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AP Chapter 15 The Fed

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Monetary Policy Monetary Policy Alan Greenspan Alan Greenspan the the Fed Fed
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Page 1: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Monetary PolicyMonetary Policy

Alan GreenspanAlan Greenspan

thethe “ “FedFed””

Page 2: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

RRRR Excess ReservesExcess Reserves

Total(Actual) ReservesTotal(Actual) Reserves

PMC = M x ER, so 5 x .80 = $4PMC = M x ER, so 5 x .80 = $4TMS = PMC[$4] + DD[$1] = $5TMS = PMC[$4] + DD[$1] = $5

[MS = Currency + DD of public][MS = Currency + DD of public]

Jennifer Garner deposits $1 with A 20% RRJennifer Garner deposits $1 with A 20% RR

.2020 80 cents80 cents

One DollarOne Dollar

Jen Garner’sJen Garner’s

Page 3: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Excess ReservesExcess Reserves

Total(Actual) ReservesTotal(Actual) Reserves

PMC = M x ER, so 5 x $1 = $5PMC = M x ER, so 5 x $1 = $5TMS [$5] = PMC [$5]TMS [$5] = PMC [$5]

[MS = currency + DD of public][MS = currency + DD of public]

Jennifer’s Bank Borrows $1 From The Fed Jennifer’s Bank Borrows $1 From The Fed [20% RR][20% RR]

00 One DollarOne Dollar

RRRR

One DollarOne Dollar

Jen Garner’sJen Garner’s FedFed

Page 4: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Beating the Inflation DragonBeating the Inflation Dragon

Page 5: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

If The Economy Is Exceeding If The Economy Is Exceeding The FE GDP Speed Limit Of 4% -The FE GDP Speed Limit Of 4% -

Page 6: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

““When the party gets too good, it’s the job When the party gets too good, it’s the job

of the Fed to take away the punch bowl.”of the Fed to take away the punch bowl.”

The Fed’s policy is “If you see inflation, its The Fed’s policy is “If you see inflation, its too late. Whip it before it gets out of the box.”too late. Whip it before it gets out of the box.”

During a recession, the Fed is happy to During a recession, the Fed is happy to “spike the punch.”“spike the punch.”

Page 7: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Should The Fed Chairman Show His Hand?Should The Fed Chairman Show His Hand?

Page 8: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

““For Richer For Richer oror For PoorerFor Poorer””

For For Andrea, Andrea, it tookit took 12 years 12 years to get ato get a marriage proposal marriage proposal she could understand. she could understand. [She got 3, but didn’t understand [She got 3, but didn’t understand what he was saying]what he was saying]

Page 9: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

GGreenspan reenspan SSworn in for aworn in for a 5 5thth 4 4-year-year T Termerm

Page 10: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Last PLast Paragraph of aragraph of Mr. Greenspan’s Marriage ProposalMr. Greenspan’s Marriage Proposal “Despite these concerns, and in the final analysis, the more preponderous weight of evidence

considered in these deliberations falls on the side of a matrimonial rapproachement. I am prepared to act on these conclusions where warranted, with your consent, in a way that is consistent with my role as chairman of the Federal Reserve.”

This was Fedspeak for, This was Fedspeak for, “Will You Marry Me?”“Will You Marry Me?”

Page 11: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Monetary PolicyMonetary Policy – America’s Main Stabilization Tool

Monetary Policy ToolsMonetary Policy Tools1.1. Discount RateDiscount Rate – – when when banks borrow banks borrow from thefrom the Fed Fed2.2. Reserve Ratio Reserve Ratio – currently 10%; the most powerful tool– currently 10%; the most powerful tool3.3. Buying [recession]Buying [recession] && selling [inflation] selling [inflation] of bondsof bonds

RecessionRecession

InflationInflation

NominalNominalInterestInterest

RateRate

Page 12: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEET OF FED BANKS

ASSETSASSETS•Securities [90%]Securities [90%]•Loans to Commercial BanksLoans to Commercial Banks

LIABILITIESLIABILITIES•Reserves of Commercial Reserves of Commercial

BanksBanks•Treasury DepositsTreasury Deposits•Federal Reserve Notes Federal Reserve Notes

[90%][90%]

Page 13: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

GOALS OF MONETARY POLICY

…to assist the economy in achieving a full-employment, noninflationary level of total output

Page 14: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY

Open-Market OperationsBuying Securities (Bonds of Course)

From commercial banks...• Bank gives up securities• FED pays bank• Banks have increased reserves

From the public...• Public gives up securities• Public deposits check in bank• Banks have increased reserves

Page 15: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY

Open-Market OperationsSelling Securities To commercial banks...

• FED gives up securities• Bank pays for securities• Banks have decreased reserves

To the public...• FED gives up securities• Public pays by check from bank• Banks have decreased reserves

Page 16: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

New reservesNew reserves$1,000$1,000Excess

Reserves

$$5,0005,000PMC thru Bank System Lending

FedFed buys a $ buys a $1,000 1,000 Bond from aBond from a BankBank

TMS is is $5000$5000

20% RR20% RRFedFed

Page 17: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Interest Rates

Going Up and Up

Page 18: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Recent GDPRecent GDP

Page 19: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Current U.E., GDP Rates

5.1 % - March 08 0.6% GDP – 4th Quarter 2007

Page 20: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

New reserves$800

ExcessReserves

$4000Bank System Lending

FEDERAL RESERVEPURCHASE OF BONDS

Purchase of a$1000 bondfrom the public

$200Requiredreserves

$1000Initial

Deposit

Total Increase in Money Supply ($5000)

Page 21: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

New reserves$800$800

ExcessExcessReservesReserves

$$40004000PMCPMC thru Bank Lending

Mischa Barton Mischa Barton DepositsDeposits $1,000$1,000 In Her In Her BankBank[[RR is 20RR is 20%%]]

$$200200

RRRR

$$10001000Initial

Deposit

TMSTMS is $$5,0005,000

Mischa fromMischa fromthe the O.C.O.C. [member [memberof the public]of the public]

Mischa Barton’sMischa Barton’s

Page 22: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY

Open-Market Operations

The Reserve RatioRaising the Reserve Ratio

• Banks must hold more reserves• Banks decrease lending• Money supply decreases

Lowering the Reserve Ratio• Banks may hold less reserves• Banks increase lending• Money supply increases

Page 23: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY

Open-Market Operations

The Reserve Ratio

The Discount RateEasy Money Policy• Buy Securities• Decrease Reserve Ratio• Lower Discount Rate

Page 24: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY

Open-Market Operations

The Reserve Ratio

The Discount RateEasy Money PolicyTight Money Policy• Sell Securities• Increase Reserve Ratio• Raise Discount Rate

Page 25: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY

Open-Market Operations

The Reserve Ratio

The Discount RateEasy Money PolicyTight Money Policy• Sell Securities• Increase Reserve Ratio• Raise Discount Rate

Page 26: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP,AND THE PRICE LEVEL

Cause-Effect Chain• Money supply impacts interest

rates• Interest rates affect investment• Investment is a component of

AD• Equilibrium GDP is changed

Page 27: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Real domestic output, GDP

Dm

InvestmentDemand

Rea

l rat

e of

inte

rest

, i

10

8

6

0Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i

MONETARY POLICY AND EQUILIBRIUM GDPSm1

AS

AD1(I=$15)

P1

10

8

6

0

Sm2

AD3(I=$25)

P2

If the Money SupplyIncreases to Stimulatethe Economy…Interest Rate DecreasesInvestment IncreasesAD & GDP Increases with slight inflation

Pri

ce le

vel

AD2(I=$20)

P3

Sm3

Increasing money supply continues the growth – but, watch Price Level.

