreign
exchange rates
Slide 52
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Net unrealised gains on fixed income fell due to rising interest rates, while net unrealised gains on equities rose with the strong equity markets
Net unrealised gains
* Excluding assets held for linked liabilities
2 189
8941 115
86
96
On BS Off BS
OtherReal estateFixed incomeEquities
4 198*
2006
4 380*
2005
Total
CHF m, pre-tax
970
1 065
2 006
112
45
On BS Off BS
Slide 53
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Strong investment portfolio Growth of 34%
The investment portfolio grew 34%, from CHF 139bn at year end 2005 to CHF 186bn, due to the GE Insurance Solutions and GE Life UK acquisitions
19.6
8.4
3.61.7
105.7
Fixed incomeEquitiesOther investmentsReal estateCash and cash equivalents
2314of which assets held for linked liabilities
186139Balance sheet values
20062005CHF bn
Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
31.6
13.64.3
4.3
132.2
Slide 54
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Fixed incomeActive duration management translates into higher yields
Bond yields rose over the course of 2006 in the major bond markets
Swiss Re successfully captured market movements by actively managing the duration
Average running yield on Swiss Re’s portfolio increased from 4.6% to 4.8%
Net unrealised gains of CHF 2.2bn at the end of 2005 decreased to CHF 1.0bn at the end of 2006
Interest rates and durations
4.14.5 4.6
4.0 3.9
7.6 7.5 7.7 7.56.8
2.7%
3.0%
3.3%
3.6%
3.9%
4.2%
4.5%
4.8%
5.1%
Dec 05 Mar 06 June 06 Sep-06 Dec 060.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Duration total return portfolio (RHS)Duration L&H portfolio (RHS)5-year US govt bonds (LHS)
Yields US gvt bonds Duration of portfolios
Slide 55
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Gross exposure as of 31 December 2006
Excellent credit quality of corporate bonds
In 2006, the Group purchased credit default swaps on investment grade indices with the majority of the protection acquired in the A and BBB ratings. The net effect of the hedges was to reduce Swiss Re’s stress test exposure to widening credit spreads from a gross impact of CHF 1.4bn on average in 2006 to a net impact of CHF 1.2bn
A41%
AA16%
AAA13%
BBB23%
NR3%
B2%
BB2%
Gross exposure as of 31 December 2005
A42%
AA7%
AAA8%
BBB35%
NR1%
B3%
BB4%
Slide 56
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Return on equity calculation
25%28 00122 444Time weighted average equity
27%30 88424 393Closing equity 100%2 482Time weighted capital increase
Return on equity calculation
16.3%
24 3934 5602006
98%2 304Net income
6.0pts.10.3%Return on equity
19%20 495Opening equity
Change 2005CHF m
Slide 57
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Swiss Re’s effective capital management
22.9 30.9
2.13.8
3.53.4
3.2
3.1
5.5
3.3
2.21.4
1.0
19.218.516.722.6
1.0
2.6
0.9
0.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Senior long-termfinancial debt
Hybrid capital
Mandatoryconvertibles
Shareholders'equity
Hybrid to totalcapital
Senior financialdebt to total capital
CHF bn
Hybrid / total capital 12.8% 15.5% 14.4% 13.1% 10.8% 13.8%
Senior debt / total capital 11.0% 9.9% 6.2% 4.1% 2.4% 2.3%
Swiss Re’s value proposition includes commitment to prudent capital management
At the same time financial flexibility and capital efficiency continue to improve over time
Slide 58
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Internal capital adequacy further strengthened
Comparison of capital requirement measures
99% Shortfall (Tail VaR) 99.5% VaR 99% VaR
211%
239%255%
291%
329%
359%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
Mid 2005 Mid 2006
Slide 59
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Capital required and capital available
14%11.39.9Swiss Re Group required capital
-100%0.00.1Funding and liquidity
13%1.71.5Credit-7%5.35.7Financial market
Base capital requirement using one year 99% VaR
-6.1
2.57.9
Mid 200644%5.5Property and casualty
30%-4.7Diversification effect
39%1.8Life and health
Change Mid 2005CHF bn
19%-3.2-2.7Tax and other
45%12.38.5P&C and L&H valuation adjustments
8%1.31.2Equalisation reserves81%-4.7-2.6Goodwill and intangibles
Calculation of available capital
40.6
8.1
-0.327.1
Mid 200623%22.0Shareholders’ equity
25%32.6Swiss Re Group available capital
84%4.4Hybrid capital
-117%1.8Market-to-market adjustments
Change Mid 2005CHF bn
All figures are based on Swiss GAAP
Slide 60
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Power of diversificationSwiss Re most diversified reinsurer
Geographic split of gross premiums written and fees assessed against policyholders; total of CHF 32.8bn as of end 2006
Insurance Solutions provides further diversification of client base and portfolio
Non-life: Near doubling of attractive US Regional & Specialty clients; high market share in specialty, e.g. aviation, marine, agro
Life & Health: Higher market share in Europe, particularly Germany and UK
2005 2006
North America
L&H27%Europe
Non-life25%
Europe L&H10%
RoW Non-life
17%
RoW L&H3%
North America Non-life,
18%
North America
L&H27%
Europe Non-life
17%
Europe L&H11%
RoW Non-life
24%
RoW L&H3%
North America Non-life,
18%
Slide 61
