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MD.MINHAZ

BIN SALIM

ID : 17048

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NAME ID

MD.Minhaz Bin Salim 17048

Jotirmoy dhar 17081

Motahar Hassain 17255

MD.Rokonuzzaman 17098

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(Hayami and Ruttan, 1985; Mellor, 1976). Majorfood items in Bangladesh are rice, wheat, pulses,potato,vegetables and fish. These food itemscontribute almost 85% of the total calorie and

protein intake. Rice and wheat alone contributeto 71% and 53% of the total per capita calorieand protein intake respectively.

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The average growth in rice production was 2.9% peryear in 1971/72 to 2010/11, of which 93% wascontributed by yield growth. The overall growth rate

of area under food grain was 0.3% in 1971/72 to2010/11. The overall food grain production growthrate is higher than population growth rate from1971/72 to 2010/11.

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The own price and income elasticities of ricewere -0.108 and 0.199 respectively. It was

projected that upto 2021, the

annual demand for food exceed the supply offood which were -0.28% for rice and -1.76%

for wheat. That implies the demands are

greater than the supplies for both crops.

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ROKONUZZAMAN

ID :17098

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Some equation

Market demand= Total demand - Total distribution

Total Demand= Consumption + stock

Consumption =Total Production + Aid + Import

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Annual growth rates of area

Period Aus Aman Boro Total

Rice

Wheat Total

food

1971-

1980

0.6 0.9 1.3 0.8 13.9 1.1

1981-

1990

-3.0 -1.2 8.0 -0.1 0.7 -0.1

1991-

2000

-4.1 -0.5 3.7 0.1 4.6 0.4

2000-

2009

-5.3 -2.2 2.8 -0.06 -10.1 -0.5

1971-

2009

-3.8 -0.2 4.7 0.2 3.6 0.3

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Annual growth rates of production

Period Aus Aman Boro Total Rice Wheat Total food

grain

1971-

1980

3.6 3.7 1.4 3.2 26.8 3.8

1981-

1990

-2.2 .8 8.3 2.3 -1.4 2.1

1991-

2000

-3.0 -0.4 5.7 2.0 7.6 2.4

2001-

2009

-1.4 0.9 7.3 4.2 -7.9 3.6

1971-

2009

-1.9 1.7 6.7 2.9 5.5 3.0

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Annual growth rates of yield of food

grain in BangladeshPeriod Aus Amon Boro Total Rice Wheat Total food

grain

1971-

1980

3.2 2.8 0.0 2.4 12.9 7.9

1981-

1990

0.7 1.9 0.3 2.4 -2.4 -0.2

1991-

2000

1.1 0.1 2.4 1.8 3.2 2.5

2001-

2009

9.1 1.6 10.0 6.9 -0.9 3.6

1971-

2009

2.3 1.9 2.3 2.9 1.5 2.2

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JOTIRMOYDHAR

ID :17048

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Annual growth rates of Population

period Growth rate

1971-1980 2.67

1981-1990 2.35

1991-2000 1.73

2000-2009 2.11

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Compering Growth rates

Productionpopulation0

1

2

3

4

1971-801981-90

1991-002001-09

3.8

2.1 2.4

3.62.67

2.35

1.732.11

Production

population

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Production of fish, meat, milk and egg

period Fish Meat Milk Egg

1971/72-1973/74 792.7 236.5 1100.9 58.0

1981/82-1983/84 686.7 224.0 1199.1 70.0

1991/92-1993/94 945.9 327.6 1173.1 92.8

2002/03-2004/05 1998.2 448.6 2262.9 160.5

2006/07-2008/09 2563.30 593.2 3059.8 281.0

Fish

Milk0

10002000

3000

4000

FishMeat

Milk

Egg

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Imports of food

Period Public imports Private import

Rice-----wheat Rice-----wheat

1971-1980 508 -----1181 -- --

1981-1990 266.5-----1571.5 -- --

1991-2000 131.1-----1085.6 677.3---401.6

2001-2009 81.6------1530.1 718.4 ---667.0

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Imports of other food crops and

animal productsFood Item 1971-73 1981-83 1991-93 2003-05 2006-08

pulses 0 2.54 72.38 363.47 522.92

Potatoes 43.27 30.5 52.14 100.16 150.22

Vegetables 0 7.17 86.3 418.13 300.4

Fruits 0 18.67 25.91 182.01 254.33

Fish 0.13 0.01 0.07 3.39 5.24

Meat 0 0.01 0.73 4.17 9.71

Milk 88.89 217.55 281.61 307.77 342.70

Egg 0 0 0 0.06 0

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Food aid and share of rice and wheat

period Rice Wheat

1971-1980 136.8 1021.6

1981-1990 93.0 1128.91991-2000 14.3 944.3

2001-2009 14.8 293.8

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Comparing Food aid(%)

11.8

88.2

1971-80

rice

wheat

92.4

7.6

1981-90

wheat

Rice

98.5

1.5

1991-00

Wheat

Rice

95.2

4.8

2001-09

Wheat

rice

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Projected annual rates of growth in food grain

requirements, production growth rates, and

demand-supply gaps, 2020/21

Food

grain

Projected

production

growth

(2004/05-2020/21)

(Percent/year

Projected

consumption

growth

(2004/05-2021)

(Percent/year

Supply-

Demand gap

(Percent/year

Rice 2.30 2.59 -0.28

Wheat 3.80 5.56 -1.76

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National per capita food grain consumption gap

1998-99

1999-00

2000-01

2001-02

2002-03

2003-04

2004-05

2005-06

2006-07

2007-08

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Production and post harvest losses of crops in 2004-

05

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Cereals Pulses Vegetables Fruits

Production

(million M. tons)

Post harvest losses

(million M. tons)

% of loss in total

production

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Domestic food production has an important role to play forfood security in Bangladesh. Although theacreage of food grain production shrinkage, but production offood grain increases due to increase in per

acre yield and better management of post harvest losses.

The coefficient of rice price elasticity is -0.108 and the income

elasticity is 0.199 both are significant at the10% level. It is shown from the study that the both rice andwheat supply-demand gap is negative which

implies the projected change in demand are greater thansupply. This analysis showed that increases in

production come mainly from yield increases. So, excessdemand should be met up by increasing yield.

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