E N E R G Y
Pathways to Sustainable EnergyAnnual Meeting - Group of Experts on Gas25 March 2019, Geneva
Item 4 - Activities of the CSE Pathways Project
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ENERGY
How can the UNECE Region attain Sustainable Energy (SE)? Current Phase: May 2017 – Oct 2019 (further phases planned)
Outputs Pathways and Scenario Development
Sub-regional modelling of SE scenarios to 2050 Policy and technology options
Policy dialogue Adaptive policy pathways Policy dialogues Sub-regional workshops
“Early-warning system” development SE Targets Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Signposts
https://www.unece.org/energy/pathwaystose.html
Project OverviewPathways to Sustainable Energy
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Purpose of Consultations: To develop final project outputs together with stakeholders
To identify and test key messages and policy recommendations
To seek inputs for future phases of the project, closely aligned to the scope of work of the Committee and its subsidiary bodies
Timeline:
ENERGY
Consultations with Expert Groups
4
Pathways Project – Consultations with Stakeholders
September 25-28, High-Level Political
Dialogue
May 14-15, outreach workshop with member StatesMay 16, Committee on Sustainable Energy open-ended consultation meeting
April 1, webinar on preliminary key findings from
Groups of Experts
Item 5 – the Role of Gas in Attaining the SDGs
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ENERGY
GHG emissions from the energy system Energy-related air pollution, Water use & water stress
Access to energy services Energy affordability Food security (biomass
use)
Energy for Sustainable
Development
ENERGY FOR QUALITY OF LIFE
ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT
ENERGY SECURITY
“Secure the energy needed for economic development” Energy Efficiency (energy
intensity of economy, rate of improvement of energy intensity, conversion efficiency)
Pathways Project and Sustainable EnergyThree Pillars
Fuel mix Net energy trade Investment requirements
“Minimize adverse energy system
impacts on climate, ecosystems & human
health”
“Provide affordable energy that is available
for all at all times”
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ENERGY
Primary Energy Supply
Primary Energy Supply, UNECEReference Scenario
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ENERGY
Electricity Generation
Electricity Generation, UNECEReference Scenario
Lunchtime – Brainstorming on the Role of Natural Gas in Achieving 2030 Agenda for
Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement
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10
ENERGY
Primary Energy Supply
Primary Energy Supply, UNECEReference Scenario
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ENERGY
Primary Energy Supply
Primary Energy Supply, UNECENDC Scenario
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ENERGY
Primary Energy Supply
Primary Energy Supply, UNECEP2C Scenario
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Prim
ary
ener
gy s
uppl
y [E
J]
Electricity
Biomass
Wind
Solar
Geothermal
Hydro
Nuclear
Gas
Oil
Coal
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ENERGY
Electricity Generation
Electricity Generation, UNECEReference Scenario
14
ENERGY
Electricity Generation
Electricity Generation, UNECENDC Scenario
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ENERGY
Electricity Generation
Electricity Generation, UNECEP2C Scenario
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ENERGY
Deep-dive on Gas Project
Role of the role of natural gas in future energy systems
Series of Studies:
• Role of gas in displacing competing fuels
• Role of gas in supporting the uptake of renewable energy
• Penetration of gas into new markets through small-scale LNG and CNG
• Addressing environmental issues associated with natural gas
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ENERGY
Deep-dive on Gas Project
Role of gas in displacing competing fuels
Power Sector Transport
What are the implications of moves away from reliance on natural gas to hydrogen and methane-based products on transportation and distribution networks?
What is the commerciality of projects to develop biogas, biomethane and hydrogen?
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ENERGY
Deep-dive on Gas Project
Role of gas in supporting the uptake of renewable energy
Interplay
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ENERGY
Deep-dive on Gas Project
Penetration of gas into new markets through small-scale LNG and CNG
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ENERGY
Deep-dive on Gas Project
Addressing environmental issues associated with natural gas
Main sources of anthropogenic methaneemissions
Source: Best Practice Guidance for Effective Methane Management in the Oil and Gas
Sector, UNECE 2019
How to balance short- and medium-term gains from using
gas to reduce carbon emissions with the longer-term
consequences of continued use of a emissions-producing
fossil fuel?