Page 28: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

MONETARY POLICY IN ACTIONStrengths of monetary policy• Speed and flexibility• Isolation from political

pressureFocus on the Federal Funds Rate

The Federal Funds Rate

The Prime Interest Rate

Recent Monetary Policy

Page 29: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

RecessionRecession

LowerLowerLowerLowerBuyBuy

InflationInflationRaiseRaiseRaiseRaiseSellSell

YYR R YY**

ADADASAS

LRASLRASASASADAD

YY**YYII

1. 1. Discount RateDiscount Rate – banks borrow from the Fed (symbolic)

2. 2. Required ReserveRequired Reserve - % of DD which cannot be loaned.3. BuyBuy//SellSell BondsBonds – government debt T-billsT-bills–3 mo., 6 mo., & 1 year; purchase price: $10,000$10,000 T-notesT-notes - 2 yr., 3 yr., 5 yr.,($5,000)($5,000), & 10 yr., ($10,000)($10,000) T-bondsT-bonds – 30 years with purchase of $1,000$1,000

Prime RatePrime Rate – loan rate to the best (prime) customers

Federal Funds Target RateFederal Funds Target Rate – banks borrow from one another

3 Tools 3 Tools of of Monetary PolicyMonetary Policy

3.53.5%%11 decreases11 decreases

Aug 05Aug 05

Page 30: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

YYRR Real GDP

DDMM

InvestmentDemand

Rea

ll I

nte

res

t R

ate 10

8

6

0Money Market QID1QID1

“ “Easy Money” During RecessionsEasy Money” During RecessionsMSMS11

ASADAD11

P1

10

8

6

0

MSMS22

P2

Pri

ce le

vel

BuyBuy

If there is If there is RECESSIONRECESSIONMS will beMS will beincreased.increased.

QID2QID2

DDII

Y*Y*

““Easy Money” Easy Money” – – ((Buy/Sell) Buy/Sell) bonds,bonds,whichwhich (increase/decrease)(increase/decrease) MS, MS, which which (increase/decrease) interest rates, (increase/decrease) interest rates, which (appreciate/depreciate)which (appreciate/depreciate)the the dollar, dollar, whichwhich (increase/decrease)(increase/decrease)C, Ig,C, Ig, & & Xn, Xn, whichwhich (increase/decrease (increase/decrease))AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. EE11

EE22

ADAD22

““Students, should the Fed Students, should the Fed buybuy or or sell sell bonds to bonds to jumpstart this economy?”jumpstart this economy?”

Jobs are Jobs are tough to get.tough to get.

LRASLRAS

Illustrate the monetarist viewIllustrate the monetarist view

Page 31: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

DDII

ADAD11

YYII

Dm

InvestmentDemand

Rea

ll I

nte

res

t R

ate 10

8

6

0Money MarketQID2 AS

10

8

6

0

P2

MS1

P1

MSMS22

If there isIf there isINFLATIONINFLATION,,MS will beMS will bedecreased.decreased.

SellSell

QIDQID11

YY**

““Tight Money” during InflationTight Money” during Inflation

““Tight Money”Tight Money” – (Buy/Sell) – (Buy/Sell)bonds, bonds, whichwhich (incr/decr) the MS,(incr/decr) the MS,whichwhich (incr/decr) in. rates, (incr/decr) in. rates, whichwhich (apprec/deprec) the dollar,(apprec/deprec) the dollar,which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn,which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn,whichwhich (incr/decr) AD, PL, (incr/decr) AD, PL,&& GDP. GDP.

EE11

EE22

ADAD22

““Now, should Now, should I I buybuy or or sellsell?”?”

““I’ll get rid of I’ll get rid of some money.”some money.”

LRASLRAS

Page 32: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

YYRR YY** Investment Demand

99%%

6%6%

33%%

0

Money MarketMoney Market $50$50 $60$60

AS

ADAD11

PLPL11

99%%

66%%

33%%

00

MSMS22ADAD22

PLPL22

$70$70 YYII

ADAD33DI

DDmm

PLPL33

MSMS11 MSMS33

$100$100 120120 140140 QQIIDD

II=$50]=$50] II=$60=$60

II=$70=$70

RDORDO

The ideal economy is ADAD22, with I.R. at 6%6% & Ig at $60$60 billion billion.

Page 33: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

YYRR YY** Investment Demand

99%%

6%6%

0

Money MarketMoney Market $50$50 $60$60

AS

ADAD11

PLPL11

99%%

66%%

00

MSMS22ADAD22

PLPL22

DI

DDmm

MSMS11

$100$100 120120 QQIIDD

II=$50]=$50] II=$60=$60

RDORDO

Recessionary GapRecessionary GapIncrease MS from $100$100 to $120$120, which lowers the I.R. from 9%9% to 6%6%,, which increases QID from $50$50 to $60$60, which increases AD from ADAD11 to ADAD22.

Page 34: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Real GDP Q

PL SRASSRASADAD22

YYRR YYFF

Expansionary Fiscal PolicyExpansionary Fiscal Policy

[[Incr GIncr G; ; Decr TDecr T]]

PPL1L1

ADAD11

PLPL22

GG ADAD Y/Empl./PL;Y/Empl./PL; GG LFMLFM II.R..R.

TT DDII CC ADAD Y/Emp/PL;Y/Emp/PL; TT LFMLFM IIRR

Start from a Start from a Balanced BudgetBalanced BudgetG & T = $2 TrillionG & T = $2 Trillion

$$2 T 2 T $2 T$2 T

““I can’t I can’t get a job.”get a job.”

““Now, this is better.”Now, this is better.”

GG TT EE11EE22

LRASLRAS

Page 35: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

YY** Investment Demand

6%6%

33%%

0

Money MarketMoney Market $60$60

AS

66%%

33%%

00

MSMS22ADAD22

PLPL22

$70$70 YYII

ADAD33DI

DDmm

PLPL33

MSMS33

$$120120 140140 QQIIDD

II=$60=$60

II=$70=$70

RDORDO

Inflationary GapInflationary GapDecrease MS from $140$140 to $120$120, which increases the I.R. from 3%3% to 6%6%.. which decreases QID from $70$70 to $60$60, which decreases AD from AD3AD3 to AD2AD2.

