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Sandro Schmidt Federal Institute for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR) Hanover Hanover WEO 2011 coal workshop Beijing 14th of April 2011 BGR (Federal Institute BGR (Federal Institute for for Geosciences Geosciences and and Natural Resources) Natural Resources) - Responsibilities Responsibilities BGR (Federal Institute BGR (Federal Institute for for Geosciences Geosciences and and Natural Resources) Natural Resources) - Responsibilities Responsibilities Remit (Founding Decree): To ad ise and info m the fede al go e nment To advise and inform the federal government and German industry in all questions relating to the geosciences and natural resources. Tasks Advising the federal government and the German Advising the federal government and the German industry in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l i tifi ti dT hi l - Four Departments and 17 Sub-departments - Staff > 700 International geoscientific cooperation and T echnical Cooperation Geoscientific research and development. Geoscientific research and development.
Transcript
Page 1: and Natural Resources)Natural Resources) and … in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l ... Energy and Tourism, Geoscience ... Coal Project Riversdale

San

dro

Sch

mid

tFed

era

l In

stit

ute

fo

rG

eo

scie

nce

san

dN

atu

ral

Reso

urc

es

(BG

R)

Han

over

Han

over

WEO

20

11

co

alw

ork

sho

pB

eij

ing

14

th o

fA

pri

l 2

01

1p

BG

R (

Fed

era

l In

stit

ute

B

GR

(Fed

era

l In

stit

ute

fo

rfo

rG

eo

scie

nce

sG

eo

scie

nce

san

dan

dN

atu

ral

Reso

urc

es)

Natu

ral

Reso

urc

es)

--R

esp

on

sib

ilit

ies

Resp

on

sib

ilit

ies

BG

R (

Fed

era

l In

stit

ute

B

GR

(Fed

era

l In

stit

ute

fo

rfo

rG

eo

scie

nce

sG

eo

scie

nce

san

dan

dN

atu

ral

Reso

urc

es)

Natu

ral

Reso

urc

es)

--R

esp

on

sib

ilit

ies

Resp

on

sib

ilit

ies

Rem

it(F

oundin

g D

ecre

e):

Toad

ise

and

info

mth

efe

de

algo

enm

ent

To a

dvi

se a

nd info

rm t

he

feder

al g

over

nm

ent

and G

erm

an indust

ry in a

ll ques

tions

rela

ting

to t

he

geo

scie

nce

s an

d n

atura

l re

sourc

es.

Task

s

�Advi

sing

the

feder

algov

ernm

ent

and

the

Ger

man

Advi

sing t

he

feder

al g

over

nm

ent

and t

he

Ger

man

in

dust

ry in q

ues

tions

rela

ting t

o n

atura

l re

sourc

es a

nd

the

geo

scie

nce

s

It

til

itifi

tid

Th

il

-Fo

ur

Dep

artm

ents

and

17

Sub-d

epar

tmen

ts

-Sta

ff

> 7

00

�In

tern

atio

nal

geo

scie

ntific

cooper

atio

nan

d T

echnic

alCooper

atio

n

�G

eosc

ientific

rese

arch

and

dev

elopm

ent.

Geo

scie

ntific

rese

arch

and d

evel

opm

ent.

Page 2: and Natural Resources)Natural Resources) and … in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l ... Energy and Tourism, Geoscience ... Coal Project Riversdale

