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Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales - New Branch Report 2016 June 2016 - Prepared for - Office of Environment and Heritage PO Box 1967 Hurstville NSW 2220 - Prepared by - Roy Morgan Research Ltd Level 2, 26 Wharf St, Brisbane, QLD, 4000
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Page 1: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales -

New Branch Report 2016

June 2016

- Prepared for -

Office of Environment and Heritage PO Box 1967 Hurstville NSW 2220

- Prepared by -

Roy Morgan Research Ltd Level 2, 26 Wharf St, Brisbane, QLD, 4000

Page 2: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

INDEX

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .............................................................................................. 1

2. ANNUAL BY PARK OPERATIONS BRANCH .......................................................... 4

3. WEATHER FACTORS INFLUENCING PWG PARK VISITS .............................. 17

3.1 Temperature Effects on PWG Park Visitation .................................................... 17

3.2 Rainfall Effects on PWG Park Visitation ............................................................ 28

4. OTHER SURVEY RESULTS ....................................................................................... 39

4.1 Purpose of Visit to a PWG Park .......................................................................... 39

4.2 Reason for Visit to a PWG Park .......................................................................... 40

4.3 Activities Undertaken at Most Recently Visited Park ......................................... 41

4.4 Satisfaction with Most Recent Visit to a PWG Park ........................................... 47

DISCLAIMER This report was prepared by Roy Morgan Research Ltd in good faith exercising all due care and attention, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the relevance, accuracy, completeness or fitness for purpose of this document in respect of any particular user’s circumstances. Users of this document should satisfy themselves concerning its application to, and where necessary seek expert advice in respect of, their situation. The views expressed within are not necessarily the views of the Office of Environment and Heritage (OEH) and may not represent OEH policy.

© Copyright State of NSW and the Office of Environment and Heritage

Page 3: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 1

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In 2016 PWG Park Operations Branch definitions were re-defined by OEH. As a result survey data for 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014 had to be modified to include the new definitions to calculate visitation by PWG Park Operations Branch. This report provides details of this change in Branch definition. In relation to absolute numbers of visits, Figure A shows that in 2016, visits to parks in each Branch were the highest so far recorded. Visits to parks in all eight Branches increased on previous years, with marked increases observed for the Greater Sydney (16.0m), North Coast (9.3m) and Hunter Central Coast Branches (7.6m). However, the greatest proportional increases in visitation were observed in the West (93%) and Northern Inland Branches (63%), as well as the North Coast Branch (70%). When comparing proportional contribution to annual PWG park visits in the eight PWG Branches, the contribution to overall visits from parks in the Greater Sydney Branch fell from 34% in 2014 to 31% in 2016. Contribution to visitation increased to their highest recorded levels for the North Coast (18%) and West Branches (3%) in 2016.

Figure A: PWG Annual Visitation by PWG Branch1

1. If respondents could not provide the name of the park they visited, or the name of the park could not be ascertained from the town claimed to be nearest to that park, they were then asked to classify the park as being PWG managed or not. If they classified the park as being PWG managed, the park could not be categorised to a PWG branch or PWG region because the actual location of the park could not be determined. Respondents that were imputed as visiting a PWG park also fell into this category.

924,

363

5,03

6,43

1

5,19

1,97

0

5,46

1,31

8

11,3

41,7

86

4,95

2,89

1

1,62

2,26

9

271,

072

2,43

6,86

7

813,

810

5,25

1,70

1

4,67

3,00

0

4,26

6,95

1

9,73

8,02

0

3,74

7,41

7

1,94

0,99

0

461,

841

2,48

4,93

2

1,15

9,40

6

5,64

7,38

6

3,46

6,88

7

3,92

8,92

6

11,7

00,3

20

3,47

9,51

8

1,82

8,31

7

297,

998

3,27

1,70

3

862,

316

5,45

0,01

0

5,71

9,57

9

5,50

3,33

9

13,1

84,4

42

4,13

6,82

3

1,69

7,55

3

693,

240

1,36

0,13

8

1,39

4,46

9

9,27

5,51

4

7,63

1,48

4

5,85

3,00

5

15,9

94,9

87

5,63

9,64

7

2,64

3,26

5

1,33

4,83

2

1,18

1,01

3

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

NorthernInland

North Coast HunterCentral Coast

BlueMountains

GreaterSydney

South Coast SouthernRanges

West PWG ParkNot ClassifiedTo A Branch

Vis

its

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

924,

363

2%

14%

813,

810

924,

363

2%

813,

810

813,

810

813,

810

813,

810

3%

862,

316

862,

316

2%

16%

862,

316

862,

316

862,

316

862,

316

3%

16%

14

%

%18

%

14%

14

%

10%

15

%

15%

15%

13

%

11%

14

%

11%

30%

29

%

34%

34

%

31%

13%

11

%

10%

11

%

11%

4%

6%

4%

4%% 5%

5%

7%

7%

9%

4%

2% 29

7,99

829

7,99

829

7,99

869

3,24

069

3,24

029

7,99

82%

69

3,24

069

3,24

069

3,24

069

3,24

069

3,24

03%

1%46

1,84

11%

46

1,84

146

1,84

11%

Page 4: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 2

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Respondents who had visited a PWG park were asked to give an overall satisfaction rating based the experience of their most recent visit. A mean satisfaction score was calculated for satisfaction with one’s visit to a PWG park. The closer the mean score to 2 points, the higher the level of satisfaction. Figures B and C show that in 2016 three Branches had an overall satisfaction percentage of 96% - North Coast, Blue Mountains and West. However, the highest mean satisfaction score in 2016 was achieved for the Blue Mountains Branch (1.62). The lowest proportion satisfied overall in 2016 was observed for the Southern Ranges Branch (92%), with the Hunter Central Coast Branch attaining the lowest mean satisfaction score in 2016 (1.49). Overall satisfaction with one’s most recent visit to a PWG park has been steadily increasing over time for parks in the North Coast Branch, from 89% in 2008 to 96% in 2016. The highest mean scores for satisfaction were achieved in 2016 for the Blue Mountains Branch (1.62), the Northern Inland Branch (1.59) and the South Coast Branch (1.57).