Page 36: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

GOALS OF MONETARY POLICYGOALS OF MONETARY POLICY

…to assist the economy in achieving a full employment,

non-inflationary level of output

Page 37: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

1. 1. Open Market OperationsOpen Market Operations - - “nuts and bolts” of Monetary Policy [main tool]

- $60-$70 billion every day

Three Tools Of Monetary PolicyThree Tools Of Monetary Policy

Page 38: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

2. 2. Reserve RequirementReserve Requirement - - most powerful (seldom used) - affects money creation by changing ER and the multiplier - an increase ofincrease of ½ of 1½ of 1%% would increaseincrease bank reservesbank reserves by by over $5 over $5 billionbillion

- RR was 20%20% from 1937-19581937-1958 Sledgehammer Sledgehammer of of MMonetaryonetary P Policyolicy

RR - RR - Atomic Bomb of Monetary PolicyAtomic Bomb of Monetary Policy

Page 39: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Reserve Requirement ExampleReserve Requirement ExampleSuppose the banking system has $500 billion in DD.The RR is 12% RR is 12% & TR are $60 billion$60 billion, which is 12%12% of the $500 bilion$500 bilion DDDD. So, there are no ERno ER.

Now, the Fed lowers the RR to 10%lowers the RR to 10%. Now banks arerequired required to to keep only $50 bilkeep only $50 bil. in RR. So, $10 billion $10 billion more ERmore ER is available to loan out.$10 billion X 10 = $100 billion in new DD$10 billion X 10 = $100 billion in new DD.So, 20% increase MS [DD]20% increase MS [DD] from $500 to $600$500 to $600 billion.

Atomic Bomb of Monetary PolicyAtomic Bomb of Monetary Policy

Page 40: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

$10,000$10,000[$9,000+$1,000][$9,000+$1,000]

[In [In 19801980, , the the RR RR was set atwas set at 12%12%; stayed ; stayed there untilthere until 19921992; ; went towent to 10%10%]]

““EEasy asy MMoneyoney””

ASAS

ADAD11ADAD22

YYR R YY**

PLPL

$1,000$1,000InitialInitial

depositdeposit

$900$900[$900x10][$900x10]

$1,000$1,000

$810$810

$729$729

Monetary ExpansionMonetary Expansion[10% RR] [1/.10=10][10% RR] [1/.10=10]

““Easy Money”Easy Money”

The Reserve RequirementThe Reserve Requirement

““Easy Money”Easy Money” – increase the money supply – increase the money supply

Page 41: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

$5,000$5,000[$4,000+$1,000][$4,000+$1,000]

““Tight Money”Tight Money” -- decrease the money suplydecrease the money suply

RR at 20% - Tight MoneyRR at 20% - Tight MoneyMonetary ExpansionMonetary Expansion

(20% RR) [1/.20=M(20% RR) [1/.20=MDD of 5] of 5]

““Tight Money”Tight Money”

$1,000$1,000Initial Initial

depositdeposit

$800$800$640$640

$512$512

Page 42: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

3. Discount Rate Discount Rate - - emergency Fed loansemergency Fed loans to to banksbanks- - symbolic (raises Prime RatePrime Rate)- Discount Rate was 1% from 1934-46 and the prime rate was 1.5% HurricaneHurricane

EarthQuakeEarthQuake

FL borrowed $99million In 1991

The Fed tends to change the D.R. inThe Fed tends to change the D.R. inlockstep with the fed funds target rate.lockstep with the fed funds target rate.

Page 43: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Part of Uncle Sam’s MenuPart of Uncle Sam’s Menu

Page 44: AP Chapter 15 The Fed
Page 45: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Monetary Policy At WorkMonetary Policy At Work

During this period, 1990-1992, the During this period, 1990-1992, the Fed did 4 thingsFed did 4 things::1. 1. Decreased discount rateDecreased discount rate from 10% to 3%; from 10% to 3%; 2. 2. DecreasedDecreased the the RRRR from from 12% to 10%; 12% to 10%; 3. 3. Decreased the Fed Funds Rate Decreased the Fed Funds Rate 24 times, and24 times, and 4. 4. Bought bondsBought bonds

Page 46: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Fed Funds Rate 1993-2004Fed Funds Rate 1993-2004

3%3%May, 2005

Page 47: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Relative Importance of Monetary PolicyRelative Importance of Monetary Policy

Relative Importance of Monetary PolicyRelative Importance of Monetary PolicyA. WWIIWWII--19791979–Fed targeted the interest rateinterest rate not the growth of MS.B. 1979-19821979-1982 – Fed targeted the growth of the MSgrowth of the MS not the in. rate.C. 1982-Present1982-Present-Fed targets the interest rateinterest rate, not the MS. 1. Discount RateDiscount Rate – not a primary tool of monetary policy. It does have an “announcement effect.” 2. Reserve RequirementReserve Requirement (1010%)-has changed one time in 2 decades (12% to 10% in 1992). It would affect bank profits so is seldom usedseldom used. 3. Open-market operationsOpen-market operations – evolved as the most effectivemost effective tool of monetary policy because of flexibilityflexibility. Securities can be bought or sold in large amounts & their impact on reserves is very prompt.

Effectiveness of Monetary PolicyEffectiveness of Monetary PolicyStrengths of Monetary PolicyStrengths of Monetary Policy 1. Speed and flexibilitySpeed and flexibility –can quickly be altered (compared to fiscal policy). This can occur on a daily basis and influence interest ratesinfluence interest rates and the MS. 2. Isolation Isolation from from political pressurespolitical pressures – because of the 14 year terms. They can enact unpopular policiesunpopular policies which might be best for our economy’s healthbest for our economy’s health.

Page 48: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Also, the Keynesians Keynesians don’t think the the lower interest ratelower interest rate is asis as important important as as “profit expectations.”“profit expectations.”

YR YY**

DDm(K)m(K)

InvestmentDemand

10%

88%%

66%%

0Money MarketMoney Market QID1 QID2

MMonetarist onetarist VViewiew of of Transmission MechanismTransmission Mechanism v.v. K Keynesian eynesian VViewiew

AS

AD1

PL1

10

88%%

66%%

0

MSMS22 AD2

PLPL22

YYIIDDmm is more inelastic is more inelastic[I.R. moreI.R. more sensitivesensitive]

QIDQID22

DDII is more elastic is more elastic[or moreor more responsiveresponsive]

ADAD2(M)2(M)DI(K)

DDI(M)I(M)

DDm(Mm(M)) (K)(K)

PLPL22

Mainly, we end up just Mainly, we end up just getting inflation. getting inflation.

MSMS11

KKeynesian vieweynesian view is that DI is rather steepsteep so monetary policy is not that strong. F Fiscal policy iscal policy is “top banana.”“top banana.”

ASASADAD11

ADAD22

Page 49: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Cyclical AsymmetryCyclical Asymmetry (lack of balancelack of balance) – “Tight money during inflations is more effective than easy money policy during a depressions.” a. An easy money policy during depressioneasy money policy during depression does not guarantee that people will take out loans if they don’t have jobs. [“You can lead a horse to[“You can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make him drink.”]water, but you can’t make him drink.”] b. The cyclical asymmetry has not created a majornot created a major difficultydifficulty for monetary policy except during times of depressionexcept during times of depression. c. Velocity of money may increaseVelocity of money may increase during inflationduring inflation when the fed is trying towhen the fed is trying to decrease the MSdecrease the MS & decrease during recession when the Fed is trying to increase MS. d. The lower interest rates during recessionlower interest rates during recession & depreciationdepreciation of the dollar may cause foreign investors to pull their money out of the U.S.foreign investors to pull their money out of the U.S. and reduce the MSreduce the MS. e. Banks may hold their ERBanks may hold their ER or the public may hold too much currencypublic may hold too much currency.

f. DDm curve may be more flatm curve may be more flat so that interest rate will not drop as muchso that interest rate will not drop as much, or the

DDI I curve may be more vertical so that investment will not increase ascurve may be more vertical so that investment will not increase as muchmuch.

