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UBS EUROPEAN CONFERENCE15 November 2011Cynthia Carroll, Chief Executive
2
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT
Disclaimer: This presentation has been prepared by Anglo American plc (“Anglo American”) and comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation concerning Anglo American. By attending this presentation and/or reviewing the slides you agree to be bound by the following conditions.
This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy shares in Anglo American. Further, it does not constitute a recommendation by Anglo American or any other party to sell or buy shares in Anglo American or any other securities. All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Anglo American or persons acting on their behalf are qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements.
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Anglo American’s financial position, business and acquisition strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Anglo American’s products, production forecasts and reserve and resource positions), are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Anglo American, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Anglo American’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Anglo American will operate in the future. Important factors that could cause Anglo American’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, levels of actual production during any period, levels of global demand and commodity market prices, mineral resource exploration and development capabilities, recovery rates and other operational capabilities, the availability of mining and processing equipment, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, the availability of sufficient credit, the effects of inflation, political uncertainty and economic conditions in relevant areas of the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as changes in taxation or safety, health, environmental or other types of regulation in the countries where Anglo American operates, conflicts over land and resource ownership rights and such other risk factors identified in Anglo American’s most recent Annual Report. Forward-looking statements should, therefore, be construed in light of such risk factors and undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Anglo American expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking (except as required by applicable law, the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers (the “Takeover Code”), the UK Listing Rules, the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Services Authority, the Listings Requirements of the securities exchange of the JSE Limited in South Africa, the SWX Swiss Exchange, the Botswana Stock Exchange and the Namibian Stock Exchange and any other applicable regulations) to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement contained herein to reflect any change in Anglo American’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Anglo American will necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share.
Certain statistical and other information about Anglo American included in this presentation is sourced from publicly available third party sources. As such it presents the views of those third parties, but may not necessarily correspond to the views held by Anglo American.
No Investment Advice
This presentation has been prepared without reference to your particular investment objectives, financial situation, taxation position and particular needs. It is important that you view this presentation in its entirety. If you are in any doubt in relation to these matters, you should consult your stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant, taxation adviser or other independent financial adviser (where applicable, as authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 in the UK, or in South Africa, under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002.).
3
• A consistent strategy and simplified organisation delivering results
Long term fundamentals remain robust. Anglo American is uniquely positioned to benefit with a strong exposure to the late cycle development of the emerging economies
• Delivering shareholders value through recent acquisition and disposal transactions
Well placed to deliver future growth through material organic growth pipeline
HIGHLIGHTS
1
2
3
4
4
A CONSISTENT STRATEGY AND SIMPLIFIED ORGANISATION DELIVERING RESULTS
(1) Core revenue split (2) Source: AME, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie company, Johnson Matthey. Thermal Coal represents share of internationally traded market, nickel and copper represent share of world mined production (3) Productivity based on material moved, mined or processed per operational headcount, excluding projects. Kumba refers to Sishen only (4) Source: AME, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie company, Anglo American Platinum. Represents % of attributable production in lower half of the cost curve (5) In 2008 all Nickel operations in H2
China’s share of global consumption 2010 (%)
23%
Diamonds
11%
Platinum
Nickel2%
Copper
16%Thermal Coal
11%
Met Coal11%
Iron Ore& Manganese
26%
Thermal CoalImports 11%
Palladium 21%
Platinum 25%
Nickel 33%
Copper 38%
Steel 41%
Iron Ore 54%
Met Coal 62%100%80%60%40%20%0%
Platinum
Nickel(5)
Copper
Export HardCoking Coal
Export Iron Ore
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150Copper
Platinum
Kumba
Met Coal
Q2 11
Q1 11
201020092008
20082011
20082011
20082011
20092011
2011
Well diversified portfolio(1)
Structurally attractive commodities(2)
Improving productivity performance(3)
Delivering commodity positions in lower half of cost curves(4)
5
78%
82%
84%
85%
100%
Expressways (Km)
Steel for ship building
Urban floor space
Car output
Truck output
LONG TERM DEMAND GROWTH REMAINS HEALTHY
(1) The analysis excludes Taiwan. Source: NBS, CEIC, Anglo American Analysis
Chinese Regional Urbanisation(1) 2009 China’s expected growth 2010 to 2018
Xun River
Huang River
Yangtze River
50-60%60%-70%
70%-80%>80%
<50%
Sichuan
Heilongjiang
Jilin
Liaoning
Hebei
Shandong
Fujian
Jiangxi
Anhui
Hubei
Hunan
Guangdong
Guangxi
Shanghai
Henan
Shanxi
Hainan
InnerMongolia
Shaanxi
Ningxia
Gansu
Qinghai
Guizhou
Yunnan
Tibet
Xinjiang
Jiangsu
Zhejiang
Tianjin
Beijing
Hong KongMacau
Chongqing
6
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Xstrata
Vale
Rio Tinto
BHP
AngloAmerican
Investment¹ Consumption² Late cycle³ Other4
China’s share of global demand2010 portfolio composition5
Source: Company informationNotes:1 Includes iron ore, met coal, thermal coal, manganese2 Includes aluminium, copper, nickel, zinc3 Includes petroleum, platinum, diamonds4 Includes other mining & industrial (Anglo American), Other (Rio Tinto), fertilisers & logistics (Vale), Other (Xstrata)5 Based on 2010 EBITDA contribution (operating profit in the case of Vale). Anglo American is based on pro-forma full consolidation of De Beers 2010 EBITDA.