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Nat cat premiums and claims in excess of CHF 20 million
1.11.1Expected claims
1.91.8Expected net premiums
20072006CHF bn
Expected natural catastrophe premiums and claims
Figures are
for all catastrophe perils
inclusive of Insurance Solutions portfolio on an annualised basis
net of estimated hedging impacts (cat bonds, industry loss warranties, retrocessions)
Slide 62
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Earnings and book value per share
Book value per share 2004 to 2006Earnings per share 2004 to 2006
8.00 7.44
13.49
2004 2005 2006
in CHFCAGR 29.9%
66.0378.58 85.98
2004 2005 2006
in CHFCAGR 14.1%
Slide 63
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Premiums for 20 largest markets
22921019Mexico
3 4019982 403UK2 5822 48399Germany1 292579713Canada1 110969141France
99292468Switzerland950622328Australia864666198Italy65959168Spain646286360Netherlands626421205Japan619395224Ireland46143229Austria4504473China
280107173South Africa
32 81419 15113 663Total
18611076Israel
30221884South Korea31928732Bermuda
Gross premiums written and fees assessed against policyholders by country*
2 259
422
5 725Non-Life
13 6437 918USA
2 781522Other
422Denmark
TotalLifeCHF m
* Country split based on the country where the premium was generated or an approximation thereof
Slide 64
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Exchange rates
Geographic gross premiums written 2006split in main currencies
GBP8%
EUR21%
USD53%
Other14%
CAD4%
-1.57%
0.81%
1.251.271.24
USD/CHF
7.77%1.77%1.29%Change Factual 2005/Factual 2006
1.112.301.57Factual 2006
Average rates
1.32%
2.272.26
GBP/CHF1.031.55Factual 2005
-0.89%0.64%Change Interim 2006/Factual 2006
1.121.56Interim 2006
CAD/CHFEUR/CHF
-0.81%
-7.58%
1.221.231.32
USD/CHF
-7.08%5.75%3.87%Change Factual 2005/Factual 2006
1.052.391.61Factual 2006
Closing rates
5.29%
2.272.26
GBP/CHF1.131.55Factual 2005
-4.55%2.55%Change Interim 2006/Factual 2006
1.101.57Interim 2006
CAD/CHFEUR/CHF
Slide 65
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Corporate calendar
3 April 2007 Life & Health Embedded Value 2006
20 April 2007 143rd Annual General Meeting
8 May 2007 First quarter 2007 results
7 August 2007 Second quarter 2007 results
6 November 2007 Third quarter 2007 results
11 December 2007 Investors’ day
Slide 66
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Investor Relations contacts
Hotline +41 43 285 4444
– Susan Holliday +41 43 285 6516– Andreas Leu +41 43 285 5603– Rolf Winter +41 43 285 9673
E-mail [email protected]
Slide 67
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Analysts' meetingZurich, 1 March 2007
Cautionary note on forward-looking statements
Certain statements and illustrations contained herein are forward-looking. These statements and illustrations provide current expectations of future eventsbased on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact. Forward-looking statements typicallyare identified by words or phrases such as "anticipate", "assume", "believe", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "foresee", "intend", "may increase" and "mayfluctuate" and similar expressions or by future or conditional verbs such as "will", "should", "would" and "could". These forward-looking statements involveknown and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause Swiss Re's actual results, performance, achievements or prospects to bematerially different from any future results, performance, achievements or prospects expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include, amongothers:
the impact of significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions, and any delays, unexpected costs or other issues experienced in connection with any such transactions, including, in the case ofacquisitions, issues arising in connection with integrating acquired operations; cyclicality of the reinsurance industry;changes in general economic conditions, particularly in our coremarkets;uncertainties in estimating reserves;the performance of financial markets;expected changes in our investment results as a result of the changed composition of our invested assets or changes in our investment policy;the frequency, severity and development of insured claim events;acts of terrorism and acts of war;
These factors are not exhaustive. We operate in a continually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to placeundue reliance on forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a resultof new information, future events or otherwise.
mortality and morbidity experience;policy renewal and lapse rates;changes in rating agency policies or practices;the lowering or withdrawal of one or more of the financial strength or credit ratings of one or more of our subsidiaries;changes in levels of interest rates;political risks in the countries in which we operate or in which we insure risks;extraordinary events affecting our clients, such as bankruptciesand liquidations;risks associated with implementing our business strategies;changes in currency exchange rates;changes in laws and regulations, including changes in accountingstandards and taxation requirements; andchanges in competitive pressures.