Shortcomings and Problems of Monetary PolicyShortcomings and Problems of Monetary PolicyBut – I will eat But – I will eat spiked brownies.spiked brownies.

Page 50: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Strengths of Monetary PolicyStrengths of Monetary Policy

•Speed and flexibility• Isolation from political pressure•Successes in the 1980s & 1990sShortcomings and problems

[better at fighting inflationfighting inflation than fighting depressionsfighting depressions]

Page 51: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Only “fiscal or monetary Only “fiscal or monetary policy” can get me back policy” can get me back on my feet and allow on my feet and allow “Sam” to get back up.“Sam” to get back up.

““Help”Help”

Page 52: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Fiscal PolicyFiscal PolicyRecessionRecession InflationInflationIncrease GIncrease G Decrease GDecrease GDecrease TDecrease T Increase T Increase T

Monetary PolicyMonetary PolicyRecessionRecession InflationInflationLower D. RateLower D. Rate Raise D. RateRaise D. RateLower R. RateLower R. Rate Raise R. RRaise R. RatioatioBuy BondsBuy Bonds Sell BondsSell Bonds

““Easy Money”Easy Money” “Tight M“Tight Moneyoney””

Page 53: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Monetary and Fiscal PolicyMonetary and Fiscal Policy

Page 54: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Presidents try to put a positivePresidents try to put a positivespin on a struggling spin on a struggling

economyeconomy

Page 55: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICYTOOLS OF MONETARY POLICYDiscount RateDiscount RateThe Reserve RatioThe Reserve RatioOpen Market OperationsOpen Market Operations

Easy Money PolicyEasy Money Policy• LowerLower Discount Rate• LowerLower Reserve Ratio• BuyBuy Bonds

““Easy Money”Easy Money”

FedFed

Page 56: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICYTOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY

Discount RateDiscount Rate

The Reserve RatioThe Reserve RatioOpen Market OperationsOpen Market Operations

Tight Money PolicyTight Money Policy• RaiseRaise Discount Rate• RaiseRaise Reserve Ratio• SellSell Bonds

““Got to Got to decrease decrease the MS.”the MS.”

FedFed

Page 57: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

48. The 3 tools of monetary policy3 tools of monetary policy are open market operations, changes in RR, & (changes in T/changes in G/ changes in discount rate).

49. The main toolmain tool of theof the Fed Fed in regulating the MS is (open-market operations/DR/RR).

50. When the FeFedd[$$$$] sells securities to the PUBLICPUBLIC[T-bills], DDDD (don’t change/incr/decr) & banking system RR, ER & TR (incr/decr).51. When the FedFed[T-bills] buys securities from commercial bankscommercial banks[$$$$], DD (don’t change/increase/decrease) & ER and TR (increase/decrease).

52. When the commercial bankingcommercial banking systemsystem[$$$$] borrows from the FedFed, DD (don’t change/increase/decrease) but ER & TR (incr/decr).53. When commercial bankscommercial banks[$$$$] sell government securities to the FedFed[T-bills], DD (don’t change/incr/decr) but their ER & TR (do not change/incr/decr).54. When the PUBLICPUBLIC[T-bills] buys securities from the FedFed[$$$$], DD (don’t change/incr/decr) and RR, ER, & TR of banks (don’t change/incr/decr).55. When a commercial bankcommercial bank gets a loan from the FedFed, their lending ability (incr/decr).

56. Assume that the RR is 25% & the Thunder BankThunder Bank borrows $100,000 from the

FedFed., commercial bank ERs are increased $________. PMC in the banking system are increased by $_______. TMS can be as much as $________.57. The (margin requirement/discount rate) specifies the size of the down payment on stock purchasesdown payment on stock purchases. 58. If the Fed Fed were to increase the RR [10% to 20%]were to increase the RR [10% to 20%] we would expect (higher/lower) interest rates, a (reduced/expanded) GDP and (appreciation/depreciation) of the dollar. [less “C”, “Ig”, & “Xn”]

NS 48-58NS 48-58 ((MSMS == DDDD + + Currency of PublicCurrency of Public))

100,000100,000400,000400,000 400,000400,000

Page 58: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

59. When the RR is increased [10RR is increased [10% to% to 50 50%%]], the ER of member banks are (increased/decreased) and the monetary multiplier is (incr/decr).60. Assume the RR is 25% and the FedFed buys $4 M of bonds from the publicpublic. The MS is increased by ($3/$4/) million and the PMC is increased by ($16/$12) M. Potential TMS is ($3/$4/$12/$16) M.61. When the Fed Fed lends to commercial bankscommercial banks, this is called the (Fed Funds Rate/discount rate) and when commercial bankscommercial banks make loans to one another, this is the (Fed Funds Rate/ Discount Rate). 62. The Keynesian cause-effect chain of ancause-effect chain of an easy money policyeasy money policy would be to (buy/sell) bonds; which would (increase/decrease) the MS, which would (lower/raise) interest rates & (incr/decr) Ig, “C”, Xn, & Y.63. If the FedFed were to buy government securitieswere to buy government securities in the open marketin the open market, we would anticipate (lower/higher) interest rates, an (expanded/contracted)

GDP, and (appreciation/depreciation) of the dollar.64. If the FedFed were reducing demand-pull inflationwere reducing demand-pull inflation, the proper policies would be (lower/raise) the discount rate, (lower/raise) the RR and ((buy/sell) government bonds.65. Monetary policyMonetary policy is is thought thought to beto be more effective more effective in (controlling inflation/

fighting depressions) and fiscal fiscal is is more effectivemore effective (controlling inflation/ fighting depressions).66.The “net export effect”“net export effect” of an “easy” money policy“easy” money policy (strengthens/ weakens) that policy, while the “net export effect” of “expansionary” fiscal policy (strengthens/weakens) that policy. [impact of interest rates]

NS 57-66NS 57-66

Page 59: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

YYRR YY** Investment Demand

99%%

6%6%

33%%

0

Money MarketMoney Market $50$50 $60$60

AS

ADAD11

PLPL11

99%%

66%%

33%%

00

MSMS22ADAD22

PLPL22

$70$70 YYII

ADAD33DI

DDmm

PLPL33

MSMS11 MSMS33

$100$100 120120 140140 QQIIDD

II=$50]=$50] II=$60=$60

II=$70=$70

RDORDO

67. If 67. If AD is AD3AD is AD3, what must the Fed do to get to , what must the Fed do to get to AD2(FE GDP [Y*])AD2(FE GDP [Y*])?? (increase/decrease) the MS from ($120/$140) to ($100/$120).(increase/decrease) the MS from ($120/$140) to ($100/$120).68. If the 68. If the MS is MS1MS is MS1, & the goal of the Fed is , & the goal of the Fed is FE GDPFE GDP[[Y*Y*], they should], they should (increase/decrease) the MS from ($100/$120) to ($120/$140).(increase/decrease) the MS from ($100/$120) to ($120/$140).69. Which of the following would 69. Which of the following would shift the MS curve from shift the MS curve from MS3MS3 toto MS2 MS2?? (buying/selling) bonds.(buying/selling) bonds.70. If the 70. If the MS is MS2MS is MS2 and the goal of the Fed is and the goal of the Fed is FE GDP of Y*FE GDP of Y*, they should, they should (increase/decrease/don’t change) the Ms.(increase/decrease/don’t change) the Ms.

