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Annual results presentation 2014 28 February 2015 “Trabajamos desde los principios para poner la mejor banca a tu servicio”
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Page 1: Annual results presentation 2014 - Bankia · 2018-06-03 · Annual results presentation 2014 ... is not intended to predict future results and no guarantee is given in that respect.

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Annual results presentation

2014

28 February 2015

“Trabajamos desde los principios para poner la

mejor banca a tu servicio”

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Disclaimer

This document has been prepared by Bankia, S.A. (“Bankia”) and is presented exclusively for information purposes. It is not a prospectus and does not constitute an offer or recommendation to invest.

This document does not constitute a commitment to subscribe, or an offer to finance, or an offer to sell, or a solicitation of offers to buy securities of Bankia, all of which are subject to internal approval by Bankia.

Bankia does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources that Bankia considers reliable, but Bankia does not represent or warrant that the information is complete or accurate, in particular with respect to data provided by third parties. This document may contain abridged or unaudited information and recipients are invited to consult the public documents and information submitted by Bankia to the financial market supervisory authorities. All opinions and estimates are given as of the date stated in the document and so may be subject to change. The value of any investment may fluctuate as a result of changes in the market. The information in this document is not intended to predict future results and no guarantee is given in that respect.

Distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be prohibited, and therefore recipients of this document or any persons who may eventually obtain a copy of it are responsible for being aware of and complying with said restrictions. By accepting this document you accept the foregoing restrictions and warnings.

This document does not reveal all the risks or other material factors relating to investments in the securities/ transactions of Bankia. Before entering into any transaction, potential investors must ensure that they fully understand the terms of the securities/ transactions and the risks inherent in them. This document is not a prospectus for the securities described in it. Potential investors should only subscribe for securities of Bankia on the basis of the information published in the appropriate Bankia prospectus, not on the basis of the information contained in this document.

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Contents

1. Highlights of the year

2. 2014 results

3. Asset quality and risk management

4. Liquidity and solvency

5. Conclusions

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Highlights of the year

2014: TRANSFORMATION OF OUR BUSINESS MODEL

Strengthening our balance

sheet

Boosting the commercial

activity

Increasing

profitability

2 1 3

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Highlights of the year

Boosting the commercial activity… 1

Strengthened relationship with our customers leads to a 6.6% increase in

customer funds

DEC 13

€Bn

90.0

18.7

108.7

Strict customer deposits

Off-balance-sheet funds

DEC 14

94.9

21.0

115.9 + 6.6 %

Significant improvement in market share of new customer funds

SHARE OF NEW CUSTOMER FUNDS CUSTOMER FUNDS

(1) Figures excluding contribution of Aseval (€2.1bn), sold in 4Q 2014

(1)

9.52% 9.58% 9.79% 9.84%

10.21%

Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14 Sep 14 Dec 14

Households & businesses time deposits market share

4.74% 4.85% 4.88% 4.92% 4.98%

Dec 13 Mar 14 Jun 14 Sep 14 Dec 14

Mutual funds market share

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Highlights of the year

Boosting the commercial activity… 1

NEW LENDING

New lending volume up 10.1% compared to 2013, with a 48.2% increase in number of loans

€Mn

11,997

10,767

2013 2014

13,211

1,230

11,588

1,623

+ 10.1%

Businesses Individuals

+ 7.6%

+ 31.9%

Note: Does not include forbearance

“PRÉSTAMO DINAMIZACIÓN”

“Préstamo dinamización” (1)

€1,391 mn granted

88.7% of granted amount is long-term lending

33.5% of granted amount is lending to new

customers (1) To date

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Highlights of the year

Boosting the commercial activity… 1

TOTAL LOANS - €Bn

Total loans stabilised in key business segments

Total gross loans ex portfolio sales

SEP 14

122.8

Total gross loans ex portfolio sales

122.6

Mortgages + developer

Businesses + Consumer

Mortgages + developer

Businesses + Consumer

77.0

45.8

75.3

47.3

+€1.5bn loans in key segments

(+3.3%)

The balance of Businesses includes public sector

DEC 14

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5.55

5.88

6.61

6.01 6.03 6.29

BANKIA GLOBAL SECTOR

Highlights of the year

Boosting the commercial activity… 1

In the last quarter of the year, the number of New Customers reached 21,600/month, representing a 50% increase vs. the first quarter of the year

MYSTERY SHOPPING RANKING PRODUCTIVITY (products sold per employee/month) – quarterly average

Average: Dec 2013 – Jun 2014: 22.4

Includes data from all the retail branches: includes at-sight deposits, cards, direct debit and credit, risk insurance, pension plans, mutual funds and others.