Figure B: Satisfaction with most recently visited PWG park by Branch (Part A)

96

93

96

94

93

90

95

89

91

93

93

86

95

94

92

90

90

88

89

89

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Blue Mountains

Hunter CentralCoast

North Coast

Northern Inland

% recent visit of a PWG park

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Mean – 1.51 Mean – 1.56

Mean – 1.48 Mean – 1.43

Mean – 1.54

Mean – 1.41 Mean – 1.46

Mean – 1.38 Mean – 1.53

Mean – 1.49

Mean – 1.44 Mean – 1.54 Mean – 1.47 Mean – 1.46 Mean – 1.62

Mean – 1.34

Mean – 1.39 Mean – 1.37

Mean – 1.59

Mean – 1.50

Page 5: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 3

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure C: Satisfaction with most recently visited PWG park by Branch (Part B)

96

92

94

95

89

94

94

96

89

86

92

95

100

88

93

94

83

92

91

93

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

West

Southern Ranges

South Coast

Greater Sydney

% recent visit of a PWG park

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Mean – 1.47 Mean – 1.52

Mean – 1.48 Mean – 1.49

Mean – 1.57

Mean – 1.59 Mean – 1.22

Mean – 1.61 Mean – 1.40

Mean – 1.53

Mean – 1.35 Mean – 1.67 Mean – 1.32 Mean – 1.25 Mean – 1.53

Mean – 1.47

Mean – 1.55 Mean – 1.58

Mean – 1.50

Mean – 1.51

Page 6: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 4

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

2. ANNUAL BY PARK OPERATIONS BRANCH In 2016 PWG Park Operations Branch definitions were re-defined by OEH. As a result survey data for 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014 had to be modified to include the new definitions to calculate visitation by PWG Park Operations Branch. PWG Branch was allocated to each respondent visiting a PWG park based on (a) the name of the park; and (b) the name of the nearest town as specified by each respondent’s survey responses. Where a respondent could not provide the name of the park, nor its nearest town, the park could not be classified to a PWG Branch or Region. This occurred for 2% of visits in 2016 (4% of visits in 2014, 9% of visits in 2012 and 7% of visits in both 2008 and 2010) (Figure 6.3.1). Please note that wave-by-wave analysis of visitation by Branch, whilst presented in this report, is subject to large sampling errors. As a consequence, seasonal fluctuations in visitation should be treated as indicative and any conclusions made treated with caution. In relation to absolute number of visits, the highest number of visits recorded was achieved in 2016 across all eight Branches. Visits to Parks in the Greater Sydney Branch increased from 13.1m in 2014 to almost 16.0m in 2016 (See Figure 2.1). This can be primarily attributed to the highest ever number of visits being recorded at Royal (4.6m), Ku-ring-gai Chase (3.3m), Lane Cove (2.4m) and Sydney Harbour (2.3m) National Parks and Parramatta River Regional Park (0.7m). PWG visits to parks in the North Coast Branch have increased by over 3.8m from 5.5m visits in 2014 to 9.3m visits in 2016 (i.e. 70% increase). High numbers of visits were observed in 2016 for Crowdy Bay (1.3m), Bundjulung (0.8m) and Yuraygir (0.6m) National Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central Coast Branch parks increased by 1.9m in 2016 from 5.7m in 2014 to7.6m. This was mainly due to the substantial increase in visits to Brisbane Water (from 0.3m in 2014 to 1.4m in 2016) and Glenrock (from 0.2m in 2014 to 1.1m in 2016) National Parks. Please note that sample sizes are small for these two, so visitation estimates are subject to significant error. The Blue Mountains Branch recorded its highest number of visits in 2016 (5.9m), up by 0.4m on 2014 levels (5.5m). Visits to Blue Mountains National Park comprised almost 90% of all visits to the Branch in 2016 (88.8%), recording 5.2m visits. This Branch recorded the smallest percentage increase in visits over 2014 levels (6%). An increase of 1.5m visits from 2014 was observed for parks in the South Coast Branch (from 4.1m in 2014 to 5.6m in 2016). The increase in visitation was observed across almost

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2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 5

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

all parks in the Branch including Conjola (0.8m), Eurobodalla (0.7m), Seven Mile Beach (0.5m), Ben Boyd (0.5m) and Morton (0.4) National Parks. A slight decline in visitation was observed for Jervis Bay National Park, but visits still remained above 0.5m for the 2016 year. Visits to parks in the Southern Ranges Branch increased by over 0.9m in 2016 from 2014 levels (2.6m vs 1.7m). More than 8 in 10 of all visits to this Branch come from visits to Kosciuszko National Park, with attained 2.2m visits in 2016. A rise in visits of 0.5m was observed for parks in the Northern Inland Branch, with visitation rising from 0.9m in 2014 to1.4m in 2016. Visits are spread over a large number of parks for this Branch, with Cathedral Rock National Park recording the highest number of visits in 2016 at 175,403. Oxley Wild Rivers (126,737) and Warrumbungle National Parks (124,634) were second and third respectively in terms of visitation.