NS 67-70NS 67-70

Page 60: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

71. 71. An An easy money policyeasy money policy will (apprec/deprec) the dollar & (incr/decr) U.S. Xn. will (apprec/deprec) the dollar & (incr/decr) U.S. Xn. A A tight money policytight money policy will (apprec/deprec) the dollar & (incr/decr) U.S. Xn. will (apprec/deprec) the dollar & (incr/decr) U.S. Xn.72. If the economy were in a 72. If the economy were in a severe recessionsevere recession, , proper monetary policyproper monetary policy would call would call for (lowering/raising) the discount rate, for (lowering/raising) the discount rate, (lowering/raising(lowering/raising) the RR, & (buying/selling)) the RR, & (buying/selling) bonds. Proper bonds. Proper fiscal policyfiscal policy would be to (incr/decr) “G” & (incr/decr) “T”, both of would be to (incr/decr) “G” & (incr/decr) “T”, both of which would result in a bugetary (deficit/surplus). which would result in a bugetary (deficit/surplus).

NS 71-72NS 71-72

Page 61: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

1. If your bankbank borrows $50,000 from the FedFed, does this automatically increase the MS? _____ Does this loan increase the amount in RR?_____ ER? ____ With 10% RR, PMC is __________. TMS is __________.2. If the RR is 50% & the FedFed buys $100 mil. of securities from the publicpublic, then: MSMS is increased by ________. PMC is _________. TMS is ________.3. What will cause the Dt(& total demand) for money curve to shift rightDt(& total demand) for money curve to shift right? (increase/decrease) in nominal (money) Y?4. When the FedFed buys bonds from banksbuys bonds from banks [or gives them a loan], DD are (incr/decr/ unchanged) but their ER & TR both (incr/decr/unchanged).5. If the FedFed buys $10 million of securities from the publicpublic, with a RR of 40%, MSMS is increased by ________ & PMC is _________. TMS is ________.6. If the FedFed decreased the RR from 20% to 10%RR from 20% to 10%, we would expect (higher/lower) interest rates, (appreciation/depreciation) of the dollar, and an

(increase/decrease) in GDP.7. DD of $100,000 and RR of 25% in a commercial banking systemcommercial banking system with TR of $40,000. PMC in the banking system is ($240,000/$60,000).8. If you are estimating your expensesestimating your expenses for the prom at $3,000for the prom at $3,000, money is functioning as (unit of account/medium of exchange/store of value).

MoneyMoney, , BankingBanking, , & & FedFed Test Review 1-8Test Review 1-8

NoNo NoNoYesYes $500,000$500,000 $500,000$500,000

$100 $100 mil.mil. $100 $100 milmil.. $200$200 mil. mil.

$10 $10 mil.mil. $15 $15 mil.mil. $25 mil.$25 mil.

Page 62: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

YYRR Real GDP

DDMM

InvestmentDemand

Rea

ll I

nte

res

t R

ate 10

8

6

0Money MarketMoney Market QID1QID1

NS 9. “Easy Money” During RecessionsNS 9. “Easy Money” During RecessionsMSMS11

ASADAD11

P1

10

8

6

0

MSMS22

P2

Pri

ce le

vel

BuyBuy

If there is If there is RECESSIONRECESSIONMS will beMS will beincreased.increased.

QID2QID2

DDII

Y*Y*

9. 9. “Easy Money”“Easy Money”––((Buy/Sell) Buy/Sell) bonds,bonds,whichwhich (increase/decrease)(increase/decrease) MS, MS, which which (increase/decrease) interest rates, (increase/decrease) interest rates, which (appreciate/depreciate)which (appreciate/depreciate)the the dollar, dollar, whichwhich (increase/decrease)(increase/decrease)C, Ig,C, Ig, & & Xn, Xn, whichwhich (increase/decrease (increase/decrease))AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. EE11

EE22

ADAD22

““Students, should the Fed Students, should the Fed buybuy or or sell sell bonds to bonds to jumpstart this economy?”jumpstart this economy?”

Jobs are Jobs are tough to get.tough to get.

Page 63: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

DDII

ADAD11

YYII

Dm

InvestmentDemand

Real In

tere

st

Rate

10

8

6

0Money Market Money Market QID2 AS

10

8

6

0

P2

MS1

P1

MSMS22

If there isIf there isINFLATIONINFLATION,,MS will beMS will bedecreased.decreased.

SellSell

QIDQID11

YY**

NS 10. “Tight Money” during InflationNS 10. “Tight Money” during Inflation

10. 10. “Tight Money”“Tight Money” – (Buy/Sell) – (Buy/Sell)bonds, bonds, whichwhich (incr/decr) the MS,(incr/decr) the MS,whichwhich (incr/decr) in. rates, (incr/decr) in. rates, whichwhich (apprec/deprec) the dollar,(apprec/deprec) the dollar,which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn,which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn,whichwhich (incr/decr) AD, PL, (incr/decr) AD, PL,&& GDP. GDP.

EE11

EE22

ADAD22

““Now, should Now, should I I buybuy or or sellsell?”?”

““I’ll get rid of I’ll get rid of some money.”some money.”

Page 64: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

RR RR is is 20% Assets 20% Assets DDDD(Liabilities)(Liabilities)

TR[RR+ER] = TR[RR+ER] = $20 mil.$20 mil. $100 million

11. How much can 11. How much can Pam’sPam’s bankbank loan out? $______ loan out? $______12. If Pam Anderson’s BankPam Anderson’s Bank borrows $1,000 from the FedFed ER will increase by $$_______.

13. Possible Money Creation in the system could be $$_______.

14. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $$________.

00

1,0001,000

5,0005,000

5,0005,000

TR 11-14 TR 11-14 MS = Currency + DD of Public

PPam am AAnderson’snderson’s Bank Bank FedFed

Page 65: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

RR RR is is 50% Assets 50% Assets DDDD(Liabilities)(Liabilities)

TR[RR+ER] = TR[RR+ER] = $50 mil.$50 mil. $100 million

11. How much can 11. How much can Cameron’sCameron’s bankbank loan out? $______ loan out? $______12. If Cameron Diaz’s BankCameron Diaz’s Bank borrows $5,000 from the FedFed ER will increase by $$_______.