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
FinishedSteel
Copper
Nickel
Light dutyvehicles
Polisheddiamonds
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
UNIQUE EXPOSURE TO THE LATE CYCLE DEVELOPMENT OF EMERGING ECONOMIES
7
SUPPLY CONSISTENTLY UNDER DELIVERS
Source: Anglo American, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie Company
Infrastructure project delays
2010 planned
0
1
2
3
DBCT 7X Northern Missing
Link
RBCT Oakajee Port & Rail
2 2
1
?
Year
s
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.0
0.9
Copper industry grade declines, a long term downward trend
1990 2000 2010 2020
Cop
per g
rade
Cu
%
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Pit Walls Strikes Technical Ramp-up
Weather Grades Other
Copper mine underperformance ‘04 – ‘11e
8
$ per t/yr Cu
0
5,000
10,000,
15,000
20,000
25,000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
FUTURE SUPPLY WILL BE IMPACTEDBY INCREASING CAPITAL INTENSITY
Source: Brook Hunt – Wood Mackenzie
Conc Producers
SxEw
Annual Prod Scale kt/yr Cu
Projects Under Construction
Projects Probable
51530
9
DE BEERS’ TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Anglo American would increase its shareholding in De Beers from 45% to 85% for a total cash consideration of US$5.1 billion assuming the Government of the Republic of Botswana (GRB) does not exercise pre-emptive rights
Consideration
Recently renewed 10-year sales agreement Under shareholders agreement GRB has a pre-emption right enabling it to participate in the sales
process and to increase its interest in De Beers pro-rata up to 25% In the event of the GRB exercising its pre-emption right in full Anglo American would acquire 75%
of De Beers and the consideration payable would be reduced proportionately
GRB
Transaction expected to be accretive to underlying earnings before depreciation and amortisation on fair value adjustments in the year of acquisition1Financial implications
Transaction remains subject to shareholder as well as customary regulatory and other approvals– shareholder vote expected in January 2012– closing expected in the H2 2012
Closing conditions
Note:1 See note 9 to the Condensed financial statements for basis of calculation of underlying earnings
10
Harry Winston
Gem
BHP Billiton
Petra
Rio Tinto
Alrosa
Hope
Higher margin assets70% of De Beers production is located on the lower half of the cost curve
Source: De Beers, Company reports and announcementsNote: 1 Inclusive of reserves and resources
Jwan
eng
Gah
cho
Kue
(pro
ject
)
Ven
etia
Ora
pa
Nam
deb
oper
atio
nsD
amts
haa S
nap
lake
02,
000
4,00
0
6,00
0
8,00
0
10,0
00
12,0
00
14,0
00
16,0
00
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Cos
t/rev
enue
(x)
Cumulative revenue (US$m)
Large scale1
Access to significant reserve base and sustainable production / competitive growth position
LARGE SCALE, HIGHER MARGIN ASSETS
Source: De Beers (2010)
11
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2005 2010 2015
USA Japan India China HK, Taiw an Gulf ROW
Key suppliers (by value)1
Source: De Beers Notes:1 Share of estimated total production (US$) by main producers2 Share of diamond demand at Polished Wholesale Prices (PWP); 2010 are preliminary numbers3 Alrosa figures exclude company’s share in Catoca production4 Artisanal, junior and informal producers
Demand growth led by emerging economies Emerging economies are expected to account for
c.36% by 2015, which is approximately the size of US
Emerging economies36%
Developed economies43%
HIGHLY ATTRACTIVE INDUSTRY FUNDAMENTALSDemand growth driven by emerging economies2
Rio Tinto, 4%
BHP Billiton, 4%
Others4, 25%
Harry Winston, 2%
Catoca, 6%
De Beers, 36%
Alrosa3, 18%
7% CAGR
Zimbabwe, 3%
Gem, 1%Petra, 1%
12
14
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PWP
(pol
ishe
d w
hole
sale
pric
e)
.