Figure 2.1: PWG Annual Visitation by PWG Branch

The West Branch recorded its highest ever number of visits in 2016 at over 1.3m (up from just under 700,000 in 2014). This was primarily due to a record number of visits to Murray Valley National Park (710,791) and two new parks in which visits were recorded in 2016: Murrumbidgee Valley National Park (149,921) and Lachlan Valley National Park (141,995). When comparing proportional contribution to annual PWG park visits located in the eight PWG Branches (Figure 2.2), the contribution to overall visits from parks in the Greater

924,

363

5,03

6,43

1

5,19

1,97

0

5,46

1,31

8

11,3

41,7

86

4,95

2,89

1

1,62

2,26

9

271,

072

2,43

6,86

7

813,

810

5,25

1,70

1

4,67

3,00

0

4,26

6,95

1

9,73

8,02

0

3,74

7,41

7

1,94

0,99

0

461,

841

2,48

4,93

2

1,15

9,40

6

5,64

7,38

6

3,46

6,88

7

3,92

8,92

6

11,7

00,3

20

3,47

9,51

8

1,82

8,31

7

297,

998

3,27

1,70

3

862,

316

5,45

0,01

0

5,71

9,57

9

5,50

3,33

9

13,1

84,4

42

4,13

6,82

3

1,69

7,55

3

693,

240

1,36

0,13

8

1,39

4,46

9

9,27

5,51

4

7,63

1,48

4

5,85

3,00

5

15,9

94,9

87

5,63

9,64

7

2,64

3,26

5

1,33

4,83

2

1,18

1,01

3

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

NorthernInland

North Coast HunterCentral Coast

BlueMountains

GreaterSydney

South Coast SouthernRanges

West PWG ParkNot ClassifiedTo A Branch

Vis

its

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Page 8: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 6

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Sydney Branch fell from 34% in 2012 and 2014 to 31% in 2016, a similar proportion to those attained in 2010 and 2008 (29% and 30%respectively). A decline in proportional contribution to park visits was also observed for the Blue Mountains Branch, down from 14% in 2014 to 11% in 2016 (the same proportion as in 2012). The proportional contribution to annual PWG park visits increased from 2014 levels for all other Branches in 2016, most notably for the North Coast Branch, which increased from 14% in 2014 to 18% in 2016, the highest proportion attained for this Branch.

Figure 2.2: Proportional PWG Annual Visitation by PWG Branch

The proportion of visits not classified to a Branch has decreased from 7% in 2008 and 2010 and 9% in 2012 to 4% in 2014 and 2% in 2016. The number of respondents allocated to this category has been steadily declining over time (173 - 2008; 159 – 2010; 119 – 2012; 112 – 2014; 57 - 2016). This indicates that the process of allocation of visits to specific parks or towns within Branches is improving in efficiency over time. The following commentary provides comparison of visitation to PWG Branches in 2008 to 2016 by wave. Please refer to Figures 2.3-1 to 2.3-8 for more detail. Please note that hereafter, graphs showing PWG park visitation by Branch have small sample sizes, and consequently large margins of error. For these graphs margins of error

2%

14%

14% 15

%

30%

13%

4%

1%

7%

2%

16%

14%

13%

29%

11%

6%

1%

7%

3%

16%

10% 11

%

34%

10%

5%

1%

9%

2%

14% 15

%

14%

34%

11%

4%

2%

4%

3%

18%

15%

11%

31%

11%

5%

3% 2%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

NorthernInland

North Coast Hunter CentralCoast

BlueMountains

GreaterSydney

South Coast SouthernRanges

West PWG Park NotClassified To A

Branch

% V

isits

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Page 9: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 7

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

are not displayed. As a consequence, seasonal fluctuations in visitation should be treated as indicative and any conclusions made treated with caution. Where relevant, commentary has been made to alert readers to potentially large errors and cautions with interpreting data. Greater Sydney Branch – Visitation to PWG parks in the Greater Sydney Branch was higher in 2016 than in previous years in wave 6 (May), wave 8 (July) and from wave 10 to wave 13 (mid-August to mid-December). However, visitation was lower in wave 3 (February) and wave 7 (June). From 2008 to 2016 there has been a general trend in wave 6 (May) for visitation to increase with each year. Visitation generally declines from December to mid-July-mid-August, with a slight increase in visitation occurring in waves 5 and 6 (April-May) with Ester, Anzac Day and the Autumn school holidays. Visitation tends to increase from mid-August through to November. Wave 12 in 2016 (October-November) attained the highest levels of visitation recorded at more than 2.2m visits. This result is almost double the visitation amount recorded in wave 11 in any other year. North Coast Branch – Their does appear to be a cyclical trend in the visitation pattern to North Coast Branch parks over time, high in mid-summer (January), mid-Autumn (April), mid-Winter (July-August) and mid-spring (mid-September to mid-October) and lower at other times. Visitation in 2016 was higher than in previous years in waves 1 and 2 (summer), waves 6 and 7 (May-June), wave 10 (mid-August-mid-September) and in waves 12 and 13 (mid-October-mid-December). Since 2010, the number of visits tends to be steadily decreasing each year in wave 9 (mid-winter). Hunter Central Coast Branch – Similar to the North Coast Branch, Hunter Central Coast visits tend to be cyclical, being high in mid-summer (January) and mid-Autumn (April), while the peak in winter is earlier (June) and the peak in Spring later (mid-October-mid-November). Visitation was lower than in all previous years in wave 5 (April), which is surprising given that this is Easter, Anzac Day and autumn school holidays. However, visitation was the highest recorded in waves 8, 9 and 10 (mid-June-mid-September), recording visitation levels greater than 1.5 times, less than 3.5 times and greater than 2.5 times respectively than the previous highest visitation levels for these waves. Note that these levels of visitation could be influenced by one or two respondents visiting multiple times, lifting the visitation levels for these waves. Visitation levels were also the highest recorded for wave 1 (December), wave 3 (February), wave 6 (May) and wave 11 (mid-September-mid-October). Blue Mountains Branch – Visitation to parks in the Blue Mountains Branch tend to be relatively stable across the course of the year. Unusually high peaks in visitation occurred in wave 1 in 2010 (December), wave 10 in 2008 (mid-July-mid-August) and wave 8 in 2016 (late-June-late-July). Visitation levels were the highest recorded in 2016 for waves 2