13. Possible Money Creation in the system could be $$________.

14. Potential Total Money Supply could be as much as $$________.

00

5,0005,000

10,00010,000

10,00010,000

Extra PracticeExtra Practice MS = Currency + DD of Public

Cameron Diaz’s BankCameron Diaz’s Bank FedFed

Page 66: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

15. If the goal is F.E., 15. If the goal is F.E., & the& the interest rateinterest rate is is 9%9%, a(an) (recess/, a(an) (recess/ inflat) gap exists, the inflat) gap exists, the FedFed should (incr/decr) the in. rate. should (incr/decr) the in. rate.16. If the 16. If the interest rate isinterest rate is 3%3%, a(an) (recess/inflat) gap exists, , a(an) (recess/inflat) gap exists, the the FedFed should (increase/decrease) the interest rate. should (increase/decrease) the interest rate.17. I17. If the f the interest rateinterest rate is is 6%6%, the the Fed Fed shoulshould d (incr/decr/do nothing)(incr/decr/do nothing) to the interest rate. to the interest rate. 18.18. To reduce To reduce inflationinflation,, the the Fed Fed should should (lower, lower, buy/raise, raise, sell)(lower, lower, buy/raise, raise, sell)

19. 19. To get out ofTo get out of a a recessionrecession, , the the Fed Fed should should (lower, lower, buy/raise, raise, sell)(lower, lower, buy/raise, raise, sell)

YYRR YY** Investment Demand

99%%

6%6%

33%%

0

Money MarketMoney Market $50$50 $60$60

AS

ADAD11

PLPL11

99%%

66%%

33%%

00

MSMS22ADAD22

PLPL22

$70$70 YYII

ADAD33DI

DDmm

PLPL33

MSMS11 MSMS33

$100$100 120120 140140 QQIIDD

II=$50]=$50] II=$60=$60

II=$70=$70

RDORDO

Test Review 15-19Test Review 15-19

Page 67: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

1. If the RR is 40% and the FedFed buys $100 M of bonds from the publicpublic, then the MSMS is increased by _______. ER are increased by ______. PMC is _______. TMS would be ______.2. RR is 50% and the Bishop BankBishop Bank borrows $100 M from the FedFed. As a result, RR are increased by ______. ER is increased

by _______. PMC and TMS is increased by ________.3. Your bankbank has DDDD of $400,000 and the RR is 25%. If RR and ER are equal, then TR are _______.4. The Duck BankDuck Bank has ER of $60,000 & DD is $200,000. If the RR is 20%, TR are _________.5. RR is 20% & the FedFed buys $50 million of bonds from the publicpublic. The MSMS is increased by _______. ER are increased by _______. PMC is _______. TMS would be _________.

Additional Practice on Money CreationAdditional Practice on Money Creation

$100 M$100 M

$60 M$60 M $150 M$150 M $250 M$250 M

$100 M$100 M $200 M$200 M

$200,000$200,000

$100,000$100,000

$50 M$50 M

$40 M$40 M $200 M$200 M $250 M$250 M

00

BanksBanks PublicPublic FedFed

Page 68: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

1.1. RR are 10% & there are no ER in the RR are 10% & there are no ER in the Riley BankRiley Bank. Matt. Matt depositsdeposits ( (DDDD) $200.00 there. This ) $200.00 there. This one bankone bank can increase can increase its loans by a maximum of $______.its loans by a maximum of $______.2. RR2. RR are are 20%; 20%; the the Rostro BankRostro Bank borrowsborrows $80,000 from the $80,000 from the FedFed.. This This one bankone bank can increase its loans by a maximum of $___. can increase its loans by a maximum of $___.3. RR3. RR areare 25%;25%; the the Fed Fed buys $8,000buys $8,000 of of securities securities from thefrom the PublicPublic.. PPotential otential MMoney oney CCreationreation in the banking system could be $____. in the banking system could be $____.4. The 4. The Tuason BankTuason Bank has DD of $10 million; has DD of $10 million; RR are 20%; RR & ER are equal. RR are 20%; RR & ER are equal. TRTR are $_____. are $_____.5. The 5. The Tyll BankTyll Bank, with no ER, borrows $20 M from the , with no ER, borrows $20 M from the FedFed.. WithWith a a RRRR of of 50%, 50%, PMCPMC in thein the banking system could banking system could be be $___.$___.6. RR6. RR are are 40%;40%; the the FedFed buys $100 M buys $100 M of securities of securities from thefrom the PublicPublic.. PPotential otential MMoney oney CCreationreation in the banking system could be $____. in the banking system could be $____.7. RR 7. RR areare 50%; the 50%; the Volante BankVolante Bank borrows $40 M from the borrows $40 M from the FedFed;; this this single bank’s ERsingle bank’s ER are increased by $_______. are increased by $_______.8. RR8. RR are are 50%; 50%; FedFed buys $50 billionbuys $50 billion of of securities securities from from the the PublicPublic.. PPotentialotential T Total otal MMoneyoney Supply Supply (TMS) could (TMS) could be asbe as much as $____. much as $____.9. The RR is 40% & the 9. The RR is 40% & the FedFed buys $20 M of bonds from a buys $20 M of bonds from a bankbank.. Potential Money CreationPotential Money Creation in the banking system is $_____. in the banking system is $_____.10. No ER 10. No ER in ain a bankbank & & RRRR is is 2525%. %. DDDD of $of $200 200 is madeis made. . PMCPMC is $__is $__

QQuiz uiz 44 Commercial BankCommercial Bank FedFed PublicPublicAnsw:Answ: 1. $180.00 2. $80,000 3. $24,000 4. $4 1. $180.00 2. $80,000 3. $24,000 4. $4 mil.mil. 5. $40 5. $40 mil.mil.6. $150 6. $150 mil.mil. 7. $40 7. $40 mil.mil. 8. $100 bil. 9. $50 mil. 10. $600.00 8. $100 bil. 9. $50 mil. 10. $600.00

Page 69: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

QQuiz uiz 55 CCommercial ommercial BBankank FedFed PublicPublic1.1. RRRR are are 50% & there 50% & there are noare no ER ER in ain a BankBank. Suzy . Suzy depositsdeposits ( (DDDD)) $10.00 there. This $10.00 there. This one bankone bank can increase its loans can increase its loans by by ?____.?____.2. RR are 50%; the 2. RR are 50%; the Luu BankLuu Bank borrows $1 mil. from the borrows $1 mil. from the FedFed.. This bankThis bank can increase its loans can increase its loans by aby a maximum of of $_____. maximum of of $_____.3. RR3. RR are are 40%;40%; the the FedFed buys $buys $100,000100,000 of of securitiessecurities from thefrom the PublicPublic.. Potential Total Money SupplyPotential Total Money Supply could be as much as $______. could be as much as $______. 4. The 4. The Gohsman BankGohsman Bank has DD of $400,000 and RR is 25%. has DD of $400,000 and RR is 25%. RR & ER are equal. RR & ER are equal. Total ReservesTotal Reserves are $_____. are $_____.5. T5. The he Alvarado BankAlvarado Bank, , with nowith no ER, borrows $200,000 ER, borrows $200,000 from thefrom the FedFed.. With RR of 40%, With RR of 40%, this this oneone bank bank can increase its loans can increase its loans by by $__. $__.6. RR6. RR are are 50%; 50%; the the FedFed buys buys $60,000$60,000 of of securities securities from thefrom the PublicPublic.. Potential Money CreationPotential Money Creation in the banking system is $_____. in the banking system is $_____.7. RR 7. RR areare 10%; the 10%; the Cochran BankCochran Bank borrows $150 million from the borrows $150 million from the FedFed. This . This single bank’s ERsingle bank’s ER are increased by $_____. are increased by $_____.8. RR are 25%; 8. RR are 25%; FedFed buys $200 M of securities from the buys $200 M of securities from the PublicPublic.. Potential Total MoneyPotential Total Money Supply could be as much as $____. Supply could be as much as $____.9. RR 9. RR are are 25% 25% & the& the FedFed buysbuys $40 M$40 M of of bonds bonds from thefrom the Collins BankCollins Bank.. Potential Money CreationPotential Money Creation in the banking system could bein the banking system could be $___. $___.10. RR 10. RR areare 20% & no ER in the 20% & no ER in the Joseph BankJoseph Bank. Steph . Steph depositsdeposits $125.00 there. $125.00 there. PPotential otential MMoney oney CCreationreation in thein the system is $____. system is $____.