Does not include term savings. 3Q data seasonally adjusted for August

21.7 22.3 23.3

26.7

31.0

4Q 13 1Q 14 2Q 14 3Q 14 4Q 14

9th 9th 4th Ranking

2012 2013 2014

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Highlights of the year

…increasing profitability… 2

+ 10.7%

NII + Fee and commission

income

+ 42.5% increase in 2014

Recurring pre-provision profit(1)

Core banking business generation capacity

in 2014

50 bps Cost of risk(2) 4Q14

Positive trend in provisions

74 bps Cost of risk(2)

2013

60 bps Cost of risk(2)2014

(1) Ex NTI and Exchange differences (2) Recurring cost of risk

-8.5%

Operating expenses

Steady improvement of

Cost to income ratio (%)(1)

63.3% 62.1%

60.1%

54.2% 52.6%

49.3%

46.1% 45.4% 43.7%

4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

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Highlights of the year

…increasing profitability… 2

Increase in attributable profit

€Mn

Bankia Group ROE

2014

TARGET

ROE

2015

10.0%

2013

5.9%

%

On track to meet the target of 10% ROE in 2015

2014

966

(1)

2013

611 +58.0%

The attributable profit for 2013 excludes the finance cost (€89Mn in 1Q13 and €53Mn in 2Q13) of the subordinated loan from BFA to Bankia, which was cancelled on 23 May 2013. Thus the reported profits for these periods were lower. (1) Attributable profit excluding the impact of IPO contingency provision

8.6% (2)

(2) ROE excluding the impact of IPO contingency provision ROE = Attributable profit for the period divided by the monthly average equity for the period

6.6% 747

Reported

218 Net IPO contingency

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Highlights of the year

…strengthening our balance sheet… 3

NPLs

€Bn

DEC 13

20.0

- €3.5 bn

DEC 14

16.5

NPL ratio decreases by 1.8pp. up to 12.9% in the

year

LOANS TO DEPOSITS

%

DEC 13

115.4%

-9.9 pp

LTD ratio: (Net credit / (Strict customer deposits + ICO/EIB deposits + Single-certificate covered bonds)

DEC 14

105.5%

LTD ratio down 9.9 pp

in the year

%

DEC 13

10.69%

+ 159 bps

DEC 14

12.28%

CET1 BIS III - PHASE IN

159 bps of capital

generated post-provision of €312mn

(1) Incorporates profit for the year and other adjustments (details in slide 32).

(1)

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Highlights of the year

…with excellent results in European stress tests 3

Solvency in the adverse scenario stands above 10%

with an impact of only 30 bps

ADVERSE

10.3%

BASE

14.3%

CET1 2016 – BFA Group

2013

10.6%

+3.7 p.p. -0.3 p.p. Impact of AQR adjustment 8 bps

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Highlights of the year

These results allow us to distribute a dividend payment to our shareholders:

Total distributable amount

€ 202 million

Dividend per share

€ 1.75 cent/share

Cash dividend for 2014

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Contents

1. Highlights of the year

2. 2014 results

3. Asset quality and risk management

4. Liquidity and solvency

5. Conclusions

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Net interest income 2,927 3,016

Dividends 5 54

Fees and other revenues 1,077 1,012

Gross income 4,009 4,082

Operating expenses (1,742) (1,751)

Profit before tax 1,310 1,665

(1,108) Provisions (1,363)

Profit from sale of equity holdings and others 151 697

2,267 2,331 Pre-provision profit

Profit after tax 990 1,104

2014 Results

BFA GROUP

Annual 2014 income statement – BFA Group vs. Bankia Group

(320) Tax (561)

€Mn

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Annual 2014 income statement – BFA Group vs. Bankia Group

Resultados 2014

BFA GROUP

IPO contingency provision at Bankia (312) (312)