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2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 8

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

(January), wave 5 (April) and, as previously mentioned, in wave 8 (late-June-late-July). The lowest levels of visitation were recorded in wave 9 (mid-July-mid-August) and wave 11 (mid-September-mid-October), though these visitation levels were not much lower than levels in other years. South Coast Branch – As a general trend, visitation to parks in the South Coast Branch tend to peak in wave 2 (January) and decline to low levels of visitation in wave 12 (mid-October-mid-November) and then increase to the peak in January. This is not surprising as people tend to head to the South Coast in summer and escape the heat. Peaks in visitation were observed in 2016 for wave 1 (December), wave 6 (May) and wave 13 (early-November-early-December). The lowest level of visitation recorded for wave 8 (late-June-late July) Southern Ranges Branch – Visitation to parks in the Southern Ranges Branch tends to peak in wave 9 (mid-July-mid-August) coinciding with the snow season. There also appears to be a smaller peak in wave 3 (February), but this peak is influenced heavily by large visitation numbers in the wave in 2010 and 2012, which visitation in other years has been very low for this wave. The highest levels of visitation were recorded in 2016 for waves 8 and 9 (winter) and in waves 12 and 13 (later spring-early summer), with the lowest level of visitation recorded in wave 5 (April). Note that, on average, only 12 respondents claim to visit parks in this Branch each wave, so visitation estimates per wave are subject to high levels of error and should be treated with caution. Northern Inland Branch – On average, only 6 respondents claim to visit parks in the Northern Inland Branch wave, so visitation estimates per wave are subject to large error and should be treated with caution. That stated, visitation tends to peak in the Northern Inland Branch in wave 1 (December) and waves 5 and 6 (April-May) and again in wave 11 (mid-September-mid October) in line with school holidays. High visitation were observed in 2016 for waves 4 and 5 (March-April), wave 10 (mid-August-mid-September) and wave 13 (early-November-early December). Western Branch – On average, only 2 to 3 respondents claim to visit parks in the West Branch each wave, so visitation estimates per wave are subject to significantly large error and should be treated with extreme caution. Excluding the exceptionally high visitation estimates in wave 1 and wave 2 of 2016, visitation per wave for parks in the West Branch remains at consistently low levels ate around 35,000 to 40,000 visits per wave. The September-October school holidays (wave 11), does tends to regularly exhibit slightly high average visitation at around 80,00 visits, but aside from this, visitation all other waves remains relatively constant. The high levels of visitation in wave 1 and 2 of 2016(December-January) are the result of a high number of visits from two or three respondents and cannot be considered to accurately reflect visitation to this Branch over this period.

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2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 9

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-1: Greater Sydney Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

770

796

1255

1082

747

725 76

6

909

562

1058

727

1249

695

1147

1072

888

462 57

0

739

1043

905

559

314

979

609

452

1800

1012

1500

680

896

876

650

575

1006

615 70

2

654 73

3

1317 13

72

973

1304

1439

1376

721

559

452

828

631

1003

1211

1617

1215

836 95

4 1089

1470

630

1003

800

1099

1405

2256

1621

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

1750

2000

2250

2500

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD -

Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 12: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 10

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-2: North Coast Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

433 49

1

227

383

530

211

370

314

308

587

554

337

292

482

379

265 37

5

722

306

204

581

703

165

648

271

15126

7

650

217

549

408

427

252

510 58

2

189

793

569

234

772

515

538

282 39

5

281

456

306

453

319

540

224

370

932

1843

435 464 54

6 636

495 528

379

600

775

642

1001

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

1750

2000

2250

2500

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD -

Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 13: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 11

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-3: Hunter Central Coast Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

448

624

249

370

436

279

469

373

270

180 22

7

608

659

614

542

221

556

358

135

352

490

165

151

431

179

479

267

483

90

316

397

143

192

184

134

327

166

230

538

509

966

320

225

550

356

624

337

187

177

308

864

296

762

439

330

419

340

565

509

806

916

855

485

838

369

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD

- Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School

holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 14: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 12

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-4: Blue Mountains Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

338 42

6

573 65

6

190 98

180

196

686

1019

308

461

330

274

267 13

3

246

455 57

1

360 391

285

593

331

41

322

160

335

338

78 292

612

290

232 27

1

489

349

180 30

2

1143

189 29

1

270 301

729

160

515

319

185

316 35

3

730

269

525 57

7

336

502

295 34

0

1227

228

382

289 32

8

555

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1500

1750

2000

2250

2500

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD -

Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 15: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 13

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-5: South Coast Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

580

296

248

473

743

194

302

412

148

215

169

634

541

186

608

304

629

106

180

117

232

290

387

269

124

315

621

796

257

127

192 22

9

452

155

130

67

160

80

21524

2

507

455

223

299 33

4

299

403

105

235

522

303

208

733

643

308

269

690

514

405

110

276

337

217

279

859

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD -

Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 16: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 14

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-6: Southern Ranges Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