Answ:Answ: 1. $5.00 2. $1 1. $5.00 2. $1 mil.mil. 3. $250,000 4. $200,000 5. $200,000 3. $250,000 4. $200,000 5. $200,0006. $60,000 7. $150 6. $60,000 7. $150 mil.mil. 8. $800 8. $800 mil.mil. 9. $160 9. $160 mil.mil. 10. $500.00 10. $500.00

Page 70: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

1.1. RRRR are are 40% & there 40% & there are noare no ER ER in ain a BankBank. Bo . Bo depositsdeposits ( (DDDD)) $100.00 $100.00 there.there. This This one bank can increase its loans can increase its loans by by ?____?____2. RR are 10%; the 2. RR are 10%; the Torres BankTorres Bank borrows $9 mil. from the borrows $9 mil. from the FedFed.. This bankThis bank can increase its loans can increase its loans by aby a maximum of of $_____ maximum of of $_____3. RR3. RR is is 50%;50%; the the FedFed buys $10,000buys $10,000 of of securities securities from thefrom the PublicPublic.. Potential Total Money SupplyPotential Total Money Supply could be as much as $____ could be as much as $____ 4. The 4. The John BankJohn Bank has DD of $100,000 and RR is 40%. has DD of $100,000 and RR is 40%. RR & ER are equal. RR & ER are equal. Total ReservesTotal Reserves are $_____. are $_____.5. T5. The he Martin BankMartin Bank, , with nowith no ER, borrows $500,000 ER, borrows $500,000 from thefrom the FedFed.. With RR of 20%, With RR of 20%, this this oneone bank bank can increase its loans can increase its loans by by $___ $___6. RR6. RR are are 50%; 50%; the the FedFed buys buys $500,000$500,000 of of securities securities from thefrom the PublicPublic.. Potential Money CreationPotential Money Creation in the banking system is $_____ in the banking system is $_____7. RR are 10%; the 7. RR are 10%; the Matthews BankMatthews Bank borrows $5 million borrows $5 million from thefrom the FedFed.. This This single bank’s ERsingle bank’s ER are increased by $_____ are increased by $_____8. RR are 10%; 8. RR are 10%; FedFed buys $10 M of securities from the buys $10 M of securities from the PublicPublic.. Potential Total MoneyPotential Total Money Supply could be as much as $____ Supply could be as much as $____9. RR are 25% 9. RR are 25% & the& the FedFed buys buys $8 M$8 M of of bonds bonds from thefrom the Weber BankWeber Bank.. Potential Money CreationPotential Money Creation in the banking system could bein the banking system could be $____ $____10. RR 10. RR are are 20% & no ER in the 20% & no ER in the Clark BankClark Bank. Steph . Steph depositsdeposits $100.00 there. $100.00 there. PPotential otential Total Money Supply Total Money Supply is $____ is $____

Quiz 6 Quiz 6 Commercial BanksCommercial Banks FedFed PublicPublicAnsw:Answ: 1. $60.00 2. $9 1. $60.00 2. $9 mil.mil. 3. $20,000 4. $80,000 5. $500,000 3. $20,000 4. $80,000 5. $500,0006. $500,000 7. $5 6. $500,000 7. $5 mil.mil. 8. $100 8. $100 mil.mil. 9. $32 9. $32 mil.mil. 10. $500.00 10. $500.00

Page 71: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

Monetary Questions From 2000 AP ExamMonetary Questions From 2000 AP ExamMoney and the FedMoney and the Fed1. (61%) In the Keynesian modelKeynesian model, an expansionary monetary policyexpansionary monetary policy will lead to a. lower real interest rates and more investment b. lower real interest rates and lower prices c. higher real interest rates and lower prices d. higher real interest rates and higher real income e. higher nominal interest rates and more investment

2. (58%) Which of the following will most likely occur in an economy if more money ismore money is demanded than is supplieddemanded than is supplied? a. the amount of investment spending will increase.

d. interest rates will decrease b. the demand curve for money will shift to the left

e. interest rates will increase. c. the demand curve for money will shift to the right.

3. (64%) When consumers hold money rather than bonds because they expect thehold money rather than bonds because they expect the interest rate to increase in the futureinterest rate to increase in the future, they are holding money for what purposes? a. transactions

c. speculation (asset) b. unforeseen expenditures

d. illiquidity

Money CreationMoney Creation4. (80%) If on receiving a checking deposit of $300 a bank’s ER increased by $255checking deposit of $300 a bank’s ER increased by $255, the RRRR must be: a. 5% b. 15% c. 25% d. 35% e. 45%

When interest rates are too low, people will hold more asset (speculation) money. They don’t want to tie their money into interest rate bearing assets (like CDs & bonds) getting low returns. They will hold the speculative money until interest rates go back up.

Page 72: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

5. (62%) The money-creating ability of the banking systemmoney-creating ability of the banking system will be less than thewill be less than the maximum amount indicated by the money multipliermaximum amount indicated by the money multiplier when a. interest rates are high b. the velocity of money is rising c. people hold a portion of their money in the form of currency d. the unemployment rate is low

6. (71%) RR is 20%. If a bank initially has no ER and $10,000 cash is deposited$10,000 cash is deposited in the bank, the maximum amount by which this bank may increase its loansthis bank may increase its loans is a. $2,000 b. $8,000 c. $10,000 d. $20,000 e. $50,0007. (86%) RR is 15% and that bank receives a new DD of $200. Which of the following will most likely occur in the bank’s balance sheet? Liabilities(DD)

Required Reserves a. increase by $200

increase by $170 b. increase by $200

increase by $30 c. increase by $200

no change d. decrease by $200

decrease by $30 e. decrease by $200

decrease by $170

The FedFed and Monetary PolicyMonetary Policy8. (89%) The Federal ReserveFederal Reserve can increase the money supply by a. selling gold reserves to the banks b. selling foreign currency holdings

c. buying government bonds on the open market d. borrowing reserves from foreign governments

Page 73: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

9. (73%) An increase in the money supplyincrease in the money supply is most likely to have which of the following short-run effects on real interest rates and real outputshort-run effects on real interest rates and real output? Real Interest Rates

Real Output a. decrease

decrease b. decrease

increase c. increase

decrease d. increase

no change e. no change

increase

10. (81%) Under which of the following conditions would a restrictive (contractionary)restrictive (contractionary) monetary policymonetary policy be most appropriate? a. high inflation

d. low interest rates b. high unemployment

e. a budget deficit c. full employment with stable prices

11. (82%) The FedFed can change the U.S. money supplychange the U.S. money supply by changing the a. number of banks in operation

d. prime rate b. velocity of money

e. discount rate c. price level 12. (**30%) If the money stock decreases but nominal GDP remains constantmoney stock decreases but nominal GDP remains constant, which of the following has occurred? a. income velocity of money has increased.

d. price level has decreased. b. income velocity of money has decreased.

e. real output has decreased. c. price level has increased.