Tax effect 94 94

Profit after tax 990 1,104

IPO contingency provision net effect (218) (686)

Profit after tax post-contingency 771 418

IPO contingency provision at BFA individual (468)

Total IPO contingency provision at Group level (312) (780)

€Mn

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2014 Results Pro forma income statement – Bankia Group

A

B

C

Net interest income

Gross income

Operating expenses

Pre-provision profit

D

€Mn

Fee and commission income

Gross income ex NTI and exchange differences

Pre-provision profit ex NTI and exchange differences

2013

2,567

3,772

(1,905)

1,867

2014

2,927

4,009

(1,742)

2,267

935 948

3,337 3,783

1,432 2,041

The pro forma income statement for 2013 excludes the cost of the subordinated loan by BFA to Bankia in the amount of €89 million in 1Q 2013 and €53 million in 2Q 2013, which was cancelled on 23 May 2013. Thus the reported profits for these periods were lower. The 2013 results do not include the effect of the restatement of the 2013 accounts based on Regulation (EU) 634/2014 and the letter of 23 December 2014 from the D.G. of the BdE.

Diff %

14.0%

6.3%

(8.5%)

21.4%

1.3%

13.4%

42.5%

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2014 Results Pro forma income statement – Bankia Group

Pre-provision profit

Results from Sales, Taxes and Others

D

Profit after tax

€Mn

E

Minority interests

Provisions

DGF and subordinated loan effect

IPO contingency provision net impact

Profit attributable to the Group

The pro forma income statement for 2013 excludes the cost of the subordinated loan by BFA to Bankia in the amount of €89 million in 1Q 2013 and €53 million in 2Q 2013, which was cancelled on 23 May 2013. Thus the reported profits for these periods were lower. The 2013 results do not include the effect of the restatement of the 2013 accounts based on Regulation (EU) 634/2014 and the letter of 23 December 2014 from the D.G. of the BdE.

1,867

(1,733)

2,267

(1,108)

608 990

477 (169)

21.4%

(36.1%)

62.7%

-

(203) - -

2013 2014 Dif %

3 (24) -

611 966 58.0%

- (218) -

Reported Profit attributable to the Group 408 747 83.3%

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Quarterly net interest income growth

2014 Results

€Mn

4Q13

690

1Q14

698

2Q14

730

3Q14

735

Net interest income increases a further 4% in the last quarter

Net interest income up 14.0% year on year

A Net interest income

Seven consecutive quarters of net interest income growth

+ 4.0%

Accumulated annual growth

2013

2,567

2014

2,927

+14.0% €Mn

142

(1)

(1) Actual figures excluding the cost of the subordinated loan by BFA to Bankia in the amount of €89 million in 1Q 2013 and €53 million in 2Q 2013, which was cancelled on 23 May 2013. Thus the reported profits for these periods were lower.

4Q14

765

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2014 Results

A Net interest income

Decline in cost of deposits leads to improvement in gross customer margin

Cost of term deposits – Back book vs. Front book

Continued downward repricing of back book of term deposits

%

Loan yield vs. cost of deposits (1)

Customer margin up 59 bps compared to last quarter of previous year

(1) The impact of City National Bank has been excluded from the series.

117 bps 107 bps

99 bps 100 bps

98 bps

Back book and front book, quarterly average (excluding impact of City National Bank)

%

117 bps 111 bps

94 bps

3.54% 3.29%

3.14% 2.84%

2.37% 2.10%

1.83% 1.58% 2.43%

2.12% 1.97%

1.77%

1.38% 1.10%

0.85% 0.64%

1Q 13 2Q 13 3Q 13 4Q 13 1Q 14 2Q 14 3Q 14 4Q 14

Back book Front book

2.36% 2.34% 2.45% 2.44% 2.39% 2.38%

2.55% 2.70%

0.95% 1.08%

1.23% 1.33% 1.57%

1.70% 1.74% 1.89%

1.41% 1.26%

1.22% 1.12%

0.82% 0.68%

0.81% 0.81%

4Q 143Q 142Q 141Q 144Q 133Q 132Q 131Q 13

Customer yields Customer desposit costGross Customer Margin

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Quarterly performance of core banking business