95

64

34 123

96

139

56

231 25

2

122

335

46

29

54

114

423

15

250

160

381

104

105

193

70 55 18

113

83

534

37

276

14 55

135

189

104 13

6

70 8378

213

39 32 85 78 18

250

331

337

139

49 48

115 15

4

39

135

63

101

101

567

662

227

135 17

8

168

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD -

Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 17: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 15

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-7: Northern Inland Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

49 57

84

18

76

182

45

147

12

26

125

58

44

60

72

8

61

43

63

160

18

113

57 65

47 47

136

56

147

31 76

142

15 43

57 48

129

164

116

202

50 44

63

148

92

5

68 31 73 35 40

11

80

65 60

179 20

6

132

117

43

65

190

67 36

152

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD -

Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 18: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 16

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 2.3-8: West Branch Visitation by Survey Wave – 2008-2016

15 19 12 48 52 22

48 11 4

40

11 3

57

7 11 16 20 14 15

110

8

190

59 25

38

46

33 23

5 13

35

15 7

32

15

123

129

36 70 26

9 6

23

128

61 35

256

554

41

66

120

15

38 77 79

54

34

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

7 Dec-10 Jan

4 Jan-8 Feb

1 Feb-7 Mar

29 Feb-4 Apr

28 Mar-3 May

25 Apr-29 May

23 May-27 Jun

20 Jun-26 Jul

18 Jul-22 Aug

15 Aug-19 Sep

12 Sep-18 Oct

10 Oct-14 Nov

7 Nov-12 Dec

Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7 Wave 8 Wave 9 Wave 10 Wave 11 Wave 12 Wave 13

No. o

f Vis

its (

'000

s)

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

W1 - School holidays; Christmas; New Year

W2 - School holidays

Australia Day W4 - ACT – Canberra Day

VIC – Labour Day Easter 2008, 2016

School Holidays 2016 – VIC, QLD

W5 - Easter 2010, 2012, 2014 & 2016

School Holidays Anzac Day

Labour Day QLD 2016

W6 - QLD - Labour Day 2008, 2010 & 2012 School hols ACT

W7 - School holidays –VIC & QLD 2008 & 2010

(& QLD 2016) Queen’s Birthday

(QLD 2018, 2010 & 2016)

W8 - School holidays W9 - QLD -

Show Day

W11- School holidays; NSW & ACT – Labour Day; ACT - Family & Community Day 2012

W12 -VIC - Melbourne Cup ACT - Family & Community Day 2014

QLD - Queen’s Birthday 2012, 2014 & 2016

W10 - School holidays VIC 2016

W13 - School holidays QLD 2016

Page 19: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 17

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

3. WEATHER FACTORS INFLUENCING PWG PARK VISITS Investigations in 2010 tended to indicate that PWG park visitation was impacted by weather, particularly significant weather events. Further investigation has been made in this area. This section looks at two weather factors and their impact on park visitation – temperature and , rainfall. All weather data provided in this section comes from the Bureau of Meteorology’s (BoM) Climate Data Online service.

3.1 Temperature Effects on PWG Park Visitation

Figure 3.1-1 compares monthly PWG park visitation to monthly maximum daytime temperatures displayed as a divergence from the average1. From 2008 to 2012 there appears to be a general trend between PWG park visitation and temperature – the higher the temperature above the average, the greater the number of park visits. The 2014 result differs from other years in that, as temperature increases above the average, park visitation decreases. However, results in 2016 reverted to the original 2008 to 2012 trend. In addition, peaks in visitation tend to correspond with peaks in temperature. Figures 3.1-2 to 3.1-9 compares the temperature with PWG park visitation at the PWG Branch level. There does not appear to be any specific trend in relation to visitation and temperature for the Greater Sydney Branch. In 2008 and 2010 visitation tended to increase as temperature increased above the average (and vice versa). However, from, 2012 to 2016, the opposite trend occurred. In survey years 2008, 2014 and 2016 visits to parks in the North Coast Branch tended to decrease as temperature increases above the average. However, in 2010 and 2012 the opposite trend was evident. Visitation tended to increase as temperature increased above the average for parks in the Hunter Central Coast Branch in 2008 and 2010, but the opposite trend was evident from 2012 to 2016. For visits to the Blue Mountains Branch visitation tended to increase when temperatures increased above the average in 2018 and 2016, whilst the opposite trend emerged from 2010 to 2014.

11 Divergence from the average is calculated using 50 weather stations across the state, representing each Divergence from the average is calculated using Divergence from the average is calculated using weather stations across the state, representing each PWG Region. Average is based on the BoM average for each weather station.

Page 20: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 18

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Visitation trends were again mixed for the South Coast Branch, with visitation declining as temperature increased above the average in 2008, 2012 and 2014, but trended in the opposite direction in 2010 and 2016. For visits to the Southern Ranges Branch visitation increased as temperature increased above the average in 2008, 2010 and 2014, but visitation decreased as temperature increased above the average in 2012 and 2016. Analysis of visitation to parks in the Northern Inland Branch should be treated with caution due to small sample sizes. However, visits tended to increase when temperature was above the average in 2008, 2012 and 2016, but declined with temperature in 2010 and 2014. Visitation to parks in the West Branch should be analysed with extreme caution due to extremely low sample sizes. However, from 2008 to 2014 visitation tended to decrease as temperature increased above the average, but tended to increase with temperature in 2016. It therefore appears that the temperature-visitation correlation of high visits at times when the temperature is above average is weak and subject to variation at the regional level across each year.