Page 74: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

13. (54%) Policy-makers concerned about fostering long-run growth in an economy that is currently in a recessionrecession would most likely recommend recommend which of the following combinations of monetary and fiscal policy actionscombinations of monetary and fiscal policy actions? Monetary Policy

Fiscal Policy a. sell bonds

reduce taxes b. sell bonds

raise taxes c. no change

raise taxes d. buy bonds

reduce spending e. buy bonds

no change

14. (76%) Open market operationsOpen market operations refer to which of the following activities? a. the buying and selling of stocks in the New York stock Market b. the loans made by the Fed to member commercial banks c. the buying and selling of government securities by the Federal Reserve d. the government’s purchases and sales of municipal bonds e. the government’s contribution to net exports

15. (58%) An open market sale of bonds by theopen market sale of bonds by the FedFed will most likely change the money supplymoney supply, the interest rateinterest rate, and the value of the U.S. dollarvalue of the U.S. dollar in which of the following ways? Money SupplyMoney Supply

Interest RateInterest Rate

Value of the DollarValue of the Dollar a. increase

decrease

decrease b. increase

decrease

increase c. decrease

decrease

decrease d. decrease

increase

increase e. decrease

increase

decrease

The reason you don’t incr G hereThe reason you don’t incr G hereis that it would push up interestis that it would push up interestrates rates and and offset offset the the lower interestlower interestrates of the Fed’s buying bonds. rates of the Fed’s buying bonds.

Page 75: AP Chapter 15 The Fed

1995 AP Exam1995 AP Exam16. (82%) Commercial banks can create moneyCommercial banks can create money by a. transferring depositors’ accounts at the Fed for conversion to cash b. buying Treasury bills from the Federal Reserve c. sending vault cash to the Fed d. maintaining a 100% reserve requirement e. lending excess reserves to customers

17. (65%) If the RR is 20%RR is 20%, the existence of $100 worth of ERexistence of $100 worth of ER in the banking system can lead to a maximum expansion of the money supplymaximum expansion of the money supply equal to a. $20 b. $100 c. $300 d. $500 e. $750

18. (71%) If the Fed lowers the RRFed lowers the RR, which of the following would most likely occurmost likely occur? a. Imports will rise, decreasing the trade deficit. b. The rate of saving will increase. c. Unemployment and inflation will both increase. d. Businesses will purchase more factories and equipment. e. The budget deficit will increase.

19. (61%) If the public’s desire to hold money as currency increasespublic’s desire to hold money as currency increases, what will the impact be on the banking systemimpact be on the banking system? a. Banks would be more able to reduce unemployment. b. Banks would be more able to decrease AS. c. Banks would be less able to decrease AS. d. Banks would be more able to expand credit. e. Banks would be less able to expand credit

More MS More MS means means lower I.R. & more Iglower I.R. & more Ig

Holding currency means less ER & higher I.R.Holding currency means less ER & higher I.R.

5x$100=$5005x$100=$500

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20. (86%) Which of the combinationscombinations is most likely to cure a severe recessioncure a severe recession? Open-Market OperationsOpen-Market Operations TaxesTaxes Gov. SpendingGov. Spending a. Buy securities Increase Decrease b. Buy securities Decrease Increase c. Buy securities Decrease Decrease d. Sell securities Decrease Decrease e. Sell securities Increase Increase21. (61%) The demand for moneydemand for money increases when national income increasesnational income increases because a. spending on goods and services increases d. the MS increases b. interest rates increase e. the budget deficit increases c. the public becomes more optimistic about the future22. (76%) Suppose the RR is 20%RR is 20% and a single bank with no ER receives a $100 DDsingle bank with no ER receives a $100 DD from a new customer. The bank now has excess reserves equal tobank now has excess reserves equal to a. $20 b. $80 c. $100 d. $400 e. $50023. (45%) Which of the following is most likely to increasemost likely to increase if the public decides topublic decides to increase its holding of currencyincrease its holding of currency? a. the interest rate d. Employment b. The price level e. The reserve requirement c. Disposable personal income24. (47%) During a mild recessionmild recession, if policymakers want to reduce unemployment by reduce unemployment by increasing investmentincreasing investment, which of the following policies would be most appropriate? a. Equal increases in government expenditure and taxes b. An increase in government expenditure only c. An increase in transfer payments d. An increase in the reserve requirement e. Purchase of government securities by the Fed

Holding MS; bankshave less; higher I.R.

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25. (73%) Which of the following monetary and fiscal policy combinationsmonetary and fiscal policy combinations would most likely result in a decrease in AD? Discount RateDiscount Rate Open-Market OperationsOpen-Market Operations Gov. SpendingGov. Spending a. Lower Buy bonds Increase b. Lower Buy bonds Decrease c. Raise Sell bonds Increase d. Raise Buy bonds Increase e. Raise Sell bonds Decrease26. (35%) Under which of the following circumstances would increasing the MS be increasing the MS be most effective in increasing real GDPmost effective in increasing real GDP? Interest RatesInterest Rates EmploymentEmployment Business OptimismBusiness Optimism a. High Full High b. High Less than full High c. Low Full High d. Low Full Low e. Low Less than full Low27. (57%) According to both monetaristsmonetarists and KeynesiansKeynesians, which of the following happens when the Fed reduces the discount rate? a. The demand for money decreases and market interest rates decrease. b. The demand for money increases and market interest rates increase. c. The supply of money increases and market interest rates decrease. d. The supply of money increases and market interest rates increase.

e. Both the demand for money and the MS increase and market interest rates increase.28. (79%) AllAll of the following are components of the MSare components of the MS in the U.S. EXCEPTEXCEPT a. paper money b. gold bullion c. checkable deposits d. coins e. demand deposits

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29. (47%) If the Fed undertakesFed undertakes a a policypolicy to to reduce interest ratesreduce interest rates, international capitalinternational capital flowsflows (financial capital like CDs, bonds) will be affectedwill be affected in which of the following ways? a. Long-run capital outflows from the U.S. will decrease. b. Long-run capital inflows to the U.S. will increase. c. Short-run capital outflows from the U.S. will decrease. d. Short-run capital inflows to the U.S. will decrease. e. Short-run capital inflows to the U.S. will not change.30. (73%) If the FedFed wishes to use monetary policy to reinforce Congress’ wishes to use monetary policy to reinforce Congress’ fiscal policy changesfiscal policy changes, it should a. increase the MS when government spending is increased b. increase the MS when government spending is decreased c. decrease the Ms when government spending is increased d. increase interest rates when government spending is increased e. decrease interest rates when government spending is decreased

This would keep the interestrate from going up.

Lower U.S. interest rates will result in fewer capital inflows


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