2014 Results

Core banking business performance

Core banking business exceeds €1 billion in the quarter

2,567

2013

3,502

2,927

2014

3,875

+10.7%

Net interest income and fee and commission income show positive trend

€Mn

Fee and commission income

A

Accumulated core banking business grows 10.7%

€Mn

4Q13

690

1Q14

940

698

2Q14

928

730

3Q14

967

+ 4.3%

735

4Q14

969

249 231 237 234

Net interest income

Fees & commissions Net interest income

935

948 +1.3%

+14.0%

Net interest income and fee and commission income

(1)

(1) Actual figures excluding the cost of the subordinated loan by BFA to Bankia in the amount of €89 million in 1Q 2013 and €53 million in 2Q 2013, which was cancelled on 23 May 2013. Thus the reported profits for these periods were lower.

142

765

1,011

246

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Quarterly performance of gross income

2014 Results

Recurring gross income (2)

€Mn

4Q13

874

1Q14

912

895

2Q14

930

949

4Q14

1,005

Recurring gross income up 13.4% year on year

38 35 56 NTI + Exch. diff.

GI

ex

NTI

+ Exch. diff

Gross income

2013

3,337

2014

3,783

+13.4%

€Mn

B

+5.2%

(1)

GI

(1) Actual figures excluding the cost of the subordinated loan by BFA to Bankia in the amount of €89 million in 1Q 2013 and €53 million in 2Q 2013, which was cancelled on 23 May 2013. Thus the reported profits for these periods were lower.

(2) Gross income ex NTI and exchange differences

943

3Q14

1,002

59

142

Further increase in recurring gross income during the quarter

Recurring gross income up 5.2% in the last quarter of the year

998

1,072

74

+6.7%

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Quarterly performance of operating expenses

2014 Results

Recurring cost to income ratio (1)

€Mn

4Q13

459

1Q14

441

2Q14

435

- 5.1%

Operating expenses down 5.1% year on year Cost to income ratio continues to

improve to 43.7%

Operating expenses Recurring efficiency ratio already at 43.7%

C

4Q14

436

%

(1) Cost to income ratio ex NTI and Exchange differences

- 8.9 pp.

3Q14

430

52.6%

49.3%

46.1%

45.4%

43.7%

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

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2014 Results

Recurring pre-provision profit up 8.4% in the last quarter. Increase of 42.5% year on year

Pre-provision profit Capacity to generate recurring pre-provision profit

Quarterly performance Recurring pre-provision profit (2)

€Mn

4Q13

415

1Q14

454

2Q14

508

+8.4%

D

4Q14

562

(1) Actual figures excluding the cost of the subordinated loan by BFA to Bankia in the amount of €89 million in 1Q 2013 and €53 million in 2Q 2013, which was cancelled on 23 May 2013. Thus the reported profits for these periods were lower. (2) Pre-provision profit ex NTI and Exchange differences.

3Q14

518

Recurring pre-provision profit (2)

2013

1,432

2014

2,041 + 42.5%

€Mn

142

(1)

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Cost of risk down to 50 bps on 4Q14

Pre-provision profit

Provisions

567

(262)

2Q 14

Cost of risk Continued decrease of cost of risk quarter by quarter

€ Mn

E

453

(353)

4Q 13

489

(303)

1Q 14

574

(253)

3Q 14

636

(291)

4Q 14

Recurrent

Cost of risk

Profit after provisions 305 100 186 321 345

2013

74 bps

1Q 2014

69 bps

2Q 2014

63 bps

3Q 2014

59 bps

4Q 2014

50 bps

2014 Results

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Profit after provisions

Profit from sales and others

305

20

2Q 14

Attributable Profit 245

Group’s attributable profit Attributable profit for the year increases by 58.0%

€ Mn

E

100

77

4Q 13

150

186

83

1Q 14

187

321

46

3Q 14

266

2013

Attributable Profit (€Mn)

345

3

4Q 14

268

IPO contingency provision (net) 218

611

2014 pre - provision

966

IPO contingency provision net impact

2014 reported

+58.0%

Attributable profit excluding the effect of the IPO contingency provision increases to €966 million for the year, €355 million more than the previous year

2014 Results

(218)