Page 21: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 19

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-1: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-10.0%

-7.5%

-5.0%

-2.5%

0.0%

2.5%

5.0%

7.5%

10.0%

12.5%

15.0%

17.5%

20.0%

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imum

Tem

pera

ture

(%

dive

rgen

ce fr

om a

vera

ge)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

PWG Park Visits State Maximum Temperature

Page 22: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 20

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-2: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – Greater Sydney Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-40%

-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

2,400

2,600

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imum

Tem

pera

ture

(%

dive

rgen

ce fr

om a

vera

ge)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

Greater Sydney Branch PWG Park Visits Greater Sydney Branch Maximum Temperature

Page 23: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 21

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-3: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – North Coast Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imum

Tem

pera

ture

(%

dive

rgen

ce fr

om a

vera

ge)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

North Coast Branch PWG Park Visits North Coast Branch Maximum Temperature

Page 24: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 22

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-4: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – Hunter Central Coast Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imum

Tem

pera

ture

(%

dive

rgen

ce fr

om a

vera

ge)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

Hunter Central Coast Branch PWG Park Visits Hunter Central Coast Branch Maximum Temperature

Page 25: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 23

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-5: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – Blue Mountains Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imum

Tem

pera

ture

(%

dive

rgen

ce fr

om a

vera

ge)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

Blue Mountains Branch PWG Park Visits Blue Mountains Branch Maximum Temperature

Page 26: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 24

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-6: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – South Coast Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imum

Tem

pera

ture

(%

dive

rgen

ce fr

om a

vera

ge)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

South Coast Branch PWG Park Visits South Coast Branch Maximum Temperature

Page 27: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 25

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-7: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – Southern Ranges Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imum

Tem

pera

ture

(%

diver

genc

e fro

m a

vera

ge)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

Southern Ranges Branch PWG Park Visits Southern Ranges Branch Maximum Temperature

Page 28: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 26

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.1-8: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – Northern Inland Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N J M M J S N

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Max

imun

Tem

pera

ture

(%

dive

rgen

ce f

rom

ave

rage

)

Visit

s ('00

0s)

Northern Inlands Branch PWG Park Visits Northern Inlands Branch Maximum Temperature

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2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 27

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Figure 3.1-9: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Temperatures1 – West Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings.

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3.2 Rainfall Effects on PWG Park Visitation

Figure 3.2-1 compares monthly PWG park visitation to monthly rainfall displayed as a divergence from the average1. From 2008 to 2014 there appears to be a general opposing trend between visitation and rainfall – the more rainfall is above the average, the fewer visits. This trend is particularly evident in 2008 and 2010, but the trend is not as strong in 2012 and 2014. In 2016 there is a weak opposite trend – the more rainfall is above the average, the more visits there are. However, for the most part, 2016 was dry, with high rainfall in 3 months (January, June and September). These rainfall events may have skewed averages, influencing the general rainfall- visitation relationship. Across each year, peaks in visitation generally tended to correspond with troughs in rainfall. Rainfall is more likely to impact on visitation if it is raining at both the origin of the visitor, as well as at the visitor’s intended destination and is therefore more likely to impact on visitation at the regional level. This is likely to be the case in 2016. Figures 3.2-2 to 3.2-8 compare rainfall with PWG park visitation at the PWG Branch level. In 2008 and 2010 and again in 2014 and 2016, visitation to parks in the Greater Sydney Branch tended to fall as rainfall increased above the average. However, in 2012, visitation decreased as rainfall decreased below the average. Visitation to parks in the North Coast Branch tends to decrease as rainfall increases above the average in 2008, 2010 and 2014. However, the opposite trend emerged in 2012 and 2016. Visitation to parks in the Hunter Central Coast follow a general trend across all years whereby visitation increases when rainfall decreases below the average. This Branch is the only one where this trend is consistent over time. From 2008 to 2010 visitation to parks in the Blue Mountains Branch tended to increase when rainfall decreased below the average. However, from 2012 to 2016 the opposite trend emerged. For the South Coast Branch no clear visitation trend emerged, with visitation increasing as rain increases above the average in 2008, 2012 and 2016, but behaving in the opposite manner in the intervening years of 2010 and 2014. The same cyclical pattern was also observed for parks in the Southern Ranges Branch. 11 Divergence from the average is calculated using 50 weather stations across the state, representing each Divergence from the average is calculated using 50 weather stations across the state, representing each Divergence from the average is calculated using 50 weather stations across the state, representing each PWG Region. Average is based on the BoM average for each weather station.

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Visitation to parks in the Northern Inland Branch should be analysed with caution due to small sample sizes. In 2008, 2010 and 2014 visitation tended to increase as rainfall increased above the average, but tended to decrease with rainfall in 2012 and 2016. Analysis of visitation to parks in the West Branch should be treated with extreme caution due to extremely small sample sizes. However, from 2008 to 2014 visits tended to increase when rainfall was above the average, while in 2016 the opposite trend was evident. In terms of climate variation, it would appear that there is a general trend from 2008 to 2014 that as rainfall increases above the average PWG park visitation decreases. This trend tends to be stronger than the temperature trend Of course, it should be noted these trends are based on an average for the state of NSW as a whole or based on selected weather stations in each Branch. Local weather conditions at both the visitor’s region of origin and their intended destination is likely to drive visitation at the regional level.

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Figure 3.2-1: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.2-2: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – Greater Sydney Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Figure 3.2-3: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – North Coast Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Figure 3.2-4: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – Hunter Central Coast Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Figure 3.2-5: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – Blue Mountains Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Figure 3.2-6: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – South Coast Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.2-7: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – Southern Ranges Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Figure 3.2-8: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – Northern Inland Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 3.2-9: Monthly PWG Park Visitation versus Monthly Rainfall1 – West Branch

1. Linear trend lines have been fitted to assist with description of findings. Formal trend analysis will be undertaken at the end of the 2016 survey.

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

4. OTHER SURVEY RESULTS Please note that statistically significant results highlighted in blue (higher) or orange (lower) compared with other years.