Reg

ion

al

dis

trib

uti

on

of

the r

ese

rves,

reso

urc

es

an

d t

he

Reg

ion

al

dis

trib

uti

on

of

the r

ese

rves,

reso

urc

es

an

d t

he

est

cum

ula

tive

pro

du

ctio

no

fh

ard

coal

at

the

en

do

f2

00

9est

cum

ula

tive

pro

du

ctio

no

fh

ard

coal

at

the

en

do

f2

00

9

Reg

ion

al

dis

trib

uti

on

of

the r

ese

rves,

reso

urc

es

an

d t

he

Reg

ion

al

dis

trib

uti

on

of

the r

ese

rves,

reso

urc

es

an

d t

he

est

cum

ula

tive

pro

du

ctio

no

fh

ard

coal

at

the

en

do

f2

00

9est

cum

ula

tive

pro

du

ctio

no

fh

ard

coal

at

the

en

do

f2

00

9est

. cu

mu

lati

ve p

rod

uct

ion

of

hard

co

al

at

the e

nd

of

20

09

est

. cu

mu

lati

ve p

rod

uct

ion

of

hard

co

al

at

the e

nd

of

20

09

est

. cu

mu

lati

ve p

rod

uct

ion

of

hard

co

al

at

the e

nd

of

20

09

est

. cu

mu

lati

ve p

rod

uct

ion

of

hard

co

al

at

the e

nd

of

20

09

Sourc

e:BG

R 2

010

Rese

rves

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

72

3 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

ten

Rese

rves

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

72

3 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

ten

cou

ntr

ies

an

dG

erm

an

yas

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

cou

ntr

ies

an

dG

erm

an

yas

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

Rese

rves

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

72

3 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

ten

Rese

rves

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

72

3 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

ten

cou

ntr

ies

an

dG

erm

an

yas

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

cou

ntr

ies

an

dG

erm

an

yas

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

cou

ntr

ies

an

d G

erm

an

y a

s w

ell

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

cou

ntr

ies

an

d G

erm

an

y a

s w

ell

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

cou

ntr

ies

an

d G

erm

an

y a

s w

ell

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

cou

ntr

ies

an

d G

erm

an

y a

s w

ell

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

Sourc

e:BG

R 2

010

Page 3: and Natural Resources)Natural Resources) and … in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l ... Energy and Tourism, Geoscience ... Coal Project Riversdale

Reso

urc

es

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

17

,16

7 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

Reso

urc

es

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

17

,16

7 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

ten

cou

ntr

ies

as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

ten

cou

ntr

ies

as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

Reso

urc

es

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

17

,16

7 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

Reso

urc

es

of

hard

co

al

(to

tal

17

,16

7 G

t) i

n 2

00

9 o

f th

e t

op

ten

cou

ntr

ies

as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

ten

cou

ntr

ies

as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by

reg

ion

ten

co

un

trie

s as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

ten

co

un

trie

s as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

ten

co

un

trie

s as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

ten

co

un

trie

s as

well

as

their

dis

trib

uti

on

by r

eg

ion

Sourc

e:BG

R 2

010

Au

stra

lia

Au

stra

lia

--D

evelo

pm

en

tsD

evelo

pm

en

tsA

ust

rali

aA

ust

rali

a--

Develo

pm

en

tsD

evelo

pm

en

ts2

25

25

0

27

5

30

0

32

5

35

0

20

0

22

5

25

0

27

5

30

0

Private coal explora

alue [A$/t]

Me

t co

al

avg

ex

po

rt u

nit

valu

e (

A$

/t)

Th

erm

al co

al a

vg

exp

ort

unit

va

lue

(A

$/

t)

Pri

va

t co

al e

xp

lora

tio

n e

xp

en

dit

ure

(m

illi

on

A$

)

50

75

10

0

12

5

15

0

17

5

20

0

50

75

10

0

12

5

15

0

17

5

ation expenditure [million

Average export unit va

025

0

25

n A$]

A

-co

al exp

lora

tio

n e

xp

en

dit

ure

tr

ipp

led

sin

ce 2

00

4

-cu

rren

t an

d f

utu

re m

ain

hard

coal p

rod

uci

ng

are

as

are

/w

ill

be Q

ueen

slan

d a

nd

NS

W

ne

/en

eed

ep

loati

on

in-

new

/re

new

ed

exp

lora

tio

n in

so

uth

, w

est

an

d n

ort

hw

est

A

ust

rali

a

-p

ush

ing

of

CB

M/

GTL-p

roje

cts

pu

shin

g o

f C

BM

/G

TL

pro

ject

s

-in

ten

sifi

ed

rese

arc

h i

n t

he

field

s o

f C

TL/

UC

G/

GTL

Sourc

es:

ABARE/A

BARES,

Dep

artm

ent

of

Res

ourc

es,

Ener

gy

and T

ourism

,G

eosc

ience

Aust

ralia

2010/2

011

Page 4: and Natural Resources)Natural Resources) and … in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l ... Energy and Tourism, Geoscience ... Coal Project Riversdale

Ch

ina

Ch

ina ––

Develo

pm

en

t D

evelo

pm

en

t o

fo

fC

oal

Co

al

Pro

du

ctio

nP

rod

uct

ion

Ch

ina

Ch

ina ––

Develo

pm

en

t D

evelo

pm

en

t o

fo

fC

oal

Co

al

Pro

du

ctio

nP

rod

uct

ion

Rest

of

Ch

ina

lX

inji

an

g

~ 3

9%

~3

9%

To

tal

Reso

urc

es:

5,5

70

Gt

(Th

ird

Ch

inese

Co

al

Ass

ess

men

tin

19

97

)

Inner

Mongolia

~ 2

2%

Sourc

es:

Xin

hua,

CN

ACG

, Chen

Qui

Ch

ina

Ch

ina ––

Develo

pm

en

t D

evelo

pm

en

t o

fo

fC

oal

Co

al

Pro

du

ctio

nP

rod

uct

ion

Ch

ina

Ch

ina ––

Develo

pm

en

t D

evelo

pm

en

t o

fo

fC

oal

Co

al

Pro

du

ctio

nP

rod

uct

ion

Co

alp

rod

uct

ion

20

00

Co

alp

rod

uct

ion

20

00

Rest

of

Ch

ina

l

3.0

%3

.0%

Co

al p

rod

uct

ion

20

00

Co

al p

rod

uct

ion

20

05

Co

al p

rod

uct

ion

20

10

(p

reli

min

ary

)

Co

al p

rod

uct

ion

20

00

Co

al p

rod

uct

ion

20

05

Co

al p

rod

uct

ion

20

10

(p

reli

min

ary

)

Xin

jian

g

~ 3

9%

~3

9%

To

tal

Reso

urc

es:

5,5

70

Gt

(Th

ird

Ch

inese

Co

al

Ass

ess

men

tin

19

97

)

39

Mt

10

0M

t

4

2.8

%1

.9%

Xin

jian

g3

9 M

t

10

0M

t

4

2.8

%1

.9%

Xin

jian

g

Inner

Mongolia

~ 2

2%

23

.7%

23

.7%

26

.5%

22

.5%

26

.5%

22

.5%

26

1

78

2M

t

84

%

12

.3%

26

1

78

2M

t

84

%

12

.3%

10

.8%

10

.8%

55

9M

t

74

1M

t

24

.6%

55

9M

t

74

1M

t

24

.6%

84

Mt

Mt 3

8.4

%

Inn

er M

on

goli

a

84

Mt

Mt 3

8.4

%

Inn

er M

on

goli

a1

35

Mt

35

5M

t

2

2.8

%

6.4

%

Sh

aa

nxi

13

5M

t

35

5M

t

2

2.8

%

6.4

%

Sh

aa

nxi

24

6M

t

1S

han

xi

24

6M

t

1S

han

xi

Sourc

es:

Tex

Rep

ort

, Xin

hua,

CN

ACG

, Chen

Qui

2S

haa

nxi

2S

haa

nxi

Page 5: and Natural Resources)Natural Resources) and … in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l ... Energy and Tourism, Geoscience ... Coal Project Riversdale

US

AU

SA

––D

evelo

pm

en

t D

evelo

pm

en

t o

fo

fC

oal

Co

al

Pro

du

ctio

nP

rod

uct

ion

US

AU

SA

––D

evelo

pm

en

t D

evelo

pm

en

t o

fo

fC

oal

Co

al

Pro

du

ctio

nP

rod

uct

ion

Po

wd

er

Riv

er

Basi

n

~ 4

4%

of

U.S

.co

al p

roduct

ion

Po

wd

er

Riv

er

Basi

n

~ 4

4%

of

U.S

.co

al p

roduct

ion

Ap

pala

chia

n B

asi

n

~ 7

0%

of

U.S

.

Ap

pala

chia

n B

asi

n

~ 7

0%

of

U.S

.

<2

%

in 2

00

9

<2

%

in 2

00

9co

al p

roduct

ion

in1

97

0~

32

%

of U

.S.

coal

pro

duct

ion

in 2

00

9

coal

pro

duct

ion

in1

97

0~

32

%

of U

.S.

coal

pro

duct

ion

in 2

00

9

9.7

Mt

42

6.6

Mt

< 2

%

of U

.S.

coal

pro

duct

ion

in 1

97

0

9.7

Mt

42

6.6

Mt

< 2

%

of U

.S.

coal

pro

duct

ion

in 1

97

0

38

7.7

Mt

30

7.8

Mt

38

7.7

Mt

30

7.8

Mt

Sourc

es:

USG

S,

EIA

2010

Ad

van

ced

pro

ject

s:

New

Pla

yers

in

so

uth

ern

N

ew

Pla

yers

in

so

uth

ern

Afr

ica

Afr

ica:

Mo

zam

biq

ue,

Bo

tsw

an

a (

?)

: M

oza

mb

iqu

e,

Bo

tsw

an

a (

?)

New

Pla

yers

in

so

uth

ern

N

ew

Pla

yers

in

so

uth

ern

Afr

ica

Afr

ica:

Mo

zam

biq

ue,

Bo

tsw

an

a (

?)

: M

oza

mb

iqu

e,

Bo

tsw

an

a (

?)

Ad

van

ced

pro

ject

s:

Det

aile

d e

xplo

ration a

nd

and f

ore

seea

ble

pro

duct

ion s

tart

(2011)

in t

he

Moat

ize

Bas

in:

Mo

zam

biq

ue

Mo

zam

biq

ue

-Ben

ga

Coal

Pro

ject

Aust

ralia

nRiv

ersd

ale

Min

ing L

td.