747

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Contents

1. Highlights of the year

2. 2014 Results

3. Asset quality and risk management

4. Liquidity and solvency

5. Conclusions

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Asset quality and risk management Credit quality Decrease in stock of NPLs and NPL ratio

NPLs

NPLs down €3.5bn in the year. NPL ratio down 1.8 pp in the year at 12.9%

NPL ratio

€Bn %

18.6

DEC 13 MAR 14 JUN 14

20.0 19.2

- €3.5 bn

- €1.2 bn

17.7

SEP 14

14.0%

DEC 13 MAR 14 JUN 14

14.7% 14.3%

- 1.8 pp

- 0.7 pp

13.6%

SEP 14

16.5

DEC 14

12.9%

DEC 14

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Asset quality and risk management Credit quality Sharp fall in NPLs and NPL ratio

Performance of NPLs, NPL ratio and NPL coverage

NPLs

NPL ratio

NPL coverage (1)

€Bn

DEC 2013

14.7%

(1) Loan loss provisions / NPLs (2) Net foreclosed assets

DEC 2014 Organic reduction

/ Sales

NPL performance

NPL coverage reaches 57.6% NPLs diminish by €1.2bn in the last quarter of the year

180 bps

NPLs Dec 2013

+ Gross additions

- Recoveries

- Write-offs

NPLs Dec 2014

Net additions

- Sales

€Bn

20.0

+ 4.0

- 5.7

- 0.2

16.5

- 1.7

- 1.6

12.9%

€20.0bn €3.5 bn €16.5bn

56.5% 57.6% 110 bps

Organic reduction

€ -1.9bn

Total reduction

€ -3.5bn

Foreclosed assets(2)

€2.7bn €2.9bn €0.2 bn

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2. 2014 Results

3. Asset quality and risk management

4. Liquidity and solvency

5. Conclusions

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Quarterly performance of LTD ratio Quarterly performance of commercial gap

LCR (Liquidity Coverage Ratio) stands above 100% as of 31.12.14

109.7

€Bn %

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14

115.4 111.9 18.7 25.1 21.6

4Q13 1Q14 2Q14

- 45.5% - 9.9 pp

Liquidity and solvency Liquidity indicators Further improvement in liquidity in the last quarter

- 0.3 pp - 4.7%

LTD ratio: (Net credit / (Strict customer deposits + ICO/EIB deposits + Single-certificate covered bonds)

105.8

3Q14

14.3

3Q14 4Q14 4Q14

13.7 105.5

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Liquidity and solvency Liquidity indicators Significant capital generation in the year

CET 1 BIS III Phase in ratio performance

CET1 BIS III Phase in ratio stands at 12.28% CET1 BIS III Fully loaded ratio stands at 10.60%

DEC 14 SEP 14

12.28% 12.44%

13.82% 13.89% TOTAL SOLVENCY

DEC 13

10.69%

11.06%

%

(1)

(1) Includes 4Q14 result and 202mn of dividend payment (2) Impact of Regulation (EU) 634/2014 on contributions to the Deposit Guarantee Fund

+ 159 bps

CET 1 BIS III Fully Loaded ratio performance

DEC 14 SEP 14

10.60% 10.51%

12.14% 11.97% TOTAL SOLVENCY

DEC 13

8.60%

8.98%

%

(1)

+ 200 bps

+87 bps -23 bps -25 bps

-30 bps

Organic generation

↓DGF2 Dividend IPO

provision

Extraordinary impacts:

-55 bps

+59 bps

Organic generation

-23 bps

↓ DGF2

-25 bps

Dividend IPO

provision

-27 bps

Extraordinary impacts:

-52 bps

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2. 2014 Results

3. Asset quality and risk management

4. Liquidity and solvency

5. Conclusions

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Conclusions

Lending volumes stabilize and growth in SMEs and consumer finance

Increase of customer deposits and off-balance-sheet business

Our commercial activity has experienced a significant boost in 2014

Improved productivity and efficiency levels

NPLs reduction with increased coverage and cost of risk at target level

Allowing to propose a cash dividend payment of €202Mn

And recurrent ROE at 8.6%, on track to meet the target of 10% in 2015

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Investor Relations

[email protected]

Sigamos trabajando


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