4.1 Purpose of Visit to a PWG Park

As of wave 7 in 2016 (i.e. from the travel period 23 May to 12 December) adult PWG park visitors were asked a new question for each different PWG park they visited in relation to their purpose of visit:

Was visiting this park part of a regular, daily, weekly or monthly routine; part of a day trip; part of an overnight visit or multi-day trip; or for some other reason?

Note that whilst the question was asked as a single response question, respondents could visit more than one PWG park in the 4 week survey period, so their purpose of visit could differ from park to park. Overall, the question must be regarded as a multiple response question (i.e. the sum of all responses totals over 100%). In terms of visitation to parks in each PWG Branch, not surprisingly, incidence of taking day trips is the highest for parks in the Greater Sydney Branch (64.8%), where parks are close to, or within the metropolitan area of Sydney and other major tourism destinations (see Figure 4.1). Incidence of visiting parks as part of an overnight visit was highest for the Southern Ranges Branch (48.6%), followed by the South Coast and North Coast Branches (35.1% and 32.3% respectively). Visiting a park as part of a regular routine was highest for the Hunter Central Coast Branch (43.3%). It should be noted however, that this question was only asked for waves 7 to 13 of the 2016 survey, which covers the period from late-May through to early December. Therefore, reason for visitation may differ from those observed in this survey for parks visited from mid-December through to mid-May, particularly since this period includes the summer school holidays, the autumn school holidays, plus Easter and the Anzac Day long weekend.

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Figure 4.1: Purpose of Visit to PWG Park 2016 by PWG Branch (Waves 7-13)

4.2 Reason for Visit to a PWG Park

Again, as of wave 7 in 2016 (i.e. from the travel period 23 May to 12 December) adult PWG park visitors were asked a new question for each different PWG park they visited in relation to their reason for visit:

Was visiting this park the only reason for your trip (100% of the trip purpose or intention); the main reason for your trip (75% of the trip purpose or intention); one of the main reasons for your trip (50% of the trip purpose or intention); a minor reason for your trip (25% of the trip purpose or intention); or not one of the reasons for your trip (0% of the trip purpose or intention)?

Note that whilst the question was asked as a single response question, respondents could visit more than one PWG park in the 4 week survey period, so their reason for their visit to each park could differ from park to park. Overall, the question must be regarded as a multiple response question (i.e. the sum of all responses totals over 100%). In addition, the mean reason for one’s visit could be calculated based on percentages allocated to each response option (i.e. 100% for only reason through to 0% for not one of the reasons). Greater Sydney Branch had the highest proportions indicating that their visit to the PWG park was the only reason for their visit (38.7%), as well as the main reason for their visit (36.9%). This resulted in the Greater Sydney Branch receiving the second highest mean

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Part of a day trip Part of a regular, daily, weekly or monthly routine Part of an overnight visit or multi-day trip Some other reason for visit Can't say

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

score for trip reason (70.2%), slightly lower than that attained for the Southern Ranges Branch (71.6% - attaining a higher mean score primarily due to smaller proportions claiming that the park was not one of their reasons for the trip). (See Figure 4.2) Almost half of those visiting a PWG park in the West Branch claimed that visiting the park was not one of the reasons for their trip (46.6%). Consequently the mean score for this Branch was a low 45.7%. Note that these results should tempered by the fact that these questions were only asked for the latter half of the survey year and results may differ for visits made in the earlier part of the year. Figure 4.2: Reason for Visit to PWG Park 2016 by PWG Branch (Waves 7-13)

4.3 Activities Undertaken at Most Recently Visited Park

Respondents who had visited a PWG park were asked what activities they undertook on their most recent visit. Almost all of those who visited a PWG park did some sort of ‘activity’, with 99% nominating a specific activity in each of the years from 2008 to 2016. Analysis of walking activities undertaken at one’s most recently visited PWG Park by Branch (Figures 4.3.1a and b) shows that the highest incidence of walking was recorded in 2016 for seven of the eight Branches (the exception being the West Branch). In most instances the 2016 results were significantly higher than in previous years. A cyclical pattern

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Mean 58.4%

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Mean 50.0% Mean 65.5% Mean 45.7%

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

emerges for walking in parks in the North Coast, Greater Sydney and South Coast Branches, with highs in 2008, 2012 and 2016 and lows in 2010 and 2014. Figures 4.3.2a and b show that incidence of water-based recreation activities are generally higher in the Hunter Central Coast, North Coast and South Coast Branches. Across Branches, incidence of undertaking water-based recreation remains relatively constant over time, with only marked fluctuations notable for the Southern Ranges and Hunter Central Coast Branches. In fact, water-based activities tend to exhibit a cyclical trend in the Hunter Central Coast Branch, low in 2008, 20012 and 2016 and high in 2010 and 2014.

Figure 4.3.1a: Walking Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

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Figure 4.3.1b: Walking Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

Figure 4.3.2a: Water-Based Recreation Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

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Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 4.3.2b: Water-Based Recreation Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

Incidence of undertaking picnicking and dining activities tends to be highest in the Greater Sydney Branch, averaging around a 20%-21% incidence rate from 2008 to 2016. Incidence of picnicking and dining activities were significantly low in 2016 for the Southern Ranges Branch (3% - with consistently low incidence rates evident since 2010) and the Hunter Central Coast Branch (5% - compared with 11%-12% from 2008 to 2012). A significantly high 22% of visitors to the West Branch in 2016 undertook picnicking and dining activities (see Figures 4.3.3a and b for more detail). Touring and sightseeing activities have tended to increase with time for parks visited in the Blue Mountains Branch, increasing from 16% in 2008 to 23% in 2016. A similar trend can be observed for the South Coast Branch since 2010 (from 9% to 19% in 2016). More detail can be observed in Figures 4.3.4 a and b).