(Rio

Tin

to)

(65%

) an

d

India

nTa

ta S

teel

(35%

)

-Mo

ati

zeCoal

Pro

ject

Bra

zilia

nVal

e (f

orm

er C

VRD

)

Bo

tsw

an

a:

Sev

eral

ear

ly e

xplo

ration s

tage

pro

ject

sin

the

east

ern p

art

of th

e co

untr

y.

Sourc

es:

Riv

ersd

ale

2010,

Val

e 2010,

Afr

ican

Ener

gy

2011

Page 6: and Natural Resources)Natural Resources) and … in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l ... Energy and Tourism, Geoscience ... Coal Project Riversdale

New

Pla

yer

in

New

Pla

yer

in A

sia

Asi

a::

Mo

ng

oli

aM

on

go

lia

New

Pla

yer

in

New

Pla

yer

in A

sia

Asi

a::

Mo

ng

oli

aM

on

go

lia

Tavan

To

lgo

id

ep

osi

t:-

thic

kse

am

s,

Severa

l ad

van

ced

pro

ject

s an

dd

oze

ns

of

earl

y e

xp

lora

tio

n s

tag

e p

roje

cts

esp

eci

all

y n

ear

the C

hin

ese

bo

rder.

Tavan

To

lgo

i d

ep

osi

t:

thic

k s

eam

s,

(So

uth

Go

bi d

ese

rt)

-

low

str

ip r

ati

os

-g

oo

d c

oal

qu

ali

ties

Ch

all

en

ges:

-

infr

ast

ruct

ure

g-

wo

rkfo

rce

-cl

imate

, w

ate

r

Sourc

es:

Peab

ody

Ener

gy

2010,

BG

R 2

010

›Sin

ce2

00

4 t

he

glo

bal co

alexp

lora

tio

nw

as

pu

shed

by

hig

hco

alp

rice

san

d

Su

mm

ary

Su

mm

ary

Su

mm

ary

Su

mm

ary

gp

py

gp

pro

vid

ed

very

pro

mis

ing

resu

lts.

A lo

to

fn

ew

coalm

ines

cam

ean

dw

ill

com

e

on

str

eam

in t

he

next

years

in t

rad

itio

nal an

das

well c

om

ple

ten

ew

hard

coalm

inin

gre

gio

ns

coalm

inin

gre

gio

ns.

›Fro

mo

ur

pers

pect

ive

the

geo

log

ical

availab

ilit

yo

fco

al

will

on

lyb

ea m

ino

r

con

stra

int

for

the

futu

reco

alsu

pp

ly.

Th

e m

ain

challen

ge

isth

ein

creasi

ng

pp

yg

g

spati

al

dis

tan

ceb

etw

een

the

pro

du

ctio

nan

dth

eco

nsu

mp

tio

no

fco

al.

Th

is

asp

ect

is

rela

ted

wit

h h

ug

e in

vest

men

ts i

n i

nfr

ast

ruct

ure

in

new

min

ing

reg

ion

sre

gio

ns.

›Alt

ern

ati

ves

like

`co

alb

yw

ire´

, co

ald

eri

ved

gas

an

dliq

uid

sfr

om

un

der-

gro

un

d(C

BM

, U

CG

) o

rab

ove

gro

un

dfa

ciliti

es

mig

ht

ease

the

ph

ysi

calco

al

g(

,)

gg

py

tran

spo

rtp

rob

lem

s. N

on

eth

ele

sssu

ch a

ltern

ati

ves

need

larg

e i

nvest

-

men

tsan

d/

or

as

well

a lo

to

fR

&D

.

›Esp

eci

ally

in h

igh

lyin

du

stri

alize

dco

un

trie

s th

ep

ub

lic

acc

ep

tan

ceo

fco

alis

a

seri

ou

sis

sue

wh

ich

mig

ht

aff

ect

coalco

nsu

mp

tio

nin

severa

lco

un

trie

s.

Page 7: and Natural Resources)Natural Resources) and … in questions relating to natural resources and the geosciences It ti l ... Energy and Tourism, Geoscience ... Coal Project Riversdale

Th

an

k y

ou

fo

r yo

ur

att

en

tio

n!

Th

an

k y

ou

fo

r yo

ur

att

en

tio

n!

Th

an

k y

ou

fo

r yo

ur

att

en

tio

n!

Th

an

k y

ou

fo

r yo

ur

att

en

tio

n!

Co

nta

ct:

san

dro

.sch

mid

t@b

gr.

de

Fu

rth

er

info

rmati

on

: w

ww

.bg

r.b

un

d.d

e


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