Emerging supply demand gap2
New production unable to keep pace with growing demand
STRONG LONG TERM FUNDAMENTALS BASED ON STRUCTURAL SUPPLY DEFICIT
Expected demand (nominal pipeline call)
Supply (at constant prices)
Major diamond discoveries1
0
25
50
75
100
125
1870
1906
1940
1952
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
2000
(US$
bn)
South Africaearly 1900’s
Siberia1960’s Orapa
1971
International1999
Jwaneng1982
Argyle1983
Victor2008
Ekati1998 Dlavik
2003
Source: Anglo American; De Beers exploration data; as estimated from company reportsNote:1 Year on top of bars are the date mining began2 Indicative supply demand view based on current assumptions
Catoca1957
13
• Sale of Anglo American Sur (AAS) demonstrates commitment to delivering value for our shareholders• 24.5% disposal of AAS to Mitsubishi Corporation for $5.39 billion, valuing AAS at US$22 billion• Sale completed on 9 November 2011• Transaction is fully compliant with the provisions of the option agreement between Anglo American,
certain of its affiliates and Codelco, which expressly contemplates the eventuality of Anglo American disposing of its AAS shares at any time prior to the date on which the option may be exercised and therefore no longer holding 100% of the shares in AAS
DISPOSAL OF 24.5% ANGLO AMERICAN SUR FOR $5.39 BILLION
(1) Calculated based on implied transaction EV of $23 billion (including $0.9 billion debt) and 2011 EBITDA median broker consensus.
Recent Transactions Broker 2011 EBITDA Estimates
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
High Low Median
US$
’000
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Invecture / Frontera
5.5x
7.5xEV
/ EBI
TDA
mul
tiple
High Low Median
Equinox / Lundin
9.6x
Transaction EV/ EBITDA multiple of 17.6x (1)
14
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
220
200
180
MATERIAL ORGANIC GROWTH IN THE SHORT AND LONG TERM
Indexed production growth charts exclude Diamonds, Manganese, niobium and phosphates as at 29 July 2011.
2010 2014
>65%
Inde
xed
prod
uctio
n gr
owth
(201
0 =
100)
Iron Ore
Thermal Coal
Met Coal
PGM
CopperNickel
>35%
Medium termgrowth
>100%
Existing operations& approved
projects
Near term approvals
Future growth options
Continuing to invest in
exploration and
restocking the pipeline
Future options
15
• Consistent strategy and simple organisational structure delivering results
– Comprehensive improvements undertaken over the last three years
– Delivering on key near-term growth projects, major volume growth is under way
– Operations moving down the cost curve
• Longer term fundamentals remain unchanged
• Supply challenges and increasing capital intensity underpinned longer term fundamentals
• Unique exposure to late cycle development of emerging economies
• Delivering shareholders value through acquisition and divestment transactions
• Well placed to deliver material future growth
DELIVERING VALUE FROM A CONSISTENT STRATEGY
(1) 100% basis (2) Productivity based on material moved, mined or processed per operational headcount, excluding projects. Kumba refers to Sishen only
Material growth in the short and long term
Operational improvements realised across businesses
22020018016014012010080604020
02010 2014 Medium term
growthFuture options
Existing operations & approved
projects
Near term approvals
($16bn)
Future growth options
Indexed production growth (2010 = 100)
>35%
>65%
>100%
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150Copper
Platinum
Kumba
Met coal
Q2 11Q1 11201020092008
Indexed productivity(2) (2008 = 100)
APPENDIX APPENDIX
17
USA … … and now China
De Beers has a track record of creating demand for diamonds in different countries
STRONG DOWNSTREAM EXPERTISE AND TRACK RECORD IN CREATING DEMAND WILL UNLOCK FURTHER VALUE
Source: De Beers
% of first time brides who receive a diamond only engagement ring
10%
80%
1940 1990
50 yearsCAGR: 4.2%
Peak
(%)
1
31%
1994 2010
16 yearsCAGR: 23.9%
(%)
… Japan …
5%
77%
1965 1995
30 yearsCAGR: 9.5%
(%)
Peak
?
Peak year
18
Export Iron Ore
MOVING TO INDUSTRY LEADING COST POSITIONS
Anglo American Platinum cost curve based on internal estimates; all other data sourced from 3rd party data providers. Source: AME, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie company, Anglo American Platinum
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%20152008
1st
halfcost
curve
2nd
halfcost
curve
Copper Nickel Platinum Export Hard Coking Coal
20152008 20152009 20152008 20152008