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Wes

tS

outh

ern

Ran

ges

Sou

th C

oast

Gre

ater

Syd

ney

% recent visit of PWG park

Page 47: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 45

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 4.3.3a: Picnicking and Dining Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

Figure 4.3.3b: Picnicking and Dining Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

9

6

14

11

7

5

6

12

11

12

13

8

17

10

12

9

10

11

17

12

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

Blu

e M

ount

ains

Hun

ter C

entr

al C

oast

Nor

th C

oast

Nor

ther

n In

land

% recent visit of PWG park

22

4

21

8

3

3

3

3

10

4

10

11

12

11

21

17

20

26

20

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

Wes

tS

outh

ern

Ran

ges

Sou

th C

oast

Gre

ater

Syd

ney

% recent visit of PWG park

Page 48: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 46

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 4.3.4a: Touring and Sightseeing Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

Figure 4.3.4b: Touring and Sightseeing Activities at most recently visited PWG park by PWG Branch

23

19

18

16

16

10

12

7

8

9

12

11

10

13

8

15

17

20

10

14

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

Blu

e M

ount

ains

Hun

ter C

entr

al C

oast

Nor

th C

oast

Nor

ther

n In

land

% recent visit of PWG park

22

15

23

11

18

10

17

11

9

10

19

14

10

9

15

9

10

5

9

10

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

Wes

tS

outh

ern

Ran

ges

Sou

th C

oast

Gre

ater

Syd

ney

% recent visit of PWG park

Page 49: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 47

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Sample sizes are generally too small to analyse other activities over time at the PWG Branch level. However, for the Southern Ranges Branch, incidence of undertaking snow sports is of interest. In 2016 almost one third of those on their most recent visit to a PWG park undertook snow sports (32%), higher than 2008, 2010 and 2014 levels (18%, 24% and 29% respectively), but slightly lower than 2012 levels (40%). (See Figure 4.3.5)

Figure 4.3.5: Snow Sports at Recently visited park in the Southern Ranges Branch

4.4 Satisfaction with Most Recent Visit to a PWG Park

Respondents who had visited a PWG park were asked to give an overall satisfaction rating based on the experience of their most recent visit. For all years mean satisfaction was calculated using the following scores:

2 points – Very satisfied 1 point – Satisfied 0 points – Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied -1 point – Dissatisfied -2 points – Very Dissatisfied

Those answering can’t say were excluded from the mean satisfaction score calculation. The closer the mean score to 2 points, the higher the level of satisfaction. Analysis by PWG Branch has only been provided for overall satisfaction (i.e. satisfied + very satisfied) and is detailed in figures 4.4a and b. Three Branches in 2016 had an overall satisfaction percentage of 96% in 2016 - North Coast, Blue Mountains and West. However, the highest mean satisfaction score in 2016 was achieved for the Blue Mountains Branch (1.62). The lowest proportion satisfied overall in

32

29

40

24

18

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

2016

2014

2012

2010

2008

Page 50: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 48

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

2016 was observed for the Southern Ranges Branch (92%), with the Hunter Central Coast Branch attaining the lowest mean satisfaction score in 2016 (1.49). The proportion having overall satisfaction with their most recent visit to a PWG park has been steadily increasing over time for parks in the North Coast Branch, from 89% in 2008 to 96% in 2016. The highest mean scores for satisfaction were achieved in 2016 for the Blue Mountains Branch (1.62), the Northern Inland Branch (1.59) and the South Coast Branch (1.57). In general, the Greater Sydney Branch achieves the highest mean scores for satisfaction over time, with averages ranging from 1.47 to 1.58 over the period from 2008 to 2016. Blue Mountains and South Coast Branches follow closely, with the West Branch achieving the lowest mean satisfaction scores over the period, ranging from 1.25 to 1.67.

Figure 4.4a: Satisfaction with most recently visited PWG park by Branch

96

93

96

94

93

90

95

89

91

93

93

86

95

94

92

90

90

88

89

89

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Blue Mountains

Hunter CentralCoast

North Coast

Northern Inland

% recent visit of a PWG park

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Mean – 1.51 Mean – 1.56

Mean – 1.48 Mean – 1.43

Mean – 1.54

Mean – 1.41 Mean – 1.46

Mean – 1.38 Mean – 1.53

Mean – 1.49

Mean – 1.44 Mean – 1.54 Mean – 1.47 Mean – 1.46 Mean – 1.62

Mean – 1.34

Mean – 1.39 Mean – 1.37

Mean – 1.59

Mean – 1.50

Page 51: Annual Visits to PWG Managed Parks in New South Wales ......Parks. However, visitation to virtually all parks in the North Coast Branch increased on 2014 levels. Visits to Hunter Central

2016 Telephone Survey to Monitor Visits to NSW PWG Managed Parks Page 49

Roy Morgan Research June, 2017

Figure 4.4b: Satisfaction with most recently visited PWG park by Branch

96

92

94

95

89

94

94

96

89

86

92

95

100

88

93

94

83

92

91

93

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

West

Southern Ranges

South Coast

Greater Sydney

% recent visit of a PWG park

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Mean – 1.47 Mean – 1.52

Mean – 1.48 Mean – 1.49

Mean – 1.57

Mean – 1.59 Mean – 1.22

Mean – 1.61 Mean – 1.40

Mean – 1.53

Mean – 1.35 Mean – 1.67 Mean – 1.32 Mean – 1.25 Mean – 1.53

Mean – 1.47

Mean – 1.55 Mean – 1.58

Mean – 1.50

Mean – 1.51


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