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Arab Reform Present

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    2001

    2002

    2001

    2001

    2000

    2001

    2002

    1999

    2001

    1996

    2000

    1997

    1999

    2003

    1999

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    UA

    E

    Kuwa

    it

    SaudiArabia

    Lebano

    n

    Egypt

    Oma

    n

    Syria

    Yeme

    n

    Qatar

    Bahrain

    Jorda

    n

    Tunisia

    Morocc

    o

    WestBankandGaza

    Algeria

    Note: Data include most recent estimates available for each country; rates in the

    GCC countries are for nationals only.

    Source: Compiled by World Bank staff from ILO and country sources.

    Current unemployment rates in Arab economies

    Unemployment (%)

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    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Egypt 2000 Jordan 2001 Morocco 2001 Yemen 1999 UAE 2000 Kuwait 1995

    Sources: ILO 2003a; except for Kuw ait, Population Census 2001; for Jordan, AREUS 2001.

    First-time job seekers as a proportion of total unemployed

    Percent

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    Figure 4.4. Distribution of the Unemployed by Level of Education (percent)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    Bahrain Oman Jordan Egypt Morocco Tunisia Algeria Djibouti

    None Primary Secondary Tertiary

    Sources: ILO 2002; except for Bahrain, ILO 2003a; for Egypt ELMS, 1998; for Morocco, LSMS 1999.

    Percent of total unemployed

    Distribution of unemployed by level of education

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    Female Labor Supply in Arab States, 1950-2020 (percent)

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    Participation rate (end of decade,left axis)

    Gender parity labor force index

    (end of decade, left axis)

    Average annual labor force

    growth (right axis)

    Sources: ILO 1996; UN 2002.

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    Unem ployme nt Rates by Gender in Arab Countries (pe rcent)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    Algeria

    2000

    West

    Bank and

    Gaza

    2001

    Jordan

    2000

    Morocco

    1999

    Tunisia

    1997

    Bahrain

    2001

    Qatar

    2002

    Yemen

    1999

    Syria

    2001

    Egypt

    2000

    Lebanon

    1997

    Saudi

    Arabia

    1999

    UAE

    1999

    Kuwait

    2003

    Female Male

    Source: For Algeria, Jordan, Syria, Egypt, West Bank and Gaza, Yemen, ILO 2003b; for Tunisia, INS 2001; for Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia , Kuw ait and

    UAE, Girgis, Hadad-Zervose, and Coulibaly 2003; for Morocco, LSMS 1999; for Yemen, NPPS 1999.

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    L a b o r Fo r c e G r o w t h in D e v e lo p i n g R e g i o n s , 1 9 7 0- 20 10 ( p e r c e n t )

    0

    0 .5

    1

    1 .5

    2

    2 .5

    3

    3 .5

    4

    4 .5

    Eas t A s ia So u th A s ia L a tin A m e r ic a

    and the

    Car ibbean

    S u b - S a h a r a n

    A f r i c a

    A rab coun t r ies

    1 9 70 -1 9 80 1 9 80 -1 9 901 9 90 -2 0 00 2 0 00 -2 0 10

    Note : A rab coun t r ies i nc lude members o f t he League o f A rab S ta tes ex cep t Comoros ,

    Djibo ut i, Maur i tania, Somal ia, and Sud an.

    Source : ILO 19 96

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    Average Annual Growth in the Labor Force of Arab

    Countries , 1970-2010 (percent)

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6

    Tunisia

    Morocco

    Egypt

    Syria

    Yemen

    Jordan

    1970-19901990-2010

    Source: ILO 1996; UN 2002.

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    GDP per Capita Growth in Developing Regions, 1970-2000

    (percent)

    -2

    -1

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    East Asia &

    Pacific

    High income:

    OECD

    Latin America

    & Caribbean

    South Asia Sub-Saharan

    Africa

    Arab States

    1970s 1980s 1990s

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    GDP Per Capita Growth in the Arab World, 1970-2000

    (percent)

    -8.0

    -6.0

    -4.0

    -2.0

    0.0

    2.0

    4.0

    6.0

    8.0

    Bahra

    in

    Jorda

    n

    Kuwa

    itOm

    an

    Saud

    iArab

    ia

    SyrianA

    rabRep

    ublic

    Suda

    n

    Algeri

    a

    Egypt,

    Arab

    Rep

    .

    Moroc

    co

    Tunis

    ia

    1970s 1980s 1990s

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    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    1970

    1973

    1976

    1979

    1982

    1985

    1988

    1991

    1994

    1997

    2000

    Percen

    t

    Egypt

    Morocco

    Workers Remittances as a Share of GDP

    Egypt and Morocco, 1970-2000 (percent)

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    Private Sector Contribution to GDP in Arab Countries (percent)

    2000

    19901

    990

    1995

    1983

    1985

    2000

    1990

    1985

    1993

    200020

    01

    2000

    1997

    1999

    1980

    2002

    1999

    1997

    20021

    995

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    Lebanon Egypt Morocco Jordan Palestine Syria Tunisia Yemen UAE Algeria Saudi

    Arabia

    Source: Assaf and Benhassine 2003.

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    Arab Non-Oil Export Potential

    0.00

    0.50

    1.00

    1.50

    2.00

    2.50

    3.00

    3.50

    A

    lgeria

    Egypt,Arab

    Rep.

    Leb

    anon

    SyrianArabRepublic

    Arab9

    Tu

    nisia

    SaudiA

    rabia

    Jordan

    Mo

    rocco

    Iran,Islamic

    Rep.

    Colo

    mbia

    Argentina

    Brazil

    RussianFeder

    ation

    South

    Africa

    T

    urkey

    Guate

    mala

    P

    oland

    Bulgaria

    ElSalvador

    Mau

    ritius

    B

    olivia

    Chile

    Jam

    aica

    Ecuador

    SlovakRepublic

    CzechRepublic

    Costa

    Rica

    Korea,Rep.

    M

    exico

    Hu

    ngary

    Tha

    iland

    Philippines

    Malaysia

    Note: Regression is based on 42 countries, but values for 8 low income countries, including Yemen, are not reported because of negative values. Arab9 =

    Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, the Republic of Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Tunisia.

    High performing countries

    Weak performing countries


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